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Page 1: Economic Trends & Workforce Opportunities - North Central
Page 2: Economic Trends & Workforce Opportunities - North Central

NORTH CENTRAL COUNTIES ECONOMIC TRENDS & WORKFORCE OPPORTUNITIES

November 2010 2

REPORT PREPARED FOR:

North Central Counties Consortium REPORT PREPARED BY:

Craft Consulting Group in association with Jim Cassio

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November 2010 3

Executive Summary

In June 2010 the Federal Reserve estimated that the U.S. economy’s Gross Domestic Product (GDP) would grow around 3.5% to 4.2% in 2011, after a 3.0% to 3.5% growth rate in 2010. However, the Federal Reserve cautioned that their predicted 3.5% pace of expansion of the economy in 2010 would not be strong enough to bring relief to the 15 million Americans who are unemployed. While the U.S. economy has experienced five consecutive quarters of growth since the recession ended in June 2009, the unemployment rate has not abated. In fact, unemployment has edged up slightly while GDP growth has slowed for the past three quarters. According to a recent survey of economists by Bloomberg News, “the U.S. economic recovery will slow more than previously estimated, to 2.5% GDP growth in 2011, down from the previously-estimated 2.8% growth seen last month”. While the national economy is slowly improving, the number of unemployed, underemployed, or those not looking for work has remained unchanged. The purpose of this report is to provide local workforce development officials, training providers, and education professionals in the five-county North Central Counties Consortium (NCCC) region with actionable labor market information about the region’s workforce and economy so that they can assist laid-off workers find new jobs in growing industries and train displaced workers for in-demand occupations. Information contained in this report will help the North Central Counties Consortium plan sector strategies and identify target industries with the best opportunities for job growth. Workforce development organizations across the nation are adopting cluster-based and sector-focused strategies to connect workers to relevant training and education and to connect employers to skilled workers. Sector strategies are a proven mechanism for meeting the needs of workers for good jobs and the needs of employers for skilled workers. Data driven labor market analysis about the NCCC region’s workforce and economy helps workforce development officials to identify key industry sectors that drive economic activity in the region and are in need of workers, even during the economic downturn, and those that will grow as the economy recovers. Knowing which industries are growing helps workforce development officials to better understand where to focus their limited resources. This report identifies several industry sectors that are growing along with in-demand occupations. Agriculture, retail trade, manufacturing, healthcare, and hospitality sectors make up the largest number of private sector jobs. Three sectors (retail, healthcare, and hospitality) grew over the ten year period from 1999 through 2008, while the agriculture and manufacturing sectors lost jobs. However, agriculture and manufacturing are important to the region’s future economic growth. Other sectors of interest include wholesale trade, business support, and other services such as repair and maintenance.

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November 2010 4

Occupational projections by the California Employment Development Department show a 13.8% increase in the number of annual job openings in the North Central Counties region over the next five years, with approximately 2,727 total jobs consisting of 1,040 new jobs created by economic growth and 1,687 replacement jobs due mainly to retirements and job changes. Workforce demand will vary by county with the greatest number of job openings located in Yuba and Sutter counties. A survey of the region’s employers shows that approximately one-half (48.3%) of the companies responding anticipate adding new full-or part-time jobs over the next two years. About the same percentage (45.7%) of employers predict that there will be no change in the number of workers at their company. Only 6% anticipate a reduction of staff due to the economy or technology changes. Employers are having the greatest difficulty in finding qualified workers for healthcare positions, cooks, and truck drivers. Employers also report varying levels of difficulty in finding qualified workers with basic skills, workplace skills, and job skills. While employees with strong math and computer skills were hard to find, employees with strong work ethics and an ability to adapt to change, along with problem solving, critical thinking, and communication skills were the hardest to find. Only about 13% of the employers listed job specific skill deficiencies that could be addressed by a new training program. Most employers cited computer training and problem solving as being the most common deficiencies. Less than half (45%) of the employers were interested in a skills certification program. More than 2/3 of the employers were aware of the services available through the North Central Counties Consortium one-stop career centers. About one-third of the employers were interested in NCCC assistance in finding qualified employees, on-the-job training programs, or internship programs.

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November 2010 5

Table of Contents

Page

I. Introduction .................................................................................................. 1 II. NCCC Regional Labor Market ..................................................................... 3

A. Population Growth .................................................................................... 3 B. Demographic Profile ................................................................................. 7 C. Labor Supply ............................................................................................ 8 D. Workforce Characteristics ...................................................................... 11 E. Wage & Salary Trends ........................................................................... 14 F. Employment Trends ............................................................................... 16 G. Workforce Forecast ................................................................................ 18 H. Employer Survey Findings ..................................................................... 23

III. North Central Counties Economy ............................................................. 27

A. Economic Base ...................................................................................... 27 B. Economic Base Drivers .......................................................................... 31 C. Major Industry Sector Employment Trends ............................................. 33 D. Industry Specialization & Concentrations ............................................... 40 E. Major Employers .................................................................................... 41 F. Small Business Sector ........................................................................... 43 G. Job Growth by Firm Size ........................................................................ 47 H. Regional Employment Growth ................................................................ 47 I. Leading Industry Clusters & Job Generators .......................................... 50 J. Regional Competitiveness ...................................................................... 52

IV. Future Outlook ........................................................................................... 59 V. Conclusions ............................................................................................... 61

VI. Appendix .................................................................................................... 63

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Tables 1 NCCC Regional Population Growth 1990-2010 ................................................... 4 2 Age of Population ................................................................................................ 7 3 NCCC Regional Labor Supply ............................................................................. 8 4 Occupational Profile by Sub-region .................................................................... 11 5 Percentage of Out-Commuters by County, 2006-2008 ...................................... 16 6 Annual Unemployment Rate .............................................................................. 17 7 Occupational Group Employment Projections .................................................... 20 8 Regional Employment by Industry Sector .......................................................... 29 9 Organic Farms in NCCC Region ........................................................................ 30 10 Retail Trade Employment .................................................................................. 33 11 Healthcare Sector Employment ......................................................................... 34 12 Hospitality Sector Employment .......................................................................... 35 13 Travel Impacts by County .................................................................................. 36 14 Travel Generated Employment & Earnings by County ....................................... 36 15 Manufacturing Sector Employment .................................................................... 38 16 Food Processing Subsector Employment .......................................................... 38 17 Representative List of Agricultural Food Processors in NCCC Region ............... 39 18 Major Employers in NCCC Region ..................................................................... 42 19 Self-Employed Trends, 2002-2008 .................................................................... 45 20 Shift-Share Components of NCCC Employment Growth, 1999-2008 ................. 53 21 Net Employment Change by Industry................................................................. 54 22 Percentage Change in Employment by Industry Sector ..................................... 55 23 Employment Growth by Industry Sector ............................................................. 69 24 Top Ten Crops by County ................................................................................. 71 25 State Ranking by Value of Agriculture Production .............................................. 71 26 Employment Generated by Visitor Spending...................................................... 72 27 Occupations with the Most Job Openings 2006-2016 (North Valley) .................. 73 28 Fastest Growing Occupations 2006-2016 .......................................................... 79 29 Declining or Stable Occupations (North Valley) ................................................. 85 30 Occupational Employment Projections, 2006-2016 .......................................... 102 31 Colusa County Major Employers ...................................................................... 109 32 Glenn County Major Employers ....................................................................... 110 33 Lake County Major Employers ......................................................................... 111 34 Sutter County Major Employers ....................................................................... 112 35 Yuba County Major Employers ........................................................................ 113 Figures 1 NCCC Counties Region Map ............................................................................... 1 2 Population Growth Rates 1990-2009 ................................................................... 3 3 NCCC Regional Population Growth Trends & Projections, 2000-2030................. 5 4 Projected Population Growth by County 2010 – 2030 .......................................... 5 5 Sources of Regional Population Growth: 1990-2009 ............................................ 6 6 Net Migration ....................................................................................................... 6 7 Ethnic Make-Up by Decade, 2000-2030 .............................................................. 8

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November 2010 7

8 NCCC Region Workforce Participation Rates .................................................... 10 9 NCCC Region Occupational Profile, Q1-2010 .................................................... 12 10 Education Attainment of NCCC Residents by Age & Gender ............................. 13 11 Colusa & Glenn County Wage Trends by Occupational Categories .................. 14 12 Lake County Wage Trends by Occupational Categories .................................... 15 13 Sutter & Yuba County Wage Trends by Occupational Categories ..................... 15 14 Projected Population Growth Scenarios, 2010-2020 .......................................... 18 15 Top Ten Occupations in NCCC Region with the Most Job Openings, 2016 ....... 21 16 Top Ten Fastest Growing Occupations in NCCC Region ................................... 22 16a Level of Difficulty in Finding Employees with Basic Skills ................................... 24 16b Level of Difficulty in Finding Employees with Workplace Skills ........................... 24 16c Green Business Practices Used by Local Firms ................................................ 25 17 NCCC Economic Base ...................................................................................... 27 18 Industry Concentration ....................................................................................... 40 19 Small Business Sector ....................................................................................... 43 20 Number of Employees by Size of Business........................................................ 44 21 Self-Employed versus Firms with Employees .................................................... 45 22 Growth in New Business Establishments by Industry Sector ............................. 46 23 Number of Employees by Firm Size ................................................................... 47 24 Net Change in Employment 1999-2008 ............................................................ 48 25 Industry Clusters of Opportunity ......................................................................... 51 26 U.S. Underemployment ..................................................................................... 59 27 Industry Sector Employment Projections 2010-2016 .......................................... 60

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November 2010 8

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November 2010 1

Introduction The North Central Counties Consortium (NCCC) service area is composed of five counties: Colusa, Glenn, Lake, Sutter, and Yuba - located in the heart of the Sacramento Valley just north of Sacramento. Agriculture has traditionally been – and continues to be – a major economic force throughout the region. Major crops include rice, almonds, walnuts, pistachios, pears, tomatoes, corn, sunflowers, melons, prunes, and onions. The region is also one of the nation’s leading producers of rice. Range land on the west side supports cattle and dairy ranches. Vineyards and wineries are of growing importance in Lake County. The NCCC region covers 5,065 square miles and is relatively flat in the center with the northern Coast Range Mountains to the west and Sierra Foothills along the eastern border. The flat fertile terrain of the Sacramento Valley is primarily grasslands that become increasingly more cultivated with agriculture crops and fruit and nut trees as one moves east from the rain shadow of the Coast Range toward the Sierra Foothills. One distinctive geographic feature of the area is the Sutter Buttes, nicknamed the smallest mountain range in the world, which consists of the remnants of an extinct volcano. Lake County is situated in the Pacific Coast Range Mountains between the coast and Sacramento Valley with Clear Lake, the state’s largest natural freshwater lake at its center. Several national wildlife refuges and national forests are also located in the region. The Sacramento River is located on the eastside with State Highway 99 running parallel connecting Yuba City with Sacramento to the south and Chico to the north. Interstate 5 runs north and south through the middle of the Central Valley. Highway 20 connects the region between Yuba City and Clear Lake along this east-west artery. On the west side, Highway 29 in Lake County provides a north-south connection between the Napa Valley and Highway 101 in Mendocino County. Eight incorporated cities, Colusa, Williams, Orland, Willows, Yuba City, Live Oak, Marysville, and Wheatland, are located in the four counties along Interstate 5 or Highway 99. Two incorporated cities, Lakeport and Clearlake, are located in Lake County. A number of small unincorporated communities are scattered throughout the North Central Counties region. Yuba County is home to Beale Air Force Base located approximately eight miles east of Marysville near Linda, California. Beale Air Force Base spans 23,000 acres of rolling hills, houses a population of around 3,500 military personnel, and employs approximately 1,300 civilians who work at the base with a combined payroll of $340 million.

Figure 1: North Central Counties Region

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NORTH CENTRAL COUNTIES ECONOMIC TRENDS & WORKFORCE OPPORTUNITIES

November 2010 2

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November 2010 3

NCCC Regional Labor Market

Population Growth Population Growth Trends & Projections

According to California Department of Finance estimates, the North Central Counties region is home to 288,230 people and 116,433 households. Between 1990 and 2010, the region’s population increased by 25% from 215,484 in 1990 to 288,227 as of January 1, 2010. Although population growth has fluctuated from year to year, ranging from a high of 3.4% in 1991 to a loss of 0.4% in 1998, the annual average growth rate for the five-county region over the past two decades has been approximately 1.6%, slightly faster than the statewide average of 1.5% during this time period. In the past five years, the region’s population growth has slowed to an annual average rate of 1.2%, reflecting the downturn in the economy and housing market. Individual counties within the region have experienced different rates of population growth over the past twenty years. Sutter County had the highest rate of growth with an average annual growth rate of 2.6%, followed by Colusa County at 1.8% and Yuba County at 1.3%, while Glenn and Lake Counties each grew by less than one percent annually. Much of the population growth experienced by Sutter and Yuba Counties in recent years can be attributed to spill over from Sacramento County due to lower housing costs in Sutter and Yuba Counties and the proximity of job opportunities in the greater Sacramento metropolitan area. In the late 1990’s, Glenn, Yuba, and Lake counties lost population. These counties were not alone - 13 of California's 58 counties lost population during that time period, as more people left California than moved into the state. Rural areas in general often struggle to retain population due to the lack of jobs. Lake County, for example, lost population over the past two years as the recession forced some residents to seek employment elsewhere.

Regional population growth is driven primarily by net in-migration,

especially in Sutter and Yuba Counties

Figure 2: Population Growth Rates, 1990-2010

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba

% Change 1990-2000% Change 2000-2010

Source: California Department of Finance, Demographic Research Unit,Craft Consulting Group analysis

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November 2010 4

Looking forward, population projections through 2030 indicate a return to the higher growth rates experienced prior to the recent recession at the height of the housing boom with an average annual growth rate of over 2.2% (see Figure 3). If the NCCC region continues to grow at that pace, its population would double in approximately thirty-two years. Whether this occurs depends on the national economy and future job opportunities in the region. Knowing the rate of population growth is important because it affects a community’s ability to provide jobs along with the necessary infrastructure and social services (including roads, schools, parks, and sewage treatment) within a given time period to support the increase in population. Although local business expansion occurs due to increased demand, there also needs to be a corresponding increase in the number of new full-time jobs and career opportunities to meet the needs of the growing workforce.

Table 1: NCCC Regional Population Growth: 1990-2010

NCCC Region

Year Population Percent Change Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba

1990 215,484 16,300 24,827 50,962 64,814 58,581

1991 222,707 3.4% 16,694 25,318 53,052 67,518 60,125

1992 228,217 2.5% 16,983 25,757 54,459 69,685 61,333 1993 231,845 1.6% 17,319 25,915 55,481 71,476 61,654

1994 234,441 1.1% 17,556 25,925 56,072 72,931 61,957 1995 236,923 1.1% 17,833 26,398 56,630 74,167 61,895

1996 237,727 0.3% 18,148 26,342 56,644 74,979 61,614 1997 240,419 1.1% 18,461 26,463 57,026 76,420 62,049

1998 239,390 -0.4% 18,457 26,319 56,947 76,891 60,776 1999 240,760 0.6% 18,594 26,308 57,601 78,034 60,223

2000 244,018 1.4% 18,922 26,623 58,548 79,501 60,424 2001 248,634 1.9% 19,203 26,819 60,107 80,849 61,656

2002 253,843 2.1% 19,625 27,144 61,069 82,878 63,127 2003 259,347 2.2% 19,998 27,627 61,984 85,301 64,437

2004 264,741 2.1% 20,692 27,840 62,685 87,628 65,896 2005 271,177 2.4% 21,093 28,310 63,177 90,044 68,553

2006 276,790 2.1% 21,486 28,618 63,768 92,784 70,134 2007 280,551 1.4% 21,761 28,986 63,822 94,811 71,171

2008 283,968 1.2% 21,913 29,214 64,193 96,095 72,553 2009 285,808 0.6% 22,092 29,273 64,155 97,263 73,025

2010 * 288,227 0.8% 22,206 29,434 64,053 99,154 73,380

Source: California Department of Finance, Demographic Research Unit * As of January 1, 2010

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November 2010 5

Figure 4: Projected Population Growth by County, 2010-2030

Colusa County 34,488

29,58823,787

Glenn County 45,181

37,95930,880

Lake County 87,066

77,912

67,530

102,326

Sutter County 182,401

141,159 Yuba County 137,322

109,216

80,411

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000

120,000

140,000

160,000

180,000

200,000

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

Popu

latio

n

Source: California Department of Finance, Demographic Research Unit

Figure 3: NCCC RegionalPopulation Growth Trends & Projections, 2000-2030

North Central Counties486,458

304,934

295,834

California49,240,891

38,487,889

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

2014

2016

2018

2020

2022

2024

2026

2028

2030

NC

CC

Pop

ulat

ion

0

5,000,000

10,000,000

15,000,000

20,000,000

25,000,000

30,000,000

35,000,000

40,000,000

45,000,000

50,000,000

55,000,000

California Population

Source: California Department of Finance, Demographic Research Unit

Projected Regional Population

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NORTH CENTRAL COUNTIES ECONOMIC TRENDS & WORKFORCE OPPORTUNITIES

November 2010 6

Components of Population Growth

The primary factor in the region’s population growth has been net in-migration with people moving from one location to another for a better life, new job, affordable housing, better schools, or lifestyle change. Net in-migration accounted for 63.5% of the region’s total population growth over the past twenty years with domestic migration, those relocating from other regions of California and the United States, being responsible for little more than half (51.8%) of the net in-migration and foreign immigration responsible for the balance (48.2%).

Lake County had the largest number of new residents, while Colusa County had more people moving out than moved in between 2000 -2010. Colusa County’s population continued to expand during this time period due to a high birthrate and net foreign immigration which made up for the loss of population from people moving out of the county. Sutter County had the most foreign immigration of any county in the region. Population growth from people moving into the region has declined substantially in recent years due to the recession and the lack of job opportunities. Construction of affordable housing has helped attract homebuyers to the region, especially during the housing boom of 2001-2006. Domestic in-migration increased substantially during this time period, but dropped off dramatically as the housing bubble burst and unemployment climbed to among the highest in the State.

While natural increase (births minus deaths) has not been the dominant factor in the region’s population growth, it has contributed more than one-third (36.5%) of the region’s total population increase during the past ten years. The amount of natural increase declined during the 1990’s as the birthrate dropped. Over the past ten years, the number of births has increased especially since 2004, due to a younger population moving in.

Figure 5: Sources Of Regional Population Growth: 1990-2009

-4,000

-2,000

0

2,000

4,000

6,000

8,000

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Num

ber

of R

esid

ents

Natural Increase

Net In-Migration

Total Population Growth

Source: California Department of Finance Demographic Research Unit

Figure 6: Net Migration Drives Population Growth

Foreign

Domestic

(2,000)

(1,000)

-

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Num

ber o

f Mig

rant

s Housing Bubble

Source: California Department of Finance Demographic Research Unit

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November 2010 7

Demographic Profile Age Composition

With the exclusion of Lake County which has an older population, the other four North Central Counties have a younger population with a median age averaging 32.2 years compared to California (34.7) and the nation (36.7). The region also has a higher dependency ratio, i.e., the percentage of the population under 18 and over 65 years of age, than both the nation and the state, with a smaller percentage of the population between the ages of 18 and 64. In 2008, 26.6% of the region’s population was under the age of 18 and 12.1% was 65 or older. Older residents make up a higher percentage of the region’s population than the statewide average (10.9%) with the exception of Yuba County, which has a smaller percentage of its population over 65 years of age. The percentage of the population over 65 has been increasing faster than the population under 18 years of age.

The largest age cohort is the 25-29 year-old group with 24,326 people, followed by those under age 5 with 21,405 people and the 15-19 year old group with 20,607 people. Generation Y, born between 1978 and 2000 with 83,972, is the largest population age group, followed by the Baby Boom generation (born between 1946-1964) with 64,800 and Generation X (born between 1965-1977) with 53,165. By 2020, the number of people 65 and older is expected to increase the most at 42.7%. The percentage of seniors will continue to increase as the baby boom generation ages and the youngest of the baby boom generation retire in 2029. The second fastest-growing age bracket will be those under the age of 20 which will increase by 35.9% from 2010 to 2020. While replacement jobs will become available as the baby boom generation retires, significant new job growth will be required to meet the needs of the growing population. Unless there are job opportunities locally for the younger generation, they will be inclined to move elsewhere where they can find jobs.

Ethnic/Racial Composition

Non-Hispanic Whites and Hispanics make up the largest ethnic/racial groups in the North Central Counties region. Asian/ Pacific Islanders are a distant third, followed by a growing portion of the population with multi-racial backgrounds. American Indians and African Americans comprise the smallest ethnic groups. Between 1990 and 2010, the region’s non-Hispanic white population as a percentage of the total population decreased by 25% and is expected to decrease further over the next twenty years due to an increase in the number of younger Hispanic families of child bearing age and a slower growing Non-Hispanic White population. The Hispanic population almost doubled in size over the past twenty years increasing from 14.6% to 28.2% of the region’s total population. The percentages of the population of American Indian and African American descent have hardly changed over the past twenty years, and these two racial groups are not expected to grow much in the future.

Population projections show a continual decline in the percentage of Non-Hispanic Whites over the next twenty years, while the Hispanic population is expected to increase from about 28% of the region’s population to almost 40% by 2030 (see Figure 6).

Table 2: Age of Population - 2008

% of Population

Under 18 18-64 Median

65+ Colusa

Age

29.2% 59.6% 11.2% 32.1

Glenn 27.5% 60.5% 12.0% 32.9

Lake 22.0% 62.0% 16.1% 40.4

Sutter 26.8% 61.0% 12.2% 33.5

Yuba 29.3% 61.9% 8.8% 30.1

Region 26.6% 61.3% 12.1%

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Growing younger population will require significant net new job

creation

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Labor Supply Working Age Population

The working age population includes both those in the labor force and those not in the labor force such as students and retirees. The labor force is traditionally defined as the number of persons in the civilian, non-institutional population of working age who are 16 years old and over and who are employed or unemployed.

As of June 2010, the size of the region’s labor force was 124,320 workers or 43% of the region's total population. While the size of the region’s labor force has steadily increased over the past ten years, the percentage of the region’s population in the labor force is smaller compared to the statewide average of forty-eight percent (48%). Even with a smaller percentage of its working age population in the labor force, the regional economy is not producing enough jobs to meet the needs of a growing workforce. The employment-population ratio for the five counties, which is used to evaluate the ability of the economy to create jobs by measuring the proportion of the region's working-age population that is employed, declined from 58.5% to 55.2% between 2000 and 2008. A ratio above 70% indicates that a high percentage of the working-age

Table 3: NCCC Regional Labor Supply

2010 124,320

2009 120,240

2008 116,560

2007 115,190

2006 113,360

2005 113,300

2004 112,420

2003 111,870

2002 110,970

2001 108,560

2000 105,830

Source: California Employment Development Department

Figure 7: North Central Counties Ethnic Make-Up By Decade, 2010-2030

2.4%

1.8%

1.7%

6.8%

28.2%

59.1%

2.3%

1.8%

1.4%

7.1%

34.6%

52.8%

2.2%

1.8%

1.2%

7.1%

39.6%

48.1%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70%

Non-Hispanic White

Hispanic

Asian/Pacific Islander

African American

American Indian

Multirace

Percent Growth of Households

203020202010

Source: California Department of Finance Demographic Research Unit

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population is employed, whereas a ratio below 50 percent is an indicator that the economy is not producing enough jobs relative to population growth. The decline in the employment-population ratio for the North Central Counties is an indicator that the region’s job growth was not growing as fast as the local labor supply during the time period 2000-2008. Local jobs grew by only 4% while the population age 16+ increased by 16.6%. Prime Working Age: The prime working years are 25-54 years old. More than 37% of the region’s population is in their prime working years. This age group also makes up the largest share of the labor force and is projected to increase by 53% over the next fifteen years as Generation Y comes of age.

Younger Workers: Younger workers between the ages of 16-24 make-up 15.8% of the working age population. This group is projected to increase in size over the next twenty years by 51.8% from 24,926 persons in 2010 to 73,070 persons in 2030. The youth age cohort is appropriate for the NCCC Workforce Development Board's summer youth employment program, youth activities, and related work readiness programs for younger workers.

Older Workers: Older workers between the ages of 55-64 who currently make-up 17.8% of the region’s workforce will decline as a percentage of the working age population over the next twenty years as the baby boom generation retires. Generation X with its significantly smaller size is not sufficient in number to fully replace the older workers of the baby boom generation as they retire. This may present a problem for certain occupations since older workers tend to have significantly lower workforce participation rates than those in their prime working years. To help ensure an adequate supply of experienced workers, employers will need to create options for mature workers to remain in the workforce longer instead of retiring at age 65. However, older workers generally are not able to perform various physical occupations which are required by the region’s agricultural base. Workforce Participation Rates

The workforce participation rate is the percentage of people age 16 and older who are in the workforce. Not everyone who is eligible chooses to work. Workforce participation rates reflect both those in the labor force as well as those who are in school, retired, or choose not to work for various reasons. Males traditionally have a higher workforce participation rate than females with the participation rate for males peaking in their mid-30s at around 97%. The North Central Counties overall workforce participation rate is 57%. The workforce participation rates for males and females are 59.9% and 48.6% respectively. Workforce participation rates begin to slow down as workers reach their late 40’s and early 50’s before dropping off dramatically after the age of 65. Due to the recent recession and the reduction in value of their financial assets, many baby boomers may have to work beyond the traditional retirement age of 65. Many baby boomers in fact expect to work past age 65, at least part-time. Several factors may contribute to this change in attitude including improved health from that of previous generations at age 65, legislation that has eliminated mandatory retirement, changing attitudes about work, and the erosion of personal wealth and retirement savings as a result of the recent recession.

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In total, the various changes in population composition and labor force participation rates have resulted in a workforce that will become increasingly more diverse with a mix of older and younger workers, women, racial and ethnic minorities, and foreign-born workers.

