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Applied nutritional investigation Concordance with dietary and lifestyle population goals for cancer prevention in Dutch, Scottish, Mexican, and Guatemalan population samples Marieke Vossenaar, Ph.D. a,c, *, Noel W. Solomons, M.D. a , Roxana Valde ´s-Ramos, Ph.D. b,y , and Annie S. Anderson, Ph.D. c a Center for Studies of Sensory Impairment, Aging and Metabolism (CeSSIAM), Guatemala City, Guatemala b Instı `tuto de Perinatologı ´a, Mexico City, Mexico c University of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland Manuscript received December 14, 2008; accepted April 12, 2009. Abstract Objectives: We assessed concordance with selected population goal components of the 1997 World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research (WCRF/AICR) diet and lifestyle rec- ommendations to decrease cancer risk across four population samples. Methods: This was a prospectively designed survey examining concordance with the population goals of the WCRF/AICR recommendations using target criteria across sites. Population samples were from the Netherlands, Scotland, Mexico, and Guatemala. A total of 3564 men and women aged 18 to 70 y were recruited in equal proportions by site and gender. Results: None of the four pooled samples met the target population average criteria for body mass index or refined sugar intake. The Guatemalan sample had concordance with the largest number of recommended cancer-prevention goals (10 of 12 selected WCRF/AICR components). Successively, Mexican, Scottish, and Dutch samples were concordant with seven, four, and three selected compo- nents, respectively. Conclusions: A prospectively designed research instrument and exhaustive prior examination of operative criteria allow for the assessment of group-level concordance with cancer-prevention goals. To the extent that the study samples reflect the respective national situations, geographic variance in concordance exists, with conditions and behaviors in Guatemala bringing that nation into more general compliance with the 1997 WCRF/AICR goals. Ó 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Keywords: Dietary surveys; Food habits; Lifestyle habits; Cancer prevention Introduction The principal cause of morbidity and mortality in adults in developed and developing countries is non-transmissible chronic disease [1]. Cancers of diverse anatomic sites represent the second most important cause of death among chronic diseases and the second leading cause overall [2]. Following on the conjecture of Doll and Peto [3] that up to 30% of all cancers were preventable through the selection of an appropriate diet, evidence continues to come forth regarding the effects of protective or noxious substances in the diet on the malignancy risk [4]. The World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF) and American Institute for Cancer Research (AICR) took the lead in deriv- ing practical program and policy guidance for the public from the causal links between unhealthful diets and life pursuits and cancer risk. A novel approach to weighing the published evidence and providing guidance for public health was pro- vided in the expert panel report, Diet, Nutrition and Preven- tion of Human Cancer: A Global Perspective in 1997 [4]. The report compiled a roster of 14 specific diet, activity, This study was supported by the World Cancer Research Fund, the American Institute for Cancer Research, the International Nutrition Founda- tion, Akzo Nobel and the Hildegard Grunow Foundation. y Current address: Universidad Auto ´ noma del Estado de Mexico, Toluca, Mexico. *Corresponding author. Tel/fax: þ502-2473-3942. E-mail address: [email protected] (M. Vossenaar). 0899-9007/10/$ – see front matter Ó 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. doi:10.1016/j.nut.2009.04.007 Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–52 www.nutritionjrnl.com

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Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–52

Applied nutritional investigation

Concordance with dietary and lifestyle population goals for cancer

prevention in Dutch, Scottish, Mexican, and Guatemalan

population samples

Marieke Vossenaar, Ph.D.a,c,*, Noel W. Solomons, M.D.a, Roxana Valdes-Ramos, Ph.D.b,y,and Annie S. Anderson, Ph.D.c

aCenter for Studies of Sensory Impairment, Aging and Metabolism (CeSSIAM), Guatemala City, GuatemalabInstıtuto de Perinatologıa, Mexico City, Mexico

cUniversity of Dundee, Dundee, Scotland

Manuscript received December 14, 2008; accepted April 12, 2009.

Abstract Objectives: We assessed concordance with selected population goal components of the 1997 World

www.nutritionjrnl.com

This study was s

American Institute for

tion, Akzo Nobel andyCurrent address: U

Mexico.

*Corresponding au

E-mail address: m

0899-9007/10/$ – see

doi:10.1016/j.nut.2009

Cancer Research Fund/American Institute for Cancer Research (WCRF/AICR) diet and lifestyle rec-

ommendations to decrease cancer risk across four population samples.

Methods: This was a prospectively designed survey examining concordance with the population

goals of the WCRF/AICR recommendations using target criteria across sites. Population samples

were from the Netherlands, Scotland, Mexico, and Guatemala. A total of 3564 men and women

aged 18 to 70 y were recruited in equal proportions by site and gender.

Results: None of the four pooled samples met the target population average criteria for body mass

index or refined sugar intake. The Guatemalan sample had concordance with the largest number of

recommended cancer-prevention goals (10 of 12 selected WCRF/AICR components). Successively,

Mexican, Scottish, and Dutch samples were concordant with seven, four, and three selected compo-

nents, respectively.

Conclusions: A prospectively designed research instrument and exhaustive prior examination of

operative criteria allow for the assessment of group-level concordance with cancer-prevention goals.

To the extent that the study samples reflect the respective national situations, geographic variance in

concordance exists, with conditions and behaviors in Guatemala bringing that nation into more general

compliance with the 1997 WCRF/AICR goals. � 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

Keywords: Dietary surveys; Food habits; Lifestyle habits; Cancer prevention

Introduction

The principal cause of morbidity and mortality in adults in

developed and developing countries is non-transmissible

chronic disease [1]. Cancers of diverse anatomic sites

represent the second most important cause of death among

chronic diseases and the second leading cause overall [2].

upported by the World Cancer Research Fund, the

Cancer Research, the International Nutrition Founda-

the Hildegard Grunow Foundation.

niversidad Autonoma del Estado de Mexico, Toluca,

thor. Tel/fax: þ502-2473-3942.

[email protected] (M. Vossenaar).

front matter � 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

.04.007

Following on the conjecture of Doll and Peto [3] that up to

30% of all cancers were preventable through the selection

of an appropriate diet, evidence continues to come forth

regarding the effects of protective or noxious substances in

the diet on the malignancy risk [4].

The World Cancer Research Fund (WCRF) and American

Institute for Cancer Research (AICR) took the lead in deriv-

ing practical program and policy guidance for the public from

the causal links between unhealthful diets and life pursuits

and cancer risk. A novel approach to weighing the published

evidence and providing guidance for public health was pro-

vided in the expert panel report, Diet, Nutrition and Preven-tion of Human Cancer: A Global Perspective in 1997 [4].

