digital enterprise group trends in voip development august 4, 2005 michael stanford intel...

Digital Enterprise Group

Trends in VoIP Trends in VoIP DevelopmentDevelopment

August 4, 2005August 4, 2005

Michael StanfordMichael StanfordIntel CorporationIntel Corporation


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SummarySummary

• VoIP is flourishing, driven by multiple forces:VoIP is flourishing, driven by multiple forces:– IMSIMS– Smarter clientsSmarter clients– Fixed/Mobile convergence (IMS + dual mode phones)Fixed/Mobile convergence (IMS + dual mode phones)– Broadband deployment and evolution Broadband deployment and evolution

• VoIP is old news. Long live “Services over IP.”VoIP is old news. Long live “Services over IP.”– SoIP is more than a “Low cost PSTN replacement” SoIP is more than a “Low cost PSTN replacement” – Wideband audio, video, IM, PTT, presence, collaboration Wideband audio, video, IM, PTT, presence, collaboration

• Open networks, open source and standard Open networks, open source and standard environments accelerate innovationenvironments accelerate innovation

• Regulation continues to be a wild-cardRegulation continues to be a wild-card


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The VoIP Revolution Marches OnThe VoIP Revolution Marches On• Carriers have moved to VoIP, driven by data bandwidth demands, as Carriers have moved to VoIP, driven by data bandwidth demands, as

well as CapEx and OpEx pressureswell as CapEx and OpEx pressures• Enterprise phone sales crossed over in 2005Enterprise phone sales crossed over in 2005• Cellular industry is committed to SIP for 3G on IMS – the wireline Cellular industry is committed to SIP for 3G on IMS – the wireline

industry is following industry is following • Skype* phenomenon continues – Skype Out*, Skype In*, Skype Video, Skype* phenomenon continues – Skype Out*, Skype In*, Skype Video,

Skype API extensions, 140M downloads…Skype API extensions, 140M downloads…

Jan Feb March April May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec

Microsoft launches Communicator 2005

FCC issues E911 warning requirement for VoIP

BEA launches WebLogic Communications Platform

BT launches Fusion

FCC rules “entirely Internet-based VoIP” an “unregulated information service.”

2005 in review

Japanese government urges end of PSTN by 2007


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Voice Voice Service Service

is is Cellular Cellular Service Service

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

WW

Un

it S

hip

me

nts

(M

)

0

20

40

60

80

100

120

140

2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

WW

Un

it S

hip

me

nts

(M

)

Source: European Information Technology Observatory

Dual Mode Cell Dual Mode Cell Phone Shipments:Phone Shipments:

~100 M in 2010 ~100 M in 2010

So

urc

e: A

BI R

esea

rch

2Q

200

5

Cell Phones Cell Phones Connect to Connect to Fixed Network Fixed Network

Industry consolidation drives FMC

Europe US World

Su

bsc

rib

ers

in m

illio

ns

Cellular

Wireline

Lowestimate

Highestimate


5

Data Phones Overtake Voice Phones….Data Phones Overtake Voice Phones….

0%0%

20%20%

40%40%

60%60%

80%80%

100%100%

20012001 20022002 20032003 20042004 20052005 20062006 20072007 20082008

High-End/High-End/EnterpriseEnterprise

High-TierHigh-Tier

Mid-RangeMid-Range

Low-EndLow-End

Source: IDC, February 2005Source: IDC, February 2005


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BandwidthBandwidthS

ourc

e: E

ITO

200

5 sp

ecia

l stu

dy

iTown Communications announced in July 2005 that they plan to deploy ultra-broadband – 100 Mbits/sec to rural areas.

300M BB subscribers WW by 2008300M BB subscribers WW by 2008

Cable DSL BWA

DE

LL’O

RO

Gro

up, A

cces

s F

orec

ast T

able

s, J

anua

ry 2

004

-

50

100

150

200

250

300

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Broadband + QoS catalyze new usages

Source: Ovum-RHK


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’’0505

Fixed Trials BeginFixed Trials Begin

’’06-’0706-’07

Notebook Notebook IntegrationIntegration

and Early Mobile and Early Mobile TrialsTrials

’’08-’1008-’10

GlobalGlobalNetwork Network RolloutRollout

’’07-’0807-’08

WiMax accelerates broadband availabilityWiMax accelerates broadband availability

PhonesPhonesand Earlyand Early

MobileMobileNetworkNetworkRolloutRollout

WiMax evolves to broadband mobility


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VoIP is the Beachhead to VoIP is the Beachhead to “Services over IP (SoIP)”“Services over IP (SoIP)”

• The technologies underlying VoIP (RTP, SIP, The technologies underlying VoIP (RTP, SIP, QoS, IMS) support more than just voice:QoS, IMS) support more than just voice:– High quality (wide-band) audio High quality (wide-band) audio – Video Video

– Video mail/messaging, video portals, video caller ID, Video mail/messaging, video portals, video caller ID, video CRBT, video in contact centers, push-to-video, video CRBT, video in contact centers, push-to-video, distance learning, video conferencing, IPTV…distance learning, video conferencing, IPTV…

