woodfuels use for sustainable energy infrastructures’ materialization

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In: Global Environmental Policies ISBN: 978-1-60876-204-0 Editors: R. Cancilla and M. Gargano, pp. 59-79 © 2010 Nova Science Publishers, Inc. Chapter 3 WOODFUELS USE FOR SUSTAINABLE ENERGY INFRASTRUCTURESMATERIALIZATION Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos * 1 , Konstantinos G. Kolovos * 2 and Miltiadis S. Chalikias * 3 1 National Technical University of Athens, School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Electric Power Division, Photometry Laboratory, Athens, Greece 2 School of Pedagogical & Technological Educational (A.S.PE.T.E.), Department of Civil and Construction Engineering Technology Teachers, Αthens, Greece 3 Technological Institute of Piraeus, Department of Business Administration, Egaleo, Greece ABSTRACT The issue of the introduction of new environmental friendly and economical fuels to the everyday energy-consuming human activities is controversial and imperative. The recent European legislation, relative to the introduction of biofuels at local and national levels, is conformed to the above direction. Additionally, the above proposal implementation would be successfully materialized by exploiting the Renewable Energy Sources, which are abundant in the Greek context. The present study is driven to the wider implementation of biofuels, by applying High-Heating-Valued woodfuels that are mainly cultivated in the Northern Greece context. The examined parameters include the ―High Heating Values‖, the densities, the annual total production and the annual proportional allocation of the available woodfuels. Specifically, the examined woodfuel * Corresponding author: Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, Dr. Chemical Engineer, National Technical University of Athens, School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Electric Power Division, Photometry Laboratory, 9 Heroon Polytechniou St., 157 80 Athens, Greece, Tel.: +30 210 7723506 E-mails: [email protected] , [email protected] * Tel.: +30 210 2896739, E-mail: [email protected] * Tel.: +30 210 5381275, E-mail: [email protected] The exclusive license for this PDF is limited to personal printing only. No part of this digital document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted commercially in any form or by any means. The publisher has taken reasonable care in the preparation of this digital document, but makes no expressed or implied warranty of any kind and assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. No liability is assumed for incidental or consequential damages in connection with or arising out of information contained herein. This digital document is sold with the clear understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, medical or any other professional services.

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In: Global Environmental Policies ISBN: 978-1-60876-204-0

Editors: R. Cancilla and M. Gargano, pp. 59-79 © 2010 Nova Science Publishers, Inc.

Chapter 3

WOODFUELS USE FOR SUSTAINABLE ENERGY

INFRASTRUCTURES’ MATERIALIZATION

Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos*1, Konstantinos G. Kolovos*2

and Miltiadis S. Chalikias*3

1 National Technical University of Athens, School of Electrical and Computer

Engineering, Electric Power Division, Photometry Laboratory,

Athens, Greece 2 School of Pedagogical & Technological Educational (A.S.PE.T.E.),

Department of Civil and Construction Engineering Technology Teachers,

Αthens, Greece 3 Technological Institute of Piraeus,

Department of Business Administration,

Egaleo, Greece

ABSTRACT

The issue of the introduction of new environmental friendly and economical fuels to

the everyday energy-consuming human activities is controversial and imperative. The

recent European legislation, relative to the introduction of biofuels at local and national

levels, is conformed to the above direction. Additionally, the above proposal

implementation would be successfully materialized by exploiting the Renewable Energy

Sources, which are abundant in the Greek context. The present study is driven to the

wider implementation of biofuels, by applying High-Heating-Valued woodfuels that are

mainly cultivated in the Northern Greece context. The examined parameters include the

―High Heating Values‖, the densities, the annual total production and the annual

proportional allocation of the available woodfuels. Specifically, the examined woodfuel

* Corresponding author: Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, Dr. Chemical Engineer, National Technical University of

Athens, School of Electrical and Computer Engineering, Electric Power Division, Photometry Laboratory, 9

Heroon Polytechniou St., 157 80 Athens, Greece, Tel.: +30 210 7723506 E-mails: [email protected] ,

[email protected] * Tel.: +30 210 2896739, E-mail: [email protected]

* Tel.: +30 210 5381275, E-mail: [email protected]

The exclusive license for this PDF is limited to personal printing only. No part of this digital document may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system or transmitted commercially in any form or by any means. The publisher has taken reasonable care in the preparation of this digital document, but makes no expressed or implied warranty of any kind and assumes no responsibility for any errors or omissions. No liability is assumed for incidental or consequential damages in connection with or arising out of information contained herein. This digital document is sold with the clear understanding that the publisher is not engaged in rendering legal, medical or any other professional services.

Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, Konstantinos G. Kolovos et al. 60

types are abundant both in the Northern Greek region, as well as in the nearby Balkan

regions – due to the proximity of their geo morphological and climatic conditions. The

study has focused on the Greek woodfuel production over the examined period 2004 –

2007, whereas the experimental process is adjusted to the qualitative woodfuels

information gathering from the nearby Balkan countries, through potential Scenarios

implementation. The outcoming results are supported by the investigation of the relevant

energy demand among the proposed projects, thus resulting in the projects‘

materialization via the optimum environmental, economic and socioeconomic conditions‘

evaluation. Especially, the main environmental conditions of energy production and

distribution include the presentation of the main categories of impact of pollution in local,

regional and global levels. Furthermore, the economic conditions include the description

of the dominated streams of financial costs and benefits which form the cornerstone of

each energy project economic evaluation. The economic consideration includes the

investigation of key-role of economic factors, such as the net present value (NPV), the

opportunity costs, the internal rate of return (IRR) and the externalities, supporting the

final decision of any future energy project‘s proposal. Finally, the critical comparison

between the above environmental, economic and socioeconomic parameters reveals the

significant determining parameters of the scenarios prosperity and profitability.

