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Making it Real: Modeling ecosystem services to support planning on the west coast of Vancouver
Island
Anne GuerryIMCC May 2011, Victoria BC
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6 things we have learned
1. Watch our language2. Its not about us3. Don’t be (total) geeks4. Space matters5. Sweat the small stuff6. CMSP is doable
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1. Watch our language
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Ecosystem services: the things people want and need from nature
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• 12 stakeholder groups interviewed• List of services from MA• Broad agreement about what matters
“Most Important” Ecosystem Services
World Resources Institute 2009
First tier: •water •water regulation•tourism and recreation, ethical and existence values
WRI 2009
Second tier: •food from fisheries, •food from aquaculture, •water purification and waste treatment
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Ecosystem services: Σ Ψ ζ θ ϖ$$$$ …
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Voters recognize benefits nature provides to peopleSupport calculating value of benefits and factoring into decisions about natural resourcesPreference for label other than “ecosystem services”
public opinion
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Visions and values
• healthy environment• sustainable local jobs • tax revenue/rent • recreation • spiritual places • viewscapes/noise • community social capital • cultural diversity
• marine safety• access to local food• research and innovation • local sustainable energy• climate change/carbon footprint
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Scenario elements and ecosystem service models
• healthy environment habitat risk assessment model• sustainable local jobs connect to regional
input/output models • tax revenue/rent diversify model outputs • recreation overlap model• viewscapes/noise aesthetic quality model• access to local food fisheries and aquaculture models• local sustainable energy wave energy model• spiritual places scenario element
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2. Its not about us
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West Coast Aquaticpublic-private partnership4 levels of governmentbusiness interests, NGO’s, etc
Guiding Principles and GoalsTsa’walk (everything is one)Integrated managementCommunity involvement
Creating a marine spatial plan for Barkely and Clayoquot SoundsUnit 21 (Toquart Bay):Critical area for the forestry sector due to infrastructure. Increasing importance of recreation and tourism.General Management Emphasis: Toquart Bay should be managed for mixed use which allows for continued use by the forestry sector and growth in the recreation and tourism sectors. Care should be given to reduce and/or mitigate potential conflicts between these uses and activities.•Shellfish and Marine Plant Aquaculture…•New private, commercial and industrial docks…•The upland area adjacent to the planning unit…
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3. Don’t be (total) geeks
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Run Wave ModelO
ffsho
re
Beac
h
Erosion Difference: 1.5m
15 hrs Storm
Hmax=1.5m
T=4s
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Combined index of vulnerability:Where are the people + where are the biophysical hazards?
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Run Wave ModelO
ffsho
re
Beac
h
Erosion Difference: 1.5m
15 hrs Storm
Hmax=1.5m
T=4s
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Stanford researchers bring new marine tool to West Coast
Yasmin Aboelsaud, Special to Westerly News Published: Thursday, January 13, 2011
Councillors and Tofino mayor John Fraser were among attendees at the presentations on coastal erosion hosted by the District of Tofino and West Coast Aquatic on January 10.
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4. Space matters
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• All habitat patches are not created equal– Considering management actions in
context allows for more informed decisions
• e.g. protect this eelgrass over that…
• Focus on the “do’s”
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Move shellfish tenures away from population centers
Restore eelgrass in high risk, high benefit locations
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5. Sweat the small stuff
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CMSP is made up of many small decisionsHelp put them in context
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Combined index of vulnerability:Where are the people + where are the biophysical hazards?
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0 - 1.5
1.5 - 3.0
3.0 - 4.5
4.5 - 6.0
6.0 - 7.5
NPV ($ mil)
COM_SAL_TRCommercial Fishery: Salmon trawl: Salmon net: Crab and Shrimp
REC_FISHRecreational Fishery: Salmon : Ground fish
: Power Grid Connection Point
: Cable Landing Point
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Lemmens Inlet: float homes, shellfish aquaculture, water quality tradeoffs
Current shellfish aquacultureFuture shellfish aquacultureCurrent floathomesFuture floathomesEelgrass
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6. CMSP is doable
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CMSP on the WCVI
Groundwork is laid:– WCA
• Visions and values• Local knowledge• Stakeholder engagement• Planning units
– WCA/NatCap• Framing scenarios• Exploring tradeoffs
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Policy emphasisNeed for early successes…
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Mary RuckelshausCK Kim
Mike PapenfusGreg Verutes
Jodie ToftKatie ArkemaGreg GuannelJoey BernhardtSpencer Wood
Matt MarsikDave Sutherland
Andrew DayKevin Head
Jenn SpencerTrudy Warner
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thank you.
www.naturalcapitalproject.org
The Gordon and Betty Moore FoundationThe West Coast Aquatic Management BoardNOAA Fisheries, Northwest Fisheries Science CenterGretchen Daily, Peter Kareiva, Taylor Ricketts, Steve Polasky, and Jon Foley
Our Technical Working Group: Apollo Qi, Heather Tallis, Steve Polasky, Mark Plummer, Phil Levin, Bill Labiosa, Francis Chan, Guy Gelfenbaum, Peter Ruggiero, Andre Punt, Melanie McField, Ben Halpern, Sarah Lester, Malin Pinsky, Mike Beck, Barry Gold, Kai ChanOthers: Matt Marsik, Spencer Wood, Andrew Day, Laura Loucks, Trudy Warner, Kevin Head, Roger Bedard, Jim Regetz, Dan Holland
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