meta-analysis of two ercc2 (xpd) polymorphisms, asp312asn and lys751gln, in breast cancer
TRANSCRIPT
EPIDEMIOLOGY
Meta-analysis of two ERCC2 (XPD) polymorphisms, Asp312Asnand Lys751Gln, in breast cancer
Noel Pabalan • Ofelia Francisco-Pabalan •
Lillian Sung • Hamdi Jarjanazi • Hilmi Ozcelik
Received: 17 March 2010 / Accepted: 19 March 2010
� Springer Science+Business Media, LLC. 2010
Abstract The excision repair cross-complementing group
2 gene (ERCC2) plays a key role in DNA repair. Several
polymorphisms in the ERCC2 gene have been described,
including the commonly occurring Lys751Gln and
Asp312Asn polymorphisms. Studies investigating the asso-
ciation of these polymorphisms with breast cancer risk pro-
duced controversial results. To evaluate these associations
presented in diverse populations, we have conducted a meta-
analysis based on 40 studies from 33 publications in PubMed
which included analyses of Lys751Gln (14,545 cases,
15,352 controls) and Asp312Asn polymorphisms (16,254
cases, 14,006 controls). Overall findings of both polymor-
phisms have implicated null effects (OR = 1.01–1.03) when
the analyses were limited to the statistically powerful
(C80%) studies. Although modestly increased statistically
significant breast cancer risk was detected in the
underpowered studies (B80%), removal of outliers resulted
in null associations. Ethnic stratification showed non-sig-
nificant and relatively null associations for both polymor-
phisms with breast cancer risk for the overall Caucasians as
well as North American and the European sub-populations.
Although statistically increased and decreased risks were
observed for the homogenous populations of African-
Americans (Lys751Gln, OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.03–1.53,
P = 0.03) and Asians (Asp312Asn, ORs: 0.53–0.55, P val-
ues: 0.02–0.03), respectively, this may be the result of small
sample size. Analyses of the homogeneous adduct studies,
with relatively large sample size, exhibited increased risk for
Lys751Gln (OR 1.20, 95% CI (1.02–1.41), P = 0.03) and
Asp312Asn (OR 1.17 95% CI 1.02–1.34, P = 0.03) under
the dominant genetic model. In conclusion, our results sug-
gest null associations of both polymorphisms in the overall
and the Caucasian subgroups, although some effects can be
suggested for relatively smaller minority studies. Increased
risk effect was more visible when the adduct studies are
considered, suggesting the role of these polymorphisms in
the presence of exposure to DNA damaging agents.
Keywords Breast cancer � ERCC2 � XPD � Asp312Asn �Lys751Gln � Adducts
Introduction
The excision repair cross-complementing group 2 (ERCC2)
or the xeroderma pigmentosum complementary group D
(XPD) is a DNA repair gene, which encodes an ATP-
dependent DNA helicase. It is involved in separating the
double helix at lesion sites in the nucleotide excision repair
pathway (NER), and causes Xeroderma Pigmentosum when
mutated in the germ line [1]. ERCC2 is a component of the
N. Pabalan
College of Natural Sciences, Saint Louis University,
Baguio City 2600, Philippines
O. Francisco-Pabalan
Analytical Genetics Technology Centre, Princess Margaret
Hospital, University Health Network, Toronto, ON, Canada
L. Sung
Division of Hematology/Oncology, Hospital for Sick Children,
Toronto, ON, Canada
H. Jarjanazi
Environmental Monitoring and Reporting Branch, Ontario
Ministry of the Environment, Toronto, ON, Canada
H. Ozcelik (&)
Fred A. Litwin Centre for Cancer Genetics, Samuel Lunenfeld
Research Institute, Mount Sinai Hospital, 60 Murray St., Room
L6-304, Box 29, Toronto, ON M5T 3L9, Canada
e-mail: [email protected]
123
Breast Cancer Res Treat
DOI 10.1007/s10549-010-0863-6
transcription factor complex, TFIIH, which participates in
both NER and basal transcription [2]. Several polymor-
phisms have been identified in the coding region of ERCC2,
whereas the two commonly occurring, Asp312Asn and
Lys751Gln, have been studied most extensively [3]. The
XPD Asp312Asn polymorphism (rs1799793) is character-
ized by a G to A substitution resulting in an aspartic acid
(Asp [D] 3) to asparagine (Asn [N]) amino acid transition at
codon 312, whereas the Lys751Gln polymorphism
(rs13181) is characterized by an A to C substitution causing
a lysine (Lys [K] 3) to glutamine [Gln (Q)]) amino acid
exchange at codon 751.
