DEMOGRAPHIC SITUATION AND DEMOGRAPHIC POLICY IN RUSSIA
INSTITUTE FOR LABOUR AND SOCIAL INSURANCE
Prof. Dr. Alexander Razumov
Ministry for Labour and Social Protection of the Russian Federation
(BRICS COOPERATION ON POPULATION ISSUES: INAUGURAL SEMINAR, 28 FEBRUARY –
04 MARCH 2014, MBOMBELA, SOUTH AFRICA)
Main Legislative Documents of Population Policy
Concept of Demographic policy of the Russian Federation up to 2025 adopted
by the President of Russia Decree № 1351 on 9 October 2007. It defines objectives
and strategies of demographic development.
President of Russia Decree № 637 on 22 June 2006 “On measures of
promoting/inviting back to Russia of fellow/former citizens and their settlement in
Russia”.
Federal law “On additional measures of state support of families with children”
№ 256-FL on 29 December 2006. It put into practice since 1 January 2007 several
new allowances/grants on maternity and childhood including maternity capital and
increased old ones.
President of Russia Decree № 606 on 7 May 2012 “On measures to realizing
demographic policy in the Russian Federation”.
146890,1 146303,6
145649,3 144963,6
144333,6 143801 143236,6 142862,7 142747,5 142737,2 142833,5 142865,4 143056,4
140000
141000
142000
143000
144000
145000
146000
147000
148000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Po
pu
lati
on
siz
e, t
ho
usa
nd
per
son
s
Years
73,1 73,2
73,3 73,3
73,5
73,1 73,2
73,3
73,5 73,5 73,6
73,8 73,9
72,6
72,8
73
73,2
73,4
73,6
73,8
74
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pro
po
rtio
n o
f u
rba
n
po
pu
lati
on
, p
ercen
t
Years
26,9 26,8
26,7 26,7
26,5
26,9 26,8
26,7
26,5 26,5 26,4
26,2 26,1
25,6
25,8
26
26,2
26,4
26,6
26,8
27
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Pro
po
rtio
n o
f ru
ral
po
pu
lati
on
, p
ercen
t
Years
Slide 3
Alexander Razumov
Population Size in the Russian Federation as of 1st January
Components of Total Population Size Changes, thousand persons
146890,1 146303,6
145649,3
144963,6
144333,6 143801
143236,6 142862,7 142747,5 142737,2 142833,5 142865,4 143056,4
-0,4 -0,45 -0,47
-0,43 -0,37 -0,39
-0,26
-0,08
-0,01
0,07 0,02
0,13
0,2
-0,6
-0,5
-0,4
-0,3
-0,2
-0,1
0
0,1
0,2
0,3
140000
141000
142000
143000
144000
145000
146000
147000
148000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Years
Population, as of 1st January Total annual increase, percent
-586,5 -654,3 -685,7
-630 -532,6 -564,4
-373,9
-115,2
-10,3
96,3 31,9 191
290,7
-949,1 -932,8 -916,5 -888,5 -793
-846,5
-687,1
-470,3 -362
-248,9 -239,6 -129,1 -4,3
362,6 278,5 230,8 258,5 260,4 282,1 313,2 355,1 351,7 345,2
271,5 320,1
295
-1200
-1000
-800
-600
-400
-200
0
200
400
600
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Annual change
total increase natural increase net migration
Slide 4
Alexander Razumov
Distribution of Population by Sex and Age in 2012, persons
66176283
76880100 Males
Females
917708 851544 861568 855373 811470 3716234 3364658 3895343 5897188 6197246 5518922 5068599 4534476 4739931 5303547 4437074 3463571 1485527 2119364 1118678 729802 288460
868465 808267 818295 816241 770572
3544547 3202294
3736229
5701511 6131148
5597343
5311353
4805447 5283256
6256988
5777721
4916216
2410011
4212239
2584087 2099340
1228530
1786173 1659811
1679863 1671614
1582042
7260781
6566952
7631572
11598699
12328394
11116265
10379952
9339923
10023187
11560535
10214795
8379787
3895538
6331603
3702765
2829142
1516990
0
2000000
4000000
6000000
8000000
10000000
12000000
14000000
under 1
1 2 3 4 5-9 10-14 15-19 20-24 25-29 30-34 35-39 40-44 45-49 50-54 55-59 60-64 65-69 70-74 75-79 80-84 85 and over
of them at age, years
Males Females .
