do we need fine scale ocean prediction ?! ... and if so, do we have the right tools ?
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Do we need fine scale ocean prediction ?! ... and if so, do we have the right tools ?. Lars-Anders Breivik OPNet Oslo, May 2011. Heading. Oil drift simulations using two different resolutions Red 4 km model Blue 1.5 km model 32 hour after accident At noon on Aug 1. - PowerPoint PPT PresentationTRANSCRIPT
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
Do we need fine scale ocean prediction ?!... and if so, do we have the right tools ?
Lars-Anders Breivik
OPNet Oslo, May 2011
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
Heading
Oil drift simulations using two different resolutions
Red 4 km modelBlue 1.5 km model
32 hour after accidentAt noon on Aug 1
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
Oslofjord (300m) and Skag (1.5km). 18 Feb at 00:00
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
Regional models and model areas
Topaz:MyOcean Arctic Monitoringand Forecasting
ROMS 4 km: regional use
ROMS Norkyst 800:Coastal applications
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
OSI SAF, Satellite derived SST (7 days accumulated) and ROMS 4 temperature
Shall be capable of utilizing available observations,in particular satellite data
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
NOAA19, channel 1,2,3. May 5, 2011
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
met.no Sea Ice service analysis, may 5, 2011
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
Satellite derived SST in the 9. May 2011
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
High resolution model:Norkyst 800
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
Eddy shedding in the model. Daily mean surface currents for May 3 - 8, 2010, in the ocean west of Lofoten
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
NWP, regional models, HIRLAM 8 and UM 1 km
Rely on high quality atmospheric forcing, Best possible NWP weather forecasts
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
Future direction: Coupling of ocean forecast / wave forecast and weather forecast models to optimize the description of the fluxes in the boundary layer.
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
Experience with couplingatmosphere - wave
Average differences in fluxes of sensible heat3 months of HIRLAM - WAM coupled / no coupled
Cold air outbreak->Rougher wind sea ->Increased heat flux
Sætra and Køltzow (IPY results)
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
1-year storm surge simulations
• Control run with stress calculated from Large and Pond
• Experiment using stresses from wave model
• Verification against sea level observations
From Sætra, Albretsen and Janssen 2007 (JPO)
Experience with couplingwave - ocean
Meteorologisk Institutt met.noOPNet, Oslo, May 2011
Information- and data- access for users
Make information:snapshots and dataeasy available through modern web interface