internal realism and methodological ignorance
TRANSCRIPT
Ben SerberPHIL 920 Final Paper5/16/2015
Internal Realism and Methodological Ignorance
Introduction
Standard scientific realism appears to rely on a
correspondence theory of truth. For a scientific realist, the
fact that theories are true because their sentences correspond to
features of the world is taken to be a strength of the view. For
others, difficulties with reference make a correspondence theory
of truth untenable and thus militate against adopting scientific
realism. Falling into this latter camp, Hilary Putnam and
Nicholas Jardine offer two versions of a view called internal
realism. Internal realism aims to avoid the reference problems of
a correspondence theory of truth by offering a new conception of
truth that will still have all the features needed to uphold
talking and thinking in scientific realist terms. I will consider
these two internal realist views, along with objections drawn
from Thomas Kuhn and Kyle Stanford, before concluding that
neither view can fully defend against these objections.
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Putnam, in Reason, Truth, and History,1 offers a view on which a
sentence is true if that sentence would be true in the ideal
limit of human inquiry. However, Putnam’s conception of truth is
susceptible to two major objections involving his use of ideal
theory. The first is a Kuhnian attack on the possibility of
scientific convergence around a single theory. The second draws
on Kyle Stanford’s Principle of Unconceived Alternatives to argue
that asserting a sentence as true in Putnam’s scheme is more
epistemically troublesome than it is for a scientific realist.
Jardine’s The Fortunes of Inquiry2 responds to some of these concerns,
giving a view on which a sentence is true if that sentence would
be contained in an infinite inquiry series. Jardine argues, and I
agree, that his view successfully avoids the Kuhnian convergence
objection. However, as I shall argue, Jardine remains susceptible
to PUA-derived criticism; though he seems to be vaguely aware of
this, he does not adequately defend himself, and I don’t think a
strong defense is available. I conclude that ultimately neither
internal realist theory of truth can avoid the PUA-derived
1 19812 1986
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objection, and therefore that neither internal realist theory of
truth is successful.
Putnam’s Internal Realism
In Reason, Truth, and History, Hilary Putnam offers a new account
of truth in science that is meant to avoid the pitfalls of both
scientific realism and scientific antirealism. Internal realism
is meant to give us a realist-sounding semantics of truth without
appealing to notions antirealists find spooky, such as a purely
objective God’s-eye view3 of the world. The view ultimately
depends on a conception of idealized truth. For Putnam, truth is
whatever would be considered rationally acceptable under an ideal
theory. While Putnam acknowledges that we don’t have epistemic
access to such an ideal theory, I think he takes this issue far
less seriously than he ought to. Both Thomas Kuhn and Kyle
Stanford offer attacks on the convergence of scientific theories
which raise serious doubts for Putnam’s use of an ideal theory as
a ground for our uses of truth. Kuhn calls into question whether
convergence on a particular theory entails that theory’s higher
3 Putnam 503
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truth value for both realist and idealized conceptions of truth.
Stanford’s Principle of Unconceived Alternatives threatens the
plausibility of theory convergence itself. In either case, the
objections leveled against scientific realism will stick just as
well against Putnam’s internal realism.