Keywords: Biofuels, Biomass, Renewable Energy Sources, Energy Project, Environmental

Sustainability, Financial Feasibility, Knowledge Management, Woodfuel.

1. INTRODUCTION

Nowadays, finding the appropriate knowledge material for economic growth is highly

supported through web data mining, Resource-Based View (RBV), Capability Life Cycle

(CLC) and Information Communication Technology (ICT) techniques. In order to combine

data from various heterogeneous sources, software agents have to understand the semantics of

the sources, since the source modeling is manual. Nevertheless, as the large number of

sources comes online, it is impractical to expect users to continue modeling them by hand.

Other difficulties facing the web users (individuals, managers, SME representatives) are the

language and cultural differences as well as the adaptation to heterogeneous web sources [1-

5].

Typical indicative examples of Knowledge Management utilization for specific

educational and social frameworks have been reported in the literature. Especially,

Knowledge Management was evaluated in the Australia Public Service [6], in strengthening

African universities strategic role [7], in Intellectual Capital statements to Asia and Europe

[8], in the cost-effective University – Industry interactions [9]. Furthermore, in the literature it

has been reported the analysis of knowledge-creating learning processes, such as the

Socialisation Externalisation Combination and Internalisation (SECI) modes, empirically

supported by pedagogical research [10].

Additionally, among the competitive strategies in global forestry industries, four elements

of evolution are especially important to understanding the functionality of their processes

[11]. Firstly, the firms are analysed from a variety of national contexts. This makes the

comparisons relevant, from the point of view that the nationality of the firms may explain

differences in performance and strategy. Secondly, the firms are operated with different

Woodfuels Use for Sustainable Energy Infrastructures‘ Materialization 61

governance structures. In particular, typical analysis includes the publicly traded, family

owned and state owned firms as well as cooperatives. Specific investigation focuses on how

the ownership structure is manifested in strategic actions. Third, appropriate study is made for

the firm-specific strategy profiles. Thus, the study results in new information on how firms

compete vis-à-vis industry trends and what reciprocal effects this has on performance. Fourth,

and perhaps most important, it is essential the study of the path dependent strategic processes

leading to success and failure of firms, thus seeing the performance outcomes as a function of

firms‘ history and current competitive and institutional environment.

Generally, there is a growing market for forest by-products as raw materials for energy.

High fossil fuel prices together with new energy and environmental policies are making

woodfuel an essential ingredient of energy policy in both developed and developing countries.

In developed countries, it is likely that the use of woodfuel for energy will continue to increase

if fossil fuel prices continue to rise. More generally, the use of biofuels, including those based on

wood and on agricultural products, will likely continue to increase, including their use for motor

vehicles. Sawmills and pulp and paper industries benefit by becoming energy producers. With

ever higher fuel prices, there will be even more pressure on forests and trees outside forests to

provide energy in the poorest countries [12].

Most biofuels are used for residential cooking and heating, mainly in Africa, Asia and

Latin America. For example, almost 90% of the wood removals in Africa are used for fuel. In

countries participating in the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development

(OECD), such as Austria, Finland, Germany and Sweden, biofuels are increasingly used for the

production of electricity, attracting huge investments in wood-energy industries [13]. In the

United States, about 3% of energy demands are supplied by biomass. Much of this is

accounted for by the paper and pulp industry, which burns large quantities of woodfuel and

paper milling wastes to supply energy for its needs. Other substantial consumers of biomass

include households that burn woodfuel as a primary source of heat (about 5% fall into this

category and another 20% represent the occasionally burned woodfuel in a stove or fireplace),

commercial industries and establishments that burn woodfuel as a source of energy (in some

cases, simply for space-heating purposes) and waste-to-energy facilities, that burn municipal

solid waste. Outlook studies by the International Energy Agency (IEA) indicate that

renewable energy sources will continue to increase their market shares in the energy mix [13].

While heating and cooking will remain the principal uses for woodfuel and charcoal in

developing countries, the use of solid biofuels for the production of electricity is expected to

triple by 2030 [13].

Europe has achieved sustainable forest management. Despite its high population density,

roughly 30% of Europe‘s land area is covered by forests and these remain a key ecosystem

for biodiversity [14]. Natural forests, those unaffected by humans, often contain a diverse

range of both tree and non-tree species, but virtually all forests in Europe have experienced

more or less strong anthropogenic influences throughout history. Nonetheless all forests, even

monoculture plantations, are reservoirs of biodiversity. Forest area is increasing in most

European countries, and the positive trends exceed the negative [15]. Forest institutions are

strong, and changes in forest policies and institutions are largely positive. The Ministerial

Conference on the Protection of Forests in Europe (MCPFE) is the strongest regional political

mechanism to address forest issues in the world. However, there are a number of areas of

concern. Employment in the forest sector continues to decline, and the forest sector‘s

contribution to the economy is declining, in comparison to that of many other agricultural

Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, Konstantinos G. Kolovos et al. 62

sectors. Forests remain vulnerable to disturbances that are likely to increase if the global climate

continues to change as many experts predict. Countries with economies in transition are

striving to improve support and guidance to owners of newly privatized forests.

While concentrate the presentation of the cultivated forests situation in the Balkan

countries, the study is focused on a variety of fields such as forest area, forest biomass,

production, trade and consumption of woodfuel and sawnwood exhibits. Nevertheless, there

exist moderate differentiations, due to the non-uniformity of the geographical morphology of

each country and colonization – divergence in financial forest policy and population‘s variety,

in terms of socioeconomic background. In tables 1 and 2 the relevant literature data,

concerning the situation in Balkan countries for the years 2004 and 2005, is depicted [12, 15].