Many studies have investigated the functional properties
of these two ERCC2 variants; however, the findings have
been controversial. The two polymorphisms have shown
little or no effect on the protein using predictive models [4]
or evolutionary analysis [5]. Structural evidence indicated
that these polymorphisms are located outside the main
catalytic sites [6] and far from regulatory [7] and interacting
domains [8] suggesting that they have no direct effect on the
ATPase activity of ERCC2. Additional studies detected no
measurable effect of the two variants on NER capacity and
basal transcription activation [2], and genotype-specific
differences in DNA repair rates was inconsistent [9]. On the
other hand, a study has shown that homozygous genotypes
of both variants, 312 Asn-Asn (AA) and 751 Gln-Gln (CC),
were associated with defective repair of ultraviolet light-
induced DNA damage [10]. Although, beset with sample
size and replication issues [5], other studies also showed
that the UV induced DNA repair capacity was also reduced
in subjects with homozygous 312 Asn–Asn (AA) or 751
Gln–Gln (CC) genotypes compared with the respective
homozygous wild-type genotypes [11]. Another study with
similar methodology issues have shown that homozygous
751 Lys–Lys (AA) genotype was associated with reduced
repair of X-ray induced DNA damage [12]. In another
study, apoptotic response to irradiation was observed in the
variant allele of 312 Asn (A) but not in any allelic combi-
nation of 751 [13]. Interestingly, Wolfe et al. [14] has
demonstrated that the two polymorphisms significantly
reduced constitutive ERCC2 mRNA levels (312N:
P \ 0.0004; 751Q: P \ 0.002) in lymphocytes of healthy
subjects and that this decrease was significantly greater in
smokers, exacerbated by smoking duration and intensity.
In addition to the controversies surrounding functional
studies, accumulating evidence from epidemiological
studies on the association of these polymorphisms and
breast cancer has also been conflicting. The increasing
number of such studies prompted us to examine all related
published literature. Adhering to an established framework
[15] we aim to clarify the effect of variation in the ERCC2
Asp312Asn and Lys751Gln polymorphisms on breast
cancer risk.
Materials and methods
Selection of studies
Using PubMed, we identified all published case–control
studies, written in English which investigated the association
of the two ERCC2 polymorphisms and breast cancer risk.
The terms and their combinations used for search included:
‘‘ERCC2’’, ‘‘XPD’’, ‘‘751C’’, ‘‘312A’’, ‘‘breast cancer’’ and
‘‘polymorphism’’, ‘‘Asp312Asn’’, ‘‘Lys751Gln’’, ‘‘D312N’’,
‘‘K751Q’’, ‘‘rs1799793’’, and ‘‘rs 13181’’. Additional studies
were manually searched in the reference list of all studies
identified. Eligible studies had genotypic data with a case–
control design and duplicates of previous studies were
excluded [16]. As a result, we have identified a total of 33
eligible articles, which investigated the association of one or
both polymorphisms, Asp312Asn and Lys751Gln, with
breast cancer risk where 29 studied a single ethnic popula-
tion. Three [17–19] and one articles [20] focused on two and
three ethnic populations, respectively (Table 1). Treated as
separate data were matched and unmatched case controls in
one article [21] and familial and sporadic data in another [22].
Thus, here we have presented the various population studies
of 33 publications in 40 separate studies or populations.
Of the 40 studies, 32 investigated Caucasian populations
including 17 European [17, 20, 21, 23–32] and 13 North
American subgroups [18, 19, 33–43]. To obtain geo-
graphical homogeneity of these ethnicities, the Brazilian
[44] and Australian [20] studies were excluded from these
subgroupings. Six studies were Asian [22, 45–48] and two
were African-American [18, 19].
Data extraction and power calculations
Two investigators independently extracted and revised
eligibility of data. For each study, we abstracted the first
author’s name, year of publication, country and ethnicity of
the study populations, genotype data as well as number of
cases and controls. Departures of genotypic frequencies
from the Hardy–Weinberg Equilibrium (HWE) in control
subjects were determined with the v2 test.
Assuming an odds ratio (OR) of 1.5 at a genotypic risk
level of a = 0.05 (two-sided), power was considered ade-
quate at C80%. In Lys751Gln, this level of power was
found in 16 (50.0%) of the 32 studies and in 14 (58.3%) of
the 24 studies in Asp312Asn (Table 1). Statistical powers
for the combined studies in overall analysis and all sub-
groups were above adequate (C97%).