– Instant MessagingInstant Messaging– Push to TalkPush to Talk– Presence Presence – Document sharingDocument sharing– Rich collaborationRich collaboration– Rapid innovation of new features and new service Rapid innovation of new features and new service

combinations combinations

VoIP is the baseline feature that opens the door to new revenue-producing services

“The broadband revolution is not just about cheap voice: it is about service innovation. The revolution is about…new and compelling ways to use a

network.” Ovum-RHK, January 2005


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Evolution of Network and Service ModelsEvolution of Network and Service Models

ServersServers

ClientsClients

ClientsClients

ServersServers

ClientsClients

Old Ma Bell

Some MNOs

Enterprise TEMs

Current ILECs

MSOs

Internet

Vonage/Skype

MVNOs

Closed Open

ServersServers

IP enables open networks


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J2EE* or .NET App Server Environment

Open Networks accelerate innovationOpen Networks accelerate innovation

Multi-modal Multi-modal ClientsClients

VoiceServices

(IMS)

VoiceServices

(IMS)

DSLDSL

EntertainmentServices

EntertainmentServicesWWWWWW

VCCServices

(IMS)

VCCServices

(IMS)

IP Connectivity Access Network (IP-CAN)

CableCable WiMaxWiMaxPSTNPSTN GSMGSM GPRSGPRS 3G3G

EmailEmail

Wi-FiW

i-Fi

Wi-Fi

Opportunity:

New Services

Opportunity:

New Services

Opportunity:

New Applications

Opportunity:

New Applications

IMS allows billed services on open networks


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ManagedNetwork

Clouds on the HorizonClouds on the Horizon

ServersServers

ClientsClients

“Parasitic”Services

“Parasitic”Services

ManagedNetwork

Internet

Telmex alleged to block VoIP

Vonage says that Telmex may identify VoIP users based on the kind of traffic they send, then choke their bandwidth to disrupt the calls.

Vodafone blocks VoIP:

On July 13, 2005, Vodafone’s German operation announced that they intend to block third party VoIP traffic on their network starting in July 2007.

Madison River unblocks VoIP

On March 3, 2005, the FCC approved a consent decree under which Madison River Telephone Company of Mebane, N.C., paid a $15,000 fine, and agreed to refrain from preventing customers from using VoIP by port blocking or any other means.

Verizon cripples Bluetooth

Verizon disabled some of the Bluetooth profiles on the Motorola V710 handset, triggering a class action lawsuit filed December 30, 2004 by Kirtland & Packard LLP.

Network owners are motivated to block third party services


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IMS and Dual-Mode Handsets Drive IMS and Dual-Mode Handsets Drive Fixed/Mobile Convergence (FMC)Fixed/Mobile Convergence (FMC)

• IP multimedia subsystem (IMS) can be IP multimedia subsystem (IMS) can be accessed by any IP connectivity access accessed by any IP connectivity access networknetwork

• The same IMS service infrastructure can The same IMS service infrastructure can run over the PSTN, BB fixed VoIP, and run over the PSTN, BB fixed VoIP, and cellular access networkscellular access networks

• The multi-service gateway (MSG) The multi-service gateway (MSG) includes an analog terminal adapter includes an analog terminal adapter (ATA), so you can plug in a (ATA), so you can plug in a conventional phone conventional phone

• The dual-mode cell phone uses The dual-mode cell phone uses Wi-Fi either as a cordless phone with Wi-Fi either as a cordless phone with fixed VoIP service or for network offload fixed VoIP service or for network offload for cellular servicefor cellular service

IP-CAN

PSTN/SS7

CellularBB/WiMAX

IMSIMS

Wi-Fi

MSG

Opportunity: FMC Enables numerous new services


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Voice is Just Another Service on Voice is Just Another Service on IP NetworksIP Networks

• J2EE J2EE – BEA WebLogic* BEA WebLogic*

Communications Communications Platform runs on IMSPlatform runs on IMS

• .NET .NET – Microsoft* Live Microsoft* Live

Communications Communications ServerServer

So use the same powerful development and deployment environments already familiar to

countless web developers:

Standardization speeds service creation and deployment


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Where to Next?Where to Next?

• VoIP is old news – SoIP is where it’s at!VoIP is old news – SoIP is where it’s at!• VoIP is just another application for IP – VoIP is just another application for IP –

implement it with Web architectures implement it with Web architectures • Opportunities abound for developers:Opportunities abound for developers:

– Fixed/mobile convergenceFixed/mobile convergence– VideoVideo– Rich collaborationRich collaboration– Location-based servicesLocation-based services– Usability enhancements Usability enhancements

www.intel.com/go/VoIP, www.intel.com/go/ims


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Thank You!Thank You!

Copyright © Intel Corporation 2005.

Intel and the Intel logo are trademarks or registered trademarks of Intel or its subsidiaries in the United States and other countries.

*Other names and brands may be claimed as the property of others.

All rights reserved.00-9772-001 07/05

digital enterprise group trends in voip development august 4, 2005 michael stanford intel...

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