diagnostic world asia - apac ivd outlook 2010
TRANSCRIPT
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Contents
Diagnostics
Industry
Briefing 3.
2.
1. APAC Market Outlook
Industry Best Practices and Growth Strategies
360 Degree Global Perspective
3
Setting the Scene Outlook for Healthcare Industry from 2010-12
Source: Frost & Sullilvan ,2010)
Global Healthcare Market : 2009
• US and Europe were impacted in a major way by global crisis
• Asia also slowed down but not as much as the West
• Valuations were low and M&A was high, many smaller Biotech companies struggled
• Major organizational restructuring occurred, along with portfolios being reassessed
Global Healthcare Market : 2010-12
• Recovery of the markets to a large extent with strong growth in Asia
• Start of major patent expiries
• M&A activity down in the West but could be important in Asia, restructuring will continue
• Asia becoming increasingly important as a market and outsourcing hub
• 5Ps to drive market: Preventive, Preemptive, Personalized, Predictive, Personal Responsibility
4
Global vs. APAC: The New FrontierBy 2012 APAC expected to be close to 27% of global market
Source: Frost & Sullilvan ,2010)
247 277 311 348
815 880 906 934
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
1600
1800
2009 2010 2011 2012
10621157
12181282
23.9% 27.2%23.2% 26.4%
CAGR12.2%
CAGR6.47%
Global & APAC Healthcare Revenues US$ Bn, 2009-2012
• By 2015 APAC could represent ~40% of global market!
Source: Frost & Sullivan
Rest of the World
APAC
5
Asia is however transitioningMoving toward a Multi–Polar World Order
Source: Frost & Sullilvan ,2010)
Asia Pacific Market : 2009
• Slowing down of GDP in mature markets – Japan and Australia took a big hit
• Global consolidation left a difficult mess for integration on a local level – job losses and portfolio realignment
• Price cutting and playing the margins game
• Slow down for Medical Tourism
• Asia started to set up infrastructure for offshoring and outsourcing for US/EU companies
Asia Pacific Market : 2012
• A shift in the center of the world economically and strategically to Asia
• Asia to move from export led development to consumption led growth
• APAC the fastest growing pharma market and API production hub
• Increased government attention to primary and community based healthcare.
• Focus on building infrastructure and education: government role will be higher
• Increased use of mobile technology in healthcare service delivery
6
Note: All figures are rounded; the base year is 2009. Source: Frost and Sullivan
APAC Clinical Diagnostics Market Shift in business model from instrumentation to service revenues
6.9 7.3 7.8 8.5
31.7 33.6 35.6 37.5
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2009 2010 2011 2012
Rest of the World
APAC
38.640.9
43.446
17.8% 18.5%
Market Drivers
Market Restraints
Lab automation
Home care monitoring
Emphasis on early detection
High cost of genomics and proteomics tests
Mutually exclusive target customers
Reimbursement issues
Clinical Diagnostics Revenues, US$ Bn, 2009-2012
APAC Share
CAGR7.3%
CAGR6%
7
0
0APAC Molecular Diagnostics market 2010: ~US$ 700 mn; CAGR ~18%.Driven by rise in cancer, STD, thyroid disorder and other autoimmune
diseases
MolecularDiagnostics
POCT
SMBG
Top Growth Opportunities : APAC Clinical Diagnostics Market
APAC POCT market 2010 : ~US$ 539 mn; CAGR ~10.8%POCT testing focused on cardiac and diabetes care in secondary
settings
APAC SMBG market 2010 : ~US$ 1.7 bn; CAGR ~10.9% Focus on growing Asian ageing population and prevalence of diabetes
Source: Frost & Sullivan.
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Contents
Diagnostics
Industry
Briefing 3.
2.
1. APAC Market Outlook
Industry Opportunities and Growth Strategies
360 Degree Perspective
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Global Perspective
1. Reference Labs and CROs Expand Services to Developing Countries.
3. Increased R&D Outsourcing by Pharma & Biotech Companies
5. Earlier Launch of Diagnostic Tests in the Asian/European Markets
7. Changing Global Trends Drive Adoption of New Technologies.
9. Funding opportunities, primary customer base and research strengths are differentiated in the APAC region
GLOBAL
Political&
Regulatory
EmergingOpportunitiesCultural
CEO
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REFERENCE LAB TESTING EXPANDING TO DEVELOPING WORLD
Advanced Markets
Reference labs based in the U.S.,such as Quest Diagnostics Inc., are looking for high growth Asian markets
India
India has growing middle class with increasing buying power and demand for better healthcare services.