Meta-analysis
We estimated OR of association with the variant CC
(Lys751Gln) and variant AA (Asp312Asn) genotypes
Breast Cancer Res Treat
123
Table 1 Characteristics of studies of two ERCC2 polymorphisms and their associations with breast cancer
First author (year) [Ref] Nationality/
ethnicity
ERCC2 (XPD) A751C ERCC2 (XPD) G312A
Case/
control (N)
Powerc (a = 0.05)
OR = 1.5
vafb in
controls
HWE Case/
control (N)
Powerc (a = 0.05)
OR = 1.5
vafb in
controls
HWE
Crew (2007) [34] American US – – – – 1031/1083 99.6 0.34 0.038
Forsti (2004) [17] Polish EU – – – – 170/181 46.3 0.61 0.0002
Jorgensen (2007) [36] American US – – – – 260/274 63.5 0.37 0.047
Kuschel AU (2005) [20] Australian – – – – 1453/793 99.5 0.34 0.16
Kuschel GE (2005) [20] German EU – – – – 2738/769 99.8 0.41 0.33
Lee (2005) [46] Korean AS – – – – 528/445 87.4 0.05 0.10
LSHTM (2006) [23] UK EU – – – – 579/591 92.8 0.13 0.33
Ribas (2006) [29] Spanish EU – – – – 833/806 98.1 0.69 0.62
Bernard-Gallon (2008)
[24]
French EU 908/995 99.1 0.66 0.84 904/994 99.1 0.33 0.13
Debniak (2006) [21] Polish EU 1830/511 97.9 0.39 0.93 1726/511 97.8 0.40 0.55
Debniak (2006) [21] Polish EU 1830/1141 99.9 0.38 0.60 1726/1262 99.9 0.37 0.70
Forsti (2004) [17] Finnish EU 222/314 62.4 0.41 0.12 223/310 62.3 0.39 0.37
Jakubowska (2010) [32] Polish EU 315/290 68.9 0.42 0.12 314/290 68.9 0.40 0.59
Justenhoven (2004) [26] German EU 586/643 93.8 0.36 0.66 567/610 92.9 0.34 0.10
Kuschel UK (2005) [20] UK EU 1676/1718 99.9 0.37 0.54 1605/1742 99.9 0.33 0.96
Mechanic (2006) [18] American US 1273/1133 99.8 0.37 0.53 1262/1133 99.8 0.34 0.64
Mechanic (2006) [18] African-
American US
761/679 96.6 0.24 0.85 760/675 96.6 0.13 0.45
Nexo (2003) [58] Danish EU 425/435 83.4 0.37 0.01 413/418 82.1 0.38 0.053
Shen (2006) [39] American US 154/153 41.6 0.33 0.051 156/153 41.8 0.41 0.10
Shi (2004) [40] American US 69/79 22.6 0.30 0.59 69/79 22.6 0.25 0.47
Smith (2008) [19] American US 314/399 75.4 0.39 0.40 304/391 74.3 0.35 0.24
Smith (2008) [19] African-
American US
52/72 19.3 0.20 0.13 49/74 19 0.12 0.92
Tang (2002) [42] American US 103/121 38.4 0.36 0.049 90/194 34.6 0.21 0.006
Zhang (2005) [48] Chinese AS 220/310 62 0.41 0.09 220/310 62 0.39 0.37
Brewster (2006) [33] American US 309/318 71.5 0.64 0.11 – – – –
Costa (2007) [25] Portuguese EU 282/660 80.2 0.70 0.10 – – – –
Dufloth (2005) [44] Brazilian 86/117 28.9 0.70 0.21 – – – –
Faraglia (2003) [35] American US 144/53 23.6 0.70 0.91 – – – –
Hsu (2010) [45] Chinese AS 401/533 85.6 0.08 0.20 – – – –
Kipikasova (2008) [27] Polish EU 114/113 32 0.37 0.58 – – – –
Li (2008) [47] Chinese AS 486/479 87.4 0.10 0.22 – – – –
Romanowicz-Makowska
(2007) [30]
Polish EU 92/110 29.1 0.47 0.59 – – – –
Metsola (2005) [28] Finnish EU 481/480 87.2 0.43 0.88 – – – –
Onay (2006) [37] Canadian NA 398/372 80.0 0.33 0.82 – – – –
Rajaraman (2008) [38] American US 839/1080 99.1 0.38 0.43 – – – –
Shore (2008) [41] American US 611/611 93.7 0.65 0.61 – – – –
Syamala F (2009) [22]a Indian AS 140/367 52 0.19 0.0006 – – – –
Syamala S (2009) [22]a Indian AS 219/367 64.7 0.19 0.0006 – – – –
Synowiec (2008) [31] Polish EU 43/48 15.6 0.40 0.42 – – – –
Terry (2004) [43] American US 1053/1102 99.6 0.36 0.45 – – – –
a Publication treated familial and sporadic separatelyb vaf: variant allele frequency in controls; Hardy–Weinberg Equilibrium (HWE) in controls (P \ 0.10)c Power was calculated with the G*Power program (http://www.psycho.uni-duesseldorf.de/aap/projects/gpower) as probability of detecting an association
between Asp312Asn and Lys751Gln and breast cancer assuming odds ratios (OR) of 1.5 (small effects size)
Breast Cancer Res Treat
123
compared with the wild-type AA (Lys751Gln) or GG
(Asp312Asn) genotypes, respectively. To evaluate impor-
tance of the heterozygous genotype, dominant and recessive
genetic models were also applied. For Lys751Gln, we
