dmci holdings inc. - analystbriefing’ 3q’2016’results … · 2016. 11. 16. · alea...

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ANALYST BRIEFING 3Q 2016 Results Wednesday, 16 November 2016 10.30am DMCI Annex 20150824 1

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Page 1: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

ANALYST  BRIEFING  3Q  2016  Results  

Wednesday,  16  November  2016  10.30am  DMCI  Annex    

 

2015-­‐08-­‐24   1  

Page 2: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Agenda

•  DMCI Holdings’ Share in Net Income •  Business Segment 3Q 2016 Results:

Semirara Mining & Power Corporation

DMCI Homes (Property) Maynilad Holdings DMCI Mining (Nickel) D.M. Consunji, Inc. (Construction) DMCI Power (Off-Grid)

•  Parent Balance Sheet as of 9M 2016

13  May  2016   2  

Page 3: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Holdings’ Share in Net Income  Unaudited

(In Million Php) 3Q 2016 3Q 2015 Change %

Semirara (56%)  1,795      860      935     109%   Property Development  310      1,002      (692)   -­‐69%   Maynilad Holdings (25% effective)  426      561      (135)   -­‐24%   Construction  335      28      307     1096%   Off-Grid Power  101      90      11     12%   DMCI Mining (75% in BNC)  2      189      (187)   -­‐99%   Parent & Others  16      10      6     60%  Core Net Income  2,985      2,740      245     9%   One-Time Investment Gains*  -­‐          530      (530)   -­‐100%   Non-Recurring Items**  8      3      5     167%  Reported Net Income  2,993      3,273      (280)   -­‐9%  

16  November    2016   3  

*Gain  on  sale  of  10%  interest  in  Subic  Water  in  1Q16  &  gain  on  sale  of  25%  interest  in  PIDC  in  3Q15  **From  Maynilad’s  gain  on  re-­‐measurement  due  to  Maynilad’s  OSD  elecRon  in  2Q16  (P262M)  &  FOREX  &  other  one-­‐Rme  adjustments.    

Page 4: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Contribution to Net Income  

Construc7on  11%  

Nickel  0%  

Property  10%  

Off-­‐Grid  Power  4%  

Maynilad  14%  

Semirara  60%  

Parent  1%  

One-­‐Time  Investment  Gains  0%   Non-­‐Recurring  

0%  

3Q  2016  

16  November  2016   4  

Construc7on  1%  

Nickel  6%  

Property  31%  

Off-­‐Grid  Power  3%  

Maynilad  17%  

Semirara  26%  

Parent  &  Others  0%  

One-­‐Time  Investment  Gains  16%  

Non-­‐Recurring  0%  

3Q  2015  

ConstrucRon   Nickel   Property  

Off-­‐Grid  Power   Maynilad   Semirara  

Parent  &  Others   One-­‐Time  Investment  Gains   Non-­‐Recurring  

Page 5: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Semirara (Consolidated) Unaudited

(In Million Php) 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 3Q 2015 % 3Q16 vs 3Q15

Revenues  9,901      9,208      5,808     59%  COS & Operating Expenses  (5,486)    (4,942)    (3,099)   59%  EBITDA  4,415      4,266      2,709     57%  Depreciation & Amortization  (666)    (743)    (583)   27%  Interest Expense  (172)    (178)    (59)   202%  Interest Income  19      15      14     7%  Other Income (Expense)  (57)    (7)    (120)   -­‐94%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (85)    (168)    (445)   -­‐62%  Net Income  3,454      3,185      1,516     110%  Net Income Non-Controlling  (1,508)    (1,390)    (656)   112%  Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  1,946      1,795      860     109%  

16  November  2016   5  

Page 6: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Semirara (Coal) Unaudited

(In Million Php) 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 3Q 2015 % 3Q16 vs 3Q15

Coal Revenues  5,077      4,425      2,374     86%  COS & Operating Expenses  (3,408)    (3,053)    (2,122)   44%  EBITDA  1,669      1,372      252     444%  Depreciation & Amortization  (147)    (232)    (324)   -­‐28%  Interest Expense  (45)    (46)    (34)   35%  Interest Income  8      7      (2)   450%  Other Income (Expense)  (61)    (18)    (170)   -­‐89%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  2      (3)    -­‐         100%  Net Income  1,426      1,080      (278)   488%  Net Income Non-Controlling  (623)    (471)    121     -­‐489%  Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  803      609      (157)   488%  

