direction of causation modeling between measures of distress and parental bonding

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Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding N.A. GILLESPIE 1 , D. DUFFY 1 , G. ZHU 1 , A.C. HEATH 2 , N.G. MARTIN 1 1 Queensland Institute of Medical Research and University of Queensland, Joint Genetics Program, Brisbane, Australia. 2 Department of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Missouri, USA Supported by NIH grants AA04535, AA07728, and AA10249 and NHMRC (Australia) grants 941177

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Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding. N.A. GILLESPIE 1 , D. DUFFY 1 , G. ZHU 1 , A.C. HEATH 2 , N.G. MARTIN 1. 1 Queensland Institute of Medical Research and University of Queensland, Joint Genetics Program, Brisbane, Australia. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and

Parental Bonding

N.A. GILLESPIE1, D. DUFFY1, G. ZHU1, A.C. HEATH2, N.G. MARTIN1

1 Queensland Institute of Medical Research and University of Queensland, Joint Genetics Program, Brisbane, Australia.

2 Department of Psychiatry, Washington University School of Medicine, St Louis, Missouri, USA

Supported by NIH grants AA04535, AA07728, and AA10249 and NHMRC (Australia) grants 941177and 971232.

Page 2: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Relationship between Parental Bonding and Psychiatric Symptoms

• Parental Bonding Instrument (PBI) (Parker) - Maternal and Paternal Care and Overprotection- Low Care and High Overprotection Depression and Anxiety - Replicates across populations

• PBI stable over time

- During and after depressive episodes- Not artifact of previous depression episodes- Children’s and Parent’s self-ratings (Care r=0.44, Overprotection r=0.55)

Page 3: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Causes of association between variablesA B Unidirectional causationA B Unidirectional causationA B Reciprocal causation A C Indirect causation (common A and / or C effects) B

Instrumental variable methods- Restrictive assumptions- Unfeasible for psychiatric epidemiology and behavioural sciences

Panel / Longitudinal Data- Costly- Underlying assumptions and errors of inference

Random Assignment to experimental and control Groups- Unethical and unworkable

Twin DataAvoids difficulties mentioned & cost effectiveCausal inferences possible using cross-sectional data

Page 4: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

MZ=(a2+d2)c2iBDZ=(½a2+¼d2)c2iB

aBdB aB

1

1MZ, ½DZ

1MZ, ¼DZ

dBeB eB

cA eAeA cA

iB iB

At1

Bt1

E A D

E C

At2

Bt2

D A E

C E

aBdB aB

1

1MZ, ½DZ

1MZ, ¼DZ

dBeB eB

cA eAeA cA

iA iA

At1

Bt1

E A D

E C

At2

Bt2

D A E

C E

MZ=c2iBDZ=c2iB

A B B A

Page 5: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Previous findings

• Depression (CESD) and Parental Bonding Instrument (PBI) - Unidirectional Model: Parental Behaviour

Depression • Results equivocal with inclusion of error measures• Common additive genetic factor model provided the best fit

Limitations of DOC models

• Failure to included measurement error leads to biased estimates - Reduced statistical power to resolve alternate causal

hypotheses - Unless can estimate error (test-retest) or assume it is negligible

Page 6: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

• To test DOC hypotheses between Parental Bonding and psychiatric symptoms using multiple measures of the target variables– Multiple Indicator Model (Heath et al. 1992) – Inclusion of test-retest data or error terms not required– Assumes that measurement error occurs at the level of indicator

variables for the PBI and psychiatric symptom measure

Objective

Page 7: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

MethodSample

• Combined community-based sample of:- 3041 Female twin individuals (25-45yrs) Alcohol Cohort Study 1- 4397 Female twin individuals (18-28yrs) Alcohol Cohort Study 2

Psychiatric symptom measures

• Both cohorts received a 33 item self-report symptom inventory - 19 items from Symptom Checklist-90 (Derogatis et al.,1973) - 14 items from Delusion Symptoms States Inventory (Foulds & Bedford, 1975)

• Recently experienced psychological distress:“Recently have blamed myself for things”“Recently have experienced pain or tension in neck/head”

• (1) ‘not-at-all’ (2) ‘a little’ (3) ‘a lot’ (4) ‘unbearably’

Page 8: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Parenting Measures

• 7 item self-report Parental Bonding Instrument (PBI) - 2 Care items “Made me feel I was not wanted”- 5 Overprotection items “Tried to make me dependent on him/her”

• “When you were growing up, how much were your mother and father (or someone like mother and father) like this?”

• (1) ‘not-at-all’ (2) ‘ a little’ (3) ‘somewhat’ (4) ‘a lot’

Page 9: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Factor analysis of psychiatric symptoms

Based on inter-item polychoric correlations with Promax rotation: - Depression- Anxiety- Somatic Distress- Sleep Disturbance

Factor analysis of PBI items

Based on inter-item polychoric correlations with Promax rotation: - Autonomy - Overprotection- Coldness

Authoritarianism, Protectiveness, and Warmth (Kendler)

Page 10: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Twin correlations

MZ DZtwin pairs=969 twin

pairs=608.37 .14 .43 .26.34 .19

.50 .36

.47 .34

.61 .35

Reliability

r

Depression .60 .86Anxiety .56 .83Somatization Distress .71 .75

N = 420

Parental Autonomy .65 .80Parental Overprotection .70 .77Parental Coldness .60 .75