examined contrast of CC vs. AC ? AA genotypes as well as
the CC ? AC vs. AA genotypes. Likewise, for Asp312Asn,
we analyzed contrasts of AA vs. AG ? GG and AA ? GA
vs. GG genotypes. These contrasts correspond to recessive
and dominant effects of the C allele in Lys751Gln and A
allele in Asp312Asn. Raw data for genotype frequencies,
without adjustment, were used for calculating study-specific
estimates of the OR. Significance of the pooled OR (sum-
mary estimates) was determined by the Z-test. Pooled ORs
were obtained using either the fixed (Mantel–Haenszel) or
random (DerSimonian–Laird) effects models. The fixed-
effects model was used in the absence of heterogeneity [49]
while the random-effects model was used in its presence
[50]. Assuming genuine diversity in the results of various
studies, the random-effects model incorporates between
study variance. All analyses were done using Review
Manager (RevMan, v.4.2, Oxford, England), SigmaStat
(v.2.03), and SigmaPlot (v.9.01). All P values were two-
sided, significance of which was set at \0.05 throughout
except in heterogeneity estimation and publication bias.
Heterogeneity and outlier analysis
Heterogeneity between studies was estimated using the
v2-based Q test [51] significance of which was set at
P \ 0.10 [52]. Effect of heterogeneity was quantified with
the I2 statistic which measures the degree of inconsistency
among the studies [53]. Heterogeneity was explored using
subgroup analysis [51] with ethnicity and statistical power
as variables and whether a risk factor profile (aromatic
adducts) played a role in ERCC2 associations with breast
cancer. The Galbraith plot [54] was used to identify
potential outlier studies after which their influence on
pooled effects and/or heterogeneity was graphically
examined [55]. Outlier analysis was directed at studies in
the overall findings and in the power groups.
Of the seven significant pooled ORs in Lys751Gln, five
were heterogeneous and in Asp312Asn, all but one of the
five significant pooled ORs was homogeneous (Table 2).
Outliers were detected, three each for Lys751Gln [22, 30,
47] and Asp312Asn [17, 39, 48] (Fig. 1), their removal
followed by re-analysis resulted in loss of heterogeneity for
both polymorphisms (Fig. 2a, b).
Population admixture and publication bias
Admixtures of the USA Caucasian population were found
in five [35, 38, 39, 41, 42] (15.6%) of the 32 studies in
Lys751Gln and in two [34, 36] (8.3%) of the 24 studies of
Asp312Asn. Publication bias was statistically evaluated
with Egger’s regression asymmetry test, significance of
which was set at P \ 0.10 [56] which detects whether the
intercept deviates significantly from zero in a regression of
the standardized effect estimates against their precision
[57].
Results
Overall analyses
Here we have carried out meta-analyses of 40 separate
study populations, which provided genotype data from
30,799 cases and 29,358 controls for a total of 60,157
subjects. Seven [21, 30, 31, 40, 42, 44, 46] of the 40 studies
were hospital-based but a much larger proportion was
population-based (82.5%), thus representing the general
population. Of the 31 matched studies, 17 (54.8%) com-
prised the age criterion while six (19.4%) comprised the
geography criterion. The remaining eight (26.7%) was
matched using a combination of the above-mentioned cri-
teria plus race and gender. Egger’s test indicated presence
of overall publication bias in studies investigating
Lys751Gln but this was not detectable for Asp312Asn
studies. Assuming a genotypic risk of C1.5 (a = 0.05, two-
sided) when considered individually, half (50%) to over
half (58%) of the 32 Lys751Gln and 24 Asp312Asn studies
had adequate power (C80%), respectively. Allowing a
Type I error of 5%, the present meta-analysis has power
greater than 80% to detect an effect size of 1.5 for the
overall analysis and all subgroups in both polymorphisms.
