u.s.-china relations 1969-1979
TRANSCRIPT
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Craig PerryEast Asian Politics Richard Kraus
US-China Relations 1969-79
Since the 1949 communist victory in the Chinese civil war,
there had been no diplomatic recognition between the United
States and the People’s Republic of China (PRC). During the
1950’s, the United States had engaged in military confrontation
with the PRC on the Korean Peninsula and had almost done so in
the Taiwan straits. The United States was committed to the
security of the Republic of China (ROC/Taiwan) by the 1954 Mutual
Defense Treaty (MDT). By the 1960’s there had been a sea change
in attitudes towards the PRC in both diplomatic/political circles
and in popular opinion. The ‘China lobby’ of cold warriors that
adamantly and unconditionally supported the ROC was losing ground
to a more pragmatic faction who favored engagement, to various
degrees, with the PRC. The process of negotiating diplomatic
recognition formally began under Richard Nixon but did not
conclude until the Presidency of Jimmy Carter. During this period
(1969-1979), the international situation changed. The political
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players in the negotiations changed with the vicissitudes of
domestic politics. The motivations and justifications of the
players altered. The reasons for seeking rapprochement, and the
perceived benefits of this, varied not in kind but in emphasis
during this period. For the United States, its concerns were
primarily strategic and secondarily economic. China’s communist
dictatorship was as oppressive, if not worse, than that of the
Soviet Union during this period. This belies any US arguments
based in defense of human rights and liberty. For China during
this period, there is a shift in emphasis from its security
concerns to the exigencies of economic development. On the other
hand, there are certain constants that underpinned the whole
process. First, the central narrative of this period is the
triangular relationship between the United States, the Soviet
Union, and the PRC. International Relations don’t fit into such a
neat construct as this, but it is indisputable that the
relationships between these three main state actors were the
primary concerns of the politicians and diplomats involved. The
relationships the ‘big three’ had with Japan, Taiwan, Vietnam,
and others were all secondary. Second, despite the ideological
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rhetoric of the supposedly bipolar world of the cold war, by the
end of the 1960’s, international relations were dominated by non-
ideological Realist assumptions about the nature of Great Power
interaction.
The International Situation in 1968-69
The United States was highly divided in 1968. The Vietnam
War was escalating and more Americans were speaking out against
it. There was ongoing conflict about race relations and the civil
rights movement. The polarities of the ‘establishment’ and the
‘counterculture’ fought for hearts and minds in the streets, in
the media, and through the political process. Norman Mailer gives
an impressionistic depiction of the political turmoil in the
United States in Miami and the Siege of Chicago, “Left-wing demons,
white and Black, working to inflame the conservative heart of
America, while Right-wing devils exacerbate Blacks and drove the
New Left and liberal middle class into prides of hopeless
position. And the country roaring like a bull in its wounds,
coughing like a sick lung in the smog…” (Mailer 15). Richard
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Nixon was elected to office for 1968. He promised to end the
conflict in Vietnam. Nixon was committed to having ‘peace with
honor’. The United States needed to exit Vietnam while
maintaining as much credibility as possible.
There are two main historical processes that must be
understood, if one is to understand the motivations of Chinese
leaders during the period of rapprochement. First is the Cultural
Revolution. Second is the Sino-Soviet estrangement and eventual
military conflict. Mao launched the Cultural Revolution in 1966
as an assault on what he saw as the ossification and
bureaucratization of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) and of the
revolution in general. In practice it was a wave of fanatical
violence that swept the country and had to eventually be
suppressed by the People’s Liberation Army (PLA). The turbulence
of America in the 1960’s was nothing in comparison to China, “The
leaders of the Cultural Revolution called for a comprehensive
attack on the four old elements within Chinese society…With the
euphoria, fear, excitement, and tension that gripped the country,
violence grew apace. Thousands of intellectuals and others were
beaten to death or died of their injuries. Countless others
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committed suicide…Many of the suicides killed themselves only
after futile attempts to avoid Red Guard harassment by destroying
their own libraries and art collections. Thousands were
imprisoned, often in solitary confinement, for years. Millions
were relocated to purify themselves through labor in the
countryside” (Spence 606). The factional struggles that plagued
the upper echelons of the party were between the ultra-leftists
(centered around Lin Biao and Jiang Qing) and the pragmatists
(Zhou Enlai and Deng Xiaoping). The ultra-leftists were the
ideologically inspired backbone of the Cultural Revolution and
they were adamantly opposed to any negotiations with the United
States. These struggles would persist until the consolidation of
power by Deng Xiaoping in the mid-1970’s. Thus, domestic politics
weighed heavily in the diplomatic decision-making process of Mao,
Zhou, and Deng.