Figure 8: NCCC Region Workforce Participation Rates (2008)

21.2%

15.8%

29.0%

48.2%

66.0%

75.7%

71.6%

85.5%

69.4%

83.7%

76.8%

68.1%

21.8%

Under 5 years

5 to 9 years

10 to 14 years

15 to 19 years

20 to 24 years

25 to 29 years

30 to 34 years

35 to 39 years

40 to 44 years

45 to 49 years

50 to 54 years

55 to 59 years

60 to 64 years

65 to 69 years

70 to 74 years

75 to 79 years

80 to 84 years

85 years & over

23.5%

61.2%

58.7%

67.0%

63.7%

64.2%

60.9%

72.2%

56.6%

38.1%

28.3%

15.7%

2.6%

MalesFemales

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Craft Consulting Group analysis

Overall Workforce Rate 48.6%

Overall Workforce Rate 59.9%

Page 19: Economic Trends & Workforce Opportunities - North Central

NORTH CENTRAL COUNTIES ECONOMIC TRENDS & WORKFORCE OPPORTUNITIES

November 2010 11

Workforce Characteristics Occupational Profile

The occupational make-up of the North Central Counties is relatively similar among the region’s counties despite differences in their economic base. The top ten occupations in terms of the numbers of jobs are clerical (13.1%), management (11.4%), sales (9.0%), transportation (6.5%), food preparation (6.3%), building maintenance (6.3%), construction (6.3%), transportation (4.7%), and farming (4.5%). According to the California Employment Development Department, the fastest growing occupations during the past decade were home health aides, personal and home care aides, counter and rental clerks, bakers, massage therapists, laundry and dry-cleaning workers, maids and housekeeping cleaners, and truck drivers.

Table 4: Occupational Profile by Sub-Region Q1-2010

SOC Code Occupational Title Yuba-Sutter North Coast

North Valley

00-0000 Total all occupations 38,300 95,850 28,080 11-0000 Management Occupations 1,560 4,840 1,140 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations 1,140 2,660 710 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 270 750 90 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 540 850 160 19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 290 1,630 390 21-0000 Community and Social Services Occupations 800 2,860 530 23-0000 Legal Occupations 150 390 100 25-0000 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 4,080 8,440 3,160 27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations 140 870 100 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 2,270 4,610 910 31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations 1,440 2,890 760 33-0000 Protective Service Occupations 920 3,990 890 35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving-Related Occupations 3,560 10,520 2,460 37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations 1,170 4,150 1,020 39-0000 Personal Care and Service Occupations 990 2,880 690 41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations 4,270 10,370 2,540 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 6,440 15,530 3,640 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 1,120 1,640 2,020 47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 1,800 3,890 780 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations 1,640 3,640 1,280 51-0000 Production Occupations 1,440 3,850 1,970 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 2,280 4,590 2,770

Source: California Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information

North Valley (Colusa, Glenn, and Tehama Counties) Geographies include:

North Coast (Del Norte, Humboldt, Lake, and Mendocino Counties) Yuba-Sutter (Sutter and Yuba counties)

Page 20: Economic Trends & Workforce Opportunities - North Central

NORTH CENTRAL COUNTIES ECONOMIC TRENDS & WORKFORCE OPPORTUNITIES

November 2010 12

Figure 9: NCCC Region Occupational Profile, Q1-2010

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NORTH CENTRAL COUNTIES ECONOMIC TRENDS & WORKFORCE OPPORTUNITIES

November 2010 13

Educational Attainment

Approximately 80% of the residents over 18 years of age in the North Central Counties graduated from high school, which is almost identical to the statewide average of 80.3%. However, only 15.6% of the NCCC region’s residents have a bachelor’s degree compared to the statewide average of 29.4% percent. Resident’s who have attended some college but earned no degree are the largest educational group (28.2% of all residents) in the region. This is higher than the rest of the state in which 20.8% completed some college, but earned no degree. There is a wide variation among the counties within the region as to the level of educational attainment. Colusa County has the highest percentage of residents with no high school diploma (33.7%), followed by Glenn County (24.9%) and Yuba County (21.0%). Lake County has the lowest percentage of residents without a high school diploma (15.8%).

Employers are increasingly attracted to rural areas with well-educated and skilled workers due lower costs. A labor force with low educational levels poses challenges for many rural counties seeking economic development and job creation. Rural areas with poorly funded public schools, few community colleges, very low educational attainment, and high levels of economic distress may find it hard to compete in today’s economy. Efforts to reduce high school dropout rates, increase high school graduation rates, enhance student preparation for college, and increase college attendance rates are critical to improving local labor quality.

Figure 10: Educational Attainment of NCCC Residents by Age and Gender

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November 2010 14

Wage & Salary Trends Over the past decade wages have generally trended upward for almost all occupations with some occupations experiencing substantially higher rates of increase. The only exceptions were Colusa, Glenn and Lake Counties where wages for natural resource occupations including farming, fishing and forestry declined from 2000 to 2010. However, in Sutter and Yuba counties wages for farm workers did not decline since they were already the lowest in the region. Management, professional, legal, healthcare, and technical occupations had the highest wage increases. Support functions, food service, retail sales, and agriculture had the smallest wage increases. See Table 29 in the Appendix for a list of the fastest growing occupations and associated wage rates. The average annual wage for full-time, year-around workers was approximately $43,000 with variations by county. The rate of wage growth in the private sector will likely be modest or flat until the state and local economies improve.

Figure 11: Colusa & Glenn County Wage Trends By Occupational Category

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Source: California Employment Development Department Labor Market Information

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Page 23: Economic Trends & Workforce Opportunities - North Central

NORTH CENTRAL COUNTIES ECONOMIC TRENDS & WORKFORCE OPPORTUNITIES

November 2010 15

Figure 12: Lake County Wage Trends By Occupational Category

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Figure 13: Sutter & Yuba County Wage Trends By Occupational Category

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Page 24: Economic Trends & Workforce Opportunities - North Central

NORTH CENTRAL COUNTIES ECONOMIC TRENDS & WORKFORCE OPPORTUNITIES

November 2010 16

Employment Trends Total Employment

The total number of employed residents in the North Central Counties region was 101,830 as of June 2010. Overall employment in the North Central Counties increased by 5.8% during the ten year period between 1999 and 2008, which was less than the statewide job growth of 6.8%. Several sectors, including agriculture and manufacturing, lost jobs during this time period, but the loss was more than offset by job growth in healthcare, wholesale trade, hospitality, and other sectors resulting in an overall net increase in employment. While the region experienced an overall decline in employment as a result of the recent recession (2008-2009), the regional economy has added jobs over the past six months through June 2010. The number of jobs located in the North Central Counties region is significantly less than the number of workers in the labor force reflecting the fact that many residents are either unemployed or they commute to jobs outside the region. Commute patterns from the U.S. Census Bureau shows that approximately 40% of the local workforce commutes to jobs in adjacent or nearby counties. This is significantly higher than the statewide average of 17.2% due to the lack of jobs in the North Central Counties region. Primary job designations for out-commuters include adjacent or nearby counties (55%), Sacramento (13.4%), Butte (10.1%), and Yolo (7.2%). Another 4.2% commute to the Bay Area (San Francisco, Silicon Valley, the East Bay, and Solano County) for jobs. Other job locations include the San Joaquin Valley. Sutter and Yuba counties have the greatest percentage of commuters which is well above both the region and statewide averages. Colusa and Lake Counties have the lowest percentage of commuters.

Table 5: Percentage of Out-Commuters by County, 2006-08

Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba Statewide

Region Worked In

Average

County of Residence 77.1% 71.3% 76.5% 52.2% 46.2% 60.0% 82.8% Outside of County 22.9% 28.7% 23.5% 47.3% 53.4% 40.0% 17.2%

Source: U.S. Census Although many residents commute to jobs outside the region where they reside, local jobs are typically the largest component of total employment. In the North Central Counties region, local employment accounts for 353 jobs per 1,000 residents — 18% less than the national average (416) and 6% less than the state average (374).

Regional unemployment rate consistently exceeds

statewide average

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November 2010 17

Unemployment Rate

As of September 2010, the region’s average unemployment rate was 17.2% compared to the statewide average of 12.2% percent. The region has consistently had a high unemployment rate, in some years almost twice the statewide average. Of the five counties, Yuba County had the highest rate of unemployment, followed by Sutter, Lake, Colusa, and Glenn Counties. Colusa County, which is one of the most agriculturally dependent counties in California, typically has one of the highest unemployment rates in the state. Glenn County which consistently has one of the lowest unemployment rates in the region is still above the statewide average. Overall the region is tied with Trinity County (17.2%) for the third highest level of unemployment in the state after Imperial County (30.4%) and Alpine County (18.5%). Rural counties with large seasonal agriculture and food processing employment typically have higher unemployment rates than non-resource based counties. In recent years the unemployment rate has been rising due to the national recession. The recent recession which began in December 2007 did not end until the Third Quarter of 2009 was the longest economic contraction since the Great Depression. While the national economy has begun to improve, the NCCC regional economy still has unemployment rates significantly higher than the statewide average which is higher than the national average. A major cause of high unemployment in the region is the losses of manufacturing and construction jobs in recent years. The region also has a large number of agriculture-related seasonal jobs that contribute to a higher unemployment rate.

Labor force growth in the NCCC region has been significantly faster than job growth, which also helps to explain the high unemployment rates over the past decade. Between 2001 and 2008 the labor force grew by 8,000 workers while the number of jobs increased by only 2,132 net new jobs.

Table 6: Annual Unemployment Rate Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba State 1990 14.3% 12.5% 8.9% 14.1% 10.7% 5.8%

1991 18.1% 15.8% 10.7% 17.1% 13.9% 7.8%

1992 21.7% 19.1% 12.9% 19.7% 17.4% 9.4% 1993 21.8% 17.4% 13.4% 18.9% 17.6% 9.5%

1994 19.0% 16.1% 12.5% 16.7% 15.9% 8.6% 1995 19.7% 15.6% 11.8% 17.2% 15.0% 7.9%

1996 19.9% 15.3% 11.7% 16.1% 14.2% 7.3% 1997 19.0% 13.5% 10.8% 15.2% 13.3% 6.4%

1998 20.1% 13.4% 9.6% 15.6% 13.6% 6.0% 1999 16.0% 11.3% 7.8% 13.1% 11.7% 5.3%

2000 11.5% 8.4% 7.3% 9.4% 7.9% 4.9% 2001 12.8% 8.8% 7.0% 9.7% 8.5% 5.4%

2002 13.9% 9.6% 8.3% 11.0% 9.8% 6.7% 2003 14.4% 10.3% 9.2% 11.2% 10.7% 6.8%

2004 13.7% 9.4% 9.1% 10.6% 9.7% 6.2% 2005 12.7% 8.5% 8.0% 9.7% 9.1% 5.4%

2006 12.2% 8.0% 7.7% 8.9% 8.8% 4.9% 2007 11.7% 8.8% 8.4% 9.6% 9.2% 5.3%

2008 13.7% 10.4% 10.6% 12.3% 11.8% 7.2% 2009 18.3% 14.6% 8.9% 14.1% 10.7% 11.4% Sep 2010 15.7% 14.7% 17.0% 17.2% 19.0% 12.2%

Source: California Employment Development Department

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November 2010 18

Workforce Forecast Population Growth Scenarios According to California Department of Finance projections, the North Central Counties population is projected to increase by 29% between 2010 and 2020, rising from 304,934 to just over 395,834 in 2020. Given the limited job growth in the region, these projections seem overly optimistic in light of the current economic realities. Assuming a historical growth rate of 1.2% - 1.6% which is consistent with the growth of the past two decades, the region’s population would increase from its current level to between 347,000 and 365,000. The mid-range population growth scenario of 1.6% is based on the region’s 20-year historical average (a time period during which the region experienced wide fluctuations from high net in-migration to net population loss). The 5-year historical average is based on the region’s annual average growth rate (AAGR) which averaged 1.2% over the past five years during the housing boom and bust. Given that the economy is slowly emerging from the recent recession economic conditions most likely will temper the amount of net in-migration and new home construction for the next several years.

The projections assume most of the population growth would occur in the Yuba-Sutter area due to its proximity to the Sacramento job market. Future population growth will depend in part on job opportunities and the availability of affordable housing. A slower rate of population growth means that fewer new jobs will be required.

Figure 14: Projected Population Growth Scenarios, 2010-2020

DoF Projections 395,834

Mid-Range Scenario 364,488

5-Year Average343,567

250,000

270,000

290,000

310,000

330,000

350,000

370,000

390,000

410,000

2,010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

Source: California Department of Finance, Craft Consulting Group analysis

AAGR 1.2%

AAGR 1.6%

AAGR 2.6%

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November 2010 19

The Hispanic population will be one of the main drivers behind the region’s growth, accounting for the majority (56.1%) of the region’s total population growth over the next ten years. The Non-Hispanic white population will decline as a percentage of the region’s total population during this same time period. The Asian population will show modest growth, while the African-American, American Indian, and multi-racial population groups will have minimal growth, but decline as a percentage of the region’s total population. The future workforce will be more diverse as a result of the demographic changes occurring in the region. The makeup of the region’s working age population over the next ten years will change as the Baby Boomers begin to retire, Generation Y (born between 1979 and 2000) enters their prime working age, and net in-migration changes the age, ethnic, and skill make-up of the labor force. A combination of factors, including labor force participation rates and educational attainment, will influence the size and quality of the region’s workforce. The number of out-commuters will likely increase as new residents seeking affordable housing are unable to find jobs within the region. The number of replacement jobs will increase over the next 10-15 years as members of the baby-boom generation reach the end of their working careers. This will require local workforce organizations to establish programs to train a skilled workforce to fill the replacement jobs created by retiring workers. Many of the higher skilled, higher paying replacement jobs are likely to be filled by workers from outside the region who relocate because of the job opportunity, affordable housing, and lower cost of living. Younger workers in the region will need to acquire the education and develop the skill set to successfully compete for these replacement jobs. In-Demand Occupations

Occupational projections by the California Employment Development Department show a 13.8% increase in the number of annual job openings in the North Central Counties region over the next 5-7 years, with approximately 2,727 total jobs consisting of 1,040 new jobs created by economic growth and 1,687 replacement jobs due mainly to retirements and job changes. Workforce demand will vary by county with the greatest number of job openings located in Yuba and Sutter counties. The 50 fastest-growing occupations are concentrated in the retail, hospitality, agriculture, healthcare, and personal services sectors. Occupational group projections are shown in Table 7 below. For specific occupations see Appendix which includes a complete list of job openings by occupation, new and net replacement jobs, median wage levels, and educational & training requirements. Occupations requiring short to moderate on-the-job training make up 70 percent of the top 50 occupations on the list. Higher-skilled occupations, requiring a bachelor’s degree or higher, include General and Operations Managers, Elementary and Secondary School Teachers, Registered Nurses, Accountants and Auditors, and Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers.

Page 28: Economic Trends & Workforce Opportunities - North Central

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November 2010 20

Table 7: Occupational Group Employment Projections Average Annual Job Openings

North Valley * North Coast * Yuba-Sutter *

SOC Code Occupational Title New Jobs

Net Replacements

New Jobs

Net Replacements

New Jobs

Net Replacements

00-0000 Total, All Occupations 218 846 541 2,712 500 1,121

11-0000 Management 15 65 21 149 21 68 13-0000 Business and Financial Operations 10 13 33 52 17 25 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical 2 3 13 20 8 11 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering 2 6 3 24 2 20 19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science 3 11 10 48 3 11 21-0000 Community and Social Services 7 6 14 27 15 16 23-0000 Legal 2 2 1 6 1 3 25-0000 Education, Training, and Library 59 64 108 183 86 86

27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media 1 4 5 29 1 9

29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical 6 22 32 85 59 43

31-0000 Healthcare Support 4 7 17 38 37 18 33-0000 Protective Service 9 23 43 120 13 39

35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related 15 92 32 409 49 107

37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance 15 20 16 94 26 31

39-0000 Personal Care and Service 44 37 88 167 45 43 41-0000 Sales and Related 8 93 79 390 52 157 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support 17 89 3 346 28 156 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry 1 107 12 122 8 86 47-0000 Construction and Extraction 7 21 8 103 0 45 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair 10 26 18 68 11 34 51-0000 Production 0 56 0 104 0 46 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving 0 82 0 131 16 68

Source: California Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information

North Valley (Colusa, Glenn, and Tehama Counties) * Geographies include:

North Coast (Del Norte, Humboldt, Lake, and Mendocino Counties) Yuba-Sutter (Sutter and Yuba counties)

Colusa and Glenn Counties: EDD occupational projections include 218 new job openings annually for the two counties and about 846 job openings from net replacements due to retirements, death and people otherwise leaving the occupation. More than two-thirds (68.8%) of the jobs will be in five occupational categories: Education, Personal Care, Office and Administrative Support, Food Preparation, and Building/Grounds Maintenance. Lake County: An estimated 5,410 new jobs are expected to be created from industry growth and another 27,120 job openings from net replacements due to retirement, job changes, and other factors. The 50 occupations with the most job openings are forecasted to generate about 19,980 total job openings, which is about 61 percent of all job openings in the region. The top three

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November 2010 21

occupations are Cashiers, Retail Salespersons, and Waiters and Waitresses. These occupations typically require short-term on-the-job training. Occupations requiring short to moderate on-the-job training make up 70 percent of the list. Higher skilled occupations requiring an associate degree or higher include Registered Nurses, General Managers, Accountants, and Elementary and Secondary School Teachers. About a third of the fastest growing occupations will require a bachelor’s degree or higher and include occupations such as Pharmacists and Environmental Scientists. Yuba and Sutter Counties: EDD employment projections show 5,000 new job openings from industry growth and 11,200 job openings from net replacements. The top 50 occupations with the most job openings are forecasted to generate about 10,200 total job openings, which is about 63 percent of all job openings in the area. The top three occupations with the most job openings are: Farm Workers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse; Retail Salespersons; and Cashiers. These occupations require short-term on-the-job training. Higher-skilled occupations requiring an associate degree or higher include General and Operations Managers, Teachers, Registered Nurses, and Agricultural Managers. The top fastest-growing occupations include healthcare, education, and food preparation occupations. Occupations range from Medical Assistants and Home Health Aides that require on-the-job training to Elementary Teachers and Middle School Teachers that require a bachelor’s degree.

Figure 15: Top Ten Occupations in the NCCC Region with the Most Job Openings - 2016

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Aides

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Teachers,Except Special

Education

ManagementOccupations

OtherManagementOccupations

BuildingCleaning andPest Control

Workers

TeacherAssistants

OtherEducation,

Training, andLibrary

Occupations

Food andBeverageServingWorkers

Information andRecord Clerks

Num

ber o

f Job

Ope

ning

s

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Figure 16: Top Ten Fastest Growing Occupations in the NCCC Region

680630

600

510

450

320 320

260 240

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800

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Workers

Personal andHome Care

Aides

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RetailSalespersons

Primary,Secondary, &

SpecialEducation

School Teachers

PostsecondaryTeachers

PostsecondaryTeachers, All

Other

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Combined FoodPreparation &

Serving Workers,Including Fast

Food

Num

ber o

f Job

Ope

ning

s

Source: California Employment Development Department LMI

Occupations Experiencing Declining/Stable Employment

The types of jobs and the mix of occupations that are in demand change in response to economic, social, and technological changes. Many of the new jobs created in the future will reflect these changes. According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the root causes for the decline of jobs among the fastest declining occupations are advances in computer technology and competition from abroad. Technological changes will reduce the need for workers in many industry sectors as businesses adopt new technologies. For example, employment in the manufacturing and agriculture sectors will decline as automation replaces lower skilled workers and self-service retailing reduces the need for sales workers. While technology reduces the demand for routine manual skills, non-routine manual skills used in many service jobs such as health aides, security guards, orderlies, cleaners, and food servers are less affected by computerization and automation. Demographic changes with the aging baby boom population will increase the demand for healthcare services. With many of the elderly choosing to stay in their homes, there will be a greater need for home health services. In projecting occupational changes for the North Central Counties, the California Employment Development Department estimates that the greatest decline will be in production, transportation, and farming occupations. Although certain occupations may be experiencing declining or stable employment, there will still be a need for workers to fill replacement jobs.

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Colusa and Glenn Counties: These two counties are more likely to show declining or stable demand for the majority of occupations with approximately 13% of the occupational categories experiencing a decline over the forecast period through 2016 and 37% of the occupational categories showing no growth. Lake County: 18% of the occupational categories showed a decline and 33% no growth. Sutter and Yuba Counties: 13% showed a decline and 30% no growth. Employer Survey Findings To better understand workforce trends in the North Central Counties region, a survey was conducted of local businesses. Information from the survey provides valuable insight about the region’s employers and workforce needs. The Respondents

One Hundred and Seven (107) employers responded to the survey. The respondents were distributed across 11 industry sectors. Of the employers surveyed 25.2% were in the retail sector, 22.4% in Healthcare, 20.6% Hospitality, 15.9% Transportation & Warehousing, 4.7% Business Support, 4.7% Wholesale Trade, 1.9% manufacturing, 1.9% Leisure, 0.9% agriculture, 0.9% educational services, and 0.9% non-profit sector. Companies responding to the survey employ over 5,158 employees and range from single-person small businesses to large firms with over 700 employees. The majority of firms (59.6%) are small businesses with 10-49 employees, 19% are micro-enterprises with less than 10 employees, and 8% are mid-to-large size companies with 100-plus employees. Most of the jobs were full time (60.2%) or part-time (23.4%) with temporary, seasonal, and on-call positions representing less than 1 out of 6 jobs. The number of employees has remained about the same over the past two years for 55% of the companies, 25.5% experienced lay-offs due to the economy, and 19.4% hired additional workers. Although not a scientific sample, the respondents represent a reasonable cross-section of employers in the North Central Counties region and the trends illustrated by the responses can be appropriately extrapolated beyond the individual survey responses. Future Job Hiring

Approximately one-half (48.3%) of the companies surveyed anticipated adding new full-or part-time jobs over the next two years with 145 full time and 60 part time jobs projected. 94% of the employers predict that the number of workers will remain the same or increase and only 6% anticipate a reduction of staff due to the economy or technology with a potential loss of less than 20 jobs. Employers report difficulty in finding qualified workers for healthcare positions, cooks, and truck drivers. Skills

Employers report varying levels of difficulty in finding qualified workers with the basic skills, workplace skills, and job skills they desire. It is harder to find employees with adequate math and computer skills. Employees with desired workplace skills are harder to find in general.

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Figure 16a: Level of Difficulty in Finding Employees With Basic Skills

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Reading Writing Math Computer

Extremely DifficultVery DifficultSomewhat DifficultNot At All Difficult

Source: Employer Survey of Businesses in NCCC Region

Figure 16b: Level of Difficulty in Finding Employees with Workplace Skills

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%

Teamwork Problemsolving/critical

thinking

Communication Strong work ethic Ability to adapt tochange

Extremely DifficultVery DifficultSomewhat DifficultNot At All Difficult

Source: Employer Survey of Businesses in NCCC Region

Only about 13% of the employers listed job specific skill deficiencies that could be addressed by a new training program. Most employers cited computer training and problem solving as being the most common deficiencies. Less than half (45%) of the employers were interested in a skills certification program. More than 2/3 of the employers were aware of the services available through the North Central Counties Consortium one-stop career centers. About one-third of the employers were interested in NCCC assistance in finding qualified employees, on-the-job training programs, or internship programs.

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Figure 16: Green Business Practices Used by Local Firms

16.1%

85.5%

53.2%

91.9%

4.8%

35.5%

64.5%

82.3%

71.0%

79.0%

12.9%

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

Green Construction

Energy Conservation

Alternative Energy

Recycling

Carbon Footprint Calculation

Energy Auditing

Pollution Prevention

Environmentally-Friendly Purchasing

Use Low Toxic Cleaning Supplies

Water Conservation

Alternative Fuel/Hybrid Electric Vehicles

Percentage of Firms Using Green Business Practice

Source: Employer Survey of Businesses in NCCC Region

Green Business Practices

When asked whether they employed green or sustainable business practices, 87% of the companies responding to the survey indicated that they used one or more green business practices. The most common green business practices were firms that used recycling (91.9%), energy conservation (85.6%), environmentally friendly purchasing (82.9%), water conservation (79.9%), or low toxic cleaning supplies (71.9%) as part of their normal business operations. Many of these green business practices also reduce operating costs and help attract and retain a quality workforce.

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North Central Counties Economy Economic Base Economic Profile

The North Central Counties regional economy produces a variety of goods and services, but is predominately an agricultural and service-based economy. Agriculture is responsible for the largest share of private sector jobs with 17.5% of all non-governmental jobs. Other major employment sectors include the retail, healthcare, hospitality, and manufacturing sectors. These four sectors account for 35% of the region’s total jobs. Government services, the largest employment sector, makes-up 26.6% of the region’s employment base. Combined, these six industry sectors generate almost 80% of the region’s total wage and salary employment.

Despite similarities, the economic base of the sub-regional economies varies from county-to-county. Colusa and Glenn counties are more rural in character with farming as the dominant industry. Lake County has a mix of services with retail and healthcare being the largest non-governmental employment sectors. Sutter and Yuba counties are part of the greater Sacramento area economic sphere with larger towns and a broader mix of industries. Agriculture, wholesale trade, and healthcare make-up the largest non-governmental sectors of Sutter County’s economy while government and healthcare account for over half of Yuba County’s total employment.

Figure 17: North Central Counties Economic Base

0

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16,000

18,000

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port &

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ocial

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ce

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reatio

n

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d Serv

ices

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ervice

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ment

Num

ber

of Jo

bs

1999 2008

Source: California Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information

Regional economy is based largely on

agriculture and local

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During the ten-year period between 1999 and 2008 regional employment growth increased by almost 4,000 new jobs with healthcare and government employment showing the greatest increase. Offsetting these job gains were large declines in manufacturing and agriculture employment. Further job losses, especially in construction, wholesale trade, and transportation, occurred during the period 2008-2009 as a result of the recession. Government Sector

The public sector, which includes federal, state, and local governments, is the largest industry sector in the North Central Counties region. According to the California Employment Development Department, public sector employment at all levels (not including military personnel) totaled 19,820 employees in 2009. Government employment accounts for almost 27% of total employment in the region, or about 69 jobs per 1,000 residents. The size of the region’s public sector is due in part to civilian employment at Beale Air Force Base and the many special districts including resource conservation, water, irrigation, and reclamation districts located throughout the North Central Counties.