16  November  2016   6  

Page 7: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Semirara (Power: 2x300MW) Unaudited

(In Million Php) 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 3Q 2015 % 3Q16 vs 3Q15

Power Revenues  2,866      3,104      3,162     -­‐2%  COS & Operating Expenses  (1,844)    (1,468)    (907)   62%  EBITDA  1,022      1,636      2,255     -­‐27%  Depreciation & Amortization  (295)    (278)    (259)   7%  Interest Expense  (20)    (27)    (23)   17%  Interest Income  2      2      4     -­‐50%  Other Income (Expense)  4      11      47     -­‐77%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (93)    (154)    (443)   -­‐65%  Net Income  620      1,190      1,581     -­‐25%  Net Income Non-Controlling  (270)    (520)    (684)   -­‐24%  Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  350      670      897     -­‐25%  

16  November  2016   7  

Page 8: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Semirara (Power: 2x150MW) Unaudited

(In Million Php) 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 3Q 2015 % 3Q16 vs 3Q15

Power Revenues  1,958      1,679      272     517%  COS & Operating Expenses  (234)    (421)    (70)   501%  EBITDA  1,724      1,258      202     523%  Depreciation & Amortization  (224)    (233)    -­‐         100%  Interest Expense  (107)    (105)    (2)   5150%  Interest Income  9      6      12     -­‐50%  Other Income (Expense)  0    -­‐          3     -­‐100%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  6      (11)    (2)   450%  Net Income  1,408      915      213     330%  Net Income Non-Controlling  (615)    (399)    (93)   329%  Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  793      516      120     330%  

14  November  2016   8  

Page 9: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Property Development Unaudited (In Million Php) 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 3Q 2015 %

3Q16 vs 3Q15 Real Estate Revenues  2,044      1,717      4,124     -­‐58%  COS & Operating Expenses  (1,782)    (1,404)    (2,871)   -­‐51%  EBITDA  262      313      1,253     -­‐75%  Depreciation & Amortization  (85)    (101)    (115)   -­‐12%  Interest Expense  (188)    88      91     -­‐3%  Interest Income  63      58      79     -­‐27%  Other Income (Expense)  112      128      108     19%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (119)    (176)    (414)   -­‐57%  Reported Net Income  45      310      1,002     -­‐69%  One-Time Investment Gain  -­‐          -­‐          -­‐         NA  Core Net Income  45      310      1,002     -­‐69%  Core Net Income Non-Controlling  (2)    -­‐          -­‐         NA  Core Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  43      310      1,002     -­‐69%  16  November  2016   9  

Page 10: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Operating KPIs Sales & Reservations

DM

CI H

OM

ES

0%  

10%  

20%  

30%  

40%  

50%  

60%  

70%  

80%  

90%  

100%  

AO  Sep  2016   AO  Sep  2015  

78%  71%  

4%  6%  

8%   14%  

9%   9%  

Sales  By  Financing  Type  

Bank  Financing   In  House   Cash   Forecast  

AO  Sep  2016  

AO  Sep  2015  

%  Chang

e  

#  of  Units   5,842   4,331   35%  

#  of  Parking   3,410   2,588   32%  

 Php  (in  millions)  

AO  Sep  2016  

AO  Sep  2015  

%  Chang

e  

Units   19,039   13,831   38%  

Parking   2,068   1,484   39%  

Total   21,107   15,315   38%  

Page 11: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Operating KPIs – Project Launches

DM

CI H

OM

ES

2016 Launch Calendar No. of Bldgs. / Type

Apr

ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite

4 MRB (7F)

VERDON PARC Davao City

4 HYB (9F / 23F)

May BRIXTON PLACE Pasig City

2 HRB (46F)

Jul CALATHEA PLACE Dr. A santos Ave, Sucat, Parañaque City

2 HRB (12F) 2 MRB (8F)

Sep

OAK HARBOR Asia World, Parañaque City

3 HRB (13/15F)

Oct THE CELANDINE A. Bonifacio Ave, Quezon City

1 HRB (47F)

Nov INFINA TOWERS Aurora Blvd., Quezon City

2HRB (41F)

Total

2015  Launch  Calendar   No.  of  Bldgs.  /  Type  

Feb   IVORYWOOD    Acacia  Estate,  Taguig  

7  MRB    (6F)  

Jul   BRISTLE  RIDGE  Pacdal,  Baguio  

3  MRB    (6F)  

Aug  

FAIRWAY  TERRACES  Pasay  City  

1  HRB  (17F)  

LUMIERE  RESIDENCES        NORTH    Pasig  Blvd.,  Pasig  

3rd  of  3HRB  (43F)  

