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Page 2: Andrew Oswald

Average GHQ Psychological Distress Levels Over Time in Britain: BHPS, 1991-Today

10.90

10.95

11.00

11.05

11.10

11.15

11.20

11.25

11.30

Average GHQ-12 (likert)

1991-1994 1995-1999 2000-2004

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Equivalent results have been found for adults in the Netherlands, UK and Belgium.

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Worsening GHQ levels through time

• Verhaak, P.F.M., Hoeymans, N. and Westert, G.P. (2005). “Mental health in the Dutch population and in general practice: 1987-2001”, British Journal of General Practice.

• Wauterickx, N. and P. Bracke (2005), “Unipolar depression in the Belgian population - Trends and sex differences in an eight-wave sample”, Social Psychiatry and Psychiatric Epidemiology.

• Sacker, A. and Wiggins, R.D. (2002). “Age-period-cohort effects on inequalities in psychological distress”. Psychological Medicine.

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Might this have something to do with work getting more stressful? [Yes]

Work by Francis Green, Keith Whitfield, et al.

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0

5

10

15

20

25

30

1992 1997 2001 2006

%

Male s Fe male s

Proportion of High-Strain Jobs

Green (2008) Work Effort and Worker Well-Being in the Age of Affluence

Source: Skills Survey series

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• A high-strain job is defined as having high required effort and low task discretion.

[The definition of low discretion is “at or below median”. High required effort is defined to be those who “strongly agree” that their job requires them to work very hard.]

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Exactly how do we do this kind of work?

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Using random samples from many nations:

Researchers try to understand what influences the psychological wellbeing of

(i) individuals

(ii) nations.

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What kinds of things do we find?

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There is an intriguing life-cycle pattern

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The pattern of a typical person’s happiness through life

4.9

5.0

5.1

5.2

5.3

5.4

5.5

5.6

15-20 21-30 31-40 41-50 51-60 61-70

Age group

Average life satisfaction score

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This holds in various settings

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This holds in various settings

For example, we see the same age pattern in mental health among a recent sample of 800,000 UK citizens:

[Blanchflower and Oswald, Social Science & Medicine, 2008]

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The probability of depression by ageMales, LFS data set 2004-2006

-0.01

-0.005

0

0.005

0.01

0.015

0.02

1938 1942 1946 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990

Year of birth

Reg

ress

ion

co

effi

cien

t

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-0.014

-0.012

-0.01

-0.008

-0.006

-0.004

-0.002

0

0.002

1942 1946 1950 1954 1958 1962 1966 1970 1974 1978 1982 1986 1990

Depression by age among females: LFS data 2004-2006Q2

Year of birth

Reg

ress

ion

co

effi

cien

t

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A time-series paradox:

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Average Happiness and Real GDP per Capita for Repeated Cross-sections of Americans.

1.8

2

2.2

2.4

2.6

Mean Happiness

15000

18000

21000

24000

Real GDP per Capita

1975 1980 1985 1990 1995Year

Real GDP per Capita Mean Happiness

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Happiness and mental well-being are of interest in themselves.

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But there is another reason.

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More broadly, there seem to be deep links between mind and body.

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Happier human beings heal more quickly.

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Author(s): Ebrecht M, Hextall J, Kirtley LG, Taylor A, Dyson M, Weinman J

PSYCHONEUROENDOCRINOLOGY    

Volume: 29    Issue: 6    Pages: 798-809    Published: JUL 2004 

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“Every subject received a standard 4mm-punch biopsy, and the healing progress was monitored via high-resolution ultrasound scanning.”

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“Every subject received a standard 4mm-punch biopsy, and the healing progress was monitored via high-resolution ultrasound scanning.”

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Ebrecht et al 2004

• The overall results showed a significant negative correlation between speed of wound healing and GHQ scores (r = -.59; p < .01)

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In other words, happier human beings heal more quickly.

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Moreover, success raises your lifespan.

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Two Studies of ‘Winners’

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Two Studies of ‘Winners’

#1 Redelmeier and Singh, Annals of Internal Medicine, 2001

Oscar winners live 4 years longer than those merely nominated.

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Two Studies of ‘Winners’

#2 Rablen and Oswald, 2006

Nobel scientists live 1.6 years longer than those merely nominated.

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We need to understand these interconnections better.

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Now to productivity.

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With Eugenio Proto and Daniel Sgroi

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With Eugenio Proto and Daniel Sgroi

We have been studying how happiness affects human productivity.

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In our lab experiments, happiness raises productivity by 12%.

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But does this generalize?

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Yes

We also study the ‘natural experiment’ of bereavement and family illness.

These produce large negatives on productivity in the lab.

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But how about high blood pressure as a national measure of well-being?

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Across nations, hypertension and happiness are inversely correlated

(Blanchflower and Oswald, 2008 Journal of Health Economics)

0

10

20

30

40

50

Figure 2.The Inverse Correlation Between Hypertension and Life

Satisfaction: 16 European Nations Aggregated into Quartiles

Countries in the Countries in the lowest quartile highest quartile of blood-pressure of blood-pressure

Ire landDenmarkN'LandsSwede n

Spa inFra nceLuxUK Austria

Ita lyBe lgiumGree ce

E. Ge rmanyW. GermanyPortuga lFinland

Percentage of citizens very satisfied with their lives

Percentage of citizens very satisfied with their lives

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It is known that heart rate rises under stress.

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Stress comes in different forms

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Stress comes in different forms

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Stress comes in different forms

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Stress comes in different forms

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Stress comes in different forms

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Stress comes in different forms

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Stress comes in different forms

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Stress happens sitting down.

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• Nicolas Troubat et al (2009) European Journal of Applied Physiology

20 chess players – international and national-level players. They all played against a computer.

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The computer standard was deliberately set one level higher.

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The computer standard was deliberately set one level higher.

So all the players lost against the computer.

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What happened?

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What happened?

• Average heart-rate rose 11 beats a minute

• On average, players used up 140 calories playing the game

• Overall, the physiological changes were “similar…those … in moderate physical exercise”.

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Pulse and Money

We find that for every extra £40,000 pounds a year, heart rate is 1 beat a minute slower.

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Overall:

There are deep connections between happiness, money and health.

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Some ideas to end:

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Conclusions

#1 In the next century, new measures of human well-being will be required.

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Conclusions

#2 There are profound connections between mental and physical health -- also between happiness and productivity.

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Conclusions

#3 Heart-rate and blood pressure data have particular potential in policy design.

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Ultimately, we are all interested in:

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Happiness, Health and Productivity

Andrew OswaldWarwick Business School


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