The report compiled a roster of 14 specific diet, activity,

Table 1

Cancer prevention recommendations (population goals; individual guidelines) from the 1997 World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute of Cancer

Research expert report

Food supply and eating

Population to consume nutritionally adequate and varied diet, based primarily on foods of plant origin

Choose predominantly plant-based diets rich in a variety of vegetables and fruits, pulses (legumes), and minimally processed starchy staple foods

Maintaining body weight

Population average BMIs throughout adult life to be 21–23 kg/m2 so that individual BMI is maintained at 18.5–25 kg/m2

Avoid being underweight or overweight and limit weight gain during adulthood to <5 kg (11 lb)

Maintaining physical activity

Population to maintain, throughout life, an active lifestyle equivalent to a physical activity level �1.75, with opportunities for vigorous physical activity

If occupational activity is low or moderate, take an hour’s brisk walk or similar exercise daily and exercise vigorously for a total of �1 h/wk

Vegetables and fruits

Promote year-round consumption of a variety of vegetable and fruits, providing �7% total energy

Eat 400–800 g (15–30 oz) or �5 portions (servings) a day of a variety of vegetables and fruits, all year round

Other plant foods

A variety of starchy or protein-rich foods of plant origin, preferably minimally processed, to provide 45–60% total energy; refined sugar to provide <10% of

total energy

Eat 600–800 g (20–30 oz) or >7 portions (servings) a day of a variety of cereals (grains), pulses (legumes), roots, tubers, and plantains; prefer minimally

processed foods; limit consumption of refined sugar

Alcoholic drinks

Consumption of alcohol is not recommended; excessive consumption of alcohol to be discouraged; for those who drink alcohol, restrict it to<5% total energy

for men and <2.5% total energy for women

Alcohol consumption is not recommended; if consumed at all, limit alcoholic drinks to <2 drinks/d for men and 1 drink/d for women

Meat

If eaten at all, red meat to provide <10% total energy

If eaten at all, limit intake of red meat to<80 g (3 oz) daily; it is preferable to choose fish, poultry, or meat from non-domesticated animals in place of red meat

Total fats and oils

Total fats and oils provide 15% to �30% total energy

Limit consumption of fatty foods, particularly those of animal origin; choose modest amounts of appropriate vegetable oils

Salt and salting

Salt from all sources should amount to <6 g/d (0.25 oz) for adults

Limit consumption of salted foods and use of cooking and table salt; use herbs and spices to season foods

Storage

Store perishable food in ways that minimize fungal contamination

Do not eat food that, as a result of prolonged storage at ambient temperatures, is liable to contamination with mycotoxins

Preservation

Perishable food, if not consumed promptly, is to be kept frozen or chilled

Use refrigeration and other appropriate methods to preserve perishable food as purchased and at home

Additives and residues

Establish and monitor enforcement of safety limits for food additives, pesticides and their residues, and other chemical contaminants in the food supply

When levels of additives, contaminants, and other residues are properly regulated, their presence in foods and drinks is not known to be harmful; however,

unregulated or improper use can be a health hazard, and this applies particularly in economically developing countries

Preparation

When meat and fish are eaten, encourage low-temperature cooking

Do not eat charred food; for meat and fish eaters, avoid burning of meat juices; consume the following only occasionally: meat and fish grilled (broiled) in direct

flame, cured and smoked meats

Dietary supplements

Community dietary pattern to be constituent with decreased cancer risk without the use of dietary supplements

For those who follow the recommendations presented here, dietary supplements are probably unnecessary and possibly unhelpful for decreasing cancer risk

Tobacco

Discourage production, promotion, and use of tobacco in any form

Do not smoke or chew tobacco

BMI, body mass index

M. Vossenaar et al. / Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–52 41

and lifestyle recommendations for cancer prevention and

a proscription against tobacco use (Table 1).

Various research groups have looked at ways to evaluate

the concordance of populations with the WCRF/AICR guide-

lines [4] based on extant datasets or longitudinal studies;

none were specifically designed to examine adherence to

the cancer prevention recommendations [5–7]. Only one ef-

fort has, so far, sought prospectively to create a research in-

strument and procedures specifically directed to the tenets

of the WCRF/AICR guidelines, in a dissertation examining

concordance in two European nations [8]. This was part of

the Concordance Project, a four-nation multicenter protocol,

which sought to ascertain the state of guidelines concordance

in Guatemala and Mexico in Mesoamerica, and Scotland and

the Netherlands in Europe [8].

The WCRF/AICR recommendations [4] provide cancer

prevention guidance for the conduct of individuals in its

guidelines and for the appropriate status of populations in its

M. Vossenaar et al. / Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–5242

goals. Insights from Nishida et al. [9] in the preparation of the

Diet, Nutrition and the Prevention of Chronic Diseases report

[10] informed our postcollection analytical approach to as-

sessing concordance with group-level recommendations.

Moreover, the lessons learned to date from previous evalua-

tion efforts on concordance with WCRF/AICR guidelines

have been summarized by our group [11]. Insofar as different

dietary patterns associated with different cultural backgrounds

have been shown to modify the risk of certain chronic diseases

[12], a comparative focus is pertinent. We present a compara-

tive perspective across the four national sites and samples of

the Concordance Project of the classification of the popula-

tions as concordant or discordant with the population goals

of the 1997 expert panel report on cancer prevention [4].

Materials and methods

Population samples

Men and women aged 18 to 70 y from lower and higher so-

cioeconomic statuses (SESs) and living in urban and residential

areas across four nations were enrolled; the sites included the

Netherlands, Scotland, Mexico, and Guatemala. In the Nether-

lands, 1503 subjects who participated in the Health Examina-

tion Survey of the Risk Factors and Health (REGENBOOG)

project [13], under the auspices of the National Institute of

Public Health and the Environment in cooperation with Dutch

municipal health centers across the country, were invited to

participate. In Scotland, a sample of 2400 electoral roll names

and addresses in the districts of Tayside and Fife were selected

by a market research company, using social class, age, and

population density markers to obtain an appropriate sampling

frame. In Mexico, individuals were selected in a convenient

sampling area in Yucatan’s capital Merida and the surrounding

countryside to reach the desired number and age distribution. In

Guatemala, individuals were selected in a convenient sampling

area in Guatemala City and rural areas west of the city. In Mes-

oamerica, interviews were done door to door at convenient

times and with the people available in the home.

In each nation, the stratification was to select roughly

equal numbers of men and women and of residents of three

geographic areas (social classes). Subjects were recruited

on the basis of voluntary participation.

Ethical approval was obtained in the four nations. In the

Netherlands, formal permission to include the present survey

in the national health survey was obtained from the scientific

advisory group from the Dutch office of national statistics. In

Scotland, ethics approval came from the Tayside and the Fife

ethics committees. In Mexico, the research and ethics com-

mittee of the National Institute of Perinatology approved

the protocol for application. In Guatemala, the human sub-

jects committee of the Center for Studies of Sensory Impair-

ment, Aging and Metabolism (CeSSIAM) approved the

study protocol. All participants signed a written informed

consent form at the time of questionnaire completion.