Local government is the primary source of public sector employment. General purpose governments along with local public school districts account for 83.7% of public sector employment in the region. General purpose local governments include five counties (Colusa, Glenn, Lake, Sutter, and Yuba) and ten incorporated cities (Colusa, Williams, Orland, Willows, Yuba City, Clear Lake, Lakeport, Marysville, and Wheatland). Special Districts along with federal and state government employment make up the balance. Government jobs tend to be less sensitive to the business cycle than other sectors and therefore provide a relatively stable source of employment. Agriculture Sector

Agriculture is the second largest industry sector in the North Central Counties region. Agriculture-related employment includes workers hired directly by farms, workers brought to farms by labor contractors and farm management companies, and workers in agriculture support activities. The number of agriculture workers peaked at 13,152 in 1997. Having grown by 12.3% between 1990 and 1997, agriculture employment in the region has since declined by 26.3% to 9,693 over the past eleven years, reflecting the conversion of farm land to housing and urban uses and increased mechanization in farming operations. The North Central Counties is one of the leading agriculture regions in the State with a high concentration of farm employment. Agriculture employment makes up a significantly greater share of the region’s economic base than it does at the national or state level with an employment concentration 17 times the national and 3 times the statewide averages. While the magnitude of the agriculture sector’s employment ratio may be due, in part, to the smaller size of the regional economy, it is clear that the agriculture sector is a leading component of the regional economy and generates gross revenues in excess of $1.8 billion with most of the agricultural output destined for markets outside the region. Income generated from farming operations in turn has a multiplier effect on employment in other industry sectors of the regional economy due to the agriculture sector’s expenditures on local goods and services.

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Table 8: Regional Employment by Industry Sector

Employment Concentration

Relative to

Nation State NAICS Code Industry Sector 2009

Establishments Location

Employment Location

Quotient 2008

Quotient % Change

Employment 2008-2009

11 Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 68 9,693 16.78 2.87 9,849 -1.6% 21 Mining, quarrying, and oil & gas extraction 20 389 1.20 0.33 392 -0.8% 22 Utilities 27 769 2.71 0.93 713 7.9% 23 Construction 639 2,420 0.80 0.91 3,031 -20.2%

31-33 Manufacturing 205 3,398 0.57 0.95 3,599 -5.6% 42 Wholesale trade 179 2,178 0.77 1.02 5,739 -62.0%

44-45 Retail trade 759 8,539 1.16 0.91 5,070 68.4% 48-49 Transportation & warehousing 196 1,472 0.73 0.88 2,048 -28.1%

51 Information 47 651 0.46 1.37 644 1.1% 52 Finance and insurance 283 1,175 0.41 0.84 1,158 1.5% 53 Real estate and rental & leasing 238 946 0.95 1.13 964 -1.9% 54 Professional and technical services 324 1,316 0.35 1.19 1,549 -15.0% 55 Management of companies & enterprises 9 311 0.33 0.93 287 8.4% 56 Administrative and waste services 198 2,035 0.56 1.03 2,043 -0.4% 61 Educational services 37 326 0.27 1.01 343 -5.0% 62 Health care and social assistance 575 8,426 1.05 0.79 8,536 -1.3% 71 Arts, entertainment, & recreation 77 559 0.58 1.11 625 -10.6% 72 Accommodation & food services 458 5,573 0.99 0.99 5,719 -2.6% 81 Other services 397 3,764 1.72 1.49 3,603 4.5% 92 Public Administration N/A 19,820 N/A N/A 20.340 -2.6% 99 Unclassified 12 114 1.24 3.13 206

TOTAL ECONOMY 4,748 73,874 76,458 -3.4%

Source: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, California Employment Development Department LMI, U.S. Census Bureau

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The demand for organic foods has grown about 20% annually for the past decade. According to the US Department of Agriculture

Organic Production

1, the demand for organically produced food continues to exceed supply. Once available only in natural product stores, organic foods are now found in mainstream stores like Wal-Mart, Target, and Costco. Organic food sales have increased more than five-fold since the late 1990s, while organic production has slightly more than doubled in that time. Organic sales in California are growing at double-digit rates without an increase in the number of growers and a slower growth rate in acreage under production.2

Organic food accounted for three percent of total U.S. food sales in 2008. Organic produce and dairy products were the most popular items, accounting for over half of total organic sales. Organic grain also remains in particularly high demand, representing a major bottleneck for use as feed in the organic livestock sector. To meet the growing demand, acreage devoted to organic agricultural production doubled between 1997 and 2005. Still, only 0.5 percent of U.S. pastureland and 0.5 percent of U.S. cropland are certified organic.

In the North Central Counties region 3.1% of the farms are organic; however, the number of acres certified organic is less than 1% of the total acres in production. According to the 2007 Census of Agriculture, national organic production is poised to grow over the next five years, with more than 78 percent of certified producers indicating that they plan to maintain or increase organic production levels. Given the growing demand for organic food products, this represents an opportunity for agriculture employment as local farmers diversify their operations. The slow rate of organic adoption has been attributed to multiple factors, including the need for skilled labor. Some growers have dropped their certification due to paperwork, costs, and other factors, but still grow organically. However, unless they are certified, growers cannot market their products as organic.

Table 9: Organic Farms in NCCC Region

Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba # Farms 814 1,242 845 1,263 828

# Organic Farms 23 25 56 35 14

# Acres in Farms 474,092 489,186 124,199 359,802 160,898

# Acres in Organic Farms 2,822 2,283 1,333 6,690 1,045

% Total Acres in Organic 0.6% 0.5% 1.1% 1.9% 0.7%

Source: County Agricultural Commissioners 2009 Annual Crop Report, 2007 Census of Agriculture

Access to sufficient labor is crucial for the success of most farm operations, but it is especially true for organic agriculture which is generally more labor intensive than conventional agriculture. According to a June 2008 report on Farm Labor Conditions on Organic Farms in California by the California Institute for Rural Studies, the lack of access to sufficient labor is a major problem for organic agriculture. A survey conducted as part of the study found that “32% of all respondents reported they did not have access to sufficient labor at some point during 2006. Large farms (40%) were somewhat more likely to report labor shortages than small farms (29%).”

1 US Department of Agriculture, Greene, Catherine, et al., “Emerging Issues in the U.S. Organic Industry”, June 2009 2 Karen Klonsky, UC Davis, Department of Agricultural and Resource Economics, “California’s Organic Agriculture: Size

and Growth”

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Non-Farm Private Sector

Non-farm private-sector jobs make-up the largest numbers of jobs in the region (44,361 jobs), which is more than 60% of all employment in 2009. However, local wage and salary employment is significantly below both the national (318) and statewide (299) averages with 155 jobs per 1,000 residents. The lower rate of jobs per 1,000 residents is due in part to a combination of factors including higher youth population (under 18), the regional economy being agriculture-based with a large number of seasonal or temporary jobs, and a higher level of self-employment than the national and statewide averages. The top five wage and salary employment sectors include retail, healthcare, hospitality, other services, and manufacturing. Other services include a wide range of services under four major subsectors: repair and maintenance, personal and laundry, non-profit organizations, and private households. Many service sector occupations have low barriers to entry requiring short-term vocational or on-the-job training. Personal care and maintenance occupations including hair dresser, home care aide, child care, animal care, gardener, and housecleaning provide employment opportunities for workers with less formal training and education and/or lack of English language skills. Repair and maintenance occupations are often linked to other industries. For example, automotive repair, which accounts for 83% of repair services employment, has a high concentration of employment due in part to the agriculture and trucking industries. Two sectors, Other Services and Retail, have a larger share of total employment than their national counterparts, with two sectors at parity (healthcare and hospitality), and one sector, manufacturing, well below the national average (see Table 8 for location quotients which show level of employment concentration). Economic Base Drivers & Job Growth The economic base of a region can be divided into businesses that produce goods and services primarily for sale to consumers outside the region and firms that produce goods and services that are sold and consumed locally. It is the production of goods and services for export to external markets that are the primary drivers of regional economies. The production and sale of goods and services for local consumption is more a consequence of the region’s population growth and overall economic development rather than a driver of the regional economy. Industries which sell their goods or services to non-residents – regardless of whether the purchase and consumption is made in the county or outside of it – are referred to as basic

or exporting industries. An industry that sells its products and services to non-resident businesses, consumers and tourists brings “outside money” into the local economy. Basic industries traditionally include the manufacturing, mining and agricultural sectors which have a high percentage of sales to customers outside the region.

Industries which primarily serve the resident population are referred to as non-basic or local-serving industries. Non-basic sectors traditionally include retail trade, utilities, construction, healthcare, and other services since they sell primarily to local businesses and residents. Service such as hairdressers, drycleaners, auto repair shops, and landscape maintenance, are categorized as non-basic because they depend almost entirely on local

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market sales. Service sectors, such as retail stores and restaurants, are traditionally classified as local-serving, but often capture a portion of their sales from visitors and tourists. While economic growth is a function of numerous factors, the number of jobs in a local economy depends on the mix of local-serving and export-oriented industries. Local-serving industries are highly dependent upon local population and income growth. In contrast, basic industries serving external markets do not have the same constraints. Consequently, basic industries are able to grow larger than local-serving industries due to the significantly larger markets they serve. The economic prospects of a region ultimately rest upon the strength of its basic industries and the competitiveness of individual firms. Location Quotient

Location quotients (LQ) are an important technique for identifying basic industries within a region. A location quotient measures the relative concentration or specialization of an industry sector or cluster within a region compared to the same industries in the national or state economies with the national comparison being the most common. A coefficient of 1.0 indicates that the percentage of workers employed in a specific industry within a region has the same percentage employed nationally for that industry. Industries with location quotients greater than 1.0 tend to be basic industries. An industry with a location quotient appreciably larger than the national average usually indicates that the local industry is probably producing the goods or services primarily for export rather than local consumption. Location quotients are also used to identify industries where a comparative advantage exists. A high concentration of employment in an industry relative to the national level means that the region is “specialized” in that particular industry. In determining whether an industry is truly concentrated in a region and if that industry represents a strategic advantage, additional information is needed to determine whether the region has the critical mass of firms and employees to provide a stable or growing base for the future. However, just knowing the number of firms and total number of employees is not sufficient, it is also important to understand how the average size of the local firms compares to the US average. Regional firms that are much smaller than their national counterparts may indicate that the local industry is less competitive and although important to the local economy, the industry may not be a significant job generator in the future. For smaller economies, a LQ of 1.2 to 1.5 may be more appropriate to avoid any distortion associated with the impact of a single large firm on an industry. Location quotients for the North Central Counties show several industry sectors with employment concentrations greater than 1.0, including mining, utilities, retail, healthcare, and other services. A location quotient greater than 1.0 does not necessarily indicate high employment levels or that the industry will continue to grow. It only means that the industry is relatively more concentrated at the local level than at the national or state level. Future employment growth will depend on other factors such as the business cycle, population growth, external markets, etc. While the mining and utilities sectors may be more concentrated in the regional economy, both sectors are relatively small and generate comparatively little employment.

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Major Industry Sector Employment Trends The largest private, non-farm industry sectors within the North Central Countries region are retail trade, healthcare and social assistance, hospitality, and manufacturing. These four sectors account for 35% of the region’s total jobs. Except for manufacturing, each of these sectors showed net job growth between 1999 and 2008. Two sectors (retail and healthcare) show employment concentrations above the national average. The retail sector continued to expand even during the recession of 2008 - 2009. Retail Sector Retail Trade is the largest private, non-farm industry sector within the North Central Countries region. The retail trade sector includes traditional downtown shopping districts, local and community shopping centers, big box retail, and specialty stores. Retail employment is above the national and statewide averages for building materials, food and beverage, clothing, and non-store retailers. According to the California Retail Survey3

, the North Central Counties region is average in terms of sales growth, but below the statewide average for relative strength. The latter measures the long-term retail sales growth trend in a local market compared to the statewide trend and growth persistence which measures the ability of a local market to consistently out-perform the overall market each year. Rising incomes and a growing population will lead to an increase in the number of stores and retail employment. Retail jobs will also increase as tourism in the region increases.

Table 10: Retail Trade Employment - 2009

Number of Jobs by County - 2009 Region Total NAICS Code Industry Description Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba 2009 1999 %

Change

44-45 Retail Sector: Total 488 592 1,978 4,189 1,292 8,539 8,527 10.0%

441 Motor vehicle and parts dealers 121 105 217 552 129 1,124 1,239 -9.3% 442 Furniture and home furnishings stores NC ND 36 111 ND 147 240 38.8% 443 Electronics and appliance stores ND ND 20 82 20 122 56 117.9% 444 Building material and garden supply stores 63 50 241 474 115 943 873 8.0% 445 Food and beverage stores 135 147 660 643 211 1,796 2,140 -16.1% 446 Health and personal care stores 54 55 138 234 109 590 431 36.9% 447 Gasoline stations 76 61 140 100 87 464 569 -18.5% 448 Clothing and clothing accessories stores NC ND 11 259 14 284 221 28.5% 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book and music stores ND NC 6 172 55 233 223 4.5% 452 General merchandise stores ND ND 448 1,310 ND 1,758 1,015 73.2% 453 Miscellaneous store retailers 6 20 27 230 66 349 383 -8.9% 454 Non-store retailers ND NC 35 23 ND 58 131 -55.7%

ND: No Data NC: Not Calculable, the data does not exist or it is zero

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

3 The Eureka Group, “California Retail Survey”, 2007 Edition

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Healthcare Sector

The healthcare sector is the second largest private, non-farm industry sector in the North Central Counties region. The healthcare sector includes hospitals, offices of health care practitioners, skilled nursing and residential care facilities, and social assistance. The number of healthcare jobs in the region per 10,000 residents is slightly above the national average, but below the statewide average. Colusa Regional Medical Center (CRMC) is one of the largest providers of healthcare services in the region. CRMC operates a county-wide health system consisting of a 48-bed acute care hospital and skilled nursing facility, a Home Health Agency, and rural health clinics located in the communities of Arbuckle, Colusa, Stonyford and Williams. CRMC offers a wide range of services including childbirth services, adult medical and surgical care, emergency medicine, long-term skilled nursing care, laboratory services, imaging and radiographic services, physical rehabilitation, home health and palliative care, outpatient clinic services, and other specialized programs. The Fremont-Rideout Health Group operates three acute care hospitals, several skilled nursing facilities, health clinics, home care services, and other medical centers in the Yuba City-Marysville area.

Table 11: Healthcare Sector Employment - 2009

Number of Jobs by County - 2009 NAICS

Code Industry Description Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba Region 62 Health care and social assistance ND ND 2,097 3,521 ND 5,618

621 Ambulatory health care services 84 320 552 1,690 407 3,053 6211 Offices of physicians 54 213 155 932 144 1,498 6212 Offices of dentists 27 79 114 349 16 585 6213 Offices of other health practitioners ND 14 69 178 20 281 6214 Outpatient care centers NC NC 137 84 175 396 6215 Medical and diagnostic laboratories ND ND ND ND ND 6216 Home health care services NC NC 58 NC ND 58 6219 Other ambulatory health care services NC ND ND ND ND 622 Hospitals ND NC ND ND ND

6221 General medical and surgical hospitals ND NC ND ND ND 6222 Psychiatric and substance abuse hospitals NC NC NC NC NC 6223 Other hospitals NC NC NC NC NC 623 Nursing and residential care facilities ND 97 ND 805 200 1,102

6231 Nursing care facilities ND ND 271 542 ND 813 6232 Residential mental health facilities NC NC ND 158 ND 158 6233 Community care facilities for the elderly ND NC 23 ND 62 85 6239 Other residential care facilities NC ND NC ND ND 624 Social assistance 41 ND 489 ND 220 750

6241 Individual and family services ND ND 248 220 ND 468 6242 Emergency and other relief services NC NC ND ND NC 6243 Vocational rehabilitation services NC NC ND ND ND 6244 Child day care services ND 16 84 153 ND 253

ND: No Data NC: Not Calculable, the data does not exist or it is zero Source: California Employment Development Department, County Business Patterns

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Hospitality Sector and Tourism

The hospitality sector, the third largest non-governmental employment sector in the region, includes establishments providing lodging and food service for immediate consumption. The hospitality sector serves local residents, businesses, visitors, travelers, and tourists.

Table 12: Hospitality Sector Employment - 2009

Number of Jobs by County - 2009 Region Total NAICS

Code Industry Sector Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba 2009 1999 %

Change 72 Accommodation and food services 592 612 1,203 2,238 928 5,573 5,680 -1.9%

721 Accommodation 65 128 392 162 127 874 1,635 -46.5% 7211 Traveler accommodation 65 128 376 162 39 770 736 4.6% 7212 RV parks and recreational camps NC NC 16 NC 88 104 NA 7213 Rooming and boarding houses NC NC NC NC NC 0 NA 722 Food services and drinking places 527 484 810 2,076 802 4,699 4,045 16.2%

7221 Full-service restaurants 255 168 316 833 196 1,768 1,703 3.8% 7222 Limited-service eating places 250 291 456 1,212 564 2,773 2,116 31.0% 7223 Special food services ND ND 12 ND ND 12 NA 7224 Drinking places, alcoholic beverages ND ND 28 ND ND 28 NA

ND: No Data NC: Not Calculable, the data does not exist or it is zero

Source: California Employment Development Department

Tourism is travel for recreational, leisure or business purposes. Rural tourism is becoming increasingly important to the California economy. Outdoor recreation, agriculture-tourism, nature/environmental tourism, and cultural and historical tourism present opportunities to attract visitors and tourists who spend money on local entertainment, recreational activities, restaurants, motels, shopping, and fuel for their vehicles and recreational equipment.

Tourism

The tourism industry is not defined separately in the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS) as either a sector or an industry. Tourism as an economic activity can be found in a number of different industry sectors such as accommodation, food and beverage, recreation and entertainment, transportation, and travel services. The North Central Counties region offers outstanding outdoor recreation including camping, fishing, hunting, boating, and hiking, wineries, and farm tours that attract visitors and tourists to the region. Industries that generate revenue from tourists include the arts, entertainment, recreation, marinas, accommodation and food services, hotels and motels, limited-service restaurants, food service contractors, and gasoline stations with convenience stores. The leisure and hospitality sectors in the region are predominately basic industries because they mainly serve visitors and tourists who bring outside dollars into the region. Agricultural tourism offers farm operators ways to generate supplemental income and also create employment opportunities. Agri-tourism includes farm stands or shops, U-pick sites,

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farm stays, tours, on-farm classes, fairs, festivals, pumpkin patches, Christmas tree farms, winery weddings, orchard dinners, youth camps, barn dances, hunting, fishing, guest ranches, and more. CalAgTour.org is a statewide directory that lists agri-tourism operations by county and can be found online at: http://www.calagtour.org/ Preliminary results from the 2009 statewide economic survey of California’s agri-tourism operators show that agri-tourism can be a profitable supplement to a farm or ranch business. Most agri-tourism operators who responded to the survey reported that their agri-tourism businesses generated some profit. A majority said they are planning to expand or diversify their agri-tourism offerings over the next five years. 4 http://sfp.ucdavis.edu/agritourism/

Figure 13: Travel Impacts by County - 2008

Tax Receipts Travel Spending Earnings Employment Local State Total ($Million) ($Million) (jobs) ($Million) ($Million) ($Million) Colusa 44.9 9.5 540 0.5 1.8 2.3 Glenn 49.8 16.1 790 0.7 2.1 2.7 Lake 164.2 55 2,770 2.3 6 8.3 Sutter 76.7 22.7 1,190 0.9 3.2 4.2 Yuba 84.3 20.6 1,060 1 3.6 4.6

Region 419.9 123.9 6350 5.4 16.7 22.1

Source: Dean Runyan Associates, “California Travel Impacts by County, 1992-2008, 2009 Preliminary State & Regional Estimates”, April 2010

Table 14: Travel-Generated Employment and Earnings by County, 2008

Employment Earnings ($Millions) County Total Travel Percent Total Travel Percent Colusa 10,780 540 5.0% $ 507 9.5 1.9% Glenn 12,530 790 6.3% $ 487 16.1 3.3% Lake 23,880 2,770 11.6% $ 849 55 6.5% Sutter 44,200 1,190 2.7% $ 1,634 22.7 1.4% Yuba 26,820 1,060 4.0% $ 1,363 20.6 1.5% Region 118,210 6,350 5.4% $ 4,841 124 2.6% California 21,063,340 927,940 4.4% $ 1,204,900 31,041 2.6%

Source: Dean Runyan Associates, “California Travel Impacts by County, 1992-2008, 2009 Preliminary State & Regional Estimates”, April 2010

4 “First statewide agri-tourism survey yields early result”, Small Farm News, Volume 2, 2009, P.1. Found online at http://sfp.ucdavis.edu/pubs/sfnews/200902news.pdf

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Manufacturing Sector

Manufacturing is one of the top five non-governmental employment sectors in the North Central Counties region. The manufacturing sector is divided into numerous subsectors and includes the production of durable goods (NAICS 33), non-durable goods (NAICS 31), and natural resource goods (NAICS 32). Durable goods typically last for more than three years and include primary metal, fabricated metal, machinery, computer and electronic equipment, electrical equipment, appliances, transportation equipment, furniture, medical equipment and supplies, jewelry, toys, musical instruments, and other miscellaneous products. Non-Durable goods typically last less than a year and include food products, beverages, tobacco products, textiles, apparel, and leather products. Natural Resource goods include wood products, paper, printing, petroleum and coal products, chemicals, plastic and rubber products, and nonmetallic mineral products. Non-durable goods are the largest manufacturing sub-sector. Food processing is the leading component of this sub-sector and also the largest industry within the manufacturing sector. In 1999, there were 51 companies in food processing and 13 in beverage manufacturing. Between 1999 and 2008 the number of food processing firms declined by 13.7%, while the number of beverage manufacturers increased by 15.4%. Total employment in food processing declined 42.6% during the same time period from 2,555 to 1,466 workers, in part due to plant closings and the recent recession. The North Central Counties region includes a number of fruit and tomato processing facilities, rice milling operations, and wineries. The Sunsweet facility in Yuba County is one of the largest dried fruit processing plants in the world. Premier Mushrooms is one of Colusa County’s fastest growing agriculture-related industries. With its proximity to large market centers, transportation access, abundant quantities of raw agricultural commodities, low energy costs, and available water supplies the North Central Counties region has many of the key site location requirements necessary for attracting more food processing facilities to the region. A qualified workforce and low labor costs are also factors in attracting food processing operations. Online Job search for food and beverage manufacturing jobs can be found at: http://www.careersinfood.com/. A representative list of food processors currently located in the region is listed below in Table 17.

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Table 15: Manufacturing Sector Employment - 2009

Number of Jobs by County - 2009 Region

NAICS Code Industry Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba 2009 1999 %

Change

Total Manufacturing Sector 644 521 266 1,426 541 3,398 5,422 -37.3% Non-Durable Goods (NAICS 31) 584 161 160 704 52 1661

311 Food manufacturing 584 161 ND ND 36 781 1,781 -56.2%

312 Beverage & tobacco product manufacturing ND NC 139 ND ND

313 Textile mills NC NC NC NC NC

314 Textile product mills NC NC NC NC NC

315 Apparel manufacturing NC NC NC ND ND

316 Leather & allied product manufacturing NC NC NC NC NC Natural Resource Goods (NAICS 32) 54 288 80 286 256 964

321 Wood product manufacturing ND ND ND 150 106 256

322 Paper manufacturing NC NC NC NC NC

323 Printing & related support activities ND ND 7 20 ND 27

324 Petroleum & coal products manufacturing NC NC NC NC NC

325 Chemical manufacturing ND NC ND NC ND

326 Plastics & rubber products manufacturing ND NC ND ND NC

327 Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing ND 270 27 31 84 412 Durable Goods (NAICS 33) 6 72 26 436 233 773

331 Primary metal manufacturing NC NC ND NC NC

332 Fabricated metal product manufacturing ND NC 13 98 92 203

333 Machinery manufacturing ND 50 ND 200 ND 250

334 Computer & electronic product manufacturing NC NC ND NC ND

335 Electrical equipment & appliance mfg. ND NC NC ND NC

336 Transportation equipment manufacturing ND NC ND ND 43 43

337 Furniture & related product manufacturing NC ND 13 ND ND 13

339 Miscellaneous manufacturing ND ND NC 20 ND 20

ND: No Data NC: Not Calculable, the data does not exist or it is zero

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics

Table 16: Food Processing Employment

Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba Region

2002 2008 2002 2008 2002 2008 2002 2008 2002 2008 2002 2008 311 Food Processing # Firms 17 13 8 11 2 2 16 13 10 7 53 46 # Jobs 379 718 247 252 11 20 965 999 431 71 2,033 2,060 LQ 7.09 5.03 2.23 1.88 3.28 2.06 0.30 312 Beverage Mfg # Firms - - 4 11 1 1 1 1 6 13 # Jobs - - 20 121 10 19 20 19 50 159 LQ - - 8.38 8.36 4.42 Total # Firms 17 13 8 11 6 13 17 14 11 8 59 59 # Jobs 379 718 247 252 31 141 975 1,018 451 90 2,083 2,219

Source: County Business Patterns, Bureau of Labor Statistics

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Table 17: Representative List of Agricultural Processing Operations in NCCC Region

Company County Type of Facility Jobs

Premier Mushrooms Colusa Mushroom growing & processing 100

Hanover Foods Corporation Colusa Tomato Paste (conventional & organic)

Indian Harvest Specialtifoods Colusa Wild Rice and specialty grain rice blending, milling, processing, packaging and par boiling

Colusa Rice Company Colusa Rice drying and storage

Sakata Seed America Colusa Vegetable seed, breeding, cleaning and drying

Colusa Milling Company Colusa Dry Bean and seed milling

Shoei Foods USA Yuba Wholesale, exporters 100

Naumes, Inc Yuba Fruit Packing 50 (1,200 Seasonal)

Chase National Fruit Packaging Yuba Kiwi Growing and Packaging 20 – 500 (Seasonal)

Sunsweet Growers Sutter Fruit Processing and Beverage Bottling 450

Superior Plant Technology Sutter Strawberry Growing and Processing 250(Seasonal)

Excel Specialty Products Yuba Meat Packing/Processing 240

California Fruit Packing Sutter Fruit Processing 75 – 200 (Seasonal)

Valley View Packing Co Sutter Fruit Processing 35 to 150 (Seasonal)

Sacramento Packing Sutter Fruit Processing 7-120 (Seasonal)

Colusa County Canning Co Colusa Tomato products including organic 35

Brassfield Estate Winery Lake Winery

Cougar's Leap Winery Lake Winery

Moore Family Winery Lake Winery

Mt. Konocti Growers Winery Lake Winery

Noggle Vineyards & Winery Lake Winery

Shannon Ridge Winery Lake Winery

American Rice Inc Maxwell Rice milling 140

California PCF Rice Milling Ltd Arbuckle Rice milling 102

Morning Star Packing Co LP Williams Tomato products, packaging 50

Williams Rice Milling Co Williams Rice milling 30

Riverbend Rice Mill Inc Colusa Rice milling 18

Adams Specialty Oils Arbuckle Vegetable oils 15

Oilseeds International Ltd Grimes Edible fats and oils 13

PGP International Colusa Rice Milling Facility

Source: InfoGroup, Local Government websites,

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Industry Specialization & Concentration Regional economies can be more concentrated or more diversified with respect to the number and type of industries. A diversified economy has numerous industry sectors with employment spread across all sectors and not highly dependent upon a single sector. Concentrated economies have relatively few industry sectors with the majority of employment located in a small number of sectors. Concentrated economies are subject to structural unemployment when economies and markets change. If a region’s economic base is distributed across several different industry sectors, the local economy is less vulnerable to cyclical swings in business activities or decline due to industries maturing and/or products becoming obsolete. A diversified local economy tends to be less volatile and more stable since no one industry dominates the economy. Regional economies with well developed industry clusters (such as the Napa Wine Industry Cluster) are also more resilient despite being less diversified. The North Central Counties economy is highly concentrated in a relatively few industry sub-sectors (as defined by 3-digit NAICS code) with more than 60% of the region’s total private employment concentrated in the top 25% of the region’s 64 industry sub-sectors. More than 37% of the industry sub-sectors in the top quartile and 62% in the second quartile had stable or declining employment during the past decade. Only 15 industry sub-sectors experienced employment growth between 2001 and 2009 including food service and drinking establishments, agriculture support, animal production, non-metallic mineral production, general merchandise stores, building material and garden supply stores, banks, social assistance, health and personal care stores, utilities, merchant wholesalers, gambling and recreation, medical offices, business management, and professional services. Workforce development strategies should focus on the leading industry sub-sectors that are growing.

