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The Economic Crisis
A Report on Memphis Real Estate, the Mortgage Meltdown and
the Impact on the Local Economy
December 2, 2008 The FedEx Institute of Technology at
The University of Memphis
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Who We Are
Chandler Reports – www.chandlerreports.com
•PremierproviderofrealestateinformationandanalysisforMemphis,ShelbyCountyandallofTennessee.
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•Publicrealestatedataplusprivate,independentlyproducedinformation.
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•Courtfilings,propertyinformation,businessfilingsandotherlocaleconomicdata.
•Newsofbusiness,politicsandthepublicrecords.
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• Includesin-depthcoverstory,editorialandopinionpage,andsamplingofdata.
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The Housing Crisis
Together,ourdataoffersadetailedanduniquewindowontrendsinthelocalrealestatemarket,especiallyasitrelatestotheimpactofthecurrentpoorrealmarketconditions–andtheescalatingmortgageandforeclosurecrisis–onlocalpropertyvalues.
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Key Positive Indicators in 2005
Shelby County 2005
No. of New Home Sales 3,700
$ Amount of New Home Sales $925 million*
No. of New Home Permits 4,900
$ Amount of New Home Permits $875 million *
* Record Level
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Key Positive Indicators in 2005 (cont’d)
Shelby County 2005
No. of Existing Home Sales 19,900
$ Amount of Existing Home Sales $2.8 billion
Average Loan To Value (All home sales at the time of sale)
86%
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The Fall Off
2005 2006 2007 2008 (Est.) Diff %No. of Residential Sales 23,500 23,700 19,500 15,500 -8,000 -34%
Residential Sales Amount $3.7 billion $3.7 billion $3.0 billion $2.1 billion -$1.6
billion -43%
No. of New Home Permits 5,000 4,500 2,600 1,000 -4,000 -81%
$ Amount of New Home Permits
$873 million
$819 million
$487 million
$224 million
-$650 million -74%
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The Fall Off (cont’d)
2005 2006 2007 2008 (Est.) Diff %
No. of Foreclosures 3,800 5,400 6,000 6,500 2,600 68%
Avg. Tax Appraisal $86,000 $90,000 $99,000 $102,000 $15,100 17%
No. of Bank Sales 3,400 4,100 5,000 5,800 2,400 71%
Avg. Discount to Tax Appraisal -26% -23% -28% -37% -11% 42%
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Number of New Home Permits 2001 to 2008 (Est.)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (Est.)
Estimated
New home permits have fallen well below
2001 levels.
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$ Amount of New Home Sales2001 to 2008 (Est.)
$-
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,000
$900,000,000
$1,000,000,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008(Est.)
Estimated
New home sales fell $300 million from 2006 to 2007, a 32% decline.
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$ Amount of Home SalesBy Quarter - 2007 and 2008 (Est.)
$-
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,000
$900,000,000
$1,000,000,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Estimated
2007
2008
The total amount of home sales fell nearly $200 million
from Q1 2007 to Q4 2007, a 30% decline.
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No. of Home Sales Involving Multiple Loans*2001 to 2008 (Est.)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (est)
Estimated
Home sales involving multiple loans at the time of sale spiked in
2005 and 2006.
In 2005, fully 25% of all home sales involved multiple loans.
* Loans taken at time of sale.
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No. of Bankruptcies2002 to 2008 (Est.)
-
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (est)
Estimated
Bankruptcies dropped by nearly 50% from 2005 to
2006 as a result of changes in the bankruptcy laws.
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No. of Foreclosures2002 to 2008 (Est.)
-
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (Est.)
Estimated
The foreclosure rate shot up before the subprime fallout hit the news, in part because of changes in the
bankruptcy laws.
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Average Appraised Value of Foreclosed Homes2002 to 2008 (Est.)
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
$90,000
$100,000
$110,000
$120,000
2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (Est.)
Estimated
The average tax appraised value of home
foreclosures has risen nearly 20% since 2003.
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$ Amount of All Home Mortgages*2001 to 2008 (Est.)
$-
$500,000,000
$1,000,000,000
$1,500,000,000
$2,000,000,000
$2,500,000,000
$3,000,000,000
$3,500,000,000
2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 (est)
EstimatedHome mortgages* are on
track to fall nearly 45% from 2005 to present.
