development of ethiopian steel industries: challenges

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FDRE, Policy Study and Research Center Industrial Policy Study and Research Department Development of Ethiopian Steel Industries: Challenges, Prospects, and Policy Options (2015 –2025) FDRE, Policy Study and Research Center - PSRC and Adama Science and Technology University, ASTU By Tesfaye G/Michael (Msc) Moges Tufa (MA) Niguse Assefa (Msc) Teshome Abdo (PhD) Jeylan Aman (PhD) Lemi Guta (PhD) Addis Ababa, Ethiopia February, 2017

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FDRE, Policy Study and Research Center

Industrial Policy Study and Research Department

Development of Ethiopian Steel Industries: Challenges, Prospects, and Policy Options

(2015 –2025)

FDRE, Policy Study and Research Center - PSRC

and

Adama Science and Technology University, ASTU

By

Tesfaye G/Michael (Msc)

Moges Tufa (MA)

Niguse Assefa (Msc)

Teshome Abdo (PhD)

Jeylan Aman (PhD)

Lemi Guta (PhD)

Addis Ababa, Ethiopia

February, 2017

II

FDRE, POLICY STUDY AND RESEARCH CENTER

About PSRC FDRE, Policy Study and Research Center founded in March 2014 as a government policy and strategy research center. It is established by recognizing the need for policy related researches and knowledge based decision making process in the fast growing and transforming economy of Ethiopia. The PSRC is expected to be the major think tank center in Ethiopia that analyses policy implementation, structural and programmatic issues, and generate policy and strategy proposals. The PSRC has five major departments and one is Industrial Policy Study and Research Department (IPSRD). For more information as well as other publications by PSRC and its affiliates, go to www.PSRC.gov.et FDRE, Policy Study and Research Center P.O.Box 1072/1110 Tel: +251-11-6613767 +251-11-6610462 Fax: +251-11-6621821 E-mail: [email protected] Website: www.psrc.gov.et ABOUT THIS RESEARCH REPORTS The FDRE, policy study and research center (PSRC) research reports contain research materials from PSRC and/or its partners. The researches are circulated to the concerned Ministries and related sectors in order to stimulate discussion and critical comment. The opinions in this research are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect that of PSRC‟s. Comments may be forwarded directly to the IPSRD and the authors through e-mail: [email protected]. Report Citation: It is cited as Industrial Policy Study and Research Department (IPSRD) and Adama Science and Technology University-ASTU. Development of Ethiopian Steel Industries: Challenges, Prospects, and Policy options (2015-2025).

III

Preface

As stipulated in the Second Growth and Transformation Plan (GTP II), Ethiopia is committed to tuning its growth direction from agriculture-led to industry-led economy. In this plan, the role of industries in general and the manufacturing sector in particular is considered as the main sector towards which the economy evolves. Today, even though the service sectors have come to dominate the economies in most of the rich countries in the west, manufacturing remains critical to the rapid economic transformation of all countries especially developing countries like Ethiopia. The Ethiopian government has recognized the importance of this sector and paid greater attention than ever.

Based on the industrial development strategy of Ethiopia, one of the priority sub-sectors in the manufacturing sector is metal and engineering industries. The study has conducted a broad investigation on Ethiopian steel industries with special emphasis on their challenges and prospects and to forwarded policy recommendations that will serve as point of departure for a medium and long-term development plan of the steel industries. It has considered technology selection, resources base, institutional arrangement, human power requirements, sources of finance, and the environment aspects for development of the sub-sector for the coming ten years and beyond.

A number of consultative and validation workshops had been done with the stakeholders and professionals which enabled us to enrich the content of the research. Moreover, important lessons have been taken from successful countries in this field like China. Some insightful lessons have been gained from the benchmarking visit such as: developing necessary human capital by establishing and expanding support institutions, continuous technology progress by investing in and buying technology (investment in R & D and acquisition of technology from advanced countries in comprehensive packages), and huge public investment in expansion of productive facilities. The study identified major policy and strategic issues such as build human resource development system, minimize heavy dependence on imports of raw materials by exploring potential local resources, improve product diversification, establishing and capacitating R&D centers, build market research capability, creating access to finance and update incentive package, upgrading infrastructure, enforcing sector-specific energy and environment policies and regulations, expanding and enhancing collaboration between industry and support institutions which would be supposed to implement for the coming ten years and beyond. The FDRE policy study and research center, Industrial policy study and research department believes that the research output of this study would help all stakeholders to acquire clear development directions for the development of specific programs and projects for further development of steel industries. Amare Matebu Kassa (PhD) Lead Researcher and Coordinator Industrial Development Policy Study and Research Section

IV

Executive Summary Ethiopia has been undergoing a rapid economic growth with a conviction of realizing the vision of

joining middle income countries by 2025. To realize this vision, it is firmly believed that growth in the

industrial sector plays a seminal role. As stipulated in the Second Growth and Transformation Plan

(GTP II), the nation is committed to tuning its growth direction from agriculture-led to industry-led

economy. In this growth and transformation plan, therefore, the role of industries in general and the

manufacturing sector in particular is extremely vital, and our industries need to align themselves

towards the attainment of this vision demanded by the economy.

There is a general consensus that the manufacturing sector is the main engine of economic growth and

structural transformation of a nation. With full recognition of the importance of manufacturing in the

socioeconomic transformation of the nation, the Ethiopian government has recently paid greater

attention than ever to this sector. The manufacturing sector comprises many subsectors including the

steel industry subsector, which has been the target of this project.

Steel industry is believed to be indispensable for a country like Ethiopia, which aspires to undergo a

rapid process of industrialization and economic transformation. Development history of most nations

demonstrates that, during their course of economic development, they relied heavily on their domestic

steel industry to meet the requirements of faster development in other industrial and non-industrial

sectors. Realizing the significance of steel industry in the development of the national economy, the

Ethiopian government has taken a number of initiatives to develop and transform the subsector.