Figure 18: Employment Concentrated in Relatively Few Industry Sub-Sectors

60.3%

15.8%

6.4%

1.8%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

1st Quartile 2nd Quartile 3rd Quartile 4th QuartileIndustry Sub-Sectors Ranked by Size into Quartiles

Perc

enta

ge o

f Tot

al E

mpl

oym

ent

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Craft Consulting Group analysis

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Major Employers The largest local employers are in healthcare, education, manufacturing, entertainment, and government. In 2008, there were eleven companies with 500-plus employees. Another 19 companies employed between 250 and 500 workers. The six largest local employers are Great Beginnings, Cardiac Rehabilitation Center, Fremont Medical Center, Marysville School District, Rideout Memorial Hospital, and Beale Air Force Base, all located in the Yuba-Sutter area. Sunsweet Growers, headquartered in Yuba City, is a grower-owned marketing cooperative representing more than 300 grower-members with orchard holdings primarily in California's Sacramento and San Joaquin valleys. The largest employer in Colusa County is the Colusa Casino Resort. Beale Air Force Base is the largest employer in the NCCC region with 3,400 military personnel and 1,300 civilians. Air Force officials estimate that Beale Air Force Base’s economic impact exceeds $500 million annually with an employment base forecasted to exceed 5,000 in the near future due to the arrival of the new Global Hawk aircraft mission. Beale has managed to avoid the closure of military bases that Congress conducted in the late 80’s and early 90’s. Local leaders worked hard to attract this new mission to Beale.

Table 18 on the following page shows the largest employers in the North Central Counties with two hundred-fifty plus employees. For rural counties, such as Colusa and Glenn, companies with 100-249 employees can be considered major employers. This category includes a total of 62 companies for all five counties.

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Table 18: Major Employers in the NCCC Region

Employer Location Industry Sector NAICS code

250 - 499 Employees

JOHNS MANVILLE Glenn Manufacturing 327993

MARIANI DRYERS Lake Agriculture 115114

CALPINE CORP Lake Utility 221122

ADOBE CREEK PACKING CO INC Lake Wholesale 424480

ST HELENA HOSPITAL CLEARLAKE Lake Healthcare 622110

ROBINSON RANCHERIA RESORT Lake Entertainment 713290

RANCHERIA GRILLE Lake Hospitality 722110

SUNSET MOULDING CO Sutter Manufacturing 321911

SYSCO SACRAMENTO INC Sutter Wholesale 424420

HOME DEPOT Sutter Retail 444110

WALMART SUPERCENTER Sutter Retail 452111

LANDSTAR RANGER INC Sutter Transportation 484230

SIERRA KIWI INC Yuba Wholesale – Growers & Shippers 424480

BISHOP'S PUMPKIN FARM Yuba Fruits & Vegetables & Produce - Retail 445230

WALMART SUPERCENTER Yuba Retail 452111

KNIFE RIVER CORP Yuba Construction 541330

YUBA COUNTY HEALTH & HUMAN SERVICES Yuba Government 923120

CA Department of Transportation Yuba Government 926120

500 - 999 Employees

COLUSA CASINO RESORT Colusa Entertainment 713290

SHANNON RANCHES INC Lake Agriculture 111332

SUTTER LAKESIDE HOSPITAL Lake Healthcare 622110

SUNSWEET GROWERS INC Sutter Manufacturing 311999

Yuba Community College District Yuba Education 611110

1000-plus Employees

GREAT BEGINNINGS Sutter Healthcare 621493

CARDIAC REHABILITATION CTR Sutter Healthcare 621999

FREMONT MEDICAL CTR Sutter Healthcare 622110

Yuba City Unified School District Sutter Education 611110

MARYSVILLE SCHOOL DISTRICT Yuba Education 611110

RIDEOUT MEMORIAL HOSPITAL Yuba Healthcare 622110

BEALE AIR FORCE BASE Yuba Military 928110

Yuba County Yuba Government 923140

Source: InfoGroup, Business Establishment List, Analyst Resource Center Employer Database 2010

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Figure 19: Number of Establishments by Firm Size

6,911

1,060

1,403

101

2

- 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000

0-4

5-9

10-99

100-499

500+

Firm

Siz

e (N

umbe

r of E

mpl

oyee

s)

Number of Establishments

Source: California Employment Development Department

Small Business Sector Small & Medium Size Enterprises

Small businesses with less than 100 employees are a key component of most local economies and constitute the majority of all businesses and a major share of all jobs. The North Central Counties region is no exception with small businesses accounting for 99% of all firms and 67% of private sector employment. The majority of workers are employed by small firms with 10-99 employees. However, not all small businesses are job generators. Young emerging growth companies in the 10-99 employee size range will be responsible for generating most of the job growth. More than one-third of the small businesses in the NCCC region are construction firms, retail shops, professional service firms, and medical/dental offices. Within the small business sector, micro-enterprises with less than five employees make up more than 72% of all establishments, but provide only a small percentage of the total employment (10%) and typically pay lower wages. Micro-enterprises also tend to be relatively fragile with higher failure rates due to lack of resources and access to capital.

Small Business Sector Dominates the Economy

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Self-Employment Trends

When the self-employed are included, the small business sector is even more significant. Over 10,000 individuals are self-employed in the North Central Counties, making self-employment one of the three largest employment sectors. The self-employed are primarily in professional and technical services, real estate, personal services, business support, and healthcare. Since the late 1990’s, the number of self-employed steadily increased from 8,025 in 1998 to 10,311 in 2007 before declining as the recent recession took hold and the overall economy contracted. Sutter County has the largest number of self-employed, followed by Lake, Yuba, Glenn, and Colusa Counties.

Figure 20: Number of Employees by Size of Business

7,965

7,562

37,934

21,224

4,740

0 5,000 10,000 15,000 20,000 25,000 30,000 35,000 40,000

0-4

5-9

10-99

100-499

500+

Size

of B

usin

ess

(Num

ber

of E

mpl

oyee

s)

Number of Employees

Source: California Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information

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Table 19: Self-Employed Trends 2002-2008

Non-Employers

NAICS code Industry Sectors 2002 2008

Net Change

% Total

Total for all sectors 8,760 10,116 1,356

11 Agriculture, forestry, fishing and hunting 147 174 27

21 Mining, quarrying, and oil and gas extraction 3 3

22 Utilities 7 7

23 Construction 788 888 100

31-33 Manufacturing 282 398 116

42 Wholesale trade 240 241 1

44-45 Retail trade 684 719 35

48-49 Transportation and warehousing 190 211 21

51 Information 96 134 38

52 Finance and insurance 260 273 13

53 Real estate and rental and leasing 914 934 20

54 Professional, scientific, & technical services 1,780 2,083 303

56 Administrative & support & waste management & remediation services 677 874 197

61 Educational services 176 263 87

62 Health care and social assistance 734 767 33

71 Arts, entertainment, and recreation 456 530 74

72 Accommodation and food services 171 224 53

81 Personal Services 1,157 1,393 236

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

Figure 21: Self-Employed vs Firms with Employees

-

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

4,500

Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba

Num

ber o

f Firm

s

Employer Non-Employer

Source: U.S. Census Bureau

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Entrepreneurship

Entrepreneurship is a vital component of a region’s economy. Small businesses and entrepreneurs are the most significant generators of jobs in most economies. In times of economic restructuring, entrepreneurs and small businesses become more important because they will be the source of most new jobs. By developing new products and business models, entrepreneurs turn ideas into new businesses. Between 1990 and 2008, the number of new business formations in the NCCC region steadily increased. One of the building blocks that every community should include in their strategy for job generation is the creation of a nurturing environment that supports small business and entrepreneurial development. This environment often includes business incubators, Small Business Development Centers (SBDCs), and entrepreneurship courses at local community colleges which help fledgling businesses get up and going.

1990

1991

1992

1993

1994

1995

1996

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

ManufacturingConstructionProfessional and Business ServicesEducation and Health ServicesLeisure and HospitalityOther Services

Other Services

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

3,500

4,000

Figure 22: Growth in New Business Establishments by Industry Sector

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Job Growth by Firm Size During the period 2001-2008, the North Central Counties small business sector grew faster than mid-sized and large companies. Employment in large corporations declined slightly, while small businesses added 8.9% more jobs. Mid-sized companies had shown modest employment growth until the start of the recession, but have shed jobs during the past several years. Future growth job is most likely to occur in the small-to-medium size businesses before micro-enterprises or large companies start hiring.

Figure 23: Number of Employees by Firm Size

Small Businesses

Mid-Sized Firms

Large Companies

0

10,000

20,000

30,000

40,000

50,000

60,000

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Num

ber o

f Em

ploy

ees 0-99

100-499500+

Source: California Employment Development Department, Labor Market Information

Regional Employment Growth Industry Growth/Decline

The North Central Counties economy expanded at an average annual rate of around 0.5% during the ten year period between 1999 and 2008. Not all segments of the economy grew at the same rate with wide variation in employment growth among industry sectors (see Figure 24). Most industry sectors in the region experienced employment growth between 1999 and 2008. Only five sectors lost jobs: agriculture, manufacturing, transportation, business management, and leisure activities (with the greatest loss of jobs in the leisure sector occurring in Lake County). Declining employment in an industry sector may be due to economic cycles, structural changes in the economy, lack of market demand, or to local companies becoming less competitive. Table 23 in the Appendix identifies at a more detailed level the growth/decline of individual industry subsectors.

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Figure 24: Net Change in Employment by Sector, 1999-2008

-3,000 -2,000 -1,000 0 1,000 2,000 3,000

Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting

Mining

Utilities

Construction

Manufacturing

Wholesale Trade

Retail Trade

Transportation and Warehousing

Information

Finance and Insurance

Real Estate and Rental and Leasing

Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services

Management of Companies

Business Support

Educational Services

Health Care and Social Assistance

Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation

Accommodation and Food Services

Other Services

Total Government

Num

ber o

f Job

s

Source: California Employment Development Department

Knowing which industries are growing or declining is important to workforce development professionals as well as job seekers. Emerging growth industries provide future employment opportunities while declining employment may indicate a declining or stagnant industry. By knowing which industries are growing or declining, workforce development practitioners can better advise their clients regarding job opportunities and training needs. Rapid response teams can be set up to assist workers prior to a company announcing layoffs. Resources can be mobilized through an Incumbent Worker Program when market conditions change or new technology requires workers to upgrade existing skills or develop new skills so that employers can compete more effectively. Given limited resources, workforce development dollars should be directed toward industry sectors that will generate the most job growth for the level of investment made. The best opportunities for job creation are presented by those industries that are growing and expect to grow over the next ten years. Emerging growth sectors represent future sources of job growth and need to be supported. Support for declining industry sectors may temporarily save jobs, but over the longer term will not generate job growth unless regional economic development strategies can be adopted to reverse the industry’s decline in the region.

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In developing intervention or job training strategies, local workforce development officials should classify industries according to their employment growth potential. Since the demand for workers stems from an employers' need for labor priority should be given to jobs and occupations in growing industry sectors with the greatest potential for job growth. A taxonomy that can be used for prioritizing workforce development strategies is shown below: GROWTH INDUSTRIES: These industries have rising job growth and above-average employment concentration (LQ above 1.0). They contribute to the strength of the local economy and represent the best opportunity for continued employment growth.

Growing Basic Industries: These industries have an external market focus with prospects for significant future job growth.

Growing Local Serving Industries: These industries are constrained in size and growth potential by the size of the local market and do not have the same growth prospects as basic industries with an external market focus.

EMERGING GROWTH INDUSTRIES: Sectors that have shown recent above average job growth, but still have a below-average employment concentration may be potential growth industries. These industries represent future growth opportunities because they are not yet mature industries nationally or are underrepresented locally with below average concentration of employment. STABLE (OR MATURE) INDUSTRIES: Those sectors which have shown minor or stable employment growth with employment concentrations close to the national average (LQ - Location Quotient - above 1.0). These industries contribute to a strong economic base as long as they are not experiencing long-term declining employment. Although few new jobs are being created, there may still be a need for replacement jobs. DECLINING INDUSTRIES: Sectors with declining job growth and low employment concentration (LQ below 1.0 and falling) represent industries that have shown some recent vulnerability and should be investigated to determine whether they could be considered business retention targets under rapid response or layoff aversion programs.

Declining Basic Industries: These industries have an above-average concentration of employment, but have shown recent job losses. This may be part of a normal business cycle, but over the long term may indicate weak industries or structural changes in the local economy.

Declining Local Serving Industries: These industries have shown recent job losses and have below-average employment concentration. They do not have an especially notable local presence and typically do not have strong local market support.

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Leading Industry Clusters & Job Generators Industry Clusters of Opportunity

In recent years, “cluster strategies” have become popular among workforce development practitioners. Export oriented industry clusters are important because they drive the region’s economy and support local-serving industries. Without competitive, outward-oriented industries, communities cannot enjoy sustained increases in their standard of living. 5

Broadly defined, an industry cluster is a geographically bounded collection of similar and/or related firms that together create competitive advantages for member firms from increased productivity due to their mutual proximity, linkages, and interconnections. Well developed industry clusters offer numerous advantages to cluster companies and the local economy. These advantages include potential cost savings to firms in the cluster due to a greater availability of specialized vendors and business services; a larger pool of trained, specialized workers; financial markets familiar with the industry; ease of market entry for young new firms who can tap into an existing specialized labor force; and increased innovation, collaboration, and information transfers. Spatial concentration of similar businesses allows for the formation of an industry cluster. Industry Clusters of Opportunity also exist in local-serving sectors that may not be at the center of a regions’ economic base. Industry clusters of opportunity focus on the size of an industry sector, not just their potential for rapid growth, and include local-serving activities in addition to a region’s basic industries. Industry cluster identification and targeting in a region involves identifying concentrations of companies in industries that have experienced recent employment growth. Typically the sectors targeted are those that offer the most potential for local economic development and job growth. In order to identify industry growth trends and employment opportunities, we conducted an analysis comparing location quotients with employment growth across 11 major industry sectors. We identified four industry sectors with high location quotients and increasing employment. The growth sectors that we identified are healthcare, wholesale trade, personal services, and utilities. Other potential clusters of opportunity for the North Central Counties also include emerging growth sectors such as business support services, educational services, and hospitality. These sectors could be important growth generators in the future due to their employment size and/or growth rate. Sectors with low location quotients and sub-par or declining employment growth are the least-promising targets for regional cluster strategies. Although the manufacturing sector has lost jobs in recent years, it is still an important employment sector due to its size and potential for future job growth. The manufacturing sector also includes some of the largest employers in the region. Workforce development and economic development officials should work with local manufacturers to identify industry-driven strategies that will help strengthen the manufacturing sector.

5 California Regional Economies Project, “Industry Clusters of Opportunity Users Guide”, September 2008

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Figure 25: Industry Clusters of Opportunity(Private Sector, Non-Farm)

RealEstate

Information

Education

BusinessSupport

Healthcare

Hospitality

Construction

ProfessionalServices

FinancialService

RetailTrade

CompanyManagement

Utilities

Manufacturing

Arts,Entertainment,& Recreation

PersonalServices

WholesaleTrade

-60%

-40%

-20%

0%

20%

40%

60%

0.0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8

Concentration (LQ)

Gro

wth

Rat

e (1

999-

2008

)

Stable/Mature

Sectors

Non-Basic Basic

Growing

Declining

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics,Craft Consulting Group analysis

EmergingSectors

CompetitiveGrowth Sectors

DecliningSectors

ContractingSectors

High Concentration, High GrowthLow Concentration, High Growth

Low Concentration, Low Growth High Concentration, Low Growth

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Regional Competitiveness Shift-Share Shift-Share Analysis helps to determine whether a local economy has had a faster or slower employment growth rate than the national or state economies due to the industrial structure of the local economy where jobs may be more concentrated in some industries than in others. For this reason, a locality with several fast-growing industries might have a high rate of employment gain. Similarly, a locality with several declining industries might have a high rate of employment loss. Shift-share analysis identifies a region’s most competitive industries by comparing employment changes in each industry sector of the local economy to employment changes in the same sector of the national economy. Shift-share analysis identifies which industry sectors are growing faster or slower locally than nationally and which sectors contributed the most to the total net change overall. Shift-share analysis provides a dynamic account of total regional employment growth and determines whether the growth in the local economy was due to growth of the national economy, a mix of faster or slower growing industries, and/or the competitiveness of local industries. The national growth component calibrates the growth in the region’s employment that may be attributed to overall national economic conditions and trends. If the industry composition and growth of employment had been the same locally as nationally, then the region’s employment growth rate during a given time period would have matched the overall national rate. Based on the shift share analysis, employment growth of 5.5% in the NCCC region trailed the 6.14% growth of employment nationally by 0.64% during the ten-year period between 1999 and 2008. Accounting for this difference was a local industry mix inclined toward industries that experienced slower growth, coupled with the fact that a large share of local industries underperformed their counterparts nationally. The most competitive industries in the North Central Counties region are the healthcare and government sectors, both of which gained jobs between 1999 and 2008. Regional competitiveness also played a significant role in employment growth in the mining and utility sectors; however, both are relatively small employment sectors and therefore, did not add a significant number of jobs in absolute terms. While Healthcare ranked second in terms of employment growth, the majority of its growth is not attributable to local competitiveness. Instead, about 58 percent (1,276 jobs) of the healthcare sector’s employment growth is due to the industry mix effect. This means that the healthcare sector’s employment growth is largely due to the fact that this industry sector as a whole grew faster nationally than the overall economy from 1999 to 2008. Wholesale trade on the other hand grew faster locally than the national economy or its national counterpart. When employment in a local industry grows at a faster pace (or declines less) than its counterpart nationally, a shift occurs in the proportion of employment captured by that industry locally, changing the region’s competitive position. In general, the shift share analysis shows that the North Central Counties economy is strongly influenced by growth of the national economy and that a large proportion of local industries grew at a slower pace than their national counterparts.

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Table 20: Shift-Share Components of North Central Counties Employment Growth, 1999 - 2008

National Growth Industry Mix Regional Shift Actual Industry Percent Net Percent Net Percent Net Net Agriculture 6.14 741 -8.89 -1,073 -15.9 -1,931 -2,263 Mining 6.14 10 32.38 53 122.8 200 263 Utilities 6.14 25 -13.52 -54 111.4 448 418 Construction 6.14 171 5.44 152 -2.9 -83 240 Manufacturing 6.14 333 -29.18 -1,582 -10.6 -573 -1,823 Wholesale Trade 6.14 291 -0.28 -13 14.8 701 979 Retail Trade 6.14 329 -3.88 -208 -7.9 -421 -300 Transportation & Warehousing 6.14 110 -1.69 -30 9.7 174 254 Information 6.14 37 -17.73 -107 18.9 114 44 Finance & Insurance 6.14 73 -0.04 -1 -8.8 -104 -32 Real Estate and Rental/Leasing 6.14 58 0.19 2 -4.1 -39 21 Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services 6.14 87 14.45 205 -11.6 -165 128 Management of Companies 6.14 24 0.18 1 -33.3 -131 -106 Business Support 6.14 112 -2.24 -41 7.6 140 211 Educational Services 6.14 15 30.61 77 -2.5 -6 86 Health Care & Social Assistance 6.14 384 20.40 1,276 8.8 548 2,207 Leisure Activities 6.14 85 6.35 88 -44.2 -615 -441 Hospitality 6.14 295 10.07 483 2.9 140 918 Personal & Repair Services 6.14 201 3.45 113 0.6 18 332 Government 6.14 1,078 -6.39 996 -0.7 667 2,750

TOTAL 6.14 4,471 0.46 337 -1.1 -769 4,039

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Craft Consulting Group analysis

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Table 21: Net Employment Changes by Industry Sector, 1999 - 2008

NAICS

Code Industry Region Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba 10 Total 4039 90 (40) 219 4,092 (322)

11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting (2,263) (358) 61 44 (940) (1,070) 21 Mining 263 34 (40) 14 143 112 22 Utilities 418 (2) 39 351 41 (11) 23 Construction 240 32 (108) 77 229 10

31-33 Manufacturing (1,823) (278) (508) (115) (443) (479) 42 Wholesale Trade 512 144 64 (36) 282 58

44-45 Retail Trade 512 (85) (66) 89 749 (175) 48-49 Transportation & Warehousing (91) (2) 40 (65) (63) (1)

51 Information 44 0 (38) (28) 77 33 52 Finance and Insurance (32) (25) 7 (26) 51 (39) 53 Real Estate & Rental 21 7 (22) 7 103 (74)

54 Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services 128 14 (20) (43) 72 105

55 Management of Companies (106) - - (96) (29) 19 56 Business Support 211 40 (16) (276) 515 (52) 61 Educational Services 86 6 7 20 40 13 62 Health Care & Social Assistance 2,207 85 69 338 1,306 409 71 Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation (441) 3 47 (526) 61 (26) 72 Accommodation & Food Services 918 6 191 (109) 600 230 81 Other Services 332 (19) 33 50 186 82 92 Government 2,750 480 220 550 1,000 500 99 Not Classified 153 8 - (1) 112 34

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, California Employment Development Department, Craft Consulting Group analysis

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Figure 22: Percentage Change in Employment by Industry Sector 1999 - 2008

Industry National State 5-County Colusa Glenn Lake Sutter Yuba Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing and Hunting -2.7 -2.6 -18.7 -12.5 3.5 4.4 -21.7 -50.0 Mining 38.5 16.8 161.3 - -78.4 45.2 715.0 183.6 Utilities -7.4 2.0 104.0 -13.3 95.1 412.9 85.4 -5.2 Construction 11.6 14.2 8.6 28.8 -27.8 13.9 21.6 1.5 Manufacturing -23.0 -23.1 -33.6 -37.9 -49.6 -25.1 -21.7 -41.2 Wholesale Trade 5.9 11.6 29.7 50.9 21.4 -15.9 36.4 40.8 Retail Trade 2.3 8.0 6.0 -15.4 -9.2 4.6 19.8 -11.5 Transportation and Warehousing 4.4 -1.7 -5.5 -0.9 14.2 -32.3 -9.9 -0.3 Information -11.6 -4.6 7.3 0 -65.5 -16.9 48.7 17.0 Finance and Insurance 6.1 7.0 -2.7 -21.7 6.9 -10.3 11.2 -14.8 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 6.3 5.3 2.2 10.9 -30.1 4.3 22.8 -38.1 Professional, Scientific, and Technical Services 20.6 22.7 9.0 33.3 -17.7 -11.6 15.4 24.6 Management of Companies and Enterprises 6.3 -37.9 -27.0 - - -70.1 -12.3 90.5 Business Support 3.9 0.1 11.5 142.9 -28.1 -49.9 76.0 -10.1 Educational Services 36.7 41.8 34.3 33.3 28.0 64.5 27.4 41.9 Health Care and Social Assistance 26.5 23.6 35.3 29.8 19.1 18.7 58.4 26.1 Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation 12.5 15.6 -31.7 0.9 361.5 -85.1 26.8 -14.5 Accommodation and Food Services 16.2 20.3 19.1 1.0 39.8 -8.2 36.7 29.6 Other Services 9.6 30.8 10.1 -9.0 10.6 3.7 20.5 16.8 Not Classified 8.3 -21.5 373.2 800.0 - -2.6 - 1,700.0 Federal Government -0.3 -8.9 -1.0 0 -7.1 0 0 0 State Government 9.9 19.0 18.2 0 16.7 5.9 100.0 12.5 Local Government 13.6 20.2 17.6 31.0 12.7 16.7 25.7 9.1 TOTAL 6.14 7.4 5.5 1.1 -0.5 1.5 17.0 -1.9

Source: Bureau of Labor Statistics, Craft Consulting Group analysis

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Competitive Advantages A key driver of the North Central County’s economy is the agriculture sector, which accounts for about 25% of the region’s regional gross product and 13% of the region’s total employment. Although agriculture employment declined over the past ten years, the gross value of agriculture products has increased at an average annual growth rate of 6.2%. The North Central Counties have been blessed with an abundance of some of the richest agriculture soils in the nation. These soils, combined with surface and subsurface water supplies and a long, warm growing season provide a competitive advantage for the region. Consequently, the agriculture sector has several crops in which the region is a leading producer including rice, almonds, prunes, pears, and processing tomatoes. The ability of the agricultural producers to diversity their operations would create opportunities for expanding employment in the region. Agricultural operations in the United States are becoming more diverse as farmers and ranchers look beyond commodity production to find new ways of generating income. Producers are finding that diversification can make their operations more profitable by providing additional income from agri-tourism and recreational services, direct-to-consumer sales, and sales of value-added and specialty products including certified organic products. Expansion of food-processing and other agriculture-related industries would also create opportunities for job growth in the North Central Counties. Although the region is interested in attracting a range of industries, its fundamental competitive advantage is its agribusiness base. Unmet Opportunity

Tourism: The NCCC region’s competitive advantages are based on aggregated data. Individual counties may other advantages. The region’s performance is also based on what actually happened during the last decade, not on what might have happened if particular sectors had been nurtured by economic development efforts. For example, employment in the Arts, Entertainment, and Recreation sector grew 12.5% and 15.6% in the nation and state, respectively, during the period 1999-2008, but shrunk 31.7% in the NCCC region. So why did leisure and recreation sector employment in the NCCC region decline? First, the loss of 441 jobs was mainly attributable to Lake County which lost 526 jobs. Without Lake County, the NCCC region would have gained 85 jobs, even with Yuba County's loss of 26 jobs. Glenn and Sutter added 47 and 61 jobs in this sector, respectively. Colusa County showed little change, picking up only 3 jobs. Second, there appears to be lack of advertising and promotion by the NCCC region as to the recreational and tourist assets of the region. Opportunities exist for agri-tourism, outdoor recreation, and cultural tourism. The NCCC region has many attributes which make it an attractive destination for Californians and others to visit and take vacations. The NCCC region outdoors offers natural beauty and small towns away from the pollution, congestion and noise of our nation's larger cities. The five NCCC counties are aware that they have these attributes, and tout them on their websites:

Colusa County: "Colusa County is a Sacramento Valley leader in outdoor recreation and offers many opportunities to enjoy the outdoor life. The Sacramento River meanders through the county offering boating, picnicking, fishing, and hiking. Anglers test their talents catching striped bass, steelhead, salmon and sturgeon. Colusa Sacramento River State Recreation Area with 61 acres of picnic, campsites and boat launching facilities is nestled near the town of Colusa."