Overall analyses of Lys751Gln have shown statistically
significant, moderately increased risk associated with
breast cancer under the homozygous (OR 1.14, P = 0.02)
and dominant models (OR 1.13, P = 0.02) (Table 2).
Stratifying the studies by statistical power (B80% vs.
C80%), has implicated that this effect comes from heter-
ogeneous (I2 range: 60–74%) and underpowered studies
(OR range: 1.31–1.43, P value range: 0.01–0.04). These
significant effects exhibited no publication bias (Table 3).
On the other hand, the observed risk effects were non-
significant and null (OR = 1.01–1.03) for the relatively
homogenous (I2 = 0–45%) studies with high statistical
power (Table 2). Furthermore, significant effects detected
for the underpowered studies were lost after removal of the
outlier populations [22, 30, 47] within this category
(Fig. 2a). For the 312 analyses, heterogeneity of under-
powered category was lower (I2 range: 12–40%) compared
to the statistically powered category (I2 range: 61–97%).
Analyses of the underpowered studies have shown pro-
tective effect for Asp312Asn under the homozygous (OR
0.80, 95% CI 0.66–0.98, P = 0.03) and recessive (OR
Breast Cancer Res Treat
123
Ta
ble
2S
um
mar
yo
fp
oo
led
od
ds
rati
os
for
var
iou
sco
ntr
asts
Gen
etic
mo
del
Ho
mo
zyg
ou
sR
eces
siv
eD
om
inan
t
Ly
s75
1G
lnN
o.
com
par
iso
ns
(sam
ple
size
s
case
/co
ntr
ol)
Ly
sLy
sv
s.G
lnG
lnG
lnG
lnv
s.G
lnL
ys
?L
ysL
ys
Gln
Gln
?G
lnL
ys
vs.
Ly
sLy
s
OR
(95
%C
I)P
val
ue
Phet
I2(%
)O
R(9
5%
CI)
Pv
alu
eP
het
I2(%
)O
R(9
5%
CI)
Pv
alu
eP
het
I2(%
)
All
32
(14
,54
5/1
5,3
52
)1
.14
(1.0
2–
1.2
8)
0.0
2R
0.0
02
47
.91
.09
(0.9
9–
1.2
0)
0.0
9R
0.0
03
45
.21
.13
(1.0
2–
1.2
4)
0.0
2R
\0
.00
01
69
.6
Sta
tist
ical
po
wer
[8
0%
16
(11
,94
9/1
2,4
88
)1
.03
(0.9
5–
1.1
2)
0.4
70
.48
0.0
1.0
1(0
.94–
1.0
8)
0.8
50
.74
0.0
1.0
2(0
.95–
1.1
0)
0.5
8R
0.0
34
4.7
\8
0%
16
(2,5
96
/2,8
64
)1
.43
(1.0
8–
1.9
0)
0.0
1R
0.0
01
59
.91
.31
(1.0
1–
1.7
1)
0.0
4R
0.0
00
36
3.7
1.3
6(1
.08
–1
.71
)0
.01
R\
0.0
00
17
4.1
Eth
nic
ity
All
Cau
casi
ans
25
(12
,26
6/1
2,9
12
)1
.05
(0.9
7–
1.1
3)
0.2
40
.43
2.2
1.0
4(0
.95–
1.1
3)
0.4
0R
0.0
53
4.4
1.0
3(0
.98–
1.0
9)
0.2
20
.39
5.2
Eu
rop
ean
s1
3(6
,97
4/7
,45
8)
1.0
4(0
.94–
1.1
5)
0.4
50
.20
24
.11
.08
(0.9
3–
1.2
5)
0.3
2R
0.0
05
57
.71
.02
(0.9
5–
1.0
9)
0.5
90
.34
10
.7
No
rth
Am
eric
ans
11
(5,2
06
/5,3
37
)1
.06
(0.9
4–
1.1
9)
0.3
60
.56
0.0
0.9
9(0
.90–
1.1
0)
0.8
70
.69
0.0
1.0
6(0
.97–
1.1
5)
0.2
00
.33
12
.4
Afr
ican
-Am
eric
ans
2(8
13
/75
1)
1.2
3(0
.81–
1.8
7)
0.3
30
.75
0.0
1.1
7(0
.78–
1.7
7)
0.4
40
.94
0.0
1.2
5(1
.03
–1
.53
)0
.03
0.1
35
6.6
Asi
ans
5(1
,46
6/1
,68
9)
1.6
0(0
.70–
3.6
6)
0.2
6R
0.0
00
28
2.3
1.4
4(0
.80–
2.6
1)
0.2
2R
0.0
16
8.1
1.3
5(0
.70–
2.5
7)
0.3
7R
\0
.00
01
93
.6
Aro
mat
icad
du
cts
4(1
,28
0/1
,21
8)
1.2
1(0
.94–
1.5
6)
0.1
30
.84
0.0
1.0
9(0
.87–
1.3
8)
0.4
50
.80
0.0
1.2
0(1
.02
–1
.41
)0
.03
0.9
30
.0
Asp
31
2A
snN
o.