Putnam thinks that the use of idealized truth will get
around the problems scientific realism has with reference. In
particular, internal realism is meant to defend against issues
raised by his twin-Earth and model-theoretic arguments against a
correspondence theory of truth. The twin-Earth argument is used
to develop the idea of semantic externalism. Putnam offers a
comparison between Earth, where a clear, tasteless, potable
liquid is H2O, and twin-Earth, where a clear, tasteless, potable
liquid is instead composed of XYZ. He argues that we would want
to say that the word ‘water’ as used on the two planets has a
different meaning or a different reference, even though the
mental states of the planets’ inhabitants when using the word are
the same.4 This intuition that ‘water’ refers to clearly
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different things on the two planets despite the mental states’
being the same then pushes us to acknowledge that the reference
of our terms is not fixed by what mental state we’re in. Rather,
the referent of a term is at least partially set by the actual
object or kind of object to which the term is meant to refer.5
But if this is so, then a correspondence theory of truth
contains a serious pitfall. Namely, truth systematically
underdetermines reference. Putnam shows that for any sentence,
e.g. “The cat is on the mat,” it is possible to build a sentence
“A cat* is on a mat*” where ‘cat*’ and ‘mat*’ refer to objects
that are sometimes cats and sometimes cherries, or sometimes mats
and sometimes trees, respectively.6 These definitions of cat* and
mat* can be set up so that “A cat is on a mat” has the same truth
conditions as “A cat* is on a mat*” – and the same truth
conditions as “A cherry is on a tree.” This is to say that being
able to specify the truth conditions of a sentence cannot
guarantee that the terms in that sentence refer to the objects
they’re thought to refer to. Adding semantic externalism puts the
5 Putnam 256 Putnam 33-5
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correspondence theory into even more trouble. If reference is
partially fixed by objects in the world, and the truth conditions
of a theory7 underdetermine the referents of its terms, then a
true theory does not necessarily lock on to one and only one set
of objects.8 At the global level, this means that a true theory,
which on a correspondence view should pick out and describe one
and only one global set of objects – that is to say, one actual
world – cannot do so. Thus if semantic externalism is correct,
the employment of a correspondence theory of truth will deeply
undermine a key tenet of scientific realism: that scientific
theories necessarily refer to the actual world. Putnam then
attempts to offer a view of truth that can avoid this pitfall.
The move to truth as assertibility at the limit of inquiry
is supposed to get us all the support for making realist-sounding
statements in science (and probably more generally too) that can
be gotten without appealing to some magical, inexplicable
connection between words and objects. For Putnam, “truth is an
7 Which, being a body of sentences, will behave the same as a single sentence for this purpose8 At this point I move beyond Putnam’s original point, but I think this is oneof the problems he was trying to illuminate
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idealization of rational acceptability.”9 That is, a statement is
true just in case it would be rationally accepted under an ideal
theory using the maximal evidence it’s possible for humans to
gain.
Putnam takes this view of truth to preserve two key
characteristics upon which scientific realists rely. First,
idealized truth preserves the idea that true statements can
always be justified by appealing to the ideal theory – a complete
science will be able to offer a justification for any apparent
state of affairs. Simultaneously, Putnam thinks idealized truth
avoids the common epistemic concern that the possibility of our
current justifications being overturned weakens our grasp on
truth, since the failure of our present justifications has no
bearing on which statements would be justified under the ideal
theory. Second, idealized truth retains a point of convergence:
the ideal theory. Since true statements have to be justifiable,
under an ideal theory it’s impossible to justify both a true
statement and its negation.10 Accordingly, an ideal theory will
9 55, emphasis his10 Putnam 56
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converge to one stable value around the statements that can be
most strongly justified. So although there’s no spooky objective
Truth out there, our inquiry still aims at something specific –
idealized truth – and that thing can be specified in a way that
can be understood even now, when we don’t have epistemic access
to the contents of the ideal theory that’s underwriting the truth
of our statements.
