amazon: there is hope! if we all do ‘the right thing’… deforestation, protected areas and...

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WWF Living Amazon Initiative Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future? WWF LAI Internal Report by Cláudio C. Maretti, Leader Living Amazon Initiative WWF Network Member of the World Commission on Protected Areas of IUCN

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WWF Living Amazon Initiative

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’…

Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous

Territories:

Past, evolution and…

Which future?

WWF LAI Internal Report

by Cláudio C. Maretti, Leader

Living Amazon Initiative WWF Network

Member of the World Commission on Protected Areas of IUCN

Preliminary citation:

Maretti, C.C. 2014. Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’…; Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?. Brasília, WWF Living Amazon Initiative; internal report. 43 p + appendix etc. (total 49 p.)

Main sources and references to the data associated:

On deforestation:

Terra-i. 2014. Raw data on Amazon countries deforestation: www.terra-i.org. (Last updated data downloaded in 2014 Jan. 20.) Centro Internacional de Agricultura Tropical (Ciat), The Nature Conservancy (TNC), the School of Business and Engineering (HEIG-VD) and King’s College London (KCL). (Not published.)

(See also Reymondin, 2012. Used, adapted and reinterpreted by C.C. Maretti, 2014.)

On protected areas:

Riveros S., J. C.; 2013a (Jan.) Raw organised data collected from several sources in organised spreadsheet (following themes, etc.) and graphs on Amazon protected areas and indigenous territory. (Not published.)

(Prepared to be used for Riveros, 2013 and Riveros et alii, 2014. Main original sources: Bolivia – SERNANP, FAN Bolivia, Ministerio de Medio Ambiente y Agua; Brazil – Ministério do Meio Ambiente; Colombia –Sistema de Parques Nacionales Naturales; Ecuador –Ecociencia, TNC; French Guiana – Guiana Shield Initiative, DIREN Guyane, WWF; Guyana – Guiana Shield Initiative, WWF; Peru – SERNANP; Suriname –Guiana Shield Initiative, WWF; and Venezuela –ECOSIG. Used, adapted and reinterpreted by C.C. Maretti, 2014. WWF preliminary internal draft.)

Data on indigenous territories:

RAISG. 2010. Raw organised data collected from several sources in organised spreadsheet on Amazon indigenous territories (for RAISG, 2012, and others). Red Amazónica de Información Socioambiental Georreferenciada . (Not published.)

(Organised probably for RAIS, 2012. Obtained by Riveros 2013a for Riveros 2013 and Riveros et alii, 2014. Used, adapted and reinterpreted by C.C. Maretti, 2014. Only for our internal use. Not for diffusion.)

Amazon limits and ecoregions:

WWF. 2007-08 (ANI/LAI). Amazon strategy planning internal work – (to the WWF 2009). (Not published.)

WWF (Amazon Offices, others). 2009 (May). Amazon Network Initiative Strategic Plan – Amazonia Viva / Living Amazon. WWF. 148 p. + annexes. (Version 2.0.)

Complementary sources and others in ‘Bibliography and sources’

See summary on the WWF Living Amazon Initiative at the end.

1

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’…

Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution

and… Which future?

Cláudio C. Marettii

Amazon, Amazoniasii

There are different ‘Amazons’ according to how they are defined, for their boundaries

vary and they are perceived in different ways. The most frequently used boundaries are

based on the hydrography, the ecology and on legal-political-administrative

considerations. The most commonly used and the less disputed boundaries are those of

the ‘Amazon river basin’. It is arguable, however, that for many people the most

important concept is the ecological Amazon. It is usually defined by the tropical

rainforest bio-geographic domain. In the region, it is also called the ‘Amazon biome’ due

to the association of the regional domain with the global tropical rainforest biome. This

is the main definition adopted here. A legal-political-administrative region is defined by

the countries in the Amazon Cooperation Treaty Organization (ACTO). (Map 1)

Map 1. Map with limits of the Amazon: river basin, bio-geographic domain (biome) and legal-political-administrative limits (based on WWF [LAI], 2007-08, not published)

i Leader of the WWF’s Living Amazon Initiative ([email protected])d). Thanks are due for the collaboration, revision or comments by Claude Martin, Alejandro Coca C., Louis Reymondin, Denise Oliveira, André S. Dias, Juan Carlos Riveros S., Robert Hofstede, and others. Also based on WWF internal reports, such as Riveros et alii, 2014 (including or updating Riveros, 2013 and 2013a); and others, and other information from Terra-i, 2014; RAISG, 2010; Coca-Castro et alii, 2013 and 2013a; and others. (For the methodology of Terra-i, see Reymondin et alii, 2012, as well as www.terra-i.org.) ii Also based on WWF, 2007-08 and 2009 – not much different from Eva & Huber, 2005. See also in RAISG, 2012.

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

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Many other Amazons could be defined using economic, cultural and social criteria. They

differ in their content (mystic, economic, cultural, natural resources, or others) and

limits (possibly different from the ones presented here), as well as purposes, interests

and associated rights (indigenous peoples, local communities, national governments,

land tenure/dominion, concessions, etc.). Nevertheless, the Amazon is one of the

world’s best known regions, with a significant core of common understanding.

However, there are also differences on many aspects and a series of interests and rights

are under dispute, and we all take sides, explicitly or not. Therefore, we should all be

better informed to enable us to decide in a conscious way. This paper hopes to help

towards providing better information for better decision making.

Natural features, ecosystem processes and servicesi

One of the most important remaining natural regions in the world, the Amazon is

number one in biodiversity. On this front, everything is superlative. More species of

primates can be found in the Amazon than anywhere else on Earth. It contains the

world’s richest diversity of birds, butterflies and other taxa. It has well over a thousand

species of birds and amphibians and several hundred species of both mammals and

reptiles. With some estimates as high as 9,000, this is the region with the largest

number of freshwater fish species. To date, at least some 40,000 plant species have been

found there. For the largest groups of living beings, such as the invertebrates, however,

it is almost impossible to list, so large the number could be and so little we know about

them; not to mention microorganisms. In short, the region probably includes 10% of the

world’s known biodiversity.

Furthermore some numbers rapidly become outdated due the huge extent of many of

the unique habitats, the inaccessibility of much of the vast Amazon region and the

endless discoveries. Between 1999 and 2013, scientists discovered, classified and

presented at least 1,661 new species of plants and vertebrates in the Amazon. The new

species include 40 mammals, 34 birds, 274 amphibians, 77 reptiles, 341 fish, and 895

species of plants. It also houses endemic and endangered flora and fauna. It is the

world’s last refuge for threatened species such as harpy eagles and pink river dolphins.

There are also jaguars, giant otters, scarlet macaws, southern two-toed sloths, pygmy

marmosets, saddleback and emperor tamarins, Goeldi’s monkeys and howler monkeys.

The Amazon is the world’s largest river basin. It holds about 12-20% of the world’s

global freshwater. The Amazon is also very important for its carbon stock. It is

estimated that the region contains almost 10% of the global reserve of carbon stored in

land ecosystems. There the greatest amount of living matter per unit area of the world

can be found. The role of the Amazon in climate stability and functioning is even more

important than the amount of carbon it stores. The Amazon biome drives the

atmospheric circulation in the tropics by absorbing energy and recycling about half of

the rain which falls on it. That highly energetic biosphere-atmosphere ‘pump’ is a very

important condition for the rain that falls in other parts of the continent, particularly in

guiding moisture to its central-southern zone.

i Also based on Jenkins et alii, 2013; Jenkins, 2012; RedParques et alii, 2010; Reid et alii, 2005; Ruesch & Gibbs, 2008; Scharlemann et alii [no date]; WWF, 2007-08, 2010 and 2013; and others.

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

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Amazon is locally and globally important in all the ecosystem services categories

(supporting, provisioning, regulating, and cultural) and for all components of human

well-being (security, basic material for good life, health, good social relations and

freedom of choice and action). Biodiversity resources have been the basis of local,

national, regional and world economies and are used for food, building houses, making

tools and utensils for manufacturing (textiles, handicrafts, pharmaceuticals,

biotechnology, wood, dye, perfumes, resins, gums, oils, etc.) and also in socio-cultural

ceremonies and rituals. The Amazonian ecosystems, including biological and physical

processes, also directly and indirectly provide other goods and services essential to

humanity, among which the regulation of hydrological cycles, climate regulation

(moderation of floods, droughts, extreme temperatures, wind forces), carbon

sequestration, oxygen production, soil conservation, erosion control and the control of

pests and diseases.

Human occupation, historical glimpsesi

Humans have lived in the Amazon region for at least 11,000 years. After the arrival of

the Europeans, peoples from Africa were brought in and peoples from Asia also arrived

in the region. Their settlements and exploration of natural resources provoked strong

impacts on the indigenous peoples – mainly through slavery, genocide and forced

settling close to villages. There were historically important immigration movements

related to the extraction of rubber, mostly related to the two big wars of the 20th

century, or to the industrialization of the US and Europe, particularly the automobile

industry. Nevertheless, roughly up until the 2nd World War the occupation of the

Amazon was mostly sparse, with very low density and with relatively small impacts on

nature.

From the mid-20th century up to now, first in Brazil and later in the other countries, the

Amazon has seen an intensification of human occupation and use of natural resources,

including land, minerals, and sources of energy. Equally important have been the

geopolitical interests, related to the domination of the territory, with issues such as of

‘national security’ (borders, etc.) and ‘national integration’, including establishment of

roads, settlements and military presence. Besides their direct effect, the roads open the

way for more settlement and more intense use of resources. Also, exploration and

exploitation of minerals, oil and gas and hydropower indirectly attract more people and

promote settlement and use of natural resources.

Currently, the region is inhabited by various human groups. Land use ranges from

industrial zones to historical cities, as well as local communities (rubber tappers,

riverine settlers, etc.), African-descendant communities and indigenous peoples (385,

with 60 of them living in voluntary isolation). Around 33 million people live in the

Amazon region today. Farmers and ranchers represent a very important but diverse

universe, with a composition ranging from the descendants of the old settlers to

newcomers, from small land holders, including those who came in under the aegis of

i Also based on May et alii, 2011 (on processes related to deforestation); Maretti et alii, 2005 (synthesis on rubber exploitation, ‘extractivists movement’ and extractive reserves); RAISG, 2012; RedParques et alii, 2010; WWF, 2009; and others.

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

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agrarian reform, to big land owners and supposed ranchers with a significant amount of

land illegally or irregularly acquired.

In the absence of good planning, good economic guidance and the presence of the State-

related powers to regulate human activities, an important share of that occupation is

irregular and the main consequences of that include violence against the traditional

dwellers or even against more recently established small settlers, as well as other social

disturbances (prostitution, diseases, slave-like labour conditions, etc.), over-

exploitation of some resources and degradation of the ecosystems, including

deforestation. Over the years variations have occurred, including some reduction in the

degradation impetus between the 1980’s and the 2000’s, due to the resistance of

Amazonian peoples and the national and international demand for human rights and

nature conservation, but they have been unable either to completely stop or to reverse

the intense process. Unfortunately, from the end of 1990’s, the tendency has been the

opposite, and basically the same processes from before have been taken up again, but

now on a much larger scale that includes stronger connections to global markets, both

as a consequence and, at the same time, one of the causes of the emerging economic

growth of several South American countries.

Nowadays the search for land, energy sources and minerals as well as the continuation

of opening accesses has become more intensive than ever. Important representatives of

the current phase are the relatively recent ‘invasion’ of soya plantations in the southern

Brazilian Amazon (mostly Mato Grosso), the access to the oil and gas deposits in the

Amazonian part of the Andean countries, more technical and capital intensive cattle

ranching in several parts (including the state of Pará), and the reactivation of

hydroelectric projects (that were on hold from 20+ years ago due to the earlier

resistance to building dams in the Xingu river basin), besides the continuation of road

building and renewal, and the ups and downs of mining.

Deforestation

Underlying causes, drivers, threats and processesi

In the early stages of European presence the Amazon represented the possibility of

riches, real or not – such as the “El Dorado” legend. However, the region remained

almost ‘forgotten’ from the main interventions for centuries, with the exception of one

or other resource exploited here or there (minerals, rubber, etc.), until the relatively

recent attention, from mid-20th century on. However, the myths of abundance of land

and ‘endless resources’ and the supposed or imposed right to access and exploit them

for whoever arrived ‘first’ have been subjacent to all the various long processes. On the

one hand, the control over the land and other natural resources enabled the formation

of new economic and political elites or the strengthening of the pre-existing ones, in

each phase throughout the history of the region. On the other hand, following the

historical quest for dominion, ‘grabbing’ and ‘developing’ (clearing, deforesting, etc.) the

land and resources have been a source of economic and social ascension, real or hoped

i Also based on Velarde, 2010; Che Piu & Menton, 2013; May et alii, 2011; Pacheco et alii, 2011a; Pautrat et alii, 2009; and others. There is no clear consensus in the literature, but the use of the terms drivers, underlying causes, and threats, is relatively common although not always with the same definition or relating to the same elements. See also notes below for more geographically referred references.

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

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for. While greed can certainly be seen in all that, on the other hand, the relative poverty

of an important portion of the related societies, and the struggle to overcome it, has also

been a key element throughout the region’s history.

Therefore, there are some interlinked elements functioning as enabling conditions and

drivers for the deforestation processes, including: the culture, attitudes related to

occupation and domination processes, or ‘what nature has to offer’ and the ‘right to

grab’ and take control over land and resources; production dependency on the open

fields model for agriculture and ranching (imported centuries ago from other climatic,

bio-geographical and cultural zones of the world, but still prevalent in the Amazon

processes); the Colonial governments and then the ‘National’ States territorial conquest

and consolidation; the need to make a show in land ‘grabbing’ processes (including the

most visible possible signs of occupation and domain), in some cases associated to de

facto subsidies; minerals and oil and gas exploitation, hydropower production and

similar interests in resources; transportation/access improvement; land distribution;

social ascension interests; lack of governmental presence; etc.

