DRAFT PRESENTATION TO THE BOARD OF CORRECTIONSMark Rubin – Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Maine Statistical Analysis Center: Who We Are
Located at University of Southern Maine (USM) Muskie School of Public Service
Funded by DOJ-BJS and guided by a statewide advisory group: Maine Department of Public Safety, Maine Department of Corrections, Maine Administrative Office of the Courts, and Maine Juvenile Justice Advisory Group.
Primary in-state partner is the Maine Department of Corrections
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Maine Statistical Analysis Center: What We Do
Conduct research on best practices in the criminal justice system
Analyze performance measures (e.g. recidivism)
Train agency staff on best practices, such as risk assessment (OD approach)
Provide technical assistance to improve agency performance (CPAI, logic models)
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Overview of Data
In 2005, Maine began implementing a series of evidence-based principles in community corrections Part of the National Institute of Corrections
(NIC) pilot project Goal of measuring effectiveness of correctional
management of offenders in the community Using CORIS ( Corrections Information
System), the SAC has analyzed DOC data for the past six years on probation outcomes and more recently, prison exiter outcomes
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Probation Analysis 2004-2008
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Active Probation Population between 12/31/07 and 9/30/10
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Where are probationers coming from (2004-2008)?
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Probation Entrants from Jail by Gender and Race (2004-2008)
Gender Total
Female 16.4%
Male 83.6%
Total 100%
Race TotalAsian 0.2%Black or
African American
2.6%
Native American
1.3%
Native Hawaiian or Pacific Islander
0.0%
Unknown 3.0%White 92.8%NA 0.0%Total 100.0%
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Age of Probation Entrants from Jail at Start of Probation (2004-2008)
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Number of revocations to Jail 2007-2009
2258
2377
2125
1950
2000
2050
2100
2150
2200
2250
2300
2350
2400
2007 2008 2009
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Revocations to Jail Facilities
303338
283
894 919
781
10601118
1061
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
2007 2008 2009
Felonies
Misdemeanors
Tech.violations
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Technical Violation Outcomes
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Percentage of Technical Violations leading to a Revocation
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Program Evaluation and Outcomes
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Correctional Program Assessment Inventory (CPAI-2000) in Maine The Maine Department of Corrections
and the Muskie School of Public Service have a cooperative agreement to assess program integrity across identified juvenile and adult programs, using the CPAI-2000.
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Correctional Program Assessment Inventory (CPAI-2000)
Developed to evaluate the overall effectiveness of treatment programs to reduce recidivism
Incorporates the principles of effective intervention
Evaluates whether programs have the ingredients of effective treatment and the findings can provide a roadmap to facilitate program improvement
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
CPAI-What is it?
Programs that have higher scores on the CPAI:
1. have lower recidivism rates 2. fewer serious offenses 3. fewer incarcerations
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
CPAI Scoring
Very satisfactory70% +
Satisfactory50-69%
UnsatisfactoryBelow 50%
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Evaluation Outcomes of three DOC facility programs
Program Name Rating
Correctional Recovery Academy/Transitional Recovery Academy Very Satisfactory
Women’s Center Very Satisfactory
R.U.L.E. Sex Offender Tx Very Satisfactory
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Programming outcomes (1 year return to prison)
0.0
3.04.6
13.412.1 12.3
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
RULE (Sex offender) CRA/ TRA (substance abuse) Women's Center* (p<.=.05)
Program AttendeesNon Attendees
* Women’s Center (Windham) includes women leaving WRC (Bangor)
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Return to Prison Analysis 2004-2008
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Release Numbers
Year
Number Released
% to Probation
% to Straight Release
2004
100974.2 25.3
2005
103462.5 37.5
2006
99658.8 41.2
2007
109860.9 39.1
2008
117859.6 40.4
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Reason for return to prison in less than 1 year
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Challenges and Opportunities Data Challenges
Only able to measure recidivism while under DOC supervision
Inability to measure recidivism from county jails systematically.
Future Directions Calculating a rate of return to either jail or
prison Calculating recidivism rates for specific
facilities Evaluating jail facility programming and its
impact on recidivismMark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine
Contact Information
Mark RubinResearch AssociateMaine Statistical Analysis CenterMuskie School of Public ServiceP.O. Box 9300Portland, ME 04104(207) 780-5843Fax: (207) [email protected]
Mark Rubin - Muskie School of Public Service, University of Southern Maine