Oct   MAPLE  PLACE    Acacia  Estate,  Taguig  

3  MRB    (6F)  

Total  

Page 12: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Maynilad Holdings Unaudited

15  November  2016   12  

(In Million Php) 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 3Q 2015 % 3Q16 vs 3Q15

Revenues  5,185      5,100      4,907     4%  COS & Operating Expenses  (1,314)    (1,404)    (1,339)   5%  EBITDA  3,871      3,696      3,568     4%  Depreciation & Amortization  (735)    (753)    (665)   13%  Interest Expense  (521)    (524)    (540)   -­‐3%  Interest Income  23      30      35     -­‐14%  Other Income (Expense)  262      (157)    (157)   0%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (150)    (574)    (8)   7075%  Reported Net Income  2,750      1,718      2,233     -­‐23%  Non-Recurring Items*  (897)    (33)    (11)   200%  Core Net Income  1,853      1,685      2,222     -­‐24%  Core Net Income Non-Controlling  (133)    (120)    (159)   -­‐25%  Core Net Income Maynilad Holdings  1,720      1,565      2,063     -­‐24%  Core Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  468      426      561     -­‐24%  

*From  Maynilad’s  gain  on  re-­‐measurement  due  to  Maynilad’s  OSD  elecRon  in  2Q16  (P262M)  &  FOREX  &  other  one-­‐Rme  adjustments.    

Page 13: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Construction Unaudited (In Million Php) 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 3Q 2015 %

3Q16 vs 3Q15 Construction Revenues  2,530      2,295      3,967     -­‐42%  COS and Operating Expenses  (2,057)    (1,676)    (3,568)   -­‐53%  EBITDA  473      619      399     55%  Depreciation & Amortization  (197)    (195)    (205)   -­‐5%  Interest Expense  (7)    (7)    (9)   -­‐22%  Interest Income  1      1      1     0%  Other Income (Expense)  8      14      1     1300%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (71)    (95)    (137)   -­‐31%  Reported Net income  207      337      50     574%  Non-Recurring Items  -­‐          -­‐          (19)   -­‐100%  Core Net Income  207      337      31     987%  Core Net Income Non-Controlling Interest  (7)    (2)    (3)   -­‐33%  Core Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  200      335      28     1096%  16  November  2016   13  

Page 14: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Construction Order Book as of September 30, 2016 (in PHP million)

16  November  2016   14  

Product Line

Contract As of 31 Dec. 2015

Newly Awarded

Booked Revenue

(Jan-Sept)

Total Booked

Revenue

As of 30 Sept. 2016

BLDG 34,017 5,272 6,484 2,162 24,233 9,784

INFRA 33,686 20,707 46 4,479 25915 7,771

POWER 17,661 781 421 951 17072 589

WATER 5,254 2,427 500 957 2883 2,371

90,618 29,187 7,451 8,549 70,103 20,515*

*8.083  of  Skyway  contract  deferred      

Page 15: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Nickel Mining Unaudited

(In Million Php) 2Q 2016

3Q 2016 3Q 2015 % 3Q16 vs 3Q15

Nickel Ore Revenues  1,054      421      631     -­‐33%  COS and Operating Expenses  (602)    (279)    (322)   -­‐13%  EBITDA  452      142      309     -­‐54%  Depreciation & Amortization  (122)    (95)    (86)   10%  Interest Expense  (4)    (4)    (6)   -­‐33%  Interest Income  2      1      -­‐         100%  Other Income (Expense)  (15)    9      247     -­‐96%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (86)    (36)    (205)   -­‐82%  Reported Net Income  227      17      259     -­‐93%  Core Net Income Non-Controlling  (70)    (15)    (70)   -­‐79%  Core Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  157      2      189     -­‐99%  16  November  2016   15  

Page 16: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

16  November  2016   16  

  SHIPMENT (PHP) AVE. SELLING PRICE (USD) 2016 BNC ZDMC BNC ZDMC 1Q 109,718   18   2Q 708,653 55,000 31 16 3Q 206,803   40     1,025,174 55,000 32 16          

  SHIPMENT (PHP) AVE. SELLING PRICE (USD) 2015 BNC ZDMC BNC ZDMC 1Q 271,324 47,850 29 29 2Q 838,803   46   3Q 274,165   53   4Q 218,721   33     1,603,013 47,850 42 29

