oa and mk breaking the law
TRANSCRIPT
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |1
Table of Contents
1. The Role of the Basel Committee
2. Logic of the Legal Barrier to
A. Regimes
B. Rational Choice
C. Path Dependence
D. Political Economy
3. Strategy Options
A. Harder Law
B. Restructuring of Soft Law
4. Optimal Strategy
5. Implementation
6. Bibliography
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |2
1. The Role of Basel
Past attempts by the Bank for International Settlements
(BIS) to coordinate international financial regulation (IFR) have
been difficult. Simmons argues that rule development for
financial regulation “has tended to involve small numbers of
national regulators or supervisors, working briefly but
intensively on relatively narrow issues, and producing nonbinding
agreements.”1 Verdier agrees with Simmons by characterizing the
international financial regulation as a system of decentralized
transnational regulatory networks (TRNs) functioning through
mostly “soft law”.2
The BIS is one such international financial network. Its
mission is to provide monetary and financial stability by
coordinating the actions of its membership of 60 central banks. 1 Beth A. Simmons, (2001), “The International Politics of Harmonization: The Case of Capital Market Regulation”, International Organization vol. 55, no. 3, 592.2 Pierre-Hugues Verdier, “The Political Economy of International Financial Regulation”, Indiana Law Journal Vol. 88, 1405.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |3
The BIS also acts as a bank to its member central banks,
providing consultation and actually extending temporary credits
to central banks.3 The BIS functions through a series of
subcommittees specializing in specific areas of financial
regulation.
The Basel Committee on Banking Supervision (BCBS),
originally comprised of G-10 member central bankers, sets
standards for banking regulation with the purpose of increasing
financial stability.4 The BCBS plays an essential role, because
coordinated capital regulation “provides a buffer against bank
losses, protecting creditors in the event a bank nonetheless
fails, and creating a disincentive to excessive risk taking or
shirking by bank owners and managers.”5 The most useful
regulatory practice the BCBS uses is the capital adequacy ratio
(CAR) 6:
3 Bank for International Settlements, “BIS Mission Statement”, retrieved from http://www.bis.org/about/mission.htm. 4 Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, (2013), “Charter”, retrieved from www.bis.org/bcbs/charter.pdf, 1.5 Daniel K. Tarullo, (2008), Banking on Basel: The Future of International Financial Regulation, (Washington, Dc: Peterson Institute for International Economics), 16.6 Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, (2011), “Basel III: A Global Regulatory Framework for More Resilient Banks and Banking Systems”, retrieved from www.bis.org/publ/bcbs189.pdf, 12.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |4
Capital adequacy ratio (%) = capital
risk−weightedassets
The BCBS sets the required CAR for central banks to
implement in their domestic financial systems. However, the BCBS
explicitly states that the required CAR is not legally binding
for central banks: “The BCBS does not possess any formal
supranational authority. Its decisions do not have legal force.
Rather, the BCBS relies on its members’ commitments…” 7
Nonetheless, the CAR is the best tool for the BCBS to regulate
international finance, because it effectively controls the
capital banks must keep on hand to absorb immediate losses. It
also controls the relative amount of risk a bank may take when
issuing loans to firms.
The BCBS sets the CAR according to the stability of the
international financial system. When the system is stable, the
central banks should decrease the CAR to allow banks to invest
and promote overall business and economic growth. When the system
is unstable, central banks should increase the CAR to raise
banks’ capital requirements and decrease risks. Basel I
7 Basel Committee, (2013), “Charter”, 1.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |5
(CAR=8%)8, Basel II (specifically targeted types of risk)9, and
Basel III (set required Tier 1 capital at 6.0%)10 were subsequent
amendments to the components of the CAR to stabilize the
financial system. Unfortunately, all three were post facto
reactions to dramatic shocks to the system: Basel I following the
Latin American financial crisis in the late 1980s, Basel II
following the terrorist attacks of September 11, and Basel III
following the global financial crisis of 2007-2008. The
increasing frequency and severity of international financial
crises expose a legal barrier to the effectiveness of the BIS,
because the rules specified by the BCBS as a regime are not
obligatory for central banks. This follows Iida’s definition of
“legal effectiveness”.11
We argue that the problem facing the BCBS is that it fails
to prevent crises of capital adequacy, because it can neither
prevent nor punish noncompliance of central banks to its capital 8 Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, (1988), “International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards”, retrieved from www.bis.org/publ/bcbs04a.pdf, 11. 9 Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, (2005), “International Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards: A Revised Framework”, retrieved from www.bis.org/publ/bcbs118.pdf, 12-5.10 Basel Committee, (2011), “Basel III”, 12-3.11 Keisuke Iida, (2004), “Is WTO Dispute Settlement Effective?”, Global Governance vol. 10, 208.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |6
adequacy requirements (CARs). This represents a legal barrier to
the effectiveness of the BCBS, because its institutionalized soft
law (lack of obligation and delegation) fails to manage the
increased intensity and frequency of crises of capital adequacy.
