Download - The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report and its implications to Latin American - Sebastian Vicuña
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RECURSOS HÍDRICOS
Sebastian Vicuña
Lima COP20, 8 Diciembre 2014
The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report and its implications to Latin
American
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Algunos mensajes claves
Ya se observan las primeras evidencias de impactos delcambio climático en Latinoamérica
Estos impactos aumentan en la medida que aumentanlas emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero
El contexto particular de Latinoamérica va a requerir denuevas y más intensas formas de adaptación al futuro
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120 Cambios observados atribuibles total o
parcialmente al cambio climático
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Magrin et al. 2014
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Magrin et al. 2014
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RETROCESO EN GLACIARES TROPICALES Y EXTRATROPICALES
Área de los glaciarestropicales se ha reducidoentre un 20-50% en losúltimos 50 años y losglaciares extratropicalesse adelgazan a un ritmode cerca de 1 m de aguaequivalente/año)
Rabatel, 2012
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Magrin et al. 2014
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Pasquini et al, 2006
Vicuna et al, 2013
CENTRO-SUR DE CHILE SURESTE DE
SURAMERICA
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Pasquini et al, 2006
CENTRO-SUR DE CHILE SURESTE DE
SURAMERICA
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Magrin et al. 2014
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EL AUMENTO EN EMISIONES CONTRIUBUYE AL CRECIENTE CALENTAMIENTO GLOBAL Y AUMENTA LA PROBABILIDAD DE
IMPACTOS SEVEROS Y PELIGROSOS
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Nuevos escenarios para la región (IPCC-AR5)
IPC
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14
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IPCC, 2014
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Contexto para la region – Centro y Sudamérica
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CONTEXTO PARA LATINOAMERICA
LA ADAPTACIÓN
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Po
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PIB per capita (Miles USD/Cap)World Bank, 2007
Alta dependencia interna y externa por agricultura
Altos ingresos Bajos ingresos
Ingresos medios Latinoamérica
World Bank, 2007
Altas tasas de urbanización
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Disminución en vulnerabilidad pero aumento complejidad
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GDP per capita (Miles USD/Cap)
Human Development Report (UNDP, 2011)World Bank (2011)
Magrin et al. 2014
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Algunos mensajes claves
Ya se observan las primeras evidencias de impactos delcambio climático en Latinoamérica
Estos impactos aumentan en la medida que aumentanlas emisiones de gases de efecto invernadero
El contexto particular de Latinoamérica va a requerir denuevas y más intensas formas de adaptación al futuro