Deforestation is generated by highly entangled and complex processes. Usually several

different factors and drivers (direct and underlying ones) combine to generate the

‘results’ seen – and there are multiple consequences, including negative ones. Among

the deforestation-associated processes are: new ‘developments’ (roads, dam

constructions, mining, settlements, etc.) attracting people; government-driven

settlement; easier access to forest resources; land ‘grabbing’, speculation or acquisition;

food production; land-related wealth concentration; new mining or oil and gas

exploitation; expansion of land use by small land holders; illegal crops; etc. The

processes above can quite often be linked to each other and are also interlinked to the

enabling conditions and the direct or indirect drivers. Deforestation can represent: a

real need (direct farming, for instance) or an economic one (for root capital, for

example); an ‘occupation’ or ‘production’ demonstration (for financial flow, for

instance), even if it is fake (as in land ‘grabbing’ processes); settlement promoted

directly (commercial ventures, for instance) or indirectly (through access

improvement), or deliberately (for inhabiting borders related to territorial control, for

instance) or unintentionally (migration attracted by jobs expectation around

hydropower dam building or mines, for instance); or other interests.

Deforestation processes

Although the deforestation processes are usually different according to the places and

times, and usually interconnected as well as linked to several causes and drivers, some

examples of more or less generic processes can be described as follows:

• New developments (attraction points, areas or fronts), such as road or dam

constructions, mining or drilling new areas, new settlements, etc. (for instance,

Tucuruí, Carajás, Camisea, Jirau, Putumayo…), attract people, either in the hope of

the jobs offered, or in an attempt to take advantage of activities parallel to the main

venture. Associated new demands for housing and farming (or ranching) either

directly open new areas (legally or not), or become a pressure fuelling land

speculation or land grabbing.

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• Governments interested in land settlement (Rondônia and Mato Grosso, for

instance), for different reasons which are often combined (occupation of the borders

to assure national territory control; food production; alternative for poor landless

people; etc.) approve new legislation or directly open the land for concessions, for

selling cheaply or for giving it to interested parties. Infrastructure (such as

transportation and others) may be provided by the governments involved or

requested as a counterpart by those who receive the land.

• Better access, such as a new road (legal or irregular, usually but not necessarily

unpaved at first) (Porto Velho–Rio Branco, BR-364, Rondônia and Acre, Cuiabá–

Santarém, BR-163, Pará and Mato Grosso, for instance), is opened (for several

possible reasons, including politics, new development works, increase in

inhabitants, etc.).

o If opened into a forest area, it will shorten the distances to access high value

timber, frequently with a view to exportation. Usually, irregular loggers go

deeper into the jungle, with the access facilitated by the new road. The small and

irregular dirt roads opened to give access to the high value timber can then be

used to extract lower value timber, usually for local or national markets.

o Once the timber is extracted, the next and the most valuable element is the land –

which, possibly, in the Amazon, would have no legal or well accepted land tenure

documents. Then signs of occupation and dominion might start to appear, such

as fences and signboards, and somebody could be allocated there to ‘take care’ of

the land on behalf of the supposed (possibly false) owner (as in the Brazilian

Amazon, for instance.)

o Depending on whether there were local communities or not beforehand, they

might have been expelled from the land, through cheap payments, gun shots or

fires, either during the timber exploitation (robbery), or most probably during

the initial land grabbing stages (Pará state and others.)

o The easiest, cheapest and most effective way to demonstrate occupation is

through the pretence of cattle ranching – the area is deforested and few,

scattered cows are put in the fields. (Pará, for instance.)

o From this stage on, there could be or not advances in the land ‘ownership’

(dominion), depending on various context conditions (existence or not of other

land designations, corrupt authorities for ‘whitewashing’, economic interests to

continue into higher level investments, etc.). If it does progress, probably two

tracks could be followed, most probably in combination: stabilisation of the

occupation through more intensified ranching and more technical and capital

intensive agriculture (or ranching); and whitewashing paper, titles, documents,

which could include just a request for the land or go as far as bribing judges to

decide that the ‘tenure’ is ‘legal’.

• Land acquired, obtained through different means, becomes productive and the

owners (legal or otherwise) deforest (legally or not) parts of the lands adjacent to

the already converted parts to increase production. (Rondônia, for instance.)

• The increase in production or value of crops generates increase in the demand or in

the prices of land, which in turn promotes land speculation, and land grabbing

elsewhere to feed the latter. (Mato Grosso and others.)

• The discovery of new high value mineral deposits (particularly gold, but also

diamonds or other high value stones or metals) or the increase in the market price

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

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or ‘improvement’ in the buying price of those minerals promotes interest of

newcomers or previous local dwellers. (Most likely no other activity can compete

economically). These would arrive or shift activities, deforest, open, excavate (for

instance, current or old river banks) and/or pollute areas (with mercury, for

example). Usually the social impacts are significant and even more important and

affect the local communities through their direct or indirect engagement or with

their suffering the consequences (Madre de Dios and the Guianas, for example).

• The expansion of land use by of small land holders or even local communities, either

for their livelihoods or for increased participation in local or larger markets, also

usually leads to more deforestation.

o Even if not usually very significant at the beginning, particularly in the case of the

more traditional local communities, in some cases it might progressively become

cumulatively important. One possibility for this to happen is the lack of trust in

the governmental, banking or markets conditions related to forest and

freshwater products. Another could be the ‘attraction’ by the (usually bad)

example of ‘neighbouring’ ranchers (Xapuri, for instance). Investing their small

amounts of resources in animals, including for their savings, can also be a reason.

In any case, there are demands for ‘opening’ new or additional areas.

o For the small farmers, new comers, usually associated to government driven

settlement processes, that expansion trend can be more important, particularly

in the cases where, either they do not adapt their farming or ranching

management to the local (new) conditions and then need to progressively open

new areas in an attempt to cope and produce, or they sell or relate to a larger

‘producer’ (who could also be a land speculator) and expand directly or

indirectly representing the latter. (Transamazônica highway, for instance.)

o Landless farmers or jobless people get into the jungle for survival. Small crops,

including manioc, and when possible some animals, could be the start. The

evolution could be linked to absorption or expulsion by the other occupation

processes.

• Areas are opened for illegal crops (in some Andean-Amazon countries, for example).

Local small farmers are either forced or persuaded to join (it is rarely that any other

crop will pay better). Directly or through pressure the tendency will be to convert

forests into small plantations. After a short period of usually one or a few years, the

illegal crops pressure will go somewhere else. The use or abandon of the previously

used area will depend on the conditions left ‘behind’, including the ones related to

safety and markets.

• Peace processes (Colombia, for example) demand land for settlement of former

military or guerrilleros, or settlement is proposed for political reasons (agrarian

reform, for instance).

New settlements become direct causes of deforestation. Furthermore most processes

indirectly promote more occupation and deforestation and degradation. Usually there is

a core deforestation or ecosystem conversion area, more directly linked to the

intervention, but also a larger indirectly promoted conversion area, besides another

area of ecosystem degradation. Depending on the perspectives of becoming regular

(through ‘whitewashing’ or not) –besides the linkages to the relief of the land

(possibilities of mechanization), access (transportation infrastructure) and soil quality–,

the land tends to value more after the deforestation.

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Sub-regions

On a more general level, there are currently three different trends in Amazon

deforestation: (i) deforestation curbing in Brazil, since around 2004 –with two trends,

contradictory in geography and processes–, but still a very large area deforested per

year; (ii) important increase in deforestation in the last decades in the Andean-Amazon

countries, possibly becoming ‘champions’; and (iii) still small in absolute terms but

increasingly relatively important deforestation in the Guianas. All countries show

contradictory policy and economic trends, pushing for economic and social activities

which promote deforestation pressures as well as proposing regulations to resist or

avoid degradation processes.

Brazil has had important deforestation at least since it started to be monitored by INPE

– with an average of almost 2 million hectares per year from 1977 to 2004, with

important ups and downs between 1.1 and 2.9 million ha. In cumulative terms, from

1978 to 2013, the states with the greatest deforestation have been Pará, Mato Grosso,

Maranhão and Rondônia. In recent times, probably due to its relatively higher earlier

deforestation rate, Maranhão has diminished its gross annual deforestation. Usually

after the years of larger amounts of deforestation (such as 1995 and 2002-04) outcries

were heard and/or actions were taken. Particularly since the development and launch

of the Action Plan for the Prevention and Control of Deforestation in the Legal Amazon

(“PPCDAm”) in 2004, important reduction in deforestation has been achieved in

Brazilian Amazon, and sustained so far. (Graph 1.) Meanwhile, the total area deforested

still keeps growing, and reached some 76 million hectares in 2013, which already

represents some 20% of the original forests. Nevertheless, the total decrease of annual

deforestation from 2004 to 2013 is of 79%. It probably represented a significant sign of

the Brazilian commitment expressed at the UNFCCC CoP 15 in Copenhagen to reduce

80% of the Amazon deforestation by 2020, which was expressed later as a voluntary

national commitment. (All data consider the ‘Legal Amazon’, going beyond the

ecological Amazon and different from the Amazon basin.)i

There have been a series of direct and indirect evaluations of the Brazilian deforestation

curbing and the PPCDAm, most of them offering much valid analysis and contribution

but with partial or biased approaches and conclusions. A thorough interpretation of this

historical process might yet take several years of debates to be completed. PPCDAm has

functioned most of the time as a guiding framework, important to foster engagement,

cooperation across organisations and governmental levels and development of specific

programmes. The political will from higher level and the integrated approach from

different sectors have been very important. The first Action Plan had three fronts: land

i INPE-PRODES measures deforestation from August to July in the ‘Legal Amazon’ (“Amazônia Legal”), which is the area designated by the Brazilian federal government in 1953, including parts of the Cerrado. Although the attention to the Cerrado has increased in the last decade, there has not been a similar level of care as in the Amazon, and this bio-geographic domain has been the one relatively more under threat in Brazil in recent times. Brazilian related information is also based on INPE-PRODES, 2014; IBGE, 2013; Coca-Castro et alii, 2013; and others, some presenting direct and indirect evaluations of the Brazilian deforestation curb or the PPCDAm (“Plano de Ação para a Prevenção e o Controle do Desmatamento na Amazônia Legal”), as IPEA, CEPAL & GIZ, 2011; May et alii, 2011; and others, including some with more attention to the economic factors, such as Assunção et alii, 2012; and others, some with attention more on the roles of protected areas and indigenous territories, as Brasil et alii, 2010-2012; Soares-Fº. et alii, 2009 and 2010; WWF-Brasil et alii, 2009; Jenkins & Joppa, 2009; Ricketts et alii, 2010; and others; among other factors (infra-structure, etc.) and sources.

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

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use planning; deforestation control enforcement; and sustainable economic activities.

There has been a strong influence of food prices and exchange rates on the

deforestation trends, but the policy and governmental enforcement were very

significant in achieving the results. The improvements in monitoring and enforcement

and the focus on areas with the highest deforestation rates have also been important.

Graph 1. Brazilian Amazon Annual Deforestation, in area (million hectares) and percentage of increase every year (from INPE-PRODES, updated in 2014 Jan. 20)i

Two elements were also major factors in helping PPCDAm to deliver the results:

protected areas and indigenous territories; and credit regulations. At the beginning of

PPCDAm, for historical reasons (and because ARPA – the Amazon Region Protected

Areas Programme was fully operational then), the creation and improvement in the

management of protected areas was the main element in delivering deforestation

reduction. Only greater presence of the governmental representatives (promoted by

protected areas, particularly the creation of new ones) has so far proved to be an

important factorii, possibly due also to the reduction of interest in land speculation and

grabbing in areas designated as protected areas and indigenous territories. The

improvement of the management of protected areas tends to make them more effective,

not only internally but also in their surroundings at relatively important distances.

Later in the process, a tighter financial policy related to agriculture and ranching was

crucial. Considering the important role of the almost unregulated ‘rural credit’ in

undesired illegal deforestation and land grabbing, the obvious decision (difficult to

explain why it was not taken before) was to make credit conditional on the legal

i The colours of the bars represent a subjective qualification of the severity of the deforestation year, considering the amount and the preceding years. ii Soares-Fª et alii (2010) demonstrated the role of protected areas in 37% of the deforestation reduction between 2004

and 2006. For the historical evolution, the protected areas might tend to reduce their contributions to this objective as the deforestation continues to reduce in the future.

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-10

2010

-11

2011

-12

2012

-13

incr

ease

(%

)

Are

a (m

illio

n he

ctar

es)

period (years)

Brazilian Amazon Annual Deforestation (INPE-PRODES, 2014)

area (Mi hectares) increment (%)

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

10

conditions of the farms and ranches in terms of environmental compliance and legal

ownership and it has been hugely important.

Far from being a completed task, the context evolution contains serious gaps and

contradictions. The third pillar (promotion of sustainable economic activities) is the one

that has been performing least satisfactorily and is probably the one most needed for

the long term sustainability of the deforestation curbing (hopefully tending to zero).

This is true for the activities directly linked to the PPCDAm and for the ones without any

clear relation to it. Due to the focused control, but also to the fact that the contradictions

continue in the form of governmental infrastructure and economic activities in the

Amazon, the deforestation is no longer strong only in the ‘deforestation crescent’, but

has started to go deeper into the Amazon and to become more disperse. Due to the

relative efficiency of deforestation control, the large deforested areas have tended to

become reduced, but there has been a rise in the proportion of smaller areas, probably

resulting both from the reduction in the size of the areas deforested by larger

producers, possibly trying to escape from the satellite-related control, and from the

maintenance (or increase) of deforestation by the small landholders, which are

politically and operationally much more difficult to control (poorer, out of the reach of

the monitoring tools, etc.)

Beyond Brazil, the challenge for the other Amazon countries starts with the absence of

regular, timely, official and well accepted deforestation monitoring. Some countries

have several data sources, which can be different from each other, or not be officially

adopted. Others do not produce regular and timely information, without which it is

difficult to properly inform public opinion and achieve the consequent building or

improvement of policy support. Only a few sources can offer easily accessible

monitoring data about the whole Amazon ‘biome’.

