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1st Quarter 2005
Manpower Employment Outlook SurveyUnited States
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Contents
United States Employment Outlook 2
Regional Comparisons
Sector Comparisons
Global Employment Outlook 14
International Comparisons Americas
International Comparisons Asia Pacific
International Comparisons Europe
About the Survey 19
About Manpower 20
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
The United States Employment Outlook
Increase Decrease No Change Dont KnowNet Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
Adjusted
% % % % % %
1st Quarter 2005 24 10 59 7 14 21
1st Quarter 2004 20 13 61 6 7 14
2nd Quarter 2004 28 6 62 4 22 20
3rd Quarter 2004 30 6 59 5 24 20
4th Quarter 2004 28 7 60 5 21 20
quarter of 2004. When seasonal variations are removed,
however, the outlook for the first three months of 2005
reveals that employer confidence is expected to inch
upward from last quarter.
Although the increase is by a very small margin, it
represents the first time in three quarters that
employers have indicated any change in their hiring
intentions. The outlook for the coming quarter is much
brighter than it was a year ago at this time. Employer
confidence levels continue to rival those last seen in the
beginning months of 2001.
Throughout this report, we use the term Net
Employment Outlook. This figure is derived by taking
the percentage of employers anticipating an increase in
hiring activity and subtracting from this the percentage
of employers that expect to see a decrease in
employment at their location in the next quarter.
Nearly 16,000 interviews have been conducted with
employers across the United States to measure
anticipated employment trends between January and
March 2005. All participants were asked, How do you
anticipate total employment at your location to change
in the three months to the end of March 2005 as
compared to the current quarter?
Twenty-four percent of the U.S. employers that were
polled anticipate an increase in hiring activity for the first
quarter of 2005, while 10% expect to decrease staff
levels. Fifty-nine percent of employers surveyed foresee
no change in job prospects, while 7% are unsure of
their hiring plans.
The surveys historical data show that the impact of
seasonal variations is most apparent during the first
quarter of the year. This explains why, without seasonal
adjustments to the data, the Net Employment Outlook
indicates a drop-off in hiring activity from the fourth
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The results of the Manpower Employment Outlook Survey in the United States include Puerto Rico.
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Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % %%%
Construction 21 14 59 76 24
Education 15 5 74 10 106
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 26 3 64 7 23 24
Manufacturing Durables 28 9 57 6 19 23
Manufacturing Non-Durables 24 8 62 6 2016
Mining 27 6 63 4 2621
Public Administration 17 7 66 10 1310
Services 24 7 62 7 17 21
Transportation & Public Utilities 25 7 61 7 18 20
Wholesale & Retail Trade 23 17 54 6 6 23
At the overall national level, the margin of error on the data is +/ 0.8%.
Net Employment SeasonallyIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
Outlook Adjusted
% % % %
Midwest
Northeast 21 10 61 8 11 18
26 9 58 7 17 23
21 11 64 4 10 19
South
West 26 10 55 9 16 22
% %
On a seasonally adjusted basis, employers in five of the
10 industry sectors surveyed plan to keep hiring activity
relatively consistent with the final months of 2004. They
include Durable Goods Manufacturing, Non-Durable
Goods Manufacturing, Transportation/Public Utilities,
Wholesale/Retail Trade and Services.
Job prospects in Mining, Construction, Finance/
Insurance/Real Estate and Public Administration are
expected to improve from fourth quarter, while Education
employers plan to slightly decrease the hiring pace in
the new year.
Employers in all 10 industry sectors are more optimistic
about hiring going into 2005 than they were approaching
2004, especially those in Mining, Durable Goods
Manufacturing, Transportation/Public Utilities, Finance/
Insurance/Real Estate and Public Administration.
Hiring intentions across the four regions were decidedly
more conservative last year at this time.
The job forecast for the first quarter of 2005 is thestrongest in the South. Employer optimism in the
Northeast trails the other three regions for the fourth
consecutive quarter.
