does borrowing for college make sense-final-03-08-16
TRANSCRIPT
Does Borrowing for College Make Sense? Implications from a Mixed-Methods Research StudyELIZABETH KISS, KANSAS STATE UNIVERSITY
SOOHYUN CHO, SOUTH DAKOTA STATE UNIVERSITY
DAVID EVANS, PURDUE UNIVERSITY &
BARBARA O’NEILL , RUTGERS UNIVERSITY
Opening activity
Current Trends in Student Loan Use
Americans’ Debt by Type, 2003 – 2013
Number of Postsecondary Institutions in the U.S. that Award Federal Student Aid
Number of Students Enrolled in Postsecondary Institutions Annually
Two-Year Loan Default Rates
Percentage of Undergraduate Students Receiving Federal Student Loans
Average Amount of Federal Student Loans Received by Undergraduate Students
Graduation Rates by Race/Ethnicity
Graduation Gaps at University of Akron
Source: College Results Online 2013, IPEDS data
Cohort Default Rates by Sector
Borrowers and Defaulters
Theories
Two Schools of ThoughtRational / Prescriptive
◦Human Capital Theory
◦Theory of efficient human capital investment
Descriptive
◦Signal Theory
◦Status Attainment Model
Human Capital TheoryGary S. Becker (1993)
Provides rational for parents investing time and resources in their children
Individuals will make investments in human capital, as long as benefits exceed the costs
Human Capital TheoryTheodore W. Shultz (1961)
Examples of Human Capital:
◦Expenditures on education
◦Expenditures on health
◦ Internal migration for better job opportunities
Theory of Efficient Human Capital InvestmentBrown, Scholtz, & Seshadri (2012)
The importance of Expected Family Contribution (EFC)
Financial aid increases the educational attainment of children, whose parents do not contribute to their education (underinvest)
The larger the unmet EFC, the more difficult it is for the child to finance college.
Intergenerational ProblemInvestment in human capital is a multi-stage process, as well as intergenerational problem
Early vs. late investments are complimentary; Early human capital investment will increase investment at later stages.
Family income received early (birth to age 11) improves educational outcomes more than income received at later ages (ages 12-23).
Signaling/Credential TheoryMichael Spence (1973); Randall Collins (1971)
Education credentials can be used as a signal to the firm, indicating a certain level of ability that the individual may possess.
Status Attainment ModelBlau and Duncan (1967)
Status Attainment: the processes through which initial relative social position is associated with own social status attainment over time.
Wisconsin Longitudinal Study confirmed that parents’ socioeconomic status and educational expectations are passed onto their children (Sewell & Hauser, 1980)
Two Recent Surveys
NC 2172Behavioral Economics and Financial Decision-Making and Information Management Across the Lifespan
http://www.nimss.org/projects/15376
Participating institutions
◦ University of Delaware
◦ University of Florida
◦ University of Georgia
◦ University of Illinois
◦ Purdue University
◦ Iowa State University
◦ Kansas State University
◦ University of Maryland
◦ University of Missouri
◦ Rutgers University
◦ Pennsylvania State University
◦ University of Rhode Island
◦ South Dakota State University
◦ University of the Incarnate Word
◦ Utah State University
◦ Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University
Online Experimental StudyMerges experimental design with online survey techniques
Explores survey participants responses based on how information about student loans is framed in hypothetical scenarios
◦ Gain/Loss
◦ Emotional Trigger
Will be able to inform discussions related to
◦ Wisdom of using student loans to pay for college
◦ Amount of student loans to take in order to pursue a college degree
Virtual Focus GroupsPros
Reduce costs◦ Staff◦ Travel◦ Materials◦ Equipment◦ Food
No Transcription Necessary!◦ Enough said
Cons
Lack of researcher control
Shortened responses
Technical difficulties
IRB compatibility
Virtual Focus Groups: MethodologySynchronous
Similar to chat room experience
All participants’ responses occur simultaneously
Real-time reactions
Asynchronous
Similar to discussion threads or email
Participants have time to think about responses
Virtual Focus Groups: MethodologyAsynchronous Online Focus Groups◦ Survey Sampling International Sample
◦ Land Grant University Samples
Demographics Survey
8 Question Discussion Thread (Response Required!)
Three weeks to complete
$25 Gift Card to Amazon.com
Virtual Focus Groups: ConclusionsCollegiality
Inexpensive
Diversity
Reminders
Other options—e.g. webinars, hangouts etc.
