Download - CSCMP 2014: Visibility Powered Planning
Visibility Powered PlanningThomas Kozenski, VP Solution Strategy
Fabrizio Brasca, VP Solution Strategy
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Visibility Powered Planning
Dynamic Fulfillment
The Visibility Funnel
Iterative Planning
Constraint Visibility
Industry Pressures
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Unprecedented Industry Pressure
INDUSTRY
PRESSURESTHE VISIBILITY
FUNNEL
DYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
15
8IN
VE
NT
OR
Y T
UR
NS
Leaders Average
96%
89%
OT
IF D
EL
IVE
RIE
SLeaders Average
16%
12%
EB
ITD
A
Leaders Average
70%Companies that run an optimized
supply chain achieve…
higher performance & operational effectivenessSource: PwC Global Supply Chain Survey 2013
Supply Chain as a Strategic Weapon
INDUSTRY
PRESSURESTHE VISIBILITY
FUNNEL
DYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Series10% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90%
Major customers share POS data
Major customers share demand forecasts
We gather data to understand overall market demand
Major customers share inventory
Major customers share inventory
We gather data to understand overall market supply
Major customers share promo plans
Major suppliers share order lead time/delivery data
Suppliers share advanced shipment notices
Systems/partners provide finished good status
Leaders have greater total visibility across many dimensions…
1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6
Manufacturers
Wholesalers
Retailers
Retailers and Wholesalers
Vertically Integrated
…as well as superior visibility to both downstream and
upstream information
Source: Supply Chain Management Review 2013
Nu
mb
er o
f V
isib
ilit
y D
ime
nsi
on
s P
rese
nt
Upstream
Downstream
Visibility is Vital
INDUSTRY
PRESSURESTHE VISIBILITY
FUNNEL
DYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
In Response to Disruptions, Supply Chain Leaders: • Are able to quickly change products, processes and organizations
• Leverage this flexibility to lower inventory, improve customer service and respond quickly
Series1
2.5 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.1
Low Visibility,Low Flexibility
Low Visibility,High Flexibility
High Visibility,Low Flexibility
High Visibility,High Flexibility
Pro
fita
bili
ty In
dex
Data strongly indicates the combination of visibility
and flexibility enables the greatest profitability
Source: Supply Chain Management Review 2013
Response with Intelligence
INDUSTRY
PRESSURESTHE VISIBILITY
FUNNEL
DYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Networks are Siloed
INDUSTRY
PRESSURESTHE VISIBILITY
FUNNEL
DYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
The Visibility Funnel
INDUSTRY
PRESSURES
THE VISIBILITY
FUNNELDYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
Retail
Distributors
Enterprise
Direct Consumer
Owned Factories
ODM/EMS Factories
Your Enterprise
Suppliers
Suppliers
Multi-ChannelMulti-ProductMulti-Supply
Your CustomersYour Suppliers
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Retail
Distributors
Enterprise
Direct Consumer
Owned Factories
ODM/EMS Factories
Your Enterprise
Suppliers
Suppliers
Multi-ChannelMulti-ProductMulti-Supply
Your CustomersYour Suppliers
The Visibility Funnel
INDUSTRY
PRESSURES
THE VISIBILITY
FUNNELDYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
Growing demandvariability
Lack of internaland external
alignment
Rising supply chain risks
Escalatingcustomer
expectations
Rapid growth of new
products
Increasing cost and complexity
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Retail
Distributors
Enterprise
Direct Consumer
Owned Factories
ODM/EMS Factories
Your Enterprise
Suppliers
Suppliers
Multi-ChannelMulti-ProductMulti-Supply
Your CustomersYour Suppliers
The Visibility Funnel
INDUSTRY
PRESSURES
THE VISIBILITY
FUNNELDYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
DEMAND AND INVENTORY
NETWORK CONSTRAINTS
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Multiple Levels of Demand
INDUSTRY
PRESSURES
THE VISIBILITY
FUNNELDYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
Harness best statistical level
Include intelligence across levels
Mid Levels:• Trending• Some
seasonality
Higher Levels:• Clear
seasonality
Lowest Level:• Rate of
sale
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
INDUSTRY
PRESSURES
THE VISIBILITY
FUNNEL
DYNAMIC
FULFILLMENTCONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
DC to Store shipments
Vendor to DC shipments
Time-Phased Projections
Consumer Demand
Dynamic Fulfillment
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Profitable Promising
INDUSTRY
PRESSURES
THE VISIBILITY
FUNNEL
DYNAMIC
FULFILLMENTCONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
13
$25
Identify lanes that can ship any of the items at the
requested level of service
Evaluate potential profit on each lane
Check for item availability on each lane to maximize profit and meet timeliness goals
$30
$28$32
Customer places an order for some home
decorating items
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Constraint Visibility
INDUSTRY
PRESSURES
THE VISIBILITY
FUNNEL
DYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITYITERATIVE
PLANNING
Replenishment
Transportation
Warehouse
• Time-phased replenishment plans
• Labor availability• Cost impacts
• Carrier capacity• Asset availability• Inventory policies• Time horizons
• Item dimensions• Dock labor profiles• Pallet constraints
• Trailer pools• Dock capacity• Carton configuration
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Iterative Planning
INDUSTRY
PRESSURES
THE VISIBILITY
FUNNEL
DYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
With Iterative Re-Planning
Baseline – No Iterative Re-Planning
Optimization 1 (New Orders)
Time Closer to Execution
Cost
SavingsPotential
Optimization 5 (New Orders)
Optimization 4 (New Orders)
Optimization 3 (New Orders)
Optimization 2 (New Orders)
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Iterative Planning
INDUSTRY
PRESSURES
THE VISIBILITY
FUNNEL
DYNAMIC
FULFILLMENT
CONSTRAINT
VISIBILITY
ITERATIVE
PLANNING
Is there a better way?Based upon new business conditions,
Open
Picked
Packed
Locked
Change Threshold – “too expensive to change”
Free to be entirely re-planned
Incrementally add stops
Incrementally add stops to the end only
Backhauls and continuous moves only
Copyright 2014 JDA Software Group, Inc. - CONFIDENTIAL
Upstream & Downstream Visibility Pays Off
Inventory, performance, lead time and financial
advancement
Visibility Powered PlanningThomas Kozenski, VP Solution Strategy
Fabrizio Brasca, VP Solution Strategy