Development of questionnaire instruments

Culturally sensitive, cancer-related Diet/Anthropometry/

Lifestyle Data Instruments (DALDI) were developed concur-

rently in the four nations. The tools were developed to assess

concordance with 11 of the 15 WCRF/AICR recommenda-

tions for the prevention of cancer in adult samples, as

described previously [11]. The examined behaviors included

total diet (comprising total energy, macronutrient, and spe-

cific micronutrient intakes), food preparation techniques

(such as charring of meat, temperature of cooking meat),

use of supplements, smoking habits, body weight history,

and physical activity.

Dietary intake

The European questionnaires were very similar across the

two sites. The Dutch dietary assessment tool comprised a 60-

item, semiquantitative food-frequency questionnaire (FFQ),

with additional open-ended questions: 45 on usual intake of

commonly consumed foods (such as potatoes and fruits) and

13 on type of foods preferred (such as type of bread). The Scot-

tish dietary assessment tool comprised a 107-item FFQ, with 34

additional, open-ended questions on usual intake of commonly

consumed foods and 8 queries on type of foods preferred. In

both DALDI, most food items included in the FFQ did not

include an indication of portion size. Some exceptions were

breakfast cereals (i.e., 1 bowl) and jam (i.e., 1 tsp). Most open-

ended questions queried portion size in household measure-

ments. Nearly all questions referred to the ’’usual’’ diet during

the previous 12 mo. On the one hand, total fruit and vegetable

(F&V) intake was estimated based on questions querying usual

consumption per week during the previous year (frequency of

intake and number of portions). On the other hand, F&V variety

was assessed as a function of the number of types consumed dur-

ing the previous week. Subjects were asked to select all types

consumed in the previous week from a predefined comprehen-

sive list of F&V commonly consumed in these populations.

For the Mesoamerican sites of Mexico and Guatemala, two

sets of dietary assessment tools were designed per nation, one

for the lower SES (urban and rural) and one for the higher SES

(urban). The Mexican dietary assessment tool for the lower

SES comprised a 158-item semiquantitative FFQ, whereas

the questionnaire for the higher SES was longer with 188-

items. A total of 155 items were food items listed in both ques-

tionnaires, whereas 33 items were listed only in the elite social

class and 3 only in the urban lower SES and rural social classes.

The Guatemalan dietary assessment tool for the lower SES con-

sisted of a 166-item semiquantitative FFQ. Eight additional

food items were included in the questionnaire for the higher

SES. For both Mesoamerican FFQs, the magnitude of con-

sumption was based on a 1-y time frame; for each item that

was affirmed as consumed, its frequency across a range of

options from ‘‘never’’ to ‘‘4–6 times per day’’ was assigned.

Most food items queried by means of FFQ included a portion

size in household measurements.

M. Vossenaar et al. / Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–52 43

The newly developed DALDI were pilot tested to assess

cognitive and practical issues such as ease of comprehension,

time needed to complete, and reliability. The Scottish dietary

assessment questionnaire was validated against 7-d weighed

diaries and 24-h urine collections for nitrogen, as described

by Vossenaar [8]. The methods used for subject recruitment

and the completion of food diaries are described in detail

elsewhere [14].

Body weight and height

Anthropometric data were obtained in different manners,

depending on the site. In Scotland, self-reported current

weight and height were queried. In the Netherlands and Gua-

temala, data were available on measured and self-reported

weights and heights (Vossenaar et al., in preparation). In

the Mexican sample, only directly measured data on weight

and height were collected. Trained staff measured body

weight and height, with participants wearing light indoor

clothing with emptied pockets and no shoes. Body weight

was measured to the nearest 100 g on calibrated scales. To

adjust for the weight of clothing, 1 kg was subtracted from

the measured body weight.

Other variables

A series of additional questions was included in the devel-

opment of the DALDI in domains; these included aspects

such as food preparation methods, use of dietary supple-

ments, use of tobacco, history of weight change, storage

and preservation of foods, and activities of daily living.

Data collection

To better account for seasonal variation, data were col-

lected during an entire calendar year. In Europe, all data col-

lection was done by means of postal, self-administered

questionnaires. In the Netherlands, part of the data for the

present study was collected during the home interview con-

ducted as part of the REGENBOOG health survey. The

data collected during this computerized face-to-face inter-

view, and used for the present study, included self-reported

sociodemographic factors, anthropometric measurements,

and physical activity. The methods used are described else-

where [13]. Subjects who agreed to participate in the dietary

survey were posted a study information sheet, an informed

consent form, a DALDI, and a stamped return envelope.

Questionnaires were posted shortly after recruitment on

a weekly basis. Data collection occurred from May 2001 to

May 2002. In Scotland, questionnaires were posted in six

batches at 2-mo intervals. Subjects from lower SES groups

were prospectively oversampled because their response rate

remained lower than that of subjects from higher SES groups.

In Mexico, four previously trained nutrition undergradu-

ate students conducted all interviews face-to-face, whereas

in Guatemala, face-to-face interviews were used only in rural

and lower SES urban areas. In higher SES urban areas, data

collection was done predominantly by means of face-to-face

interviews (n¼ 184), but also by means of postal question-

naires (n¼ 90) due to lower response rates.

The overall response rates were 85% in the Netherlands,

48% in Scotland, and above 95% in Guatemala and Mexico.

Exclusion criteria included age older than 70 y, pregnancy, or

lactation in the first 6 mo. Subjects with incomplete question-

naires were excluded from analysis for the variables depen-

dent on the missing data. The number of incomplete

questionnaires was minimal in all samples. Missing data

were the greatest in the Netherlands because no follow-up

was possible, but still fewer than 5%. In Scotland most miss-

ing data were completed by means of a telephone follow-up

interview when necessary. In Mesoamerica there was almost

no missing data, with the exception of body weight data.

Data analysis

All data collected were double-entered by a data entering

agency in the Netherlands, using Epi Info (Centers for Disease

Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA, 2000) in Scotland

and Access (Microsoft, Redmond, WA, USA, 2000) in Mexico

and Guatemala. Data were cleaned by checking missing values

and outliers. Missing values were replaced according to fixed

criteria or left missing when appropriate. Questionnaires with

’’too many’’ missing values (i.e., 14, 6, 0, and 0 questionnaires

in the Dutch, Scottish, Mexican, and Guatemalan samples,

respectively) were excluded. Outliers were replaced with the

estimated mean value for the sample, with the maximum value,

or were made missing according to fixed criteria.

