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Economics of Wind Energy Athanasia Arapogianni Research officer The European Wind Energy Association

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Page 1: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Economics of Wind Energy

Athanasia Arapogianni

Research officer

The European Wind Energy Association

Page 2: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Contents

• Cost of wind energy structure

• Economics Tool

Page 3: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Cost of wind energy

Source: EWEA, 2009

Page 4: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Basic cost component of the investment/capital cost

Wind Turbine

Source: EWEA, 2009

Cost of wind energy – Capital/investment costs

Page 5: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Source: EWEA, 2009

Cost of wind energy – Operation and maintenance costs

(O&M)

Page 6: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Cost of wind energy – Operation and maintenance costs

(O&M)

The example of

Germany:

Page 7: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Cost of wind energy – electricity production

Page 8: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Cost of wind energy – electricity production

Wind Turbine:

Power Curve how

much power is generated

in every operating wind

speed

Site:

Distribution of wind

speed in a year for a

specific time

Page 9: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Cost of wind energy – electricity production

Wind turbine

characteristics

X Wind turbine

Characteristics

Site

characteristics

Annual Energy Production in kWh

Page 10: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Cost of wind energy for different discount rates

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

1 000 1 500 2 000 2 500 3 000 3 500

€/M

Wh

Number of full load hours

5% 7.50% 10%

Page 11: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Economics of wind

Levelised cost of electricity generation (LCOE)

€/MWh cost over the lifetime of the projects, taking into

account the present value of all cost components

Different Generation

technologies

(Gas, Coal, Nuclear, Wind)

Different technical and cost

characteristics

Page 12: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

• Differentiating Wind Energy from Gas, Coal and

Nuclear

– main cost components of fossil and nuclear generation:

fuel and carbon emission costs

– High volatility and uncertainty to forecast fuel and

carbon costs Risk

• Necessary to include in the LCOE calculation the

corresponding risk Forming a fair basis of

comparison between the technologies.

Online Economics Tool

Page 13: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

EWEA’s Online Economics Tool

Page 14: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific
Page 15: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific
Page 16: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific
Page 17: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Legend:

Onshore wind Gas Coal Nuclear

Page 18: Economics of Wind Energy - tuuleenergia · Wind Turbine: Power Curve how much power is generated in every operating wind speed Site: Distribution of wind speed in a year for a specific

Conclusions

The cost of wind energy consists of several components –

most of them known since the beginning and the rest

easy to predict

In order to compare the LCOE of different technologies on

a fair basis, the risk on fuel and carbon price volatility has

to be included.

The volatility of fuel and carbon prices has a great impact

on the final LCOE.

Wind energy (on and offshore) is becoming more

preferable not only as a renewable energy technology but

also as an investment which will not suffer from

unpredictable and volatile costs.