Low-Carbon Energy:Low-Carbon Energy:The Race for Global The Race for Global
CompetitivenessCompetitivenessChristopher FlavinChristopher Flavin
Worldwatch InstituteWorldwatch Institute
The Business of CleantechThe Business of CleantechSault Ste. Marie, OntarioSault Ste. Marie, Ontario
31 March 201031 March 2010
Global Carbon Dioxide EmissionsGlobal Carbon Dioxide Emissions1908 - 20081908 - 2008
12 B
9 B
6 B
3 B
0
1908 1928 1948 1968 1988 2008
ton
sC/y
ear
DevelopedNations
DevelopedNations
Emer
ging E
conom
ies
Emer
ging E
conom
ies
Devel
opin
g Cou
ntrie
s
Devel
opin
g Cou
ntrie
sSource: CDIAC, WEO, C-ROADS
1-
Source: IEA WEO 2007
CO2 Emissions Per Capita by Country and Region
Carbon Intensity, Select Countries
(tons CO2/$GDP)
Source: CDIAC, CIA World Factbook
Carbon Intensity, Select States
(tons CO2/ $GDP)
Source: EIA, BEA
World Price of Oil: 1986 - World Price of Oil: 1986 - 20102010
Average Annual NYMEX Spot Price
$-
$20.00
$40.00
$60.00
$80.00
$100.00
$120.00
1986
1988
1990
1992
1994
1996
1998
2000
2002
2004
2006
2008
2010
(YTD
)
$ pe
r bar
rel
Source: EIA
Average Energy Growth Average Energy Growth Rates by Source: 2003-2008Rates by Source: 2003-2008
Source: Worldwatch, BP.
Global Electricity from Global Electricity from Renewables Renewables 2002-2008 2002-2008
Source: NEF 2009
Renewable power generation additions as share of global power generation additions
Renewable generation as % of global power generation
World Wind CapacityWorld Wind Capacity1996-20081996-2008
Source: REN21 2009
World Biofuels ProductionWorld Biofuels Production1990-20081990-2008
Source: REN21 2009
World Solar PV CapacityWorld Solar PV Capacity1990-20081990-2008
Source: REN21 2009
Cost of New U.S. Power Cost of New U.S. Power Generation, 2008Generation, 2008
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
Coal Natural Gas Nuclear Wind Solar
cen
ts p
er k
Wh
($2
007)
Construction O&M Fuel
Source: Black & Veatech (2007), EIA (2008), Keystone Center (2007), IEER (2008), E3 (2008).
Wind PotentialWind Potential
http://www.3tier.com
Solar PotentialSolar Potential
Renewable Electricity in Renewable Electricity in Germany 1990 - 2007Germany 1990 - 2007
Source: BMU 2009.
Map credit: NREL
Global Potential of Renewable Global Potential of Renewable ResourcesResources
Source: IEA, Johansson et al.
Stand-Alone Generationvs. Cogeneration
Source: EIA/ICF International
Cogeneration Share of National Power Generation
Source: IEA
U.S. New Appliance Energy Use 1972-2007
Source: ACEEE
Smart Grid
Source: DOE
Existing U.S. Generating Capacity by Initial Year of
Operation
Source: EIA
Renewable Revolution: Low-Carbon Energy by
2030
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