Quantification of dietary intakes

Country-specific nutrient analysis programs were devel-

oped using SAS 6.07 (SAS Institute, Cary, NC, USA) for

the Scottish and Dutch questionnaires and SPSS 11.0

(SPSS Inc., Chicago, IL, USA) for the Mexican and Guate-

malan questionnaires. A series of internal corrections was

applied to the daily frequencies of intake in the European

questionnaires. When the sum of the frequencies for the indi-

vidual components was not equal to the answer given else-

where, the frequencies for the individual components were

corrected proportionally, as suggested by Haraldsdottir

[15]. Portion sizes were assigned according to the unit

described in the questionnaire or to an average portion size

for that population (not gender or age specific). Daily intakes

of foods were linked with country-specific nutrient composi-

tion data from electronic versions of national food composi-

tion tables [16,17].

Establishment of operating criteria for concordanceanalysis

A major, generic clarification of the appropriate approach

to evaluating public health goals for populations’ decrease of

M. Vossenaar et al. / Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–5244

chronic disease risk emerged from a similar public policy

panel consultation of the World Health Organization

(WHO). After the consultation leading to the publication

by the WHO/Food and Agriculture Organization (FAO)

report on Diet, Nutrition and the Prevention of Chronic Dis-eases [10], Nishida et al. [9] provided critical insights on how

one is to assess compliance or concordance of an entire pop-

ulation sample, when a target population average is provided

as a criterion. Their concept is related to the issue of nutrient-

intake goals for a population, which in turn are ‘‘based on the

assumption that the first priority is to ensure national food

security and equity of distribution of available food in accor-

dance with individual needs.’’ This counsel has been adopted

as representing the appropriate evaluation focus for popula-

tion goals [11].

The exact evaluation criteria applied with respect to the

1997 WCRF/AICR population goals (Table 1) are described

below and summarized in Table 2. The issues related to set-

ting evaluation criteria are discussed in detail in a previous

publication [11].

Quantification of nutrient adequacy (WCRF/AICRcomponent 1a)

The estimated average requirement (EAR) cutpoint

method [18] was used to assess nutrient adequacy of vitamins

A, C, B1, and B2, niacin, calcium, and iron estimated daily

intakes. The EAR calculated values were based on FAO/

WHO recommended nutrient intakes. Gender-specific values

for adults aged 19 to 50 y were used for the entire sample. An

iron bioavailability of 15% was assumed for the Dutch and

Scottish samples and 5% for the Mexican and Guatemalan

samples. Population samples with adequate intakes for five

of seven selected micronutrients were considered concordant.

Table 2

Operative evaluative criteria used to assess selected population-level goals within

Population goal or goal component Evalua

1a Nutritionally adequate diets Nutrien

FAO

1b Varied diets Percen

1c Based primarily on foods of plant origin Ratio o

orig

2 Population average BMI throughout adult life within 21–23 kg/m2 Measu

4a Variety of vegetables and fruits Percen

(exc

4b Vegetables and fruits to provide �7% of energy Daily c

1 po

5a Variety of starchy or protein-rich foods of plant origin Percen

5c Starchy and protein-rich foods of plant origin to provide 45–60%

of energy

Daily c

5d Refined sugar to provide <10% of energy Daily c

as p

6 Restrict to <5% total energy for men and <2.5% total energy for

women

Daily c

7 Red meat (beef, lamb, pork) to provide <10% of energy Daily c

8 Total fats and oils to provide 15% to �30% total energy Daily c

BMI, body mass index; EAR, estimated average requirement; RNI, recommend

culture Organization

Dietary variety (WCRF/AICR components 1b, 4a, and 5a)Food items consumed at least weekly were included in the

analysis of dietary variety. Portion sizes were not taken into

account. Some food items queried more than once in the

questionnaire (such as glasses of milk and milk in coffee)

were consolidated into a single item. Total dietary variety

was assessed as the total number of food items consumed

at least weekly, as a percentage of all items listed in the

respective questionnaires. The final number of food items

was 155 in the Dutch FFQ and 197 for Scotland. In Mexico,

188 items were included for the urban elite and 158 for the

urban poor and rural classes; the corresponding numbers

for Guatemala were 175 and 167, respectively.

Variety of F&V was assessed as the number of F&V items

consumed at least weekly, as a percentage of all F&V listed in

the respective questionnaires. Fruit juices, potatoes, and

beans were excluded from this analysis. The total numbers

of F&V items listed by site, respectively, were urban poor

and rural classes (n¼ 47), Guatemala urban elite class

(n¼ 51), and Guatemala urban poor and rural classes

(n¼ 51).

Variety of starchy or protein-rich foods of plant origin was

assessed as the number of legume items consumed at least

weekly as a percentage of all legumes listed in the respective

questionnaires. The total numbers of legume items listed

were the Netherlands (n¼ 1), Scotland (n¼ 4), Mexico

(n¼ 4), and Guatemala (n¼ 7), respectively. Population

samples with variety scores above 30% were considered con-

cordant.

Plant-based diet (WCRF/AICR component 1c)Each food item listed in each population-specific ques-

tionnaire was classified as a plant- or an animal-based food.

surveyed samples in four nations

tion variable for group concordance

t adequacy of 7 selected micronutrients using EAR values based on WHO/

RNI values [37]

tage of food items consumed at least weekly

f estimated daily intakes of foods from plant origin to foods from animal

in in grams

red or self-reported BMI

tage of types of vegetables (excluding potatoes and beans) and fruits

luding fruit juices) consumed at least weekly

onsumption of vegetables and fruits (including a maximum of

rtion of juice) as percentage of total energy

tage of starchy or protein-rich food items consumed at least weekly

onsumption of starchy or protein-rich foods as percentage of total energy

onsumption of mono- and disaccharides (excluding fruit and including juices)

ercentage of total energy

onsumption of alcoholic drinks as percentage of total energy

onsumption of red meat as percentage of total energy

onsumption of fat as percentage of total energy

ed nutrient intakes; WHO/FAO, World Health Organization/Food and Agri-

M. Vossenaar et al. / Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–52 45

The numbers of items classified of plant- or animal-based

foods were 67/48, 91/69, 89/50, and 117/54, respectively,

for the Netherlands, Scotland, Mexico, and Guatemala. Daily

intakes of plant- or animal-based foods were computed in

grams. The ratios of estimated weight of daily intakes of

foods from plant origin to all foods (plant and animal origin

combined) were generated. Population samples with a plant-

to-animal ratio greater than 0.5 were considered concordant.

Adequate body mass index (WCRF/AICR component 2)Body mass index (BMI) was calculated as weight (kilo-

grams) divided by height (meters) squared. Measured weight

and height were used when available, and self-reported mea-

surements were used otherwise. Population samples with

a mean BMI within 21- to 23-kg/m2 limits were considered

concordant.