In the Greek context, the relevant literature [16 – 20] is particularly focuses on the poplar

cultivation in Northern Greece. Specifically, the poplar production and utilization is mainly

examined, due to the locally high wood production capacity, the poplar shorten growth time

and its high volume of industrial wood production. Additionally, a national policy proposal

that would encourages sustainable poplar cultivation and production, is also presented in the

above literature. In the Greek woodfuel production, sessile oak, white poplar and chestnut tree

are the main forest species with mean production coverage over than 60% of the total

woodfuel production. Data are available for the period 2004 – 2007 [16 – 20] and according

to the relevant literature [21 – 25], the above forest species are characterized by advantageous

mean High Heating Values (HHV), in the range of 17100 – 19500 kJ/kg. These HHV values

depend on the geographical zone and the growth season for each forest species, thus consist a

promising woodfuel material for alternative energy production.

The present study aims at revealing the importance of access and use of technical

knowledge in the contemporary scientific sector of Renewable Sources utilization in a

sustainable current and future Environment. The purpose of this paper is to combine an

―inferior‖ and ―underestimated‖ material, such as agricultural biomass raw byproducts to a

prominent, vital and added-value material. The bridging between the terms: ―inferior‖ and

―superior‖, ―underestimated‖ and ―valuable‖ is the accumulating knowledge of agricultural

byproducts properties, depicting in the RETScreen software construction and framework.

Particularly, this work investigates the possibility of replacing conventional heating

resources (such as electricity and diesel fuel) for domestic space heating purposes in a

woodfuel production Greek origin, by using Greek woodfuel biomass. Furthermore, the

optimization of the collected data is accomplished through the use of the RETScreen

International software [26] and the evaluation of the projects is materialized, in terms of their

environmental sustainability and financial feasibility. Finally, the social cohesion is

determined as the total balance, by offsetting on the one hand the opening new jobs and the

support to the local agricultural economies, following by diminishing the energy dependence

from fossil fuels and on the other hand the substantial restriction of vital agricultural products

– initially aiming at humans feeding – for biofuels production.

Table 1. Forest area, forest biomass and carbon

for the year 2005, in the Balkan countries [12, 15]

Country Forest area

Forest biomass and carbon

Biomassb Biomassb

Total foresta % of land

area

Area per

capita

Forest

plantations

Per

hectare Total

Per

hectare Total

(103 ha) (%) (ha) (103 ha) (t/ha) (106 t) (t/ha) (106 t)

Albania 794.0 29.0 0.2 88.0 129.7 103.0 65.0 52.0

Bosnia and Herzegovina 2185.0 43.1 0.6 142.0 160.6 351.0 81.0 176.0

Bulgaria 3625.0 32.8 0.5 – 145.4 527.0 73.0 263.0

Croatia 2135.0 38.2 0.5 61.0 179.9 384.0 90.0 192.0

Greece 3752.0 29.1 0.3 134.0 31.2 117.0 16.0 59.0

Republic of Moldova 329.0 10.0 0.1 1.0 79.0 26.0 40.0 13.0

Romania 6370.0 27.7 0.3 149.0 177.9 1133.0 89.0 567.0

Serbia and Montenegro 2694.0 26.4 0.3 39.0 115.8 312.0 58.0 156.0

Slovenia 1264.0 62.8 0.6 0.0 232.6 294.0 116.0 147.0

The former Yugoslav Republic of

Macedonia 906.0 35.8 0.4 30.0 45.3 41.0 22.0 20.0

a ―Total forest‖ includes forest plantations.

b ―Biomass‖ includes above– and below–ground biomass and dead wood.

c ―Carbon in biomass‖ excludes carbon in dead wood, litter and soil.

Table 2. Production, trade and consumption of woodfuel and

sawnwood for the year 2004, in the Balkan countries [12, 15]

Country

Woodfuel Sawnwood

(103 m3) (103 m3)

Production Imports Exports Consumption Production Imports Exports Consumption

Albania 221.0 0.0 56.0 165.0 97.0 24.0 21.0 99.0

Bosnia and Herzegovina 1310.0 1.0 194.0 1116.0 1319.0 13.0 1175.0 157.0

Bulgaria 2187.0 0.0 29.0 2158.0 332.0 7.0 273.0 66.0

Croatia 954.0 2.0 151.0 805.0 582.0 338.0 355.0 565.0

Greece 1057.0 371.0 15.0 1412.0 191.0 918.0 18.0 1091.0

Republic of Moldova 30.0 2.0 0.0 32.0 5.0 110.0 0.0 115.0

Romania 3015.0 0.0 72.0 2943.0 4588.0 21.0 2840.0 1769.0

Serbia and Montenegro 2097.0 2.0 5.0 2094.0 575.0 396.0 175.0 796.0

Slovenia 725.0 11.0 79.0 657.0 461.0 224.0 411.0 274.0

The former Yugoslav

Republic of Macedonia 705.0 0.0 3.0 702.0 28.0 108.0 2.0 134.0

Woodfuels Use for Sustainable Energy Infrastructures‘ Materialization 65

2. EXPERIMENTAL

2.1. Application of the Retscreen International Software

The RETScreen International software is developed by the Renewable Energy

Deployment Initiative (REDI) sponsored by the Natural Resources of Canada (NRCan), since

a literature review and Web search revealed eliminated readily available models, that were

well adapted to the modeling of domestic energy consumption [26]. RETScreen was designed

to overcome certain obstacles to the rapid evaluation of renewable sources of energy. These

include limited consumer knowledge of and experience with renewable energy, the

unreliability of previous renewable energy systems, compared to highly evolved conventional

heating technologies, the high cost of these novel technologies, the low cost of heating and

cooling compared to the initial cost of constructing a new building and the unwillingness of

homeowners to consider non-monetary values, such as environmental impacts.