As one of the initiatives aimed at overhauling the subsector, this project was initiated by FDRE Policy

Study and Research Center, in collaboration with Adama Science and Technology University. The

study sought to conduct a comprehensive investigation into the Ethiopian steel industries with special

emphasis on their challenges and prospects and to forward policy recommendations that will serve as

point of departure for a medium and long-term development plan of the subsector.

To realize the objectives of the project, both primary and secondary data were generated by employing

carefully designed methodology. Primary data that are needed for the purpose of the project have been

obtained through on-site observations of the existing steel industries and factories, survey

questionnaire, and in-depth interviews with key informants from selected ministries, executives and

experts from steel industries, Metal Industry Development Institute (MIDI), Ethiopian Mechanical

V

Engineering Association and other stakeholders. Secondary data were generated from both international

and national documents. The latter include the Growth and Transformation Plans (GTP I & GTP II) and

GTP I evaluations, Ethiopian Industrial Roadmap, Ethiopian Industry and City/Urban Development

Policy and Strategy Document, different steel-related studies (KOICA, JICA, MIDI) and other

documents from the Ministry of Mining, Ethiopia Power Authority, Ministry of City and Urban

Development, Ministry of Industry, Metal Industry Development Institute, Environmental Protection

Authority, Geological Survey, Planning Commission, Ethiopian Customs Authority, Ethiopian Railway

Corporation, Banks and other pertinent sources. Moreover, a visit has been made to China to

benchmark best practices of the country in steel industry.

Drawing on the data accessed from different sources, a number of key activities have been conducted to

develop the steel industry policy document. In the first place, developments in the steel industry at a

global level were addressed with particular emphasis on prominent issues such as steelmaking process

and technology, production, consumption, import and export trends. Likewise, a regional level analysis

of steel industry was conducted by taking a comprehensive look at the status of the sector in the African

continent and by focusing on issues pertaining to steel production and consumption.

The most important part of the steel industry analysis devoted itself to the assessment of the steel

industry in Ethiopia. In this analysis, the current profile of steel industries in the country and their

current performance, their production and consumption trends, and their challenges are particularly

highlighted. A review of various steel industry-related documents and studies was also conducted. From

this comprehensive analysis, it has been found out that the Ethiopian steel industry currently operates

under conditions of constrains in terms of raw materials, skilled workforce, technological capacity,

research and development, working capital, production capacity and efficiency, product diversification

and value addition, infrastructure development, market research and orientation and, above all, absence

of policy and strategic frameworks that guide the development direction of the subsector.

Useful findings were also drawn from the PESTLE and SLOC analysis of the Ethiopian steel industry.

The key findings from the PESTLE analysis indicate the presence of favorable political, economic,

social, technological, legal and environmental conditions that also serve as drivers for the development

of steel industry. Likewise, based on the SLOC analysis, some critical policy issues have been

identified for the Ethiopian steel industry development. These policy issues are:

Building a human resource skill development system that ensures the availability of required

human capital;

VI

Minimizing heavy dependence on imports of raw materials by exploring and exploiting

potential local resources;

Improving product diversification (product mix) and value addition of steel products;

Establishing and capacitating R&D centers at company and national level to imitate, improve

and create technology;

Building local and international market research capability and market information system;

Creating access to finance (bank loan, foreign currency) and updating incentive packages for

steel industries as strategic development subsector;

Upgrading and setting up infrastructure facilities and separate power transmission;

Enforcing sector-specific energy and environment policies and regulations and conducting

periodic environment and energy audit;

Expanding and enhancing collaborations between the industry and support institutions; and

Developing steel industry strategy and roadmap.

A comparative analysis was conducted by surveying the status of steel industries in selected countries

(India, China, South Korea, Brazil, South Africa, Nigeria, and Kenya), which are believed to be

exemplary for Ethiopia in the development of her steel industry. The comparison has particularly

focused on key issues pertaining to raw materials, human resource development, production,

technology, policy and regulatory frameworks, market, energy and environment. Accordingly, from the

comparative analysis made on these focus areas, some useful lessons and experiences which are

believed to be of particular importance for the Ethiopian steel industry have emerged.

As stated earlier, a benchmarking visit was also made to China by the study team to draw lessons on the

track and past trends in the development history of China‟s steel industries. Accordingly, some

insightful lessons have been gained from the benchmarking visit. Some of the critical observations are:

developing necessary human capital by establishing and expanding support institutions, continuous

technology progress by investing in and buying technology (investment in R & D and acquisition of

technology from advanced countries in comprehensive packages), and huge public investment in

expansion of productive facilities. In particular, it was found out that investing heavily on human

resource, productive capability and technology, accompanied by effective regulatory systems, makes a

significant contribution to the transformation the sector.

Drawing on inputs gained from global and regional analysis of steel industry, data obtained from the

analysis of various primary and secondary sources on Ethiopian steel industry, findings from PESTLE

and SLOC analysis, experiences gained from the comparative study and benchmarking, a National

VII

Steel Industry Policy (2015/16-2025), along with strategic objectives, strategic interventions and

implementation framework, has been proposed. The vision of the policy is to transform the Ethiopian

steel industry by exploiting locally available natural resources, importing essential resources for some

years to come, and adopting state of the art technology to ensure domestic self-sufficiency in terms of

production, consumption, quality and techno‐economic efficiency and gradually transit the industry to

export-oriented, thereby upgrading its profile to a Sub-Saharan leader by 2025.

