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Danube Strategy:Question, ChallengeOpportunityAndreas Beckmann, Director
WWF Danube-Carpathian Programme
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Danube-Carpathian RegionDanube-Carpathian Region
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Our Challenge
Natural Capital Our Global Impact
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Climate & Energy
Deforestation Water
Fisheries
80% reduction in CO2 by 2050
$3-5 trillion in value lost ANNUALY
75% of fisheries over-fished &faced with commercial extinction
2/3 of world population facing water scarcity by 2025
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Food
Was
te
Trav
el
Ener
gy
Hols
Where are the Impacts?Where are the Impacts?
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‘It takes a new way of thinking to solve the problems that we created by the old way of thinking’
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BedZED Answering the 3-planet challenge
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35 38250
10
20
105 15 20 30
30
40
50
60
-10
-100
-20
-30
-40
-50
-60
-70
-80
-90
Abatement cost€ per tCO2e
Global GHG abatement cost curve beyond business-as-usual – 2030
Note:The curve presents an estimate of the maximum potential of all technical GHG abatement measures below €60 per tCO2e if each lever was pursued aggressively. It is not a forecast of what role different abatement measures and technologies will play.
Source: Global GHG Abatement Cost Curve v2.0
Lighting – switch incandescent to LED (residential)
Cropland nutrient management
Tillage and residue mgmt
1st generation biofuels
Clinker substitution by fly ashElectricity from landfill gas
Small hydroReduced slash and burn agriculture conversion
Reduced pastureland conversionGrassland management
Organic soil restoration
Pastureland afforestationNuclear
Degraded forest reforestationReduced intensive
agriculture conversion
Coal CCS new buildIron and steel CCS new build
Motor systems efficiency
Rice management
Cars full hybrid
Gas plant CCS retrofit
Solar PV
Waste recycling
High penetration wind
Low penetration wind
Residential electronics
Residential appliances
Retrofit residential HVAC
Insulation retrofit (commercial)
Power plant biomass co-firing
Geothermal
Coal CCS retrofit
Degraded land restoration
Abatement potentialGtCO2e per year
Solar CSPBuilding efficiency
new build
2nd generation biofuels
Efficiency improvements other industry
Insulation retrofit (residential)
Cars plug-in hybrid
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panda.org/cleaneconomy
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Challenges
In future, we will need to…Pay more for energyPay more to pollutePay more for environmental goodsPay more for environmental services
Opportunities
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Source: Michael Braungart, Cradle to Cradle Design
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“Europe’s Amazon” – The Drava-Mura-Danube Biosphere Reserve800,000 ha – Europe’s largest riverine protected area
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Danube Delta: wetland restoration
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Inland navigation
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Southern CarpathiansWild Landscape at the Heart of Europe
Europe’s Yellowstone
1 million ha of existing protected areas, with coordinated management and
marketed as Europe’s premiere nature tourism destination.
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What we need to achieve
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One Planet Living
Thank you.Thank you.
http://www.panda.org
http://www.panda.org/dcpo
http://www.wwf.at
http://www.wwf.de
http://www.wwf.hu
http://www.panda.org/bulgaria
http://www.panda.org/romania
http://www.panda.org/serbia
http://www.panda.org/ukraine
Andreas Beckmann, [email protected]