  SHIPMENT AVE. SELLING PRICE 2014 BNC ZDMC BNC ZDMC 1Q 54,704   51   2Q 541,505 106,694 41 42 3Q 360,758 98,200 57 50 4Q 47,329   57     1,004,296 204,894 48 45.57

Nickel Mining  

Page 17: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Off-Grid Power Unaudited

(In Million Php) 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 3Q 2015 % 3Q16 vs 3Q15

Power Revenues  659      597      551     8%  COS and Operating Expenses  (467)    (454)    (414)   10%  EBITDA  192      143      137     4%  Depreciation & Amortization  (45)    (45)    (40)   13%  Interest Expense  (2)    (1)    (4)   -­‐75%  Interest Income  -­‐          -­‐          -­‐         NA  Other Income (Expense)  1      -­‐          -­‐         NA  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (3)    4      (3)   -­‐233%  Net Income  143      101      90     12%  Net Income Non-Controlling Interest  -­‐          -­‐          -­‐         NA  Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  143      101      90     12%  16  November  2016   17  

Page 18: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Operating KPIs D

MC

I PO

WER

CO

RPO

RAT

ION

RevenuesAO  

Sep   2016AO  

Sep   2015%  

CHANGESales   Volume   (in   GWh) 183.43 154.17 19%

Masbate 70.82 63.44 12%

Palawan 69.96 57.57 22%

Mindoro 40.98 33.16 24%

Sultan   Kudarat 1.67 N/A N/A

Averag e   Selling   Price   (in   PhP/kWh)* 9.24 10.47 -­‐12%

Masbate 11.19 11.74 -­‐5%

Palawan 7.95 9.45 -­‐16%

Mindoro 8.60 10.22 -­‐16%

Sultan   Kudarat 22.65 N/A N/A

Gross   Generation   (in   kWh) 184.39 156.04 18%

Masbate 71.71 65.23 10%

Palawan 70.02 57.63 21%

Mindoro 40.98 33.18 24%

Sultan   Kudarat 1.68 N/A N/A*exclud ing   Sultan   Kudarat

Page 19: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Operating KPIs D

MC

I PO

WER

CO

RPO

RAT

ION

Plant   CapacityAO  Q3  2016

AO  Q3  2015

%  CHANGE

Availability  of  Contracted  Dependable  Capacity   (in  % )

Masbate 100% 100% 0%

Palawan 100% 100% 0%

Mindoro 100% 100% 0%

Sultan   Kudarat 100% N/A N/A

Capacity   Factor   based   on   Rated   Capacity   (in  % )MasbateBunker 32% 52% -­‐38%

Diesel 24% 29% -­‐18%

Palawan 22% 35% -­‐37%

Mindoro 40% 32% 24%

Sultan   Kudarat 7% N/A N/A

Rated   Capacity   (in  MW)Masbate 29.61 24.40 21%

Palawan 27.52 25.00 10%

Mindoro 15.56 15.56 0%

Sultan   Kudarat 3.69 0.00 N/A

TOTAL 76.38 64.96 18%

Page 20: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

Valuation + Fundamentals Support Re-Rating for DMCI

Source:  Bloomberg.  Prices  as  of  11.14.16  

DMCI  is  cheap  on  a  rela1ve  and  absolute  basis  in  terms  of  2017  P/E  Ra1o  

21.0x

17.4x 17.1x15.2x

13.4x11.1x

9.8x

0.0x

5.0x

10.0x

15.0x

20.0x

25.0x

SM MPI AYALA JGS GTCAP DMCI AGI

Conglomerates:  2017  Consensus   P/E

22.7%  

16.5%  

11.4%   10.9%   10.8%   10.5%  8.4%  

−  

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

25.0%

DMCI GTCAP JGS AYALA SM AGI MPI

LTM  Return  on  Equity

130.8%   130.7%  

98.8%  90.2%  

83.5%  74.1%  

65.2%  

−  

20.0%

40.0%

60.0%

80.0%

100.0%

120.0%

140.0%

GTCAP AYALA SM JGS AGI MPI DMCI

Debt  /  Equity

While  earnings  growth  is  beDer  than  peers,  with  upside  risk  to  consensus  earnings…  

While  return  on  equity  &  value  crea1on  –  is  undoubtedly  consistently  one  of  the  highest  in  the  Philippines  due  to  its  integrated  business  model…  

While  DMCI’s  gearing  also  remains  the  lowest  and  safest  amongst  its  conglomerate  peers  at  65%  