We will proceed by explaining how the logic of relevant
theories of international organization support our assertion of
the legal barrier to effectiveness. We will also use these
theories to suggest two realistically and theoretically grounded
strategies for the BCBS to overcome the barrier: 1) a hardening
of soft law, and 2) a restructuring of the current soft law. We
will argue that hardening soft law is the optimal strategy for
the BCBS, because the current legal apparatus does not stabilize
today’s complex and immense international financial system. At
the end, we will suggest methods for implementing obligation and
delegation.
2. Logic of the Legal Barrier to Effectiveness
Four relevant theories (regimes, rational choice, path
dependence, and political economy) of international organization
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |7
explain why the legal barrier to effectiveness causes the BCBS to
fail to prevent financial crises.
A. Regimes
Simmons argues that in a situation where there are
significant negative externalities and high incentives for
smaller actors to emulate the larger one, market harmonization
will occur with institutional assistance.12 Today, the high
interdependence of private international banks creates high
negative externalities. “The globalization of banking increases
the possibility that any weak bank involved in the increasingly
dense network of interbank relations potentially can transmit
weakness throughout the international banking system.”13 High
costs incurred by the failure of a highly interconnected bank
motivate central banks to seek financial stability. This
represents a “dilemma of common aversion”, because all central
banks share a common interest in avoiding the high costs of
financial instability. Dilemmas of common aversion simply require
12 Simmons, “The International Politics of Harmonization”, 598. 13 Simmons, “The International Politics of Harmonization”, 601.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |8
actors to coordinate policies in order to overcome a common
problem.14
The BCBS seeks to facilitate this process by forming a
coordination regime around which central banks’ financial
regulation expectations converge.15 According to Keohane, an
international regime is a set of implicit or explicit principles,
norms, rules, and decision making procedures around which actors’
expectations converge. Regimes solve common problems by
facilitating cooperation between actors, but the regimes do not
impinge on the self-interests of the actors.16 The BCBS is
therefore a regime.
Simmons argues that the success of the BCBS in the
implementation of Basel I came from banks’ desire to avoid
reputation costs associated with defection from the CAR.
Borrowers view banks which do not implement the BCBS’ CARs as
unstable or risky. Here, the negative perception of defection
14 Arthur Stein, “Coordination and Collaboration: Regimes in an Anarchic World”, International Organization Vol. 36, No. 2, 309-12.15 Stephen D. Krasner, (1982) “Structural Causes and Regime Consequences: Regimes as Intervening Variables”, International Organization vol. 36, no. 2, 185.16 Robert O. Keohane, (1984), “Cooperation and International Regimes”, in After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy (Princeton: Princeton University Press), 57-64.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |9
from the dominant regime causes banks to harmonize their CARs to
remain competitive.17 Therefore, the CAR implementation of Basel
I was relatively successful at coordinating central bank policy.
However, the BCBS fails to effectively coordinate the
actions of central banks to prevent international financial
crises, because the soft law regime allows the interests of
private banks to influence the decisions of central banks,
causing some central banks to defect. Private banks, as profit
maximizers, desire to remain competitive in the financial market.
If the BCBS imposes a higher CAR on a central bank, which
compromises a private bank’s ability to issue a loan, the private
bank will pressure the central bank not to accept the BCBS’ CAR.
