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Development of NWS Satellite User Readiness
Development of NWS Satellite User Readiness
Mike Johnson
NWS/OST
November 4, 2009
Mike Johnson
NWS/OST
November 4, 2009
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OverviewOverview
• Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal
• Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products
• NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R
• Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal
• Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products
• NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R
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Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal (Slide 1)Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal (Slide 1)
• Strategic Goal: Develop a fully integrated observation system (e.g., satellite, radar, upper air, etc), along with (automated?) analysis tools to fully exploit data and enable strategic warn-on-forecast stretch goals
– Forecaster increasingly won’t have time to analyze growing amounts of observational & model data
– Need to assimilate observations from multiple platforms into products that directly address forecast & warning needs (e.g. convective initiation giving specific convective threat, icing threat, flood potential - versus – perceptible water observation, surface moisture & snow cover observations, freezing level observation)
– End-State Objective: System automatically analyzes the data and determines when the forecaster needs to react
• Strategic Goal: Develop a fully integrated observation system (e.g., satellite, radar, upper air, etc), along with (automated?) analysis tools to fully exploit data and enable strategic warn-on-forecast stretch goals
– Forecaster increasingly won’t have time to analyze growing amounts of observational & model data
– Need to assimilate observations from multiple platforms into products that directly address forecast & warning needs (e.g. convective initiation giving specific convective threat, icing threat, flood potential - versus – perceptible water observation, surface moisture & snow cover observations, freezing level observation)
– End-State Objective: System automatically analyzes the data and determines when the forecaster needs to react
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Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal (Slide 2)Satellite Products in Context of Broader Strategic Goal (Slide 2)
• Strategic Goal is end-state objective – We will likely not be there at Day-1 GOES-R
But….
• We need to be moving in that direction
• There are things we should be pursuing now and the satellite community can and should be leading the way!
• Strategic Goal is end-state objective – We will likely not be there at Day-1 GOES-R
But….
• We need to be moving in that direction
• There are things we should be pursuing now and the satellite community can and should be leading the way!
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Near-Term Satellite ChallengesNear-Term Satellite Challenges
• Bandwidth – How and what satellite products will be available to Users?
– Push-Pull, Product integration, AWIPS development. How will GAS work (details)?
– How do requirements differ between WFO’s, Centers
– How do requirements differ regionally, seasonally, how to handle localized products
• Training – How do we prepare users for this explosion of data and implications to warning processes near term (day 1)
• How do we systematically progress towards our strategic goal
• Bandwidth – How and what satellite products will be available to Users?
– Push-Pull, Product integration, AWIPS development. How will GAS work (details)?
– How do requirements differ between WFO’s, Centers
– How do requirements differ regionally, seasonally, how to handle localized products
• Training – How do we prepare users for this explosion of data and implications to warning processes near term (day 1)
• How do we systematically progress towards our strategic goal
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2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
Calendar Year
Dail
y-M
ean
Data
Rate
(M
bp
s)
Other
Satellite
Radar
Model
NWS AWIPS SBN Data Rate Projections
w/NPP
w/NPOESS C1
w/GOES-R
w/NPOESS C2
w/GOES-S
w/MPAR
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Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products
Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products
• GOES-R Proving Ground (PG) Activities guided by Proving Ground Plan
• NWS User-Readiness & Infrastructure Planning Studies
• NWS User Readiness Working Group Formed to develop user-readiness – feed back to PG activities
– Initially, group is small internal NWS member group which will grow incrementally as topic matures & user coordination expands
• GOES-R Proving Ground (PG) Activities guided by Proving Ground Plan
• NWS User-Readiness & Infrastructure Planning Studies
• NWS User Readiness Working Group Formed to develop user-readiness – feed back to PG activities
– Initially, group is small internal NWS member group which will grow incrementally as topic matures & user coordination expands
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Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products (NWS User Readiness Working Group)
Preparing NWS for Future Satellite Products (NWS User Readiness Working Group)
• Formed to address NWS User Readiness Risk associated with impact that GOES-R, NPOESS, other-satellites, AWIPS development, rapid increases in data volume, & changes to data delivery will have on NWS Users.