* Loans taken at time of sale.
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Bank vs. Non-Bank Sales Residential Sales
Home sales by banks and trusts are on track to account
for more than a third of residential sales in 2008.
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$ Amount of Commercial SalesBy Quarter - 2007 and 2008 (Est.)
$-
$100,000,000
$200,000,000
$300,000,000
$400,000,000
$500,000,000
$600,000,000
$700,000,000
$800,000,000
$900,000,000
$1,000,000,000
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Estimated
2007
2008
The total amount of commercial sales fell
nearly $600 million from Q1 2007 to Q4 2007,
a 66% decline.
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The Impact on Tax Revenue
Thetotalvalueofresidentialsalesfell20%in2007comparedto2006,withtheaveragehomesalespricefalling$5,000.Averagesalespricesmayfall$18,000byendof2008.
ShelbyCountyisinthemidstofataxreappraisalrightnow,withnewvaluesfinalizedbyMay2009.
What’sthepotentialimpactofthehousingdeclincesontaxrevenue?
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AREA 2005 2006 20072008 (Est.)
2005 - 2008 INCREASE % INCREASE
38127 - Frayser 400 593 565 587 187 47%
38128 - Raleigh 260 354 436 490 230 88%
38109 - Westwood 317 437 469 436 119 38%
38125 - Southeast Shelby County 182 252 337 404 222 122%
38118 - Oakhaven/Parkway Village 224 348 362 400 176 79%
38141 - Hickory Hill South 186 287 349 373 187 101%
38106 - West Person/Elvis Presley 235 310 301 331 96 41%
38115 - Hickory Hill North 171 263 332 305 134 78%
38111 - University 214 264 285 273 59 28%
38016 - Cordova-North 112 159 257 271 159 142%
38116 - Whitehaven 173 247 215 260 87 50%
38114 - Defense Depot 166 233 241 249 83 50%
38018 - Cordova-South 83 133 164 242 159 192%
38122 - Berclair 145 171 175 191 46 32%
38134 - Bartlett 102 128 146 189 87 85%
38107 - North Memphis 127 177 179 176 49 39%
38108 - Jackson/Farmville 154 208 211 174 20 13%
38135 - Bartlett/Ellendale 68 104 120 154 86 126%
38112 - Rhodes College 100 108 130 137 37 37%
38002 - Arlington 35 80 101 130 95 271%
Foreclosures - Top 20 Zip CodesFull year, ranked by total number in 2008
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AREA 2005 2006 20072008 (Est.)
2005 - 2008 INCREASE % INCREASE
38103 - Downtown 3 5 15 18 15 500%
38002 - Arlington 35 80 101 130 95 271%
38018 - Cordova-South 83 133 164 242 159 192%
38120 - River Oaks 6 15 11 17 11 183%
38016 - Cordova-North 112 159 257 271 159 142%
38017 - Collierville 37 76 74 84 47 127%
38135 - Bartlett/Ellendale 68 104 120 154 86 126%
38125 - Southeast Shelby County 182 252 337 404 222 122%
38141 - Hickory Hill South 186 287 349 373 187 101%
38126 - South Memphis 16 24 17 31 15 94%
38128 - Raleigh 260 354 436 490 230 88%
38119 - Quince/Ridgeway 38 63 58 71 33 87%
38134 - Bartlett 102 128 146 189 87 85%
38133 - Bartlett/Brunswick 61 67 95 111 50 82%
38118 - Oakhaven/Parkway Village 224 348 362 400 176 79%
38115 - Hickory Hill North 171 263 332 305 134 78%
38104 - Midtown 44 54 79 67 23 52%
38116 - Whitehaven 173 247 215 260 87 50%
38114 - Defense Depot 166 233 241 249 83 50%
38127 - Frayser 400 593 565 587 187 47%
Foreclosures - Top 20 Zip CodesFull year, ranked by greatest increase from 2005 to 2008.
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One Neighborhood – 2008
*Jan1,2008toNov25,2008
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Another Neighborhood – 2008
*Jan1,2008toNov25,2008
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The Face of Foreclosure - Part 1
304RedOak,38112
Boughtin2005for$17,000witha$49,000“rehab”loan.
304RedOak,38112
SoldtoCaliforniainvestorsin2007for$51,000withaloanfromLongBeachMortgageCompany,
“oneofthenation’sleadingwholesalesubprimelenders.”