Pressure from the financial industry often causes central banks
to refuse losing any of their independent decision-making ability
to the BCBS. This situation represents a defection, not because
the central banks disagree on the problem, but rather central
banks disagree on which policy best solves the problem.18 Hence,
central banks are careful not to give any obligation or
17 Simmons, “International Politics of Harmonization”, 602. 18 Stein, “Coordination”, 319.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |10
enforcement power to the BCBS, because they may disagree on the
chosen CAR. Regime theorists would argue that this is the reason
the BCBS maintains a regime of soft law where there is weak
obligation to adopt the recommended CAR, and no delegated
enforcement mechanism exists to punish cheating or defection.
Soft law creates a legal barrier to effectiveness for the BCBS.
B. Rational Choice
Rational choice theorists explain that states rationally
design international agreements to pursue their self-interests
and achieve joint gains.19 They argue that cooperation is
necessary in issue areas requiring collective action to provide
public goods, like international financial stability. Bargaining
is the method by which states cooperate to provide financial
stability.20 According to Brummer, “most of the sources of
international financial law are informal, intergovernmental
institutions that set agendas and standards for the global
regulatory committee.”21 Koremenos, Lipson, and Snidal state that
19 Verdier, “Political Economy”, 1423.20 Robert O. Keohane, (1986), “Rational-Choice and Functional Explanations”, in After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the World Political Economy (Princeton: Princeton University Press), 69-70. 21 Chris Brummer, (2010), “Why Soft Law Dominates International Finance – And Not Trade”, Journal of International Economic Law vol. 13, no. 3, 627.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |11
institutions are “rational, negotiated responses to the problems
international actors face.”22 When the central banks of the G-10
members drafted the charter of the BCBS in 1974, they protected
the independent decision-making ability of the central banks by
intentionally omitting any obligation, allowing a higher degree
of flexibility.23 Brummer argues that central banks prefer soft
law, because “the absence of any formal obligation enables a
cheap exit from commitments, and by extension permits opportunism
when it suits a country.”24
Rational choice theorists argue that the BCBS fails to
effectively prevent the occurrence of international financial
crises, because the previously effective design of the BCBS does
not adapt well to changes in the external environment. Even
though soft law allows the BCBS a higher degree of flexibility
than hard law, it has been unable to sufficiently adapt and
regulate the rapid expansion of international capital markets in
the past three decades. In 1960, only ten US banks held overseas
22 Barbara Koremenos, Charles Lipson, and Duncan Snidal, (2001), “The RationalDesign of International Institutions”, International Organization vol. 55, no. 4, 768.23 Basel Committee, “Charter”, 1.24 Brummer, (2010), “Why Soft Law”, 630.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |12
branches. In 1977, more than 100 had overseas branches. In 2007,
global financial assets accounted for 343% of world GDP. In 2010,
international finance institutions traded $4 trillion daily.
According to Verdier, this increase in international banking
activity sprouts from increases in technology and capital market
developments in the last three decades. There are more
opportunities for banks to invest globally. Indeed, those which
fail to expand globally may be less competitive. 25
Soft law cannot adequately adapt to this increase in scope
of the enforcement problem facing the BCBS, because soft law
allows private banks to sway the interests of central bankers.
There are increasingly higher incentives for banks to lend
internationally, meaning it will be more difficult for central
banks to implement higher CARs.26 With increased incentives to
issue risky loans, the BCBS will be less able agree to mutually
acceptable CARs which stabilize the international financial
system. Increased obligations and enforcement mechanisms would
decrease this incentive for private banks to make risky loans and
25 Verdier, “Political Economy”, 1414-5.26 Koremenos, “The Rational Design”, 776.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |13
create a more stable system.27 Therefore, rationalists agree that
soft law in the BCBS creates a legal barrier to effectiveness in
preventing financial crises.