Estimated daily intake of F&V as energy percentage (WCRF/AICR component 4b)

In the Netherlands and Scotland, estimated daily intake of

vegetables (excluding potatoes and beans) was assessed from

the frequency of intake per week and the average portion

sizes. Estimated daily intake of fruits (including a maximum

of 1 portion of juice) was assessed from the frequency of in-

take per week and the portion sizes of all fruits. Although ba-

nanas were not classified as fruits by the WCRF/AICR report,

they were included in the estimation of fruit intake in the Eu-

ropean questionnaire, because they are conceptually seen as

a fruit. In Mesoamerica, intakes of F&V were estimated on

the basis of 29 vegetables and 26 fruit items in the Mexican

FFQ and on 26 vegetables and 20 fruit items in the Guatema-

lan FFQ. At these sites, bananas constituted a separate com-

ponent in the FFQ and could be excluded from the estimation

of total fruit intake and included within other plant foods.

Population samples with a mean F&V intake at least 7 energy

percentage were considered concordant.

Estimated daily intake of starchy and protein-rich foods asenergy percentage (WCRF/AICR component 5c)

The numbers of food items classified as starchy or protein-

rich foods were 33, 54, 31, and 50, respectively, for the Neth-

erlands, Scotland, Mexico, and Guatemala. These included

foods such as tortillas, pasta, rice, bread, and other cereals

and banana and plantain. Given that the estimation of banana

intake in Europe was bound to the question on fruit intake, it

could not be included in this food group. As a consequence,

there is a systematic under-inclusion of total starchy foods

and overestimation of fruits in the European samples. Popu-

lation samples with a mean intake from 45 to 60 energy per-

centage were considered concordant.

Estimated daily intake of refined sugar as energy percentage(WCRF/AICR component 5d)

In Europe, daily intakes of foods (excluding fruits and

including juices) were linked to country-specific mono- and

disaccharide composition data from electronic versions of

national food composition tables [16,17]. F&V were

excluded from this analysis. In Mesoamerica, values for

extrinsic sugar were derived from U.S. Department of Agri-

culture food composition tables obtained online from the

U.S. Department of Agriculture database [19] and manufac-

turers’ food labels. Population samples with a mean intake

below 10% of total energy were considered concordant.

Estimated daily intake of alcoholic drinks as energypercentage (WCRF/AICR component 6)

In Europe, usual consumption of alcoholic drinks was

queried for week and weekend days separately. Number of

portions was queried separately for beer, wine, and other

spirits. In Mesoamerica, usual consumption of alcoholic

drinks was queried by means of an FFQ. Daily consumption

of alcoholic drinks as a percentage of total calories was com-

puted, and population samples with a mean intake below the

gender specific cutoff values (5% for men and 2.5% for

women) were considered concordant.

Estimated daily intake of red meat as energy percentage(WCRF/AICR component 7)

Usual intake of red meat (including beef, mutton, lamb,

pork, and products from these meats) was queried by means

of an FFQ. Composite dishes with a red meat component

were taken into account. Population samples with a mean in-

take below 10 energy percentage were considered concordant.

Estimated daily intake of total fat as energy percentage(WCRF/AICR component 8)

Usual fat intake, in all foods, was estimated. Population

samples with a mean intake from10% to 15% of total energy

were considered concordant.

Statistical analysis

Data were analyzed using SPSS 11.0. Means and standard

deviations were computed for descriptive purposes for each

population sample.

Results

Demographic description of population samples

The goal for sample enrollment was 900 subjects per na-

tion, stratified and equally distributed among three SES cate-

gories, and by sex. Table 3 outlines the characteristics of the

subjects actually analyzed in generating the present findings.

Recommendation 1: Food supply and eating

This recommendation has three components. We estab-

lished that a population reaching or exceeding the five of

seven EARs for average recorded micronutrient intake would

be classified as consuming a nutritionally adequate diet. All

national samples were so classified (Table 4). In terms of

Table 3

Sample characteristics

Total (n) Men (n) Women (n) Age (y)*

The Netherlands (nationwide) 1052y 498 552 44 6 13

Scotland (Tayside and Fife) 849 395 454 46 6 14

Mexico (Yucatan) 790 358 432 36 6 13

Guatemala (Central Highlands) 873 434 439 36 6 12

* Mean 6 SD.y Data on gender was missing for 2 subjects.

M. Vossenaar et al. / Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–5246

the overall dietary variety ratio scoring (Table 5), only Gua-

temala marginally qualified with respect to our investigator-

generated criterion. Each site’s pooled sample, however, had

a predominantly plant-based consumption (Table 5).

Recommendation 2: Maintaining body weight

The sample average for BMI did not fall within the 21- to

23-kg/m2 limits, established to constrain individual BMIs to

within the range of normal in any sample [20]. All sites

exceeded 23 kg/m2 in a descending order: Mexico, Scotland,

the Netherlands, and Guatemala (Table 6).

Recommendation 4: Vegetables and fruits

Only the Guatemalan sample had an average contribution

to total dietary energy in excess of the 7% criterion of the

WCRF/AICR. The European sites did not reach this thresh-

old, with an intake just under the cutoff value. It was the

Mexican sample, however, that had the lowest contribution

Table 4

Estimated nutrient intakes in relation to estimated average requirements for seven

Estimated nutrient intake per day EAR The Netherlands

Men

Vitamin A (RAE) 429 1059 6 622

Vitamin C (mg) 37 63.5 6 27.5

Vitamin B1 (mg) 1.0 1.2 6 0.4

Vitamin B2 (mg) 1.1 1.7 6 0.6

Niacin (mg) 12 19.0 6 5.9

Calcium (g) 833 1180 6 472

Iron (mg) 7.2z 12.3 6 3.2

21.6x —

Women

Vitamin A (RAE) 357 804 6 433

Vitamin C (mg) 37 65.3 6 29.4

Vitamin B1 (mg) 0.9 1.0 6 0.3

Vitamin B2 (mg) 0.9 1.4 6 0.5

Niacin (mg) 11 13.3 6 3.7

Calcium (g) 833 1030 6 359

Iron (mg) 19.6z 9.8 6 2.4y

58.8x —

EAR, estimated average requirements for adults aged 19–50 y [37]; RAE, retino

* Data as means 6 SDs.y Values below the EAR values and thus nutritionally inadequate.z Based on 15% bioavailability, used for European samples.x Based on 5% bioavailability, used for Mesoamerican samples.

from F&V (Table 6, Fig. 1). With respect to variety in

F&V consumption, only the Netherlands did not qualify

with respect to our investigator-generated criterion (Table 5).

Recommendation 5: Starchy or protein-rich foods of plantorigin

As presented in Table 6 and Figure 1, the pooled sample

mean for contribution of other plant foods was within the

WCRF/AICR target range for Guatemala. The European

sites’ samples and Mexico fell below the classificatory range.

With respect to variety within the starchy and protein-rich

food groups, Mexico had by far the greater variety ratio score,

followed by Guatemala, within the range of adequacy estab-

lished by the investigators (Table 5). The proscription for

energy contribution of refined sugar to the diet for a popula-

tion is not to exceed 10% of total energy. For all four sites’

pooled samples, sugar contribution was greater than the

threshold level to the estimated energy intakes (Table 6).