Another advantage of using the RETScreen software is its effectiveness to provide a

rough and costless initial estimation of domestic energy infrastructures. For example, the fuel

costs used by the model include a realistic assessment of all costs incurred in the production

and transportation of the fuel and in the disposal of the wastes. Throughout the RETScreen

software analysis, each of the examined phases of fuels life cycle would have to be modelled

independently, and reliable data would have to be collected for each phase. Therefore, by

applying the proposed software, the prohibitively expensive and time-consuming process of a

more detailed project planning can be avoided.

2.2. Parameters of the Energy Projects

The projects examined in the present paper are focused on the effectiveness of woodfuel

biomass sources, to determine whether they represented viable sources of heating energy in

the Greek context. In particular, the present analysis is focused on the partial replacement of

the conventional energy grid of equally electricity and diesel fuels with biomass fuel. The

proposed biomass fuel is High Heating Value (HHV) woodfuel, cultivated in the Northern

Greece context and the energy projects refer to 6 building clusters of 700 m2, in total. The

determined study parameters, are for two ambient temperatures (-8 and 10°C) and for two

percentages, used to define the proportion of total energy consumption used to heat domestic

water (10 and 20%). The densities and the High Heating Values (HHV) of the Northern

Greek woodfuel types used in the present study are given in table 3 [21 – 25]. The examined

woodfuel production was based for the year 2004, since the evaluation of the relevant input

data, which are depicted in table 4, revealed no remarkable fluctuation of Greek woodfuels

production over years. The densities and the High Heating Values (HHV) of the Northern

Greek woodfuel types used in the present study are given in table 4 [21 – 25].

Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, Konstantinos G. Kolovos et al. 66

Table 3. Annual woodfuels production in the Greek context

Year (% participation) 2004

(examined year)

2005 2006 2007

Woodfuel Type

(annual production in m3)

Common Fir 20696 (4.6) 13790 (2.9) 13651 (3.1) 4210 (0.8)

Common Spruce 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0) 0 (0.0)

Aleppo Pine 18898 (4.2) 20873 (4.4) 27994 (6.3) 79507 (15.3)

Common Beech 126776 (28.0) 139738 (29.7) 140781 (31.7) 163882 (31.6)

Sessile Oak 282213 (62.2) 293599 (62.4) 258230 (58.2) 267444 (51.6)

White Poplar 4224 (0.9) 1504 (0.3) 2341 (0.5) 1995 (0.4)

Chestnut Tree 714 (0.2) 1297 (0.3) 1056 (0.2) 1736 (0.3)

Total (%) 453521 (100.0) 470801 (100.0) 444053 (100.0) 518774 (100.0)

Table 4. Densities, High Heating Values (HHV) and energy production

of the woodfuel types profile in the Greek context [21 – 25]

Woodfuel Type Density (t/m3) HHV (kJ/t) Energy production for the year 2004 (MJ)

Common Fir 0.53 21.08 231,2

Common Spruce 0.45 20.70 0,0

Aleppo Pine 0.45 21.62 183,9

Common Beech 0.80 17.87 1812,7

Sessile Oak 0.75 17.47 3697,3

White Poplar 0.40 19.50 32,9

Chestnut Tree 0.65 17.13 8,0

Total 5965,9

2.3. Retscreen Software Characteristics

The RETScreen software includes illustrations of the heating load, the power supply

infrastructures, the energy model (here, using renewable biomass fuels to replace the

conventional energy sources of electricity and diesel), and the cost analysis. The program‘s

output includes an illustration of the emissions of greenhouse-effect gases (GHG) and

financial results, including the after-tax Internal Rate of Return and Return on Investment

(IRR and ROI) and the Net Present Value (NPV) of the application, based on data supplied by

the user. Tables 5 – 9 present the data used in the present analysis.

Table 5. Heating load and application network

Parameter Input value

Building clusters 6

Total building area of the clusters (m2) 700

Conventional heating fuel types Electricity and #2 diesel

Design supply temperature (°C) 95

Design return temperature (°C) 65

Temperature differential (°C) 30

Oversizing of the main pipe network (%) 20

Total length of pipe in the main distribution line (m) 100

Total length of pipe in the secondary distribution line (m) 210

Woodfuels Use for Sustainable Energy Infrastructures‘ Materialization 67

Table 6. Energy model for the proposed application

Type of biomass fuel Woodfuel (HHV)

Building clusters 6

Total length of pipe (m) 310

Boiler capacity (kW) 2

Moisture content of fresh biomass (%) 30

"As fired" heating value of the biomass (MJ/t) 13096

Capacity of backup heating system (kW) 95

Seasonal efficiency of boiler (%) 80

Table 7. Analysis of the application costs. The parentheses contain the proportional

percentage of the corresponding total application cost.