C. Path Dependence
Path dependence scholars disagree with the basic assumption
made by rational choice theorists that central banks rationally
design agreements to achieve joint gains. They argue that the use
of soft law in IFR does not necessarily maximize gains for all
parties involved. According to Fioretos, institutional decisions
originally made during the formation of an organization
effectively constrain its future evolution. In this way, the
trajectory of an organization toward its goal is not linear nor
constant. Policy options in the present depend on decisions made
in the past, because radical change to existing agreements incurs
high costs.28 Therefore, organizations tend to resist radical
changes to existing procedures and rules. Instead, Fioretos
posits that states engage in a process called institutional
27 Kenneth W. Abbott, Robert O. Keohane, Andrew Moravcsik, Anne-Marie Slaughter, and Duncan Snidal, “The Concept of Legalization”, International Organization vol. 54, no. 3, 401. 28 Fioretos, Orfeo, “Historical Institutionalism in International Relations”, International Organization Vol. 5, Iss. 2, 379.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |14
layering, where states solve problems by creating new, more
focused organizations within existing arrangements.29 Verdier
explains that the existing design of an institution may not be
optimal if the actors initially designed the institution to
suffice a short-term goal. In this way, the design of an
institution may only be temporarily rational but become
irrational when the external circumstances change.
Path dependence theorists would argue that the framers at
Bretton Woods did not believe private international finance
needed regulation, because the amount of internationally traded
capital at the time was negligible. Therefore, they did not
develop any legalized form of international financial regulation
like they did with international trade (see GATT and WTO). When
the Bretton Woods system ended and international banking greatly
expanded, central banks regulated international finance with
mostly ad hoc agreements negotiated through TRNs. This informal
network, which utilizes the flexibility of soft law to address
immediate problems with short-term arrangements, worked when the
29 Ibid., 389.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |15
number of actors involved in the negotiations was relatively
small.30
However, today, there are an increasingly vast amount of
internationally active banks, meaning that the nature of the
problem facing the BCBS is more difficult today. According to
Koremenos, there is an inverse relationship between the number of
actors and the flexibility of an agreement.31 Path dependency
theory, therefore, agrees that the current soft law of the BCBS
creates a legal barrier to effectiveness in the prevention of
financial crises. Soft law and the informal system of TRNs worked
when the degree of international banking was relatively low,
however, the increased amount of internationally traded capital
and number of international banks require a change in the current
laws of the BCBS to meet these challenges.
D. Political Economy
Political economy theory posits that international
agreements are outcomes of negotiations between influential
actors. Verdier identifies three main actors in international
30 Verdier, “Political Economy”, 1421. 31 Koremenos, “The Rational Design”, 794.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |16
financial regulation: central banks, the financial industry, and
great powers. Legislative bodies typically delegate national
financial regulation powers to their central banks, because
learning and understanding the complicated international
financial system requires a high degree of time and effort. This
delegation may cause a principal-agent problem, because oversight
of central bank activity tends to be reactive. Legislatures
rarely review the actions of a central bank unless a dramatic
event prompts them to do so.32 Financial crises occur cyclically,
because domestic audiences demand higher stability only when the
system is unstable, and the financial industry demands lower
constraints when the system is stable allowing them to take more
risks. This indicates that central banks only balance the demands
of their constituents, rather than actively creating a more
stable international financial system in an effort to avoid
legislative review.33 The agent (central banks) does not achieve
the goals assigned by the principal (legislatures).
32 Verdier, “Political Economy”, 1427-9.33 John Ferejohn and Charles Shipan, (1990) “Congressional Influence on Bureaucracy”, Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization vol. 6, 1-5.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |17
Political economy theorists argue that the BCBS fails to
prevent financial crises, because soft law allows central banks
too much independent decision-making ability. The actions of
central banks reflect the interests of the most influential
groups. Therefore, the only check on a central bank is the
principal legislature. However, because the legislature delegate
a high degree of independent decision-making ability to central
banks, there is little oversight or review of their actions.
Coupled with the inability of the BCBS to enact neither
obligatory nor enforceable requirements, actions of central banks
depend almost exclusively on the influences of the public and
domestic banks.34 Thus, the BCBS fails to prevent international
financial crises, because soft law allows domestic audiences and
the private banking industry to influence the actions of central
banks and potentially destabilize the international finance
system. In this way, the BCBS faces a legal barrier to
effectiveness.
3. Strategy Options
34 Verdier, “Political Economy”, 1427-32.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |18
The recurrence of international financial crises and the
failure of the BCBS to effectively prevent or mitigate their
effects indicate that the BCBS fails to regulate the current
international system. All four theoretical explanations support
our assertion that the current system of soft law is a legal
barrier to effectiveness.
