Download - Growth accounting in the new industry classification standard; SNI 2007 ─ a work in progress
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Growth accounting in the new industry classification standard; SNI 2007 ─ a work in progress
Saltsjöbaden 06-10-2011
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What I am going to talk about
• What we have done and what we plan to do
• Some preliminary results• Labour composition• Industry differences for the whole period• The average for all industries and goods and
service industries
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What is growth accounting?
• Growth in gross production
• -The weighted input of production factors• Energy• Material• Services• Labour service including quality• Capital service
• =Multifactor productivity
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That we have done so far
•The data we have in the new industry classification;
• Gross production • Value added• Worked hour• Labour quality
•Constructed data• Capital• Preliminary years
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That we plan to do
•Capital
•ICT-capital
•More developed use of the preliminary years
•Labour quality for preliminary years based on the Labour force survey
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Some preliminary results
•Labour composition
•Industry difference for the whole period 1993-2010
•Development for the average industry
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Labour composition
• How the market value those who work in the private sector• Age • Ethnicity• Educational level• Educational orientation
• However not two sexes
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Labour input 1993-2008: Age distribution
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
61-70 Year46-60 Year31-45 Year21-30 Year16-20 year
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Labour input 1993-2008: Ethnicity distribution
19931994
19951996
19971998
19992000
20012002
20032004
20052006
20072008
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Rest of the World
EU15, North Ame and Ocean
Swedish
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Labour input 1993-2008 Education distribution
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
Research
Graduate
Undergraduate
Upper secondary 3 year
Upper secondary 2 year
9 Year
Less than 9 Year
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Labour quality1993-2008 : Age groups
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080.8
0.85
0.9
0.95
1
1.05
1.1
1.15
1.2
16-20 years21-30 years31-45 years46-60 years61-70 years
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Labour quality1993-2008 Education groups
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 20080.8
0.85
0.9
0.95
1
1.05
1.1
1.15
1.2 Less than 9 Year9 YearUpper secondary 2 yearUpper secondary 3 yearUndergraduateGraduateResearch
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GP average yearly growth rate 1993-2010 Industry differences
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
GP
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GP average yearly growth rate 1993-2010 Industry differences
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
GP C26 Electronics
J61 Telecom
Q87-88 Helth and Care
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GP average yearly growth rate 1993-2010 Industry differences
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
GP C26 Electronics
J61 Telecom
Q87-88 Helth and Care
A03 Fishing
C13-15 Tex-tile
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Labour contribution to GP growth, average yearly growth rate 1993-2010
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
Labour
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Labour contribution to GP growth, average yearly growth rate 1993-2010
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
LabourQ87-88 Health and Care
K66 Service to financial firmsP 85 Educa-tion
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Labour contribution to GP growth, average yearly growth rate 1993-2010
-2
0
2
4
6
8
10
LabourQ87-88 Health and Care
K66 Service to financial firmsP 85 Educa-tion
A03 Fishing
C18 Publishing and printing
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Capital contribution to GP growth, average yearly growth rate 1993-2010
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
Capital
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Capital contribution to GP growth, average yearly growth rate 1993-2010
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
CapitalN77 Leasing
P85 Educa-tion
P 86 Health and Care
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Capital contribution to GP growth, average yearly growth rate 1993-2010
-0.5
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
CapitalN77 Leasing
P85 Educa-tion
P 86 Health and Care
E36-37 Sewage
A01 Farming
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MFP contribution to GP growth, average yearly growth rate 1993-2010
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
MFP
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MFP contribution to GP growth, average yearly growth rate 1993-2010
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
MFPC26 Electron-ics
J61 Telecom
G47 Retail
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MFP contribution to GP growth, average yearly growth rate 1993-2010
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
MFPC26 Electron-ics
J61 Telecom
G47 Retail
Q87-88 Health and CareC18 Publishing and printing
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Growth pattern for 1993-2010
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
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Growth pattern for 1993-2010
1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010
-0.4
-0.3
-0.2
-0.1
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
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It is necessary to aggregate
• We do not have weighted means yet
• We use unweighted means instead• For all industries• Goods industries• Service industries
• This means that the result are representative for the average industry but it is not the industry average
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Decomposition of the GP growth 1993-2007
Goods Serv Tot
-0.01
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05EMSLabCapMFP
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Decomposition of the EMS growth 1993-2007
Goods Serv Tot0
0.005
0.01
0.015
0.02
0.025
Energy Materials Services
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GP growth1993-2010
19941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010
-0.15
-0.1
-0.05
0
0.05
0.1
0.15
GPMeanTot
GPMeanGoods
GPMeanService
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Labour contribution to the GP-growth
19941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010
-0.02
-0.01
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04
0.05
LabMeanTot
LabMeanGoods
LabMeanService
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MFP contribution to the GP-growth
19941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010
-0.03
-0.02
-0.01
0
0.01
0.02
0.03
0.04MFPMeanTot
MFPMeanGoods
MFPMeanService
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The relation between R&D 2007 and MFP-growth 1993-2010
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
MFP
R&D-intensity
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The relation between R&D 2007 and MFP-growth 1993-2010
0 0.05 0.1 0.15 0.2 0.25 0.3 0.35 0.4
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
MFP
Linear (MFP)
R&D-intensity
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That was all for now
Thanks for listening
So now we have to continue our work
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EMS contribution to the GP-growth
19941995199619971998199920002001200220032004200520062007200820092010
-0.1
-0.08
-0.06
-0.04
-0.02
0
0.02
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.1
EMSMeanTot
EMSMeanGoods
EMSMeanService
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Capital contribution to the GP-growth
19941995
19961997
19981999
20002001
20022003
20042005
20062007
20082009
2010
-0.004
-0.002
0
0.002
0.004
0.006
0.008
0.01
0.012
0.014
CapMeanTot
CapMeanGoods
CapMeanService