Employment activity in two of the four U.S. regions
the Northeast and the West is expected to stay the
same in the beginning months of the new year as it
was in the fourth quarter of 2004. Employers in the
South plan a mild improvement in first quarter job
prospects, while those in the Midwest anticipate a
decline in payrolls, albeit on a very small scale.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Regional Comparisons
Midwest
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
%%%%% %
All Industries 21 11 64 4 10 19
Construction 12 19 65 4 -7 18
Education 79 81 3 2 3
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 24 3 68 5 21 22
Manufacturing Durables 29 9 58 4 20 24
Manufacturing Non-Durables 23 9 63 5 14 19
Mining 33 17 50 0 2716
Public Administration 13 9 71 7 4 10
Services 23 8 64 5 15 20
Transportation & Public Utilities 22 687 3 15 18
Wholesale & Retail Trade 18 18 60 4 0 22
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The Midwest Region comprises the following states: Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio,
South Dakota, Wisconsin.
In the Midwest, 21% of employers surveyed anticipate
an increase in payrolls for the first quarter of 2005, while
11% plan to reduce staff levels. This creates a Net
Employment Outlook of 10%. According to the seasonally
adjusted data, Midwest employers anticipate little change
in their first quarter hiring, compared with the final
months of 2004. Job prospects a year ago were much
weaker than those predicted for the coming quarter.
Job seekers are likely to find mixed staffing intentions
among employers in the Midwest. Those in the Mining,
Finance/Insurance/Real Estate, Public Administration
and Services sectors plan to step up the hiring pace
from fourth quarter, while job prospects in
Transportation/Public Utilities and Education are
expected to soften. Durable and Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturing, Construction and Wholesale/Retail
Trade employers plan to hold steady with hiring levels
similar to fourth quarter.
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Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % % % %
All Industries 21 10 61 8 1811
Construction 17 6016 7 1 21
Education 15 2 78 5 13 12
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 25 5 64 6 20 22
Manufacturing Durables 21 9 62 8 12 17
Manufacturing Non-Durables 23 7 16 19
Mining 25 0 25 20
Public Administration 12 9 3 5
Services 21 8 13 19
Transportation & Public Utilities 21 8
64
75
67
62
60
6
0
12
9
11 13 14
Wholesale & Retail Trade 24 16 53 7 8 21
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Northeast
The Northeast Region comprises the following states: Connecticut, Maine, Massachusetts, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New York, Pennsylvania,
Rhode Island, Vermont.
Of the employers surveyed in the Northeast, 21% plan
to increase job opportunities in the first three months of
2005, while 10% anticipate a reduction in staff levels,
resulting in a Net Employment Outlook of 11%. Whenseasonal variations are removed from the data, the job
forecast for the Northeast is the same as it was in the
past two surveys.
Employers in the Northeast are not as optimistic about
first quarter hiring as those in the other U.S. regions, a
position they have held since the second quarter of
2004. Even so, hiring expectations for the Northeast
are stronger than they were a year ago at this time.
The hiring pace in the Construction, Public
Administration and Mining sectors is expected to
strengthen in the first quarter, compared with the final
period of 2004. Wholesale/Retail Trade,Finance/Insurance/Real Estate, Education and Services
employers predict little change in hiring activity, while
those in Durable and Non-Durable Goods
Manufacturing and Transportation/Public Utilities
anticipate slightly softer job prospects.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
South
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % % % %
All Industries 26 9 58 7 17 23
Construction 27 5610 7 17 28
Education 16 6 69 9 10 11
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 26 3 62 9 23 22
Manufacturing Durables 29 10 56 5 19 24
Manufacturing Non-Durables 24 8 62 6 16 19
Mining 25 6 63 6 19 23
Public Administration 20 624 14 16 18
Services 28 7 57 8 21 23
Transportation & Public Utilities 25 608 7 17 19
Wholesale & Retail Trade 26 16 51 7 10 25
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 050
5
10
15
20
25
30
The South Region comprises the following states: Alabama, Arkansas, Delaware, District of Columbia, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana,
Maryland, Mississippi, North Carolina, Oklahoma, South Carolina, Tennessee, Texas, Virginia, West Virginia.
In the South, 26% of the employers polled anticipate an
increase in job levels, while 9% plan to slow the hiring
pace. This results in a Net Employment Outlook of 17%,
the strongest of the U.S. regions surveyed.
On a seasonally adjusted basis, job seekers in the
South can expect to see a mild improvement in hiring
activity, compared with fourth quarter, and an even
stronger hiring pace than a year ago.