Therefore, we will weigh the costs and benefits of two
possible strategies which target the legal apparatus of the BCBS
to more effectively prevent the occurrence of international
financial crises.
A. Hardening of Soft Law
The first strategy option for the BCBS to overcome its legal
barrier to effectiveness is
move toward harder law. Abbott et al. classify three components
of hard law: obligation, precision, and delegation.35 The
recommendations and requirements of the BCBS currently hold a
high level of precision. However, relatively higher levels of
obligation and delegation would enable the BCBS to more
effectively regulate international capital markets. The mission
35 Abbott, “The Concept of Legalization”, 401.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |19
of the BCBS is to facilitate international financial stability,
and a hardening of the soft law would enable it to more
effectively accomplish this mission.
Legal obligation would benefit the BCBS, because its
authority would invoke internationally accepted rules and
procedures of international legal discourse. Legal obligation
entails a responsibility by those who sign an agreement to follow
that agreement. In this way, the organization holds those parties
which break the legal obligation or do not abide by its mandates
legally accountable, meaning they will be subject to some sort of
legal sanctioning procedure. Therefore, parties who enter into
legally obligatory agreements acknowledge that accepting will
restrict their strategic options.36 This means that those who
enter into agreements are able to make credible commitments. The
international community views the actions of those who legally
commit to agreements as credible, because they acknowledge that
reneging on that agreement incurs a reprimand.37 Therefore, legal
36 Abbott, “Concept of Legalization”, 408-10.37 Kenneth W. Abbott and Duncan Snidal, (2000) “Hard and Soft Law in International Governance”, International Organization vol. 54, no. 3, 426-9.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |20
obligation leads to greater international financial stability
through credible commitments.
In the case of the BCBS, those central banks which did not
ratify the BCBS CAR would not be able to credibly commit as much
as those central banks that did. This means that the
international community would not trust the stability of the
financial industry in countries whose central banks failed to
ratify the BCBS CAR. Central banks would realize that the loss in
credibility via non-ratification would reduce the domestic
financial industry’s ability to compete, and the central bank
would be more likely to harmonize its capital regulation with the
BCBS CAR requirements.38
Legal obligation would also provide a mechanism to overcome
the problem of volatile of central bank influences raised by the
political economy theorists. Legal obligation would decrease the
ability of the domestic financial industry to influence the
actions of the central banks. Private banks as profit maximizers
seek to increase their competitiveness in the international
financial capital market. One way for them to increase
38 Simmons, “International Politics of Harmonization”, 602.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |21
competitiveness is to lobby their central bank to allow for a
lower CAR than other central banks. With a lower CAR, the bank
can then issue more loans increasing their future profits through
accrued interests and investment. If the BCBS CAR requirements
were legally obligatory, then the potentially risky influences of
the domestic private banks could only increase the central bank’s
CAR, rather than decrease, creating an even more stable financial
system.
Delegation of legal enforcement to the BCBS would also
enable it to more effectively achieve its mission of
international financial stability. According to Abbott et al.,
delegation of authority to third parties allows them to
interpret, implement, and apply rules made by the organization.39
Higher degrees of delegation allow organizations to govern the
actions of decision makers and legitimize its rules. When
organizations have binding regulations in rule making and
implementation of rules, those governed by the organization are
more likely to implement the rules and not break them.40
39 Abbott, “Concept of Legalization”, 401. 40 Ibid., 416-7
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |22
Legal delegation would allow the BCBS to monitor and enforce
the implementation of its CAR requirements in domestic
legislation. If central banks failed to effectively implement the
requirements, then the BCBS could begin a legal discourse
sanctioning the central bank. This sanction could come in the
form of legislative review of the central bank. Legislatures, as
principals, have the ability to limit the actions of central
banks, as agents, and reorder central bank preferences to more
effectively regulate finance through the use of BCBS CAR
requirements.41 Central banks would therefore work with the BCBS
to implement the CAR requirements under the stated timeline to
avoid legislative oversight. Thus, legal delegation would enable
the BCBS to more effectively regulate and stabilize international
capital markets through the use of sanctions and legislative
review.
Despite the benefits of hard law, higher degrees of
obligation and delegation would also incur costs on the BCBS.