VIII

Contents

Executive Summary ..................................................................................................................................... III

List of Tables ................................................................................................................................................... XI

List of Figures .............................................................................................................................................. XIII

1. Background of the Study .................................................................................................................... 1

1.1 Objectives of the study .................................................................................................................. 2

1.1.1 General Objective ................................................................................................................... 2

1.1.2 Specific Objectives ................................................................................................................ 2

1.2 Study Framework and Methodology ......................................................................................... 2

2. Global Analysis of Steel Industry .................................................................................................... 7

2.1. Steelmaking processes and technology .................................................................................... 8

2.1.1. Raw materials .......................................................................................................................... 8

2.1.2. Steel industry value chain ................................................................................................. 14

2.1.3. Steel production technologies .......................................................................................... 15

2.2. Global production trend of steel .............................................................................................. 18

2.2.1. Worldwide crude steel production ................................................................................. 18

2.2.2. Regional analysis of steel production ............................................................................ 19

2.2.3. Major steel-producing countries ..................................................................................... 20

2.2.4. TOP 10 steel producing companies 2014 ..................................................................... 21

2.3. Global consumption trends of steel ........................................................................................ 21

2.3.1. True steel use (finished steel equivalent) ..................................................................... 22

2.3.2. Global steel use per capita ................................................................................................ 23

2.3.3. Steel demand by end-use industry .................................................................................. 23

3. Regional Production and Consumption Analysis of Steel .................................................. 25

3.1. Steel making process and technology .................................................................................... 26

3.1.1. Raw materials ....................................................................................................................... 26

3.1.2. Steel production technologies of Africa ....................................................................... 27

3.2. Regional production trend of steel .......................................................................................... 29

3.2.1. Africa‟s crude steel production trends .......................................................................... 30

3.3. Regional Consumption trends of steel ................................................................................... 31

3.3.1. Apparent steel use per capita (finished steel products) ............................................ 32

3.3.2. True steel use per capita (kg finished steel equivalent)............................................ 33

3.4. Analysis of regional steel trade ................................................................................................ 33

3.4.1. Leading exporters of semi-finished and finished steel products ........................... 33

3.4.2. Import of steel products ..................................................................................................... 34

3.4.3. Indirect net export of steel ................................................................................................ 35

IX

3.5. Global and regional steel demand drivers ............................................................................. 36

4. Assessment of Ethiopian Steel Industry .................................................................................... 37

4.1 Profile of Steel Industries .......................................................................................................... 38

4.1.1 The status of some selected steel industries ................................................................ 39

4.1.2 Enabling capabilities of local steel industries ............................................................. 46

4.2 An overview of performance of steel industries ................................................................. 50

4.2.1 Human resource capacity .................................................................................................. 51

4.2.2 Raw materials ....................................................................................................................... 55

4.2.3 Technological capacity ...................................................................................................... 58

4.2.4 Ethiopian steel industries value-chain ........................................................................... 61

4.3 Production trend of steel industries/firms ............................................................................. 63

4.3.1 Local production by sector ............................................................................................... 63

4.4 Challenges of the sub-sector ..................................................................................................... 72

4.4.1 Challenges of Ethiopian steel industries in 2007E.C ................................................ 73

4.5 Gross value of products of iron and steel industries (public and private) ................... 74

4.6 Value added ................................................................................................................................... 75

4.7 Market trend of steel industry in Ethiopia ............................................................................ 75

4.7.1 Domestic market share of local industries by product type .................................... 76

4.7.2 Indirect trade of steel products ........................................................................................ 76

4.8 Trends of different steel per capita consumption ................................................................ 77

4.9 Investment in the sector.............................................................................................................. 79

4.10 Potential steel demand drivers in Ethiopia ....................................................................... 79

4.11 Energy utilization..................................................................................................................... 81

4.12 Environmental standards ....................................................................................................... 82

4.13 Review of steel industry-related documents and studies.............................................. 83

4.13.1 Roles of steel industries in economic growth and development ............................ 84

4.13.2 Analysis of Ethiopian steel-related documents ........................................................... 85

4.13.3 Industry Development Strategy of Ethiopia ................................................................ 86

4.13.4 Ethiopian Industrial Roadmap ......................................................................................... 87

4.13.5 Investment incentives and regulatory frameworks .................................................... 88

4.13.6 Study conducted on Metal and Engineering Industries in Ethiopia...................... 89

4.13.7 National growth and development direction ............................................................... 90

5. PESTLE and SLOC Analysis ............................................................................................................. 93

5.1 Global and regional PESTLE analysis of the steel industry ............................................ 93

5.2 PESTLE analysis of Ethiopian steel industry ...................................................................... 94

5.3 Summary of SLOC factors ........................................................................................................ 97

X

5.4 Selected critical policy issues ................................................................................................ 102

6. Comparative Analysis .................................................................................................................... 117

6.1. Raw materials ............................................................................................................................. 117

6.2. Human resource ......................................................................................................................... 122

6.3. Production ................................................................................................................................... 130

6.4. Technology ................................................................................................................................. 132

6.5. Support institutions ................................................................................................................... 135

6.6. Policy and regulatory frameworks ....................................................................................... 137

6.7. Market and finance ................................................................................................................... 145

6.8. Energy and environment ......................................................................................................... 147

7. National Steel Industry Policy: Vision, Goal, and Strategic Interventions ................ 152

8. Implementation Framework ...................................................................................................... 164

References ................................................................................................................................................... 173

Annex 1: Iron ore occurrence and deposits of Ethiopia .................................................................. 177

Annex 2: Summary of SLOC factors ................................................................................................... 178

Annex3: Experience from Benchmarking ....................................................................................... 180

XI

List of Tables

Table 1: Quality of Fe raw materials .......................................................................................................... 9

Table 2: Steelmaking raw materials, properties and application for steel product ..................... 10

Table 3: Global trend of scrap exports (Mt) .......................................................................................... 13

Table 4: Worldwide blast furnace iron production, ............................................................................. 16

Table 5: Direct reduced iron production ................................................................................................. 16

Table 6: Production of steel in electric furnace .................................................................................... 17