Employers in six of the 10 industry sectors in the South
are more positive about hiring in the first quarter than
they were in the fourth quarter of 2004. They include
Construction, Public Administration, Durable GoodsManufacturing, Transportation/Public Utilities,
Finance/Insurance/Real Estate and Mining. Job
prospects in Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing,
Wholesale/Retail Trade and Services are likely to remain
the same, while those in the Education sector are
expected to decline sharply.
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West
Net Employment
Outlook
Seasonally
AdjustedIncrease Decrease No Change Dont Know
% % % % % %
All Industries 26 10 55 9 16 22
Construction 24 16 53 7 8 23
Education 23 3 67 7 20 19
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate 32 4 53 11 28 28
Manufacturing Durables 32 9 50 9 23 25
Manufacturing Non-Durables 24 9 58 9 15 18
Mining 29 6 65 0 23 29
Public Administration 19 7 67 7 12 14
Services 25 7 58 10 18 23
Transportation & Public Utilities 31 7 55 7 24 24
Wholesale & Retail Trade 27 18 45 10 9 22
Net Employment OutlookNet Employment Outlook Seasonally AdjustedSeasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
The West Region comprises the following states: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Hawaii, Idaho, Montana, Nevada, New Mexico, Oregon,
Utah, Washington, Wyoming.
Among employers surveyed in the West, 26% foresee
an increase in employment, while 10% anticipate a
reduction in their payrolls, which equals a Net
Employment Outlook of 16%. According to theseasonally adjusted survey results, this marks the third
consecutive quarter that employers in the West have
predicted the same steady hiring pace. Last year at this
time, they were not as positive in their hiring intentions
for the f irst quarter.
Job candidates can expect to find a healthy hiring pace
throughout the West, with the strongest quarter-over-
quarter improvement in job prospects likely to occur in
the Mining, Education, Wholesale/Retail Trade andFinance/Insurance/Real Estate industries. Little change
in employment activity is planned for the
Transportation/Public Utilities and Services industries,
while more conservative hiring plans are in store for the
Durable and Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing,
Construction and Public Administration sectors.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Sector Comparisons
According to seasonally adjusted results, there is disparity
in first quarter hiring plans among the 10 industry sectors
surveyed. Mining employers are most intent on adding
to payroll, with expectations at a level not seen since
the early 1980s. Strong hiring plans are also apparent
in Construction, Finance/Insurance/Real Estate, Durable
Goods Manufacturing and Wholesale/Retail Trade.
On the other end of the spectrum, Public Administration
and Education employers are considerably more
reserved about the employment outlook, as they were
throughout 2004.
Construction
Education
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
Manufacturing Durables
Manufacturing Non-Durables
Mining
Public Administration
Services
Transportation & Public Utilities
Wholesale & Retail Trade
23
24
1010
0 40
2126
1013
17
20
21
623
1923
16
18
20
24
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
7
5 10 15 20 25 30 35
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Construction
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-20-15-10
-505
10152025303540
After a moderate decline in the latter half of 2004,
Construction employers plan to pick up the hiring pace
during the first quarter of 2005, according to seasonally
adjusted data. Job prospects are expected to improveslightly from last quarter and last year at this time.
Regionally, employers in the South are most confident
about adding to headcount, as they have been in 11
out of the last 12 quarters. Employers in the Midwest
anticipate slower hiring compared with the other threeregions.
Education
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
Hiring ups and downs are expected to continue to
plague job seekers in the Education sector. Employer
confidence trended upward for four consecutive
quarters and then began to fall in the fourth quarter of
2004, according to seasonally adjusted data. The
downward slide continues in the first quarter of 2005
with fewer employers intending to add to staff
compared with last quarter. The hiring pace is expected
to be stronger than last year at this time.
For the first quarter, employers in the West are most
likely to add staff, and those in the Midwest have the
weakest hiring intentions.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Manufacturing Durable Goods
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
With one of the most positive employment outlooks,
Durable Goods Manufacturers expect to hire at a
steady pace from January to March, according to
seasonally adjusted data. Employer confidence is
identical to levels reported in the fourth quarter survey.
Compared with a year ago, job seekers should find
many more employers adding staff.
Regional comparisons also mirror the fourth quarter
survey results. Once again, employers in the West plan
to offer the most promising employment prospects,
while those in the Northeast are least likely to have
job openings.