Restrictions on independent decision making and sovereignty
resulting from higher levels of obligation, increase the
41 Verdier, “Political Economy”, 1428.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |23
ratification and bargaining costs, because actors are cautious to
restrict their behavior when uncertainty about the future is
high. In other words, the time needed to decide the appropriate
CAR increases when rules are obligatory. This increased time may
exacerbate emergency financial situations. Also, when uncertainty
is high, like the volatile financial market, actors resist
reducing their flexibility.42 The financial industry will lobby
central banks to resist implementing any hard law mandates from
the BCBS, because banks do not want to limit their ability to
issue loans and make profits.43 The financial industry will also
influence the public to pressure central banks to refrain from
hard law, because a higher CAR would restrict the banks’ ability
to issue loans causing a short-term economic slump.44
These are serious problems facing the argument for harder law in
the BCBS. However, we argue that the long-term benefits from the
increased capacity of the BCBS to provide the public good of
42 Koremenos, “The Rational Design”, 793-4. 43 Verdier, “Political Economy”, 1431-4.44 Basel Committee on Banking Supervision, (2010) “Assessing the MacroeconomicImpact of the Transition to Stronger Capital and Liquidity Requirements”, retrieved from http://www.bis.org/publ/othp12.htm, 9.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |24
international financial stability outweigh the short term
bargaining and economic costs.
B. Restructuring of Soft Law
The second potential strategy to address the legal barrier
to effectiveness is “soft law” reform. Brummer argues that
contrary to hard financial law, smaller reforms “can amplify the
compliance pull of international regulations by improving the
institutional support system promoting monitoring and information
sharing.”45 There are more effective ways to modify current
financial regulatory standards to match the environment in the
post Financial Crisis era. Strategic reforms to increase
transparency are an effective alternative strategy to addressing
the legal barrier.
The lack of coordination is the central pillar supporting a
soft law reform strategy. Information sharing and assurance
issues are two types of coordination problems that appear in the
current international financial regulatory system. Financial
institutions do not always share information effectively,
45 Chris Brummer, (2011), “How International Financial Law Works (And How It Doesn’t)”, Georgetown Law Journal vol. 99, 312.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |25
creating asymmetrical information dilemmas. Central banks must
assure that they will follow the recommended CARs in order to
achieve the optimal effects. Information and trust are the
hurdles to coordination, and the institutions that currently
exist mitigate these effects.46
Currently, financial regulation is profoundly institutional.
The BCBS is an institution because it has rules about scope and
membership, but it fails to institutionalize coordination. In
order for IFR coordination to work, some level of compliance
needs to exist. Brummer states that “The extent of compliance
depends on significant coordinating mechanisms to ensure adequate
monitoring and information sharing.”47 The aim of soft law
reforms should then be to improve monitoring and information
sharing.
The benefit of soft law is its nonobligatory nature. Members
need to ratify hard law, which imposes a sovereignty cost. “The
potential for inferior outcomes, loss of authority, and
diminution of sovereignty makes states reluctant to accept hard
46 Brummer, “Financial Law”, 269.47 Brummer, “Financial Law”, 316.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |26
legalizations – especially when it includes significant levels of
delegation.”48 The uncertain nature of the financial system would
deters central banks from entering legal commitments. Instead,
they enter into nonbinding agreements. Soft law manages
uncertainty, by using arrangements that are precise but
nonbinding.
Soft law reform focusing on monitoring and information
sharing is not without its drawbacks. One drawback is that there
is still a problem of institutional credibility. Since the CAR is
voluntary, the BCBS, as an institution, loses a significant
amount of credibility, because its recommendations are still not
enforceable. “A country does not, for example, necessarily have
to follow in lockstep with the approaches of international
regulatory leaders, even where it is a client state of
international financial institutions.”49 The BCBS would still
lack some legitimacy since central banks do not have to follow
CARs, despite the creation of monitoring and information sharing
48 Abbott & Snidal, “Hard and Soft Law”, 437.49 Brummer, “Financial Law”, 324.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |27
mechanisms. The use of soft law still does not guarantee
compliance.