• Effort to examine in an integrated way:
– the products that GOES-R, NPOESS, and other satellite programs are expected to deliver to NWS & when.
– Corresponding development of communications pathways and AWIPS Extended
– User guided discussions on push-pull trades and optimum achievable product deliveries.
– Identify systematic high-level pathway to achieve strategic goals (merged observing system)
• User-coordinated / senior approved initial position / roadmap available late Spring 2010
– Expectation to present to May 10 SRSST Meeting
• Formed to address NWS User Readiness Risk associated with impact that GOES-R, NPOESS, other-satellites, AWIPS development, rapid increases in data volume, & changes to data delivery will have on NWS Users.
• Effort to examine in an integrated way:
– the products that GOES-R, NPOESS, and other satellite programs are expected to deliver to NWS & when.
– Corresponding development of communications pathways and AWIPS Extended
– User guided discussions on push-pull trades and optimum achievable product deliveries.
– Identify systematic high-level pathway to achieve strategic goals (merged observing system)
• User-coordinated / senior approved initial position / roadmap available late Spring 2010
– Expectation to present to May 10 SRSST Meeting
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ConclusionConclusion
• GOES Users’ Conference offers a great opportunity to get user feedback on the transition to the GOES-R era
– Breakout sessions are specifically focused on this
• We plan to take the results of these breakout sessions to
– Help define the framework and milestones for the way ahead
• GOES Users’ Conference offers a great opportunity to get user feedback on the transition to the GOES-R era
– Breakout sessions are specifically focused on this
• We plan to take the results of these breakout sessions to
– Help define the framework and milestones for the way ahead
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Backup SlidesBackup Slides
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Strategic Goal: Strategic Goal: Integrated Observation/Analysis Integrated Observation/Analysis
SystemSystem
Strategic Goal: Strategic Goal: Integrated Observation/Analysis Integrated Observation/Analysis
SystemSystem
Analysis
Inventory systems,and metadata Standards
Assess interdepend-encies, oversampling, gaps, levels of criticalit
Current
Individual Systems Public Private Universities
RadarSatelliteSurface; in-SituUpper AirEtc
StrategiesNational Mesonet
Network of networks
Integrated Radar (Lidar, gap-fillers, MPAR)
Global Systems
Multisensor platforms
Optimization with OSEs, OSSEs
Standards, Architectures, Protocols
Maximize value of investment
Future
Weather Information
Database
Open Architecture
System B
System C
System A
MADIS
IOOS
Integrated Radar System
Rawindsones
Satellites
System B
System C
System A
MADIS
IOOS
Integrated Radar System
Rawindsones
Satellites
GOES Data
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NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R and Other Environmental Satellite
Missions Task
NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R and Other Environmental Satellite
Missions Task
• NWS/OST Systems Engineering Center leading this task
• The goal of this task is to design an architecture that will support future mission data and to develop a roadmap for implementing this design
• The new series of GOES satellites (GOES-R) and POES satellites (NPOESS) will have increased data rates, new data formats, and new products
• NWS/OST Systems Engineering Center leading this task
• The goal of this task is to design an architecture that will support future mission data and to develop a roadmap for implementing this design
• The new series of GOES satellites (GOES-R) and POES satellites (NPOESS) will have increased data rates, new data formats, and new products
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NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R and Other Environmental Satellite
Missions Task
NWS User-System Readiness for GOES-R and Other Environmental Satellite
Missions Task
• This task will investigate the impact of GOES-R and other future environmental data by:
– Finalizing the “as is” architecture and data products for NCEP, NWSTG and AWIPS
– Support the development of requirements for the end-state architectures
– Finalize architectures based on these requirements
– Develop a road-map for the evolution of moving from current state to the end-state architectures
• Completion in September 2010
• This task will investigate the impact of GOES-R and other future environmental data by:
– Finalizing the “as is” architecture and data products for NCEP, NWSTG and AWIPS
– Support the development of requirements for the end-state architectures
– Finalize architectures based on these requirements
– Develop a road-map for the evolution of moving from current state to the end-state architectures
• Completion in September 2010