The relationship between the comrade-states in the struggle
for world revolution had always been a rocky one. However, after
the death of Stalin, the relationship between the Soviet Union
and the PRC began a precipitous decline. At the twentieth Party
Congress on 14th of February, 1956, Krushchev made his famous
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indictment of the Stalinist cult of personality (Service 338).
By extension, this criticism could be applied to Mao. 1960 was a
critical year of thinly veiled polemics and tit-for-tat
diplomatic moves (Spence 589). Finally, in 1969, there was a
border conflict between the two states that resulted in 100
Russian casualties and 800 Chinese casualties (Spence 616). The
Chinese had come to see the USSR as a bigger threat than the
United States.
During the period 1969-79, the Soviet Union had a greater
degree of internal stability than China and perhaps was on a
level similar to that of the United States (of course, comparing
a communist dictatorship and a democracy is an apples-and-oranges
argument on most levels). With the ouster of Krushchev and the
consolidation of Brezhnev’s position at the top of the party, the
Russian leadership was internally consistent and stable. During
the 1960’s, the Soviet agricultural sector grew. By 1970, the
Soviet Union had achieved military parity with the United States.
There was ongoing systematic repression of dissidents (Service
376-410).
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Nixon, Kissinger, and the Real World.
Richard Nixon and his National Security Advisor Henry
Kissinger were Realists in their view of international relations.
This is a statement on par with saying that the sun is warm. The
two shared a breadth of vision concerning the world that is
impressive. One can say this while still fundamentally
disagreeing with many of the assumptions, strategies, tactics,
and obvious moral shortcomings of the two. According to Jeremy
Suri, “Fears of democratic chaos and anxieties about pervasive
threats—these were the anchors for Nixon and Kissinger’s working
relationship. They had a dark view of human nature and democratic
society…For Nixon and Kissinger, social improvement required firm
national leadership to limit human excesses and restrict human
hatreds. The same applied to the international system, where
competitive states would pummel one another to death without the
force of imposed order from a superior power…Their relationship
was built on fear and frustration. Their policies were built on
obsessions with toughness and secrecy” (Logevall 70). As
previously stated, the most important foreign policy issue
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confronting Nixon when he entered office was resolution of the
conflict in Vietnam. The pressing issue was how to make this
happen.
Logevall states that the three fundamental aspects of a
Realist perspective on international relations are 1) balance of
power between the ‘Great Powers’, 2) triangulation of relations
between these Great Powers, and 3) linkage of different issues in
a quid pro quo (Logevall 1-18). The product of these assumptions
for Nixon and Kissinger was a strategy that relied on the
tensions between the Soviet Union and the PRC. The three main
tactics in the Nixon-Kissinger strategy were Détente with the
Soviet Union, rapprochement with China (and the resultant
triangular diplomacy), and termination of US involvement in
Vietnam (Lovegall 25). Nixon and Kissinger believed that they
could play the PRC and the Soviet Union off of each other to the
benefit of US interests.
In order to set about making this happen, the first thing
the two did was retool the executive foreign policy apparatus to
facilitate their desire to exercise unchecked power. Oddly
parallel to Mao’s view of the CCP at this time, the two felt that
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the State Department had become too bureaucratized and unable to
act in a creative fashion. According to Herring, “Reluctant to
share power and certain that a hidebound bureaucracy could only
be an obstacle to the bold moves they hoped to implement, they
restructured the machinery of government to put the National
Security Council in control of policymaking and Kissinger in
control of the NSC…They used backchannels to hide from their
colleagues developments on crucial issues. The NSC more than
doubled in size and nearly tripled in budget during the Nixon
years. What had been created in 1947 as a coordinating mechanism
became a little State Department” (764). The strengthening of
the NSC would have ramifications for the development and
execution of foreign policy during the Carter administration.