Another drawback to the creation of new soft law mechanisms
are the effects it will have on already existing costs. Soft law
is preferred when members want to keep costs low. “However, where
more monitoring is employed, the instruments will implicitly be
made harder because defection will be made more visible and, by
extension, more costly.” 50 In this case, contracting costs would
increase and would lead to a smaller number of agreements made.
4. Optimal Strategy
After weighing the costs and benefits of each strategy, we
argue that Strategy A – Hardening of Soft Law is the best option
to maximize the legal effectiveness of the BCBS in preventing
financial crises and stabilizing international capital markets.
Though harder law is more difficult than soft law to implement,
the obligatory commitments and delegation would enable the BCBS
to more effectively regulate the currently volatile international
financial system and provide the public good of financial
stability.
50 Brummer, “Financial Law”, 322.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |28
Indeed, Abbott and Snidal recommend harder legal commitments
when the benefits of cooperation are great, but the potential for
opportunistic costs are high.51 This clearly applies to the
situation facing the BCBS. The BCBS used soft law effectively to
achieve international financial stability when the number of
international banks and the amount of internationally traded
capital were low.52 However, in the last 30 years, technological
advancements and market developments allowed the expansion of
these variables and created a more complex system with a high
level of opportunism for private international banks.53 To
regulate the complicated financial system, the BCBS must legalize
obligation and delegation to increase the incentives for central
banks to follow CAR requirements and ensure sanctioning to those
who break their commitments and destabilize the system.54
Our argument is that the vast and complicated modern
international capital market creates more opportunities for
private international banks to engage in risky behavior and
destabilize the international financial system. Therefore, the 51 Abbott, “Hard and Soft Law”, 429.52 Koremenos, “The Rational Design”, 793-5.53 Verdier, “Political Economy”, 1405.54 Abbott, “Concept of Legalization”, 401.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |29
BCBS must adopt harder law via more obligatory requirements and
delegate enforcement to more effectively manage this system and
prevent financial instability.
5. Implementation
The BCBS need to implement obligation and delegation. As
previously stated, the BCBS already has a high level of precision
with the CAR requirements. Therefore, we propose a hardening of
the two soft dimensions. Increased obligation requires a
redrafting of Article 1, Section 3 of the BCBS Charter. Legal
delegation requires the adoption of an enforcement mechanism in
the BCBS.
Article 1, Section 3 of the BCBS Charter states “the BCBS
does not possess any formal supranational authority. Its
decisions do not have legal force.”55 Implementing obligation
requires a shift toward pacta sunt servunda. The law must clearly
state obligation to the BCBS requirements. “The fundamental
international legal principle of pacta sunt servunda means that the
rules and commitments contained in legalized international
agreements are regarded as obligatory, subject to various
55 Basel Committee, “Charter”, 1.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |30
defenses or exceptions, and not to be disregarded as preferences
change.”56
Implementation of delegation must include rule
implementation and enforcement to the BCBS. Abbott et al. refer
to delegation as to “the extent to which states and other actors
delegate authority to designated third parties – including
courts, arbitrators, and administrative organizations – to
implement agreements.”57 To punish those who break the legalized
CARs, the BCBS must be able to punish those who break the rules.
If central banks violate the CARs set by the BCBS, the
punishment would be legislative overview. Verdier finds that “the
primary concern of (national) regulators is to avoid legislative
intervention.”58 Additional regulative legislature is believed to
create market inefficiency, so financial institutions avoid
costly review and possible loss of decision making ability.
Therefore, if financial firms still choose to not comply,
national legislatures will have the right to intervene and
reprimand defection. Cooperation between the BCBS and national
56 Abbott, “Concept of Legalization”, 409.57 Abbott, “Concept of Legalization”, 415.58 Verdier, “Political Economy”, 1429.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |31
legislative bodies can mitigate the effects of the principle-
agent problem by the sharing of information and proposing of
appropriate penalties to actors in noncompliance. This is a
challenging task to accomplish. The BCBS demands that financial
firms be subject to international oversight. Firms also “resist
standards whose domestic implementation would require legislation
and prefer less ambitious ones that they can implement under
their existing authority.”59 Central banks need to realize that
the benefits of strong financial regulation outweigh the costs of
an unconstrained financial system.