Objections to Putnam
Unfortunately for Putnam, the objections that Kuhn and
Stanford level against realist claims of theory convergence will
hold up just as well against his idealized truth. To begin, let’s
consider Kuhn’s clarification of his position offered in
“Objectivity, Value Judgment, and Theory Choice.”11 While Kuhn
explicitly steps back from the more radical interpretations of
the view originally given in The Structure of Scientific Revolutions,12 he
retains the basic claim that scientific practice cannot be proven
to necessarily converge on a single theory derived from a set of
shared values. The core of this argument is based on Kuhn’s
11 197712 1964
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observation that scientific convergence on a particular theory as
the most likely to be correct is entirely compatible with
individual scientists making their individual theory choices for
different reasons. That is, convergence around a theory does not
constitute evidence that scientists have converged about the
values that have led them to converge around the theory. They may
in fact have done so, but that can’t be inferred from convergence
around a theory. Furthermore, Kuhn argues, even if the
convergence does derive in practice from a set of shared values,
each scientist is still applying those values based on their own
subjective criteria that arise contingently in their individual
psychologies. So even if scientists converge on a theory and they
do so because of a set of shared values, the dual convergence
does not prove that the convergence on values necessarily follows
from the convergence on a particular theory. This second claim is
stronger, but I don’t think it’s necessary for Kuhn’s weaker
point about convergence on a value system to hold up. This point
clearly cuts just as strongly against Putnam as it does against a
scientific realist. Convergence on a scientific theory no more
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proves that scientists have converged on a commitment to truth as
being true in the ideal theory than it proves that they have
converged on a commitment to truth as correspondence to an
objective external world. If Kuhn’s stronger claim is accepted,
it will cut against Putnam as well: even if all scientists are
committed to using values derived from idealized truth to guide
their theory choices, their subjectivity in applying those values
still means that they’re not all converging on one precise and
singular view of idealized truth any more than they would be in a
scientific realist picture. I think Putnam’s best reply here can
only be that his view does no worse against the Kuhnian objection
to convergence than scientific realism would. If internal realism
has other advantages over scientific realism, such as the
solutions it offers to problems with reference, then it might
still be preferred to scientific realism on those grounds.
Though that reply is available in the case of Kuhn,
Stanford’s Principle of Unconceived Alternatives is actually more
damaging to an internal realist than to a scientific realist.
Stanford’s essential claim is that arguments over empirically
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equivalent theories have missed the point. The question is not
whether two theories that are completely empirically equivalent
can be generated: even if this were so, “one or a few convincing
examples…are unable to support the sweeping conclusion that there
are likely serious empirical equivalents to most theories in most
domains of scientific inquiry.”13 Rather, the worry about the
underdetermination of theory by evidence derives from the fact
that at any given moment there could be perfectly ordinary
hypotheses which better explain the evidence but which nobody has
yet imagined.14 Stanford surveys the history of science in an
attempt to show that we have consistently been in positions where
the evidence for our presently held theory later turned out to be
equally strong evidence for another radically different theory.15
He concludes by induction that we have good reason to think that
any evidence we have for a present theory is equally good
evidence for at least one radically different, as yet unconceived
theory. If this induction holds up, then scientists are
13 Stanford S6-S714 Stanford S715 S9
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frequently in a position where they have no idea what will
supplant their currently held theory and the claim that we can
have a remotely coherent picture of what science converges on
will be severely damaged. In consequence, Putnam will have even
more trouble explaining convergence on a theory than a scientific
realist would. Under an idealized truth view, scientists
converging on a theory are converging on what sentences they
think could be justified in an ideal theory. But if PUA is true,
internal realism introduces an entire extra layer of epistemic
uncertainty into the scientific process. PUA cuts against not
only our knowledge of what sentences can be justified under an
ideal theory, but also our metatheorizing about how the sentences
in the ideal theory might be justified.
A scientific realist asserts that a sentence is true using a
correspondence view, and must then face Stanford-style
uncertainty as to whether viable competing explanations exist but
have not been conceived. The first point of PUA-derived
uncertainty for the internal realist is similar. An internal
realist assertion of a sentence is essentially an assertion about
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the contents of the ideal theory. But PUA entails that – since we
may not have any way to imagine what sentences will be included
in our next theory – we likely have no way to imagine what
sentences would be included in the ideal theory. So to an extent
the internal realist faces the same worry as the scientific
realist. However, since the ideal theory will differ from our
present theory in at least some respects simply by definition,
the internal realist can allow for a degree of fallibilism here
that doesn’t seem available to the scientific realist. The larger
problem arises in the context of justifying the presence or
absence of a particular sentence from the ideal theory – that is,
in justifying an internal realist’s truth claims.
