Ethiopian Regional Conference on Capacity Development for Integrating Disaster Risk Management into Urban Settings in AfricaOctober 11, 2012, Addis Ababa
Nathalie Jean-Baptiste, UFZ, Leipzig, GermanyFatemeh Jalayer AMRA, Naples, Italy
CLUVA Climate Change and Urban Vulnerability in Africa
A Linear modular approach to vulnerability assessment
A modular approach to vulnerability and risk assessment
Emission
Hazard Assessment
Climate Change
Exposure
Risk
Climate change scenarios
Down-scaling climate change scenarios
Hazard assessment
Incorporating exposure
Risk assessment
Risk-based strategic climate change urban adaptation
Very High-Resolution Climate Change Data
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Increase in temperatures
Increases in rainfall
Flood Hazard Assessment
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Understand the hazards and how climate change will effect them
Assessing Vulnerability of Informal Settlements
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Analyze local vulnerability based on flood hazard assessments
L
B
Development of strategies to enhance resilience of urban areas towards climate change
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Understand the governance situation, develop mitigation strategies
An approach that considers vulnerability as a multifaceted entity
Vulnerability rather the ‚starting-point‘ for developing adaptation strategies (OʼBrien et al. 2007)
o Emerges from development
studies and hazard and disaster
o A product of different realities and causes external to natural hazards
o Examines current vulnerabilities and not prospective impacts
Integrated vulnerability assessment approach
Contextual vulnerability
Space of Vulnerability(Watts & Bohle 1993)
Pressure-and-Release Model (Blaikie et al. 1994)
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Help Identify the vulnerable systems and population segments most affected
Vulnerability assessment Frameworks and Models
Participatory Rural Appraisal (PRA) (Chambers,1983)
• Development focused• Family of approaches and methods that
enable locals (rural or urban) to express, enhance, share and analyse their knowledge of life and conditions
Natural hazards
Participatory Action Research (PAR) (Chambers and Conway,1992)
Community-Based Participatory Research (CBPR) (Hatch et al.,1993)
• Involves the community in research process
• Combines knowledge with action• Seeks social change
Health
Participatory Climate Change adaptation appraisal (PCCAA)(Moser, 2009)
• Mechanism through which the perception of severe weather impact on household and community asset is highlighted
• Indentify current policies and institutions that help or constraints adaptive capacity
Climate Change
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Stakeholders mapping and identifying the role of actors in adaptive strategies
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Multidisciplinary & Interdisciplinary vulnerability knowledge production
The CLUVA project is an integrated effort between seven European
institutions and six African research establishments.
CLUVA develops context-centered methods to assess vulnerability and to
increase knowledge on managing climate related risks such as floods,
droughts and sea level rise.
Climate Change and Urban Vulnerability in Africa
www.cluva.eu
CLUVA Partners
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European partners: AMRA, Analysis and Monitoring of Environmental Risks, Italy -
Project coordinator KU, University of Copenhagen, Danish Centre for Forest
Landscape and Planning, Denmark UM, University of Manchester, School of Environment and
Development, UK TUM, Technical University of Munich, Germany CMCC, Euromediterranean Center of Climate Changes, Italy UFZ, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Germany NIBR, Norwegian Institute of Urban and Regional Research,
Norway
African partners:
UGB, Université Gaston Berger, Sénégal UY1-ENSP, Ecole nationale Supérieure Polytechnique
Université Yaoundé 1, Cameroun UO, University of Ougadougou, Burkina Faso ARU, Ardhi University Tanzania, Tanzania EIABC AAU, Ethiopian Institute of Architecture, Building
Construction and City Development, EthiopiaCSIR, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, South
Africa
Cluva Case-Study Cities
CLUVA Objectives
• Develop methods and knowledge to be applied to African cities to
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manage risks related to climate change
reduce vulnerabilities
improve cities’ coping capacity and resilience towards climate changes
An Outlook to CLUVA
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Climate change and natural hazard models
Developing different climate change scenariosDownscaling climate change scenariosFlood hazard scenariosDesertification scenarios..
Vulnerability and risk assessment
Indentification of urban hotspots Vulnerability assessment for informal settlementsMaps of urban morphology typesFuture urban scenariosIdentify the multi-dimensional conditions
surrounding vulnerable groups A multi-risk framework
Improving the resilience of the urban systems towards climate change
Understanding the governance structure Developing land-use indicatorsDevelopment of innovative land use and governance
strategies to enhance resilience of urban areas towards climate change
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Thank you!