China
China has a growing aging population and increasing healthcare spending.
India, China and S. Korea have some of the highest growth rates for healthcare spending in APAC and along with the growing aging population and middle class, represent attractive markets for clinical testing. Additionally, the increased prevalence of lifestyle diseases such as diabetes, cardiovascular diseases, and certain cancers contributes to the increasing need of testing.
U.S. based national reference laboratories have already taken the lead to expand into these growing markets. Global expansion of clinical lab testing is likely to be influenced by innovation, cost and readiness of the countries.
Reference Labs Expand Services to Developing Countries
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High Data Output
Consolidation and Standardization
of LIMS
Outsource
to M
ultiple C
ROs
Extended Sample
Management
Independent Functional
ModulesSample
Management
Application Integration
Quality Assurance
Competency Management
Inventory Management
Increased R&D Outsourcing by Pharma and Biotech Companies
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Earlier Launch of Diagnostic Tests in the Asian Markets
12
20082008 Test Development
Asian/E.U. Launch
20122012U.S. Market Launch
LEARNING, KNOW-HOW FROM TESTS LAUNCHED IN ASIA/EU CAN EXPEDITE FDA CLEARANCE AND U.S. LAUNCH
20112011
20132013
U.S.
Diagnostics assay development done at a U.S. R&D facility is likely to benefit from clinical data generated from use of tests in APAC countries.
India
Large market, low operating costs, and excellent local skills allow for low set up costs and ease of technology adoption leading to high revenues.
China
Tests launched in China and clinical data generated from them can be used to improve standardization of tests.
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Changing Global Trends Drive Adoption of New Technologies
Primary Care 20102010
Home Care/Self Testing/POC20202020
Global Healthcare
Reduced Healthcare Costs
Increase in GlobalDistribution
Early Diagnosis Adoption of New Technologies
Increasin
g L
ifespan
Manufacturers must take advantage of the changing global trends and collaborate with regional distributors to expand their presence in developing world.
• Privatization, growth in number of hospitals and health insurance activities fuel demand from emerging markets, china, India and Eastern Europe. • Growing advancements in minimally invasive surgery and same day interventions create demand for faster turnaround times and more point-of –care tests. • Rising patient awareness and disease management initiatives in developing countries create demand for novel technologies.
KEY GLOBAL TRENDS
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Singapore and Korea are building up
strong government
supported public sector research
Australia and Malaysia
encouraging private sector
research
Genomics Hot-spots
Oncology Hot-Spots
Manufacturers should invest in implementation and provide multiple financing options
Increased implementation of new technologies requires more training programs andstreamlining workflow
Low manufacturing costs in APAC
increases pricingcompetition within Western countries
Differentiated Funding Opportunities, Primary Customer Base and Research Strengths in the APAC Region Shape Implementation Strategies
Australia
Japan
Singapore
Korea
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Integrated Industry Perspective
FluctuatingRaw Material
Levels
Material Costs
Maintain Capital
SupplierRelationships
CEO
INTEGRATED INDUSTRY
Secure Capital
2. Key Areas Spurs Integration of Pharmaceutical and Diagnostic Companies
4. Incorporation of Information Technology is the New Business Model.
6. The vertical alignment trend in the healthcare sector is affecting the clinical diagnostic sector as well, and will strongly impact the healthcare industry as a whole.
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Integration of Pharmaceutical and Diagnostic Companies is the Next Move
TargetQualification
CompoundScreening
LeadOptimization
Pharma/toxAnalysis
Clinical Phase FDA Post-Market
BiomarkerIdentification
AssayDevelopment FDA
Assay LaunchStandardization& Validation
$9.5 Million-------------$14.5 Million------------$12.0 Million-----------$ 40Million Diagnostic/Device R&D Costs (U.S.) 2008, ~$40 million/Test
Tech-PlatformOptimization
Average Drug Development Cost = $1.2 Billion/ drug
Average Diagnostic Development Cost = $40 million/test
Four areas that will integrate pharmaceutical and diagnostic manufacturers arepharmacogenomics, development of biomarker assays, comprehensive disease
management programs and more applied, focused clinical trials
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Incorporation of Information Technology is the New Business Model
2010
Next Generation Integrated Systems
20152015
Broader Data
Management
Tools
Patient Support
Tools
Shareable Personal Health Records
Web Portalsto EHR Systems
Electronic Management
of Sample Transport
Reduced Cost of
Logistics
Essential Part of Clinical Diagnostics
Business
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The Vertical Alignment in the Healthcare Sector Impacts Clinical Diagnostics
Diagnostic Labs
Hospital and Clinics
Healthcare Insurance Company
Ver
tica
l Ali
gn
men
t
Diagnostic Labs
Hospital and Clinics
Healthcare Insurance Company
Interoperability
Healthcare Insurance Company
Hospital and Clinics Diagnostic Labs
Increasing Opportunities for Suppliers and IT Infrastructure Providers
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Technology Perspective
NewApplications
DisruptiveTechnologies
TECHNOLOGYEmerging
Technology
CEO
• Clinical Sample Management Will Take Center Stage.