Population, total - 143056383
Slide 5
Alexander Razumov
Population by Sex as of 1st January
68698 68339 67922 67491 67072 66696 66302 66052 65976 65961 66015 66050 66176
78192 77965 77727 77473 77262 77105 76934 76811 76772 76776 76818 76815 76880
146890 146304 145649 144964 144334 143801 143236 142863 142748 142737 142833 142865 143056
0
20000
40000
60000
80000
100000
120000
140000
160000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
tho
usa
nd
pe
rso
ns
Years
Population, including
males females Population, thousand persons
46,8 46,7 46,6 46,6 46,5 46,4 46,3 46,2 46,2 46,2 46,2 46,2 46,3
53,2 53,3 53,4 53,4 53,5 53,6 53,7 53,8 53,8 53,8 53,8 53,8 53,7
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
pe
rce
nt
Years
Share in total population size
males females
Slide 6
Alexander Razumov
Вirths, Deaths and Natural Increase
1266800 1311604 1396967 1477301 1502477 1457376 1479637 1610122 1713947 1761687 1788948 1796629 1902084
2225332 2254856 2332272 2365826 2295402 2303935 2166703 2080445 2075954 2010543 2028516 1925720 1906335
-958532 -943252 -935305 -888525 -792925 -846559 -687066
-470323 -362007 -248856 -239568 -129091 -4251
-1500000
-1000000
-500000
0
500000
1000000
1500000
2000000
2500000
3000000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Total, persons
births deaths natural increase
8,7 9 9,7 10,2 10,4 10,2 10,3 11,3 12 12,3 12,5 12,6 13,3
15,3 15,6 16,2 16,4 15,9 16,1 15,1 14,6 14,5 14,1 14,2 13,5 13,3
-6,6 -6,6 -6,5 -6,2 -5,5 -5,9 -4,8
-3,3 -2,5 -1,8 -1,7 -0,9
0
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Per 1000 population
births deaths natural increase
Slide 7
Alexander Razumov
1,195 1,223 1,286 1,32 1,344
1,294 1,305
1,416 1,502 1,542 1,567 1,582
1,691 1,73
1,089 1,124 1,189 1,224 1,253
1,207 1,21 1,294
1,372 1,415 1,439 1,442
1,541 1,554 1,564 1,633 1,662 1,654
1,576 1,601
1,798
1,912 1,941 1,983
2,056
2,215
0
0,5
1
1,5
2
2,5
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Years
Total population Urban population Rural population
Slide 8
Alexander Razumov
Total Fertility Rate
Life Expectancy at Birth, years
65,34 65,23 64,95 64,84 65,31 65,37
66,69 67,61 67,99
68,78 68,94 69,83
70,24 70,7
59,03 58,92 58,68 58,53 58,91 58,92
60,43
61,46 61,92
62,87 63,09 64,04
64,56 65,2
72,26 72,17 71,9 71,85 72,36 72,47
73,34 74,02 74,28
74,79 74,88 75,61 75,86 76,2
55
60
65
70
75
80
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013
Total population
males and females males females
Slide 9
Alexander Razumov
Life Expectancy at Birth, years Slide 10
Alexander Razumov
65,69 65,57 65,4 65,36 65,87 66,1
67,43 68,37 68,77
69,57 69,69 70,51 70,83
59,35 59,23 59,09 59,01 59,42 59,58
61,12
62,2 62,67
63,65 63,82 64,67
65,1
72,46 72,37 72,18 72,2 72,73 72,99
73,88 74,54 74,83
75,34 75,39 76,1 76,27
55
60
65
70
75
80
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Years
Urban population
males and females males females
Life Expectancy at Birth, years Slide 11
Alexander Razumov
64,34 64,25 63,68 63,34
63,77 63,45
64,74 65,59 65,93
66,67 66,92
67,99 68,61
58,14 58,07 57,54 57,2 57,56 57,22
58,69 59,57
60 60,86 61,19
62,4 63,12
71,66 71,57 71,09 70,81
71,27 71,06 71,86
72,56 72,77 73,27 73,42