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The Face of Foreclosure - Part 2
827GreenOaks,38017,Collierville
Boughtfor$430,000in2006usingtwoloans,100%financing.
ForeclosedonbythebankinJuly2008.
Resoldfor$298,000inSeptember2008.
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No. of Residential Foreclosures 5,300
Avg. No. Years Property Owned 7.7
Avg. Loan to Value Ratio (At Time of Original Sale)
101%
Avg. Loan Amount (At Time of Original Sale)
$98,000
No. Resold Already 2,400
Avg. Difference (Original Sale Amount to Resale Amount)
-$31,000
Foreclosure Profile
Jan. to Oct. 2008
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Foreclosures By Type of Loan*
Jan. to Oct. 2008
* Loans taken at the time of sale.
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Foreclosures By Lender - Top 20*
Jan. to Oct. 2008
* Loans taken at the time of sale.
Original LenderNo. of Loans
% of All Foreclosures
First Franklin Financial 233 5%
Community Mortgage Corp 211 5%
Long Beach Mortgage Co 172 4%
Union Planters National Bank 123 3%
Wells Fargo 117 3%
Decision One Mortgage Co 116 3%
Homecomings Financial Network 102 2%
First Tennessee Bank 100 2%
New Century Mtg Corp 97 2%
WMC Mortgage Corp 91 2%
Seller 82 2%
Americas Wholesale Lendor 64 1%
Argent Mortgage Co 63 1%
Countrywide Home Loans 63 1%
First Nlc Financial Svs 61 1%
First Trust Mortgage 56 1%
Southstar Funding 55 1%
Option One Mtg Corp 52 1%
First Commercial Mortgage 51 1%
Bank Of America National 50 1%
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Cordova - Foreclosures Market Effect
A single foreclosure can have a 1.3% negative
effect on the value of every home within just
1/8th of a mile of the foreclosure. Multiple
foreclosures create a compounding effect.
38018 - CORDOVANo. of Homes 11,500
Median Property Value $156,000
Total Appraised Value $2.1 billion
38018 - CORDOVA 2008 TO DATE LAST 2 YEARSNo. of Foreclosured Homes 200 400
Cumulative Homes Effected: 1/8 Mile 13,800 25,600
Cumulative Homes Effected: 1/8 -1/4 Mile 21,400 38,300
Potential Market Effect -$52 million -$97 million
Possible Change in Tax Base @ 4% -$533,000 -$990,000
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Foreclosure Effect One Home in Frayser
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Foreclosure Effect One Home in Cordova
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Foreclosure Discount - Top 20 - 2008 (Jan. to Oct.)
OWNER NAME NO. OF FC $ AMT. SOLDDISCOuNT VS.
APPRAISAL %Deutsche Bank 755 $48,867,444 $28,656,556 -37%Housing And Community Development 646 $30,298,543 $22,507,757 -43%US Bank 522 $35,370,713 $20,180,887 -36%Wells Fargo 402 $23,699,375 $16,082,825 -40%Fannie Mae 389 $26,587,870 $12,337,780 -32%Bank Of New York 368 $26,206,360 $14,734,540 -36%HSBC Bank 244 $19,338,961 $9,659,839 -33%Lasalle Bank 142 $8,922,793 $5,236,207 -37%Veterans Affairs 138 $9,209,109 $4,594,491 -33%Freddie Mac 128 $7,984,479 $4,025,421 -34%Household Bank FSB 105 $6,698,936 $3,782,764 -35%National Capital Properties Inc 69 $5,492,129 $2,546,271 -32%CIT Group Consumer Finance Inc 63 $2,988,123 $2,487,077 -45%JP Morgan Chase 60 $3,261,055 $2,502,645 -43%First Horizon Home Loan Corp 58 $5,184,669 $1,693,131 -25%Wachovia Bank 58 $4,591,336 $2,689,564 -37%Tennessee Housing Development Agency 45 $1,582,865 $1,441,035 -48%Nationstar Mortage LLC 45 $1,810,411 $1,624,089 -47%Washington Mutual Bank 40 $3,251,137 $1,750,363 -35%Suntrust Bank 39 $2,035,300 $1,349,500 -40%Total 4,316 $273,381,608 $159,882,742 -42%
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Foreclosure Inventory - Top 20 - 2008 (As of Oct. 31.)