In the Andean-Amazon countries –Bolivia, Peru, Ecuador, Colombia and Venezuela–,

although they were relatively late in entering in the heavy exploitation and occupation

of the Amazon (compared to Brazil), they got strongly into that in the last 20 to 30

years. From a more traditional tendency of opening small areas for agriculture, usually

through slash-and-burn, unsustainable extraction of timber and some firewood, besides

localised more intense actions, most of the Andean-Amazon countries have been seeing

Amazon deforestation in these last decades being driven by factors related to energy,

infrastructure and mining, and particularly the economic importance of oil and gas.i

Some countries have a ‘pre-Amazon’ ecological area, usually drier (from open forests to

savannahs), which sometimes supports agriculture and ranching activities , either

beforehand or as the leakage from the Amazon protection, such as the Cerrado (Brazil,

Bolivia), “Orinoquía” (Colombia, Venezuela) and “Bosque Chiquitano” (Bolivia). Others

do not, and connect more directly their Amazon to the Andes. For several different

causes, interests, drivers and processes, there is a general economic and demographic

movement from the Andes mountains to the Amazon lowlands, and that related

i Andean-Amazon countries reported information also based on Armenteras et alii, 2013; Cabrera et alii, 2011; Che Piu & Menton, 2013; Coca-Castro et alii, 2013; Coca et alii [no date; 2013]; Coca-Castro, 2014; Colombia et alii, [no date; 2013]; Dourojeanni et alii, 2009; Nepstad et alii, 2013; Pacheco et alii, 2011a & b; Pautrat et alii, 2009; Peru, 2011; Velarde et alii, 2010; and others.

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

11

migration, in some cases, generates a ‘negative spiral’ when poor migrants are not

adapted to the ‘new’ conditions.

Probably in Bolivia the downwards movement is combined with the socio-economic

dynamics throughout the lowlands (including Brazilian influences) with the large

plantations (including soya) progressively approaching and entering the Amazon and

the strengthening the cattle ranching into an industrial scale intensifying inside the

Amazon, which seems to have been increasing rapidly in the last decade. Both cases are

increasing the Amazon deforestation risks, together with big fires. Some land-use

change is also promoting habitat loss, such as exotic grass plantations, drying or more

intensive use of wetlands, etc. In 2012, Beni, in Bolivia, showed a high deforestation

tendency. Bolivian Madre Tierra policy and law, the proposed Joint Mitigation and

Adaptation Mechanism and the reform on the forestry laws compose a framework that

could help to reduce deforestation.

Besides small and local farming, cumulatively important for deforestation, Peru has

been suffering more from mining, prior to and in addition to the others. It has also

already been more directly impacted by proposals of medium to large hydropower

projects, although all still in very early stages of development. Nevertheless,

hydropower is probably going to touch all of the Amazon countries, either for exporting

to the Brazilian market, or due to other internal or external reasons. As with the other

countries, Peru has already started to see pressure from oil palm plantations provoking

some specific areas of large-scale deforestation. In 2012, Loreto, followed by Ucayali,

were the sub-national deforestation champions outside of Brazil. The case of Madre de

Dios went from a proposed sustainable model into a serious crisis due to the artisanal

and illegal gold mining. Peru has a commitment to no deforestation in all assigned forest

lands –some 54 million hectares– and to reduce emissions from land-use change

tending to zero by 2021.

Colombia and Ecuador have more endogenous processes, with deforestation linked to

the internal frontier, particularly with smaller scale cattle ranching and local farming –

always complementing the elements presented above. The Colombian Caquetá is

becoming a strong deforestation hotspot. In Ecuador the settlements related to the oil

exploitation areas seem important. Arguably those deforestation trends tend to

increase, due to the relative high population density in Ecuador and the probable

Colombian need to settle former military and guerrilleros, as well as much larger

contingents of poor campesinos, with the possible peace agreement. Although not a

primary deforestation driver, illegal drugs should be considered, especially in view of

their quick and pushing dynamics, and they have become progressively more important

in Peru. Reducing deforestation in Ecuador is a national priority under the National Plan

for Good Living, and community and private forest owners receive financial incentives

to keep their forests standing. Colombia has been restating its ambitious goal to reach

zero net deforestation in the Amazon by 2020. In Venezuela, again, the agriculture,

infrastructure and logging seem to be the main deforestation drivers. In 2012, Bolívar

and Amazonas states, in Venezuela, showed high deforestation tendencies.

The three ‘Guianas’ –Guyana, Suriname and French Guiana– historically have their

relative small population concentrated on the coast, with settlements by the Europeans

and other immigrants (such as from India and Indonesia). In contrast, after slave

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

12

struggles and revolts, African descendent communities established themselves more in

the hinterland, mostly mid-way between the coast and the watershed limits (the latter

on the borders with Brazil). Significant populations of indigenous peoples remain in the

forests, including those close to the southern borders of the Guianas. Those countries

(one of them, a European overseas territory) have traditionally been under socio-

economic dynamics related to the Caribbean and Europe.i

They represent the last group of Amazon countries to start more significant disturbance

of the Amazon. Nevertheless, in the last decades, the ‘small scale and artisanal’ gold

mining has been a source of important disturbance to the Amazon, including

deforestation, mercury pollution, etc., besides social impacts and other issues (bad

working conditions, illegal migration and transport of supplies and gold, health

contamination, violence, prostitution, etc. – some of them including interactions with

Brazil). This has been the main deforestation driver in this sub-region. Although in all

three Guianas deforestation is relatively low (in French Guiana it seems lower), in all

three it has been rising more steeply in the last years. Due to the increasingly higher

gold prices in the last decade mining has regained importance across the Amazon. More

recently than the other countries, there have been plans for infrastructure, including

roads and dams. In Suriname they are already producing more impacts, together with

small agriculture and plantations. Guyana has a Low Carbon Development Strategy with

very low deforestation accepted in it, but this includes a hydropower dam and related

accesses to the Guyanese Amazon inland.

Regional Amazon analyses

A regional, internationally integrated approach and the improvement in the policies and

the results in deforestation curbing are necessary due to the fact that the Amazon has

some regionally interlinked physical and ecological processes and because the

consequences of ecosystem conversion and degradation in some places affect others,

including through hydrological, ecological and climatic interactions across the borders.

However, there is almost no consistent regional analysis on Pan-Amazon deforestation,

with few exceptions. Most of the analyses have different methodologies. Besides, the

different analyses consider distinct Amazon limits.

Killeen collected information from different sources and made extrapolations, based on

judgements about best source for each country and each period. In Brazil the numbers

have been showing a tendency to reduction but his interpretation and data show a

tendency to increase for the ‘non-Brazilian’ Amazon. According to those data and

interpretations, in terms of percentage, in 2011, the only countries with significantly

less deforestation than Brazil were Venezuela and Guyana, with Suriname and French

Guiana presenting similar levels to Brazil, and most Andean-Amazon countries showing

proportionally more deforestation – Bolivia, Ecuador, Colombia, and Peru, in order

from higher to lower levels. Killeen concluded that, also in terms of the absolute area

deforested, the aggregate deforestation of non-Brazilian countries is already higher

than the Brazilian Amazon one, particularly with the contribution from Andean-Amazon

as the highest in recent years. Nevertheless, the history of Brazilian deforestation still

i There is relatively less readily available literature on the Guianas. Related information also based on Coca-Castro et alii, 2013; Coca et alii [no date; 2013]; FAO, 2010b; Guyana [no date; 2013]; Reymondin, 2014; The REDD Desk, [no date; 2013]; WWF Guianas, 2012; and others.

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

13

places this country well above all the others put together in historical accumulated

terms, even in percentage of each Amazon area, with almost three times more in terms

of absolute total area deforested. (This and some other analyses consider the “Bosque

Chiquitano” as part of the Amazon, which is not the case for others, including WWF

Living Amazon Initiative. It also considered the Brazilian Legal Amazon.)i

Graph 2. Participation of Amazon habitat change in the Amazonian countries as a whole (Coca-Castro et alii, 2013 and 2013a)

Coca-Castro et alii compiled data from Terra-i and produced an interpretation related to

deforestation in the whole Amazon. It has the positive difference from others of using

the same methodology and source for the whole Amazon, across the countries and

ecoregions. (This analysis considers the ACTO limits.) Unlike the previous one, this

analysis keeps an emphasis on the Brazilian Amazon as the deforestation leader.

However they pay good attention to the countries with major Amazon deforestation

outside Brazil. For them also Bolivia has presented the highest deforestation rates, with

particular increase in recent years (mainly 2010, but also 2011) – although they could

be considered ‘points out of the curve’ due to specific big fires. It is followed by Peru,

also growing, Colombia, relatively stable, and Venezuela, without a clear trend. From

2004 to 2011, the ecoregions with larger deforestation were moist forests (Madeira-

Tapajós, Xingu-Tocantins-Araguaia, Southwest Amazon, Tapajós-Xingu and

Tocantins/Pindaré, and others). Despite the concentration in that kind of vegetation,

what has been happening in the more open and drier forests and savannahs is also very

significant, and they immediately follow the first group in total deforestation areas

(Mato Grosso seasonal forests, Chiquitano dry forests, Cerrado and others – the last two

not considered Amazon by other sources). It is interesting to see how important the

i The data gathered and the extrapolation done by Killeen, 2012, went up to 2011. See also Forero, 2012 (Washington Post).

0

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14

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0

1

1

2

2

3

3

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

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um

ula

ted

hab

itat

loss

are

a (m

illio

n h

a)

An

nu

al h

abit

at lo

ss a

rea

(mili

on

ha)

Participation of Amazon Habitat Change in the Amazonian Countries as a Whole (Coca-Castro et alii, 2013 and

2013a)

Amazon Whole countries Total Accumulated Amazon accumulated

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

14

Amazon’s share of national deforestation is for the countries and the fact that,

deforestation in Ecuador and Colombia, as well as more irregularly in Venezuela, has

important components outside the Amazon. (Graph 2).i

New analysis

Acknowledging the importance of using a single methodology and source across the

whole Amazon for a consistent approach, but considering also the interest of the

ecological focus, a new analysis was needed, which is presented here. It organised the

most up to date data (from Terra-i, 2014) and adopts the definition and criteria of the

bio-geographic Amazon. (Therefore, numbers and graphs do not completely coincide

with what was presented above.)ii

Graph 3.a. Deforestation in the Amazon 2004-12 per group of countries (this is a new analysis, based on data from Terra-I and ecological criteria from WWF LAI – with polynomial tendency 2)

Following the results of this new analysis, when considering the accumulated

deforestation of the whole ecologic Amazon from 2004 to 2012, the indicative total

habitat loss was some 13 million hectares. Although the pattern is not absolutely clear,

the tendency seems to be curbing, at least after a peak in 2008 (or 2010). Brazil still had

i See mostly Coca-Castro et alii, 2013. The authors also kindly offered the complementation of Coca-Castro et alii, 2013a; Reymondin et alii, 2012 (Terra-i methodology, besides www.terra-i.org); Coca-Castro, 2014; and Reymondin, 2014. Terra-i is not quantitatively precise, but rather indicates tendencies (Coca-Castro, 2014; and others – see also the appendix, with the procedures of this new analysis, at the end). Related to limits, Coca-Castro et alii (2013) says: “Geographically, the proposal of Amazon limits had two key elements; the entire hydrological Amazon and Tocantins river basin and two additional areas located outside of it, i.e. the Guiana and Gurupí regions.” Therefore, it includes the “Bosque Chiquitano”, parts of Cerrado (within the Brazilian Legal Amazon) and other areas not typically in the ‘Amazon biome’. For the Bolivian recent high deforestation rates, Coca-Castro (2014) indicates the data on specific fires in the year 2010-11 (following http://acpobservatory.jrc.ec.europa.eu/content/fire-monitoring), which was possibly not-human induced. ii Also based on Terra-i, 2014; WWF [LAI], 2007-08 and 2009; and others. See also the appendix, with the procedures of this

new analysis, at the end.

0,00

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0,80

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1,20

1,40

1,60

1,80

2,00

20

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20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

mill

ion

hec

tare

s

Deforestation in the Amazon(Maretti, 2014, based on Terra-i data and WWF LAI ecological definition)

Brazil

Andean-Amazoncountries

Guianas

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

15

much more absolute deforestation amounts then all other countries together –

considering the whole 9-year period, it answered for around 82.4% of the total

deforestation, the Andean-Amazon countries around 16.6% and the Guianas a bit more

than 1%. However, in relative terms, and considering the last years tendency, this

‘leadership’ could not be the reality for much longer – if Brazil remains in its positive

curbing track and if the Andean-Amazon countries do not correct their negative

increasing tendency (Graphs 3.a and .b).i

Graph 3.b. Deforestation in the Amazon 2004-12 per group of countries – as percentage of each group’s share of the Amazon (this new analysis, based on data from Terra-I and ecological criteria

from WWF LAI – with polynomial tendency 2)

The deforestation patterns are very variable and there are differences amongst

countries even within the groups. Brazil has shown a tendency to reduce its Amazon

deforestation. The Andean-Amazon countries currently show a relatively slight

tendency to increase, which is mostly determined by the stronger deforestation in 2010,

and 2011 on a lesser scale. Bolivia has been a major determinant of the Andean-Amazon

countries tendency, particularly considering the higher deforestation in 2010 and 2011

(with a percentage of the respective Bolivian Amazon well above the other countries),

and the reduction afterwards (See also possible particular fire incidence, as above). It is

not clear, though, what trend it will engage from now on. Following that, it is Peru which

i In the whole Amazon, for these 9 years, there was a peak of deforestation with 2.11 million (Mi) hectares in 2008, a second in 2010, followed by slightly lower amounts in 2006 and 2011. The lowest annual amount was of 0.76 Mi ha in 2009, followed by 2007. (Terra-i data for 2013 is incomplete or with errors, but if the rough estimation for this year is considered, this would be lowest, with 0.58 Mi ha.)