74,21 74,66
55
60
65
70
75
80
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Rural population
males and females males females
504564 514688 536845 567031 573043 590752 534355 495968 487835 451260 443745 415486 394762
126418 134799 142357 150548 147827 149153
134125 125933 122745
116240 113096 107347 101550
630982 649487
679202 717579 720870 739905 668480
621901 610580 567500 556841
522833 496312
0
100000
200000
300000
400000
500000
600000
700000
800000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Years
Total, persons
males females males and females
Deaths at Working Age
11,5 11,8 12,2 12,7 12,7 13 11,7
10,9 10,7 10 9,9
9,3 8,9
2,9 3,1 3,3 3,4 3,3 3,4 3 2,9 2,8 2,7 2,6 2,5 2,4
7,3 7,5 7,8 8,1 8,1 8,3 7,5 7 6,9 6,4 6,3 6 5,8
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Years
Per 1000 persons of the corresponding sex and age
males females males and females
Slide 12
Alexander Razumov
Infant Mortality
11248 11273 10703 10429 10090 9416 8660 8598 8234 8182 7626 7572 9219
8038 7831 7704 7713 7249 6657 6419 6260 6202 6089 5779 5596 7087
19286 19104 18407 18142 17339 16073
15079 14858 14436 14271 13405
13168 16306
0
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Years
Death of infants under 1 year
boys girls boys and girls
17,3 16,9 15,3
13,8 13,1 12,5 11,4
10,5 9,5 9,1
8,3 8,3 9,5 13,2 12,5
11,6 10,9 10 9,4 9
8,1 7,5 7,1 6,7 6,5 7,7
15,3 14,6 13,3
12,4 11,6 11
10,2 9,4
8,5 8,1 7,5 7,4 8,6
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Years
Infant deaths per 1000 live births
boys girls boys and girls
Slide 13
Alexander Razumov
International Migration, persons
326.561
183.650 175.068 119.661 110.374
163.101 177.657
273.872 261.170 261.495
171.940
310.549 363.955
6.259 9.800 9.544 9.483 8.783 5.386 8.723 13.084 6.231 5.667 6.394 11.413 11.706 26.510 2.071 1.696 1.194 1.005
8.743 1.432 3.035 14.213 12.745 13.322 34.573 42.020
359.330
195.521 186.308
130.338 120.162
177.230 187.812
289.991 281.614 279.907
191.656
356.535
417.681
-
50.000
100.000
150.000
200.000
250.000
300.000
350.000
400.000
450.000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Arrivals to the Russian Federation
CIS countries EU countries other countries Arrivals to the Russian Federation, total
80.510 61.570 52.099 46.081 37.017 35.418 35.262 31.329 25.542 20.326 21.206 22.568
95.572 45.064
59.596 54.586 47.937 42.778
25.236 18.799 15.684
8.795 7.509 7.185 7.749 8.606 20.146
2.657 2.733 2.478 2.806 9.144 3.117 3.008 5.171 4.623 5.187 6.457 18.573
145.720
123.823
109.418 96.496
82.601 69.798
57.178 50.021
39.508 32.458 33.578 36.774
122.751
-
20.000
40.000
60.000
80.000
100.000
120.000
140.000
160.000
2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012
Departures from the Russian Federation
CIS countries EU countries other countries Departures from the Russian Federation, total
Slide 14
Alexander Razumov
President of Russia Decree № 637 on 22 June 2006 “On measures of
promoting/inviting back to Russia of fellow/former citizens and their settlement
in Russia”: main results
146,7 thousand of fellow/former citizens came back to Russia for the period 2007-1
October 2013.
15
Thank you for your attention!