This second objection, which I call the argument from
methodological ignorance, proceeds as follows. To fully justify
the assertion of a sentence in the present, an internal realist
owes an explanation of why that sentence will be in the ideal
theory. I could assert that the sentence “The moon is made of
green cheese” will be in the ideal theory. In order to privilege
her (present) assertion that the sentence “The moon is made of
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regolith” would be in the ideal theory and my sentence would not
over the inverse, an internal realist would need to explain why
this would be so. But specific claims about the contents of the
ideal theory (dealt with above) and the justification for their
presence in it16 are both subject to PUA; put another way, there
is likely at least one unconceived alternative to our metatheory
about the principles the ideal theory will use to explain the
sentences in it. Our past and present theories are the only
evidence we could have for thinking about what would be in an
ideal theory and why. But because our future theories, and thus
the ideal theory, could be radically different in ways we haven’t
imagined, this isn’t very good evidence for making claims about
the ideal theory. Even if many sentences are contained in both
our present theory and the ideal theory,17 PUA entails that we
can’t predict why those sentences are contained in both our
present theory and the ideal theory because we may not have
imagined how they will be justified in the future. This is to say
that we are at least partly ignorant of the methodologies that
16 Which all internal realist truth assertions are.17 As many sentences have in fact been preserved through theory changes
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future scientists will employ. This seems like a trivial claim,
but that ignorance seems to have a deep bearing on our ability to
ground claims about how the ideal theory will justify the
sentences it contains. Since we derive our claims about the ideal
theory from the same evidence as our claims about our current
theory, but are making stronger claims in doing so, claims about
the contents and justification of an ideal theory are actually
more epistemically dubious than claims about a current theory. In
short, we’re even less able to conceive of alternatives to our
imagined ideal theory than we are to conceive of alternatives to
our actual current theories. This means that any way we go about
justifying the inclusion of a sentence in the ideal theory will
be speculative at best, and fails to give us ground to privilege
any specific assertion that a sentence will be in the ideal
theory18 over any other. Accordingly, claiming that science
converges on the sentences that would be justified under ideal
theory is even more tenuous than claiming that science converges
on truth.
18 i.e. any truth claim15
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These two objections, particularly the argument from
methodological ignorance, illustrate why Putnam needs to take far
more heed of the epistemic objections to his use of ideal theory.
Adopting his picture of idealized truth makes internal realism
more vulnerable to at least some of these epistemic concerns than
scientific realism already is. If internal realism’s account of
scientific convergence presents more problems than scientific
realism does, then even if internal realism does solve some
problems with reference it may still be unsuccessful overall.
Nicholas Jardine attempts to account for some of these
difficulties with his absolute series version of internal
realism.
Jardine’s Absolute Series View
Jardine considers difficulties with convergence to be fatal
for Putnam’s version of idealized truth for two general reasons.
First, he agrees with Kuhn that the history of science fails to
show that convergence has reliably taken place, and that even if
science has converged around elements of a theory, this does not
prove that they have converged on a set of values for theory
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choice.19 Second, he notes that to serve as a standard of truth
that will yield properties like transcendence, Putnam would have
to “show that the theory which lies at the actual limit of human
inquiry lies also at the limit of all possible suitably conducted
inquiries.”20 That is, for truth in the internal realist scheme
to retain the desired power, the ideal theory must necessarily
result at the limit of the scientific process. So to show that
science will necessarily converge on the ideal theory, it must be
proven that all possible science, including non-human science or
counterfactual science,21 would converge on the very same ideal
theory. We may have intuitions that this would be so, but the
claim seems quite difficult to actually prove. The failure of the
original internal realist view then motivates his move to
considering truth as presence in an absolute inquiry series.
A brief exposition of this idea of an absolute inquiry
series will now be offered. An inquiry series is an infinite
temporally indexed sequence of theories. A sequence is composed
19 Jardine 16-720 Jardine 1921 Jardine offers the survival of Archimedes as one example (18).
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of some theory Ti that was, is, or will be held, theory Ti+1 that
will be the next one held and so on; an infinite sequence merely
repeats this iterative process indefinitely. A sentence S is true
from the perspective of a particular theory T if S is in T. By
extension, S is true in an inquiry series if S is in any one
theory in the series and is in all theories that follow S’s
initial appearance. Note, however, that the truth of S in an
inquiry series is still a far cry from a more global sort of
truth. For this reason, Jardine lays out three additional
conditions that an inquiry series must meet in order to be
considered an absolute inquiry series. The truth of S in an
absolute inquiry series, Jardine argues, will be a workable
definition of truth more generally.