0,0%

0,1%

0,2%

0,3%

0,4%

0,5%

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

Deforestation in the Amazon - percentage of each group's share of the Amazon

(Maretti, 2014, based on Terra-i data and WWF LAI ecological definition)

Brazil

Andean-Amazoncountries

Guianas

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

16

has shown greater increase in deforestation in the last years, and has been presenting a

particularly systematic increase.i

Graph 4. Deforestation as percentage of each country’s share of the Amazon – per country, accumulated 2008-2012 (this new analysis, based on data from Terra-I and ecological criteria from

WWF LAI)

Table 1.a Deforestation in the Amazon – per country, gross (in hectares), 2004-2012 (this new analysis is based on data from Terra-I and ecological criteria from WWF LAI)

Deforestation in the Amazon – per country, gross (in hectares), 2004-2012 (Maretti, 2014, based on data from Terra-I and ecological criteria from WWF LAI)

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2004-12

Bolivia 29,530 72,684 59,384 46,873 75,972 28,421 395,409 196,882 32,047 937.202

Brazil 1,083,806 1,348,459 1,598,245 959,938 1,863,385 574,071 1,255,545 1,319,442 760,596 10.763.488

Colombia 36,973 23,133 30,259 60,129 65,416 45,410 56,943 27,111 10,018 355.391

Ecuador 10,100 4,036 1,854 3,642 4,401 4,046 8,817 11,930 5,436 54.262

French Guiana 968 1,288 2,263 1,981 2,887 1,163 3,131 2,869 3,732 20.281

Guyana 892 1,730 2,670 3,579 6,265 5,313 14,364 8,729 19,112 62.653

Peru 38,023 55,523 34,107 35,152 62,781 69,259 70,179 94,633 109,317 568.974

Suriname 2,650 2,394 2,644 2,431 5,500 5,488 8,375 10,115 18,305 57.896

Venezuela 12,747 9,898 12,237 29,328 20,285 21,351 84,369 22,906 37,103 250.224

Total 1,215,689 1,519,145 1,743,663 1,143,052 2,106,892 754,520 1,897,132 1,694,618 995,665 13.070.371

Colombia has also been submitted to important deforestation in absolute terms, with a

higher level from 2007 to 2010, but it has reduced since then. Another country with

important deforestation is Venezuela, with a clear tendency to increase, but a more

irregular pattern (as is the case with Bolivia). Although in absolute terms the Guianas

and Ecuador have much lower deforestation, in relative terms, related to their own

share of the Amazon area, they are closer to the other Amazon countries (with the

i Despite the fact that Coca-Castro et alii (2013 and 2013a) and INPE-PRODES (2014) have similar definition of Brazilian Amazon, their curves of 2004 to 2012 (2013) deforestation are different. The latter shows a more clear reduction tendency, but with a stabilisation towards the end. The former still shows a slight tendency to increase up to 2008, decreasing from then on (and more strongly if the rough estimation for 2013 is considered). Imazon tends to follow more the tendency of INPE-PRODES (The Economist, 2013). For Bolivia, 2010 seems odd in the deforestation curve, particularly when compared to lower levels in 2004-2009, but 2011 was also high, and then it lowered down in 2012. For Peru, the increase was progressive from 2004 to 2012.

0,0%

0,4%

0,8%

1,2%

1,6%

2,0%

Bolivia Brazil Colombia Ecuador FrenchGuiana

Guyana Peru Suriname Venezuela

Deforestation - Percentage of Country's Share of the Amazon - accumulated 2008-2012

(Maretti, 2014, based on Terra-i data and WWF LAI ecological definition)

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

17

exception of Brazil and Bolivia) in the accumulated amount for 2004-09. All four last

mentioned countries show a clear tendency to increase, stronger in the case of Ecuador,

Guyana and Suriname. When the last five years are considered (2008-12 accumulated)

the recent dominance of Bolivia is clearer, but also the relative importance of the other

countries. (Graph 4 and tables 1.a and 1.b.)i

Table 1.b Deforestation in the Amazon – per country, percentage (related to each one’s Amazon areas), 2004-2012 (this new analysis is based on data from Terra-I and ecological criteria from WWF

LAI)

Deforestation in the Amazon – per country, percentage of each country’s share of the Amazon, 2004-2012

(Maretti, 2014, based on data from Terra-I and ecological criteria from WWF LAI)

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2004-12

Bolivia 0.07% 0.16% 0.13% 0.11% 0.17% 0.06% 0.89% 0.44% 0.07% 2.11% Brazil 0.27% 0.34% 0.40% 0.24% 0.46% 0.14% 0.31% 0.33% 0.19% 2.68% Colombia 0.08% 0.05% 0.06% 0.12% 0.13% 0.09% 0.12% 0.06% 0.02% 0.73% Ecuador 0.08% 0.03% 0.02% 0.03% 0.04% 0.03% 0.07% 0.10% 0.05% 0.45% French Guiana 0.01% 0.02% 0.03% 0.02% 0.04% 0.01% 0.04% 0.04% 0.05% 0.25% Guyana 0.00% 0.01% 0.01% 0.02% 0.03% 0.03% 0.07% 0.04% 0.09% 0.30% Peru 0.05% 0.07% 0.04% 0.04% 0.08% 0.09% 0.09% 0.12% 0.14% 0.72% Suriname 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.02% 0.04% 0.04% 0.06% 0.07% 0.13% 0.41% Venezuela 0.03% 0.03% 0.03% 0.07% 0.05% 0.05% 0.21% 0.06% 0.09% 0.64%

Amazon 0.18% 0.23% 0.26% 0.17% 0.32% 0.11% 0.28% 0.25% 0.15% 1.95%

Graph 5.a, .b, .c and .d. Deforestation in the Amazon by selected ecoregions (this new analysis, based on data from Terra-I and ecological criteria from WWF LAI)

Along almost a decade (2004-12), this new analysis confirms the concentration of

deforestation in the moist forests (such as Madeira-Tapajós, Xingu-Tocantins-Araguaia,

Southwest Amazon, Tapajós-Xingu, Tocantins/Pindaré, Purus-Madeira and other

ecoregions), but the deforestation in the transitional ecoregion of Mato Grosso seasonal

i For Colombia, from the lower level in 2005 it went to a ‘2007-10 dome’, and down again in 2012. For Venezuela, it grew in 2007-09, with a peak in 2010, lower in 2011, but higher again in 2012. For Ecuador and the Guianas, they went from a lower level until 2006 to an increasing although strongly irregular average in 2010-12.

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mill

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ha Deforestation in the Amazon - by ecoregion (a)

(Maretti, 2014, based on Terra-i data and WWF LAI ecological definition)

Madeira-Tapajósmoist forestsMato Grosso seasonalforestsTapajós-Xingu moistforestsXingu-Tocantins-Araguaia moist forestsSouthwest Amazonmoist forestsUatumã-Trombetasmoist forestsPurus-Madeira moistforestsTocantins/Pindaremoist forests

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

18

forests has also been consistently very high. However, also importantly, some

ecoregions show larger 2004-12 accumulated percentage of deforestation (such as

Apure-Villavicencio dry forests, Mato Grosso seasonal forests, Xingu-Tocantins-

Araguaia, Madeira-Tapajós, Tocantins/Pindaré, Tapajós-Xingu, Purus-Madeira and

Ucayali moist forests, and Iquitos várzea). The evolution show some strong oscillations

as well as some ecoregions increasing and others with decreasing deforestation along

the years considered, with more significant changes in the medium deforestation levels,

but indicating four rough tendencies: (i) reduction of deforestation in ecoregions

predominantly affected by the classical deforestation arc (south and east of Brazilian

Amazon); (ii) increase of deforestation of other ecoregions within Brazil but more

inside the Amazon; (iii) progressive increase in deforestation of ecoregions in the

Andean-Amazon countries; and (iv) deforestation starting to be important in the

ecoregions in the Guianas. (Graphs 5.a, .b, .c and .d and table 5.) i

i Ecoregions with less than 1% within the Amazon biome were excluded here.

0,000

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

mill

ion

ha Deforestation in the Amazon - by ecoregion (b)

(Maretti, 2014, based on Terra-i data and WWF LAI ecological definition)

Purus várzea

Guianan piedmont andlowland moist forestsNapo moist forests

Iquitos várzea

Guianan moist forests

Ucayali moist forests

Beni savannas

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

19

A partial conclusion is that, even in the countries with smaller historical record of

deforestation and countries in which the actions with degradation potential came later,

the pressure is now happening. There is a tendency to increasing deforestation in the

Andean-Amazon countries and in the Guianas, which could possibly persist for some

time. Even the positive and impressive deforestation curbing in Brazil in the last decade

has not yet brought this country to a really low deforestation level. The whole Amazon

is under strong pressure. At the same time, there are some good programmes and

political will and some possible market related reactions.

Despite the very important reductions of deforestation in Brazil, the policy and markets

contradictions remain –clearly including elements related to ranching and agriculture,

roads and settlements, but probably also increasingly due to hydropower, mining–,

0,000

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

mill

ion

ha Deforestation in the Amazon - by ecoregion (c)

(Maretti, 2014, based on Terra-i data and WWF LAI ecological definition)

Japurá-Solimões-Negro moist forests

Negro-Branco moistforests

Juruá-Purus moistforests

Guianan Highlandsmoist forests

Monte Alegre várzea

Bolivian yungas

Apure-Villavicenciodry forests

0,000

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2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

mill

ion

ha Deforestation in the Amazon - by ecoregion (d)

(Maretti, 2014, based on Terra-i data and WWF LAI ecological definition)

Rio Negrocampinarana

Peruvian yungas

Solimões-Japurámoist forests

Guianan savannah

Marajó várzea

Pantepui

Eastern Cordillera realmontane forests

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

20

threatening the curbing achieved since 2004 as well as the smaller ecoregions and the

ones with more habitat loss in the classical deforestation arc. If the myth of endless

lands and resources is not reverted and the policies against deforestation do not remain

strong, the fate of this portion of the Amazon remains uncertain.

The Andean-Amazon countries have increased their interest in exploiting their portion

of the Amazon in the past decades, with oil and gas, mining and also increasingly

ranching and agriculture, building roads as the main access. An economic but also a

demographic movement from the Andes to the lowlands seems to be underway.

Hopefully peace (with the guerrillas) will be achieved in Colombia, but policies and non-

governmental programmes need to be ready for the settlements in the Amazon as a

consequence of it, since it is now being prepared. Like most of the other countries in the

region, Peru has seen important economic growth –even higher than most of its

neighbours–, but it has virtually opened the whole country for mining and strong

interests of oil and gas in the Amazon. Besides, it is also engaging in hydropower –

either following the Brazilian pattern, but possibility to export as well. It seems clear

that Bolivia is combining the Andean descending movement with the adoption of a

model of large areas of ranching and plantations, similar to the Brazilian one, entering

through the lowlands. Venezuela, Ecuador and the Guianas also show worrisome

tendencies of their own.

Even with some disperse elements or initial attempts, such as the commitment by Peru

to reduce emissions from land use tending to zero by 2021, the interest expressed by

Bolivia in developing its own climate mitigation and adaptation mechanism and the

“Madre Tierra” legal framework, the commitment by Colombia to zero net deforestation

by 2020, the strengthening of the budget of the Ecuadorian national system of protected

areas, and the ACTO efforts to co-ordinate the deforestation monitoring capacity

building, it does not seem that any of the Andean-Amazon countries have, as yet,

engaged consistently in policies and programmes to reduce and avoid deforestation in

their portions of the Amazon.

The processes are less clear as well as more diverse in the Guianas, but apparently there

are also consistent growth of the countries’ population and economic activities towards

the Amazon, probably becoming a fourth important wave of Amazon degradation.

Except for the proposed Low Carbon Development Strategy of Guiana, there are not

many official commitments to control habitat loss – with the interest in mining, roads,

and hydropower unfortunately not being guided sufficiently by sustainability

considerations.

Therefore, a new model of low carbon or low deforestation development is still strongly

needed for all the Amazon countries. Whenever the ‘world’ (international cooperation

from the developed countries) has come to collaborate with conservation (protection

and deforestation reduction) policies and programmes, and those efforts have been

valid, they have, nevertheless, usually been confined to pilots and non-markets

approaches, very limited in scale, scope and outreach (with some exceptions, such as

ARPA). Also, despite the strong advances, including in the options for the sustainable

use of biodiversity and genetic resources and the alerts as to the importance of the

Amazon in global and regional climate stability, science still needs to show more

consistent options for the large scale national development of the Amazon countries.

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

21

More than anything, though, the Amazon and non-Amazon governments, as well as

private and finance sectors and societies in general, need now to engage in sustainable

development models, taking advantage of the Amazon’s ecological wealth (and not

moving against it).

Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories – including new analyses

The Amazon is arguably amongst the best conserved of the most important natural

areas on Earth – probably together with Antarctica, some ocean areas and few others.

This is not a ‘small thing’ also considering that the Amazon is among the larger natural

regions in the world. This important achievement is probably a result of a combination

of reasons – including the difficulties in ‘conquering’ the region through centuries based

on the tools available then, what could be called an unintentional result of the ‘western’

development model proposed. Another relevant factor so far has been the intentional

efforts to protect the Amazon, due the significant national and global level awareness

about its importance. The protected areas are the best known mechanism to conserve

ecosystems – including for people’s benefits, when correctly done. Conservation has

also been done through defending indigenous peoples and promoting sustainable

development of local communities, among other means.

The indigenous peoples have been in the region for millennia and in several cases are

currently under social and cultural protection from government policies. The Amazon

countries, however, have different legal frameworks and policies for the indigenous

peoples’ territories. They have been recognising part of the areas the indigenous

peoples still live on as ‘Indians reserves’ or indigenous peoples’ territories. In most

cases the indigenous peoples are managing the areas that they still hold with strong

conservation results, either managing them as a whole nature reserve (usually based on

the holistic approach in their integration with nature), or particularly protecting parts

of their lands. Nevertheless, most of their territories are not yet considered as nature

conservation mechanisms. In several cases other local communities –including

communities of descendants of former slaves, extractive communities, fishermen, small

farmers, forest dwellers and other communities– also manage the areas they hold

considering nature conservation. Although the creation and management of protected

areas have not always considered the rights and interests of local communities and

indigenous peoples, several governments have been progressively considering

protection together with local communities’ interests. A particular case is the ‘extractive

reserves’ in Brazil, a protected area category that was created to respond to the local

communities demands, and that has influenced the definition of an international

category of protected areas management (the VI).i

i This and following paragraphs and notes are also based on data of internal WWF LAI reports to assess the state of the Amazon: also Riveros et alii, 2014 (based on Riveros, 2013 and 2013a, with most of the data); complemented by RedParques et alii, 2010; WCMC/UNEP with IUCN (WCPA), 2014; as well as others. Complementing, for the protected areas paradigms see also Phillips, 2003; and others. For the relation of protected areas with indigenous territories and community conserved areas and the importance of them, see also: Beltrán, et alii, 2000; Borrini, 2002; Maretti, 2005; Maretti et alii, 2003 and 2005; Oviedo, 2003; and others. And, for protected areas management categories, see also Dudley [et alii], 2008; and Bishop et alii, 2004, besides the previous documents, such as the results of the World Congress on National Parks and Other Protected Areas, Caracas 1992, and the IUCN Assembly, Buenos Aires 1994, the previous categories classification guidelines, etc.

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

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Protected areas

In terms of the protected areas officially considered by governments for nature

conservation following the ‘national parks’ paradigm, the first protected area in the

‘Amazon biome’ was possibly created in the then British colony which is now Guyana.