• Non-invasive Testing and Pre-natal diagnostics Will be High Priority
6. Changing market demands from R&D Sites
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Clinical Sample Management Will Take Center Stage
Efficient storage systems
to aid testoutsourcing
Use of non-invasiveCollection methods
With degree of sophistication in clinical sample handling, clinical diagnostics will witness
growth in developing countries
Use of chemical techniques
to store samples
Use of nanofluidics to improve workflow
Use of non-invasivecollection methods
ClinicalSample
Volume optimization
Transportation
Storage
Collection
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Non-invasive Testing and Prenatal Diagnostics Drive Growth
MicroarrayM
Icro
flu
idic
s/N
ano
dia
gn
ost
ics
Non-invasive
technologies
Biomarker Discovery
Improved Sample
Management and Workflow
Point-of-Care Diagnostics
Low Cost Multiplexing
Capabilities
Prenatal Genetic Testing
Technologies Thrust Areas
MicroarrayM
Icro
flu
idic
s/N
ano
dia
gn
ost
ics
Non-invasive
technologies
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Current Market Scenario Future Market Scenario
Automation
Multiplex
Lab-On-Chip
Integration
Fragment Based
Manual Handling
Immunoassays
Large Footprints
High Throughput Screening
Stand-alone
Changing Market Demands from R&D Sites
Faster, Easier, Automated
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ECONOMIC
Country Risk
Economic Trends &Issues
EconomicThreats
Economic Trends
CEO
Economic Perspective
• Impact of Economic Downturn
• Increase in M&A Activities
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Under-developed Economies Access to clinical testing facilities is a big challenge. More emphasis on
developing easy to use cheaper POC tests.
Emerging Economies (BRIC) Growing middle-class population with better income and access to
private insurances have increasing purchasing power
Developed Economies Keen in developing state-of-the art
market tests. Less budgetary constraints for new technologies
Diverse Global Economies Impact Product Development and Marketing Strategies
EQUILIBRIUM BETWEEN COST EFFECTIVENESS AND CLINICAL EVIDENCE WILL BE A PRIMARY ECONOMIC DRIVER FOR NEW PRODUCT DEVELOPMENT AND ADOPTION.
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Test Kit Providers
(Diagnostic Companies)
Sample Processing Platform
Manufacturers
Test Service Providers
(Laboratories)
Molecular Diagnostics
Inte
grat
ed te
st
kit a
nd p
latfo
rm
deve
lopm
ent
Novel
molecular
test
development
Quest Diagnostics Licenses Epigenetic Biomarker for
Prostate Cancer from Epigenomics Inc to Develop and
Market the Diagnostic Test
Beckman Coulter to Acquire Lab Based
Diagnostics Business from Olympus Corporation
Increase in M&A Activities Impacts Market Dynamics
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Competitive Perspective
In-Direct
Competition
Competitive
Strategy
Competitive
Benchmarking
Emerging
Competition
COMPETITIVE
CEO
• Diagnostic Potential of New Diseases Increases Competition.