Parameters/Costs Initial costs

Renewable Energy Equipment (€) 2420 (3.1)

Balance of Plant (€) 64597 (82.9)

Miscellaneous (€) 10902 (14.0)

Initial costs – Total 77918 (100.0)

Annual costs (Credits)

O&M cost (€) 15280 (90.2 – 90.7)

Fuel / electricity (€) 1571 (9.3 – 9.8)

Annual costs – Total 16851 (100.0)

Periodic costs

Refractory insulation (€) 1000

Table 8. Analysis of Greenhouse Gases (GHGs) effect

Base Case Heating System (Reference: electricity and diesel)

Building Cluster 1 2 3 4 5 6

Fuel type Electricity Electricity Electricity #2 diesel #2 diesel #2 diesel

CO2 emission factor (kg/GJ) 293.8 293.8 293.8 74.1 74.1 74.1

CH4 emission factor (kg/GJ) 0.0062 0.0062 0.0062 0.0020 0.0020 0.0020

N2O emission factor (kg/GJ) 0.0093 0.0093 0.0093 0.0020 0.0020 0.0020

GHG emission factor

(tCO2/MWh)

1.781 1.336 1.187 1.794 1.495 1.346

GHG emission factor

(tCO2/MWh)

Heating energy mix

1.592

Proposed Case Heating System (Mitigation)

Biomass type Woodfuel

Temperature, domestic hot water (%) -8°C, 10% -8°C, 20% 10°C, 10% 10°C, 20%

CO2 emission factor (kg/GJ) 0 0 0 0

CH4 emission factor (kg/GJ) 0.0320 0.0320 0.0320 0.0320

N2O emission factor (kg/GJ) 0.0040 0.0040 0.0040 0.0040

GHG emission factor (tCO2/MWh) 0.010 0.010 0.010 0.010

GHG emission factor (tCO2/MWh)

Heating energy mix

1.261 1.214 1.261 1.284

Net annual GHG emission reduction (tCO2) 24.7 31.1 52.1 55.4

Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, Konstantinos G. Kolovos et al. 68

Table 9. Financial and environmental feasibility

of the use of biomass (woodfuel)

Percentage of energy used to heat domestic

water

10% 20%

Tenvironment (°C) -8 10 -8 10

GHG emission reduction cost after income tax

analysis (€/tCO2)

-137 -656 -176 -702

Simple payback (years) 4.6 0.7 3.3 0.6

Years-to-positive cash flow 5.5 1.2 4.2 1.0

IRR and ROI (after tax, %) 18.3 85.6 23.4 95.3

NPV (€) 30664 310382 49677 353207

Retail price of electricity (€/kWh) 0.15

Annual increase in cost of electricity (%) 3

Inflation rate (%) 2

Discount rate (%) 10

Project life (years) 25

3. EVALUATION OF THE PROJECTS

3.1. Environmental Evaluation of the Projects

According to the environmental specifications of the projects, it is assumed that

conventional space heating is achieved with electricity and diesel fuels and it would be

partially displaced with biofuel produced by woodfuel biomass. GHG emission factor

decreased at about 21% when using the biomass fuel, instead of the conventional fuels.

Additionally, the projects constructed in the low outside temperature of -8°C, were proved

slightly more advantageous to diminish the GHGs emission factor, towards the high outside

temperature of 10°C. Furthermore, the annual reduction in GHG emission, in terms of tCO2,

ranged from 6 – 26% and the transition from 10% to 20% in the proportion of energy used for

domestic hot water is proved 4 times more advantageous at low outside temperature (-8°C)

compared to that of high outside temperature (10°C). The above results are presented in table

10. Nevertheless, the most environmentally promising project was that of outside temperature

of 10°C and the energy percentage for domestic hot water of 20%, as it is depicted in the table

8.

Table 10. Environmental assessment of the project

Type of fuel Electricity & Diesel mix compared to Biomass

Temperature, domestic hot water (%) -8°C, 10% -8°C, 20% 10°C, 10% 10°C,

20%

Reduction (%) in GHG emission factor (biomass

compared with conventional fuels)

20.79 23.74 20.79 19.35

Reduction (%) in annual GHG emission (tCO2) if

heating energy of domestic water increases from

10% to 20% of the total energy

25.91 6.33

Woodfuels Use for Sustainable Energy Infrastructures‘ Materialization 69

3.2. Financial Evaluation of the Projects

3.2.1. Financial Considerations of Energy Projects Prior to the outcoming results evaluation of the present study, it is worthy to note the

dominated economic tools of energy projects, by briefly providing the relevant terminology.

Therefore:

Equity is an ownership right or risk interest in an enterprise.

Payback period is the time taken for a project to recover its initial investment in

monetary terms.

Internal rate of return (IRR) is a discounted measure of project worth. The discount rate

that just makes the net present worth of the incremental net benefit stream, or incremental

cash flow, equals to zero.

Net Present Value (NPV) is the sum of discounted future benefits and costs at a stated

rate of discount. NPV is an absolute measure of project merit.

Opportunity cost is the value lost by using something in one application rather than

another. The opportunity cost of employing a worker in a project is the loss of net output that

worker would have produced elsewhere. The concept of opportunity cost is the cornerstone of

benefit-cost analysis.

In the electrical power industry, there is usually great pressure to start publicly owned

projects as soon as possible. However, a project should not be started unless the evaluator is

certain that the project will have a positive Net Present Value (NPV). Even then, it may not

be the optimum time to start the project. Assessing the effect of delaying the project has to be

undertaken to evaluate whether a possible NPV will be better slightly into the future. If a

future NPV is possible, then the project has to be executed at the year that provides the

highest NPV.

Usually, a project should be executed when the first year net benefits exceed opportunity

cost of the investment, i.e the discount rate times the project cost. Therefore, since the NPV is

positive at a discount rate equal to the opportunity cost of capital, the firm will proceed with

this investment. In contrast, if a delay causes a rise in the cost of the project, in real terms, this

should be taken into consideration [27].