Following the general pattern of protected areas, South America included, until the

1940s and to 60s they were established mostly with limited objectives, particularly to

protect a specific feature, like mountains, falls or caves.

Protected areas evolution: Numerically, after 1960, it shows some clear phases, with (i)

a relative slow increase until 1988 – with some exceptions, particularly strong in 1965,

1973-74 and 1978-79. Then, there was (ii) a bigger jump in 1988-1990, and back to

(iii.a) a relatively gentler slope until 2000 –this with relatively slight exceptions in 1991

and 1998–, and then (iii.b) increasing the growth a bit until 2005. There was (iv) a new

jump in 2006 and (v.a) a gentle increase until 2009 and (v.b) apparently it almost

stopped after that. Among the important events and processes influencing Amazon

conservation, in the 1970’s there was a significant public opinion movement in favour of

conservation and sustainable development. Back then, the first large (500 000+

hectares) protected areas were declared in the Amazon, a tendency that continued

afterwards. This number has some significance in terms of an area that is considered

large enough to protect ecosystem processes and viable species in the Amazon

adequately – some say this should be the minimum size for consistent biodiversity

preservation in the Amazon (protected areas in the Amazon ‘biome’ is presented

through the total surface of protected areas created and the percentage protected of

each country’s Amazon in graphs 6.a and .b., the total numbers are in table 2., and

graphs 7 and 8 present the large protected areas).i

i Among the large national parks created in the 1970’s there were Manu, Yasuní, Jaú and Pico da Neblina (all category II). Up to 2010, there were 102 protected areas with more them 500 thousand (K) hectares, 7 (or 8) of them with more than 3 Mi ha – the latter, larger are 6 in in Brazil and 1 in Venezuela, as well as 1 in French Guiana. The “Parc amazonien de Guyane” has been considered here with the two built-in categories included (~2.0 Mi ha of core zone (cat. II) and ~1.4 Mi ha of “zone de libre adhesion”, which is questioned as to whether it is a protected area) Also France, 2013. Also based on Riveros et alii, 2014; and others. Most graphs and tables ‘based on’ Riveros et alii, 2014, use data from Riveros, 2013a. Most tables and graphs ‘adapted from’ Riveros et alii, 2014, use data with some adjustments.

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

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Graph 6.a. Evolution of total area protected in the Amazon (1960 -2010)

Table 2. Total area and number of protected areas in the Amazon, from 1960 to 2010

Total Area and Number of Protected Areas in the Amazon, from 1960 to 2010 (Maretti, 2014, adapted also from Riveros et alii, 2014)

Total area protected

(1960-2010) in the Amazon Number of protected areas (1960-2010) in the Amazon

% of each Amazon share protected

Bolivia 12,183,719.00 7.3% 39 9.7% 27.4%

Brazil 110,413,575.24 66.3% 243 60.6% 27.4%

Colombia 8,089,354.35 4.9% 18 4.5% 16.6%

Ecuador 2,876,324.81 1.7% 14 3.5% 24.0%

French Guiana 3,904,467.18 2.3% 11 2.7% 47.8%

Guyana 455,881.30 0.3% 4 1.0% 2.2%

Peru 15,885,858.60 9.5% 35 8.7% 20.1%

Suriname 1,946,727.16 1.2% 12 3.0% 13.8%

Venezuela 10,750,086.75 6.5% 25 6.2% 27.3%

total 166,505,994.39 100.0% 401 100.0% 24.9%

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Graph 6.b. Evolution of the percentage of each country’s share of the Amazon (1960 -2010) (this paper, adapted also from Riveros et alii, 2014)

It is possible that the first phase of expansion of protected areas (until late 1980's) was

already related to the national awareness concerning the rising of deforestation figures

(mostly related to Brazil) and a widespread protected areas approach (influencing

Amazon countries in general). Therefore, the increase in the rate of protected area

creation seems to have been linked to the evolution of national policies, the concept of

protected areas, international conventions and national projects and initiatives. The

Graph 7. Number of larger protected areas in the Amazon, from 1960 to 2010 (this paper, adapted also from Riveros et alii, 2014)

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(Maretti, 2014, adapted also from Riveros et alii, 2014)

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

25

United Nations Conference on Environment and Development (Rio 1992), with the

associated international conventions, specifically the Convention on Biological

Diversity, could also have been influential in the establishment of protected areas. The

influence of the World Congress on National Parks and Other Protected Areas (Caracas

1992) should also be considered, in the region, but mostly influential beforehand – for,

in the years 1989-1990, there was a clear acceleration of the establishment of protected

areas in the Amazon region, mostly by Brazil, Venezuela and Colombia, and including

some of the bigger ones.i

Graph 8. Total area by larger protected areas in the Amazon, from 1960 to 2010 (this paper, adapted also from Riveros et alii, 2014)

Although the global conventions do not necessarily produce immediate results, under

CBD almost all countries committed to establish national protected area systems for the

protection of natural ecosystems (in the region, only Suriname has not endorsed this

international agreement). The countries have instituted legal frameworks with that

purpose and defined categories with complementary management objectives – in the

region, the management categories are usually associated to different degrees of

restrictions. The Programme of Work on Protected Areas (PoWPA) of CBD has a clear

strategy and reporting mechanism established since 2004, and many governments have

increased their protected areas networks and representativeness. Also, the Latin

American Congresses on Natural Parks and other Protected Areas (1997, Santa Marta

and 2007, Bariloche) were instrumental in triggering new protected area creation.

In the first decade of the 21st century there was another strong increase in protected

areas creation in the Amazon. Here ARPA (the Brazilian Amazon Protected Areas

Programme) contributed, offering the conditions for the Brazilian national and state

governments to create new protected areas – besides making a strong contribution to

protected area consolidation and management improvement. ARPA was conceived in

late 1990’s, after a challenge to the Brazilian government, and its influence could be

i In 1989-90, 67 (new) protected areas were created, 42 in Brazil, 18 in Venezuela and 4 in Colombia. Among them, there were some particularly large areas. Also based on Riveros et alii, 2014; and others.

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(Maretti, 2014, adapted also from Riveros et alii, 2014)

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WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

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considered strong since the beginning of the years 2000 – particularly from 2002-03

onwards. This programme was already ambitious in the planning phase, and improved

itself along the way, filling gaps, adapting to new contexts, etc., as well as positively

influencing the national system of protected areas.i

In terms of further integration in the landscapes, in the 1990’s there was strong

attention paid to conservation planning and policy vision for large areas, including

through the ‘conservation corridors’. In terms of protected areas systems’ best practice

improvements in the years 2000, the mosaics must be mentioned. They are groups of

protected areas and other land use definitions brought together to optimise their

management, as well as upscale or upgrade the conservation objectives and

achievements. In some cases they can be part of the legal framework and be defined in

advance, before the respective protected areas are created, but in most cases of Amazon

countries they are still a post facto informal grouping (to inform policy related action,

for management, patrolling, etc.). Although sometimes difficult to define (both

temporally, because the related protected areas are not necessarily created all together,

and spatially, due to the several possible connections in different fronts), some mosaics

are particularly significant for the Amazon (high level of conservation ambition, large

scale, number of protected areas and indigenous territories, remoteness, relative low

level management conditions, etc.). Very briefly, a few examples are presented here.

• Around 2004, Peru accomplished a significant mosaic, in the “Alto Purus”, also in

attention to indigenous peoples’ protection, including some peoples living in

voluntary isolation. What is now called the Purus-Manu conservation corridor

has some 10 Mi ha, in Peru alone, including previously existing protected areas.

• The Brazilian Amazonas State’s Apuí State Mosaic was created in 2005 already

integrated with an area of 2.4 Mi ha. With the creation of the Juruena and

“Campos Amazônicos” National Parks in 2006, and complementing a series of

other protected areas, they integrated into the larger Southern Amazon Mosaic,

with 7+ Mi ha.

• Brazil advanced significantly to achieve the very important “Terra do Meio”

mosaic, in Pará, in 2005-06, with around 11+ Mi ha including other protected

areas (A larger group of protected areas composed the efforts to avoid damage

from the renewing of the BR-163 highway). More importantly, the Terra do Meio

mosaic links to indigenous territories, complementing the conservation of a

larger area of some 25 Mi ha, a big share of the Xingu river basin.

i WWF (through the then International Director General, Claude Martin) had challenged the Brazilian President (then, Fernando Henrique Cardoso) to protect 10% of the Amazon. He accepted and asked the Ministry of Environment to prepare a plan to achieve that, with support from WWF, World Bank and other partners. This came also as a good result of the World Bank and WWF Forest Alliance. The 10% target was based on a recommendation of the Protected Areas Congress, Caracas 1992. The negotiations evolved and, to include not only strict presentation areas (categories I and II), but also sustainable use reserves (category VI) with local communities co-management, the target was increased to 50 million hectares (12% of the Brazilian Amazon), mostly new protected areas. Later, considering the important share of targets was already achieved in its phase 1 (mostly under President ‘Lula’ da Silva), from the planning to its phase 2 on, ARPA target was increased to 60 million hectares. In 2001, 17 protected areas were created, 15 of them in Brazil (some of them already linked to ARPA since its creation) and the other 2 in Peru. In 2002, 20 protected areas were created, 14 of them in Brazil –including the symbolic “Montanhas do Tumucumaque” National Park–, 2 in Colombia, 2 in Bolivia, 1 in French Guiana and 1 in Ecuador. In those two years 12,245,698.28 ha came under protection. Also based on years of personal experience; Brasil et alii (2010 and 2012); Brasil (2010); Soares-Fº et alii (2009); Riveros et alii, 2014; WWF-Brasil et alii (2009); and others.

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

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• A very large, landmark achievement was the creation of the “Calha Norte” State

Mosaic of Pará, in 2006, with some 12.7 Mi ha, also complementing important

and large pre-existing protected areas, with almost 30 Mi ha all together, besides

connecting to neighbouring countries, protecting a significant part of the Guiana

Shield – likely to become the largest pristine tropical rainforest that will remain

in the longer term.

• In 2008-09, in complementary actions by the federal and Amazonas State

governments, in the mosaic to mitigate possible impacts from the BR-319

highway renewal, several protected areas were created, with some 8.4 Mi ha,

integrating with several other pre-existing protected areas.i

Also, the creation of protected areas started to be planned to resist the deforestation, as

part of a larger strategy (rather than only a consequence, sometimes avoided due to the

biodiversity and economic cost to place them to face the deforestation front). Several of

those mosaics formed the informal vision of a 'green barrier(s)’ against the advance

deforestation (facing the deforestation front). If some of those elements presented

above might not be ‘perfect’ for strict biodiversity preservation focusing in one single

unit (protected area), they make much more sense as a systemic approach in terms of

contributing to society’s broader objectives.

Current status. By 2010 the amount of the Amazon under protection was highly

significant: some 166 million hectares, in 401 protected areas, representing 24.9% of

the ecological Amazon; clearly a great global level achievement. Although there is this

clear dominance of Brazil in terms of the area protected and the number of protected

areas, these are not much larger than the Brazilian share of the ‘Amazon biome’. There

are considerable differences in the percentage of national Amazon territory that each

country has included in protected areas, but concentrated particularly in the extremes:

while Guyana only has 2.2% of its Amazon ‘biome’ included in the national protected

areas system, French Guyana has almost half of its territory protected lato sensu. Most

of the Amazon countries, though, present a level of protection far superior to the global

averages. Several countries (Brazil, Bolivia, Venezuela, Ecuador and Peru) have between

20 and 30% of their Amazon biome in protected areas, while the others (Colombia and

Suriname) have between 10 and 20% protected. Brazil, Bolivia and Colombia have also

considerably increased the percentage of area under protection during the last decade.

(See table 2. and Graph 6.b, and note the important jumps in the protection percentages

due to some specific years or even to some specific protected areas.ii)

i A significant part of those mosaics were born already linked to ARPA, several of them also counted on support from WWF, and in more or less specific cases CI, ISA, ICV, Greenpeace and others, for their creation and implementation. In 2006, in Peru, “Sierra del Divisor” was defined as a temporary, transitory conservation area, complementing the older national park with similar name on the other side of the border. In Brazil’s case, 2006 was another very impressive year in terms of protection increase. However, although very impressive up until then, from that year on, the Brazilian impetus in protecting the Amazon seemed to weaken, even if it has not quite been extinguished. Also based on personal experience; Amazonas, 2010; WWF-Peru [no date; 2013]; and others. ii The most impressive jump, in the case of French Guiana, achieving a high level of conservation, is mainly due to the

creation in 2007 of the “Parc amazonien de Guyane”. Other countries also did jump up based on single or small number of larger protected areas. Ecuador jumped from 5% to 19% in one year, with the creation of Yasuní National Park and Cuyabeno Fauna Production Reserve in 1979. The Central Suriname Nature Reserve, created in 1998, made this country go from 2 to 13%. Colombia jumped from 5 to 15% with the creation of the Chiribiquete National Park and Puinawai National Nature Reserve and another 2 in 1989. Venezuela went from 12% in 1989 to 27% in 1991 – just before the world protected areas congress, including the large Parima-Tapirapecó National Park in 1991 but also 18 other protected areas in 1989. In percentage protected, Brazil went from 11% in 2000 to 27% in 2010, with a jump in 2006. In absolute numbers, Brazil has

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

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Therefore, the Amazon countries have been doing a great job in conservation. The

important increase in the protection in the last decades was not only due to voluntary

action, for the historical context has played a role. Fortunately, the arrival of more

concrete conservation, from the 1960’s on, with the creation of protected areas, was

early enough to be able to advance significantly before the barrier from the opposition

to them was too strong. Furthermore, protected areas, including through ARPA, were

able also to position themselves in regard to their contributions to the sustainable

development of the Amazon region, including curbing deforestation and protecting local

communities and indigenous peoples.

Graph 9. Total Area Protected Accumulated in the Amazon per International Category, from 1960 to 2010 (this paper, adapted also from Riveros et alii, 2014)

It is interesting to note that, in terms of management categories of protected areas, there

are some preferences by country and time. Brazil has a clear preference for the category

VI, both in number and in total area. There are several categories in the national

legislation corresponding to the international category VI, which compose two clear

distinct groups: (i) protected areas with some level of co-management by local

created most new protected areas in the last decade, thanks to strong initiatives by the federal and state governments, particularly linked to large mosaics (such as the ones mentioned above) and the ARPA programme (which supported some of the other actions, including those mentioned above). Bolivia and Peru show more progressive increase. Jenkins & Joppa (2009) mention Brazil as responsible for 86% of the global increase in protected areas (with IUCN categories) between 2003 and 2009, obviously related to its Amazon. It is difficult to compare numbers from different sources and methods, but, comparing with WDPA global data, the Amazon represented almost 50% of the global increase in terrestrial protected areas in the decade (2000-10). Also based on Riveros et alii, 2014.