Finance, Insurance & Real Estate
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
0
5
10
15
20
25
When seasonal variations are removed from the data,
hiring activity in Finance/Insurance/Real Estate is
expected to be among the strongest of the 10 industry
sectors surveyed. Nearly 25 years have passed sinceemployers in this sector were so confident in their
job forecast.
As it has since the final months of 2003, employer
optimism continues its slow and steady climb.
Companies are somewhat more positive about hiring
than they were last quarter, and considerably more
confident about staffing plans compared with a year ago.
Employers in the West are most optimistic about hiring,
as was the case throughout 2004. The employment
outlook for the Midwest, Northeast and South is
identical.
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Mining
When seasonal variations are removed from the data,
Mining employers are more optimistic in their hiring
estimates than they have been since the early 1980s.
In addition, the employment outlook for Mining is the
strongest among industries surveyed. The hiring pace is
expected to be up from last quarter and significantly
more robust than last year at this time.
For the first quarter, hiring intentions in Mining are
strongest in the West and weakest in the Northeast.
Manufacturing Non-Durable Goods
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 050
5
10
15
20
25
30
Steady hiring intentions are apparent again this quarter
in Non-Durable Goods Manufacturing, according to the
seasonally adjusted survey results. Hiring plans are
consistent with those reported the last two quarters.Employers are noticeably more upbeat about adding to
payroll than they were a year ago.
There is little variation in employer confidence across
the regions. Job prospects are expected to be equal in
the South, Midwest and Northeast, with the West only
slightly behind.
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Public Administration
Employer confidence is on the rise in Public Administration.
According to seasonally adjusted data, government
employers expect a slight boost in the hiring pace over
fourth quarter, and a considerable increase in activitycompared with a year ago.
Job seekers may find their employment search takes
them South, where more employers expect to take on
staff. Employers in the Northeast have the most
conservative hiring plans.
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Services
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
Stability characterizes the recent hiring trend in the
Services industry, according to seasonally adjusted
survey results. For the fourth consecutive quarter, the
employment outlook remains relatively consistent.
Employers expect a modest improvement in staffing
plans from last year at this time.
Job seekers in the South and West are likely to have
the best employment prospects, while those in the
Northeast are expected to find fewer companies adding
to payroll.
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Wholesale & Retail Trade
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-15-10
-505
101520253035
Transportation & Public Utilities
Net Employment Outlook Seasonally Adjusted
89 90 91 92 93 94 95 96 97 98 99 00 01 02 03 04 05-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
During the first quarter of 2005, Transportation/Public
Utilities employers expect the hiring pace to remain steady.
When seasonal variations are removed from the data,
the employment outlook is similar to last quarter. Thehiring picture is considerably rosier than a year ago.
Employers in the West are most confident about hiring
for the January March period, while those in the
Northeast are more reserved in their staffing plans.
According to seasonally adjusted survey results,
Wholesale/Retail Trade employers foresee a continued
pattern of steady hiring. The hiring pace has remained
consistent since the second quarter of 2004, and this
quarter is no exception. The employment outlook is
identical to last quarter, but shows modest
improvement from a year ago.
As was the case last quarter, job prospects are likely to
be similar across the regions. Employers in the South
are most optimistic about job gains, while the hiring
pace is expected to be slightly slower in the Northeast
than in other areas.
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
Global Employment Outlookthis quarter, German employer confidence has
improved since the first quarter of 2004, whilst
employer confidence in Italy has decreased slightly
over the same period of time.
In the U.S., Canada and the UK, seasonally adjusted
results reveal continuing employer optimism and solid
hiring levels with all three countries recording year-
over-year improvements. Notably, Canadian and
American employers reported the strongest first-
quarter outlooks in four years.
Over 35,000 employers have been interviewed across
19 countries and territories to measure anticipated
employment trends between January and March 2005.