3.2.2. Financial Outcomes of the Projects The Net Present Value (NPV) for all the biomass projects was positive. Nevertheless, the

economic results of the examined projects indicated that the most advantageous project is that

of outside temperature of 10°C and the energy percentage for domestic hot water of 20%.

Specifically, in comparison to all other scenarios, the above project is:

• about 12 – 91% higher NPV

• about 17 – 670% faster in terms of simple payback

• about 20 – 450% faster in terms of ‗years to positive cash flow‘ and

• about 10 – 81% higher in terms of after-tax IRR and ROI values.

The simple payback and the period until positive cash flow parameters increased as the

ambient temperature increased, at both levels of energy consumption for heating domestic

Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, Konstantinos G. Kolovos et al. 70

water. Furthermore, the after-tax "IRR and ROI" index values decreased, with increasing the

ambient temperature. The above results are shown in figures 1 – 3.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

-8 10

Ambient temperature (oC)

Decre

ase in

th

e S

imp

le

Payb

ack (

%)

w ood

Figure 1. Decrease in the simple payback period when the proportion of energy used to heat domestic

water is increased from 10% to 20%.

0

5

10

15

20

25

-8 10

Ambient temperature (oC)

Decre

ase in

th

e P

eri

od

un

til

po

sit

ive c

ash

flo

w (

%)

w ood

Figure 2. Decrease in the period until positive cash flow when the proportion of energy used to heat

domestic water is increased from 10% to 20%.

0

5

10

15

20

25

30

-8 10

Ambient temperature (oC)

Incre

ase in

aft

er

tax IR

R a

nd

RO

I

(%) w ood

Figure 3. Increase in the IRR and ROI index when the proportion of energy used to heat domestic water

is increased from 10% to 20%.

Woodfuels Use for Sustainable Energy Infrastructures‘ Materialization 71

4. THE GREEK AND THE WOODFUEL IMPORTS FROM THE NEARBY

BALKAN COUNTRIES SCENARIOS

According to the above results, the most unfavourable and the most favourable projects –

in terms of outside temperature, proportion of total energy used in domestic hot water – are: (-

8°C, 10%) and (10°C, 20%), respectively. Therefore, in order to investigate the relevant

significance of each of the above experimental parameters to the sustainability of each

proposed project, the proposed scenarios are based on the imports of woodfuel materials from

the nearby Balkan countries. In these scenarios, the main hypotheses of the above woodfuel

entrance to the Greek context are:

1. The geographical proximity of the woodfuel country producer to the proposed

infrastructure of biofuels consumer (village) of the Greek context. This hypothesis is

set for the unavoidable cost of cultivation and transportation elimination purposes.

2. The additional import biomass has been accrued to the existing Greek woodfuels

production, not replacing it.

3. Additionally, for comparison purposes, an assumption was made that the types of

wood production and distribution is exact the same both in the Greek context and the

Balkan countries, from which the biomass is imported. Therefore, in the present

study the examined woodfuels production is restricted to only three woodfuel types,

common for both the Greek context and the nearby Balkan countries: Common

Beech, Aleppo Pine and Common Fir. The selection of the specific three woodfuel

types was focused on two main characteristics: Firstly, the three examined woodfuel

types are the most commonly existing in both the Greek and the nearby Balkan

countries regions, due to only moderate differentiations of their geomorphological

and climatic conditions. Secondly, the woodfuel production of the three examined

woodfuel types exceeds of the 60% of the total Greek woodfuel production, thus

allowing reliable outcomes to be evaluated. Therefore, the available agricultural area

for woodfuels‘ production is allocated only among the above three wood types. This

area ―expansion‖ results in the energy capacity increase by a factor of 2.73

comparing to the existing energy capacity of the woodfuels production in the Greek

context.

4. Furthermore, for comparison reasons, the following parameters such as: total

domestic heating area of the village, outside temperature and the proportion of used

energy for domestic hot water and the rest of the input data in the tables 4 – 6, remain

intact.

5. The examined Greek woodfuel production was investigated at the year 2007, since

the outcoming results should be effectively compared to the above outcomes, thus

revealing the trend of the evaluated parameters over time.

5. TWO DIFFERENT SCENARIOS PRESENTATION

The specific structure of the present analysis is based on the influential investigation of

the accrued imported biomass to the existing Greek infrastructure outcomes, in environmental

Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, Konstantinos G. Kolovos et al. 72

and economic terms. Therefore, this implementation is further examined through the

following scenarios:

Scenario 1: The additional woodfuel biomass of the three dominated import woodfuel

types: Common Beech, Aleppo Pine and Common Fir is allocated in the exact same

proportion, as in the three relevant biomass sources of the Greek context. Therefore, the

relative (among the three) woodfuels‘ allocation is: 76%, 12% and 12% proportional

contribution for: Common Beech, Aleppo Pine and Common Fir, respectively. According to

the above Scenario 1, the boiler capacity based on the Greek woodfuel production is 2.5 kW,

therefore, the final biomass and consequently biofuels production of this production,

incorporating the import woodfuel quantities will be doubled to 5 kW. This means that the in

the ―Energy model for the proposed application‖ (table 6) the boiler capacity is over doubled,

from 2 to 5 kW.

Scenario 2: The three woodfuel types‘ allocation is as follows: 50%, 25% and 25%

proportional contribution for: Common Beech, Aleppo Pine and Common Fir respectively.