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Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

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communities (more important for social and conservation purposes); and (ii) protected

areas with objectives also linking to the forestry industry. Following that, categories II

and I, besides V, are also important for Brazil. Peru has a preference for category II,

followed closely by category VI, in area. Interesting in this case is the national legislation

and practice with the declaration of temporarily protected area while the governmental

processes define better which category an area could be. (Graphs 9 and 10 and table 3.)i

Graph 10. International categories of protected areas (IUCN) in the Amazon, from 1960 to 2010 (this paper, adapted also from Riveros et alii, 2014)

Bolivia has almost half of its assigned protected areas linked to category II (with a small

relative superiority in area than in number). At the same time, Bolivia has a clear

majority in terms of its total areas protected by category IV. Venezuela has a clear

preference for category II in area, but for category III in number. Colombia has its

protected areas strongly concentrated in category II, both in total area and in number,

followed far behind by category I. Although French Guiana appears here having a

i Unfortunately some countries have an important share of their protected areas non-assigned to the related international (IUCN) management categories. The two groups of Brazilian category VI protected areas in its Amazon: (i) the extractive reserves and sustainable development reserves, with some kind of co-management with local communities, are 80, with some 24 Mi ha; and (ii) the national and state (and possibly municipal) forests, which have objectives more linked to industrial forestry (although it could include local communities or not in specific cases), are 58, with some 33 Mi ha. The latter can only be considered protected area (and not a forest management area, concession area or similar, or, wrongly in some (not rare) cases, areas for mining) if well designed, planned and managed following the major objectives of the National System of Protected Areas (“Sistema Nacional de Unidades de Conservação – Snuc”) law – i.e. solving the contradictions by following the general guidance, not the specific ones. Globally, some authors have a perspective of separating the seven IUCN international protected areas categories in two groups –usually I-IV and V-VI–, under the wrong assumptions that they define more or less protection and therefore have more or less importance. In Latin-America, in some countries (including Peru and Brazil), some authors and governments have the national protected areas categories divided by the ones with “direct use” (of natural resources) and the ones with only “indirect use” – again mostly based on wrong assumptions, although the levels of protection are usually embedded in the national categories, besides the management objectives. Besides, those divisions fall short of correctly understanding and taking maximum advantage of the varied and wealthy diverse systems, networks and sets of protected areas.

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(Maretti, 2014, adapted also from Riveros et alii, 2014)

Venezuela Suriname Peru Guyana Fr. Guiana Ecuador Colombia Brazil

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

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majority of non-assigned protected areas, considering the significant case of the “Parc

amazonien de Guyane”, there is in fact an important area protected under category II.

Ecuador also has a predominance of category II, but followed closely category VI. In

terms of area, in Suriname there is a strong majority for category I due to the weight of

the Central Suriname Reserve, but in numbers the majority is of category IV. Guyana has

few cases.

Table 3. International categories of protected areas (IUCN) in the Amazon, from 1960 to 2010 (this paper, adapted also from Riveros et alii, 2014)

International Categories of Protected Areas (IUCN) in the Amazon (1960–2000)

(Maretti, 2014, adapted also from Riveros et alii, 2014) I (probably only Ia) II III IV

No. total area No. total area No. total area No. total area

Bolivia 1 1,123,040 6 3,850,953 - - 4 1,989,101

Brazil 36 15,273,783 38 25,096,214 - - 1 6,287

Colombia 2 1,977,137 15 6,102,073 - - 1 10,145

Ecuador - - 5 1,306,194 - - - -

Fr. Guiana 2 216,812 - - 1 17,839 5 140,805

Guyana - - 1 371,020 - - 1 63,120

Peru - - 9 7,349,342 4 291,961 - -

Suriname 1 1,601,150 1 14,414 - - 8 321,413

Venezuela - - 6 8,836,695 19 1,913,392 - -

total 42 20,191,922 81 52,926,905 24 2,223,192 20 2,530,870

V VI no (not assigned) No. total area No. total area No. total area

Bolivia - - 4 1,378,740 24 3,841,885

Brazil 25 13,111,372 143 56,925,919 - -

Colombia - - - - - -

Ecuador - - 4 1,017,948 5 552,183

Fr. Guiana - - - - 3 3,529,011

Guyana - - - - 2 21,742

Peru 1 22,390 15 5,047,025 6 3,175,140

Suriname - - 2 9,751 - -

Venezuela - - - - - -

total 26 13,133,762 168 64,379,383 40 11,119,960

In some cases, places and times, there has been more attention to strict preservation

areas, while in others it is to sustainable use reserves. However, over the past decades,

there have been two important tendencies in protected areas management: (i) more

attention to sets of protected areas, both in geographical and management terms (such

as corridors, mosaics, and systems) – although more understanding is still needed to the

complete functioning of systems of protected areas and their integration to national and

regional development and land-use plans; and (ii) a more inclusive approach by

governments and the conservation movement, as well as the appropriation of

conservation interests and mechanisms by local communities and indigenous peoples.

An example of the conservation movement evolution is the promotion of the

Community Conserved Areas (CCA) concept from around 2002. Also, the indigenous

territories have had different considerations as regards whether they are considered an

ecological conservation mechanism or not. Far from being enough, those are steps are

nevertheless, in the right direction.i

i Borrini-F., 2002; Kothari et alii, 2012; Maretti et alii, 2003 and 2012; Pinheiro et alii, 2010.

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

31

Indigenous territories

As there are strong legal and recognition procedure differences across the countries and

different approaches by the indigenous peoples, governments and others organisations,

and considering the high number of indigenous territories and the high diversity of

indigenous peoples and difficult communication with some of them, it is almost

impossible to have a synthetic summary of their reality. According to the information

obtained, in 2010 there were more than 3,000 indigenous territories in the Amazon,

although not all of them officially recognised, with a total of almost 208 million hectares.

Although Peru represented a majority of areas (many not fully defined yet), Brazil had

the majority of the area. Nevertheless, it is Venezuela, followed by Ecuador and

Colombia which have major parts of their share of the Amazon as indigenous territories

(Table 4 and graphs 11, 12 and 13).i

Table 4. Amazon Indigenous Territories – number, area and percentages (this paper, based also on RAISG, 2010)

Amazon Indigenous Territories – number, area and percentages

(Maretti, 2014, based also on RAISG, 2010)

No. ITs total area (ha) average % of each country’s share of the Amazon

% of total Amazon

Bolivia 393 12.9% 14,239,720 6.8% 36,233 32.1% 2.1% Brazil 312 10.3% 100,889,351 48.5% 323,363 25.1% 15.1% Colombia 185 6.1% 25,326,969 12.2% 136,903 51.9% 3.8% Ecuador 357 11.7% 7,664,613 3.7% 21,470 63.9% 1.1% Fr. Guiana 22 0.7% 715,105 0.3% 32,505 8.8% 0.1% Guyana 116 3.8% 3,167,084 1.5% 27,302 15.0% 0.5% Peru 1,581 52.0% 20,622,634 9.9% 13,044 26.2% 3.1% Suriname 23 0.8% 4,918,469 2.4% 213,846 34.8% 0.7% Venezuela 54 1.8% 30,380,355 14.6% 562,599 77.2% 4.5%

total 3,043 100.0% 207,924,300 100.0% 68,329 31.1% 31.1%

The average size of indigenous territories varies significantly, with Venezuela

presenting the larger ones (>0.5 Mi ha), followed by Brazil, and Peru at the other

extreme (a bit more than 10 K ha), followed by most of the others. Although it was not

possible to define precisely the date of declaration of almost a third of the indigenous

territories, it was possible to define some tendencies through time. With strong

oscillations, their average size has been growing in the last 3.5 decades. Nevertheless,

although the total of indigenous territories’ area keeps increasing, the growth per year

seems to have stabilised around the second half of the 1990’s, and probably started to

decline in the last decade. Even if the purpose of those indigenous territories is to

recognise indigenous peoples rights to land and natural resources, to respect cultural

diversity and to allow them to evolve on their own track, they contribute significantly to

i Most information about the indigenous territories is also based on RAISG, 2010 and 2012, besides their use and interpretation in Riveros et alii, 2014, and by this paper. Following the best possible interpretation of the data available (RAISG, 2010; as well as following the guidance of RAISG, 2012), 74% were recognised, between 5% (in area) and 8% (in number) were proposed, and between 19 (in number) and 21% (in area) were not recognised. In RAISG (2012) already the total was some 214 million hectares, of which some 77% in total area were officially recognised by the Amazon governments. However more than 20% of the Amazon indigenous territories were yet not officially recognised or without information (besides more than 3% under other definition). Also, there were more than 33.6 million hectares of areas with overlapping between indigenous territories and (nature conservation) protected areas.

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

32

nature conservation interests. The areas are significant individually and even more so

collectively. The approach of most indigenous cosmogonies understands and treats

their lands and nature in an integrated way with their cultural, social and economic

activities. Under the option to live as much in harmony with nature as possible, they

might set aside parts of their lands or manage sustainable large areas, with very low

intensity and impacts.

Graph 11. Evolution of the average Size of Amazon Indigenous Territories (based also on RAISG, 2010, (re)organised by this paper)

Graph 12. Cumulative Growth of Total Area of Amazon Indigenous Territories (based also on RAISG, 2010, (re)organised by this paper)

0,0

0,1

0,2

0,3

0,4

0,5

0,6

1974197619781980198219841986198819901992199419961998200020022004200620082010

Mlio

n h

a

Average Size of Amazon Indigenous Territories(based also on RAISG, 2010, (re)organised by Maretti, 2014)

-20,0

0,0

20,0

40,0

60,0

80,0

100,0

120,0

140,0

160,0

180,0

Mili

on

ha

Cumulative Growth of Total Area of Amazon Indigenous Territories

(based also on RAISG, 2010, (re)organised by Maretti, 2014)

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

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Graph 13. Growth of Total Area Per Year of Amazon Indigenous Territories (based also on RAISG, 2010, (re)organised by this paper)

Nature conservation – includes ecological representation

Even if the protection in the Amazon is higher than the average (map 2), it still falls

short of conservation objectives. Recommendation from the 1992 World Protected

Areas Congress and 2010 biodiversity conservation targets expressed the interest of

10% of protection in each important bio-geographic unit on Earth. However, since then,

knowledge has evolved. The importance of a full array of ecosystem services for local

communities and indigenous peoples, freshwater conservation, biodiversity and genetic

resources, and more recently climate change mitigation and adaptation, among others,

has come to be better considered, and better attention has been given to the importance

of ecological representation. The current Aichi biodiversity targets, agreed among

governments at global level in 2010, ask for “at least 17 per cent of terrestrial and

inland water areas […], especially areas of particular importance for biodiversity and

ecosystem services, are conserved through effectively and equitably managed,

ecologically representative and well-connected systems of protected areas and other

effective area-based conservation measures, and integrated into the wider landscape

and seascape” by 2020.i

i CBD Aichi Target 11 (http://www.cbd.int/sp/targets/rationale/target-11/). Most of the discussion of ecological representation in the Amazon and the information about the current status is based also on Riveros et alii, 2014. “There is ongoing discussion on the representation target – what level of representation is adequate to guarantee the viability of all species and natural communities in the area over the long term (Rodrigues et al., 2004; Sarkar et al., 2006). Ten percent of the historic distribution of each habitat type has often been proposed as a politically "realistic" target (Soule and Sanjayan, 1998; Vimal et al., 2011). However, that value is now widely considered to be insufficient (Soule and Sanjayan, 1998; Sarkar et al., 2006). Levels of 50% and higher have been suggested by studies that have attempted to quantify adequate representation on the basis of ecological parameters such as ecological structure, diversity, and resilience) or to represent and protect "most elements" of the biodiversity of an area (Wilson et al., 2005; Sarkar et al., 2006; Vimal et al., 2011). These target values are assumed to vary in response to various factors in a region or habitat type, including connectivity, natural disturbances, and human resource uses.” (Riveros et alii, 2014.)

-5,0

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

Mili

on

ha

Growth of Total Area Per Year of Amazon Indigenous Territories

(based also on RAISG, 2010, (re)organised by Maretti, 2014)

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

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Map 2. Indigenous territories and protected areas in the Amazon Biome in 2010 (from Riveros et alii, 2014)

Brazilian 2010 biodiversity conservation targets already defined the intention to have

30% in (nature conservation) protected areas in its Amazon. WWF considers that

around 30% protection of good ecological representation is the minimum to keep a

good sample of one of the most important natural and biodiversity rich regions on

Earth. (In concrete terms, this might mean some 35% of the area, without the extra

redundancy, not necessary for this purpose. Not considering other ecosystem services,

for biodiversity representation, the new protected areas would need to be more

targeted, planned and designed.) However, to maintain the ecosystem services from the

Amazon, particularly climate stability, some 60-70% of the region needs to be

maintained in good shape – not meaning complete biodiversity preservation (as in the

30% above), but keeping vegetation structure and main ecological processes

functioning. Also, the importance has been expressed of strong reduction in the

greenhouse gas emissions. Therefore, ideally the world should go for zero net

deforestation by 2020 – or, in the case of the Amazon, hopefully keep the ecological

conversion at a maximum of 20%.

Ecological representation assessment. Considering only the protected areas for nature

conservation, in relation to the 10% target, 31 out of 35 Amazon terrestrial ecoregions

are sufficiently represented. For the 17% of the Aichi Target 11, the number of

ecoregions represented dropped to 22, and for the 30% target, only 10 ecoregions are

sufficiently protected. When the indigenous territories are included in the analysis, the

representation is increased: the 10% target is achieved for all ecoregions; the 17%

target is achieved for 33 out of 35 ecoregions; and the conservation gap for the 30%

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

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target exists in 7 ecoregions. This relatively simple single parameter (ecoregion

representation) assessment implies that there is still a good challenge to achieving the

agreed global targets, more so for the adequate targets considering the Amazon as a

globally important region. (Table 5, as well as 6.a, .b and .c, and Graph 14.a.)i

Table 5. Amazon terrestrial ecoregions: threats and conservation – deforestation 2004-12, percentage and gross; and ecological representation under protection (Maretti, 2014, based on

ecological criteria from WWF [LAI], 2007-08, deforestation data from Terra-i, 2014, and ecological representation from Riveros et alii, 2014)

Amazon Terrestrial Ecoregions: Threats and Conservation (Maretti, 2014, based on ecological criteria from WWF [LAI], 2007-08, deforestation data from Terra-i, 2014, and ecological

representation from Riveros et alii, 2014)

Ecoregions Deforestation 2004-12

Ecological representation (2010) Nature protected areas Prot. areas +

indig. territ.