Table 7: Top 10 steel producing countries ............................................................................................. 20

Table 8: Top 10 steel producing companies (2014) ............................................................................ 21

Table 9: Global trends of true steel use 2009-2013 (Mt) ................................................................... 23

Table 10: iron ore export ............................................................................................................................. 26

Table 11: iron ore import ............................................................................................................................ 26

Table12: Africa‟s scrap import .................................................................................................................. 27

Table13: Iron production from blast furnace ......................................................................................... 28

Table14: Iron production from direct reduction ................................................................................... 29

Table15: Africa‟s steel production using electric furnace ................................................................. 29

Table16: Africa‟s crude steel production trends................................................................................... 30

Table 17: True steel use per capita ........................................................................................................... 33

Table 18: Export of semi-finished and finished steel products ........................................................ 34

Table 19: Distribution of major industrial by regional states (2007 E.C) ..................................... 49

Table 20: Human resource in metal and engineering subsector ...................................................... 51

Table 21: Comparison of local and expatriate employees (2003-2006 EC) ................................ 53

Table 22 Coal and limestone distribution ............................................................................................... 56

Table 23 Comparison of local and imported raw materials (ton) .................................................... 57

Table 24: Imported spare parts (ton) from 2002-2006 ....................................................................... 58

Table 25: Local construction sub-sector products ............................................................................... 64

Table 26: Design production capacity and actual production of major rebar producers .......... 65

Table 27: design capacity and capacity utilization of rebar producing industries ...................... 65

Table 28: Major local engineering and machinery products (2003-2007) .................................... 67

Table 29: Comparison of local and imported products of engineering machinery .................... 68

Table 30Vehicle and agricultural products ............................................................................................ 69

Table 31: Steel industry products of motor vehicle and agricultural equipment sector ............ 70

XII

Table 32 Comparison of local &imported products of motor vehicle &agricultural equipment70

Table 33 Aggregate expenditure on imported raw materials and steel products ........................ 71

Table 34 gross value of products of iron and steel industries (public and private) .................... 74

Table 35: Value added to national income ............................................................................................. 75

Table 36: Domestic market share of local industries by product type ........................................... 76

Table 37: Indirect imports and exports of steel (2004-2013) ........................................................... 77

Table 38: Growth of steel per capita consumption during GTP I ................................................... 77

Table 39: Apparent steel use ..................................................................................................................... 78

Table 40: True steel use (2004−2013) ..................................................................................................... 78

Table 41: Investment in the subsector ..................................................................................................... 79

Table 42: List of licensed metal/steel investment ................................................................................ 79

Table 43: Steel demand projection by 2025 .......................................................................................... 81

Table 44: Energy consumption by process (GJ per ton) .................................................................... 82

Table 45: Emission of iron and steel making technologies ............................................................... 83

Table 46: Projected growth of manufacturing industry ...................................................................... 92

Table 47: List of strengths (S) and limitations (L) .............................................................................. 97

Table 48: List of opportunities (O) and challenges (C) ...................................................................... 98

Table 49: SLOC analysis matrix ............................................................................................................... 99

Table 50: Automobile emission standards .......................................................................................... 113

Table 51: Raw materials ........................................................................................................................... 122

Table 52: Human resource related information ................................................................................. 128

Table 53: Steel production ....................................................................................................................... 131

Table 54: Technology................................................................................................................................ 132

Table 55: Support institutions ................................................................................................................. 135

Table 56: Major lessons from comparative analysis ........................................................................ 149

Table 57: Analysis of strategic interventions and policy issues ................................................... 164

Table 58: Evolving of techno-economic indexes of China steel industry ................................. 184

XIII

List of Figures

Figure 1: Production, consumption, import and export of iron ore ................................................ 11

Figure 2: Regional base production, consumption, import and export of iron ore ..................... 11

Figure 3: Region base import, export and net import of scrap in 2014 ......................................... 13

Figure 4: Value chain of steel making ..................................................................................................... 15

Figure 5: Crude steel production trend from 2007-2014 ................................................................... 19

Figure 6: Steel production by geographical distribution 2004 and 2014 ...................................... 20

Figure 7: World steel consumption .......................................................................................................... 22

Figure 8: World steel demand by end products .................................................................................... 24

Figure 9: Share of Africa‟s crude steel production in 2013 & 2014............................................... 31

Figure 10: Share of crude steel consumption 2013 & 2014 ............................................................. 32

Figure 11: Share of crude steel consumption 2013 & 2014 .............................................................. 32

Figure 12: Indirect net export of steel ..................................................................................................... 35

Figure 13: Indirect import of steel (by commodity groups) .............................................................. 35

Figure 14: Steel use by sector .................................................................................................................... 37

Figure 15: 2006 E.C industrial distributions of steel industries ....................................................... 50

Figure 16: Comparison of local and imported products of construction sector in Mt ............... 66

Figure 17: Steel industry products of engineering and machinery sector ..................................... 68

Figure 18:local and imported products of motor vehicle and agricultural equipment .............. 70

Figure 19: Challenges of steel industries of Ethiopia ......................................................................... 72

Figure 20: Challenges of Ethiopian steel industries in 2007E.C ..................................................... 73

XIV

Acronym

BF Blast Furnace

BOF Basic Oxygen Furnace

BRICS Brazil, Russia, India, Chinaand South Africa

CSA Central Statistical Agency

CIS Belarus, Kazakhstan, Russia, Ukraine

DRI Direct Reduced Iron

EAF Electric Arc Furnace

ECA Ethiopian Customs Authority

GDP Gross Domestic Product

IF Induction Furnace

IoTs Institute of Technologies

MIDI Metal Industry Development Institute

Mt Million ton

NAFTA Canada, Mexico, USA

SSPI Sustainable Steel Policy and Indicators

SSY Steel Statistical Yearbook

STU Science and Technology Universities

WSF World Steel Figure

1

1. Background of the Study The Ethiopian government has been designing and implementing strategies and plans to

manage the overall development endeavors of the country and to achieve the key objective of

eradicating poverty and ensuring broad-based, accelerated, and sustained economic growth.

