e245 autonomow week6
TRANSCRIPT
DEFINING OUR CHANNEL
Team AutonomowENGR-245 – Week 6 Presentation
THE WEEK IN REVIEWDealer/Dist. Interviews• Gonzales Machine and Forge, Inc., California• Integrated Crop Pest Management, California• Coastal Tractor, California• Ag West Supply, Oregon• Burks Tractor, Idaho• FISCHER Landtechnik, Germany• GARTNER, Land, Forst-und Kommunaltechnik, Germany\• Fisher Equipment Supply (John Deere Dealer),
McMinville, OR• Cascade Farm Machinery, Silverton, OR• More in Tulare tomorrow
Built the Data Collection Prototype – “Carrotbot”• Recruited Computer Vision Engineer• Interviewed Ken Giles from UC Davis• Headed to Bolthouse farms in Avenal, CA tomorrow
KEY CHANNEL INSIGHTS
From The Dealer/Distributer Interviews• Demonstration is necessary – “build it and they will
come”• Farmers expect personal and timely service/support.
Relationships and trust are important• Dealers have exclusive non-competes with
manufacturers – but not a problem for Autonomow• THEREFORE … use Dealers and Distributers
From Our Mentors• The Autonomow channel is inextricably linked with
equipment/technological maturity
ANOTHER PIVOT … THIS TIME THE CHANNEL
Initial product will be complex• Beyond traditional tractor operator experience• Need feedback for algorithm training and product
refinement• High-touch service to ensure good customer experience,
gain credibility and market share
Dealers
Direct Servic
e
GROWTH FOR ORGANIC FARMS
• Technology is being refined• Needs direct company
support• No competitors, blue ocean
disruptive technology• Highest margins, recurring
revenue
Direct Weeding service rental • Technology is robust
enough to sell to a network of trained service providers
Partner with Service
Providers• Technology sufficiently
simple to be maintained by farms and dealers
Sell Equipment Via Dealers
Technology Matures
COST OF THE CHANNEL – PHASE I
Yearly Revenue per unit $180K • Rental: $1,500/day ASP (List $1,600)
Productivity assumed 10 ac/day @ $200 saving/ac • Expected utilization: 120 days per year (46% of weekdays)
30 weeks per year, 4 days per week
Yearly Costs per unit ($57K) • Equipment Expense: $15K (5-year amortized)• 1/4 trainer/operator: $20K • 1/4 Transport/Maintenance: $10K • 1/4 Overhead: $12K
Cost of Goods(32%)
Profit + SG&A + R&D(68%)
En
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RevenueList
Price
Source: Mark Leslie, Stanford GSB / Jon Feiber
THE BUSINESS PLAN CANVAS UPDATED
•Research Labs•Equipment Manufacturers•Distribution Network•Service Providers
•Technology Design•Marketing•Demo and customer feedback
•Cost Reduction•Remove labor force pains•Eliminate bio-waste hazards•IP – Patents
•Video Classifier Files•Robust Technology
•Farming conventions.•Demo, demo, and demo!!•Proximity is paramount
•Organic Farmers•Weeding Service Providers•Conventional Farmers
•Dealers•Direct Service•Indirect Service• … then Dealers
•Asset Sale•Direct Service with equipment rental•… then Asset Sale
Value-Driven
Organic FarmsLow Density Vegetables (lettuce, tomatoes)
Organic FarmsHigh Density Vegetables (carrots, spinach)
Conventional Vegetable Farms ~ $2B
GROWTH PATH FOR AUTONOMOW
Simple Crops 2011TAM $ 445.28 SM $ 95.17 TM $ 92.07
All Veggies 2015TAM $ 796.87 SM $ 356.70 TM $ 351.82
WHAT’S NEXT?
Technological Proof of Concept• Focus on weed identification – harder than
elimination
?
BACKUP SLIDES