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Glenn County: “Due to the great tracts of land set aside exclusively for duck sanctuary, duck hunting in Glenn County is considered world class. This abundance of ducks available for hunting brings hundreds of hunters from around the world to Glenn County. Local festivals include the Glenn County Fair. The Colusa National Wildlife Refuge where visitors can enjoy wildlife viewing and photography as they drive through wetlands or walk along a trial adjacent to a lush riparian slough.” Lake County: "Dotted with vineyards and wineries, orchards and farm stands, and charming small towns, Lake County is home to Clear Lake, California’s largest natural freshwater lake, known as "The Bass Capital of the West," and Mt. Konocti, which towers over Clear Lake." Yuba-Sutter Counties: "Yuba-Sutter offers a rare mix of gold-rush era communities, historic downtown shopping opportunities, agricultural assets complementing year-round festivals and fairs. Our lakes, rivers, and mountains will stimulate your senses and satisfy your camping, boating, fishing, and hunting needs. Outdoor and cultural activities abound year-round in the Marysville/Yuba City area.”

Increased tourism would stimulate employment growth in the leisure and recreation sector as well as increase job growth in the hospitality and retail sectors. There is ample evidence showing that the Leisure Sector will continue to add jobs in the future as Americans are constrained financially since the recent recession and now are opting for less expensive vacations closer to home instead of traveling overseas. Agriculture Related Diversification: Colusa County produces 20% of the U.S. rice crop, which results in a waste disposal problem. However, rice waste can now be converted into renewable fuel. The Wadham Energy biomass facility, the world's largest rice hull-to-energy plant recycles rice waste to harness a new source of energy. The Wadham Biomass facility can convert approximately 200,000 tons of rice hulls per year into 26.5 MW of electricity. This power is then sold under contract to the Pacific Gas & Electric Company. Other opportunities may exist for conversion of agricultural waste-to-energy and/or the production of biomass that can be used for biofuels which should be explored. Greencor Composites LLC is a particle board and door core manufacturing plant which utilizes rice straw as the raw material for the manufacturing environmentally friendly, high performance products for the door industry. Other agriculture-related businesses include wholesale trade and transportation and warehousing. The hospitality and retail sectors could be grown through increased agri-tourism, while manufacturing employment could be expanded by capturing more agriculture processing.

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Future Economic Outlook According to the National Bureau of Economic Research, the official arbiter of economic contractions and expansions, the recent recession ended in June 2009. Since then, the U.S. economy has experienced five consecutive quarters of growth. However, the rate of GDP growth has been declining for the past three quarters and unemployment has edged up slightly. While the national economy has improved the number of long-term unemployed - people jobless for 27 weeks or more – has accelerated in the past year and now makes up 45.5 percent of the 15 million Americans who are unemployed, the highest percentage on record since 1948. Work-related impacts of this recession extend far beyond the 9.7% who are unemployed or the 16.6% who (according to the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics) are either underemployed or out of the workforce. The employment situation is critical to the economic recovery because consumer spending, including health care and other major items, accounts for about 70 percent of U.S. economic activity. Those without jobs are clearly constrained in what they can spend, and those with jobs tend to spend less and save more if they are worried about losing their jobs. If consumers aren't spending, businesses will be reluctant to hire more workers.

Figure 26: U.S. Underemployment

19.5

19.8 19.8 19.8

19.7

20.020.4

19.6

18.9

19.2 19.1

18.6

18.3

18.3 18.4 18.318.6

18.618.8

Jan2010

Mar2010

May2010

Jul2010

Sep2010

30-day Average

% Underemployment

Source: Gallup Daily tracking

A Slow Road to Recovery

In its third quarter report for 2010, the UCLA Anderson Forecast anticipates “very sluggish growth for the foreseeable future as the United States’ economy continues to recover from the recession that plagued the nation earlier in the decade. As for the California economy, the State is looking at a difficult period ahead as it attempts to generate not only the 1.3 million jobs lost during the recession, but also the additional jobs needed for new entrants into the job market over the past two and a half years.” 6

6 Found online at http://www.uclaforecast.com/contents/archive/2010/media_91510_1.asp

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UCLA Anderson School senior economist Jerry Nickelsburg stated that “California will grow slower than the U.S. and a slow recovery in jobs will leave unemployment at 12.1 percent for the year.” As the economy recovers, employment growth won’t be in traditional job-growth sectors such as construction, non-durable goods, manufacturing, and state and local government sectors. "The recovery will be driven by education, healthcare, exports, and technology-related industries.” There will also be an increasing number of jobs in the hospitality and tourism sector. UC Berkeley business school dean Laura Tyson said in a recent interview that the "jobs gap" between the number of jobs the national economy is producing and full employment is about 11 million. Even if job growth surged to 350,000 a month, it would take four years to get the unemployment rate to where it was before the recession began in December 2007 (5 percent). If job growth is at a more modest 200,000 a month, it would take 11 years, she said. "When you look at the forecasts, you've got to go to 2015 before unemployment falls back to the 5 percent to 6 percent range" where it was before the recession began, Tyson added. Implications for the North Central Counties Region

The North Central Counties economy will improve as the national and state economies continue to recover. However, even if job growth increases at the same rate as experienced in the NCCC region for the ten-year period prior to the start of the recession, it will take until 2015 to return to the same level of employment that existed in 2007 at the start of the recession. In the meantime, the size of the labor force will have increased keeping the unemployment rate higher than the pre-recessionary level. Employment projections by the California Employment Development Department show total wage and salary employment reaching 83,300 in the five-county region by 2016. This employment level represents a net gain of 6,649 jobs over the next five years for an average annual growth rate of about 1.45 percent. The greatest job growth is expected to occur in Education Services, Healthcare, Retail Trade, and Professional and Business Services. Wholesale trade, utilities, and transportation and warehousing are also projected to see employment growth, but at a slower rate. Job growth will occur in the construction industry when the battered housing market recovers. Growth in public sector jobs will be affected by the fiscal crisis that is affecting all levels of government.

Figure 27: 2010-2016 Industry Sector Employment Projections

-

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

25,000

Farm

Natu

ral R

esou

rces &

Mini

ng

Con

struc

tion

Man

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ring

Who

lesale

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Reta

il Trad

e

T.W

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Infor

mation

Fina

ncial

Activit

ies

Prof

essio

nal a

nd Bus

iness

Service

s

Edu

catio

nal S

ervice

s, Hea

lth C

are, &

Social

Assist

ance

Leis

ure & H

ospit

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Othe

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Gov

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t

Num

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f Job

s

2010 2016

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Conclusions

The North Central Counties region has consistently had a high unemployment rate over the past decade in part due to limited job opportunities, seasonal jobs in the agriculture sector and food processing industries, low educational attainment, limited market size, and relatively few businesses exporting to external markets. In preparing for the future, the North Central Counties Consortium should focus on: 1) developing sector strategies that align resources to promote the economic competitiveness of key industries and 2) training the local workforce for in-demand occupations and job opportunities that will be available over the short and long terms in the leading growth sectors. Sector Strategies

Sector strategies should be built on a sub-regional, demand-driven approach in targeted growth industries. Sector strategies should promote education, training, and career ladder programs to help workers meet the needs of employers. Sector strategies should target a specific industry, addressing common workforce problems for multiple employers in the region and providing them customized solutions for long-term sustainability. Target industries should be based on future growth prospects, industry size, and regional specialization. Target industries identified above include healthcare, wholesale trade, transportation and warehousing, manufacturing, and agriculture. Cluster strategies should also include tourism and green business sectors. While government jobs are forecast to grow, they are less certain given the current public sector fiscal crisis. More over, government jobs are often hard to find since government agencies do not post jobs on commercial job boards, forcing job seekers to search numerous government sites for job openings. Websites, such as America Job, help facilitate public sector job searches by aggregating government job openings posted on the Internet and bringing them together in one place. America Job can be found online at: http://www.americajob.com/California.asp. Job Training Programs

Training programs should be developed based on Sector Strategies that are focused on:

In-demand jobs and occupations

Emerging growth jobs and occupations

Replacement jobs and occupations experiencing large numbers of retiring baby boomers

Workers transitioning to new jobs and careers as a result of changes in the economy

Training required for green businesses and sustainability

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Appendix

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North Central Counties Workforce Needs Survey

About this confidential survey: The confidential nature of this survey means that survey results will be aggregated and survey respondents will not be identified in any way.

Please return the completed survey to: Jim Cassio, Principal Researcher By Fax: 916-405-3625 (please retain original) By e-mail: [email protected] By mail: 198 Willow Creek Drive, Folsom, California 95630 Or call Jim Cassio at 916-320-4944

Complete survey online? If you would like to complete this survey online, please contact us and we will send you a link to our online survey.

Your contact information: (In case we need to clarify any information provided, to help us avoid duplication, and to notify you of the survey results.)

Your Name: __________________________________________

Title: _______________________________________________

Company: ___________________________________________

Address: ____________________________________________

____________________________________________

Phone: _____________________________________________

e-mail: _____________________________________________

Please complete & return this survey by:

Unless otherwise specified, please note that the questions in this survey are about your workers and jobs in the North Central Counties (Colusa, Glenn, Lake, Sutter, and Yuba counties).

General questions about your workforce

1. How many employees do you currently have working at your North Central Counties location(s)?

2. Of your current employees, how many are:

Full time: Part time: On call: Temp or Seasonal:

3. What percent of your employees live outside the North Central Counties? %

4. Over the past 12 months, has your number of employees: Increased Decreased Remained about the same

Questions about the past 2 years

5. For what jobs did you hire the most replacement workers over the past 2 years? ________________________________________________________________________________________

a) ________________________________________________________________________________________

b) ________________________________________________________________________________________

6. For what jobs have you had significant difficulty finding qualified applicants who meet your hiring standards?

a) ________________________________________________________________________________________

b) ________________________________________________________________________________________

c) ________________________________________________________________________________________

7. When you consider the new employees you have hired over the past 2 years, are there any specific knowledge, skills or abilities that you feel are in short supply?

a) ________________________________________________________________________________________

b) ________________________________________________________________________________________

c) ________________________________________________________________________________________

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Questions about the next 2 years

8. About how many new jobs do you expect to add during the next 2 years? Full time: Part time: On call: Temp or Seasonal:

9. What types of jobs will make up the most new positions?

a) ________________________________________________________________________________________

b) ________________________________________________________________________________________

c) ________________________________________________________________________________________

10. Do you expect your overall number of employees to be reduced over the next 2 years? No Yes

11. If YES, about how many employees do you expect to lose?

Please briefly explain why this is expected to happen:

12. What is the company’s growth plan for the near future? Long term? ________________________________________________________________________________________

Question about industry trends

13. What are the top trends that we should we be aware of that are affecting, or will affect, your industry? For example, this might include new laws or regulations, new technologies or skill requirements, lack of available credit, etc.

a) ________________________________________________________________________________________

b) ________________________________________________________________________________________

c) ________________________________________________________________________________________

Questions about sustainable business practices

14. Does your company employ green business practices? Yes No

15. If so, Energy Conservation, Alternative Energy, Recycling, Energy Audit, Calculated Carbon Footprint, Pollution Prevention,

Environmentally Friendly Purchasing, Use low toxic cleaning supplies, Water Conservation, alternative fuel/hybrid electric vehicles

Questions about education, training, and workforce development

16. Are there any specific education or training programs in North Central Counties or nearby that you would like to recognize as excellent programs for preparing a skilled workforce? (Please briefly indicate the program and why) ________________________________________________________________________________________

17. Are there any specific education or training programs in North Central Counties or nearby that you would like to recognize

as being deficient in their ability to prepare a skilled workforce? (Please briefly indicate the program and why) ________________________________________________________________________________________

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18. In general, how important are the following types of labor market information to you?

Extremely Important

Very Important

Somewhat Important

Not Important

Economic outlook reports by industry sector? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Occupational research reports? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Postsecondary education and training directory? . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

19. In general, how difficult is it for you to find new employees who possess these skills prior to employment:

basic skills (check one box for each of the following):

Extremely Difficult

Very Difficult

Somewhat Difficult

Not Difficult

Reading. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Writing. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Math. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Computer. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

workplace skills (check one box for each of the following): Extremely

Difficult Very

Difficult Somewhat

Difficult Not

Difficult Teamwork. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Problem solving/critical thinking. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Communication. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Strong work ethic. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Ability to adapt to change. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

Job specific skills (e.g. keyboarding, ability to lift 50 lbs, product knowledge, supervisory skills, etc.) Please specify below:

20. Do your employees have job specific skill deficiencies that could be addressed by a new training program? Yes No

21. If YES, what kind of skill deficiencies?

22. How interested would you be in a local skills certification program that objectively evaluates the competencies of job

applicants in basic skills, workplace skills, and job specific skills? (Check one) Very interested Some what interested Not very interested Not at all interested

23. Are you familiar with the services available through the North Central Counties Consortium, or through its One Stop Career

& Business Centers? Not at all familiar Somewhat familiar Very familiar

24. Please indicate which of the following services would be of value to you as an employer? (Check all that apply)

Recruiting or prescreening assistance On-site recruitment at the Workforce Napa

Career Center Subsidized employment (e.g. on-the-job

training incentives) Assistance in developing one or more

internship positions (paid or unpaid) Outplacement services or lay-off assistance Understanding regulatory or legal issues How to utilize employee tax credits Developing a business plan

Developing and implementing a marketing plan

Strategic growth planning Business succession or employee ownership

planning Business closure assistance Meeting or conference room space Other (please specify below)

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Table 23: Employment Growth by Industry Sector, 2001 - 2008

NAICS Code Industry Group

2001 Employment

2008 Employment

Employment Change

Percent Change

Total, all industries 54,202 58,890 4,688 1.2% 11 Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing, Hunting 8.6%

111 Crop production 3,575 2,662 -916 -25.5% 112 Animal production 45 15 -30 -66.7% 113 Forestry and logging ND NC 114 Fishing, hunting and trapping NC NC 115 Agriculture and forestry support activities 1,582 2,112 530 33.5% 21 Mining

211 Oil and gas extraction ND ND 212 Mining, except oil and gas ND ND 213 Support activities for mining ND ND 22 Utilities

221 Utilities 152 197 45 29.6% 23 Construction

236 Construction of buildings 1,029 1,402 373 36.2% 237 Heavy and civil engineering construction 524 351 -173 -33.0% 238 Specialty trade contractors 2,523 2,239 -284 -11.3%

31-33 Manufacturing 311 Food manufacturing 323 667 344 106.5% 312 Beverage and tobacco product manufacturing 6,582 8,224 1,642 24.9% 313 Textile mills NC ND 314 Textile product mills 144 21 -123 -85.4% 315 Apparel manufacturing 150 ND 0.0% 316 Leather and allied product manufacturing NC NC 321 Wood product manufacturing 252 254 2 0.8% 322 Paper manufacturing ND NC 323 Printing and related support activities 367 211 -156 -42.5% 324 Petroleum and coal products manufacturing NC NC 325 Chemical manufacturing ND ND 326 Plastics and rubber products manufacturing 81 71 -10 -12.3% 327 Nonmetallic mineral product manufacturing 947 1,016 69 7.3% 331 Primary metal manufacturing NC ND 332 Fabricated metal product manufacturing 432 157 -275 -63.7% 333 Machinery manufacturing 25 102 77 308.0% 334 Computer & electronic product mfg 325 138 -187 -57.5% 335 Electrical equipment and appliance mfg. 245 263 18 7.3% 336 Transportation equipment manufacturing 28 ND 0.0% 337 Furniture and related product manufacturing 19 46 27 142.1% 339 Miscellaneous manufacturing 140 185 45 32.1% 42 Wholesale Trade

423 Merchant wholesalers, durable goods 647 712 65 10.0% 424 Merchant wholesalers, nondurable goods 569 776 207 36.4% 425 Electronic markets and agents and brokers 55 184 129 234.5%

44-45 Retail Trade 441 Motor vehicle and parts dealers 686 485 -201 -29.3% 442 Furniture and home furnishings stores 167 94 -73 -43.7% 443 Electronics and appliance stores 96 82 -14 -14.6% 444 Building material and garden supply stores 579 674 95 16.4% 445 Food and beverage stores 1,916 1,999 83 4.3% 446 Health and personal care stores 284 231 -53 -18.7% 447 Gasoline stations 169 156 -13 -7.7% 448 Clothing and clothing accessories stores 681 966 285 41.9% 451 Sporting goods, hobby, book and music stores 229 188 -41 -17.9% 452 General merchandise stores 684 701 17 2.5% 453 Miscellaneous store retailers 522 348 -174 -33.3% 454 Non-store retailers 297 216 -81 -27.3%

48-49 Transportation & Warehousing 481 Air transportation ND ND 482 Rail transportation ND ND 483 Water transportation NC NC

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Table 23: Employment Growth by Industry Sector, 2001 - 2008

NAICS Code Industry Group

2001 Employment

2008 Employment

Employment Change

Percent Change

484 Truck transportation 119 428 309 259.7% 485 Transit and ground passenger transportation 176 190 14 8.0% 486 Pipeline transportation NC NC 487 Scenic and sightseeing transportation ND ND 488 Support activities for transportation 111 169 58 52.3% 491 Postal service NC NC 0.0% 492 Couriers and messengers ND ND 0.0% 493 Warehousing and storage 124 231 107 86.3% 51 Information

511 Publishing industries, except Internet 277 154 -123 -44.4% 512 Motion picture and sound recording industries 62 52 -10 -16.1% 515 Broadcasting, except Internet 32 ND 516 Internet publishing and broadcasting 35 NC 517 Telecommunications 485 298 -187 -38.6% 518 Data processing, hosting and related services ND ND 519 Other information services ND ND 52 Finance & Insurance

521 Monetary authorities - central bank NC ND 522 Credit intermediation and related activities 546 614 68 12.5% 523 Securities, commodity contracts, investments ND 258 524 Insurance carriers and related activities 687 681 -6 -0.9% 525 Funds, trusts, and other financial vehicles ND ND

53 Real Estate and Rental and Leasing 531 Real estate 679 647 -32 -4.7% 532 Rental and leasing services ND ND 533 Lessors of nonfinancial intangible assets ND ND

54 Professional, Scientific, & Technical Services 541 Professional and Technical Services 1,879 2,025 146 7.8%

55 Management of Companies and Enterprises 551 Management of companies and enterprises 315 467 152 48.3%

56 Administrative and Support & Waste Management

561 Administrative and support services 2,581 3,410 829 32.1% 562 Waste management and remediation services 211 266 55 26.1%

61 Educational Services 611 Educational services 976 1,246 270 27.7%

62 Healthcare & Social Assistance 621 Ambulatory health care services 1,593 1,956 363 22.8% 622 Hospitals ND ND 623 Nursing and residential care facilities 1,526 ND 0.0% 624 Social assistance ND 999

71 Arts, Entertainment, & Recreation 711 Performing arts and spectator sports 104 70 -34 -32.7% 712 Museums, historical sites, zoos, and parks 22 21 -1 -4.5% 713 Amusements, gambling, and recreation 704 769 65 9.2% 72 Accommodation & Food Service

721 Accommodation 2,536 3,192 656 25.9% 722 Food services and drinking places 4,821 5,160 339 7.0% 81 Other Services

811 Repair and maintenance 510 468 -42 -8.2% 812 Personal and laundry services 464 750 286 61.6% 813 Membership associations and organizations 476 647 171 35.9% 814 Private households 309 615 306 99.0% 92 Public Administration

Public Administration 999 Unclassified 5 174 169 3380.0%

Source: U.S. Bureau Labor Statistics ND: No Data NC: Not Calculable, the data does not exist or it is zero

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Table 24: Top Ten Crops by County

Colusa Glenn Lake 1 Rice 164,596 1 Rice 94,717 1 Wine Grapes 43,205 2 Almonds 111,712 2 Almonds 77,238 2 Bartlett Pears 11,315 3 Tomatoes 42,427 3 Milk 42,344 3 Nursery Products 4,318 4 Walnuts 12,661 4 Walnuts 30,815 4 Walnuts 3,353 5 Cattle 12,181 5 Dried Plums 22,130 5 Cattle 2,250 6 Onion Seed 9,612 6 Cattle 20,227 6 Field Crops 1,250 7 Rice Seed 6,279 7 Alfalfa Hay 12,022 7 Asian Pears 783 8 Apiary Pollination Fees 5,301 8 Grapes 6,830 8 Range Pasture 630 9 Alfalfa Hay 5,061 9 Pistachios 5,496 9 Pears 519

10 Dry Beans 3,833 10 Sunflower Seed 4,730 10 Vegetable Crops 242

Table 25: State Ranking by Value of Agriculture Production

Ranking 2006 2008 County Value Leading Agriculture Products

1 Fresno $4,843,392 Grapes, Almonds, Tomatoes, Poultry, Cattle and Calves

2 Tulare $3,870,843 Milk, Oranges, Cattle and Calves, Grapes, Alfalfa Hay and

3 Monterey $3,489,923 Lettuce, Strawberries, Nursery, Broccoli, Grapes

4 Kern $3,476,801 Almonds and By-Products, Grapes, Milk, Carrots, Citrus

5 Merced $2,284,457 Milk, Chickens, Almonds, Cattle and Calves, Tomatoes

20 15 Colusa $422,675 Rice, Almonds, Processing Tomatoes, English Walnuts, Cattle

22 19 Glenn $375,126 Rice, Almonds, Milk, Walnuts, Dried Plums,

24 22 Sutter $358,845 Rice, Dried Plums, Walnuts, Peaches, Nursery Products

34 32 Yuba $158,282 Dried Plums, Rice, Walnuts, Clingstone Peaches, Milk

40 42 Lake $68,427 Wine Grapes, Bartlett Pears, Nursery Products, English Walnuts,

Source: 2007 Census of Agriculture

Table 24: Top Ten Crops by County (continued)

Sutter Yuba 1 Rice 115,361 1 Dried Plums 45,051 2 Dried Plums 67,867 2 Rice 35,715 3 Walnuts 44,764 3 Walnuts 20,660 4 Peaches 27,511 4 Clingstone Peaches 13,071 5 Nursery Products 12,737 5 Milk 8,043 6 Tomatoes 12,663 6 Cattle 6,592 7 Cattle 10,654 7 Pasture 4,305 8 Almonds 10,330 8 Kiwifruit 3,663 9 Melons 8,351 9 Almonds 3,144

10 Alfalfa Hay 6,638 10 -

Source: County Agriculture Commissioners Crop Reports

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Table 26: Employment Generated by Visitor Spending, 1992-2008

County 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 % Change 1992-2008

Colusa 540 550 540 500 540 520 590 570 560 550 540 540 0.00%

Glenn 720 770 800 750 810 770 820 840 820 810 790 790 0.60%

Lake 1,950 2,060 2,100 1,980 2,330 2,790 2,880 2,770 2,870 2,870 2,820 2,770 2.20%

Sutter 1,080 1,100 1,110 1,060 1,160 1,150 1,150 1,140 1,140 1,160 1,220 1,190 0.60%

Yuba 920 900 1,000 910 960 940 940 1,070 1,080 1,090 1,070 1,060 0.90%

Source: Dean Runyon Associates, "California Travel Impacts by County,1992-2008: 2009 Preliminary State & Regional Estimates", April 2010

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Figure 27: Occupations with the Most Job Openings 2006-2016 North Valley (Colusa, Glenn, & Tehama Counties)

Rank by Number of Job Openings

SOC Code Occupational Title

Job Openings

Wages

Median Hourly

Median Annual Education & Training Levels

45-2092 Farm Workers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse 820 $8.33 $17,330 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 39-9021 Personal and Home Care Aides 470 N/A N/A Short-Term On-the-Job Training 41-2011 Cashiers 440 $9.13 $18,995 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 390 [3] $53,591 Bachelor's Degree 11-9012 Farmers and Ranchers 270 N/A N/A Long-Term On-the-Job Training 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 230 $11.02 $22,903 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-3022 Counter Attendants, Cafeteria, Food Concession, and Coffee Shop 220 $8.17 $16,979 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-3031 Waiters and Waitresses 220 $8.03 $16,713 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 220 $10.33 $21,494 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-9041 Teacher Assistants 200 N/A $22,755 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

53-3032 Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer 200 $17.84 $37,106 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training

25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 180 [3] $41,573 Bachelor's Degree

35-3021 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 170 $8.00 $16,640 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 150 [3] $56,134 Bachelor's Degree 37-2011 Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 150 $11.71 $24,367 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-9061 Office Clerks, General 140 $11.48 $23,870 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-3031 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 120 $15.44 $32,126 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training

