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NationalCenterforHigherEducationManagementSystems
nchems.org• higheredinfo.org
YouAreNotAlonePursuingGoalsintheFaceofBudgetCuts
University ofAlaskaLeadershipSummitAnchorage,Alaska
November29,2016
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Alaska’sOverarchingGoal:
65%ofAlaska’sworkingagepopulationwillhaveapostsecondaryeducationcredential– adegreeorcertificate
ofvalue– by2025.
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StateswithStatedPostsecondaryAttainmentGoals
Source:LuminaFoundation/StrategyLabs.
=StatedAttainmentGoals
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AttainmentGoalDescriptionsState Goal TargetAges GoalDate Notes
Alaska 65% 25-64 2025Arizona 60% 25-64 2030Arkansas 60% 25-64 2030 Arkansashasagoalofincreasingthenumberofpostsecondary
credentialsby40percentover2013-14academicyearlevels.Colorado 66% 25-34 2025 Reduceattainmentgapsamongunderservedpopulations.
Connecticut 40%Bacc;30%Assoc. 25-64 2025 Goalis40%withaBaccalaureateand30%withanAssociate’sDegree.
Georgia 60% 25-34 2020Hawaii 55% 25-64 2025 UHincreaseby6-9%everyyear.Idaho 60% 25-34 2020Illinois 60% 25-64 2025Indiana 60% 25-64 2025Iowa 70% 25-64 2025 Goalis"educationortrainingbeyondhighschool"
Kansas 60% 25-64 2025Kentucky 58% 25-64 2025Louisiana 42% 25-64 2025 Goalof7.2%annualgrowthrate.Maryland 55% 25-64 2025Massachusetts 60% 25-34 2020Minnesota 70% 25-44 2025Missouri 60% 25-64 2020Montana 60% 25-64 2020Nevada 60% 25-64 2020NewHampshire 65% 25-64 2025
Oregon 40-40-20 25-64 2025 40%withaBaccalaureate, 40%withanAssociateDegreeorCertificate,and20%withaHighSchoolDiploma.
RhodeIsland 60% 25-64 2025SouthCarolina 29%w/Bachelor'sor
Higher25-64 2030
Tennessee 55% 25-64 2025Texas 60% 25-34 2030Utah 66% 25-64 2020Virginia 60.50% 25-64 2030 Top10%BenchmarksWashington 70% 25-44 2023
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StateRevenueShortfallsHaveBecomeIncreasinglyCommonOverthePastDecade
• Stateshavenotadaptedtothe“newnormal”• Taxstructureshaven’tkeptpacewithchangesinunderlying
economies• Taxcollectionsfallingshortofbudgetedfigures– evenwhen
budgetestimatesareconservative
Statesbehavingasifthey’reinarecession,eventhoughnationisinaprolongedperiodof(albeit
modest)economicimprovement.
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StateTaxRevenueEstimates
April-June2015vs.2016,PercentChange
-32%to-5.0%
-4.9%to-0.1%
0%to4.9%
5%to13.8%
NoData
Source:USAToday,October27,2016,FrankPompa,JimSergent.
Dataisestimated forNewMexico,RhodeIsland,Connecticut,andNewJersey
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• Moststrategiesfordealingwithbudgetcutsreallyaren’tstrategies.They’restepsofleastinstitutionalinconveniences.– Cutsareanaberration–waitayearortwoandwecanresume
businessasusual– Cutsseldommadeincontextofthelongview
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Level1Response
• RaiseRevenue.Thistypicallymeanstakingstepstoincreasetuitionrevenue– Raiserates– Differentialtuitionforhighcostprograms– Enrollmoreoutofstatestudents
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StudentShareofEducationCostsColorado
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StudentShareofEducationCostsAlaska
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Level2Response
• Maketheeasycuts– thosethatdon’tinvolvepeople.– Don’tfillemptypositions– Reduceexpenditureson
• Travel• Supplies• Maintenance• Equipment
– Thereisnothingaboutsuchapproachesthatreferences/protectspursuitofgoals
– Theyarelargelyexercisesinpostponement,notreduction
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Level3Response
• Maketheharder,buteasilydefendedcuts.– Cutprogramsthatareleastproductive– SubstitutePTemployeesforFTemployees– Outsourcefunctionsthataren’tcentraltoinstitutionalmission– Eliminateservicesatremotesites
Theseareretrenchmentstrategiesthatlikelyresultinservingfewerstudents– inconsistentwithgoalattainment
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Level4Response
• Redesigncourses.– Typicallylarge,lower-divisioncourses– ReengineercoursesinawaysimilartothatadvocatedbytheNational
CenterforAcademicTransformation(NCAT)– Evidenceindicatesthisapproachyields
• Improvedlearningoutcomes• Atreducedcosts(≈ 40%less)
Animportanttactic,butworksbestaspartofalarger,deliberateprocess.
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Level5Response
• Redesignprogramsandtheirdelivery.– Redogeneraleducation
• Substantiallyreducethenumber ofcourseseligible forgeneraleducationcredit– Takecuesfromchoicesstudents aremaking
– Standardizemajors– removeoptionsthatresultinsmallclasses– Consideralternativedeliverymodes
• Online• Competency-based
Butdon’tforgettokeepfocusongoalattainment.
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Level6Response
• Redesignthesystem– Startwiththepropositionthatneedsofstudentsandemployersinall
partsofthestatemustbemet– Determinethearrayofassetsneededtomeettheseneeds– Differentiatetheeducationalcapacityoneachcampus– Usetechnologytodeliverthiscapacityto
• Studentsonothercampuses• Remotesites
– Ensure“hightouch”servicesareavailableateachsite– Standardizeprocesses– Centralizebackofficeoperations