Among such plans, GTP I (2010-2015) and GTP II (2015-2020) are the most significant

development and transformation plans the country has ever seen. GTP I is unique as

compared to the past development plans of the country due to its high economic growth and

comprehensive development targets (11.2-14.9%). It was a plan that has cleared the ground

and paved the way for the desired transformation of Ethiopia into the status of a middle-

income country within 15 years, that is, by 2025.

Likewise, the ongoing GTP II is believed to move the nation into a historically new direction.

During the GTP II, the country strives to tune its growth direction from agricultural-led to

industry-led economy. In this development direction, the role of industries is, thus, extremely

desirable. This entails the need for industrial transformation, and our industries are expected

to align themselves towards the attainment of this vision demanded by the economy. When it

comes to the specific component of industry, the role of manufacturing comes to the fore

front of the development and transformation agenda.

Steel industry is one of the manufacturing industries that have been given due attention by the

government with the target of increasing the per capita of steel products and gradually

substituting imported products of this industry. In addition, steel industries are planned to

support other industries such as Leather, Textile, Cement, Agro-industries, Construction,

Vehicle and other industries by supplying them with spare parts and necessary products.The

implication of all of these is that steel industries will have many- fold impacts on the national

economy and that overhauling these industries requires the design of better polices and

strategies.

The purpose of this study was, therefore, to conduct national level in-depth investigation on

the development of Ethiopian steel industries with special emphasis on their challengesand

prospects in terms of their economic viabilities, human and material resources, technology,

environmental effects and the like. In the light of this, the study has drawn on primary data

2

generated through both quantitative and qualitative methods. The study has also utilized

secondary data by reviewing the existing national strategy documents on steel industries and

the experiences of the nations with success stories (South Korea, China, India, Brazil and

South Africa) as best practices, and eventually has come up with a policy option that will be

used as frame of reference for the next medium-term development plan of the country.

1.1 Objectives of the study

1.1.1 General Objective

The main objective of the study is to examine economic viability, technology transfer,

human and material resources, and financial sources of steel industries in Ethiopia with a

view to enriching and expanding steel industries to the desired level of development and

proposing ideas for policy decision and the way forward.

1.1.2 Specific Objectives

Based on the main objective, the specific objectives of the study are to:

identify problems, gaps, and stumbling blocks of steel industries and forward

policy recommendations;

pinpoint the economic viability of steel industries in the Ethiopian context and

examine the support system needed for their expansion and reinforcement;

based on local and international experiences, investigate into the kind of

technology transfer, human and material resources, and financial sources that

would enable the Ethiopian steel industries to expand and flourish to the required

level of development.

1.2 Study Framework and Methodology

1.2.1 Data Collection Methods

Primary Data

Primary data that are needed for the purpose of this study have been obtained through on-site

observations of production system/processes and products of the existing steel

industries/factories, survey questionnaire, and in-depth interviews with selected ministries,

Metal Industry Development Institute (MIDI), steel industry executives, steel experts,

Ethiopian Mechanical Engineering Association and others.

3

Secondary Data

Secondary data were obtained from both international and national documents. The national

documents consulted for the purpose of this study include the Growth and Transformation

Plans (GTP I & GTP II) and GTP I evaluations, Ethiopian Industrial Roadmap, Ethiopian

Industry and City/Urban Development Policy and Strategy Document, different steel-

related studies (KOICA, JICA, MIDI) and other documents from the Ministry of Mining,

Ethiopia Power Authority, Ministry of City and Urban Development, Ministry of Industry,

Metal Industry Development Institute, Environmental Protection Authority, Geological

Survey, Planning Commission, Ethiopian Customs Authority, Ethiopian Railway

Corporation, Banks and other pertinent sources.

Benchmarking

The main objective of benchmarking is to draw lessons on the track and past trends of best

performing countries in the development of the steel industries in order to formulate better

policy options. In this regard, the focus of the benchmarking is exploring how backward

and forward linkages (inputs and output markets analysis) are identified. Further,

production process efficiency and technologies, application areas, environmental issues,

supply, distribution, downstream value chain and other factors will be considered. In

addition, the overall development and current situation of the steel industry in terms of

consolidation, production, capacity, consumption, employment and major macro-level

overhauls such as vertical integration, management and organization will be explored. For

this purpose, a visit was be made to China to benchmark the best practices in the steel

industry.

4

1.2.2 Approach and Methodology

Team Formation & Detail Design Contract and Kickoff

Instrument Development Prel

imin

ary

Act

iviti

es

Mile

ston

e -1

: Situ

atio

nal

Ana

lysis

Data Collection

Primary Data On-site visit Questionnaires In-depth Interview FGD

Secondary Data Document

Analysis

Benchmarking China

SLOC & PESTL Analysis

Vision & Policy Option Objectives

Selection of Policy Options Mile

ston

e -2

: Fo

rmul

atio

n of

Pol

icy

Opt

ions

Drafts, Validation & Submission

Mile

ston

e -3

: V

alid

atio

n &

Su

bmis

sion

5

1.2.3 Project Activities

The following tasks are the constituents of the key activities of this project.

I. Preliminary Activities

Contract and Kickoff:

Contractual agreement for the project was prepared and signed by official representatives of

FDRE-Policy Study and Research Center and ASTU. A kickoff workshop had been

conducted before the actual project commenced. In the workshop, the core project team

members presented their understanding of the assignment and how they intended to

undertake the project. The inception workshop was meant to provide opportunity for all

stakeholders to know the general objectives and methodology of the project. The timetable

for the project and the different milestones in the different phases of the project were

presented. On the workshop, concerned stakeholders actively participated and provided the

necessary feedback and guidance and announced their acceptance on the plan.