25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 100 $10.16 $21,135 Post-Secondary Vocational Education

11-9011 Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers 90 N/A N/A Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some Work Experience

41-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers 90 $15.71 $32,684 Work Experience in a Related Occupation

41-4012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 90 $21.77 $45,289 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training

53-7051 Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators 90 $14.02 $29,167 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 53-7061 Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment 90 $8.67 $18,026 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

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53-7063 Machine Feeders and Off-bearers 90 N/A N/A Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-2011 Cooks, Fast Food 80 $8.00 $16,640 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 37-2012 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 80 $8.91 $18,537 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 39-9011 Child Care Workers 80 $10.60 $22,041 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

11-1021 General and Operations Managers 70 $34.82 $72,417 Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some Work Experience

29-1111 Registered Nurses 70 $35.30 $73,424 Associate Degree 33-3051 Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers 70 $33.70 $70,099 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 70 $11.26 $23,424 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 35-2021 Food Preparation Workers 70 $9.28 $19,305 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-9011 Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers 70 $8.07 $16,784 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 70 $15.08 $31,370 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 43-4081 Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks 70 $8.99 $18,710 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-5081 Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 70 $11.45 $23,829 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-6011 Executive Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 70 $14.95 $31,094 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training

43-6014 Secretaries, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 70 $13.38 $27,824 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 45-2093 Farm Workers, Farm and Ranch Animals 70 $10.27 $21,365 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

49-3023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 70 $16.63 $34,602 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 51-9111 Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders 70 $12.23 $25,432 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

11-9032 Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School 60 N/A $86,837 Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some Work Experience

35-9021 Dishwashers 60 $8.06 $16,774 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 41-2021 Counter and Rental Clerks 60 $10.69 $22,235 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-3071 Tellers 60 $11.43 $23,788 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-4171 Receptionists and Information Clerks 60 $10.30 $21,428 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

53-1021 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand 60 $19.61 $40,799 Work Experience in a Related Occupation

53-3033 Truck Drivers, Light or Delivery Services 60 $13.27 $27,602 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2012 Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 50 [3] $53,899 Bachelor's Degree 25-4031 Library Technicians 50 $14.44 $30,026 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Occupations with the Most Job Openings 2006-2016 North Coast (Del Norte, Humboldt, Lake, and Mendocino Counties)

SOC Code Occupational Title

Job Opening

Wages and Training Median Hourly

Median Annual Education & Training Levels

41-2011 Cashiers 1,750 $9.32 $19,369 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 1,630 $9.87 $20,534 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-3031 Waiters and Waitresses 1,190 $8.47 $17,635 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 39-9021 Personal and Home Care Aides 1,150 $10.38 $21,600 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 45-2092 Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse 770 $9.12 $18,971 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-3021 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 700 $8.81 $18,321 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-3022 Counter Attendants, Cafeteria, Food Concession, and Coffee Shop 600 $8.66 $18,024 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 530 [3] $53,991 Bachelor's Degree 43-9061 Office Clerks, General 520 $11.38 $23,686 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-9041 Teacher Assistants 460 N/A $25,001 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 41-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers 460 $16.16 $33,605 Work Experience in a Related Occupation 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 450 [3] $56,001 Bachelor's Degree 29-1111 Registered Nurses 420 $31.67 $65,856 Associate Degree 39-9011 Child Care Workers 410 $9.29 $19,326 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-2021 Food Preparation Workers 400 $8.87 $18,465 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-3031 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 390 $15.68 $32,627 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 37-2011 Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 350 $11.14 $23,158 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 37-2012 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 340 $8.91 $18,537 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

11-1021 General and Operations Managers 330 $34.14 $71,022 Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some Work Experience

53-3032 Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer 330 $16.53 $34,385 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 330 $11.15 $23,193 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 41-2021 Counter and Rental Clerks 320 $8.98 $18,681 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 37-3011 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 310 $16.01 $33,302 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-3071 Tellers 310 $10.65 $22,153 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 33-3012 Correctional Officers and Jailers 300 N/A N/A Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 33-2011 Fire Fighters 290 $20.68 $43,006 Long-Term On-the-Job Training

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43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 270 $14.11 $29,357 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 43-5081 Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 270 $9.85 $20,488 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-6011 Executive Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 270 $17.87 $37,174 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 35-9021 Dishwashers 250 $8.34 $17,338 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 240 [3] $60,575 Bachelor's Degree 11-9012 Farmers and Ranchers 230 N/A N/A Long-Term On-the-Job Training 35-2011 Cooks, Fast Food 230 $8.39 $17,450 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 39-3091 Amusement and Recreation Attendants 230 $8.88 $18,485 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Office and Administrative Support Workers 230 $18.95 $39,422 Work Experience in a Related Occupation 47-2031 Carpenters 230 $20.14 $41,884 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 220 $10.07 $20,955 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 35-9011 Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers 210 $8.00 $16,640 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-4081 Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks 210 $9.26 $19,241 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 33-3051 Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers 190 $34.69 $72,138 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 33-9032 Security Guards 190 $9.55 $19,859 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 29-2052 Pharmacy Technicians 180 $17.06 $35,481 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 35-3011 Bartenders 170 $8.72 $18,137 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-4171 Receptionists and Information Clerks 170 $11.40 $23,727 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 31-1011 Home Health Aides 160 $9.25 $19,244 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 31-9092 Medical Assistants 160 $13.72 $28,527 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 35-9031 Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop 160 $8.48 $17,645 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 39-3011 Gaming Dealers 160 N/A N/A Post-Secondary Vocational Education 49-3023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 160 $18.27 $38,015 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 150 $22.20 $46,193 Bachelor's Degree

Table includes the self-employed, unpaid family workers, private household workers, and farm employment.

N/A - Information is not available. Excludes "All Other" Categories.

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Occupations with the Most Job Openings 2006-2016 Yuba City Metropolitan Statistical Area (Sutter and Yuba Counties)

SOC Code Occupational Title

Job Openings

Wages and Training

Median Hourly

Median Annual Education & Training Levels

45-2092 Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse 820 $8.25 $17,154 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 770 $9.50 $19,754 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 41-2011 Cashiers 690 $8.81 $18,316 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 400 [3] $68,081 Bachelor's Degree 29-1111 Registered Nurses 400 $35.82 $74,501 Associate Degree 39-9021 Personal and Home Care Aides 400 $9.02 $18,742 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-3021 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 390 $8.25 $17,153 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-9061 Office Clerks, General 270 $12.02 $25,004 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-3031 Waiters and Waitresses 250 $8.46 $17,594 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 250 $11.46 $23,839 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 240 [3] $61,364 Bachelor's Degree 37-3011 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 230 $11.20 $23,291 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 39-9011 Child Care Workers 220 $10.29 $21,396 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-9041 Teacher Assistants 210 N/A $27,677 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 41-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers 210 $15.69 $32,653 Work Experience in a Related Occupation 35-3022 Counter Attendants, Cafeteria, Food Concession, and Coffee Shop 200 $9.05 $18,834 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 37-2011 Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 200 $11.17 $23,240 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-2011 Cooks, Fast Food 190 $8.32 $17,307 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-3031 Bookkeeping, Accounting, and Auditing Clerks 180 $15.33 $31,871 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 11-9012 Farmers and Ranchers 160 N/A N/A Long-Term On-the-Job Training

41-4012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 160 $29.18 $60,689 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training

43-5081 Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 160 $10.33 $21,479 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 53-3032 Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer 160 $18.15 $37,761 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 31-9092 Medical Assistants 150 $13.10 $27,247 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 41-2021 Counter and Rental Clerks 150 $9.22 $19,187 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 140 [3] N/A Bachelor's Degree

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43-6011 Executive Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 140 $20.46 $42,549 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training

11-1021 General and Operations Managers 130 $41.85 $87,052 Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some Work

Experience

11-9011 Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers 130 N/A N/A Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some Work

Experience 33-3051 Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers 130 $28.32 $58,910 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 43-3071 Tellers 130 $11.23 $23,359 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-4171 Receptionists and Information Clerks 130 $11.69 $24,319 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 53-3033 Truck Drivers, Light or Delivery Services 130 $11.71 $24,359 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 130 $10.35 $21,525 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

43-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Office and Administrative Support Workers 120 $21.37 $44,449 Work Experience in a Related Occupation

17-2051 Civil Engineers 110 $36.56 $76,049 Bachelor's Degree 25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 110 $14.41 $29,975 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 29-2061 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 110 $20.61 $42,875 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 31-1012 Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants 110 $11.89 $24,726 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 39-3091 Amusement and Recreation Attendants 110 $9.14 $19,018 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 31-9091 Dental Assistants 100 $15.82 $32,913 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 49-3023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 100 $15.97 $33,219 Post-Secondary Vocational Education

11-9032 Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School 90 N/A $96,375 Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some Work

Experience 21-1012 Educational, Vocational, and School Counselors 90 $22.48 $46,751 Master's Degree 33-9092 Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers 90 N/A N/A Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-2021 Food Preparation Workers 90 $8.73 $18,158 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-9021 Dishwashers 90 $8.00 $16,640 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 33-2011 Fire Fighters 80 $23.89 $49,677 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 33-9032 Security Guards 80 $9.33 $19,418 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 80 $10.48 $21,805 Long-Term On-the-Job Training

[1] Job openings are the sum of new jobs and net replacements for the total 10 years. Some occupations may have declining employment during the projection period due to

industry changes; however, they have a substantial number of job openings due to the need for replacements. Net Replacement openings are an estimate of the number of job openings expected because people have permanently left an occupation. It estimates the net movement of 1) experienced workers who leave an occupation and start working in another occupation, stop working altogether, or leave the geographic area minus 2) experienced workers who move into such an opening. It does not represent the total number of jobs to be filled due to the need to replace workers.

[2] Median Hourly and Annual Wages is the estimated 50th percentile of the distribution of wages. The wages are from the first quarter of 2008 and do not include self-employment or unpaid family workers.

[3] In occupations where workers do not work full time or year round, it is not possible to calculate an hourly wage.

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Table 28: Fastest Growing Occupations 2006-2016

North Valley (Colusa, Glenn, and Tehama Counties)

SOC Code Occupational Title

Annual Average

Employment

Percent Change

Wages and Training

2006 2016 Median Hourly

Median Annual Education & Training Levels

31-1011 Home Health Aides 80 110 37.5 $8.97 $18,649 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 110 150 36.4 $15.08 $31,370 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 43-4081 Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks 90 120 33.3 $8.99 $18,710 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 39-9021 Personal and Home Care Aides 1,010 1,310 29.7 N/A N/A Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 860 1,060 23.3 [2] $53,591 Bachelor's Degree 25-2012 Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 130 160 23.1 [2] $53,899 Bachelor's Degree

53-1021 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Helpers, Laborers, and Material Movers, Hand 130 160 23.1 $19.61 $40,799 Work Experience in a Related Occupation

21-1012 Educational, Vocational, and School Counselors 90 110 22.2 $17.94 $37,296 Master's Degree 29-1127 Speech-Language Pathologists 90 110 22.2 $30.14 $62,687 Master's Degree 45-4022 Logging Equipment Operators 90 110 22.2 $18.49 $38,447 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 51-8031 Water and Liquid Waste Treatment Plant and System Operators 90 110 22.2 $17.17 $35,706 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 37-2012 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 200 240 20.0 $8.91 $18,537 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 380 450 18.4 [2] $56,134 Bachelor's Degree 25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 280 330 17.9 $10.16 $21,135 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 37-3012 Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation 120 140 16.7 N/A N/A Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 25-9041 Teacher Assistants 620 720 16.1 N/A $22,755 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 400 460 15.0 N/A $41,573 Bachelor's Degree 35-2021 Food Preparation Workers 140 160 14.3 $9.28 $19,305 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-3021 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 500 570 14.0 $8.00 $16,640 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 37-2011 Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 470 530 12.8 $11.71 $24,367 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

11-9032 Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School 160 180 12.5 N/A $86,837 Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some Work

Experience 39-9032 Recreation Workers 80 90 12.5 $9.11 $18,957 Bachelor's Degree 53-7061 Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment 170 190 11.8 $8.67 $18,026 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

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41-4012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 260 290 11.5 $21.77 $45,289 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training

29-1051 Pharmacists 90 100 11.1 $56.11 $116,709 First Professional Degree - LLD/MD

47-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 90 100 11.1 $29.34 $61,030 Work Experience in a Related Occupation

43-6011 Executive Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 280 310 10.7 $14.95 $31,094 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 39-9011 Child Care Workers 190 210 10.5 $10.60 $22,041 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 19-3031 Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists 100 110 10.0 $35.81 $74,470 Doctoral Degree 31-9092 Medical Assistants 100 110 10.0 $12.98 $27,001 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 33-3051 Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers 200 220 10.0 $33.70 $70,099 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 49-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 100 110 10.0 $25.16 $52,344 Work Experience in a Related Occupation 51-4121 Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers 100 110 10.0 $14.04 $29,183 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 43-9061 Office Clerks, General 510 560 9.8 $11.48 $23,870 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 49-9042 Maintenance and Repair Workers, General 460 500 8.7 $16.10 $33,495 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 41-2021 Counter and Rental Clerks 120 130 8.3 $10.69 $22,235 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-3071 Tellers 120 130 8.3 $11.43 $23,788 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 47-2031 Carpenters 120 130 8.3 $22.04 $45,837 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 120 130 8.3 $20.02 $41,657 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 35-9011 Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers 140 150 7.1 $8.07 $16,784 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 47-2073 Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators 140 150 7.1 $18.74 $38,994 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing 140 150 7.1 $13.62 $28,326 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 29-1111 Registered Nurses 290 310 6.9 $35.30 $73,424 Associate Degree 35-3022 Counter Attendants, Cafeteria, Food Concession, and Coffee Shop 290 310 6.9 $8.17 $16,979 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 150 160 6.7 $27.16 $56,490 Bachelor's Degree

11-9011 Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers 660 700 6.1 N/A N/A Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some Work

Experience 31-1012 Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants 170 180 5.9 N/A N/A Short-Term On-the-Job Training 49-3031 Bus and Truck Mechanics and Diesel Engine Specialists 170 180 5.9 $15.14 $31,497 Post-Secondary Vocational Education

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Fastest Growing Occupations 2006-2016

North Coast (Del Norte, Humboldt, Lake, and Mendocino Counties)

SOC Code Occupational Title

Annual Average Employment

Percent Change

Wages and Training

2006 2016 Median Hourly

Median Annual Education & Training Levels

29-2052 Pharmacy Technicians 260 360 38.5 $17.06 $35,481 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 15-1051 Computer Systems Analysts 140 180 28.6 $33.20 $69,076 Bachelor's Degree 25-9031 Instructional Coordinators 220 280 27.3 $32.89 $68,399 Master's Degree 29-1051 Pharmacists 220 280 27.3 $58.82 $122,339 First Professional Degree - LLD/MD 39-3011 Gaming Dealers 360 450 25.0 N/A N/A Post-Secondary Vocational Education

25-2041 Special Education Teachers, Preschool, Kindergarten, and Elementary School 170 210 23.5 [2] $58,247 Bachelor's Degree

19-2041 Environmental Scientists and Specialists, Including Health 140 170 21.4 $33.89 $70,491 Bachelor's Degree 39-9021 Personal and Home Care Aides 3,080 3,710 20.5 $10.38 $21,600 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 570 680 19.3 $14.11 $29,357 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 53-3021 Bus Drivers, Transit and Intercity 160 190 18.8 $16.09 $33,474 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training

13-1111 Management Analysts 330 390 18.2 $23.38 $48,644 Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some

Work Experience 51-8031 Water and Liquid Waste Treatment Plant and System Operators 220 260 18.2 $23.06 $47,958 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 21-1093 Social and Human Service Assistants 290 340 17.2 $13.00 $27,042 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2012 Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 180 210 16.7 [2] $51,386 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 33-2011 Fire Fighters 550 640 16.4 $20.68 $43,006 Long-Term On-the-Job Training

11-9033 Education Administrators, Postsecondary 190 220 15.8 $33.80 $70,315 Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some

Work Experience 39-1012 Slot Key Persons 190 220 15.8 $10.85 $22,574 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 19-3031 Clinical, Counseling, and School Psychologists 130 150 15.4 $33.64 $69,958 Doctoral Degree 33-3012 Correctional Officers and Jailers 800 920 15.0 N/A N/A Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 1,460 1,670 14.4 [2] $53,991 Bachelor's Degree 21-1092 Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists 210 240 14.3 $14.83 $30,846 Bachelor's Degree 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 3,640 4,150 14.0 $9.87 $20,534 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 45-4011 Forest and Conservation Workers 290 330 13.8 N/A N/A Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training

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25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 690 780 13.0 [2] $60,575 Bachelor's Degree 53-3022 Bus Drivers, School 230 260 13.0 $15.81 $32,871 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

11-9011 Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers 650 730 12.3 $28.02 $58,274 Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some

Work Experience 33-3051 Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers 490 550 12.2 $34.69 $72,138 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 31-1011 Home Health Aides 750 840 12.0 $9.25 $19,244 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

25-3021 Self-Enrichment Education Teachers 350 390 11.4 $16.98 $35,328 Work Experience in a Related

Occupation 29-1111 Registered Nurses 1,510 1,680 11.3 $31.67 $65,856 Associate Degree 21-1021 Child, Family, and School Social Workers 180 200 11.1 $18.50 $38,486 Bachelor's Degree 47-2181 Roofers 190 210 10.5 $21.06 $43,794 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 47-2121 Glaziers 200 220 10.0 $10.55 $21,933 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 35-3021 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 2,410 2,650 10.0 $8.81 $18,321 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 51-3011 Bakers 210 230 9.5 $11.45 $23,801 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 13-2011 Accountants and Auditors 540 590 9.3 $22.20 $46,193 Bachelor's Degree 31-9092 Medical Assistants 760 830 9.2 $13.72 $28,527 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 39-9032 Recreation Workers 550 600 9.1 $9.84 $20,463 Bachelor's Degree 41-2021 Counter and Rental Clerks 670 730 9.0 $8.98 $18,681 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 27-2022 Coaches and Scouts 120 130 8.3 [2] $38,035 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 27-3031 Public Relations Specialists 120 130 8.3 $16.27 $33,851 Bachelor's Degree 39-2021 Nonfarm Animal Caretakers 120 130 8.3 $8.77 $18,240 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-4161 Human Resources Assistants, Except Payroll and Timekeeping 120 130 8.3 $16.99 $35,355 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-9041 Teacher Assistants 1,920 2,070 7.8 N/A $25,001 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

13-1041 Compliance Officers, Except Agriculture, Construction, Health and Safety, and Transportation 130 140 7.7 $19.51 $40,583 Long-Term On-the-Job Training

15-1041 Computer Support Specialists 260 280 7.7 $16.53 $34,384 Associate Degree 25-4031 Library Technicians 130 140 7.7 $14.22 $29,585 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 29-2041 Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics 260 280 7.7 $12.65 $26,314 Post-Secondary Vocational Education

41-4011 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Technical and Scientific Products 130 140 7.7 $32.11 $66,774 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training

49-3093 Tire Repairers and Changers 130 140 7.7 $8.94 $18,593 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Fastest Growing Occupations 2006-2016

Yuba City Metropolitan Statistical Area (Sutter and Yuba Counties)

SOC Code Occupational Title

Annual Average Employment

Percent Change

Wages and Training

2006 2016 Median Hourly

Median Annual Education & Training Levels

31-1011 Home Health Aides 160 220 37.5 $9.22 $19,192 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 31-9092 Medical Assistants 320 430 34.4 $13.10 $27,247 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 29-1111 Registered Nurses 820 1080 31.7 $35.82 $74,501 Associate Degree 39-9021 Personal and Home Care Aides 850 1110 30.6 $9.02 $18,742 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 31-9091 Dental Assistants 230 290 26.1 $15.82 $32,913 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 43-4051 Customer Service Representatives 470 590 25.5 $11.46 $23,839 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 25-3011 Adult Literacy, Remedial Education, and GED Teachers and Instructors 120 150 25.0 N/A N/A Bachelor's Degree 25-2012 Kindergarten Teachers, Except Special Education 170 210 23.5 [2] $73,085 Bachelor's Degree 25-2021 Elementary School Teachers, Except Special Education 930 1130 21.5 [2] $68,081 Bachelor's Degree 35-3021 Combined Food Preparation and Serving Workers, Including Fast Food 980 1180 20.4 $8.25 $17,153 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 39-9011 Child Care Workers 450 540 20.0 $10.29 $21,396 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 39-3091 Amusement and Recreation Attendants 150 180 20.0 $9.14 $19,018 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 41-2031 Retail Salespersons 1540 1840 19.5 $9.50 $19,754 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 310 370 19.4 $14.41 $29,975 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 25-2022 Middle School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 580 690 19.0 [2] $61,364 Bachelor's Degree 35-2021 Food Preparation Workers 160 190 18.8 $8.73 $18,158 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

41-4012 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Except Technical and Scientific Products 380 450 18.4 $29.18 $60,689 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training

43-6013 Medical Secretaries 220 260 18.2 $13.11 $27,262 Post-Secondary Vocational Education

11-9011 Farm, Ranch, and Other Agricultural Managers 510 600 17.6 N/A N/A Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some

Work Experience 39-5012 Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists 170 200 17.6 $10.04 $20,873 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 31-1012 Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants 400 470 17.5 $11.89 $24,726 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 37-3011 Landscaping and Groundskeeping Workers 770 900 16.9 $11.20 $23,291 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 25-2031 Secondary School Teachers, Except Special and Vocational Education 300 350 16.7 [2] N/A Bachelor's Degree

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21-1012 Educational, Vocational, and School Counselors 250 290 16.0 $22.48 $46,751 Master's Degree 29-2061 Licensed Practical and Licensed Vocational Nurses 250 290 16.0 $20.61 $42,875 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 53-3033 Truck Drivers, Light or Delivery Services 380 440 15.8 $11.71 $24,359 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 190 220 15.8 $10.48 $21,805 Long-Term On-the-Job Training

13-1111 Management Analysts 130 150 15.4 $27.62 $57,443 Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some

Work Experience 51-8031 Water and Liquid Waste Treatment Plant and System Operators 130 150 15.4 $25.42 $52,882 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 25-9041 Teacher Assistants 660 760 15.2 N/A $27,677 Short-Term On-the-Job Training

11-9032 Education Administrators, Elementary and Secondary School 200 230 15.0 N/A $96,375 Bachelor's Degree or Higher and Some

Work Experience 41-2021 Counter and Rental Clerks 300 340 13.3 $9.22 $19,187 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 49-3023 Automotive Service Technicians and Mechanics 300 340 13.3 $15.97 $33,219 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 53-3022 Bus Drivers, School 150 170 13.3 $16.67 $34,651 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 33-9032 Security Guards 230 260 13.0 $9.33 $19,418 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 37-2011 Janitors and Cleaners, Except Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 620 700 12.9 $11.17 $23,240 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 35-1012 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Food Preparation and Serving Workers 310 350 12.9 $10.87 $22,615 Work Experience in a Related Occupation 15-1041 Computer Support Specialists 160 180 12.5 $18.22 $37,912 Associate Degree 37-2012 Maids and Housekeeping Cleaners 160 180 12.5 $9.70 $20,176 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 53-7061 Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment 160 180 12.5 $8.77 $18,241 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 33-3051 Police and Sheriff's Patrol Officers 330 370 12.1 $28.32 $58,910 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 35-3022 Counter Attendants, Cafeteria, Food Concession, and Coffee Shop 250 280 12.0 $9.05 $18,834 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 33-2011 Fire Fighters 170 190 11.8 $23.89 $49,677 Long-Term On-the-Job Training 51-4121 Welders, Cutters, Solderers, and Brazers 170 190 11.8 $16.12 $33,515 Post-Secondary Vocational Education 43-4171 Receptionists and Information Clerks 350 390 11.4 $11.69 $24,319 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 43-6011 Executive Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 530 590 11.3 $20.46 $42,549 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 35-9021 Dishwashers 180 200 11.1 $8.00 $16,640 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 53-3032 Truck Drivers, Heavy and Tractor-Trailer 550 610 10.9 $18.15 $37,761 Moderate-Term On-the-Job Training 43-9061 Office Clerks, General 920 1020 10.9 $12.02 $25,004 Short-Term On-the-Job Training 41-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Retail Sales Workers 670 740 10.4 $15.69 $32,653 Work Experience in a Related Occupation

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Table 29: Declining or Stable Occupations

North Valley Region (Colusa, Glenn, and Tehama Counties)

SOC Code Occupational Title

Annual Average

Employment Employment Change Average Annual Job Openings

2006 2016 Numerical Percent New Jobs

Net Replacements Total

11-0000 Management Occupations 11-1000 Top Executives 420 410 -10 -2.4 0 10 10 11-1011 Chief Executives 90 80 -10 -11.1 0 2 2 11-1021 General and Operations Managers 290 290 0 0.0 0 7 7 11-1031 Legislators 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

11-2000 Advertising, Marketing, Promotions, Public Relations, and Sales Managers 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

11-3011 Administrative Services Managers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 11-3041 Compensation and Benefits Managers 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2 11-9012 Farmers and Ranchers 2,950 2,950 0 0.0 0 27 27 11-9041 Engineering Managers 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 11-9051 Food Service Managers 80 70 -10 -12.5 0 2 2 11-9111 Medical and Health Services Managers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 11-9131 Postmasters and Mail Superintendents 20 20 0 0.0 0 1 1

11-9141 Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers 80 80 0 0.0 0 1 1

13-0000 Business and Financial Operations Occupations

13-1023 Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, and Farm Products 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

13-1041 Compliance Officers, Except Agriculture, Construction, Health and Safety, and Transportation 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0

13-1051 Cost Estimators 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 13-1071 Employment, Recruitment, and Placement Specialists 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 13-1073 Training and Development Specialists 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 15-0000 Computer and Mathematical Occupations 15-1051 Computer Systems Analysts 20 20 0 0.0 0 1 1 17-0000 Architecture and Engineering Occupations 17-1000 Architects, Surveyors, and Cartographers 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2 17-1022 Surveyors 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