N = 393

Page 11: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Univariate AnalysesVariance components WLS Estimates of best fitting models

Variable A C E D AGE 2 df

Overprotection .27 .20 .53 .00 1.06 5 Coldness .62 .37 .01 6.99 6 Autonomy .31 .18 .50 .01 8.99 5

Depression .31 .65 .04 3.50 6 Anxiety .41 .56 .03 1.62 6 Somatic Distress .34 .65 .01 4.85 6

Page 12: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Independent-Pathway model for ratings of Parental Coldness, Autonomy and Overprotection

COLD OVERP AUTO

EA EA E A

A EC

CC C

Model 2 df p AIC- Independent Pathway 9.17 15 .87 -20.83

Page 13: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Model 2 df p AIC- Independent Pathway 9.17 15 .87 -20.83- Common Pathway 13.39 19 .82 -24.61

COLD OVERP AUTO

EA EA E A

A EC

CC C

PARENTING

Common-Pathway model for ratings of Parental Coldness, Autonomy and Overprotection

.64.12.44

.24.27.49

.16.12

.28 .21.17

.49 . 00.03

.33

Page 14: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Independent Pathway model for ratings of ratings of ratings of Depression, Anxiety, and Somatic Distress

Model 2 df p AIC- Independent Pathway 19.50 15 .19 -10.50

DEP ANX SOM

EA EA E A

A EC

CC C

Page 15: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

DISTRESS

DEP ANX SOM

EA EA E A

Model 2 df p AIC- Independent Pathway 19.50 15 .19 -10.50- Common Pathway 24.06 19 .19 -13.94

CC C

A EC

Common Pathway model for ratings of ratings of ratings of Depression, Anxiety, and Somatic Distress

.42 .52

.61.67

.48

.31.08 .22.12 .42.11 .00.00.00

.06

Page 16: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Model 2 df 2 AIC Full Bivariate 145.66 107 -69.34

COLD

C EA

AUTON

C EA

OVERP

C EA

A EC

DEP

C EA

SOM

C EA

ANX

C EA

DISTRESS PARENTING

A EC

Full Bivariate Model with Multiple Indicators

Page 17: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Reciprocal Causation Model with Multiple Indicators

Model 2 df 2 AIC Full Bivariate 145.66 107 -69.34Reciprocal 146.00 108 .34 -70.00

COLD

C EA

AUTON

C EA

OVERP

C EA

A EC

DEP

C EA

SOM

C EA

ANX

C EA

DISTRESS PARENTING

A EC

Page 18: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Uni-directional Model with Multiple Indicators

Model 2 df 2 AIC Full Bivariate 145.66 107 -69.34Reciprocal 146.00 108 .34 -70.00Distress Parenting 161.74 109 16.08 -56.26

COLD

C EA

AUTON

C EA

OVERP

C EA

A EC

DEP

C EA

SOM

C EA

ANX

C EA

DISTRESS PARENTING

A EC

Page 19: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Uni-directional Model with Multiple Indicators

Model 2 df 2 AIC Full Bivariate 145.66 107 -69.34Reciprocal 146.00 108 .34 -70.00Distress Parenting 161.74 109 16.08 -56.26Parenting Distress 146.71 109 1.05 -71.29

COLD

C EA

AUTON

C EA

OVERP

C EA

A EC

DEP

C EA

SOM

C EA

ANX

C EA

DISTRESS PARENTING

A EC

Page 20: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Model 2 df 2 AIC Full Bivariate 145.66 107 -69.34Reciprocal 146.00 108 .34 -70.00Distress Parenting 161.74 109 16.08 -56.26Parenting Distress 146.71 109 1.05 -71.29No causation 376.29 110 230.63 156.29

COLD

C EA

AUTON

C EA

OVERP

C EA

A EC

DEP

C EA

SOM

C EA

ANX

C EA

DISTRESS PARENTING

A EC

No Causation Model with Multiple Indicators

Page 21: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

C E C EC EAC E EAEA

Model 2 df 2 AIC Full Bivariate 145.66 107 -69.34Reciprocal 146.00 108 .34 -70.00Distress Parenting 161.74 109 16.08 -56.26Parenting Distress 146.71 109 1.05 -71.29No causation 376.29 110 230.63 156.29Final 151.26 116 5.60 -80.74

Final Uni-directional Model with Multiple Indicators

COLD AUTONOVERP

A E

DEP SOMANX

DISTRESS PARENTING

A EC

.38 .45

.63 .67 .49 .56.16 .52

.55.20 .25

.17 .26 .21 .14 .49 .11 .37.36 .13 .21 .11 .40

+ .18

Page 22: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Conclusion

- Almost 50% of variance in Distress attributable to additive genetic effects

- Considerable proportion of variance in Parenting due to common environmental effects

- Recollections of Parenting appear to have a causative effect of symptoms of distress

Page 23: Direction of Causation Modeling Between Measures of Distress and Parental Bonding

Limitations- Extrapolation of findings to males

- Retrospective reports of parental style

- Kendler- Parental self-ratings of parental style large due to C- Twins ratings of parental style largely due to A, C, E- Correlations between parents and offspring 0.10 - 0.29

- Correlations between twins 0.37 - 0.63

- Results can only be considered a ‘partial reflection’ of true parenting

- PBI is not exhaustive measure