OWNER NAMENO. - CuRRENT
INVENTORY$ AMT. - CuRRENT
INVENTORYDeutsche Bank 481 $50,477,900Housing And Community Development 379 $29,084,800US Bank 307 $29,372,500Wells Fargo 218 $20,923,600Fannie Mae 522 $51,125,000Bank Of New York 246 $28,465,900HSBC Bank 136 $15,394,500Lasalle Bank 109 $12,947,300Veterans Affairs 123 $11,347,700Freddie Mac 103 $9,869,400Household Bank FSB 53 $6,238,600National Capital Properties Inc 43 $4,262,900CIT Group Consumer Finance Inc 62 $4,551,000JP Morgan Chase 30 $3,735,100First Horizon Home Loan Corp 39 $4,633,500Wachovia Bank 36 $2,711,800Tennessee Housing Development Agency 56 $3,862,900Nationstar Mortage LLC 26 $2,011,000Washington Mutual Bank 14 $1,244,900Suntrust Bank 30 $4,096,900Total 3,013 $296,357,200
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SELLER NO. OF SALESAVG. SALE AMOUNT TOTAL
Housing And Urban Development 979 $51,114 $50,040,969Bowden Building Corp 285 $150,060 $42,767,014Mark Matthews Development LLC 170 $164,025 $27,884,213Reeves-Williams LLC 160 $148,367 $23,738,679Perennial Building Group LLC 135 $133,265 $17,990,728Summit Homes LLC 124 $166,160 $20,603,896Chamberlain & McCreery Inc 118 $214,814 $25,348,031Vintage Homes LLC 94 $220,898 $20,764,398Veterans Affairs 89 $77,952 $6,937,697Bank One 89 $51,373 $4,572,183Citifinancial Mortgage Co Inc 85 $51,932 $4,414,205Fannie Mae 84 $90,611 $7,611,288Mark Matthews Development Co 79 $162,952 $12,873,213Crossmann Communities Of Tenn 68 $145,877 $9,919,635Bank Of New York 67 $57,722 $3,867,403Reid Homes Inc 65 $216,868 $14,096,451Island View LLC 61 $172,970 $10,551,161Lenox Homes LLC 61 $163,796 $9,991,564Hallmark Builders Inc 60 $232,595 $13,955,708Kemmons Wilson Inc 59 $177,938 $10,498,335
Top 20 Sellers - 2003 (Jan. to Oct.)
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SELLER NO. OF SALESAVg. SALE AMOuNT TOTAL
Deutsche Bank National Trust 745 $63,943 $47,637,567 Housing And Urban Development 702 $44,547 $31,271,969 U S Bank National 550 $66,251 $36,438,308 Fannie Mae 372 $68,488 $25,462,702 Bank Of New York 358 $67,356 $24,113,304 Walls Fargo Bank 316 $59,286 $18,734,514 HSBC Bank 213 $79,268 $16,884,147 Lasalle Bank 141 $66,391 $9,361,093 Freddie Mac 133 $60,668 $8,068,779 Veterans Affairs 128 $66,517 $8,514,196 Household Financial Center Inc 104 $67,489 $7,018,900 H & J Properties LLC 93 $50,628 $4,708,450 Barry Watson Homes LLC 70 $159,424 $11,159,656 Compass Pointe Homes LLC 59 $146,590 $8,648,787 National City Bank 55 $81,875 $4,503,147 Citifinancial Mortgage Co Inc 51 $49,304 $2,514,518 Prudential Relocation Inc 50 $251,253 $12,562,640 Soleil Properties LLC 50 $46,540 $2,327,000 CIG Investments LLC 49 $54,697 $2,680,150 Philip Dooley 49 $57,675 $2,826,078
Top 20 Sellers - 2008 (Jan. to Oct.)
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Commercial Real Estate - 2007 to 2008 Top 20 Categories - Oct. to Jan.