Instrument Development

Questionnaires, interview questions, focus group discussion guides, and observation

checklists were developed from both primary and secondary sources.

Detailed Design and Team Formation

After the kickoff workshop, the core team prepared a detailed design of the project and

formed working teams based on division of assignments.

II. Milestone -1: Situation Analysis

On-site visits of production system/processes and products, observation of the

existing steel industries, and in-depth interviews with experts and sector

representatives.

Root cause analysis and assessment of the competitive position of the Ethiopian

steel industries. This was done by considering several indicators and through 5

“W” and 1 “H” approach to know the level of their competitiveness such as

business conditions, various input indicators (e.g. raw materials, energy

efficiency), which can be assumed to affect the competitive performance of the

6

steel industries, as well as process, output and performance indicators (i.e.,

quantity, quality, etc.). Moreover, focus was made on the trend of demand for

steel products and market prospects.

Analysis and assessment of relevant framework conditions for the

competitiveness of the Ethiopian steel industries, focusing primarily on the

regulatory conditions affecting the industries, that is, environmental regulations,

industry specific standards, competition policy, labor market, health and safety

regulations, and so on.

Data Collection: Using the instruments developed, data were collected from

groups identified as respondents for the purpose of developing this steel industry

policy options and strategies and by benchmarking steel industries of one

country.

Assessment on an extensive literature review and available statistical data to

explore strategic and policy options outlook for the Ethiopian steel industry,

focusing on likely developments, strengths, weaknesses and opportunities, threats

of the sector, and possible policy options.

II. SLOC & PESTL Analysis: Based on data obtained from identified respondents,

strengths, limitations, opportunities, and challenges of Ethiopian steel industry have

been identified. In addition, the political, economic, social and technological

environments of Ethiopian steel industry have been assessed. Therefore, both the

SLOC and PEST analyses have been done to identify key issues in strategic and

policy options of Ethiopian steel industry.

III. Milestone -2: Formulation of Policy Option

Based on the findings of the study,policy vision, goal, strategic objectives and

interventions have been formulated for the Ethiopian Steel Industry.

IV. Milestone -3: Validation & Submission

The first draft of the policy options document was prepared and presented on a

workshop that was organized for validation.

The final draft of policy option document was prepared based on the feedback

from the validation workshop and benchmark and submitted to FDRE-Policy

Study and Research Center.

7

2. Global Analysis of Steel Industry

Introduction

Steel is and will remain the most important engineering and construction material in the

modern world and it is at the core of a green economy in which economic growth and

environmental responsibility exist as a mutually beneficial partnership that serves the entire

globe.

Steel is vital to a sustainable development of economic growth and innovation. In 2014,

according to World Steel Reports, the annual revenue of the steel industry was 980 billion

USD. The industry invested 7.5% of revenue in new processes and products, and it

distributed 954 billion USD to society directly and indirectly, including 120 billion USD in

tax contributions and 8 million people worked for the steel industry (SSPI 2015).

Globally, steel is the backbone of manufacturing and is a strategic industry essential for

socioeconomic growth and stability. One of the specialties of steel industry is its global

leader in job creation; for example, in 2013 the steel industry directly employed more than

two million people worldwide, plus two million contractors and four million people in

supporting industries such as construction, transport, and energy. In short, the steel industry is

a source of employment for more than 50 million people (WSF, 2014).

Moreover, the global steel production and consumption have continued to grow at a rapid

pace, with emerging economies coming to the fore, in recent years. According to World Steel

Association (2015), in 1970 and 2014, steel production was 595 Mt and 1,665 Mt

respectively. The average growth of the steel production was 1.6% from 1970-1975 and 6.2%

from 2000-2005 but it dropped to 3.8% from 2010-2014 (WSF, 2015).

Global apparent steel consumption on the previous six years increased by 386.6 Mt (in 2009

it was 1,150.7 Mt but in 2014 it reached 1537.3Mt). On top of that, according to Global Steel

Market Outlook 2015, global consumption was forecasted to be increased by 0.5% and it

would reach 1544 Mt in 2015. For instance, the global average apparent steel use per capita

was 185.24 Kg in 2008 and 216.6 Kg in 2014 respectively(WSA,2015).

8

The production process for manufacturing steel is energy-intensive and requires a large

amount of natural resources. Energy constitutes a significant portion of the cost of steel

production, up to 40% in some countries. Thus, increasing energy efficiency is the most cost-

effective way to improve the environmental performance of this industry. To address these

issues, there has been significant investment in new products, plants, technologies and

operating practices. The result has been a dramatic improvement in the performance of steel

products, and a related reduction in the consumption of energy and raw materials in their

manufacture (SOCAT, 2010).

With this brief background, this chapter focuses on some of the prominent global issues such

as steelmaking process and technology, production, consumption, import and export trends.

2.1. Steelmaking processes and technology

Steel is the most complex and widely used engineering material. It is the pillar of

manufacturing and strategic industry essential for socioeconomic growth and stability. Due

to its versatile properties, it is everywhere in our lives such as construction, automotive,

machinery and equipment, energy supply, transportation system, urban centers, clean water

and safe food supply, defense and home security, appliance and others.

Steel making is the process of removing impurities such as sulfur, phosphorus, and excess

carbon from iron and adding alloying elements such as manganese, nickel, chromium, and

vanadium to produce the exact steel required. Its technology continues to evolve, but the

changes are incremental rather than fundamental. The main processes of crude steel

production have narrowed over many years and now only electric steelmaking is used based

on scrap and molten pig iron as basic inputs (SOCAT, 2010; Danish Technological Institute,

2008).