16.3%  

13.0%  11.8%  

11.0%  

7.4%  6.1%  

3.9%  

−  

2.0%

4.0%

6.0%

8.0%

10.0%

12.0%

14.0%

16.0%

18.0%

SM AYALA DMCI GTCAP AGI MPI JGS

Conglomerates:  Consensus   2016-­‐2018  EPS  Growth

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16  November  2016   21  

   

KEY  TAKEAWAYS:  3Q  2016  

DMCI  Holdings:  

•  Overall  core  earnings  growth  for  the  quarter  was  +9%  despite  the  negaRve  news  headlines  

•  Key  growth  drivers  were:  Semirara  with  +109%  net  income  growth,  ConstrucRon  with  

+1,096%  growth  in  3Q16  against  the  same  period  last  year.  

Semirara:  

•  Revenue  grew  by  +34%  ,EBITDA  by  +32%,  Net  Income  by  +54%  and  Free  Cash  Flow  by  +98%  

•  Average  selling  price  of  coal  PHP  1,711/ton  (9M16)  while  extracRon  costs/ton  conRnue  to  

trend  lower  to  PHP  760  and  

•  Power  plants  conRnue  to  perform  adequately  with    70%  capacity  factor  for  Units  1+2  and  

57%  capacity  factor  for  Units  3+4  

Property:  

•  Sales  &  ReservaRons  grew  by  38%  (9M16)  during  the  period  –  which  is  the  true  indicator  of  

demand  for  DMCI’s  units  

•  Due  to  DMCI’s  conservaRve  accounRng  of  completed  units,  earnings  only  appear  to  have  

decreased  by  -­‐69%  

ConstrucRon:  •  Costs  normalized  in  3Q16  against  the  same  period  last  year  

•  2017  should  be  a  key  year  in  terms  of  infrastructure  build  out  

Water:  

•  Maynilad  conRnues  to  perform  well  in  terms  of  volumes  and  efficiency;  

•  2017  net  income  should  grow  (once  more)  as  drag  resulRng  from  2016  expiraRon  of  Income  

Tax  Holiday  will  end  

•  ArbitraRon  is  in  Singapore  in  December  and  ResoluRon  expected  by  April  2017  

Nickel:   •  Both  mines  remain  suspended  –  no  confirmed  news  yet  in  terms  of  reopening  the  mines.  

Off-­‐Grid  Power:  •  ConstrucRon  of  bunker  plant  in  Aborlan  (2x4.95MW)  Irawan  (3x6MW)  scheduled  for  

compleRon  end  2016  and  4Q  2017,  respecRvely.  

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Disclaimer

The information contained in this document is strictly confidential. Neither DMCI Holdings, Inc. (DMCI), nor its advisors make any representation regarding, and assumes no responsibility or liability for, the accuracy or completeness of, or any errors or omissions in any information contained herein. Such information is subject to change without notice, its accuracy is not guaranteed and it may not contain all material information concerning DMCI.

In addition, this document contains certain financial information and results of operation, and may also contain certain projections, plans, strategies, and objectives of DMCI, that are not statements of historical fact which would be treated as forward looking statements within the meaning of applicable law. Forward looking statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual events and DMCI’s future results to be materially different than expected or indicated by such statements. No assurance can be given that the results anticipated by DMCI, or indicated by any such forward looking statements, will be achieved.

This document is not an offer of securities for sale in the United States. Securities may not be offered or sold in the United States absent registration under the United States Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”) or an exemption from such registration. This document is not an offer to sell securities or a solicitation of an offer to buy securities in any jurisdiction where such offer or sale is not permitted.

16  November  2016   22  

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Appendix  

9M16  Earnings,  Maynilad  (stand-­‐alone),  DMCI  Order  book  2Q16  &  3Q15  &  DMCI  Holdings,  Inc.  B/S  

2015-­‐08-­‐24   23  

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Holdings’ Share in Net Income  Unaudited

(In Million Php) 9M 2016 9M 2015 Change %

Semirara (56%)  5,383      3,530      1,853     52%   Property Development  1,018      2,719      (1,701)   -­‐63%   Maynilad Holdings (25% effective)  1,300      1,722      (422)   -­‐25%   Construction  732      361      371     103%   Off-Grid Power  342      305      37     12%   DMCI Mining (75% BNC & 100% ZDMC)  59      643      (584)   -­‐91%   Parent & Others  58      62      (4)   -­‐6%  Core Net Income  8,892      9,342      (450)   -­‐5%   One-Time Investment Gains*  111      530      (419)   -­‐79%   Non-Recurring Items**  231      (10)    241     NM  Reported Net Income  9,234      9,862      (628)   -­‐6%  