• Vendors Offer Competitive Workflows
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Diagnostic Potential of New Diseases Increases Competition
2012
BENCH BED SIDE
Multiplex Detection
Panels for Cancer
Differentiated Product
Development
2005
2011
Incr
easi
ng
Co
mp
etit
ion
2020
Target miRNAs important
in cell differentiation
Multiplex Detection Panels
for Cardiac and Diabetes
Incr
easi
ng
Dia
gn
ost
ic
Tes
ts
Differentiate between
Chronic & Life Style
Diseases
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Large up-front costs, Quality disparities
Mergers & Acquisitions Maintain ‘best-in-class’ rep
Vendors Offer Complete Workflows to Remain Competitive
Validation
• RNAi• Antisense
oligonucleotides• Mimics and inhibitors• shRNA
Sample Preparation Functional Analysis
• Sample collection• Nucleic acid
purification• Protein purification• Automated liquid
handling
• Microarray• Multiplex assay• Sequencing • High content screening• Cell based assays
Detection and Quantification Analysis
• qRT-PCR• ELISA• Mass spectrometry• Western blotting
Wor
kflo
wT
echn
olog
ies
Validation
Strategies to Fill Workflow ChallengesBenefits
Revenues sharingAlliances Align with top provider
Large R&D costs In-house Development Easy integration
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Customer Perspective
CEOCUSTOMER
NonCustomer
Demo-graphics
BehaviorCompetitor’sCustomers
1. Types of testing in Hospital and Physician Owned Labs
3. R&D Sites Prefer Walk Away Solutions
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Endocrinologists, Family practitioners & Internists are
leading adopters of these testing methods in POLs
OB/GYN, Pediatricians, and Cardiologists are leading in adoption for pregnancy, infectious
disease, and coagulation tests, respectively
FOBT and urinalysis are commonly used in many
specialties
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Glu
cose
han
dhel
dm
ete
rs HbA
1c
Ch
oles
tero
l/Lip
id
Che
mis
try
anal
yzer
s
Imm
unoa
ssay
anal
yzer
s
Dru
gs o
f Ab
use
rapi
d te
st k
its
Infe
ctio
us
Dis
ease
rapi
d te
st k
its
Pre
gnan
cy/F
ertil
ityra
pid
test
kits
Hem
ato
logy
ana
lyze
rs
He
mos
tasi
sC
oagu
latio
nsy
ste
ms
Car
dia
cB
iom
ark
ers
Fec
al O
ccul
tB
lood
Tes
ts
Urin
alys
is s
yste
ms
The current utilization pattern of tests in physician office laboratories illustrates high utilization for glucose handheld meters, fertility test kits, fecal occult blood tests, and urinalysis systems.
Hospital and Physician-owned Laboratories Lead Routine TestingP
erce
nta
ge
of
Ph
ysic
ian
s U
tili
zin
g T
est
Internal Medicine Pediatrics OB/GYN Family Practice/GP Cardiology Endocrinology
Test Types
Utilized Testing byPhysician Specialty
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Top Reasons for Satisfaction
(% of respondents, N=298)
Genomic Technology
Usefulness/ relevance to
research
Easy to use
High accuracy
Well integrated with existing technologies
High specificity/ selectivity
PCR/Thermal cycling 21 43 5 7 12
Gel Based (Northern/ Southern) 16 28 16 4 11
Multiplex assay 16 6 15 4 3
qPCR/RT-PCR 24 15 20 3 28
CE sequencing 14 14 23 6 8
Next Generation sequencing 20 13 13 13 --
Microarray 28 14 6 10 7
Automated liquid handling 10 6 6 12 4
SMD platforms 20 15 20 10 20
DNA/RNA isolation & purification 19 29 5 6 2
RNA interference 47 15 6 6 16
Transfection 33 38 2 9 3
Ease-of-use features and technology integration are critical for customer satisfaction in the fast-paced and demanding end-user community for drug discovery technologies.
R&D Sites Prefer Easy-to-use Walk-away Solutions
Secondary Reason for SatisfactionPrimary Reason for Satisfaction
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Contents
Diagnostics
Industry
Briefing 3.
2.
1. APAC Market Outlook
Industry Opportunities and Growth Strategies
360 Degree Perspective
33N5DF-55
Opportunities in the Clinical Diagnostics Market
Clinical Chemistry
Coagulation
HematologyImmunoassay
Microbiology
Molecular Diagnostics
POCT
SMBG
0.0
2.0
4.0
6.0
8.0
10.0
12.0
14.0
16.0
18.0
20.0
22.0
CA
GR
%
Infancy Early Growth Late Growth Maturity
Bubble size indicates the relative projected revenues of different segments in Yr 2010
Market Age Vs. CAGR of Diagnostics Market (Global), 2006-2010.
• The market growth of Molecular diagnostics is driven by the Majority of population with Sexually transmitted diseases, growing popularity of Thyroid & other Autoimmune diseases, Usage of molecular tests in drug discovery clinical trials and Need for quantitative, real-time monitoring of viral loads.
• Technological advancement in whole blood analyzer would spur the growth in coagulation/Hemostasis market.