com
par
iso
ns
(sam
ple
size
s
case
/co
ntr
ol)
Asn
Asn
vs.
Asp
Asp
Asn
Asn
vs.
Asp
Asn
?A
spA
spA
snA
sn?
Asp
Asn
vs.
Asp
Asp
OR
(95
%C
I)P
val
ue
Phet
I2(%
)O
R(9
5%
CI)
Pv
alu
eP
het
I2(%
)O
R(9
5%
CI)
Pv
alu
eP
het
I2(%
)
All
24
(16
,25
4/1
4,0
06
)0
.94
(0.8
2–
1.0
6)
0.3
1R
0.0
00
55
5.7
0.8
3(0
.65
–1
.05
)0
.13
R\
0.0
00
18
9.6
1.1
3(0
.92
–1
.38
)0
.26
R\
0.0
00
19
4.1
Sta
tist
ical
po
wer
[8
0%
14
(14
,39
9/1
1,8
32
)0
.99
(0.8
6–
1.1
4)
0.8
5R
0.0
02
60
.50
.85
(0.6
1–
1.1
7)
0.3
1R
\0
.00
01
93
.61
.14
(0.8
6–
1.5
1)
0.3
7R
\0
.00
01
96
.6
\8
0%
10
(1,8
55
/2,1
74
)0
.80
(0.6
6–
0.9
8)
0.0
30
.11
37
.10
.77
(0.6
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Breast Cancer Res Treat
123
0.77, 95% CI 0.64–0.93, P = 0.006) models, however,
these associations were not statistically significant for the
overall analyses and the analyses of statistically powered
studies (Table 2). Further removal of outliers [17, 26, 39,
48] within the underpowered category also resulted in non-
significant associations (Fig. 2b).
Genotype distribution of the control group in four [22,
42, 58] (Ref. [22] consists of two studies) of the 32 studies
for Lys751Gln and four [17, 34, 36, 42] of the 24 studies
for Asp312Asn deviated from the HWE indicating poten-
tial biases in the selection of controls (Table 1). For both
polymorphisms, these HWE-deviating studies were omit-
ted followed by recalculation of the summary effects in the
overall and adduct analyses as well as the underpowered
subgroup. In Lys751Gln, where pooled ORs were signifi-
cant, this resulted in loss of heterogeneity in all analyses
and significance (overall analyses and B80% homozygous
and recessive subgroups). Significance in the dominant
model of the B80% subgroup and in the adduct analyses
were unaffected (not shown). In Asp312Asn, pooled ORs
and heterogeneity were unchanged in the overall analyses
but incurred loss of significance in the B80% subgroup. In
the adduct analyses (N = 3), removal of two studies [34,
42] that deviated from the HWE left study [40]-specific
ORs that ranged from 1.60 to 2.11 across the genetic
models (not shown).
Ethnic group analyses
Ethnic analyses of both Lys751Gln and Asp312Asn vari-
ants have shown non-significant and relatively null asso-
ciations with breast cancer risk for the overall Caucasians
as well as North American and European sub-populations
(Table 2). In Lys751Gln there was increased risk in Asians
(OR = 1.40–1.59) and African-Americans (1.17–1.25),
where the effect reached significance only for relatively
homogenous latter subgroup (I2 = 0.0–56%) under the
dominant model (OR 1.25, 95% CI 1.03–1.53, P = 0.03).