2.1.1. Raw materials

Steel industry is reliant on a number of raw materials, particularly iron ore, coal (coke),

ferrous scrap and various alloying elements for the steelmaking process. Iron ore provides the

ferrous content for steel, and is used almost exclusively by the steel industry. Coking coal is

used to produce coke, which is an essential element that provides heat and the carbon

required to remove oxygen from the ore. Ferrous scrap is the key ingredient in the electric-arc

furnace (EAF) route, where recycled steel is melted and subsequently rolled into new steel

products. Scrap is also used along with iron in basic oxygen steel furnaces (BOF), to reduce

9

levels of heat in the furnace. The amount and quality of iron (Fe) influences the selection of

specific furnaces for production of steel in addition to energy sources.

The details of iron ore with its specific iron (Fe) are summarized in Table 1 below

Table 1: Quality of Fe raw materials

No Name of iron ore Formula %Fe

1. Hematite Fe2O3 69.9

2. Magnetite Fe3O4 74.2

3. Goethite/Limonite HFeO2 ~ 63

4. Siderite FeCO3 48.2

5. Chamosite (Mg,Fe,Al)6(Si,Al)4 (OH)8 29.61

6. Pyrite FeS 46.6

7. Ilmenite FeTiO3 36.81

Source: Geological Survey of Ethiopia, 2010

For example, if the iron content of iron ore is above 65%, it is advisable to use DRI steel

production process from productivity point of view in which case Hematite and Magnetite

iron ore types are typical examples.

On the other hand, technically it is possible to improve the quality of steel products by adding

other additives to the scrap or pig iron as per required standards. Some of these additives and

properties are summarized as follows:

10

Table 2: Steelmaking raw materials, properties and application for steel product

No Raw material Properties in steel Steel industries share of use

1. Iron ore Provides the ferrous content in the steel 98%

2. Coking coal Produce coke, heat source and reducing

agent in BF >80%

3. Ferrous scrap

Main elements for EAF-steel, combined

with iron in BOF to reduce levels of heat 100%

4. Manganese

Desulpherises and as alloying element for

strength 90%

5. Silicon Used to de-oxidize steel 60%

6. Nickel

Anti-corrosion (nickel content in stainless

steel 8-10%) 60%

7. Chromium

Anti-corrosion (in stainless steel, average

content 18%) 75%

8. Zinc

Used to galvanize steel (enhance corrosion

resistance) 60%

9. Tin Brings protective coating to steel 20%

10. Molybdenum Resistance to heat, corrosion 60%

11. Vanadium Brings extreme hardness to steel 85%

12. Tungsten Brings extreme hardness to steel 20%

Source: OECD (2014).

Steel is an alloy; as the result, as indicted in Table 2, additives are essential for producing

steel products to have different properties which can be applicable for multipurpose; for

instance, if we add Molybdenum, the product will have a capability to resist heat and

corrosion.

2.1.1.1. Iron ore

The demand and supply of iron ore has been fluctuating from time to time. For example

during the first half of 2014, Australia was the largest iron ore exporter in the world, with

outward shipments amounting to 353 Mt, followed by Brazil with 157 Mt, South Africa with

33 Mt, Canada with 19 Mt and India with 8 Mt of iron ore exports.

During the first six months of 2014, the major iron ore importers were China (457 Mt), the

EU (68 Mt), Japan (65 Mt) and Korea (37 Mt), according to OECD 2014.

11

Furthermore, the production, consumption, import and export of iron ore of some selected

countries in 2013 (Mt) is given in the figure below.

Figure 1: Production, consumption, import and export of iron ore

Source: World Steel Association 2014

When it comes to the regional pattern of iron ore production, consumption, import and

export, the Asian countries take the lion‟s share as depicted in the following figure.

Figure 2: Regional baseproduction, consumption, import and export of iron ore

Source: World steel Association, 2014

12

2.1.1.2. Scrap

Scrap consists of recyclable materials left over from product manufacturing and

consumption, such as parts of vehicles, building supplies, and surplus materials.

Unlike waste, scrap has monetary value; especially, recovered metals, and non-metallic

materials are also recovered for recycling.

Recycling involves processing used materials into new products in order to prevent wastage

of potentially useful materials by reducing consumption of raw materials and energy usage,

by lowering air pollution, water pollution and greenhouse gas emissions as compared to

virgin production. Steel is the world‟s most recycled material; for example, according to

WSA (2015),650 Mt of steel are recycled every year, avoiding over 900 Mt of CO2

emissions.

According to a study by US Environmental Protection Agency, inrecycling scrap metals in

place of virgin iron ore, every ton of new steel made from scrap steel saves 1,115 kg of iron

ore, 625 kg of coal and 53 kg of limestone.Furthermore, recycling scrap metals in place of

virgin iron ore can yield 75% savings in energy, 90% savings in raw materials used, 86%

reduction in air pollution, 40% reduction in water use, 76% reduction in water pollution and

97% reduction in mining wastes. (http://www.norstar.com.au/, UnitedStates Environmental

Protection Agency)

2.1.1.3. Trade in ferrous scrap

In 2012, China and the European Union were the largest scrap generators, generating

approximately 125 Mt and 107 Mt of ferrous scrap respectively. In 2013, China‟s scrap

generation grew to 143 Mt, according to data from the Japanese Ferrous Raw Materials

Association (2014).

The figure below summarizes the regional import, export and net imports of scrap in 2014.

13

Figure 3: Region base import, export and net import of scrap in 2014

Source; Japanese Ferrous Raw Materials Association (2014), World Steel 2015

As indicted in Figure 3, the EU is the dominant importer and exporter of scrap, whereas

Africa is the least in both aspects.

2.1.1.4. Global exports of scrap

Globally, many countries have been engaged in scrap exporting. The table below summarizes

the trend of scrap export for six years (2009-2014) in some 8 nations of the world.