Student Loan Impacts: Enrollment, Careers, and Personal Decisions
College Enrollment DecisionsA precursor decision to taking out student loans is deciding what college to attend
Cost was definitely a consideration
◦ Tuition and fees
◦ State scholarship programs
◦ Financial aid packages
◦ Distance from home
Some students eliminated categories of schools (e.g., private, out-of-state) from consideration before applying
Career DecisionsStudents might select public sector jobs to qualify for loan forgiveness
Students might select stressful, high-paying jobs to earn more money to repay debt faster
Students might decide to attend graduate school to boost income-earning potential
HomeownershipMany young adults are delaying large dollar purchases (e.g., cars and houses)
Mortgage accessibility is a key constraint
◦Monthly student loan payment + PITI payment often exceeds 36% of gross monthly income
Difficult for “late start homeowners” to be mortgage free at retirement
EntrepreneurshipBusiness creation by young adults has fallen
Federal Reserve study: “significant negative correlation between changes in student loan debt and small business formation”
Like mortgages, bank loans are often difficult to obtain
Consumer debt income ratio: ALL debt payments (combined) should not exceed 15% to 20% of net pay
Wealth AccumulationStudy: couple with $53,000 in student loan debt has a wealth loss of nearly $208,000 compared to a “baseline” couple without debt
Nearly 2/3 of loss comes from lower retirement savings
More than 1/3 comes from lower home equity
Pew Research Center: young college-educated households with no student loan debt have about 7 times the net worth of households with debt
Retirement SavingsStudent loans hamper retirement savings
Late savers lose a decade or two of compound interest
◦ Save $5,000/year from age 22 to 67 (45 years) at 7% = $1,528,759
◦ Save $5,000/yr from age 37 to 67 (30 years) at 7% = $505,365
Key Take-away: Forgoing retirement savings in early adulthood to repay four-or five figure debt can translate into a six- or seven-figure shortfall later in life
◦ The “million-dollar mistake”
◦ Compound interest is NOT retroactive
Impacts on SocietyStudent loan debt affects many people beyond individual debtors
◦ Existing homeowners who want to move or trade up
◦ Social service agencies assisting financially stressed individuals and families
◦ Resilience of the U.S. economy to ride out downturns
◦ Increased intergenerational dependence within families
What will happen in the future when young adults elude their full wealth accumulation potential?
Implications for Educators Working with Students and Families
Pre-collegeBig Questions
◦To go or not to go
◦Where to attend
◦Funding options
To Go or Not To GoSignaling
Increase knowledge
Develop skills
Lifetime earnings
Employment opportunities
Work environment
Social opportunities
FIVE WAYS ED PAYShttp://youcango.collegeboard.org/sites/default/files/11b_4427_5waysedpays_eng_web_111107.pdf
Where to Attend
http://trends.collegeboard.org/college-pricing/figures-tables/average-published-undergraduate-charges-sector-2015-16
Funding OptionsCollege savings
Scholarships and grants
Current earnings
Federal education loans
Private education loans
Work-study programs
Tuition assistance from an employer
Military programs
During CollegeBalancing school and work
How much is enough
Pay as you go
Post-collegeRepayment options
Life decisions
Student Loan Decision-Making Resources
Video – Serious
Voices of Debt- The Student Loan Crisis: Don’t Major in Debt (11 minutes) https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uPcSYrPx3Ao
Video – Serious
AJ+: Faces of the Student Debt Crisis in America
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_tV6L-wzfHY
Video – Serious
AJ+: Faces of the Student Debt Crisis in America
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_tV6L-wzfHY
Video – Humorous
College Humor: http://www.collegehumor.com/video/6707784/student-loan-stds
Documentary Film: Broke, Busted, and Disgusted
BROKE, BUSTED, AND DISGUSTED IS A DOCUMENTARY FILM ABOUT THE TRUE COST OF COLLEGE.
If you’re not concerned about the student debt issue in America, you’re not paying attention.
Our system of higher education, particularly the way it’s funded, is creating a generation of heavily indebted young adults. Many of whom will have children in college before they’re even close to paying off their loans.
They’re frustrated, stressed and sometimes unable to see the light at the end of the tunnel.
BUT IT DOESN’T HAVE TO BE THAT WAY.
To reverse this very dangerous course our country is on, please watch this important film and share it with people you care about.
Watch The Film: http://www.brokebusteddisgusted.com/ (53 minutes)
Student Loan CalculatorBankrate.com: http://www.bankrate.com/calculators/college-planning/loan-calculator.aspx
Student Loan CalculatorNew York Times: http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2014/your-money/student-loan-repayment-calculator.html?ref=business&_r=3
Student Loan Debt Clock FinAid: http://www.finaid.org/loans/studentloandebtclock.phtml
(Outstanding debt balance as of February 9, 2016)
Student Loan and Education Resource List
Consumer Action: http://www.consumer-action.org/downloads/english/student_loan_guide.pdf
Five page PDF document
Lists dozens of resources organized by topics
◦ Getting Started
◦ Borrowers in Repayment
◦ Borrowers in Default
◦ Additional Resources and Research
Federal Student Aid (U.S. Department of Education)
“Minds can achieve anything. We make sure they get to college.”
Repayment EstimatorFederal Student Aid: https://studentloans.gov/myDirectLoan/mobile/repayment/repaymentEstimator.action?sf26719344=1
Student Loan Repayment PlansFederal Student Aid: https://studentaid.ed.gov/sa/repay-loans/understand/plans?utm_source=twitter&utm_medium=social&utm_content=compare+your+monthly+student+loan+payment#estimator
Student Loan GlossaryFederal Student Aid: https://studentloans.gov/myDirectLoan/glossary.action
CFPB Student Loan Resourceshttp://www.consumerfinance.gov/students/
Paying for College
Repay Student Debt
Submit a Student Loan Complaint
Closing activity
Does Borrowing for College Make Sense? Implications from a Mixed-Methods Research StudyELIZABETH KISS, KANSAS STATE UNIVERSITY
SOOHYUN CHO, SOUTH DAKOTA STATE UNIVERSITY
DAVID EVANS, PURDUE UNIVERSITY &
BARBARA O’NEILL , RUTGERS UNIVERSITY