Percentage Gross (ha) Percent. 10% 17% 30% 10% 17% 30%

Mato Grosso seasonal forests 6.24% 2,224,030 4% n n n Y Y n

Xingu-Tocantins-Araguaia moist forests 6.91% 1,832,363 6% n n n Y Y Y

Apure-Villavicencio dry forests 9.13% 67,13 15% Y n n Y n n

Tocantins/Pindaré moist forests 3.78% 728,006 11% Y n n Y Y n

Ucayali moist forests 2.36% 269,538 20% Y Y n Y Y Y

Iquitos várzea 1.74% 199,056 19% Y Y n Y Y Y

Madeira-Tapajós moist forests 4.92% 3,525,750 25% Y Y n Y Y Y

Southwest Amazon moist forests 1.50% 1,116,700 20% Y Y n Y Y Y

Caquetá moist forests 1.12% 205,319 22% Y Y n Y Y Y

Beni savannas 0.84% 103,963 16% Y n n Y Y Y

Monte Alegre várzea 0.84% 55,644 16% Y n n Y Y n

Napo moist forests 0.46% 114,45 9% n n n Y Y Y

Marañón dry forests 0.42% 1,487 10% n n n Y Y n

Purus várzea 0.63% 111,994 27% Y Y n Y Y Y

Tapajós-Xingu moist forests 3.12% 1,045,456 47% Y Y Y Y Y Y

Purus-Madeira moist forests 2.65% 459,581 50% Y Y Y Y Y Y

Guianan moist forests 0.39% 187,075 23% Y Y n Y Y Y

Guianan savannah 0.36% 37,656 14% Y n n Y Y Y

Negro-Branco moist forests 0.33% 66,031 16% Y n n Y Y Y

Guianan piedmont and lowland moist forests 0.38% 88,025 26% Y Y n Y Y Y

Cordillera Oriental montane forests 0.36% 7,124 28% Y Y n Y Y n

Eastern Cordillera real montane forests 0.31% 21,219 22% Y Y n Y Y Y

Juruá-Purus moist forests 0.24% 58,719 17% Y n n Y Y Y

Solimões-Japurá moist forests 0.26% 44,169 14% Y n n Y Y Y

Uatuma-Trombetas moist forests 0.53% 247,031 43% Y Y Y Y Y Y

Gurupa várzea 0.49% 4,888 46% Y Y Y Y Y Y

Rio Negro campinarana 0.21% 19,763 27% Y Y n Y Y Y

Peruvian Yungas 0.19% 18,906 22% Y Y n Y Y Y

Marajó várzea 0.42% 34,231 63% Y Y Y Y Y Y

Bolivian Yungas 0.41% 36,981 49% Y Y Y Y Y Y

Japurá-Solimões-Negro moist forests 0.21% 55,094 36% Y Y Y Y Y Y

Guianan Highlands moist forests 0.30% 43,305 34% Y Y Y Y Y Y

Bolivian montane dry forests 0.11% 151 56% Y Y Y Y Y Y

Pantepui 0.31% 15,875 65% Y Y Y Y Y Y

i For the analysis presented here, the three ecological representation levels were considered – the “classic” 10% target, the CBD Aichi Target #11 of 17%, and a precautionary approach of 30% representation target – adopted by, among others, the Brazilian 2010 biodiversity targets, and proposed by the WWF Living Amazon ecological vision. The calculations included representation in the protected areas, both separated and together with the indigenous territories. The Global Biodiversity Aichi Targets were defined by CoP-10 (Nagoya 2010) of the Convention on Biological Diversity (CBD). They have been adopted more widely, for other biodiversity-related interests, including by other international bodies. They are 20 targets, representing a good crosscutting section of the CBD objectives, programmes of work and other decisions – of which the Aichi Target 11 is just one and should not be considered in isolation.

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Although the total area under protection has been increasing, there is a challenge ahead

in directing the creation of new areas to include specifically under-represented

ecoregions. Some ecoregions present good conservation level (such as Uatumã-

Trombetas, Tapajós-Xingu, Purus-Madeira, Japurá-Solimões-Negro and Guianan

Highlands moist forests, Pantepui, Marajó and Gurupá várzeas, Bolivian montane dry

forests and Bolivian Yungas), while at the other extreme, others still have very low

conservation levels (such as Mato Grosso seasonal forests, Marañón and Apure-

Villavicencio dry forests, Xingu-Tocantins-Araguaia and Napo moist forests). Creating

new protected areas might be feasible for certain ecoregions but more difficult for

others, depending for instance on the capacity (technical, legal, financial…), or because

the political space can be more limited in sub-regions under greater stress.

Nevertheless, the very important representation assessment based on ecoregions is

good enough for some levels of analysis and scales, but it presents important limitations

and caveats. First, the conservation of an ecologically representative sample of Amazon

biodiversity cannot stop at this bio-geographical level. There is enough diversity within

ecoregions for the representation to be considered in smaller units – for instance,

considering at the national level, units using vegetation types and geomorphology or

soils as criteria. Ultimately, at more detailed and local levels, the representation should

include all elements of biodiversity (ecosystems, species and genes). Aichi Target 11

has additional criteria for the conservation spaces and efforts to be considered effective

(including integration in the landscape, connectivity, effective management and equity),

which calls for more comprehensive, well integrated and well managed networks or

systems of areas.

Furthermore, although positively considering the inclusion of the indigenous territories

in the ecological representation assessment, it should be kept clear that, unless defined

by the very communities, the territories can be used for a series of different purposes

other than biodiversity conservation. The solutions would come with rights, respect and

integration. Given that indigenous territories are covering a significant portion of the

Amazon landscape, and the multiple coincidences between the conservation of

biodiversity agenda and the governance over natural resources requested by

indigenous peoples' groups, the need to reinforce these links and develop innovative

alliances for the benefit of the Amazon ecosystems and its original inhabitants is

evident.

Another threat to the protected areas and all the benefits they can provide is

impermanence – by definition protected areas are defined, declared or created to be

permanent. Obviously, some flexibility is necessary to adapt to the new contexts, as well

as correct mistakes. In the Amazon, this can still be done with minimal negative impacts,

compared to other regions of the world. If the protected areas are seen as part of a

system, and at the service of the interests of local and indigenous communities and the

sustainable development of regions and countries, then they have meanings and goals.

Any downsizing or alteration of legal status should go through technical analysis and

political negotiations at least at the same level necessary for its creation, and, if decided

on, how to compensate the roles they have towards those meanings and goals must be

taken into consideration – for instance, through analysis and compensation of

biodiversity conservation and ecosystem services provision. Unfortunately this is not

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

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what has been happening in the Amazon in recent years. The Amazon is suffering from

increasing pressure from several fronts, and amongst the most important defence

mechanisms, the protected areas, are also under threat, without any compensation

efforts at all. Political and physical threats are also escalating against the indigenous

territories.i

Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories

On the one hand, conservation strategies should look both to the defence line of the

protected areas and other conservation spaces and efforts and to their threats. In this

case, threat is ‘measured’ by deforestation. Although they lie beyond the scope of this

paper which is focusing on forests, in a more accurate assessment of the threats and

conservation of the Amazon, the freshwater ecosystems should not be left out – their

ecological representation and fragmentation should be analysed. In their best condition,

some ecoregions have good level of protection and up to now are relatively out of the

main pressures (such as Pantepui, Bolivian montane dry forests, Guiana Highlands and

Japurá-Solimões-Negro moist forests, among others), while, at the other extreme, some

ecoregions do not have enough conservation yet and are already under much greater

stress (such as Mato Grosso seasonal forests, Apure-Villavicencio dry forests, Iquitos

várzea and Xingu-Tocantins-Araguaia, Tocantins/Pindaré, Ucayali, Madeira-Tapajós,

Southwest Amazon and Caquetá moist forests). (See table 5.)

On the other hand, besides biodiversity conservation, other important contributions of

the protected areas and indigenous peoples do exist, including contributions of social

and economic interest. Due to the pervasive impact from climate change, a benefit of

particular interest is the one related to the reduction of deforestation, associated

positively both to the agendas of mitigation and adaptation to climate changes. As

mentioned above, the indigenous lands are not defined for nature conservation, even

less specifically for curbing deforestation. Nevertheless, it has been demonstrated that

they have a positive effect in resisting deforestation. Similar to most protected areas

(particularly of some categories in some countries), the land titling or land-use

definition may be effective in pushing away the land grabbing interests and

consequently an important share of deforestation pressures. Moreover, the presence of

the indigenous peoples, as well as of governmental authorities, is important to inhibit

illegal and outsider deforestation-related actions. Some indigenous groups have specific

strategies of be more apparent in the limits of their lands so as to dissuade those kinds

of actions. Attacks to indigenous territories, might lead to fines, punishments and

possibly legal trials. Also, the social image associated to indigenous peoples or their

territories considers negative actions against them. ii

The case of nature conservation protected areas is not much different, except for the

fact that some of them are uninhabited and in some cases with lower collective culture-

related respect (particularly when created in violent ways against the opposition of

i Also Dudley, 2008; Mascia et alii, 2011 and 2014; and Martins et alii, 2012. See also http://www.padddtracker.org. ii Also Vergara, & Scholz, 2011; and Nepstad et alii, 2007.

“Large-scale degradation of Amazon forests could speed the global climatic disruption, influencing the rainfall in far-flung places around the planet. The predictions for the period from now to 2030 described in (1) would release 15-26 billion tonnes of carbon to the atmosphere equivalent to 1.5 to 2.6 years of current worldwide carbon emissions” (Nepstad et alii, 2007).

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

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local communities). Although there is always criticism about the effectiveness of

protected areas, studies have shown that the deforestation is significantly lower inside

protected areas and indigenous territories, than outside of them – something between 2

to 30 times more effective.i Despite the fact that different studies have presented more

or less slight differences between categories of management and governance types,

possibly there are other factors that play a not completely elucidated role (such as a

more consistent analysis of the level of management capacity), particularly related to

the degree and type of pressure the sample is under. Adequate strategies would include

protected areas of several categories and management types, indigenous territories,

control of land grabbing, agriculture and ranching compliance with regulations, etc.ii

Concluding remarks – which Amazon in 2050?

Which is the Amazon the peoples of this region and the world want to see in 2050? This

is one of the regions on Earth with largest potential to become a concrete and consistent

sustainable development model. Decision makers from the whole word (from the

municipal leaders of rural areas in Suriname, to traders in China and Japan, from

indigenous peoples in the Bolivian Amazon, to energy consumers in São Paulo, from

those responsible for protected areas of the Venezuelan Amazon, to the private and

public banks in Europe and US, etc.) have a responsibility to avoid the damage that the

Amazon’s destruction brings to the whole world and to the Amazon region and its

peoples.

In that sense, we need to:

• Recognise the rights of the Amazon indigenous peoples, including their right to land

and natural resources (particularly for the ones that do not have legally recognised

territories yet), but also for the right to give or withhold their prior informed

consent related to activities that affect them or their lands and the associated

natural resources;

• Recognise the rights of other local communities, particularly the more traditional

ones and the ones who live in close relationship with and dependence on the

ecosystems, and that includes supporting their economic activities, such as

‘extractivism’ and fisheries, and promoting their economic integration into the

global economy, while still maintaining their way of life;

• Promote the recognition of community conserved areas (ICCA) in all countries and

sub-national political entities of the Amazon;

• Keep up the good pace of the creation of new protected areas –reaching 30% of true

ecological representation– and improving the management quality and effectiveness

of the existing ones, and manage them as systems, sub-systems and ecological

networks;

i Also Nepstad et alii, 2006; Soares-Fº. et alii, 2009 and 2010; Ricketts et alii, 2010; and Note et alii, 2013. ii Also Soares-Fº. et alii, 2010.

As the pressure evolves, potentially in the future becoming less related to frontier like activities (such as land speculation and land grabbing, low productivity cattle ranching, illegal logging, etc.) and more to high capital intensive ones (high technology agriculture, hydropower, oil and gas, mining, etc.), it is less likely that the protected areas will keep their important role in resisting deforestation and degradation. On the contrary, a more negotiable approach may be needed, including protected areas as mitigation and compensation/offsetting tools, even partially funded by some of the business involved.

Amazon: There is Hope! If we all do ‘the right thing’… Deforestation, Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories: Past, evolution and… Which future?

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• Integrate protected areas into the economy and policy more, including improving

the services they provide to societies and economies, but also considering further,

stronger, larger and much better mechanisms to assure financial sustainability of the

protected areas systems. Also, avoid downsizing and altering the legal status of

protected areas and indigenous territories, particularly without proper, scientifically

sound and socially accepted mechanisms of compensation (biodiversity

conservation, ecosystem services provision, cultural and social interests, etc.);

• Adopt national policies and programmes to control and avoid deforestation

(integrating and up scaling good actions in all countries and looking for integrated

approaches, improving on the example of Brazil), aiming at (a) zero net

deforestation by 2020 and (b) to limit ecosystem conversion in the whole Amazon to

20%;

• Support science for environmental monitoring. Particularly, in this case, consistent

(within themselves), independent and complementary monitoring of ecosystem

conversion (including deforestation, freshwater fragmentation, etc.) is needed, with

consistent methods and sources across the whole Amazon;

• Establish better regulation and voluntary standards for public and private economic

and financial activities, including biodiversity and GHG offset procedures,

considering the full array of ecosystem services provided by the ecosystems possibly

affected;

• Develop adequate science and technology knowledge in order to replace the model

of open areas agriculture, interrupting rivers for hydropower production, non-forest

friendly roads, etc., by a sustainable development model adequate for the Amazon

conditions;

• Promote clarity in land tenure and access to natural resources conditions and,

through an adequate typology classification, implement specific actions for each case

(combination or separation of rights related to the land and to the natural resources;

public lands, collective communal lands, private ownership and possible

combinations; etc.);

• Integrate policies and programmes and private relationships amongst the nine

Amazon countries;

• Govern the region by democratic and participatory means; and

• Establish attention and care for the Amazon as a special globally important region

(similar to that devoted to the Antarctic) on the part of governments, companies and

societies, respecting national sovereignty and the rights of the local communities

and indigenous peoples.

