Download - Quantitative History and Historical Numeracy
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Quantitative History and Historical Numeracy
Margo Anderson
History Department
http://www.uwm.edu/~margo
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Human Population Growth Timeline
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Human Population Growth Timeline
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Human Population Growth Timeline: Focusing in….
• 1456: Gutenberg Bible (Invention of movable type)
• 1492 Columbus’ “Discovery” of the New World
• ca 1500 Renaissance• 1517 Protestant Reformation• 1607: Founding of Virginia (Jamestown
Colony)• 1620-30: Founding of Plymouth Colony and
Massachusetts Bay
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American Population Dynamics
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Growth of the U.S Population
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Growth in the Size of the House
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Admitting States to the Union
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The First Gerrymander, 1812
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United States Fertility, 1800-2000 (White Women)
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Homicide
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Homicide rates in the US, 1950-2000
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Circumstances
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Weapons and Circumstances
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Homicide in Europe over Time
• Homicide rates per 100,000 population in English counties and cities, 1200–1970. From Ted Robert Gurr, "Historical Trends in Violent Crime: A Critical Review of the Evidence," Crime and Justice 3 (1981): 313.
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Homicide in Europe
• Long-term homicide rates per 100,000 population in Scandinavia and England, North and South. Calculated from Manuel Eisner, "Modernization, Self-Control and Lethal Violence: The Long-Term Dynamics of European Homicide Rates in Theoretical Perspective," British Journal of Criminology 41 (2001): 618–638.
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Murder Rates in NYC and Los Angeles, 1800-2000
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American and European Murder Rates
TABLE 1Estimates of European and American Murder Rates
Era Pre-1850 1850–2000
NYC murder rate 5 10
European murder rate 2.7 2.1
Sources: Estimated from Monkkonen, Murder in New York City, and Eisner, "Modernization, Self-Control and Lethal Violence."
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Iraq War Civilian Deaths from Violence
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US Military Iraq War Deaths, 2003-2008
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Coalition Deaths, 2003-2010
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To learn more…
• Take History 595, Quantitative Analysis of Historical Data
• Read Numbers!• Browse www.census.gov or United
Nations website, for example, http://www.unfpa.org/swp/ or http://esa.un.org/unpp/
• When you read a “quantitative” assessment, ask what it really means…