The only statistically significant association in Asp312Asn
were those in Asians where homogeneous effects
(I2 = 0.0%) were protective under the homozygous (OR
0.55, 95% CI 0.32–0.96, P = 0.03) and recessive (OR
0.53, 95% CI 0.32–0.90, P = 0.02) models (Table 2).
Fig. 1 Galbraith plot analysis to evaluate heterogeneity. Parenthesized numbers indicate reference numbers of outlier studies. H homozygous, Rrecessive, D dominant, (22S) Syamala et al. sporadic, (22F) Syamala et al. familial
Breast Cancer Res Treat
123
Aromatic adducts
All adduct data were from Caucasian-American women
with 6.2 and 7.3% population admixture [34, 35]. Analysis
of homogeneous studies (I2 range: 0.0–31.4%) have shown
slight increased risk which was only significant under the
dominant model for Lys751Gln (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.02–
1.41, P = 0.03) and Asp312Asn (OR 1.17, 95% CI 1.02–
1.34, P = 0.03) (Table 2). However, only a single study in
Lys751Gln [43] and in Asp312Asn [34] with 99.6% sta-
tistical power, accounted for the bigger portion of the effect
detected in the pooled analyses for all adduct data. Allowing
type 1 error of 5%, our analyses of the adduct data had
power C80% in detecting an effect size range of 1.1–1.5 for
both polymorphisms. Combined statistical power at a
genotypic risk of 1.5 was[99%. Significant effects in both
polymorphisms exhibited no publication bias (Table 3).
Discussion
Independent meta-analysis of the two well-characterized
polymorphisms of ERCC2, Lys751Gln and Asp312Asn,
has shown no association with breast cancer risk. Although
significantly associated modest alterations in risk were
detected in the overall analyses, this effect was mainly
contributed by the underpowered studies. Removal of the
underpowered and outlier/heterogeneous studies consis-
tently confirmed the null effects associated with the two
ERCC2 polymorphisms. The ratio of cases for powered
studies was about five- to tenfold higher when compared to
the underpowered studies, further emphasizing the null
effects associated with these polymorphisms.
To the best of our knowledge, this is so far the largest
meta-analysis undertaken for ERCC2 Lys751Gln and
Asp312Asn polymorphisms in breast cancer. A recent
meta-analysis by Wang et al. [59] has also reported null
association of Lys751Gln with breast cancer risk in a
homogenous population of 15,664 subjects (about half the
size of our population of 29,897 subjects). The same study
has shown a protective effect for Asp312Asn with breast
cancer; however, these results came from a heterogeneous
population of 11,443 subjects (less than half the size of our
population of 30,260 subjects). Although, half of the studies
were underpowered, Wang et al. [59] did not investigate
subgroups stratified by statistical power. The findings of our
Fig. 2 Effect of removing outlier studies on heterogeneity and
summary odds ratios (OR). Genetic models: H homozygous, Rrecessive, D dominant. Parenthesized numbers left and right of the
y-axis: number of studies and omitted references (*), respectively. CIconfidence interval. Filled blocks in the forest plot indicate
significance. Analysis models: R random-effects, F fixed-effects, Phet
P value for heterogeneity. Effects on heterogeneity: LOH loss of
heterogeneity, NE no effect on heterogeneity, IH increase in homo-
geneity, Hom homogeneous, Het heterogeneous. a Lys751Gln, (22S)Syamala et al. sporadic; (22F) Syamala et al. familial; b Asp312Asn
Breast Cancer Res Treat
123
study support the importance of homogenous and statisti-
cally powerful studies in evaluating risk of commonly
occurring polymorphisms in the human population.
Ethnicity-specific differences were evident for both
polymorphisms with null effects among Caucasians as well
as European and North American sub-populations.
Although a significantly associated risk was observed for
African-Americans and Asians for Lys751Gln and
Asp312Asn, respectively, the sample size was quite small
and the confidence intervals were quite large. Associations
found in one population, but not in another, could poten-
tially be explained by variability in statistical power and
heterogeneity of the association studies. The linkage
between Lys751Gln and Asp312Asn was r2 = 0.56 in
populations of European ancestry and r2 = 0.11 in popu-
lations of African ancestry [19]. Therefore, linkage dis-
equilibrium differences among these populations may also
impact on the outcomes of these polymorphisms [60].