The first condition imposed is that the inquiry series must
resolve all questions that are well-posed from the standpoint of
the theories in the series.22 A well-posed question for a given
theory is one with a determinate answer23 that is susceptible to
22 Jardine 25-623 Question Q has a determinate answer if either Q or ¬Q is contained in the theory.
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evidence24 and whose presuppositions are also true in that
theory. In essence, the infinite resolution of questions
condition requires that an inquiry series eventually actually
answers every question which it is capable of asking. The second
condition is infinite transcendence of error.25 For Jardine, an
inquiry series overcomes a particular source of error26 if a
theory in the series and all subsequent theories in the series
overcome that source of error. An inquiry series is infinitely
transcendent of error if this can be done for all sources of
error for that series. That is, an inquiry series that is
infinitely transcendent of error ultimately fixes all problems of
which it can be aware. The third condition, absolute dominance,
is Jardine’s response to the fact that the first two conditions
alone could produce many inquiry series that are trivial or
infected with systematic error that the standpoints of the series
would fail to recognize.27 Therefore, to effectively ground a
broader conception of truth, an inquiry series must absolutely
24 Jardine offers notable caveats on this point (26).25 Jardine 2626 From the standpoint of the series.27 26-7
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dominate all other inquiry series. If two inquiry series are
divergent about a question,28 one series dominates the other if
it can provide an account from its standpoint “which explains the
whole of the divergence in terms of error and/or limitation in
the procedures of inquiry that generate”29 the dominated series.
An inquiry series is absolutely dominant if it dominates all
series that diverge from it and is not dominated by any other
series. Informally, an absolutely dominant inquiry series can
always explain why a divergent series is wrong.
With this framework in place, Jardine thinks he has given a
version of truth that retains the strengths of Putnam’s internal
realism while avoiding convergence objections. For Jardine, S is
true just in case S is true in an inquiry series which is
infinitely resolutive of questions, infinitely transcends error,
and absolutely dominates all other inquiry series. It is the case
that any sentence that is true in one absolute inquiry series
must be true in all absolute inquiry series, and likewise that
28 e.g. one series answers the question affirmatively and the other negatively, though Jardine notes other permutations – anything other than complete agreement will count as divergence (28)29 Jardine 28.
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any sentence that is false in one absolute inquiry series must be
false in all of them.30 This helps to preserve the universal
sense we want from truth However, the necessary agreement of all
absolute inquiry series does not entail that there cannot be
multiple absolute inquiry series, nor does it entail that the
permutations of theories that constitute each series must be
identical. Though absolute inquiry series must eventually agree
on what is true, they do not have to follow one particular path
to do so. This avoids the basic objection that science does not
seem to be converging on anything in particular – Jardine’s view
acknowledges the incremental and highly contingent nature of the
scientific process. Nor, importantly, must two absolute inquiry
series necessarily use the same methodologies or principles of
theory selection to reach their eventual agreement. This allows
Jardine to get out of the more nuanced Kuhnian worry that
convergence on the contents of a theory does not entails
convergence on scientific values. At least initially, this seems
30 Ibid.21
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like a promising modification for an internal realist theory of
truth.
Objections to Jardine
Unfortunately, the absolute series view remains vulnerable
to the argument from methodological ignorance.31 As with Putnam,
the difficulty is best brought out when we look at what it to
assert a sentence in this picture. For Jardine, asserting S is
equivalent to claiming that S is in a past or present theory and
will be present in every successive theory. But such an assertion
is no more grounded than a Putnam-style claim that S will be
present in the ideal theory. There at least two related problems
here. First, standard general worries about induction can be
applied to a Jardine-style assertion. That is, the presence of S
in a given present theory does not prove that it will be present
even in an immediate successor theory, let alone a remote
successor theory. While S’s preservation through several
permutations of theories would give us stronger grounds for
thinking it will continue to do so, even this does not prove that
31 Another route of objection is to question the possibility of an absolute inquiry series even existing, as in Liston 1992.