2007 Year-To-Date 2008 Year-To-Date Percent Change
Property TypeNo. of Sales
Avg Sq Ft Total Sales
Avg Price Per Sq Ft
No. of Sales Avg Sq Ft Total Sales
Avg Price Per Sq Ft
No. of Sales
Avg Sq Ft
Total Sales
Avg Price Per Sq Ft
Vacant land over 1 acre 190 13,300 $170,310,000 $113 148 - $89,723,000 -22% -47%Warehouse 127 112,200 $400,855,000 $27 83 33,000 $68,529,000 $25 -35% -71% -83% -7%Apartment 127 54,100 $383,554,000 $54 80 40,900 $130,963,000 $40 -37% -24% -66% -26%Neighborhood single tenant 43 31,300 $25,357,000 $19 56 4,400 $13,207,000 $54 30% -86% -48% 187%Office Building 67 37,200 $190,729,000 $76 47 23,500 $71,984,000 $65 -30% -37% -62% -15%Vacant land under 1 acre 22 - $4,173,000 32 - $4,420,000 45% 6%Neighborhood shopping center 35 16,100 $47,930,000 $85 31 23,000 $54,033,000 $76 -11% 43% 13% -11%Office Condominium 45 4,600 $17,065,000 $81 26 2,100 $6,409,000 $118 -42% -55% -62% 44%House converted to Commercial 26 2,900 $4,149,000 $55 25 2,300 $5,232,000 $91 -4% -20% 26% 65%Garage (service type) 25 5,500 $7,244,000 $53 22 8,400 $9,889,000 $53 -12% 54% 37% 1%Car wash 6 5,100 $8,017,000 $261 16 2,800 $7,181,000 $162 167% -46% -10% -38%Church 34 15,500 $18,342,000 $46 16 5,200 $11,292,000 $58 -53% -67% -38% 26%Traditional Restaurant 23 5,200 $23,261,000 $193 15 5,100 $11,162,000 $147 -35% -3% -52% -24%Daycare center 11 2,800 $1,633,000 $53 13 4,500 $2,435,000 $41 18% 63% 49% -23%Service Station 22 3,000 $15,828,000 $237 12 2,000 $5,615,000 $248 -45% -33% -65% 5%Industrial or Manufacturing 16 58,100 $18,310,000 $14 9 69,500 $8,485,000 $14 -44% 20% -54% -2%Car dealer 8 13,000 $4,419,000 $46 8 21,900 $16,371,000 $93 0% 69% 270% 103%Doctor’s Office 20 10,500 $24,095,000 $115 8 9,900 $7,434,000 $94 -60% -6% -69% -18%Motel or hotel 15 84,800 $134,787,000 $106 8 82,700 $46,872,000 $71 -47% -2% -65% -33%Community or regional shopping 14 82,000 $130,353,000 $113 7 139,500 $70,687,000 $72 -50% 70% -46% -36%
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Commercial Lending* - 2007 to 2008 Top 20 Lenders - Oct. to Jan.
* Loans taken at time of sale.
2007 Year-To-Date 2008 Year-To-Date Percent Change
Lender NameNo. of
MortgagesTotal
$ AmountNo. of
MortgagesTotal
$ Amount % %Regions Bank 27 $21,800,000 22 $31,500,000 -19% 44%Wells Fargo 3 $10,100,000 6 $19,100,000 100% 90%U S Bank National Association n/a n/a 3 $19,100,000Wachovia Mortgage Fsb 10 $45,600,000 3 $13,200,000 -70% -71%PNC Mortgage Corp n/a n/a 1 $12,800,000Suntrust Bank 10 $13,800,000 11 $11,200,000 10% -18%Seller 59 $20,600,000 46 $10,800,000 -22% -47%First Tennessee Bank 35 $22,700,000 30 $10,000,000 -14% -56%GMAC Mortgage Corp n/a n/a 2 $9,700,000Bancorpsouth Bank 15 $15,100,000 16 $8,800,000 7% -42%Banktennessee 4 $3,100,000 4 $5,800,000 0% 89%Sunshine Mortgage Corp 2 $2,500,000 3 $5,500,000 50% 117%Triumph Bank 2 $2,700,000 8 $5,400,000 300% 102%Commercial Bank & Trust 6 $2,100,000 7 $5,300,000 17% 150%First State Bank Of Arkansas 1 $800,000 4 $4,200,000 300% 444%Paragon National Bank 12 $8,500,000 5 $4,100,000 -58% -51%Trust One Bank 8 $4,400,000 8 $3,900,000 0% -10%Landmark Community Bank 2 $1,300,000 3 $3,500,000 50% 182%Magnolia Fed Bank For Savings 3 $40,000,000 1 $3,500,000 -67% -91%Boatman's Bank 3 $4,700,000 4 $3,300,000 33% -31%
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Residential Lending* - 2007 to 2008 Top 20 Lenders - Oct. to Jan.
