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NASA Earth-Sun System Science benefits for Society
Transition from Research to Operations:
Plans and Challenges on the Way Forward
Ronald J. BirkApplied Sciences ProgramEarth-Sun System DivisionNASA Science Mission Directorate
September 15, 2005
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Over 6 billion people to serve….
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NASA Observing Spacecraft for Earth-Sun System Research
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Earth System Models
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Integrating Knowledge, Capacity and Systems into Solutions
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Climate Change Science Program
Climate Change Technology Program
Commission on Ocean Policy
Integrated Earth Observation System
Administration plans and policies form a basis for a formal NASA – NOAA Research & Operations Transition Plan
Commercial RemoteSensing Space Policy
NASA Research
Capabilities
NOAA Operational Capabilities
National Plans
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National and NASA Objectives
National Objective 5 – Study the Earth system from space and develop new space-based and related capabilities for this purpose.
NASA Objective 14Advance scientific knowledge of the Earth system through space-based observation, assimilation of new observations, and development and deployment of enabling technologies, systems, and capabilities, including those with potential to improve future operational systems.
NASA Objective 15Explore the Sun-Earth system to understand the Sun and its effects on Earth, the solar system, and the space environmental conditions that will be experienced by human explorers, and demonstrate technologies that can improve future operational systems.
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Future U.S. Operational Systems
NPOESS (2009) GOES-R (2012)
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Operational Global Observing System
( MSG)
POES (NPOESS)
(MTSAT)
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Observing Birth and Intensification of Deadly Cat-5 Hurricane Katrina
Jeff HalversonTRMM Education and Outreach Scientist QuikSCAT Science Team, JPL
Lori Perkins, NASA GSFC
TRMM August 28, 10:25 pm
TRMM Precipitation Radar
TRMM Microwave Imager
QuikSCAT WindsAugust 25, 4:37 AM
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Observations to Knowledge Products“from photons to electrons to neurons”
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Application Focus Areas and Partners
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Joint Management Structure
Transition Management Oversight • Establishes framework for collaboration, sets bilateral policy
and priorities, approves Transition Plan, and oversees implementation • NOAA/J. Kelly • NASA/Mary Cleave
Ad hoc Joint Working Group • Prepares overall Transition Plan, identifies Transition
Capabilities, oversees development of individual implementation plans, and coordinates senior review of implementation plans• NOAA/Gary Davis• NASA/Ron Birk
Transition Capability Teams• Prepares an implementation plan for each identified
Transition Capability
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FRAMEWORK
Document
NASA & NOAA
TRANSITION
PLAN
CAPABILIITY IMPLEMENTATION
PLAN #1 CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION
PLAN #2
CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION
PLAN #3
CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION
PLAN #4
CAPABILITY IMPLEMENTATION
PLAN #5CAPABILITY
IMPLEMENTATION PLAN #6
R&O JWG Documentation
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I. Framework Document• Establish inventory of potential candidate capabilities• Develop selection criteria• Identify Processes: selections, criteria, management
reviews• Establish common definitions and semantics
II. Transition Plan • Capture candidate capabilities• Apply criteria to candidates• Select capabilities for development of implementation
plans• Establish approach for CIP teams
III. Capability Implementation Plans • Develop discrete plans for each capability with dedicated team of
NASA and NOAA representatives
Family of Documents for Research and Operations
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Challenges on the Way Ahead
Systematically transitioning appropriate NASA research results to be adopted to improve future operational systems to serve society
Characterizing uncertainty in model forecasts for weather, climate, and natural hazards
Benefiting from increased data handling capacity to handle volume and range of data from Earth-Sun observatories
Evolving an Earth-Sun System Gateway portal to provide interoperability and access between research results and integrators
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Heritage of Spacecraft Missions transition from Research to Operations
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The legacy in weather systems continues…
NPP (2006)CrIS/ATMS
VIIRSOMPS
Aqua (2002)AIRS, AMSU & MODIS
METOP (2005)IASI/AMSU/MHS & AVHRR
NPOESS (2009)CrIS/ATMS, VIIRS, CMIS,
OMPS & ERBS
Coriolis (2003)WindSat
NWS/NCEP
GSFC/DAO
ECMWF
UKMO
FNMOC
Meteo-France
BMRC-Australia
Met Serv Canada
NWS/NCEP
GSFC/DAO
ECMWF
UKMO
FNMOC
Meteo-France
BMRC-Australia
Met Serv Canada
NWPForecasts
NWPForecasts
NOAA Real-Time Data Delivery TimelineGround Station Scenario
NOAAReal-time
UserC3SC3S IDPSIDPS
Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation
Use of Advanced Sounder Data for ImprovedUse of Advanced Sounder Data for ImprovedWeather Forecasting & Numerical Weather PredictionWeather Forecasting & Numerical Weather Prediction
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Sun-Earth Connection Missions with capabilities for Space Weather
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Sun-Earth Connection Research Question
Solar Sentinel
Solar Dynamics Observatory
(2008)Radiation Belt Mappers(NET 2010)
Ionospheric Mappers
Solar Sentinel
Solar Sentinel(NET 2013)
Geospace Missions
How are the Sun, heliosphere, and planets connected in a single system?