Recommendation 6: Alcoholic drinks

The criterion threshold for ethanol consumption has a gen-

der differential due to the lesser expression of hepatic alcohol

dehydrogenase in women [21]. The drinking practices for

both sexes in the European samples produced alcohol con-

sumption in excess of the WCRF/AICR standard. The Meso-

american samples were in concordance and alcohol intake

was especially low in women (Table 6, Fig. 1).

selected micronutrients assessed across all four sites*

Scotland Mexico Guatemala

1033 6 482 1140.3 6 1025.3 1736 6 1660

61.5 6 27.7 174.5 6 126.4 300.0 6 145.7

2.3 6 2.7 2.5 6 1.2 2.6 6 0.9

2.5 6 0.8 3.4 6 2.8 2.9 6 1.3

26.7 6 9.6 29.6 6 13.8 33.0 6 12.0

1355 6 501 1317.5 6 664.3 1510 6 568

14.1 6 4.5 — —

— 62.8 6 33.5 43.2 6 17.4

894 6 420 1205.1 6 1124.9 1593 6 1513

62.1 6 27.4 174.6 6 124.1 280.0 6 146.2

2.4 6 3.5 2.1 6 0.9 2.3 6 0.9

2.2 6 0.8 2.6 6 2.0 2.4 6 1.2

22.2 6 7.8 23.8 6 10.3 27.2 6 10.1

1174 6 474 1149.6 6 539.6 1373 6 528

12.0 6 3.7y — —

— 56.3 6 31.3y 36.4 6 14.5y

l activity equivalents

Table 5

Concordance of four population samples with World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute of Cancer Research population-level goals lacking established

population average criteria

Population goal component Evaluation criteria* The Netherlandsy Scotlandy Mexicoy Guatemalay

1b Varied diets (%) 30 27.4 6 6.3z 24.6 6 6.2z 29.3 6 9.5z 30.5 6 9.2

1c Based primarily on foods of plant origin (plant-to-animal ratio) >0.50 0.62 6 0.11 0.64 6 0.11 0.72 6 0.13 0.84 6 0.09

4a Variety of fruits and vegetables (%) 30 26.2 6 10.0z 32.1 6 12.4 32.2 6 15.6 39.0 6 15.2

5a Variety of starchy or protein-rich foods of plant origin (%) 30 6.7 6 24.9z 18.5 6 22.9z 57.5 6 25.2 31.8 6 13.7

* Criteria derived by the present investigators.y Data are means 6 SDs.z Values outside the established recommended range of intake.

M. Vossenaar et al. / Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–52 47

Recommendation 7: Meat

The average consumption of red meat was well below

the 10% energy contribution criterion of the WCRF/AICR

for the Scottish and Guatemalan samples, but fell just below

the cutoff level for the Dutch and Mexican samples (Table 6,

Fig. 1).

Recommendation 8: Total fats and oils

The European samples greatly exceeded the upper bound-

ary for dietary fats and oils, whereas for the Mesoamerican

samples intake of lipids from the diet were within the 15%

to 30% limits specified in the WCRF/AICR recommenda-

tions (Table 6, Fig. 1).

Discussion

As the scientific evidence for linkages between risk

of chronic diseases and personal behaviors and exposures,

including eating patterns and food selection, have strengthened

[22–25], health guidelines have proliferated [26–32]. How-

ever, to have a beneficial impact on health, the guideline recom-

mendations must be adhered to by the population. The public

health strategies are quite distinct, depending on whether cus-

tom or culture is already leading the populace (in which

instance, the task is maintaining the habits against pressures

for change) or whether dominant practices are conducive to

Table 6

Concordance of four population samples with World Cancer Research Fund/Amer

population average criteria

Population goal Evaluation cr

2 Population average body mass indices throughout adult life 21–23 kg/m2

4b Vegetables and fruits �7 en%

5c Starchy and protein-rich foods of plant origin 45–60 en%

5d Refined sugar <10 en%

6 Alcoholic drinks 5 en% for me

2.5% en% for

7 Red meat (beef, lamb, pork) <10% en%

8 Total fats and oils 15–30 en%

en%, energy percentage

* Data as means 6 SDs.y Values outside the World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute of Cancer

chronic diseases. As such, it is inherently necessary to deter-

mine how widely and how well the populations or individuals

of interest are adhering to the prescription of the guidance.

Limitations

The findings must be interpreted in the context of a host of

acknowledged caveats and limitations related to design fea-

tures and the essential nature of the WCRF/AICR recommen-

dations themselves [4]. An extensive critique of the pitfalls

and nuances in creating operative criteria to evaluate concor-

dance with the WCRF/AICR recommendations has been

described elsewhere [11]. It cites internal inconsistencies

and vague and gratuitous language as impediments to sys-

tematic translation of the recommendations into operative

criteria for evaluation. The aforementioned review revealed

that not all of the components of the population goals could

be assessed in a questionnaire format. Even with a prospective

design of instruments, honed to address the specific situations

prescribed in the WCRF/AICR report [4], evaluating the con-

cordance of the samples with respect to numerous recom-

mendations eluded the most diligent attempts to gather the

relevant information. We thus operationalized and used

12 components (Table 2) among 8 of the 15 WCRF/AICR

recommendations (Table 1).

Furthermore, cultural differences in the conception of

foods were encountered. For instance, with respect to ba-

nanas; in the Mesoamerican population, these could well be

ican Institute of Cancer Research population-level goals with established

iteria The Netherlands* Scotland* Mexico* Guatemala*

25.7 6 4.3y 25.9 6 4.3y 26.5 6 4.5y 24.9 6 4.1y

6.6 6 4.5y 6.9 6 5.3y 5.2 6 3.8y 8.2 6 4.1

40.2 6 7.6y 41.3 6 8.1y 37.2 6 15.1y 57.8 6 14.8

10.9 6 5.2y 13.0 6 6.8y 19.7 6 9.0y 27.0 6 9.3y

n 6.7 6 6.0y 6.9 6 7.5y 1.3 6 1.9 1.4 6 3.0

women 4.0 6 5.4y 3.5 6 3.7y 0.4 6 1.1 0.4 6 1.0

9.3 6 4.7 5.7 6 3.7 9.9 6 4.6 6.4 6 4.5

36.6 6 5.0y 35.8 6 6.6y 27.8 6 5.8 27.5 6 5.4

Research recommended range of intake.

Fig. 1. Population sample distributions of (A) body mass index, (B) fruit and vegetable intake (en%), (C) starchy food intake (en%), (D) refined sugar intake

(en%), (E) alcoholic drink intake in men (en%), (F) alcoholic drink intake in women (en%), (G) red meat intake (en%), and (H) total fat and oil intake

(en%). Line with crosses is the Dutch sample (n¼ 1052), dashed line is the Scottish sample (n¼ 849), continuous line is the Mexican sample (n¼ 790), and

line with triangles is the Guatemalan sample (n¼ 873). Vertical dotted lines represent the World Cancer Fund/American Institute of Cancer Research recommen-

dations. en%, energy percentage.