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17-2051 Civil Engineers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 17-2199 Engineers, All Other 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 17-3029 Engineering Technicians, Except Drafters, All Other 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 19-0000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Occupations 19-1000 Life Scientists 110 110 0 0.0 0 2 2 19-1023 Zoologists and Wildlife Biologists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 19-2000 Physical Scientists 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 19-3051 Urban and Regional Planners 20 20 0 0.0 0 1 1 19-4000 Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians 140 140 0 0.0 0 5 5 19-4021 Biological Technicians 20 20 0 0.0 0 1 1 19-4093 Forest and Conservation Technicians 100 100 0 0.0 0 4 4 21-0000 Community and Social Services Occupations 21-1011 Substance Abuse and Behavioral Disorder Counselors 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 21-1092 Probation Officers and Correctional Treatment Specialists 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 21-1099 Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 23-0000 Legal Occupations 23-2000 Legal Support Workers 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 25-0000 Education, Training, and Library Occupations 25-4021 Librarians 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 25-9031 Instructional Coordinators 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0

27-0000 Arts, Design, Entertainment, Sports, and Media Occupations

27-1000 Art and Design Workers 50 40 -10 -20.0 0 1 1 27-1023 Floral Designers 20 20 0 0.0 0 1 1 29-0000 Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 29-1021 Dentists, General 20 10 -10 -50.0 0 0 0 29-1069 Physicians and Surgeons, All Other 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 29-1071 Physician Assistants 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 29-1122 Occupational Therapists 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 29-1123 Physical Therapists 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 29-1126 Respiratory Therapists 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 29-1131 Veterinarians 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 29-2011 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 29-2012 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technicians 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 29-2021 Dental Hygienists 70 70 0 0.0 0 1 1 29-2041 Emergency Medical Technicians and Paramedics 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 29-2071 Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 29-9000 Other Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

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31-0000 Healthcare Support Occupations 31-9091 Dental Assistants 90 90 0 0.0 0 2 2 31-9096 Veterinary Assistants and Laboratory Animal Caretakers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 31-9099 Healthcare Support Workers, All Other 80 80 0 0.0 0 1 1 33-0000 Protective Service Occupations 33-1012 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Police and Detectives 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

33-1021 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Fire Fighting and Prevention Workers 70 70 0 0.0 0 2 2

33-1099 First-Line Supervisors/Managers, Protective Service Workers, All Other 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0

33-3012 Correctional Officers and Jailers 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 33-9031 Gaming Surveillance Officers and Gaming Investigators 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

33-9092 Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers 20 20 0 0.0 0 2 2

35-0000 Food Preparation and Serving Related Occupations 35-2011 Cooks, Fast Food 300 300 0 0.0 0 8 8 35-2015 Cooks, Short Order 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 35-3011 Bartenders 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2 35-9021 Dishwashers 160 160 0 0.0 0 6 6

35-9031 Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop 70 70 0 0.0 0 5 5

37-0000 Building and Grounds Cleaning and Maintenance Occupations

39-0000 Personal Care and Service Occupations 39-2021 Nonfarm Animal Caretakers 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 39-5000 Personal Appearance Workers 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 39-5012 Hairdressers, Hairstylists, and Cosmetologists 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 39-9031 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 41-0000 Sales and Related Occupations 41-2011 Cashiers 930 930 0 0.0 0 44 44 41-2022 Parts Salespersons 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

41-3031 Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

41-9000 Other Sales and Related Workers 80 80 0 0.0 0 1 1 41-9022 Real Estate Sales Agents 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-0000 Office and Administrative Support Occupations 43-1000 Supervisors, Office and Administrative Support Workers 240 240 0 0.0 0 5 5

43-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Office and Administrative Support Workers 240 240 0 0.0 0 5 5

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43-2000 Communications Equipment Operators 40 30 -10 -25.0 0 1 1 43-2011 Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service 40 30 -10 -25.0 0 1 1 43-3011 Bill and Account Collectors 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-3021 Billing and Posting Clerks and Machine Operators 130 130 0 0.0 0 2 2 43-3041 Gaming Cage Workers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-3051 Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2 43-4061 Eligibility Interviewers, Government Programs 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-4071 File Clerks 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1 43-4131 Loan Interviewers and Clerks 50 40 -10 -20.0 0 1 1 43-4151 Order Clerks 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

43-4161 Human Resources Assistants, Except Payroll and Timekeeping 40 40 0 0.0 0 0 0

43-5000 Material Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching, and Distributing Workers 840 820 -20 -2.4 0 21 21

43-5031 Police, Fire, and Ambulance Dispatchers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-5032 Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance 80 70 -10 -12.5 0 2 2 43-5051 Postal Service Clerks 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-5052 Postal Service Mail Carriers 90 80 -10 -11.1 0 3 3

43-5053 Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0

43-5071 Shipping, Receiving, and Traffic Clerks 150 150 0 0.0 0 4 4 43-5081 Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 310 290 -20 -6.5 0 7 7

43-5111 Weighers, Measurers, Checkers, and Samplers, Recordkeeping 40 30 -10 -25.0 0 1 1

43-6012 Legal Secretaries 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-6013 Medical Secretaries 150 130 -20 -13.3 0 2 2 43-6014 Secretaries, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 440 440 0 0.0 0 7 7 43-9022 Word Processors and Typists 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 43-9041 Insurance Claims and Policy Processing Clerks 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 43-9199 Office and Administrative Support Workers, All Other 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1 45-0000 Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Occupations 45-1000 Supervisors, Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers 180 180 0 0.0 0 3 3

45-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers 180 180 0 0.0 0 3 3

45-2000 Agricultural Workers 4,050 4,030 -20 -0.5 0 99 99 45-2041 Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products 220 220 0 0.0 0 3 3 45-2091 Agricultural Equipment Operators 220 200 -20 -9.1 0 5 5

45-2092 Farmworkers and Laborers, Crop, Nursery, and Greenhouse 3,280 3,280 0 0.0 0 82 82

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NORTH CENTRAL COUNTIES ECONOMIC TRENDS & WORKFORCE OPPORTUNITIES

November 2010 89

45-2093 Farmworkers, Farm and Ranch Animals 270 250 -20 -7.4 0 7 7 45-2099 Agricultural Workers, All Other 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2 45-4011 Forest and Conservation Workers 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1 45-4021 Fallers 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 45-4023 Log Graders and Scalers 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1 47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 47-2081 Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers 130 130 0 0.0 0 2 2 47-2111 Electricians 90 90 0 0.0 0 2 2 47-2221 Structural Iron and Steel Workers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 47-3000 Helpers, Construction Trades 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 47-3019 Helpers, Construction Trades, All Other 20 20 0 0.0 0 1 1 49-0000 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Occupations

49-2000 Electrical and Electronic Equipment Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 100 90 -10 -10.0 0 3 3

49-2022 Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers 50 40 -10 -20.0 0 1 1

49-2096 Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1

49-3021 Automotive Body and Related Repairers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 49-3041 Farm Equipment Mechanics 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 49-3042 Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 49-3093 Tire Repairers and Changers 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

49-9012 Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0

49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1 49-9043 Maintenance Workers, Machinery 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 49-9044 Millwrights 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 49-9051 Electrical Power-Line Installers and Repairers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 49-9052 Telecommunications Line Installers and Repairers 60 50 -10 -16.7 0 2 2

49-9091 Coin, Vending, and Amusement Machine Servicers and Repairers 20 20 0 0.0 0 1 1

49-9098 Helpers--Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-0000 Production Occupations 51-1000 Supervisors, Production Workers 150 140 -10 -6.7 0 2 2

51-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Production and Operating Workers 150 140 -10 -6.7 0 2 2

51-2000 Assemblers and Fabricators 440 390 -50 -11.4 0 9 9 51-2092 Team Assemblers 100 70 -30 -30.0 0 2 2 51-2099 Assemblers and Fabricators, All Other 310 280 -30 -9.7 0 6 6

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November 2010 90

51-3000 Food Processing Workers 220 220 0 0.0 0 7 7 51-3011 Bakers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-3021 Butchers and Meat Cutters 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-3022 Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-3092 Food Batchmakers 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2 51-3093 Food Cooking Machine Operators and Tenders 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-4000 Metal Workers and Plastic Workers 360 340 -20 -5.6 0 8 8

51-4021 Extruding and Drawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1

51-4031 Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic 130 110 -20 -15.4 0 3 3

51-4041 Machinists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

51-4122 Welding, Soldering, and Brazing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

51-5000 Printing Workers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-5023 Printing Machine Operators 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-6000 Textile, Apparel, and Furnishings Workers 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-7000 Woodworkers 200 200 0 0.0 0 5 5 51-7041 Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-9000 Other Production Occupations 1,060 950 -110 -10.4 0 21 21

51-9012 Separating, Filtering, Clarifying, Precipitating, and Still Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

51-9021 Crushing, Grinding, and Polishing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 110 90 -20 -18.2 0 2 2

51-9023 Mixing and Blending Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 20 10 -10 -50.0 0 0 0

51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers 70 60 -10 -14.3 0 1 1 51-9111 Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders 400 340 -60 -15.0 0 7 7

51-9121 Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 110 110 0 0.0 0 2 2

51-9132 Photographic Processing Machine Operators 20 10 -10 -50.0 0 1 1 51-9195 Molders, Shapers, and Casters, Except Metal and Plastic 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1 51-9198 Helpers--Production Workers 170 170 0 0.0 0 4 4 51-9199 Production Workers, All Other 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations

53-1031 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators 70 70 0 0.0 0 1 1

53-3022 Bus Drivers, School 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

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November 2010 91

53-3031 Driver/Sales Workers 130 130 0 0.0 0 2 2 53-3033 Truck Drivers, Light or Delivery Services 320 320 0 0.0 0 6 6 53-3041 Taxi Drivers and Chauffeurs 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 53-3099 Motor Vehicle Operators, All Other 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 53-6000 Other Transportation Workers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 53-6021 Parking Lot Attendants 20 20 0 0.0 0 1 1 53-7000 Material Moving Workers 1,960 1,820 -140 -7.1 0 50 50 53-7032 Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators 20 20 0 0.0 0 0 0 53-7051 Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators 350 300 -50 -14.3 0 9 9 53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 700 690 -10 -1.4 0 22 22 53-7063 Machine Feeders and Offbearers 500 440 -60 -12.0 0 9 9 53-7064 Packers and Packagers, Hand 180 160 -20 -11.1 0 2 2

Source: California Employment Development Department

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November 2010 93

Declining or Stable Occupations 2006-2016

North Coast Region (Del Norte, Humboldt, Lake, and Mendocino Counties)

SOC Code Occupational Title

Annual Average Employment Employment Change Average Annual Job Openings

2006 2016 Numerical Percent New Jobs

Net Replacements Total

11-2011 Advertising and Promotions Managers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

11-3011 Administrative Services Managers 100 100 0 0.0 0 3 3 11-3041 Compensation and Benefits Managers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 11-3049 Human Resources Managers, All Other 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 50 50 0 0.0 0 2 2 11-3061 Purchasing Managers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 11-3071 Transportation, Storage, and Distribution Managers 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2 11-9012 Farmers and Ranchers 2,520 2,490 -30 -1.2 0 23 23

11-9031 Education Administrators, Preschool and Child Care Center/Program 110 110 0 0.0 0 3 3 11-9041 Engineering Managers 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1 11-9051 Food Service Managers 460 450 -10 -2.2 0 11 11 11-9081 Lodging Managers 130 120 -10 -7.7 0 3 3 11-9121 Natural Sciences Managers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 11-9131 Postmasters and Mail Superintendents 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2 11-9141 Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers 380 370 -10 -2.6 0 5 5 11-1000 Top Executives 1,730 1,730 0 0.0 0 42 42 11-1011 Chief Executives 220 220 0 0.0 0 6 6 11-1021 General and Operations Managers 1,370 1,370 0 0.0 0 33 33 13-1022 Wholesale and Retail Buyers, Except Farm Products 130 120 -10 -7.7 0 3 3

13-1023 Purchasing Agents, Except Wholesale, Retail, and Farm Products 110 110 0 0.0 0 2 2 13-1031 Claims Adjusters, Examiners, and Investigators 110 110 0 0.0 0 3 3

13-1071 Employment, Recruitment, and Placement Specialists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

13-2021 Appraisers and Assessors of Real Estate 70 70 0 0.0 0 1 1

13-2041 Credit Analysts 40 40 0 0.0 0 2 2

15-1021 Computer Programmers 90 80 -10 -11.1 0 2 2

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November 2010 94

15-1099 Computer Specialists, All Other 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

17-1000 Architects, Surveyors, and Cartographers 160 160 0 0.0 0 4 4

17-1011 Architects, Except Landscape and Naval 40 30 -10 -25.0 0 1 1

17-1012 Landscape Architects 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

17-2051 Civil Engineers 310 310 0 0.0 0 8 8

17-2072 Electronics Engineers, Except Computer 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

17-2199 Engineers, All Other 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

17-3011 Architectural and Civil Drafters 80 70 -10 -12.5 0 2 2

17-3022 Civil Engineering Technicians 100 100 0 0.0 0 2 2

17-3023 Electrical and Electronic Engineering Technicians 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

17-3025 Environmental Engineering Technicians 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

17-3031 Surveying and Mapping Technicians 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

19-1013 Soil and Plant Scientists 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

19-1021 Biochemists and Biophysicists 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

19-1023 Zoologists and Wildlife Biologists 70 70 0 0.0 0 1 1

19-1029 Biological Scientists, All Other 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

19-1031 Conservation Scientists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

19-1032 Foresters 70 70 0 0.0 0 2 2

19-2031 Chemists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

19-2042 Geoscientists, Except Hydrologists and Geographers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

19-4021 Biological Technicians 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2

19-4091 Environmental Science and Protection Technicians, Including Health 40 40 0 0.0 0 2 2

19-4099 Life, Physical, and Social Science Technicians, All Other 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

21-1013 Marriage and Family Therapists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

21-1014 Mental Health Counselors 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

21-1015 Rehabilitation Counselors 100 100 0 0.0 0 2 2

21-1029 Social Workers, All Other 80 80 0 0.0 0 2 2

21-1099 Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

23-1000 Lawyers, Judges, and Related Workers 200 200 0 0.0 0 4 4

23-1011 Lawyers 160 160 0 0.0 0 3 3

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November 2010 95

23-2093 Title Examiners, Abstractors, and Searchers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

25-1121 Art, Drama, and Music Teachers, Postsecondary 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0

25-2011 Preschool Teachers, Except Special Education 230 220 -10 -4.3 0 4 4

25-2032 Vocational Education Teachers, Secondary School 230 220 -10 -4.3 0 7 7

25-4021 Librarians 80 80 0 0.0 0 2 2

27-1025 Interior Designers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

27-1026 Merchandise Displayers and Window Trimmers 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

27-2000 Entertainers and Performers, Sports and Related Workers 240 240 0 0.0 0 6 6

27-2012 Producers and Directors 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1

27-2042 Musicians and Singers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

27-3011 Radio and Television Announcers 40 30 -10 -25.0 0 1 1

27-3012 Public Address System and Other Announcers 40 30 -10 -25.0 0 1 1

27-3022 Reporters and Correspondents 100 100 0 0.0 0 3 3

27-3041 Editors 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

27-3043 Writers and Authors 100 100 0 0.0 0 2 2

27-4012 Broadcast Technicians 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

27-4021 Photographers 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

29-1021 Dentists, General 160 140 -20 -12.5 0 3 3

29-1031 Dietitians and Nutritionists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

29-1062 Family and General Practitioners 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

29-1064 Obstetricians and Gynecologists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

29-1065 Pediatricians, General 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1

29-1067 Surgeons 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

29-1069 Physicians and Surgeons, All Other 140 140 0 0.0 0 3 3

29-1131 Veterinarians 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

29-2011 Medical and Clinical Laboratory Technologists 160 160 0 0.0 0 2 2

29-2021 Dental Hygienists 100 100 0 0.0 0 2 2

29-2034 Radiologic Technologists and Technicians 100 100 0 0.0 0 1 1

29-2053 Psychiatric Technicians 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1

29-2055 Surgical Technologists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

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November 2010 96

29-2071 Medical Records and Health Information Technicians 140 140 0 0.0 0 4 4

29-2081 Opticians, Dispensing 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1

29-2099 Health Technologists and Technicians, All Other 40 40 0 0.0 0 0 0

29-9000 Other Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

31-1012 Nursing Aides, Orderlies, and Attendants 470 450 -20 -4.3 0 4 4

31-1013 Psychiatric Aides 140 140 0 0.0 0 1 1

31-2000 Occupational and Physical Therapist Assistants and Aides 100 100 0 0.0 0 1 1

31-2022 Physical Therapist Aides 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

31-9011 Massage Therapists 80 80 0 0.0 0 1 1

31-9093 Medical Equipment Preparers 40 40 0 0.0 0 0 0

31-9094 Medical Transcriptionists 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

31-9095 Pharmacy Aides 130 120 -10 -7.7 0 2 2

31-9096 Veterinary Assistants and Laboratory Animal Caretakers 130 130 0 0.0 0 2 2

33-1012 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Police and Detectives 50 50 0 0.0 0 2 2

33-1099 First-Line Supervisors/Managers, Protective Service Workers, All Other

80 80 0 0.0 0 1 1

33-3041 Parking Enforcement Workers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

33-9091 Crossing Guards 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2

35-1011 Chefs and Head Cooks 80 80 0 0.0 0 1 1

35-2011 Cooks, Fast Food 850 840 -10 -1.2 0 23 23

35-2012 Cooks, Institution and Cafeteria 290 290 0 0.0 0 8 8

35-2014 Cooks, Restaurant 830 830 0 0.0 0 22 22

35-2015 Cooks, Short Order 340 330 -10 -2.9 0 9 9

35-2019 Cooks, All Other 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

35-3011 Bartenders 450 450 0 0.0 0 17 17

35-3022 Counter Attendants, Cafeteria, Food Concession, and Coffee Shop 860 860 0 0.0 0 60 60

35-3031 Waiters and Waitresses 2,190 2,180 -10 -0.5 0 119 119

35-3041 Food Servers, Non-restaurant 90 90 0 0.0 0 1 1

35-9000 Other Food Preparation and Serving Related Workers 1,380 1,370 -10 -0.7 0 63 63

35-9011 Dining Room and Cafeteria Attendants and Bartender Helpers 510 510 0 0.0 0 21 21

35-9021 Dishwashers 610 610 0 0.0 0 25 25

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November 2010 97

35-9031 Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop 240 240 0 0.0 0 16 16

37-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers

200 200 0 0.0 0 3 3

37-2019 Building Cleaning Workers, All Other 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

37-2021 Pest Control Workers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

37-3012 Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

37-3013 Tree Trimmers and Pruners 170 160 -10 -5.9 0 2 2

39-3031 Ushers, Lobby Attendants, and Ticket Takers 30 30 0 0.0 0 2 2

39-5000 Personal Appearance Workers 340 340 0 0.0 0 5 5

39-5011 Barbers 160 150 -10 -6.3 0 3 3

39-6000 Transportation, Tourism, and Lodging Attendants 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

39-9031 Fitness Trainers and Aerobics Instructors 360 350 -10 -2.8 0 7 7

41-1012 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Non-Retail Sales Workers 160 160 0 0.0 0 2 2

41-2012 Gaming Change Persons and Booth Cashiers 50 50 0 0.0 0 2 2

41-2022 Parts Salespersons 130 120 -10 -7.7 0 2 2

41-3041 Travel Agents 40 30 -10 -25.0 0 0 0

41-9000 Other Sales and Related Workers 580 570 -10 -1.7 0 13 13

41-9021 Real Estate Brokers 110 100 -10 -9.1 0 2 2

41-9022 Real Estate Sales Agents 110 100 -10 -9.1 0 2 2

41-9041 Telemarketers 60 40 -20 -33.3 0 2 2

41-9099 Sales and Related Workers, All Other 70 70 0 0.0 0 1 1

43-1000 Supervisors, Office and Administrative Support Workers 1,120 1,080 -40 -3.6 0 23 23

43-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Office and Administrative Support Workers 1,120 1,080 -40 -3.6 0 23 23

43-2000 Communications Equipment Operators 100 80 -20 -20.0 0 2 2

43-2011 Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service 100 80 -20 -20.0 0 2 2

43-3011 Bill and Account Collectors 90 90 0 0.0 0 1 1

43-3021 Billing and Posting Clerks and Machine Operators 370 340 -30 -8.1 0 5 5

43-3041 Gaming Cage Workers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

43-3051 Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks 270 260 -10 -3.7 0 7 7

43-3061 Procurement Clerks 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

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November 2010 98

43-4071 File Clerks 130 70 -60 -46.2 0 3 3

43-4111 Interviewers, Except Eligibility and Loan 150 150 0 0.0 0 4 4

43-4121 Library Assistants, Clerical 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

43-4131 Loan Interviewers and Clerks 140 130 -10 -7.1 0 2 2

43-4141 New Accounts Clerks 110 80 -30 -27.3 0 3 3

43-4151 Order Clerks 130 110 -20 -15.4 0 3 3

43-4181 Reservation and Transportation Ticket Agents and Travel Clerks 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

43-4199 Information and Record Clerks, All Other 340 290 -50 -14.7 0 5 5

43-5000 Material Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching, and Distributing Workers 2,760 2,710 -50 -1.8 0 68 68

43-5032 Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance 120 120 0 0.0 0 3 3

43-5041 Meter Readers, Utilities 80 70 -10 -12.5 0 3 3

43-5051 Postal Service Clerks 140 140 0 0.0 0 3 3

43-5052 Postal Service Mail Carriers 260 260 0 0.0 0 8 8

43-5053 Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators

100 90 -10 -10.0 0 1 1

43-5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks 100 100 0 0.0 0 3 3

43-5081 Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 1,140 1,080 -60 -5.3 0 27 27 43-5111 Weighers, Measurers, Checkers, and Samplers, Recordkeeping 70 60 -10 -14.3 0 2 2 43-6000 Secretaries and Administrative Assistants 2,960 2,940 -20 -0.7 0 47 47

43-6012 Legal Secretaries 170 160 -10 -5.9 0 3 3

43-6013 Medical Secretaries 630 600 -30 -4.8 0 10 10

43-6014 Secretaries, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 930 880 -50 -5.4 0 15 15

43-9011 Computer Operators 50 40 -10 -20.0 0 1 1

43-9021 Data Entry Keyers 50 40 -10 -20.0 0 1 1

43-9022 Word Processors and Typists 100 80 -20 -20.0 0 2 2

43-9041 Insurance Claims and Policy Processing Clerks 110 110 0 0.0 0 1 1

43-9199 Office and Administrative Support Workers, All Other 120 110 -10 -8.3 0 3 3

45-1000 Supervisors, Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers 250 250 0 0.0 0 5 5

45-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers

250 250 0 0.0 0 5 5

45-2041 Graders and Sorters, Agricultural Products 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

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November 2010 99

45-2091 Agricultural Equipment Operators 240 230 -10 -4.2 0 6 6

45-2093 Farmworkers, Farm and Ranch Animals 250 240 -10 -4.0 0 6 6

45-2099 Agricultural Workers, All Other 160 160 0 0.0 0 4 4

45-3000 Fishing and Hunting Workers 250 230 -20 -8.0 0 4 4

45-3011 Fishers and Related Fishing Workers 250 230 -20 -8.0 0 4 4

45-4021 Fallers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

45-4022 Logging Equipment Operators 250 250 0 0.0 0 5 5

45-4023 Log Graders and Scalers 100 80 -20 -20.0 0 2 2

47-1000 Supervisors, Construction and Extraction Workers 470 470 0 0.0 0 7 7

47-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 470 470 0 0.0 0 7 7

47-2021 Brickmasons and Blockmasons 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

47-2031 Carpenters 1,730 1,640 -90 -5.2 0 23 23

47-2041 Carpet Installers 100 100 0 0.0 0 1 1

47-2042 Floor Layers, Except Carpet, Wood, and Hard Tiles 40 30 -10 -25.0 0 1 1

47-2051 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers 110 110 0 0.0 0 3 3

47-2161 Plasterers and Stucco Masons 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

47-2211 Sheet Metal Workers 90 90 0 0.0 0 2 2

47-3000 Helpers, Construction Trades 290 260 -30 -10.3 0 8 8

47-3012 Helpers--Carpenters 150 110 -40 -26.7 0 4 4

47-5000 Extraction Workers 100 100 0 0.0 0 3 3

47-5021 Earth Drillers, Except Oil and Gas 50 40 -10 -20.0 0 2 2

47-5042 Mine Cutting and Channeling Machine Operators 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

49-2011 Computer, Automated Teller, and Office Machine Repairers 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

49-2022 Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers 120 120 0 0.0 0 3 3

49-2096 Electronic Equipment Installers and Repairers, Motor Vehicles 80 80 0 0.0 0 3 3

49-2098 Security and Fire Alarm Systems Installers 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0

49-3021 Automotive Body and Related Repairers 110 110 0 0.0 0 3 3

49-3051 Motorboat Mechanics 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

49-9012 Control and Valve Installers and Repairers, Except Mechanical Door 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

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November 2010 100

49-9021 Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 230 230 0 0.0 0 4 4

49-9043 Maintenance Workers, Machinery 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

49-9044 Millwrights 150 130 -20 -13.3 0 2 2

49-9052 Telecommunications Line Installers and Repairers 110 110 0 0.0 0 3 3

49-9062 Medical Equipment Repairers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

49-9091 Coin, Vending, and Amusement Machine Servicers and Repairers 80 70 -10 -12.5 0 2 2

49-9096 Riggers 50 50 0 0.0 0 0 0

49-9098 Helpers--Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 90 90 0 0.0 0 2 2

49-9099 Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers, All Other 250 240 -10 -4.0 0 2 2

51-0000 Production Occupations 4,890 4,750 -140 -2.9 0 104 104

51-1000 Supervisors, Production Workers 320 320 0 0.0 0 5 5

51-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Production and Operating Workers 320 320 0 0.0 0 5 5

51-2000 Assemblers and Fabricators 510 490 -20 -3.9 0 11 11

51-2092 Team Assemblers 260 260 0 0.0 0 5 5

51-2099 Assemblers and Fabricators, All Other 250 220 -30 -12.0 0 5 5

51-4031 Cutting, Punching, and Press Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic

30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

51-4033 Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic 40 30 -10 -25.0 0 0 0

51-4194 Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners 80 50 -30 -37.5 0 1 1

51-6000 Textile, Apparel, and Furnishings Workers 210 210 0 0.0 0 3 3

51-6011 Laundry and Dry-Cleaning Workers 70 70 0 0.0 0 2 2

51-6031 Sewing Machine Operators 80 80 0 0.0 0 1 1

51-7000 Woodworkers 960 840 -120 -12.5 0 22 22

51-7011 Cabinetmakers and Bench Carpenters 120 110 -10 -8.3 0 4 4

51-7041 Sawing Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Wood 610 520 -90 -14.8 0 12 12