• Most of the segments are expected to grow fairly due to emerging focus on preventative medicines in Asia.
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Growth Opportunity Spectrum - Clinical Lab Testing
High Growth 14+ percent
Medium Growth 7-14 percent
Low Growth <7 percent
Technology Trigger
Crest of Inflated Expectations
Depression of Expectations
Educated Decision-making
Product Maturity
Pharmacogenomics
Companion Diagnostics
Cancer Testing
Point-of-care Testing
Genetic Testing
Infectious Disease Testing
Cardiac Biomarker Testing
Reference Laboratory Services
Autoimmune Testing
Drugs of Abuse Testing
Glucose TestingFertility
Testing
Cholesterol Testing
Hematology Testing
Cu
sto
mer
Exp
ect
ati
on
s
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Technology Trigger Crest of Inflated Expectations
Depression of Expectations
Educated Decision-making
Product Maturity
High Growth 14+ percent
Medium Growth 7-14 percent
Low Growth <7 percents
Declining Market
ELISA
Next Generation Sequencing
Microfluidic Chip Technology
Capillary Electrophoresis DNA Sequencing
Nucleic Acid Isolation and Purification
DNA Microarray
Automated Liquid Handling
Protein Interaction Analysis Technology
Protein Arrays
High Content Screening and Analysis
Multiplex Assay Technology
Cell Culture
Proteomics Sample Preparation
Protein Electrophoresis
Western Blotting
Cell Based Assays
RNAi Technology
MicroRNA Technology
Growth Opportunity Spectrum - Research & Development Testing
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2/3
1/3Academic and
Govt. LabsPharma/Biotech
CompaniesClinical Labs
Limited equipment funds
Mostly unlimited equipment funds
Very limited equipment funds
Price often directs purchases
Large account bargaining power
Seek reagent rental programs
Technology Compliance
Legislative Compliance
Growth Strategy – R&D Testing
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Growth Strategies- Research & Development Testing
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
Affym
etrix
Milli
pore Pall
Sigma-
Aldrich
Qiagen
Life
Techn
ologie
s
Therm
o Fish
er S
cient
ific
Illum
ina
Perkin
Elmer
Seque
nom
Agilen
t Tec
hnolo
gies
Wat
ers
Bruke
r
Est
imat
ed P
rod
uct
Mix
(P
erce
nt)
Instrumentation Reagents & Consumables
0.0
20.0
40.0
60.0
80.0
100.0
Affym
etrix
Milli
pore Pall
Sigma-
Aldrich
Qiagen
Life
Techn
ologie
s
Therm
o Fish
er S
cient
ific
Illum
ina
Perkin
Elmer
Seque
nom
Agilen
t Tec
hnolo
gies
Wat
ers
Bruke
r
Est
imat
ed P
rod
uct
Mix
(P
erce
nt)
Instrumentation Reagents & Consumables
Estimated Revenue by Product Mix for SelectDrug Discovery Technologies Companies (2008)
Aggregate Product Mix forSelect Drug Discovery Technologies
Companies (2008)
Instrumentation33.8%
Reagents &Consumables
66.2%
Technology applications that require excessive optimization slow the “burn rate” of high-profit reagents and consumables. Moreover, complex workflows with excessive optimization often necessitate technology centralization, which further limits reagents and consumables-related business.
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Value system
Educate
IntegrateInnovate
Invest
To provide cost
effective solution
To gain competitive
edge
To frame winning
strategies
To create brand loyalty
Invest in technology to develop cost
effective scalable solutions with high
robustness
Develop innovative esoteric tests with
high clinical relevance for
existing diseases
Integrate novel testswith existing
platforms to provide comprehensive test
menu
Provide educationalawareness to promote novelpredictive tests
Best Practice (1) Durable Competitive Advantage Drives Growth
New Technology meets a market need and valueN Reduction in mortality ratesR Reduction in disease burdenR Reduction in disease management cost
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Patient FocusedPatient Focused
Productivity Improvement StrategiesProductivity Improvement Strategies
Integrative Integrative Systems BiologySystems Biology
ProteomicsProteomics
TranscriptomicsTranscriptomics
GenomicsGenomics
Integrative Integrative Workflow Workflow
TechnologiesTechnologies
InfoTechInfoTech
Enhance Customer Enhance Customer BaseBase
MetabolomicsMetabolomics
Bio StatisticsBio Statistics Clinical ResearchClinical Research
Molecular BiologyMolecular Biology
Best Practice (2)Durable competitive advantage through integrated approach