Employers in 17 of the 19 countries and territories
say they expect positive hiring activity in the coming
quarter, with 12 countries reporting stronger hiring
levels compared to one year ago. New Zealand and
Hong Kong employers once again reported the
strongest anticipated hiring trends for the quarter
ahead. Although employers in both Italy and Germany
are reporting negative Net Employment Outlooks for
Net Employment Outlook Qtr on Qtr Change
Americas Q4 2004 to Q1 2005
Canada -9 (1)1
Mexico -6
United States
Quarter 4 2004
%
13 (17)1
18
21 (20)1
Quarter 1 2005
%
4 (18)1
12
14 (21)1 -7 (1)1
Net Employment Outlook Qtr on Qtr Change
Europe Q4 2004 to Q1 2005
Austria -3
Belgium -2
France -3
Germany -4
Ireland 1
Netherlands -3
Norway 5
Spain 0
UK -4 (4)1
Italy
Quarter 4 2004
%
4
7
5
-2
14
6
7
5
18 (14)1
-1
Quarter 1 2005
%
1
5
2
-6
15
3
12
5
Sweden -49 5
14 (18)1
-1 0
1. Number in parentheses is Net Employment Outlook when adjusted to remove the impact of seasonal variations in hiring activity for Canada, the UK
and the United States.
Net Employment Outlook
Asia Pacific
Australia 0
Quarter 1 2005
%
17
1330
Quarter 4 2004
%
17
1129
Qtr on Qtr Change
Q4 2004 to Q1 2005
2625Hong Kong 1
Japan 2New Zealand 1
Singapore 814 -6
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50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
International Comparisons Americas
Over 21,000 interviews have been conducted across
the United States, Canada and Mexico to measure
anticipated employment trends between January and
March 2005.The overall regional outlook is positivewith employers in all three countries forecasting year-
over-year improvements.
Based on the seasonally adjusted data, employers in
the United States posted the regions strongest Net
Employment Outlook. U.S. and Canadian employers
reported their strongest first-quarter outlooks in four
years. Mexican employers expect to hire less in the
first quarter than they did at the close of 2004.However, the hiring outlook is comparable to levels
reported at this time last year.
Canada
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Mexico
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
USA
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
International Comparisons Asia Pacific
Over 6,000 interviews have been conducted across
Asia Pacific to measure anticipated employment
trends between January and March 2005.
Continued positive hiring activity is expected in all of
the countries surveyed in Asia Pacific, with employers
in New Zealand reporting the most positive outlook.
Employers in Hong Kong also revealed optimistic
hiring intentions for the first three months of the year
with their strongest outlook in seven quarters.
Notably, Hong Kongs Net Employment Outlook has
increased at every quarter since the establishment of
the survey. Singapore employers reported weaker
hiring activity compared to the previous quarter.Employers in Japan revealed a considerable Net
Employment Outlook improvement year-over-year.
Employers in both Australia and Singapore reveal no
meaningful year-over-year changes in anticipated
hiring patterns.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Australia50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Hong Kong
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
2003 2004 2005
Singapore
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Japan50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
This country joined the survey in Q2 2004.
New Zealand
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International Comparisons Europe
Over 10,000 interviews have been conducted across
11 European nations to measure anticipated employment
trends between January and March 2005. The overall
regional Net Employment Outlook for Europe ispositive with only employers in Italy and Germany
continuing to reveal negative hiring intentions for the
quarter ahead. However, six of the 11 countries
anticipate decreases in year-over-year outlooks.
Employers in Ireland and the UK continue to report
the most buoyant hiring intentions in Europe with
Ireland reporting a considerable year-over-year
improvement. Employers in Norway are very upbeat
about first-quarter hiring intentions, reporting the
highest level ever recorded for the country. Employersin Germany, although forecasting a negative outlook for
the quarter ahead, are less pessimistic than they were
in the first quarter of 2004. Notably, in the next three
months French employers are anticipating the weakest
hiring activity since the survey began in this country.
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
2003 2004 2005
Austria50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Belgium
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
France
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Germany
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Ireland50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
No bar indicates Net Employment Outlook of zero.
2003 2004 2005
Italy
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Netherlands50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Norway
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Spain50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
2003 2004 2005
Sweden
50
40
30
20
10
0
-10
-20
Line shows seasonally adjusted data.
2003 2004 2005
UK
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The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted
quarterly to measure employers intentions to increase or
decrease the number of employees in their workforce during
the next quarter. The survey has been running for more than
40 years and is one of the most trusted surveys of employmentactivity in the world. Various factors underpin the success of the
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey:
Unique: It is unparalleled in its size, scope, longevity and area
of focus.
Projective: The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is the
only forward-looking survey, asking employers to forecast
employment over the next quarter. In contrast, other surveys
and studies focus on retrospective data to report on what
occurred in the past.
Focused: For more than four decades, the survey has derived
all of its information from a single question.