16  November  2016   24  

*Gain  on  sale  of  10%  interest  in  Subic  Water  in  1Q16  &  gain  on  sale  of  25%  interest  in  PIDC  in  3Q15  **From  Maynilad’s  gain  on  re-­‐measurement  due  to  Maynilad’s  OSD  elecRon  in  2Q16  (P262M)  &  FOREX  &  other  one-­‐Rme  adjustments.    

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Contribution to Net Income  

Construc7on  8%  

Nickel  1%  

Property  11%  

Off-­‐Grid  Power  4%  

Maynilad  14%  Semirara  

58%  

Parent  &  Others  1%  

One-­‐Time  Investment  Gains  

1%   Non-­‐Recurring  2%  

9M  2016  

16  November  2016   25  

Construc7on  4%  

Nickel  6%  

Property  28%  

Off-­‐Grid  Power  3%  

Maynilad  17%  

Semirara  36%  

Parent  &  Others  1%  

One-­‐Time  Investment  Gains  5%   Non-­‐Recurring  

0%  

9M  2015  

ConstrucRon   Nickel   Property  

Off-­‐Grid  Power   Maynilad   Semirara  

Parent  &  Others   One-­‐Time  Investment  Gains   Non-­‐Recurring  

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Semirara (Consolidated) Unaudited

(In Million Php) 9M 2016 9M 2015 %

Revenues*  25,766      19,525     32%  COS & Operating Expenses  (13,313)    (10,145)   31%  EBITDA  12,453      9,380     33%  Depreciation & Amortization  (2,073)    (1,690)   23%  Interest Expense  (422)    (210)   101%  Interest Income  52      36     44%  Other Income (Expense)  (5)    62     -­‐108%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (453)    (1,336)   -­‐66%  Net Income  9,552      6,242     53%  Net Income for Non-Controlling  (4,169)    (2,712)   54%  Net Income for DMCI Holdings, Inc.  5,383      3,530     52%  

16  November  2016   26  

*Inclusive  of  income  generated  during  commissioning  of  2x150MW  (Units  3  &  4)  

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Semirara (Coal) Unaudited

(In Million Php) 9M 2016 9M 2015 %

Coal Revenues  13,442      8,900     51%  COS & Operating Expenses  (8,633)    (6,704)   29%  EBITDA  4,809      2,196     119%  Depreciation & Amortization  (774)    (915)   -­‐15%  Interest Expense  (142)    (88)   61%  Interest Income  23      13     77%  Other Income (Expense)  (40)    (62)   -­‐35%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (3)    (2)   50%  Net Income  3,873      1,142     239%  Net Income for Non-Controlling  (1,691)    (499)   239%  Net Income for DMCI Holdings, Inc.  2,182      643     239%  

16  November  2016   27  

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Semirara (Power: 2x300MW) Unaudited

(In Million Php) 9M 2016 9M 2015 %

Power Revenues  7,626      10,353     -­‐26%  COS & Operating Expenses  (3,848)    (3,371)   14%  EBITDA  3,778      6,982     -­‐46%  Depreciation & Amortization  (842)    (775)   9%  Interest Expense  (68)    (120)   -­‐43%  Interest Income  8      11     -­‐27%  Other Income (Expense)  35      121     -­‐71%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (411)    (1,332)   -­‐69%  Net Income  2,500      4,887     -­‐49%  Net Income for Non-Controlling  (1,090)    (2,120)   -­‐49%  Net Income for DMCI Holdings, Inc.  1,410      2,767     -­‐49%  

16  November  2016   28  

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Semirara (Power: 2x150MW) Unaudited

(In Million Php) 9M 2016 9M 2015 %

Power Revenues  4,698      272     1627%  COS & Operating Expenses  (832)    (70)   1089%  EBITDA  3,866      202     1814%  Depreciation & Amortization  (457)    -­‐         100%  Interest Expense  (212)    (2)   10500%  Interest Income  21      12     75%  Other Income (Expense)  -­‐          3     -­‐100%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (39)    (2)   1850%  Net Income  3,179      213     1392%  Net Income Non-Controlling  (1,388)    (93)   1392%  Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  1,791      120     1392%  