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S will be preserved in remote successor theories. Indeed, we will
never be able to definitively prove that S is true in an absolute
inquiry series, simply because the contents of remote successor
theories are epistemically inaccessible to us. Jardine’s account
does permit a fairly high degree of fallibilism, so he might be
comfortable with calling sentences that have proven to be
preserved through several theory permutations ‘likely true’ or
‘approximately true’ in much the way a realist might do in the
face of similar difficulties. The second objection is more
telling, however. Methodological ignorance reappears here in the
following way. Even if the presence of S in previous theories did
correlate with its presence in all subsequent theories, we could
not explain why it was being preserved across theories. Because
we are ignorant of the methodology that will support the theory
that immediately succeeds the one we have, we do not have an
explanation for why S should be preserved from a present theory
to its immediate successor. This problem will then reappear in
every iteration of theory within the absolute inquiry series: if
we can’t explain the preservation of S from Ti to Ti+1, we can’t
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explain its persistence from Ti+1 to Ti+2, and so on. Because some
justification for the preservation of S needs to be made at each
of these steps, asserting that S will be preserved all the way to
Tn looks very dubious. Put slightly glibly, Jardine’s view has
the same problem with explanation as Putnam’s, but has it an
infinite32 number times. Appeals to broad scientific values such
as parsimony may be helpful in explaining the preservation of S
from past theories to our present one. The move may even be
reasonably successful at predicting the reason(s) why S is
preserved from a present theory to its immediate successor. But
recall the original argument from methodological ignorance: it is
likely that there is at least one unconceived but functional
metatheory about which scientific values are applicable. So an
appeal to our present scientific values cannot offer a definitive
forward-looking explanation of why S will be preserved, since S’s
presence in one or more of the future theories in the series
might be justified on entirely different grounds. In the end,
Jardine’s view amounts to the claim that we can somehow know at
32 Or at least an indefinite number of times.24
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the moment of assertion that any sentence we assert will persist
first through a permutation from our present theory to an
unconceived theory, and then from that unconceived theory to
another unconceived theory, proceeding an indefinite33 number of
times, while our scientific methodologies and values also go
through an indefinite34 number of unconceived changes.35 Even if
we could know that, we still couldn’t know why it should be so.
Conclusion
I think I have successfully argued that neither Putnam’s
original view of truth as assertibility in the ideal theory nor
Jardine’s view of truth as preservation through an absolute
inquiry series can hold together. While each succeeds in solving
the specific problem it set out to solve – Putnam with reference
and Jardine with convergence – they remain susceptible to strong
epistemic challenges based on Stanford’s Principle of Unconceived
Alternatives. The difficulties in building a theory of truth that
can support an internal realist account provide a strong reason
33 But probably quite large34 But also probably quite large35 This sentence probably seems strongly stated. It ought to. A Jardinian truth assertion is a very strong claim.
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for rejecting internal realism more broadly. In sum: we may not
know which account of scientific inquiry is correct, but I think
we can know that this one is not.
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Bibliography
Jardine, Nicholas. The Fortunes of Inquiry. Oxford University Press: New York, 1986. Print.
Kuhn, Thomas. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. University of ChicagoPress: Chicago,
1964. Print.
---. “Objectivity, Value Judgment, and Theory Choice.” The EssentialTension: Selected Studies
in Scientific Tradition and Change. University of Chicago Press: Chicago, 1977. 356-68.
Print.
Liston, Michael. Rev. of The Fortunes of Inquiry, by Nicholas Jardine.The Philosophical
Review, 101.2 (1992): 133-6. Print.
Putnam, Hilary. Reason, Truth, and History. Cambridge University Press:New York, 1981.
Print.
Stanford, P. Kyle. “Refusing the Devil’s Bargain: What Kind of Underdetermination Should We
Take Seriously?” Philosophy of Science 68.3 (2001): S1-S12. Print.
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