Financial firms, even if they adhere to the CAR, could still
face potential failure. This is not reflective of the CAR, but of
exogenous variables, over which the BCBS has no control. A
bailout should be used on a financial firm that faces exogenous
problems in order to prevent a financial crisis. The funds for
the bailout would come from the BIS’ own reserves. Each member of
the BIS already has to deposit a premium to the BIS, so funds are
available. In this sense, the BIS is the lender of last resort to
central banks.
59 Verdier, “Political Economy”, 1431.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |32
Delegation also implies the creation of rule implementation
mechanisms. We do not argue that the CAR should be a certain
percentage. We argue that whatever the CAR is, it should be
obligatory and enforceable. Expert research and debate will
determine the optimal CAR. The BCBS charter will include a method
to vote in proposed CARs. We recommend that a proposed CAR
require two-thirds vote from the central bank members of the
BCBS. Hard law makes agreements more difficult to achieve, so
unanimous votes would be infrequent. A two-thirds vote still
holds a majority and would result in high number of agreeable
commitments.
6. Bibliography
Abbott, Kenneth W. and Duncan Snidal. (2000). “Hard and Soft Law
in International Governance”. International Organization Vol. 54,
No. 3, 421-456.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |33
Abbott, Kenneth W., Robert O. Keohane, Andrew Moravcsik, Anne-
Marie Slaughter, and Duncan Snidal. (2000). “The Concept of
Legalization”. International Organization Vol. 54, No. 3, 401-418.
Bank for International Settlements. “BIS Mission Statement”.
Retrieved from www.bis.org/about/mission.htm.
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. (1988). “International
Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards”.
Retrieved from www.bis.org/publ/bcbs04a.pdf.
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. (2005). “International
Convergence of Capital Measurement and Capital Standards: A
Revised Framework”. Retrieved from
www.bis.org/publ/bcbs118.pdf.
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. (2010). “Assessing the
Macroeconomic Impact of the Transition to Stronger Capital
and Liquidity Requirements”. Retrieved from
http://www.bis.org/publ/othp12.htm.
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. (2011). “Basel III: A
Global Regulatory Framework for More Resilient Banks and
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |34
Banking Systems”. Retrieved from
www.bis.org/publ/bcbs189.pdf.
Basel Committee on Banking Supervision. (2013). “Charter”.
Retrieved from www.bis.org/bcbs/charter.pdf.
Brummer, Chris. (2010). “Why Soft Law Dominates International
Finance – And Not Trade”. Journal of International Economic Law Vol.
13, No. 3, 623-643.
Ferejohn, John and Charles Shipan. (1990). “Congressional
Influence on Bureaucracy”. Journal of Law, Economics, and
Organization Vol. 6, Special Issue, 1-20.
Fioretos, Orfeo. (2011). “Historical Institutionalism in
International Relations”. International Organization Vol. 65, Iss.
2, 367-399.
Iida, Keisuke. (2004). “Is WTO Dispute Settlement Effective?”.
Global Governance Vol. 10, 207-225.
Kapstein, Ethan B. (1989). “Resolving the Regulator’s Dilemma:
International Coordination of Banking Regulations”.
International Organization Vol. 43, No. 2, 323-347.
A h m a d & K o e h l e r B r e a k i n g t h e L a wP a g e |35
Keohane, Robert O. (1984). After Hegemony: Cooperation and Discord in the
World Political Economy (Princeton: Princeton University Press).
Koremenos, Barbara, Charles Lipson, and Duncan Snidal. (2001).
“The Rational Design of International Institutions”.
International Organization Vol. 55, No. 4, 761-799.
Krasner, Stephen D. (1982). “Structural Causes and Regime
Consequences: Regimes as Intervening Variables”. International
Organization Vol. 36, No. 2, 185-205.
Simmons, Beth A. (2001). “The International Politics of
Harmonization: The Case of Capital Market Regulation”.
International Organization Vol. 55, No. 3, 589-620.
Stein, Arthur. (1982). “Coordination and Collaboration: Regimes
in an Anarchic World”. International Organization, Vol. 36, No. 2,
299-324.
Tarullo, Daniel K. (2008). Baking on Basel: The Future of International
Financial Regulation, (Washington: Peterson Institute for
International Economics).