St Louis City HomicidesGROUP G –

BRADLEY BOUTAGH, ELAINE LOVE, NATHAN SHUH & SRUTHI SIRPUR

Objectives

Review homicides in Saint Louis City, MO January 2009 – January 2014 Overall

Yearly

Monthly

By District

Predict likelihood of future homicides in Saint Louis City, MO

St. Louis City Police

Homicides by Year

Reduction in total homicides in 2010, 2011 and 2012

Increase in homicides I 2013

January 2014 fewer than same month 2013

2009 2010 2011 2012 20130

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

Total homicides by Month

Janu

ary

Febr

uary

Mar

chApr

ilMay

June Ju

ly

Augus

t

Sept

embe

r

Octob

er

Novem

ber

Decem

ber

0

5

10

15

20

25

30 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Homicides by District (2009-2013)

District 1 District 2 District 3 District 4 District 5 District 6 District 7 District 8 District 90

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

180

Median Household Income by District

District 1 District 2 District 3 District 4 District 5 District 6 District 7 District 8 District 90

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

45000

50000

New Districts

Homicides by District (Jan 2014)

District 1 District 2 District 3 District 4 District 5 District 60

1

2

3

4

5

6

Prediction

District 6 will continue to have the most homicides in the City of St. Louis