2007 Year-To-Date 2008 Year-To-Date Percent Change
Lender NameNo. of
MortgagesTotal
$ AmountNo. of
MortgagesTotal
$ Amount % %Community Mortgage Corp 560 $94,600,000 570 $80,800,000 3% -15%Wells Fargo 690 $131,200,000 540 $93,700,000 -22% -29%First Tennessee Bank 370 $77,200,000 530 $91,800,000 44% 19%Bank Of America National 860 $115,800,000 480 $69,600,000 -45% -40%Suntrust Mortgage Inc 560 $93,700,000 430 $74,000,000 -23% -21%Magna Bank 220 $39,300,000 390 $70,200,000 76% 79%Countrywide Home Loans 700 $130,100,000 330 $53,000,000 -54% -59%Regions Bank 320 $58,300,000 270 $45,000,000 -13% -23%Patriot Bank 280 $42,300,000 250 $38,200,000 -11% -10%Bancorpsouth Bank 160 $34,500,000 230 $43,400,000 40% 26%Pulaski Mortgage Co n/a n/a 200 $32,500,000Financial Federal Savings Bk 230 $59,500,000 170 $39,100,000 -28% -34%Bartlett Mortgage 220 $35,400,000 170 $28,200,000 -26% -20%Wachovia Mortgage Fsb 340 $44,000,000 140 $22,300,000 -58% -49%Delta Trust Mortgage Corp 200 $31,000,000 130 $20,400,000 -33% -34%Evolve Bank & Trust 110 $19,200,000 120 $15,800,000 10% -17%Seller 140 $8,600,000 110 $8,200,000 -19% -5%Oakland Deposit Bank 110 $7,700,000 110 $9,400,000 -7% 22%Homecomings Financial Network 410 $49,700,000 90 $10,700,000 -78% -78%USAA Federal Savings 140 $28,100,000 80 $14,600,000 -40% -48%
* Loans taken at time of sale.
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Where Are We Now
Jan-Oct 2007 Jan-Oct 2008 Difference %Residential Lending (Loans at time of sale)
No. of Mortgages 14,100 9,400 -4,700 -33%Avg. Mortgage Amount $154,700 $150,500 -$4,200 -3%Total $2.1 billion $1.4 billion -$773 million -35%
Existing Non-Bank Home SalesNo. of Sales 11,200 7,500 -3,700 -33%Avg. Sale Amount $163,900 $160,000 -$3,900 -2%Total $1.8 billion $1.2 billion -$636 million -35%
New Home SalesNo. of Sales 1,900 1,100 -800 -42%Avg. Sale Amount $296,200 $276,100 -$20,100 -7%Total $563 million $306 million -$257 million -46%
Commercial SalesNo. of Sales 1,000 700 -300 -30%Total $1.9 billion $709 million -$1.3 billion -64%
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Where Are We going
Jan-Oct 2007 Jan-Oct 2008 Difference %New Home Permits
No. of Permits 2,400 800 -1,600 -67%Avg. Permit Amount $242,700 $238,300 -$4,400 -2%Total Permit Amount $442 million $183 million -$259 million -59%
Residential ForeclosuresFinal Foreclosures 5,000 5,500 500 10%Avg. Appraisal $97,300 $101,500 $4,200 4%No. of Banks Sales 4,300 5,000 700 16%Homes Starting Foreclosure 9,900 10,900 1,000 10%Ratio of Notices to Foreclosures 51% 50%
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Where Are We going (cont’d)
Jan-Oct 2007 Jan-Oct 2008
No. Sales Involving Multiple Loans* 1,973 254 % of All Loans* 14% 3%
Loan to Value Ratio on Single Loans 89% 89%
Jan-Oct 2007 Jan-Oct 2008
No. of FHA Loans* 800 2,500% of All Residential Loans* 5% 30%Loan to Value Ratio 98% 98%
Wells Fargo - No. of FHA Loans* 100 175
*Loans taken at time of sale.
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