M. Vossenaar et al. / Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–5248

Table 7

Comparative tabulation of population goal criteria applied to pooled samples of each national site

Population goal or goal component The Netherlands Scotland Mexico Guatemala

1a Nutritionally adequate diets O O O O1b Varied diets 0 0 0 O1c Based primarily on foods of plant origin O O O O2 Population average body mass indices throughout adult life within 21–23 kg/m2 0 0 0 0

4a Variety of vegetables and fruits 0 O O O4b Vegetables and fruits to provide �7% of energy 0 0 0 O5a Variety of starchy or protein-rich foods of plant origin 0 0 O O5c Starchy and protein-rich foods of plant origin to provide 45–60% of energy 0 0 0 O5d Refined sugar to provide <10% of energy 0 0 0 0

6 Restrict to <5% total energy for men and <2.5% total energy for women 0 0 O O7 Red meat (beef, lamb, pork) to provide <10% of energy O O O O8 Total fats and oils to provide 15% to �30% total energy 0 0 O O

Total number of recommendation components within recommended range 3 4 7 10

0, values outside World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute of Cancer Research or established recommended range of intake; O, values within World

Cancer Research Fund/American Institute of Cancer Research or established recommended range of intake

M. Vossenaar et al. / Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–52 49

separated from the fruit group, whereas in the European sam-

ple they were bundled up with the rest of the fruits. All four

samples consider bananas as fruits, but in Europe they are of-

ten the only fruit consumed and in Mesoamerica they are one

of a large variety of fruits. Another example is potatoes,

which are seen as vegetables in Mesoamerica and a starchy

staple in Europe.

Further limitations were uncovered in the phase of the

study design, data collection, and data analysis. First is the

use of convenience samples at all sites except the Nether-

lands; this limits any pretext to national representation. More-

over, in the form that our population samples were stratified

in a strict equal tripartite fashion, the representation of the

whole nation was distorted. Unevenness in application of

questions across nations or in their interpretation and

response would inherently distort the quantitative relations

between samples. Further limitations are the use of the

food-frequency instruments, which are likely to evoke

over-reporting [33], limited validation studies, and the lack

of calibration between the questionnaires applied in each

population sample. In the context of the issues under evalua-

tion in the Concordance study, this would tend to bring the

Table 8

Comparison of central tendency values of aggregated scores for comparably evaluate

survey sample of Valdes-Ramos et al. [5] and the present combined Guatemalan s

WCRF/AICR recommendation Energy percen

WCRF/AICR

population goa

4 Vegetables & fruits �7

5a Protein-rich foods of plant origin 45–60

5b Refined sugar <10

7 Red meat <10

8 Total fat and oils 15–30

WCRF/AICR, World Cancer Research Fund/American Institute of Cancer Rese

* Data are means 6 SDs.y Values outside WCRF/AICR recommended range of intake.

population mean closer to concordant levels when higher

amounts are favorable (such as in nutrient adequacy and con-

sumption of foods of plant origins), and further from concor-

dant levels when higher amounts are adverse (such as red

meat, fat, and ethanol consumption). We openly accept that

such distortions may exist in our intersample comparisons,

artificially narrowing or expanding the apparent differences

across nations.

Furthermore, the use of food composition data specific to

each site could influence relative comparability [34–36].

Comparative generalizations on geographic comparisons inconcordance

We can see, in the broadest terms, however, that the number

of population-goal recommendation components in concor-

dance with the study’s common operative criteria was higher

for the Mesoamerican samples than in Europe (Table 7). The

Guatemalan pooled sample was concordant with 10 of possible

12 population components. These findings can be compared

with the only near homologous evaluation in the literature,

that of Valdes-Ramos et al. [5], also for a Guatemalan

d WCRF/AICR 1997 population goal criteria in Guatemala in the Santa Rosa

ample in the Concordance Project

tage

l

Santa Rosa Province,

Guatemala*

Pooled sample,

Concordance Project,

Guatemala*

15.8 6 12.3 8.2 6 4.1

68.0 6 13.7y 57.8 6 14.8

6.1 6 4.8 27.0 6 9.3y

2.5 6 2.4 6.4 6 4.5

24.5 6 14.9 27.5 6 5.4

arch

M. Vossenaar et al. / Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–5250

convenience sample. The comparative sample averages are

listed in Table 8. Notably, the collective subjects of the Santa

Rosa province had generally lower mean energy contributions

than those in the Concordance Project sample. The fact that our

stratification design pooled in urban middle-class and urban

low-income subjects, with less of the traditional Guatemalan

food culture influence, probably explains the difference across

two Guatemalan samples applying homologous field methods

and evaluation criteria.

Guatemala was followed by the Mexican Yucatan sample

with concordance for 7 criteria of 12 total components for the

Mexican Yucatan sample. In the European sites, we con-

firmed concordance with four components in Scotland and

three components in the Netherlands. In the most global

sense, this is driven by the plant-based nature of the Meso-

american cuisine, which derives from Mayan agricultural

culture [37]. It is worth noting the reflection of this concor-

dance pattern with worldwide cancer mortality statistics

available for 2002 for the four nations. Age-standardized

mortality rates for malignant neoplasms were significantly

lower in the Mesoamerican regions examined (93 per 100

000 in Guatemala and 88 per 100 000 in Mexico) when com-

pared with the European sites (143 per 100 000 in the United

Kingdom and 155 per 100 000 in the Netherlands) [38]. Al-

though these data are not for the specific survey locations,

they broadly reflect local rates. Besides a difference in total

mortality rates, differences in cancer sites were observed.

In Guatemala, cancer of the stomach was the most prevalent

cancer followed by liver cancer. In the European sites, lung,

colon, and breast cancers were the most prevalent. In Mexico,

lung cancer was the most prevalent, but rates were lower than

in the European sites. This was followed by stomach cancer,

but rates were lower than in Guatemala [38].

Specific issues of concordance at selective population-goalcomponents

Given the complexity of the recommendation scheme of

the WCRF/AICR report [4], a differential look at the various

recommendations and their components is enlightening.

Unfortunately, for assessment of nutrient adequacy, a compo-

nent of recommendation 1, only seven micronutrients could

be analyzed in common across all sites to characterize the sta-

tus of the samples. The limitation in generating micronu-

trient-adequacy data was not related to the FFQ, but rather

to the range of nutrients provided in national food composi-

tion databases, especially for Mexican Yucatan cuisine. The

results listed in Table 4 generally confirm, however, that all

site-specific study samples had mean micronutrient intakes

that exceeded the EAR values for the United Nations system

[39], with the exception of mean iron intakes in women in all

four nations. This would suggest that all sites are concordant

with having an adequate diet. Moreover, the sample averages

exceeded the corresponding EARs by several multiples for

many of the micronutrients. Given the FFQ basis of the

estimates, the acknowledged tendency toward over-reporting

[33] could be yielding overestimation of micronutrient

intakes. Because the EAR means are absolute, diagnostic

values, however, energy adjustment would be inappropriate

in the classification process.