The initial contacts between the United States and the PRC
occurred first through low-level diplomatic intermediaries in
Poland and then indirectly through the Pakistani Ambassador to
the United States (Mann 26-30). Initially, Premier Zhou Enlai
demanded that any talks between the two countries would solely
concern Taiwan and the withdrawal of the United States from the
island. However, Zhou soon sent word through diplomatic channels
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that there would be no ‘Taiwan precondition’ to possible
diplomatic engagement (Mann 29).
In July 1971, Kissinger made a secret trip to Beijing. No
one in the United States media knew; even most in the
administration were unaware. In these initial talks, the two main
concerns were Taiwan (on the part of the PRC) and Vietnam (on the
part of the United States.) Goh states that the American position
as articulated by Kissinger in this first meeting was “realist
and based on the assessment of the national interests; it was not
aimed at fostering conflict among the major powers and would thus
be even-handed; but it was anti-hegemonic and so would favor a
strong PRC which could help to act as counterweight to the Soviet
Union” (478). In his writings, Kissinger portrays himself as a
wily and hard-headed negotiator. In About Face, Mann depicts him
as enamored of Zhou during their first meeting and almost ‘giving
away the store’ in these first negotiations. China’s position on
Taiwan, as articulated by Zhou was unequivocal: “…recognize
Taiwan as an inalienable part of China and a province of China;
withdrawal all its [US] armed forces and military installations
from the area of Taiwan and the Taiwan Straight within a limited
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time period; and consider its [US] defense treaty with the Taiwan
regime invalid” (Kirby 26). Kissinger made major concessions to
Zhou concerning Taiwan including assurances that the US would not
support any Taiwanese independence movements and that diplomatic
recognition would occur during Nixon’s second term (Mann 32-33).
The United States got little in the way of assurances of Chinese
help in dealing with Vietnam.
Nixon publicly announced his plan to visit China on July
15th, 1971. This immediately caused consternation among the
United States traditional allies in the region and with
conservatives in Congress. In the time between Kissinger’s first
secret visit and Nixon’s official state visit to the PRC,
Kissinger made an official public visit to the PRC and Taiwan
lost its representation in the United Nations to the PRC. Nixon
arrived in China on February 21st, 1972 for the ‘week that
changed the world.’ During meetings with Zhou, many issues were
discussed paramount among them was the Soviet Union. Nixon
reiterated the commitments that Kissinger had made in the first
secret meeting with Zhou. Nixon followed a two-track
public/private course on the Taiwan issue. Publically, Nixon
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reiterated the traditional US policy of security commitments to
Taiwan. Privately, to Zhou and Mao, he was promising to
normalization relations with the PRC mostly on the terms that the
Chinese were demanding. Zhou stated to Nixon and Kissinger that
Vietnam was “different from Korea” implying that the Chinese had
no intention of directly intervening in the conflict (Mann 45).
Despite Kissinger’s conception of triangular diplomacy, the
chaotic nature of the world and of history disallowed such neat
planning. One of the main issues during Nixon’s visit was also
the Japanese-United States relationship. Nixon exploited China’s
concerns about potential Japanese militarism in his dealings with
them. According to Komine, Nixon and Kissinger played a ‘Japan
card’ that entailed the “practice of putting pressure on Japan to
increase its defense and regional responsibilities, whilst
emphasizing Japan’s geopolitical aspirations to convince Chinese
leaders of the need for continuing the American military presence
in East Asia…” (495). To further problematize the triangular
construct, there was also discussion of coordination of US and
Chinese policy towards India (Mann 42). What one can see is that
the diplomatic actors involved were simultaneously thinking on a
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regional and global level. Regional tensions and animosity played
out in relation to the global Great Powers. Power dynamics
operate in a multivalent fashion.
The outcome of the negotiations was the Shanghai Communiqué.