Independent:The survey is conducted with a representative
sample of employers from throughout the countries in which it
is conducted. The survey participants are not derived from
Manpowers customer base.
Robust:The survey is based on interviews with more than
35,000 public and private employers across 19 countries and
territories to measure anticipated employment trends each
quarter. This sample allows for analysis to be performed across
specific sectors and regions to provide more detailed information.
Methodology
The Manpower Employment Outlook Survey is conducted using
a validated methodology, in accordance with the higheststandards in market research. The research team for the 19
countries and territories where the survey is currently conducted
includes Manpowers Market Intelligence team; the Organization
Research and Analysis Division of Right Management
Consultants an independent operating division of Manpower
Inc.; NOP World and Grupo IDM. The survey has been
structured to be representative of each national economy. The
margin of error for all national, regional and global data is not
greater than +/- 4.1%.
In the United States, the national survey is conducted by
Manpowers North American Market Intelligence Team and
includes 16,000 employers. With this number of interviews, the
margin of error for the United States survey is +/- 0.8%.
Survey Question
All employers participating in the survey worldwide are asked the
same question, How do you anticipate total employment at your
location to change in the three months to the end of March 2005
as compared to the current quarter?
Net Employment Outlook
Throughout this report, we use the term Net Employment
Outlook. This figure is derived by taking the percentage of
employers anticipating an increase in hiring activity and
subtracting from this the percentage of employers that expect to
see a decrease in employment at their location in the next quarter.
The result of this calculation is the Net Employment Outlook.
Seasonal Adjustment
Seasonal adjustments have been applied to the data for
Canada, the United States and United Kingdom to provide
additional insight into the survey data. These adjustments make
it possible to review the data without the employment
fluctuations that normally occur at the same time each year, thus
providing a clearer picture of the data over time. Manpower
intends to add seasonal adjustments to the data for other
countries in the future, as more historical data is compiled.
History of the Survey
1962 1st generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook
Survey launched in the United States and Canada.
1966 Manpowers UK operation launches the equivalent of the
United States survey, naming the report the Quarterly
Survey of Employment Prospects. The survey adopts thesame forward-looking research format as the United States
survey and is the first of its kind in Europe.
1976 2nd generation of Manpowers Employment Outlook
Survey launched in the United States and Canada.
Research methodology is updated to evolve with
advancements in the field of market research.
2002 Manpower UKs Quarterly Survey of Employment
Prospects is updated to adopt an enhanced research
methodology. Manpowers operations in Mexico and
Ireland launch the survey in their respective countries.
2003 3rd generation of the Manpower Employment Outlook
Survey is launched, expanding the program to a total 18
countries and territories worldwide: Australia, Austria,
Belgium, Canada, France, Germany, Hong Kong, Ireland,
Italy, Japan, Mexico, Netherlands, Norway, Singapore,
Spain, Sweden, United Kingdom and United States.
2004 Manpower operations in New Zealand launch the
Manpower Employment Outlook Survey.
About the Survey
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Manpower Employment Outlook Survey USA
About Manpower Inc.Manpower Inc. (NYSE: MAN) is a world leader in the employment
services industry, offering customers a continuum of services to
meet their needs throughout the employment and business cycle.
The company specializes in permanent, temporary and contract
recruitment; employee assessment; training; career transition and
organizational consulting services. Manpowers worldwide
network of 4,300 offices in 67 countries and territories enables
the company to meet the needs of its 400,000 customers per
year, including small and medium size enterprises in all industry
sectors, as well as the worlds largest multinational corporations.
The focus of Manpowers work is on raising productivity through
improved quality, efficiency and cost-reduction, enabling
customers to concentrate on their core business activities.
In addition to the Manpower brand, the company operates under
the brand names of Right Management Consultants, Jefferson
Wells, Elan and Brook Street. More information on Manpower Inc.
is available at www.manpower.com.
In the United States, Manpower offers businesses a range ofHR services, in addition to providing administrative, industrial
and contact center personnel. Under the Manpower
Professional brand, the company places contract professionals
on assignment in areas such as information technology,
scientific, finance, engineering and telecommunications. More
information about Manpowers US operation can be found at
www.us.manpower.com.
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Manpower Inc., 5301 N. Ironwood Rd., Milwaukee, WI 53217
Tel: 414 961 1000
www.us.manpower.com