The proposed contribution selection is realistic, since it is relevant to the effective future and

sustainable depiction of forest cultivation production, in both the Northern Greece and the

nearby Balkan countries. According to the above Scenario 2, the boiler capacity based on the

Greek woodfuel production is 3 kW, therefore, the final biomass and consequently biofuels

production of this production, incorporating the import woodfuel quantities will be doubled to

6 kW. This means that in the ―Energy model for the proposed application‖ (table 6) the boiler

capacity is tripled, from 2 to 6 kW.

The distinct characteristic of each of the above Scenarios is the different proportional

allocation of the woodfuel production and the consequently power variation to the boiler

capacity. Therefore, both Scenarios which are based on the reallocation of each of the above

scenarios, is applied twice: (a) in the unfavourable and (b) in the favourable experimental

conditions of the above study: (-8°C, 10%) and (10°C, 20%), respectively. The actual

woodfuel and energy production of the examined woodfuel types, for the year 2007, is

presented in table 11.

Table 11. Actual woodfuel and energy production

of the examined woodfuel types for the year 2007

Woodfuels

Production and Energy Annual production

(in m3, % percentage) Energy (MJ)

Woodfuel Type

Sessile Oak 267444 (98.6) 3503.8

White Poplar 1995 (0.7) 15.6

Chestnut Tree 1736 (0.6) 19.3

Total (%) 271175 (100.0) 3538.7

Table 12. Financial and environmental feasibility of the Scenarios

Scenarios Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Un-favourable

project

Favourable

project

Experimental Conditions -8°C 10% 10°C 20% -8°C 10% 10°C 20% -8°C

10%

10°C

20%

Net annual GHG emission reduction

(tCO2) 41.9 83.4 47.3 90.2 24.7 55.4

GHG emission reduction cost after

income tax analysis (€/tCO2) -79 -466 -69 -430 -137 -702

Simple payback (years) 4.7 0.6 4.8 0.6 4.6 0.6

Years-to-positive cash flow 5.6 1.1 5.6 1.1 5.5 1.0

IRR and ROI (after tax, %) 18 93.8 17.9 93.4 18.3 95.3

NPV (€) 29977 352510 29752 352295 30664 353207

Retail price of electricity (€/kWh) 0.15

Annual increase in cost of electricity

(%) 3

Inflation rate (%) 2

Discount rate (%) 10

Project life (years) 25

Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, Konstantinos G. Kolovos et al. 74

Table 13. Environmental evaluation of the Scenarios

Type of fuel Woodfuel

Scenarios Transition

(initial-final situation)

Scenario 1 –

Scenario 2

Scenario 1 –

Scenario 2

Unfavourable –

Favourable

project

Experimental parameters -8°C, 10% 10°C, 20% (-8°C, 10%) –

(10°C, 20%)

Reduction (%) in net annual GHG

emission (tCO2) for the examined

Scenarios

12.89 8.15 124.29

Increase (%) in GHG emission

reduction cost after income tax analysis

(€/tCO2) for the examined Scenarios

12.66 7.73 412.41

5.1. Environmental Evaluation of the Scenarios

According to the environmental specifications of the alternative Scenarios, it is assumed

that in terms of: ―Net annual GHG emission reduction (tCO2)‖ the proposed Scenarios are in

favour of the existing projects (described in sections 2 and 3), since the relevant GHG

emission reduction is almost doubled than the unfavourable and favourable projects

(described in sections 2 and 3). Additionally in terms of: ―GHG emission reduction cost after

income tax analysis (€/tCO2)‖, the relevant results are very promising, since a decrease of

about a half is achieved compared to the corresponding results of the two unfavourable and

favourable projects. Furthermore, comparing the outcoming results between the Scenarios 1

and 2 it is proved that the transition to higher outside temperatures and proportional

percentage of energy used for domestic hot water, provide more satisfying environmental

results – in absolute experimental values. The above evaluation is depicted in the table 12.

Nevertheless, comparing the transition from Scenario 1 to Scenario 2 outcomes in relative

experimental values (percentage change (%), from the initial situation), the above

environmental optimization is more effectively achieved (about two times better) at lower

outside temperature (-8oC) and proportion of energy to domestic hot water (10%). The above

evaluation is depicted in the table 13.

5.2. Financial Evaluation of the Scenarios

5.2.1. General Financial Consideration In the electrical power industry, calculation of benefits is not easy. A new power station

would normally not only increase production, but also contribute towards reduction of the

overall system cost of generation. It may also reduce system losses and delay the

implementation of some projects for network strengthening. Certain projects are redundant

and are made necessary by the need to ensure security of supply. Rural electrification is

normally a source of financial loss, but has significant economic benefits. Some

improvements in power stations – like inhibition of emissions – incur high investment, reduce

electrical energy output energy output and efficiency, and yet have sound economical (even

environmental) benefits [27].

Woodfuels Use for Sustainable Energy Infrastructures‘ Materialization 75

While focusing on the main tools for the most projects‘ economic evaluation, financing is

done by a combination of equity and loans. The investor is interested to know the IRR of the

project and the return of equity. In calculating the return on the equity, the amount of loan

servicing (interest on the loan and loan repayments) has to appear as cash expenses and

deducted in the appropriate years from the current income stream. Simultaneously, the

amount of loan has to be deducted from the project cost. Thus, the costs, benefits and net

benefits will represent those accruing to the equity only. The IRR calculated will be the rate

of return on the equity. It has to be compared with the opportunity cost of the capital, i.e. the

return that this equity capital can obtain in the best alternative investment. The investor would

undertake the project only if the internal rate of return on the equity in this project is higher

than the opportunity cost [27].

Conclusively, the guiding principle for project evaluation is the maximization of NPV

while utilizing, as a discount rate, the opportunity cost of capital. The IRR is not the only

criterion for evaluating projects for investment decisions. NPV with a proper discount rate

(reflecting the true opportunity cost of capital) is a criterion. With limited budgeting, a

benefit/cost ratio has to be calculated to assist in prioritizing projects [27].