Both sides engaged in discussions of the wording of the document
right up until its public release. The center point of the
document was the ‘anti-hegemony clause.’ This stated that
“neither should seek hegemony in the Asia-Pacific region, and
each is opposed to efforts by any other country or group of
countries to establish such hegemony; and neither is prepared to
negotiate on behalf of any third party or to enter into
agreements or understandings with the other directed at other
states” (quoted in Goh 484). The unstated third party in this is
the Soviet Union. However, within the regional context of NE
Asia, it is also directed towards the Japanese. The Chinese were
concerned that the Japanese would try to fill any power void left
by the withdrawal of US forces from Taiwan (Komine 505). On the
question of Taiwan, both parties to the document issued
statements that were complimentary but left much unsaid or
deferred. The document reads
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The Chinese side reaffirmed its position: The Taiwan question is thecrucial question obstructing the normalization of relations betweenChina and the United States; the Government of the People's Republic ofChina is the sole legal government of China; Taiwan is a province ofChina which has long been returned to the motherland; the liberation ofTaiwan is China's internal affair in which no other country has theright to interfere; and all U.S. forces and military installations mustbe withdrawn from Taiwan. The Chinese Government firmly opposes anyactivities which aim at the creation of “one China, one Taiwan,” “oneChina, two governments,” “two Chinas,” and “independent Taiwan” oradvocate that “the status of Taiwan remains to be determined.”
The U.S. side declared: The United States acknowledges that all Chineseon either side of the Taiwan Strait maintain there is but one China andthat Taiwan is a part of China. The United States Government does notchallenge that position. It reaffirms its interest in a peaceful settlement ofthe Taiwan question by the Chinese themselves. With this prospect inmind, it affirms the ultimate objective of the withdrawal of all U.S.forces and military installations from Taiwan. In the meantime, it willprogressively reduce its forces and military installations on Taiwan asthe tension in the area diminishes. (US Dept. of State, italics mine)
The Chinese expounded a set of clear principles. In turn, the
United States took a neutral tone to some of the assertions
(‘does not challenge that position’) and used a language of
contingency (‘as the tensions in the area diminishes’) to
militate against the unequivocal nature of the Chinese
statements. The nature of current US-Taiwan security arrangements
was purposefully left out along with the question of future arms
sales to Taiwan by the United States. These subtle differences
are what allowed for agreement on the document. The other key
component was the tacit understanding reached during the secret
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track of negotiations. Kissinger stated that “the prime minister
[Zhou] seeks clarity, and I am trying for ambiguity” (quoted in
Kirby 41). The final document reflects that tension.
After Nixon’s visit to the PRC, diplomatic negotiations
between the two powers stalled. This was due to several reasons.
Paramount among them was the turbulent domestic situations in
both the United States and China. On the Chinese side, there were
the incessant factional struggles within the CCP. The Chairman
was the main source of this instability, “ [Mao] had vacillated
between the pragmatists [Zhou and Deng] and the ultra-leftists
[Jiang Qing and Lin Biao]. If he favored the pragmatic side, this
would negate the theoretical basis of the Cultural Revolution, an
outcome he would not like to see. But he also yearned for
restoration of order. This was his guiding thought when he put
Zhou Enlai and Deng Xiaoping in charge of the day-to-day work of
the central government…Following Zhou’s death in January 1976,
Deng was forced out of all his posts. This was a disaster…”
(Kirby 78). In the United States, the general public and
political leaders were generally receptive to the outcome of
Nixon’s trip (with notable exceptions on the right.) However,
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knowing that the Chinese would not interfere in Vietnam, Nixon
escalated the conflict with the most intensive bombing to date
(Herring 793). This inflamed domestic opposition to Nixon. Nixon
soon became bogged down in the Watergate scandal. Nixon resigned
on Aug 9th 1974.
“A Subtle Triangle of Relations”
Nixon and Kissinger would have us believe that their policy
of engagement with the PRC was a radical and heretofore
inconceivable break with established US foreign policy. In this
interpretation, they were the visionaries who cut through the
ossified modes of thought and action to change the world. To be
sure, US-PRC relations can be divided into a before and after
based on February 1972. However, throughout the 1960’s there had
been talk in foreign policy and defense circles about altering
the stalemated relationship. Nixon’s famous Foreign Affairs article
of 1967 was part of this debate. He was au courant but certainly
not ahead of the curve on the PRC debate.
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Concerning triangular diplomacy, there is substantial debate
as to its effectiveness and how it manifested itself as praxis.