16  November  2016   29  

*Inclusive  of  income  generated  during  commissioning  of  2x150MW  (Units  3  &  4)  

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Property Development Unaudited (In Million Php) 9M 2016 9M 2015 %

Real Estate Revenues  8,110      11,116     -­‐27%  COS & Operating Expenses  (6,489)    (7,428)   -­‐13%  EBITDA  1,621      3,688     -­‐56%  Depreciation & Amortization  (273)    (266)   3%  Interest Expense  (344)    (153)   125%  Interest Income  194      236     -­‐18%  Other Income (Expense)  517      364     42%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (583)    (1,150)   -­‐49%  Reported Net Income  1,132      2,719     -­‐58%  One-Time Investment Gain*  (111)    -­‐         100%  Core Net Income  1,021      2,719     -­‐62%  Core Net Income Non-Controlling  (3)    -­‐         100%  Core Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  1,018      2,719     -­‐63%  16  November  2016   30  

*One-­‐Rme  gain  on  parRal  sale  of  Subic  Water  in  1Q16  

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Maynilad Holdings Unaudited

15  November  2016   31  

(In Million Php) 9M 2016 9M 2015 %

Revenues  15,220      14,243     7%  COS & Operating Expenses  (4,193)    (3,723)   13%  EBITDA  11,027      10,520     5%  Depreciation & Amortization  (2,196)    (1,950)   13%  Interest Expense  (1,561)    (1,590)   -­‐2%  Interest Income  85      95     -­‐11%  Other Income (Expense)  (21)    (442)   -­‐95%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (1,270)    148     -­‐958%  Reported Net Income  6,064      6,781     -­‐11%  Non-Recurring Items*  (917)    42     -­‐2283%  Core Net Income  5,147      6,823     -­‐25%  Core Net Income Non-Controlling  (368)    (488)   -­‐25%  Core Net Income Maynilad Holdings  4,779      6,335     -­‐25%  Core Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  1,300      1,722     -­‐25%  

*From  Maynilad’s  gain  on  re-­‐measurement  due  to  Maynilad’s  OSD  elecRon  in  2Q16  (P262M)  &  FOREX  &  other  one-­‐Rme  adjustments.    

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Construction Unaudited (In Million Php) 9M 2016 9M 2015 %

Construction Revenues  7,782      10,336     -­‐25%  COS and Operating Expenses  (6,230)    (9,116)   -­‐32%  EBITDA  1,552      1,220     27%  Depreciation & Amortization  (594)    (614)   -­‐3%  Interest Expense  (20)    (32)   -­‐38%  Interest Income  3      3     0%  Other Income (Expense)  28      67     -­‐58%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (225)    (253)   -­‐11%  Reported Net Income  744      391     90%  One-time Investment Gain*  -­‐          (19)   -­‐100%  Core Net Income  744      372     100%  Core Net Income for Non-Controlling Interest  (12)    (11)   9%  Core Net Income for DMCI Holdings, Inc.  732      361     103%  16  November  2016   32  

*DM  Consunji,  Inc’s  share  in  gain  on  sale  of  PIDC  in  3Q  2015    

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Construction Order Book as of September 30, 2015

16  November  2016   33  

Product Line

Contract As of 31 Dec. 2014

Newly Awarded

Booked Revenue (Jan-Sept)

Total Booked Revenue

As of 30 Sept. 2015

In million PHP

BLDG 10,796 3,535 2,635 2,150 6,096 4,699

INFRA 33,124 9,741 17,493.80 4,345 18918.21 14,206

POWER 4,089 2,566.79 422.78 3,368.15 3750.33 338

WATER 4,216 2,914 651.85 724.8 1236.57 2,980

52,225 18,757 21,203 10,588 30,002 22,223*

*8.083  of  Skyway  contract  deferred      

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Construction Order Book as of June 30, 2016

16  November  2016   34  

Product Line

Contract As of 31 Dec. 2015

Newly Awarded

Booked Revenue (Jan-Sept)