A certain degree of construct validity can be seen in the

relative across-site comparisons. For instance, vitamin A in-

take is higher in Guatemala, a country in which table sugar is

fortified with retinyl palmitate at levels of 10 retinol activity

equivalents per gram of granulated sugar. Iron intakes, al-

though not meeting the bioavailability-adjusted EAR for

Mesoamerican women, is manifold higher in Mexico and

Guatemala compared with the European sites. This is consis-

tent with the high intakes of unrefined plant foods (legumes,

maize), which provide large amounts of iron of a low biolog-

ical availability [40]. Calcium intakes are more than adequate

across the pooled national samples. This is driven by dairy

product consumption in northern Europe, but related to in-

take of lime-treated maize items in Mesoamerica. Moreover,

there is a consistently higher estimated calcium intake in the

tortilla-dependent localities of Mexico and Guatemala. Vita-

min C intake follows the hierarchy of observed F&V intake.

It is several times higher in the Guatemalan sample, a group

that was concordant with the recommended intake greater

than 400 g/d.

With respect to ‘‘predominantly plant-based’’ and ‘‘var-

ied’’ as qualifiers of recommended intake patterns, the

WCRF/AICR report [4] gave no guidance; the investigators

offered logical, de novo target average criteria. Taking ‘‘pre-

dominantly’’ in the literal sense of over 50%, plants were

dominant at all sites. The essential averages for variety at

the whole diet level for recommendation 1 were closely

bunched numerically between a low of 25 in the Netherlands

to 31 in Guatemala, but only the latter exceeded the target cri-

terion.

In regard to maintenance of body weight domain, the

mean of each of the four pooled survey samples was at or

above 23 kg/m2, the criterion level for overweight [20]. As

shown in the distribution histograms in Figure 1, almost

half of each sample was in the overweight category. Obesity,

with a BMI in excess of 30 kg/m2, was found, respectively, in

13%, 15%, 20%, and 11% of the samples from the Nether-

lands, Scotland, Mexico, and Guatemala. In the larger

scheme of prevention of cancer risk, this weight maintenance

observation is a worrying finding as overweight and obesity

emerge as ever stronger risk factors for malignancies [1].

For the population goal of F&V contributing at least 7% of

total dietary energy, we admittedly have inconsistencies at

the point of data collection across the sites as discussed in MA-

TERIALS AND METHODS. However, because the sample means

were around 4 percentage points from the 45% threshold,

these are unlikely to have raised the starchy food contribution

to the requisite level for concordance.

Across all pooled national samples there was uniform

non-adherence to the recommendation to limit sugar con-

sumption to less than 10% of total energy. The European

samples came close to being concordant. In Mesoamerica,

M. Vossenaar et al. / Nutrition 26 (2010) 40–52 51

the samples exceeded the target criterion by more than two-

fold and almost three-fold. Our uniform approach across all

sites was to estimate not only the granulated table sugar

added to beverages, cereals, and fruits at the table, but also

the refined sugar contained within processed products such

as soft drinks, sweet rolls, and pastries.

All sites were concordant with a less than 10% energy con-

tribution of red meats, with Mexico very near the threshold

level. Excessive consumption of alcoholic beverages gener-

ated a partition among continents, with the European sites

above the recommendation and the Mesoamerican sites well

below the cutoff value. The final example of this partition

came with contribution of fats and oils; like alcohol bever-

ages, Mexico and Guatemala were the only sites concordant

with the targets for average energy contribution from lipids.

The fact that we have generated the histographic distribu-

tions of the variables measured to calculate the population-

goal concordance (Fig. 1) provides a unique opportunity to

examine real-life variance in population samples. No generic

conclusions can be derived from the visualization of the

actual width of the variance around the mean and the magni-

tudes of the upper and lower tails of the distributions. The

kurtosis of the distributions was a function of the variable

of interest and the sample site. The experience with our

nations suggests that, for variables such as total contribution

of starchy and protein-rich foods and alcoholic drinks, a pop-

ulation with a concordant average could have a substantial

segment of the population in a high excess intake range.

Since the conclusion of analysis of these data, the WCRF/

AICR published a new set of eight recommendations at two

levels: public health goals and personal recommendations

[41]. In this new report, population goals are set within

a time range of 10 y, e.g., ‘‘population average consumption

of sugary drinks to be halved every 10 years.’’ This makes the

monitoring over a 10-y frame essential for the assessment of

concordance. The details and challenges of evaluating con-

cordance with these revised recommendations (and indeed

other recommendations for chronic disease) remain challeng-

ing for nutritional epidemiology.

Conclusions

The evaluation of compliance or concordance with the

tenets of health guidelines is a necessary—but challenging—

undertaking. It is safe to conclude that creating an evaluation

instrument prospectively designed to assess the components

of the guidelines is superior in its scope than relying on conven-

tional nutritional surveys as was contemplated or done in the

past [5–7]. The present study was challenged by residual ambi-

guities in the wording of the population goals by the framers

[11], by inconsistencies and non-comparability in the variables

across study sites, and by the myriad of population goals that, in

fact, cannot be gauged from questioning the populace.

Within the limitations of comparability and sampling ac-

knowledged here, we see more concordance with compo-

nents of the WCRF/AICR recommendations in Guatemala

than in the other participating sites and the two northern Eu-

ropean samples fell short of concordance for a wide array of

the components examined. We postulate, therefore, that ef-

forts to maintain currently positive practices is the strategic

priority in Central America, whereas efforts at behavioral

reorientation are needed in Europe to bring the populations

into compliance. Our comparison across the four sites

showed different dietary patterns; this not only affects pri-

mary risk or protection from cancers, but also has implica-

tions for different interactions with specific dietary

constituents [42]. For future progress in this line of investiga-

tion, increasingly more representative samples must be en-

rolled to better reflect concordance or compliance across

a population or subpopulation of public health interest.

Acknowledgments

The authors gratefully acknowledge the remaining mem-

bers of the Concordance Project group: Professor M. E. J.

Lean at the University of Glasgow, Scotland, and Professor

J. C. Seidell and Dr. Marga C. Ocke at the National Institute

of Public Health and the Environment (RIVM), Bilthoven,

The Netherlands. Furthermore, they thank Ms. Evelyn May-

orga and Ms. Cristina Gasque for coordinating data collec-

tion in Guatemala and Mexico, respectively, and the Food

Standards Agency for providing access to dietary survey

data.

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