James Mann corroborates Nixon and Kissinger’s theory by averring
that the policy in execution did not favor either China or the
Soviet Union (during Nixon’s terms in office). Evelyn Goh
believes that the construct was always artificial due to the
asymmetry between the global power of the Soviet Union and the
regional power of the PRC. However, I think that this is to
fundamentally misread the nature of Chinese power. What she is
doing is relying on quantitative measures (nuclear weapons,
tanks, etc.) as the sole means of determining ‘strength’. This is
analogous to what the United States did, much to its own
detriment, in reference to the Vietnamese. During the period
1955-1980, the Vietnamese successfully fought off aggression from
the French, Americans, and Chinese, not to mention executing a
successful invasion of Cambodia. Strength is more than just
numbers. Jussi M. Hanhimäki makes a pessimistic assessment of the
effectiveness of triangular diplomacy. He points to the failure
of Nixon and Kissinger to get any concrete assistance from either
China or the Soviet Union on the issue of Vietnam (Logevall 13).
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Furthermore, “The new Sino-American relationship did not
translate into a major diplomatic tool. After 1971, there were
very few instances when the USSR practiced restraint that could
be directly attributed to its concern over a ‘Washington-Beijing
axis’” (Logevall 37).
TRANSITIONS
When Gerald Ford took over the presidency after Nixon’s
resignation, he kept on Kissinger as head of the NSC. Kissinger
also became secretary of state for part of this period. The goal
was to maintain consistency in US Foreign policy during the
difficult and unexpected transition. During this period,
Kissinger continued to make trips to the PRC engaging in
dialogue. It was on one of these trips that Kissinger informed
Zhou and Mao that normalization would be delayed indefinitely
(Mann 69). The Chinese were furious at this and began to doubt
the sincerity of US intentions. While this period was generally
one of stagnation, there were some moves that retrospectively
were of great importance during the Carter Administration. As a
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goodwill gesture early in the US-PRC negotiations, the United
States had offered intelligence to the Chinese on Soviet military
positions. In October 1975, for the first time, the United States
offered to institutionalize intelligence exchanges in an ongoing
process with the Chinese (Mann 73). The United States also worked
on backchannel sales of technology to China (Mann 74). These
types of technological, intelligence, and eventually military
exchanges would be central to Carter’s engagement with the PRC.
In 1976, both Zhou Enlai and Mao Zedong died. The factional
stuggles in the CCP came to a close with the arrest of the ‘Gang
of Four’ (Jiang Ching’s faction) and the consolidation of Deng
Xiaoping’s rule. It would be up to Deng and Carter to finalize
the normalization of US-PRC relations.
Carter And Normalization
Under President Jimmy Carter, there was a tension among his
foreign policy cabinet members. On the one hand, there was
Secretary of State Cyrus Vance. Vance believed that the United
States should deploy triangular diplomacy with an even hand and
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not favor either the PRC or USSR. The head of the NSC, Zbigniew
Brzezinski, believed that the United States should tacitly align
itself with China to put pressure on the USSR. During the course
of Carter’s term (1976-1980), Carter moved from favoring Vance to
favoring Brzezinski (Herring 839).
When Carter ran for office, he ran on a platform that
included a strong commitment to human rights. He pledged that no
longer would the United States turn a blind eye to atrocities
committed by allies of the United States. While Carter made a
real attempt to apply these standards, other considerations often
trumped human rights. When Carter deferred on human rights issues
the results were mixed for the effectiveness of his foreign
policy. In the case of Iran, his pragmatism concerning the Shah
of Iran, morphed into his worse foreign policy failure and
perhaps the main factor in his inability to be reelected. In the
case of China, it is clear that his ignoring human rights issues
paid dividends for US interests. For as Brian Hilton states, “…
PRC human rights violations played virtually no role in the
administration’s discussions of normalization” (601).
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By the time Carter was in office, Deng Xiaoping had
solidified his hold on the leadership of the CCP. Deng’s concerns
were now two fold and interrelated. Deng knew that he needed to
undertake a program of economic modernization if China was to be
a world power. Deng also knew that he needed a stable
international security situation to make this happen. For Deng,
technology and trade with the United States were essential
components of the process of economic modernization. On the
security front, the growing closeness of the USSR and Vietnam
posed a threat of encirclement (Spence 652-659).
The Chinese position had been consistent since the
beginning of negotiations on normalization. The ‘Japan Formula’
was the foundation for all talks. As Fardella sums it up, it
consisted of, “…breaking off diplomatic relations with Taipei,
the end of the MDT, and the withdrawal of American troops from
the island…[US insistence that Beijing agree] to a peaceful
resolution of reunification with Taipei, had disintegrated into a
simple ‘request’ made that Beijing should not oppose any American
statement in this direction” (549). In other words, Mao and Zhou
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had carried themselves well in the opening rounds of negotiations
and China was in a very strong bargaining position.