In synthesis, taking care of the Amazon is a matter of global importance. The global

changes are affecting and will increase the impact on this region. The impacts of its

degradation will apply to all. For the Amazon countries, local communities and

indigenous peoples and the whole world, caring for the Amazon is also taking care of

themselves, yourselves, and ourselves.

WWF Living Amazon Initiative Internal Report

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Appendix

Procedure of this new analysis of deforestation

Introduction

Most deforestation data and analyses available before the new analysis presented here did not consider the Amazon as an ecological unit (as defined by Living Amazon Initiative - LAI, in WWF, 2007-08 and 2009), or were not based on comprehensive data (rather focusing on one or some specific countries, sub-national administrative entities or ecoregions), or compared data from different sources or based on different methodologies. INPE-PRODES (http://www.obt.inpe.br/prodes/index.php) has a very good process and offers good measuring data (among the world’s bests and with a long systematic history), but it applies only to Brazil and uses a legal, political-administrative definition of the Amazon (not an ecological, or a hydrological one). Among non-governmental efforts, Imazon (http://www.imazon.org.br/) has done significant work, also in Brazil, and its deforestation monitoring data is very important as a possible check on the official data. Some other Amazon countries are evolving in developing their monitoring systems, but in most cases there are not yet consistently defined, applied and accepted methods and sources, the reason being that most of them are new (although some have been making good retrospective efforts) or are not well recognised internationally yet. Two pan-amazon efforts before this new analysis have been considered here. Killeen (2012), however, used different sources and like Coca-Castro et alii (2013 and 2013a), did not use the Amazon’s ecological limits – actually basing themselves on INPE-PRODES (including parts of the Cerrado in Brazil) and considering “Bosque Chiquitano” in Bolivia as part of the Amazon. RAISG (2012 and www.raisg.socioambiental.org checked on Jan. 28, 2014) is also a very important attempt and should be better considered as it evolves, but currently it also considers the political-legal limits (instead of ecological ones) and has not enough consistency across the whole Amazon yet.

New analysis procedure

This new analysis was inspired by Coca-Castro et alii (2013 and 2013a) based on data downloaded from Terra-i (2014 Jan. 20) and used the Amazon definition criteria of the Living Amazon Initiative (WWF, 2007-08 and 2009). The preparation of information for this new analysis considered the following elements and steps: - After analysing several criteria, Living Amazon Initiative (WWF, 2007-08 and 2009) defined the ecological

Amazon considering mostly the bio-geographic limits, particularly expressed by the ecoregions (highlighting their forest and moisture elements), and complementarily the physiographic limits, through the river basins. Within its bio-geographic domain, the ‘Amazon biome’ does include a series of vegetation physiognomies (such as floodplains, swamps, and flooded, bamboo, palm and mixed forests, among others, besides the moist broadleaf forests) and patches of other biomes (such as savannahs and grasslands).

- Coca-Castro et alii (2013 and 2013a) data on ecoregions (from 2004 to 2011, considering their Amazon definition) were compared with the WWF (2007-08 and 2009) Amazon definition and respective ecoregions data.

- Based on WWF (op. cit.), the presence and percentage of ecoregion groups/types were considered within the ecologically defined Amazon (including Amazon forests; savannahs and transitions; and non-typically Amazon ones partially or totally included in the Amazon as defined). Ecoregions with less than 1% within the Amazon biome were excluded.

- Raw data on deforestation from Terra-I (www.terra-i.org; Terra-i, 2014), on countries and ecoregions, from 2004 to 2013, were downloaded (on Jan. 20, 2014). Note: The natural habitat conversion data from Terra-i seems unsuitable for measuring deforestation, but probably indicates tendencies well (Coca-Castro, 2014; and others), and was the only easily available source for the whole ‘Amazon biome’ to be used in this new analysis. In Terra-i (2014) data was available from 2004 to 2013. Nevertheless, 2013 seemed incomplete (or with errors), confirmed by Coca-Castro (2014). Therefore, this new analysis considered the years up to 2012. (however, the 2013 data could give some further although very rough

tendency indications, multiplying by 2 and bearing in mind that the deforestation does not take place at the same rate throughout the year.)

- Data per country were organised disaggregated into ecoregions within countries. Following the WWF definition, the percentage of occurrence in the Amazon was applied to each of them. (Therefore, the resulting information is valid only considering the ecoregions as units, not for spatial variations within them.) The information was then re-aggregated by country and by ecoregion. WWF criteria on ecoregion

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groups, and presence and percentage within the Amazon were applied in all cases, and back and forth comparisons with Coca-Castro et alii (2013 and 2013a) and Terra-i (2014) were important checks.

- The results were organised in sub-totals and percentages in several different ways, to allow visualisation of dominance and tendencies – from which, just a limited few were presented here. But they can be considered only an estimation of the amounts, proportions and tendencies.

Amazon Ecological Definition

As defined by WWF’s Living Amazon Initiative (mostly J.C. Riveros S., former Head of LAI Science, as in WWF, 2007-08 and 2009; also based on Orson et alii, 1998, 2000 and 2001; and to a lesser extent Abell et alii, 2008; WWF-US [2014]; as well as others). The definition was mostly based on terrestrial ecoregions. Moist tropical forest terrestrial ecoregions (table 6.a) are considered fully Amazon ecoregions for their ecological features, including vegetation structure and rainfall pattern – and in most of the cases are included in the Amazon basin, with the important exceptions such as Guiana moist forests and others, and part of Cordillera Oriental montane forests, Eastern Cordillera real montane forests and others. Some savannahs and transitional terrestrial ecoregions (table 6.b) were considered when lying mostly in the Amazon biome. Some transitional terrestrial ecoregions are not considered typically Amazon (such as dry or higher mountain/“altoandinos”, woodlands, or transitions towards those vegetation types – table 6.c), but were partially included in the defined Amazon to make the limits feasible. (See also map 3.a, on terrestrial ecoregions, and table 6.b and map 3.b on freshwater ecoregions.)

Table 6.a. Forest terrestrial ecoregions mostly in the Amazon biome (WWF [LAI], 2007-08; also based on Orson et alii, 1998, 2000 and 2001)

Forest Terrestrial Ecoregions Mostly in the Amazon Biome (WWF [LAI], 2007-08; also based on Orson et alii, 1998, 2000 and 2001)

Terrestrial Ecoregion Name Total Area (Km²) Area within Amazon % within Amazon Ecoregion Code

Bolivian yungas 90229.2 90229.2 100% NT0105

Caquetá moist forests 183358.31 183358.31 100% NT0107

Cordillera Oriental montane forests 67577.15 19737.38 29.21% NT0118

Eastern Cordillera real montane forests 102062.35 69066.12 67.67% NT0121

Guianan freshwater swamp forests 7690.31 7690.31 100% NT0149

Guianan Highlands moist forests 145518.71 142389.85 97.85% NT0124

Guianan moist forests 475929.12 475929.12 100% NT0125

Guianan piedmont and lowland moist forests

229835.8 229835.8 100% NT0182

Gurupá várzea 9880.95 9880.95 100% NT0126

Iquitos várzea 114506.42 114506.42 100% NT0128

Japurá-Solimões-Negro moist forests 268444.38 268444.38 100% NT0132

Juruá-Purus moist forests 241492.82 241492.82 100% NT0133

Madeira-Tapajós moist forests 716681.88 716681.88 100% NT0135

Marajó várzea 81844.16 81844.16 100% NT0138

Monte Alegre várzea 66506.14 66506.14 100% NT0141

Napo moist forests 250590.93 250590.93 100% NT0142

Negro-Branco moist forests 200931.9 200931.9 100% NT0143

Orinoco Delta swamp forests 27988.48 10887.1 38.9% NT0147

Pantepui 50675.18 50675.18 100% NT0169

Peruvian yungas 185961.43 99896.33 53.72% NT0153

Purus várzea 176760.34 176760.34 100% NT0156

Purus-Madeira moist forests 173261.42 173261.42 100% NT0157

Rio Negro campinarana 95986.14 95986.14 100% NT0158

Solimões-Japurá moist forests 166931.16 166931.16 100% NT0163

Southwest Amazon moist forests 746652.66 746652.66 100% NT0166

Tapajós-Xingu moist forests 335099.31 335099.31 100% NT0168

Tocantins/Pindaré moist forests 192752.01 192752.01 100% NT0170

Uatumã-Trombetas moist forests 470048.37 470048.37 100% NT0173

Ucayali moist forests 114442.96 114442.96 100% NT0174

Xingu-Tocantins-Araguaia moist forests 265072.05 265072.05 100% NT0180

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Table 6.b. Savannahs and transitional terrestrial ecoregions mostly in the Amazon biome (WWF [LAI], 2007-08; also based on Orson et alii, 1998, 2000 and 2001)

Savannahs and Transitional Terrestrial Ecoregions Mostly in the Amazon Biome

(WWF [LAI], 2007-08; also based on Orson et alii, 1998, 2000 and 2001) Terrestrial Ecoregion Name Total Area (Km²) Area within Amazon % within Amazon Ecoregion

Code

Guianan savannah 104493.78 104493.78 100% NT0707 Llanos 375786.54 15533.15 4.13% NT0709 Mato Grosso seasonal forests 406366.78 356440.24 87.71% NT0140 Beni savannas [missing] [missing] [missing] NT0702

Table 6.c. Transitional terrestrial ecoregions – non-Amazon biome (WWF [LAI], 2007-08; also based on Orson et alii, 1998, 2000 and 2001)

Transitional Terrestrial Ecoregions – non-Amazon Biome (WWF [LAI], 2007-08; also based on Orson et alii, 1998, 2000 and 2001)

Terrestrial Ecoregion Name Total Area (Km²) Area within Amazon % within Amazon Ecoregion Code

Apure-Villavicencio dry forests 7358.48 7356.09 99.97% NT0201

Bolivian montane dry forests 46692.85 1374.79 2.94% NT0206

Central Andean wet puna 112951.09 2799.42 2.48% NT1003

Cordillera Central páramo 6757.88 374.41 5.54% NT1004

Marañón dry forests 11322.3 3563.31 31.47% NT0223

Northern Andean páramo 11128.73 1251.41 11.24% NT1006

Map 3.a. Terrestrial ecoregions of the Amazon (WWF [LAI], 2009; also based on WWF-US [2014]; Orson et alii,

1998, 2000 and 2001; WWF-US [2014])

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Table 6.d. Freshwater Ecoregions related to the Amazon biome (WWF [LAI], 2007-08; also based on Abell et alii, 2008)

Freshwater Ecoregions Related to the Amazon biome (WWF [LAI], 2007-08; also based on Abell et alii, 2008)

Terrestrial Ecoregion Name ER Code

Amazonas Estuary and Coastal Drainages 230

Amazonas Guiana Shield 213

Amazonas Lowlands 216

Essequibo 209

Guiana 210

Madeira Shield 250

Mamoré - Madre de Dios Piedmont 298

Napo - Marañon Piedmont 296

Orinoco Guiana Shield 207

Rio Negro 212

Tapajós - Juruena 254

Ucayali - Urubamba Piedmont 297

Xingu 219

Amazonas High Andes 218

Guaporé - Itenez 252

Orinoco Delta and Coastal Drainages 204

Orinoco Llanos 206

Tocantins - Araguaia 243

Orinoco High Andes 253

Orinoco Piedmont 205

Map3.b. Freshwater Ecoregions related to the Amazon biome (WWF, 2007-08; also based on Abell et alii, 2008;

WWF-US [2014])

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WWF Living Amazon Initiative The Living Amazon Initiative (LAI) spearheads WWF’s efforts to promote a healthy Amazon

‘Biome’ that maintains its environmental and cultural contribution to local peoples, countries of

the region and the world, by maintaining ecological processes and services within a framework

that propitiates inclusive economic development with social equity and global responsibility.

WWF’s Overall Amazon Goals

• WWF Goal 1 – Biodiversity & People: By 2020, the diversity of terrestrial and freshwater

ecosystems of the Amazon Biome is conserved (a minimum of 30% representation) to

ensure the survival of the species that live there and the continued provision of

environmental goods and services to local peoples, countries of the region, and the world.

• WWF Goal 2 – Hydrological Flows: By 2020, the quality, quantity and timing of flows in

priority rivers and their headwaters are maintained at levels that ensure the integrity of

aquatic ecosystems and the continued provision of ecological services that sustain local

livelihoods and regional economies.

• WWF Goal 3 – Forest Cover: By 2020, sufficient forest cover is conserved to keep climate

patterns within their natural ranges of variation and build regional resilience to climate

change, thus ensuring that a healthy Amazon continues to contribute to climate regulation

regionally and globally.

The delivery of these three WWF goals is a shared responsibility between the focused work of

LAI, other global initiatives and programmes that are relevant to the Amazon, in addition to the

critical national level work by WWF Network offices (the ‘Amazon Offices’).

LAI’s Mission Statement

The Living Amazon Initiative recognises rights, considers sustainability defence work and

searches relations with key actors with transboundary and regional relevance to support a

more sustainable Amazon by reducing deforestation and freshwater ecosystem fragmentation,

while securing ecological representation, conservation gains and social benefits through the

integration of protected areas and indigenous territories within a biome-wide vision – a vision

that understands the interdependence of parts of the Amazon as a functioning ecological unity;

always working in partnership, understanding and respecting other social actors’ roles.

Focused Strategies

1) Mainstream Protected Areas and Indigenous Territories into Land Use and

Development Plans – i.e. strengthening the defence line: protected areas and indigenous

territories, promoting their transboundary integration and mainstreaming them into zoning

and development plans and into voluntary private and finance sector standards.

2) Green Hydropower Development – i.e. promoting alternative planning of hydropower

development and engaging public and private partners and civil society in plans that

minimize freshwater ecosystem fragmentation and social impacts.

3) Curb Deforestation and Enable a Forest Economy – i.e. scaling up effective solutions to

curb deforestation and promote policies and voluntary private and finance sector standards

to implement appropriate regulations and finance alternatives.

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