Total Booked Revenue

As of 30 June 2016

In million PHP

BLDG 14,231 5,272 3,614 1,302 7,196 7,035

INFRA 34,004 20,707 0 3,252 16455 17,549

POWER 13,289 781 412 809 12624 665

WATER 4,519 2,427 401 505 1831 2,688

66,043 29,187 4,427 5,868 38,106 27,937

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Nickel Mining Unaudited

(In Million Php) 9M 2016 9M 2015 %

Nickel Ore Revenues  1,565      2,797     -­‐44%  COS and Operating Expenses  (1,026)    (1,234)   -­‐17%  EBITDA  539      1,563     -­‐66%  Depreciation & Amortization  (278)    (360)   -­‐23%  Interest Expense  (12)    (6)   100%  Interest Income  5      1     400%  Other Income (Expense)  (7)    195     -­‐104%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (122)    (514)   -­‐76%  Reported Net Income  125      879     -­‐86%  Core Net Income for Non-Controlling  (66)    (236)   -­‐72%  Core Net Income for DMCI Holdings, Inc.  59      643     -­‐91%  

16  November  2016   35  

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Off-Grid Power Unaudited

(In Million Php) 9M 2016 9M 2015 %

Power Revenues  1,738      1,628     7%  COS and Operating Expenses  (1,259)    (1,201)   5%  EBITDA  479      427     12%  Depreciation & Amortization  (131)    (101)   30%  Interest Expense  (5)    (9)   -­‐44%  Interest Income  -­‐          -­‐         0%  Other Income (Expense)  1      6     -­‐83%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (2)    (18)   -­‐89%  Net Income  342      305     12%  Net Income Non-Controlling Interest  -­‐          -­‐         0%  Net Income DMCI Holdings, Inc.  342      305     12%  

16  November    2016   36  

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Maynilad (stand-alone) Unaudited

16  November  2016   37  

(In Million Php) 9M 2016 9M 2015 %

Revenues  15,220      14,243     7%  COS & Operating Expenses  (4,192)    (3,723)   13%  EBITDA  11,028      10,520     5%  Depreciation & Amortization  (1,840)    (1,608)   14%  Interest Expense  (1,564)    (1,595)   -­‐2%  Interest Income  85      95     -­‐11%  Other Income (Expense)  (79)    (489)   -­‐84%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (2,829)    148     -­‐2011%  Reported Net Income  4,801      7,071     -­‐32%  Non-Recurring Items  590      89     563%  Core Net Income  5,391      7,160     -­‐25%  

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Maynilad (stand-alone) Unaudited

16  November  2016   38  

(In Million Php) 2Q 2016 3Q 2016 3Q 2015 % 3Q16 vs 3Q15

Revenues  5,185      5,100      4,907     4%  COS & Operating Expenses  (1,313)    (1,404)    (1,339)   5%  EBITDA  3,872      3,696      3,568     4%  Depreciation & Amortization  (616)    (635)    (551)   15%  Interest Expense  (523)    (524)    (542)   -­‐3%  Interest Income  22      31      35     -­‐11%  Other Income (Expense)  292      (188)    (189)   -­‐1%  Benefit (Provision) for Income Tax  (1,676)    (589)    (8)   7263%  Reported Net Income  1,371      1,791      2,313     -­‐23%  Non-Recurring Items  524      (3)    22     -­‐114%  Core Net Income  1,895      1,788      2,335     -­‐23%  

*  Re-­‐measurement  of  deferred  tax  assets  in  Maynilad's  balance  sheet  because  of  elecRng  opRonal  standard  deducRon  for  income  tax  calculaRon  (stand  alone)  which  resulted  in    a  tax  expense  while  re-­‐measurement    of  deferred  tax  liabiliRes  of  fair  value  assets  in  the  balance  sheet  of  maynilad  holdings  resulted  to  a  reducRon  (negaRve)  in  tax  expense.    

Page 39: DMCI Holdings Inc. - ANALYSTBRIEFING’ 3Q’2016’Results … · 2016. 11. 16. · ALEA RESIDENCES Brgy Talaba, Bacoor Cavite 4 MRB (7F) VERDON PARC Davao City 4 HYB (9F / 23F)

DMCI Holdings, Inc Parent Balance Sheet

16  November  2016   39  

(In Million Php) 30-09-2016 UNAUDITED

31-12-2015 AUDITED

Cash  &  Cash  Equivalents    4,413      3,695    

   Receivables      2,830      934    

   Investments  in  subsidiaries,  associates  and  joint  ventures      15,450      20,705    

   Other  assets      108      104    

   Total  assets      22,801      25,438    

   Accounts  payable      24      21    

   Other  liabiliRes      17      17    

   Total  liabili7es      41      38    

   Capital  stock      13,277      13,277    

   AddiRonal  paid  in  capital      4,672      4,672    

   Retained  earnings      4,800      7,440    

   Other  equity      11      11    

   Total  equity      22,760      25,400