51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing

230 200 -30 -13.0 0 6 6

51-8012 Power Distributors and Dispatchers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

51-8021 Stationary Engineers and Boiler Operators 50 40 -10 -20.0 0 1 1

51-9000 Other Production Occupations 1,250 1,160 -90 -7.2 0 26 26

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November 2010 101

51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers 120 120 0 0.0 0 2 2

51-9071 Jewelers and Precious Stone and Metal Workers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

51-9081 Dental Laboratory Technicians 100 100 0 0.0 0 2 2

51-9111 Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders 270 270 0 0.0 0 5 5

51-9121 Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 150 110 -40 -26.7 0 3 3

51-9122 Painters, Transportation Equipment 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

51-9132 Photographic Processing Machine Operators 60 30 -30 -50.0 0 2 2

51-9198 Helpers--Production Workers 190 180 -10 -5.3 0 5 5

51-9199 Production Workers, All Other 100 100 0 0.0 0 2 2

53-0000 Transportation and Material Moving Occupations 6,210 6,100 -110 -1.8 0 131 131

53-1031 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Transportation and Material-Moving Machine and Vehicle Operators 160 160 0 0.0 0 3 3

53-3011 Ambulance Drivers and Attendants, Except Emergency Medical Technicians 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

53-3031 Driver/Sales Workers 230 200 -30 -13.0 0 4 4

53-3041 Taxi Drivers and Chauffeurs 230 230 0 0.0 0 3 3

53-3099 Motor Vehicle Operators, All Other 150 150 0 0.0 0 2 2

53-5000 Water Transportation Workers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

53-6000 Other Transportation Workers 90 90 0 0.0 0 3 3

53-6021 Parking Lot Attendants 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

53-7000 Material Moving Workers 2,530 2,310 -220 -8.7 0 67 67

53-7032 Excavating and Loading Machine and Dragline Operators 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0

53-7051 Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators 490 420 -70 -14.3 0 12 12

53-7061 Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment 210 210 0 0.0 0 8 8

53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 1,040 970 -70 -6.7 0 33 33

53-7063 Machine Feeders and Offbearers 190 150 -40 -21.1 0 4 4

53-7064 Packers and Packagers, Hand 370 320 -50 -13.5 0 5 5

53-7199 Material Moving Workers, All Other 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Table 30: Occupational Employment Projections, 2006-2016

Yuba City Metropolitan Statistical Area (Sutter and Yuba Counties)

Annual Average

Employment Employment Change Average Annual Job Openings SOC Code Occupational Title 2006 2016 Numerical Percent

New Jobs

Net Replacements Total

51-0000 Production Occupations 2,050 1,940 -110 -5.4 0 46 46 51-7000 Woodworkers 230 150 -80 -34.8 0 6 6

51-7042 Woodworking Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Except Sawing 150 70 -80 -53.3 0 4 4

47-2000 Construction Trades Workers 2,160 2,100 -60 -2.8 0 36 36

43-5000 Material Recording, Scheduling, Dispatching, and Distributing Workers 1,470 1,420 -50 -3.4 0 35 35

43-5081 Stock Clerks and Order Fillers 690 640 -50 -7.2 0 16 16 51-9000 Other Production Occupations 570 520 -50 -8.8 0 12 12 43-3071 Tellers 290 250 -40 -13.8 0 13 13 51-2099 Assemblers and Fabricators, All Other 90 50 -40 -44.4 0 2 2 53-7000 Material Moving Workers 1,220 1,180 -40 -3.3 0 32 32 41-2022 Parts Salespersons 160 130 -30 -18.8 0 2 2 43-4071 File Clerks 80 50 -30 -37.5 0 2 2 53-7063 Machine Feeders and Offbearers 60 30 -30 -50.0 0 1 1 53-7064 Packers and Packagers, Hand 170 140 -30 -17.6 0 2 2 11-9141 Property, Real Estate, and Community Association Managers 320 300 -20 -6.3 0 4 4 43-4151 Order Clerks 80 60 -20 -25.0 0 2 2 47-2031 Carpenters 450 430 -20 -4.4 0 6 6 51-2000 Assemblers and Fabricators 220 200 -20 -9.1 0 5 5 11-1000 Top Executives 680 670 -10 -1.5 0 17 17 11-1011 Chief Executives 130 120 -10 -7.7 0 4 4 11-3051 Industrial Production Managers 40 30 -10 -25.0 0 1 1 13-2082 Tax Preparers 50 40 -10 -20.0 0 1 1 27-1000 Art and Design Workers 150 140 -10 -6.7 0 4 4 43-4131 Loan Interviewers and Clerks 50 40 -10 -20.0 0 1 1

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43-4141 New Accounts Clerks 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1 43-4199 Information and Record Clerks, All Other 110 100 -10 -9.1 0 2 2

43-5053 Postal Service Mail Sorters, Processors, and Processing Machine Operators 100 90 -10 -10.0 0 1 1

43-6012 Legal Secretaries 140 130 -10 -7.1 0 2 2 43-9021 Data Entry Keyers 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1 45-2091 Agricultural Equipment Operators 140 130 -10 -7.1 0 3 3 45-4000 Forest, Conservation, and Logging Workers 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1 47-0000 Construction and Extraction Occupations 2,710 2,700 -10 -0.4 0 45 45 47-2043 Floor Sanders and Finishers 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 0 0 47-2061 Construction Laborers 340 330 -10 -2.9 0 3 3 47-2081 Drywall and Ceiling Tile Installers 70 60 -10 -14.3 0 1 1 47-2152 Plumbers, Pipefitters, and Steamfitters 300 290 -10 -3.3 0 6 6 47-2221 Structural Iron and Steel Workers 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1

49-2000 Electrical and Electronic Equipment Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 210 200 -10 -4.8 0 4 4

49-2011 Computer, Automated Teller, and Office Machine Repairers 40 30 -10 -25.0 0 0 0

49-2022 Telecommunications Equipment Installers and Repairers, Except Line Installers 70 60 -10 -14.3 0 2 2

49-3042 Mobile Heavy Equipment Mechanics, Except Engines 160 150 -10 -6.3 0 3 3 49-9098 Helpers--Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 50 40 -10 -20.0 0 1 1 51-1000 Supervisors, Production Workers 160 150 -10 -6.3 0 3 3

51-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Production and Operating Workers 160 150 -10 -6.3 0 3 3

51-3093 Food Cooking Machine Operators and Tenders 50 40 -10 -20.0 0 2 2 51-4000 Metal Workers and Plastic Workers 300 290 -10 -3.3 0 6 6 51-4194 Tool Grinders, Filers, and Sharpeners 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1 51-9051 Furnace, Kiln, Oven, Drier, and Kettle Operators and Tenders 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1

51-9121 Coating, Painting, and Spraying Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1

51-9132 Photographic Processing Machine Operators 30 20 -10 -33.3 0 1 1 11-1021 General and Operations Managers 540 540 0 0.0 0 13 13 11-3011 Administrative Services Managers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 11-3021 Computer and Information Systems Managers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

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11-9012 Farmers and Ranchers 1,800 1,800 0 0.0 0 16 16 13-1022 Wholesale and Retail Buyers, Except Farm Products 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

13-1041 Compliance Officers, Except Agriculture, Construction, Health and Safety, and Transportation 40 40 0 0.0 0 0 0

13-1072 Compensation, Benefits, and Job Analysis Specialists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 13-2031 Budget Analysts 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 13-2052 Personal Financial Advisors 40 40 0 0.0 0 0 0 13-2072 Loan Officers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 15-1099 Computer Specialists, All Other 70 70 0 0.0 0 2 2 17-1000 Architects, Surveyors, and Cartographers 130 130 0 0.0 0 4 4 17-1022 Surveyors 100 100 0 0.0 0 3 3 17-3022 Civil Engineering Technicians 90 90 0 0.0 0 2 2 19-1013 Soil and Plant Scientists 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 19-3051 Urban and Regional Planners 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 19-3099 Social Scientists and Related Workers, All Other 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 19-4011 Agricultural and Food Science Technicians 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 19-4093 Forest and Conservation Technicians 90 90 0 0.0 0 3 3 21-1099 Community and Social Service Specialists, All Other 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 21-2000 Religious Workers 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 23-2000 Legal Support Workers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 23-2011 Paralegals and Legal Assistants 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 25-1021 Computer Science Teachers, Postsecondary 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 25-1112 Law Teachers, Postsecondary 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 25-2043 Special Education Teachers, Secondary School 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 25-4021 Librarians 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 27-1023 Floral Designers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 27-1024 Graphic Designers 70 70 0 0.0 0 2 2 27-3031 Public Relations Specialists 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 27-3041 Editors 70 70 0 0.0 0 2 2 27-4000 Media and Communication Equipment Workers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 29-1011 Chiropractors 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 29-1021 Dentists, General 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 29-1063 Internists, General 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

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29-1123 Physical Therapists 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 29-2032 Diagnostic Medical Sonographers 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 29-2053 Psychiatric Technicians 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 29-9000 Other Healthcare Practitioners and Technical Occupations 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 31-9094 Medical Transcriptionists 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 31-9096 Veterinary Assistants and Laboratory Animal Caretakers 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 33-3041 Parking Enforcement Workers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 33-3052 Transit and Railroad Police 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

33-9092 Lifeguards, Ski Patrol, and Other Recreational Protective Service Workers 120 120 0 0.0 0 9 9

35-2015 Cooks, Short Order 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 35-9031 Hosts and Hostesses, Restaurant, Lounge, and Coffee Shop 70 70 0 0.0 0 5 5

37-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Housekeeping and Janitorial Workers 90 90 0 0.0 0 1 1

37-3012 Pesticide Handlers, Sprayers, and Applicators, Vegetation 150 150 0 0.0 0 2 2 37-3013 Tree Trimmers and Pruners 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0 39-1000 Supervisors, Personal Care and Service Workers 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1 39-1021 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Personal Service Workers 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1 41-3000 Sales Representatives, Services 220 220 0 0.0 0 5 5 41-3011 Advertising Sales Agents 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 41-3021 Insurance Sales Agents 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 41-3031 Securities, Commodities, and Financial Services Sales Agents 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

41-4011 Sales Representatives, Wholesale and Manufacturing, Technical and Scientific Products 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1

41-9000 Other Sales and Related Workers 130 130 0 0.0 0 2 2 41-9011 Demonstrators and Product Promoters 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 41-9021 Real Estate Brokers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-2000 Communications Equipment Operators 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-2011 Switchboard Operators, Including Answering Service 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-3021 Billing and Posting Clerks and Machine Operators 170 170 0 0.0 0 2 2 43-3051 Payroll and Timekeeping Clerks 90 90 0 0.0 0 2 2 43-4061 Eligibility Interviewers, Government Programs 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-4081 Hotel, Motel, and Resort Desk Clerks 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-5031 Police, Fire, and Ambulance Dispatchers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1

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43-5032 Dispatchers, Except Police, Fire, and Ambulance 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-5051 Postal Service Clerks 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-5052 Postal Service Mail Carriers 150 150 0 0.0 0 4 4 43-5061 Production, Planning, and Expediting Clerks 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-5071 Shipping, Receiving, and Traffic Clerks 280 280 0 0.0 0 7 7 43-5111 Weighers, Measurers, Checkers, and Samplers, Recordkeeping 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-6014 Secretaries, Except Legal, Medical, and Executive 440 440 0 0.0 0 7 7 43-9051 Mail Clerks and Mail Machine Operators, Except Postal Service 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 43-9199 Office and Administrative Support Workers, All Other 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1 45-1000 Supervisors, Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers 130 130 0 0.0 0 3 3

45-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Farming, Fishing, and Forestry Workers 130 130 0 0.0 0 3 3

45-2099 Agricultural Workers, All Other 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 47-1000 Supervisors, Construction and Extraction Workers 370 370 0 0.0 0 5 5

47-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Construction Trades and Extraction Workers 370 370 0 0.0 0 5 5

47-2041 Carpet Installers 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1 47-2044 Tile and Marble Setters 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1 47-2051 Cement Masons and Concrete Finishers 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2 47-2073 Operating Engineers and Other Construction Equipment Operators 170 170 0 0.0 0 3 3 47-2082 Tapers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 47-2111 Electricians 120 120 0 0.0 0 3 3 47-2121 Glaziers 70 70 0 0.0 0 1 1 47-2131 Insulation Workers, Floor, Ceiling, and Wall 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 47-2141 Painters, Construction and Maintenance 140 140 0 0.0 0 3 3 47-2181 Roofers 80 80 0 0.0 0 2 2 47-2211 Sheet Metal Workers 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1 47-3000 Helpers, Construction Trades 60 60 0 0.0 0 2 2 47-4000 Other Construction and Related Workers 90 90 0 0.0 0 2 2 47-4011 Construction and Building Inspectors 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 47-4051 Highway Maintenance Workers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 49-1000 Supervisors of Installation, Maintenance, and Repair Workers 170 170 0 0.0 0 4 4

49-1011 First-Line Supervisors/Managers of Mechanics, Installers, and Repairers 170 170 0 0.0 0 4 4

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49-2094 Electrical and Electronics Repairers, Commercial and Industrial Equipment 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

49-2098 Security and Fire Alarm Systems Installers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

49-9021 Heating, Air Conditioning, and Refrigeration Mechanics and Installers 50 50 0 0.0 0 1 1

49-9041 Industrial Machinery Mechanics 90 90 0 0.0 0 2 2 51-2092 Team Assemblers 120 120 0 0.0 0 3 3 51-3011 Bakers 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-3022 Meat, Poultry, and Fish Cutters and Trimmers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1

51-3091 Food and Tobacco Roasting, Baking, and Drying Machine Operators and Tenders 50 50 0 0.0 0 2 2

51-4033 Grinding, Lapping, Polishing, and Buffing Machine Tool Setters, Operators, and Tenders, Metal and Plastic 30 30 0 0.0 0 0 0

51-4041 Machinists 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-5000 Printing Workers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-5023 Printing Machine Operators 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-6000 Textile, Apparel, and Furnishings Workers 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-8099 Plant and System Operators, All Other 30 30 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-9023 Mixing and Blending Machine Setters, Operators, and Tenders 40 40 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-9061 Inspectors, Testers, Sorters, Samplers, and Weighers 70 70 0 0.0 0 1 1 51-9111 Packaging and Filling Machine Operators and Tenders 140 140 0 0.0 0 3 3 51-9198 Helpers--Production Workers 80 80 0 0.0 0 2 2 53-6099 Transportation Workers, All Other 60 60 0 0.0 0 1 1 53-7051 Industrial Truck and Tractor Operators 270 270 0 0.0 0 7 7 53-7062 Laborers and Freight, Stock, and Material Movers, Hand 410 410 0 0.0 0 13 13

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Table 31: Colusa County Major Employers

Employer Name Location Industry

ADAMS GRAIN CO Arbuckle TRUCKING-CONTRACT HAULING

ADAMS VEGETABLE OILS INC Arbuckle OILS-ESSENTIAL (WHLS)

ARBUCKLE ELEMENTARY SCHOOL Arbuckle SCHOOLS

CALIFORNIA FAMILY FOODS Arbuckle RICE-WHOLESALE

COLUSA COUNTY CANNING CO Williams FOOD PROCESSING CONSULTANTS

COLUSA COUNTY CORONER Colusa GOVERNMENT OFFICES-COUNTY

COLUSA COUNTY HEALTH & HUMAN Colusa COUNTY GOVERNMENT-PUBLIC HEALTH PROGRAMS

COLUSA COUNTY SHERIFF DEPT Colusa SHERIFF

COLUSA COUNTY-FAMILY RESOURCE Colusa HUMAN SERVICES ORGANIZATIONS

COLUSA REGIONAL MEDICAL CTR Colusa HOSPITALS

COLUSA RESORT Colusa CASINOS

DE PUE WAREHOUSE CO Williams RICE-WHOLESALE

DE PUE WAREHOUSE CO INC Maxwell RICE-WHOLESALE

ENID PRINE CONTINUATION HS Maxwell SCHOOLS

GEORGE T EGLING MIDDLE SCHOOL Colusa SCHOOLS

GRANZELLA'S INC Williams COCKTAIL LOUNGES

GRANZELLA'S RESTAURANT Williams FULL-SERVICE RESTAURANT

JAMES BURCHFIELD PRIMARY SCHL Colusa SCHOOLS

MORNING STAR TRUCKING CO Williams TRUCKING

PETERSEN RANCH FARMS Arbuckle FARMS

SOCIAL SERVICES & ELIGIBILITY Colusa HUMAN SERVICES ORGANIZATIONS

SUN VALLEY RICE CO LLC Arbuckle EXPORTERS (WHLS)

SUNSWEET DRYERS RIVER BEND Colusa FRUITS & VEGETABLES-GROWERS & SHIPPERS

VALLEY WEST CARE CTR Williams HEALTH SERVICES

WILLIAMS ELEMENTARY SCHOOL Williams SCHOOLS

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Table 32: Glenn County Major Employers Employer Name Location Industry

CHILD PROTECTIVE SVC Willows COUNTY GOVERNMENT-SOCIAL/HUMAN RESOURCES

DEPARTMENT OF CHILD FAMILY SVC Orland GOVERNMENT-INDIVIDUAL/FAMILY SOCIAL SVCS

ERICK NIELSEN ENTERPRISES INC Orland AGRICULTURAL CONSULTANTS

GLEN COUNTY MENTAL HEALTH Willows COUNTY GOVERNMENT-PUBLIC HEALTH PROGRAMS

GLENN COUNTY EMERGENCY SVC Willows COUNTY GOVERNMENT-PUBLIC ORDER & SAFETY

GLENN COUNTY HEALTH & WELFARE Willows COUNTY GOVERNMENT-PUBLIC HEALTH PROGRAMS

GLENN COUNTY HUMAN RESOURCE Willows GOVERNMENT OFFICES-COUNTY

GLENN COUNTY OFFICE-EMERGENCY Willows GOVERNMENT OFFICES-COUNTY

GLENN COUNTY SHERIFF'S DEPT Willows SHERIFF

GLENN MEDICAL CTR Willows HOSPITALS

GLENN-COLUSA IRRIGATION DIST Willows IRRIGATION COMPANIES

HAMILTON COMMUNITY DAY SCHOOL Hamilton City SCHOOLS

HAMILTON ELEMENTARY Not Available SCHOOLS

HAMILTON ELEMENTARY SCHOOL Hamilton City SCHOOLS

HEAD START Orland CHILD CARE SERVICE

JACINTO GRANGE Glenn ASSOCIATIONS

JOHNS MANVILLE Willows INSULATION-MANUFACTURERS

LAND O'LAKES INC Orland CHEESE PROCESSORS (MFRS)

LASSEN LAND CO Orland CONSULTANTS-BUSINESS NEC

MILL STREET SCHOOL Orland SCHOOLS

MURDOCK ELEMENTARY SCHOOL Willows SCHOOLS

RUMIANO CHEESE FACTORY Willows CHEESE-WHOLESALE

US RECLAMATION BUREAU Willows FEDERAL GOVERNMENT-CONSERVATION DEPTS

WALMART Willows DEPARTMENT STORES

WILLOWS CARE CTR Willows NURSING & CONVALESCENT HOMES

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Table 33: Lake County Major Employers

Employer Name Location Industry

ADOBE CREEK PACKING CO INC Kelseyville FRUITS & VEGETABLES-GROWERS & SHIPPERS

BRUNO'S Lakeport GROCERS-RETAIL

CALPINE CORP Middletown ELECTRIC COMPANIES

HARBIN HOT SPRINGS Middletown HOT SPRINGS

HIDDEN VALLEY LAKE ASSN Hidden Valley BANQUET ROOMS

HIDDEN VALLEY LAKE ASSOC Hidden Valley COMMUNITY ORGANIZATIONS

KMART Lakeport DEPARTMENT STORES

KONOCTI VISTA CASINO Lakeport CASINOS

LAKE COUNTY SHERIFF'S DEPT Lakeport SHERIFF

LAKE COUNTY SOCIAL SVC DEPT Lower Lake COUNTY GOVERNMENT-SOCIAL/HUMAN RESOURCES

MARIANI DRYERS Kelseyville FRUIT DRYING

MEADOWOOD NURSING CTR Clearlake CONVALESCENT HOMES

PEOPLE SERVICES INC Lakeport SOCIAL SERVICE & WELFARE ORGANIZATIONS

RANCHERIA GRILLE Nice FULL-SERVICE RESTAURANT

REDBUD FAMILY HEALTH CTR Clearlake CLINICS

ROBINSON RANCHERIA CASINO Nice CASINOS

ROBINSON RANCHERIA RESORT Upper Lake BINGO GAMES

SAFEWAY Clearlake GROCERS-RETAIL

SCULLY PACKING CO LLC Finley FRUITS & VEGETABLES-GROWERS & SHIPPERS

SHANNON RANCHES INC Clearlake Oaks VINEYARDS

ST HELENA HOSPITAL CLEARLAKE Clearlake HOSPITALS

SUTTER LAKESIDE HOSP WOMAN'S Clearlake HOSPITALS

SUTTER LAKESIDE HOSPITAL Lakeport HOSPITALS

TWIN PINE CASINO Middletown CASINOS

WALMART Clearlake DEPARTMENT STORES

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Table 34: Sutter County Major Employers

Employer Name Location Industry

APPLEBEE'S NEIGHBORHOOD GRILL Yuba City FULL-SERVICE RESTAURANT

BEL AIR MARKETS Yuba City GROCERS-RETAIL

CARDIAC REHABILITATION CTR Yuba City HEALTH SERVICES

FREMONT MEDICAL CTR Yuba City HOSPITALS

HOLT OF CALIFORNIA Pleasant Grove CONTRACTORS-EQUIP/SUPLS-DLRS/SVC (WHLS)

HOME DEPOT Yuba City HOME CENTERS

LANDSTAR RANGER INC Yuba City TRUCKING

LARRY GEWEKE FORD Yuba City AUTOMOBILE PARTS & SUPPLIES-RETAIL-NEW

LEGEND TRANSPORTATION Yuba City TRANSPORTATION SERVICES

LOWE'S Yuba City HOME CENTERS

RIVER VALLEY HIGH SCHOOL Yuba City SCHOOLS

SAM'S CLUB Yuba City WHOLESALE CLUBS

SIERRA CENTRAL CREDIT UNION Yuba City CREDIT UNIONS

SILLER BROS AVIATION DIV Yuba City LOGGING COMPANIES (MFRS)

SUNSET MOULDING CO Live Oak MOULDINGS-INJECTION (MFRS)

SUNSWEET GROWERS INC Yuba City FOOD PREPARATIONS NEC (MFRS)

SUTTER COUNTY JAIL Yuba City COUNTY GOVT-CORRECTIONAL INSTITUTIONS

SUTTER COUNTY PUBLIC ADMIN Yuba City GOVERNMENT OFFICES-COUNTY

SYSCO SACRAMENTO INC Pleasant Grove FOOD PRODUCTS (WHLS)

WALMART SUPERCENTER Yuba City DEPARTMENT STORES

YUBA CITY HIGH SCHOOL Yuba City SCHOOLS

YUBA CITY UNIFIED SCHOOL DIST Yuba City SCHOOLS

YUBA SKILLED NURSING CTR Yuba City CONVALESCENT HOMES

YUBA SUTTER GLEANERS FOOD BANK Yuba City NON-PROFIT ORGANIZATIONS

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Table 35: Yuba County Major Employers

Employer Name Location Industry

AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION Olivehurst LABOR ORGANIZATIONS

APPEAL DEMOCRAT Marysville NEWSPAPERS (PUBLISHERS/MFRS)

BISHOP'S PUMPKIN FARM Wheatland FRUITS & VEGETABLES & PRODUCE-RETAIL

DEPARTMENT OF TRANSPORTATION Marysville GOVERNMENT OFFICES-STATE

ELITE UNIVERSAL SECURITY Olivehurst SECURITY GUARD & PATROL SERVICE

GEWEKE KIA Marysville AUTOMOBILE DEALERS-NEW CARS

KNIFE RIVER CORP Olivehurst CONTRACTORS-ENGINEERING GENERAL

LINDA ELEMENTARY SCHOOL Marysville SCHOOLS

LINDHURST HIGH SCHOOL Olivehurst SCHOOLS

LONE TREE SCHOOL Beale AFB SCHOOLS

LONE TREE SCHOOL KITCHEN Beale AFB SCHOOLS

MARYSVILLE CARE & REHAB CTR Marysville NURSING & CONVALESCENT HOMES

MARYSVILLE SCHOOL DISTRICT Marysville SCHOOLS

NOR CAL LUMBER CO INC Marysville TRUSSES (MFRS)

RIDEOUT CARE Marysville CLINICS

RIDEOUT MEMORIAL HOSPITAL Marysville HOSPITALS

SHOEI FOODS USA INC Olivehurst EXPORTERS (WHLS)

SIERRA KIWI INC Marysville FRUITS & VEGETABLES-GROWERS & SHIPPERS

TRANSPORTATION DEPT-EQUIPMENT Marysville STATE GOVERNMENT-TRANSPORTATION PROGRAMS

US POST OFFICE Marysville POST OFFICES

WALMART SUPERCENTER Marysville DEPARTMENT STORES

YUBA COUNTY CORONER Marysville GOVERNMENT OFFICES-COUNTY

YUBA COUNTY EMPLOYMENT SVC Marysville GOVERNMENT OFFICES-COUNTY

YUBA COUNTY HEALTH & HUMAN SVC Marysville COUNTY GOVERNMENT-SOCIAL/HUMAN RESOURCES

YUBA-SUTTER DISPOSAL INC Marysville GARBAGE COLLECTION

Source: California Employment Development Department

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Research and analysis for the North Central Counties Economic Trends & Workforce Opportunities report was prepared by Craft Consulting Group 3527 Mt. Diablo Blvd., #320 Lafayette, CA 94549 Phone: (925) 283-4981 www.craftconsulting.net

Gary W. Craft, Principal Bill Jackman, PhD, Senior Economist Kevin Strichter, Research Assistant In association with Jim Cassio & Associates 198 Willow Creek Drive Folsom, California 95630 Phone: (916) 320-4944 www.cassio.com Jim Cassio, Principal Consultant Daniela Sonnino, Research Analyst