When Carter first took office, he was preoccupied with the
negotiations to return the Panama Canal to Panama. Also, Détente
was still viable and there were ongoing discussions with the
Soviet Union concerning SALT II (Strategic Arms Limitation
Talks). Thus, in the first trip of a high ranking US official to
China under Carter, Cyrus Vance articulated a purposefully
extreme position that the Chinese rejected out of hand. However,
as SALT II talks stalled, and tensions between the two
superpowers grew, more emphasis was placed on the talks to
normalize US-PRC relations (Fardella 550).
The most salient feature of the Carter period is the
increased militarization of the US-PRC relationship. In the run
up to normalization, there was a steady increase in technological
and military exchanges. After the Soviet invasion of Afghanistan,
they increased exponentially. Mann believes that the Carter
administration saw China as a “sideshow” in the US-USSR fight and
China was to them, “…not so much a country as a military
strategy…” (97). Brzezinski went to China in March 1978, a clear
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indication of Carter starting to favor his approach to triangular
diplomacy. Brzezinski told the Chinese that the United States
agreed to normalization on most of the terms that China demanded.
It was during this time period that the United States consented
to the sale of weapons to China by European allies (Mann 86-89,
Fardella 554).
From this point on, the negotiations continued to pick up
speed. However, the talks were built around a tactical silence
concerning future arm sales to Taiwan. This is perhaps the most
fascinating part of this diplomatic history. For if no one spoke
then no one could say anything that would go against their avowed
policies. A minimalist approach to negotiating designed to yield
the maximum progress. Eventually, however, the issue had to be
addressed.
In January 1979, Deng came to America and made a successful
diplomatic campaign to woo the American media and public. It was
during the trip that Deng let Carter know that the Chinese were
planning to invade Vietnam. Since the end of US involvement in
Vietnam, the United States had been moving swiftly to restore
relations with Vietnam. However, as the importance of US
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engagement with China increased, the more the Vietnam question
was pushed to the side. With Carter’s implied consent, the
Chinese invaded Vietnam soon after Deng’s trip (Mann 91).
The silence on Taiwanese issues could not last forever
though. In the initial phase of Deng’s talks with US Ambassador
to China Leonard Woodcock, “Deng set out his moderation with
regards to the Taiwan question. Showing his willingness to
respect the social reality existing on Taiwan as well as
representing a sort of peaceful statement on reunification,
although a veiled one…” (Fardella 566). Deng needed normalization
of relations in order to act on his domestic agenda. Brzezinski
knew this and deferred on the arms sales issue until the very
end. Deng could not sacrifice normalization despite this
disagreeable aspect (Fardella 567-571.) On March 1st 1979, the
restoration of US-PRC diplomatic ties was officially announced.
In the end, normalization was achieved not by confronting
the issue of Taiwan but by realizing that it was secondary to the
larger economic and security issues of both countries. From the
beginning, even though the PRC diplomats were in an inferior
position strategically, they carried themselves as if they were a
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world power. They made demands and got concessions on a range of
issues. The United States, led by Carter and Brzezinski, were
able to normalize relations and continue the practice of selling
arms to Taiwan. The diplomatic negotiations were often an
exercise in cognitive dissonance. Both sides temporized or
remained silent on issues that they could not compromise on. An
acceptance of a status quo based on ambiguity became the tacit
rule for diplomatic engagement. In essence, both sides realized
that if a quotidian functionality could develop between them,
there was no need, at least in the short term, to confront
abstract questions of Taiwan’s legal status under international
norms. James Mann takes what I would label a ‘structuralist’
interpretation of US-PRC relations during this period. At many
points in his narrative, he highlights a set of practices or
norms for engagement that were established between 1969 and 1979
that have since become entrenched. Often they were linked to
conscious decisions about tactics, just as frequently, they were
the product of the exigencies of the moment. These structural
features are elaborated around a core of unresolved issues
concerning Taiwan. While there have been some distinctly
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troubling periods in this mutual understanding, particularly the
1996 Taiwan straits crisis, it has functioned well for over
thirty years.
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