Another crucial determining parameter for the financial evaluation of the examined

projects is the externalities. Externalities are not easy to define and are very difficult to

quantify. Their identification and attempt at quantification is an important part of the job of a

skilled project evaluator. Some externalities are positive. In the electricity supply industry

they may be in the form of technology advancement, export promotion, job creation and

training. Examples of negative externalities include detrimental environmental impacts and

congestion [27].

Most large projects in the electrical power industry have externalities, with both

environmental and financial impacts. These range from minor visual impact and landscaping

problems in small transmission and distribution projects to very serious pollution problems,

as in low-quality coal power station. A main externality aspect of a project in the electricity

supply industry is the system linkage of projects. System linkages are external to the project

itself, but are internal to the electricity supply industry as a whole; therefore they cannot be

treated as a true externality. They should be taken into consideration in all financial and

economic evaluation of projects [27].

5.2.2. Financial Evaluation of the Scenarios The Net Present Value (NPV) for all the alternative Scenarios was positive. Nevertheless,

it is worthy to note that the favoured Scenarios in all the economic parameters of NPV,

simple payback, years to positive cash flow and after-tax IRR and ROI values, are those of

higher outside temperatures (10°C) and proportional percentage of energy used for domestic

hot water (20%). Additionally, there seemed a remarkable uniformity of the outcoming

economic results among the groups of the satisfying and unsatisfying Scenarios. The above

results are shown in figures 4 – 6.

Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, Konstantinos G. Kolovos et al. 76

0123456

Scenario

1: -8C, 1

0%

Scenario

2: -8C, 1

0%

Scenario

1: 10C, 2

0%

Scenario

2: 10C, 2

0%

Unfavourable project

Favourable project

Experimental parameters

Sim

ple

payb

ack (

years

)

Alternative Scenarios

Figure 4. Simple payback period of the alternative Scenarios.

0123456

Scenario 1: -8

C, 10%

Scenario 2: -8

C, 10%

Scenario 1: 1

0C, 20%

Scenario 2: 1

0C, 20%

Unfavourable project

Favourable project

Experimental parameters

Years

to

po

sit

ive c

ash

flo

w

Alternative Scenarios

Figure 5. Years to positive cash flow of the alternative Scenarios.

020406080

100120

Scenario 1: -8

C, 10%

Scenario 2: -8

C, 10%

Scenario 1: 1

0C, 20%

Scenario 2: 1

0C, 20%

Unfavourable project

Favourable project

Experimental parameters

Aft

er

tax I

RR

an

d R

OI

(%)

Alternative Scenarios

Figure 6. After tax IRR and ROI of the alternative Scenarios.

Woodfuels Use for Sustainable Energy Infrastructures‘ Materialization 77

6. CONCLUSION

Projects are carried out because they are needed, they are the least-cost solution and they

are profitable. It is now becoming increasingly necessary not only to weigh the benefits of the

investments through a cost-benefit analysis, but also to carry out financial profitability

projections. The traditional cost-benefit analysis of projects is used to assess their

acceptability to utilities, governments, investment bankers and development funds. There are

several ways of assessing whether the project is worth undertaking. The most useful of these

are:

a. computing the internal rate of return

b. evaluating the net present value of the project

c. calculating the benefit/cost ratio

d. other criteria (such as payback period and profit/investment ratio)

The above criteria, expect for the last, involve discounting.

In residential urban environments, as well as in cases of blocks of flats, the determining

factors of environmental and socioeconomic infrastructures‘ evaluation are: the greenhouse

gas emission factor values of the same ranking, the infrastructures‘ simplicity and the

necessary modification costs of the existing household infrastructures to successfully

introduction of biomass biofuels. It is apparent that the above parameters will affect the

infrastructures‘ economy of scale.

In suburban and rural regions, the dominated parameters to successful introduction of the

biomass biofuels to the local way of citizens‘ life are: the proximity of the source, the

convenient household space expansion to effective heating applications and the prohibitive

cost of implementing alternative potential infrastructure works, such as natural gas network.

According to externalities importance to the above examined projects, it is significantly

priority the attempt to quantify them and include their values in the projects‘ costs and

benefits. Where it is difficult to quantify them, which is a common phenomenon, they should

be cited in the project economical evaluation and they may affect the choice of the least-cost

solution.

The evaluation of the examined environmental and economic conditions of the proposed

scenarios of the present study, revealed that it is necessary the co-evaluation of all the

parameters that are related to the projects materialization, at the reference years. Additionally,

between the economic and the environmental conditions examined, the latter take an

advantage over the former, since the successful projects‘ implementation is highly depending

on the outside environmental conditions, than the narrow-fluctuated boiler power capacity

design. According to the applicable experimental procedure, the optimum conditions were

achieved at the lower temperature and the lower proportion of total energy, used in domestic

hot water at the year 2007: -8°C and 10%, respectively. Furthermore, the characteristics of

abundance of wood production and the High Heating Values of the Greek context, supporting

by the imported wood biomass from the nearby Balkan countries, are the dominated

parameters for future research. Further investigation should be focused onto this particular

type of biomass utilization. Finally, the overall success of the biofuels entrance will be highly

supported by the political initiatives for protective environmental legislation and subsidies

Grigorios L. Kyriakopoulos, Konstantinos G. Kolovos et al. 78

towards the promotion and use of renewable fuels, besides the social acceptance towards the

biofuels introduction to the everyday life of the citizens.

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