Among the carcinogenic compounds contained in
tobacco smoke, the polycyclic aromatic hydrocarbons and
aromatic amines have been regarded as significant etiologic
environmental factors in breast cancer [61–64]. With
exposure, reactive metabolites may bind to DNA, forming
adducts with mutagenic consequences, mainly transver-
sions and frameshift mutations [65, 66]. Our adduct anal-
yses consisted of a relatively large sample ([2,000
subjects) homogeneous and statistically powered studies of
Caucasian-American populations. Our findings of 1.2-fold
significant increased risk for breast cancer in both poly-
morphisms were found to be correlated with high levels of
DNA adducts (or lower DNA repair capacity) [67].
Reduced DNA repair capacity is in turn influenced by
polymorphic variations in genes that are responsible for
removing these adducts [68, 69]. Variations such as
Lys751Gln and Asp312Asn of the ERCC2 gene that par-
ticipate in culling these adducts have been found to be
predictive of DNA repair capacity [40]. Other studies
investigating correlations between the Gln allele of
Lys751Gln and higher DNA adduct levels or lower DNA
repair efficiency have reported positive [70] and null
effects [71]. Similarly, a cytogenetic study showed that the
variant 751Gln genotype was not associated with increase
in bulky or polyphenol DNA adducts [72]. Functional
studies have demonstrated a higher level of DNA adducts,
measured by 32P-postlabeling, in lymphocytes of subjects
with the ERCC2 751Gln/Gln genotype [73]. Higher levels
of DNA adducts were found in workers with one Gln allele
who were exposed to traffic pollution compared to those
with two alleles [74]. In another study, peripheral blood
lymphocytes of subjects with the 312Asn and 751Gln
alleles were found to have increased number of aromatic
DNA adducts [75].
The presence of heterogeneity and publication bias may
have impacted upon the overall significant findings in
Lys751Gln and limited the ability of the meta-analysis in
finding estimates of true associations. Absence of publi-
cation bias in Asp312Asn, on the other hand, contributes to
the overall strength of our meta-analysis. Central to its
strength, however, is the substantial number of cases and
controls pooled from different studies which translates to
sufficient statistical power in the combined analyses and in
majority of the individual studies. Lack of proper matching
of controls to breast cancer cases may indicate selection
bias. Although controls were selected mainly from healthy
populations, a substantial number did not mention physi-
ological condition of this group allowing for the possibility
of non-differential misclassification bias owing to the
inclusion of control groups with different risks of devel-
oping breast cancer. However, this bias is unlikely in our
meta-analysis, since 75% (30 of 40) of the studies were
matched for age, gender, geography and/or ethnicity.
To conclude, in light of studies with high statistical
power and relatively homogenous populations, our study
implicates null associations for both Lys751Gln and
Asp312Asn. Although African-Americans and Asians were
shown to be associated with altered breast cancer risk for
both Lys751Gln and Asp312Asn, the sample size was quite
small, also suggested by large confidence intervals. The
statistically significant 1.2-fold increased breast cancer risk
was observed for adduct analyses for both polymorphisms.
Considered individually, these two polymorphisms have
been shown to have little or no influence and would
Table 3 Results of Egger’s
regression asymmetry tests for
publication bias in the overall
analyses and subgroups (N C 3
studies) with significant effects
* Bold indicates presence of
publication bias
Homozygous Recessive Dominant
N Intercept P value Intercept P value Intercept P value
Lys751Gln
Overall 32 1.18 0.02* – – 1.46 0.05*
\80 Power 16 1.40 0.10 1.37 0.10 1.15 0.26
Aromatic adducts 4 – – – – 0.02 0.92
Asp312Asn
\80 Power 10 1.00 0.32 0.69 0.54 – –
Aromatic adducts 3 – – – – 0.58 0.55
Breast Cancer Res Treat
123
probably require haplotype analysis to discern combined
effects. Such analysis may shed light on the complexities
of the many pathways involved in DNA repair and breast
cancer development, providing hypotheses for future
functional studies.
Acknowledgments The Philippine Department of Science and
Technology (DOST) awarded Noel Pabalan with a Balik-Scientist
Status. The Canadian Breast Cancer Foundation (CBCF) grant sup-
ports Hilmi Ozcelik. Lillian Sung is supported by a New Investigator
Award from the Canadian Institutes of Health Research. We thank Dr.
Xiangdong Liu of Analytic Genetics Technology Centre, Princess
Margaret Hospital, Toronto, Canada; Hong Li of Ozcelik’s Labora-
tory, Mount Sinai Hospital, Toronto, Canada; Dorothy Joy Ireneo and
Darwin Casuga of the Library Services in Saint Louis University for
their support.
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