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R&O Transition Timeline
The IBPD Earth-Sun System, Objective 14, states:
14.1 Transfer 30 percent of NASA developed research results and observations to operational Agencies.
Pressing issues include timing and targets of opportunity:
Operations
5-year Mission
OSSE
Budget Support
R&O demo
4 yr Solicitation Cycle
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24NASA & NOAA jointly funding NRC studies on improving transition
NPP NPOESSSeaWiFS Terra Aqua
Joint Center for Satellite Data Assimilation NCEP
Short-term Prediction Research and Transition Center NWS
Ob
serv
atio
nD
ata
As
sim
ACRIMsat SORCE Glory NPOESS
SAGE III AURA NPOESS
Jason OSTM NOAA/EUMETSAT
Landsat 7 LDCM Operational NPOESS
GIFTS* GOES
Tropo Winds TBD
Imaging and Sounding
Solar Irradiance, Ozone, and Aerosols
Ocean Surface Topography
Land Cover/Land Use Change
Tec
hIn Formulation
In operation
Under Development
Atmospheric CompositionUARS AURA TBD
* Canceled flight mission; gleaning technology for GOES-R
Tech Development
NPP
Spacecraft succession plans…
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Extending Data System Architecture
Spacecraft
Data Acquisition
GroundStations
ScienceTeams(SIPS)Polar Ground Stations
EOSDIS ScienceData Systems
(DAACs)
Flight Operations, Data Capture, Initial
Processing & Backup Archive
Data Transport to DAACs
Science Data Processing, Data Mgmt., Data Archive
& Distribution
Distribution, Access, Interoperability &
Reuse
NASA Integrated Services Network (NISN)
Mission Services
Data Processing & Mission
Control
TECHNOLOGY
Research
Education
Value-AddedProviders
InteragencyData Centers
InternationalPartners
EarthSystem Models
BenchmarkingDSSMeasurement
Teams
Tracking & Data Relay
Satellite (TDRS)
WWWIP
Internet
DataPools
EarthSystem Models
REASoNs
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Transitioning Capabilities ofEarth-Sun System Models
DRYDRY
DRY
WARM
VERY WET
WET
WET
WETVERYDRY
COLDCOLD
JCSDA
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27Budget Authority in $ Millions
FY 2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010SCIENCE 5,527.2 5,476.3 5,960.3 6,503.4 6,853.0 6,797.6
Solar System Exploration 1,858.1 1,900.5 2,347.7 2,831.9 2,999.0 3,066.2 Discovery 180.6 168.7 219.2 301.5 319.7 334.2 New Frontiers 210.8 158.6 157.7 162.6 259.4 259.0 Technology 130.7 95.7 129.3 128.0 129.1 130.4 Deep Space Mission Systems (DSMS) 257.7 257.4 251.6 260.6 267.7 273.4 Solar System Research 345.2 362.5 370.2 374.3 374.8 381.8 Mars Exploration 681.1 723.1 943.5 1,233.4 1,232.0 1,260.2 Robotic Lunar Exploration 52.0 134.6 276.1 371.4 416.2 427.0
The Universe 1,513.2 1,512.2 1,531.5 1,539.4 1,495.0 1,406.7 Navigator 233.7 199.4 246.6 394.5 432.1 434.1 James Webb Space Telescope 311.8 371.6 372.5 328.6 227.0 189.4 Hubble Space Telescope 215.7 190.7 218.3 143.2 170.2 95.0 Stratospheric Observatory Infrared Astronomy 50.9 48.3 57.1 59.4 60.2 60.4 GLAST 107.0 99.4 66.8 24.0 19.3 25.8 Discovery 125.5 117.9 76.5 16.8 13.6 14.5 Explorer 82.0 100.8 76.1 59.4 11.7 9.5 Universe Research 331.6 315.7 311.5 309.2 302.8 296.4 International Space Science Collaboration 13.3 13.0 22.2 39.8 38.4 34.1 Beyond Einstein 41.8 55.5 83.9 164.5 219.6 247.4
Earth-Sun System 2,155.8 2,063.6 2,081.2 2,132.2 2,359.0 2,324.8 Earth Systematic Missions 300.5 181.9 165.7 198.8 240.8 162.7 Living with a Star 202.5 234.0 241.0 225.3 292.0 294.8 Solar Terrestrial Probes 100.3 78.8 94.8 140.8 125.1 128.4 Explorer Program 103.6 117.1 106.8 137.3 208.6 197.2 Earth System Science Pathfinder 107.9 135.5 166.2 114.7 203.5 232.3 Earth-Sun Multi-Mission Operations 334.3 268.3 269.5 277.1 280.4 285.7 Earth-Sun Research 818.6 845.1 815.7 811.8 798.8 802.5 Applied Sciences 43.5 52.2 51.5 50.8 48.9 54.3 Education and Outreach 22.9 23.3 23.4 23.8 25.4 27.6 Earth-Sun Technology 121.8 127.4 146.6 151.8 135.6 139.3
Science Program Budget Summary
$82.6
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Intellectual Leadership