Table 3: Global trend of scrap exports (Mt)

No Name of the country 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 1. United States 22.439 20.557 24.373 21.397 18.495 15.340 2. Germany 7.275 9.176 9.034 8.924 8.378 8.433 3. Japan 9.408 6.472 5.453 8.594 8.150 7.351 4. United Kingdom 6.008 7.519 7.814 7.299 6.948 6.987 5. Russia 1.202 2.390 4.042 4.349 3.714 5.765 6. South Africa 1.144 1.224 1.436 1.632 1.485 1.486 7. United Arab

Emirates 0.731 1.231 1.271 1.004 0.920 1.162

8. Morocco 0.036 0.133 0.031 0.035 0.072 0.064 Sourece: WSA ( 2015)

14

2.1.2. Steel industry value chain

The steel industry value chain includes all the processes required to transform raw materials

(mainly coal, iron ore, and scrap) into finished steel products. Steel industry value chain

would include upstream stockholders (the suppliers of raw materials), downstream,

intermediaries (service centers, stockholding companies, and so on) and final customers

(producers of steel end products).

Based on the degree of vertical integration, steel making plants can be broadly classified in

two different groups, i.e. integrated plants and mini-mills.

I. Integrated steelmaking

The two most common routes are a blast furnace in combination with a Basic Oxygen

Furnace (BOF), commonly referred to as “integrated” steelmaking, and a principally scrap

based Electric Arc Furnace (EAF), commonly referred to as the “mini-mill” (SOACT,2010).

II. Mini-mill steelmaking

The direct smelting of iron-containing materials such as scrap is usually performed in electric

furnaces, known as mini-mills, which play an important and increasing role in modern

steelworks concepts. The major feedstock for the EF is ferrous scrap, which may comprise of

scrap from inside the steelworks, from steel product manufacturers (e.g. vehicle builders) and

capital or post-consumer scrap (e.g. end of life products).

Mini-mills utilize electric furnaces and mainly rely on scrap, and only partially on raw iron,

which is usually purchased as processed input. Nonetheless, some mini-mills are moving

toward upstream vertical integration, by adopting new iron-making technologies (e.g. direct

reduction iron making, smelting reduction) requiring relatively limited capital investment and

characterized by a minimum efficient scale lower than traditional blast furnaces. For

developing countries which are rich in scraps, it is recommendable to use electric furnace and

direct reduced iron instead of blast furnace.

15

Globally, the value chain of steel making process can be represented pictorially as shown in

figure 5.

Figure 4: Value chain of steel making

2.1.3. Steel production technologies

Selecting state of the art technology is crucial for producing high quality and diversified

products, taking into consideration the environment and energy. Among those technologies,

the types and capacity of furnaces used in steel production are decisive. The most common

furnace types are:

2.1.3.1. Blast furnace iron (BFI) production

A blast furnace is a shaft-like unitthat operates according to thecountercurrent principle. Iron

ore, coke,heated air and limestone or other fluxesare fed into the blast furnace. All iron

orecarriers contain oxygen, which has to beremoved through reduction in the blastfurnace by

using carbon as a reducing agent.

16

Table 4: Worldwide blast furnace iron production,

N0 Country Blast furnace iron production, 2009-2013 (In Mt) 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1. China 568.634 595.601 645.429 670.102 708.970 2. Japan 66.943 82.283 81.028 81.405 83.849 3. India 38.233 39.560 43.624 47.987 51.359 4. Russia 43945 47934 48.117 50.529 50.111 5. South Africa 4.444 5.429 4.604 4.599 4.960 6. Egypt 0.800 0.600 0.600 0.550 0.550

Source: WSF (2015)

2.1.3.2. Direct reduced iron (DRI) production

Direct reduction processes require a reducing gas to remove the oxygen from the iron

containing material in a solid state. The reducing gas is in the form of CO and/or H2. It

involves the reduction of iron ore to metallic iron in the solid state at process temperatures

less than 1000°C. DRI is a new process which uses gas rather than coke as a fuel, and it is

particularly cheap in countries with access to low-cost natural gas. DRI facilities are less

capital-intensive than traditional integrated plants and are efficient at smaller production

volumes.

Table 5: Direct reduced iron production

Source: Steel Statistics Year Book, 2015

As indicated in Table 6, India was by far the leading producer of steel using DRI from 2009

to 2014. From Africa, Egypt is a country with better experience in producing steel by using

this technology.

No Country Direct reduced iron production, 2009-2014 In Mt

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

1. India 22.030 23.420 21.970 20.050 16.893 20.366

2. Iran 8.099 9.350 10.368 11.582 14.458 14.551

3. Mexico 4.147 5.368 5.854 5.586 6.100 5.976

4. Russia 4.600 4.700 5.200 5.125 5.329 5.350

5. Egypt 3.051 2.965 2.932 3.068 3.432 2.882

6. South Africa 1.340 1.120 1.414 1.493 1.295 1.560

7. Libya 1.077 1.270 0.165 0.508 0.956 0.998

17

Additionally, crude steel can also be produced by using Open Hearth Furnace, but this

technology is not popular like the other technologies.

2.1.3.3. Electric furnaces

Steel production in an EAF typically occurs by charging 100 percent recycled steel scrap,

which is melted using electrical energy imparted to the charge through carbon electrodes and

then refined and alloyed to produce the desired grade of steel.

The Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) is a completely different technology for steel-making; it is

usually adopted in mini-mills. The main inputs for the EAF are scrap and electricity.

Electrodes installed within the furnace melt scrap through the heat created by an electric arc.

Limestone and other flux are added in the EAF to remove impurities from molten steel.

The size of EAFs ranges from very small units of 50 ton of capacity per cycle, to large

facilities that can charge up to 200 ton. An EAF processing only scrap uses 10% of the

energy needed by blast furnaces and BOFs, not accounting for the different inputs used in the

two routes. New technologies are enabling further reduction in energy consumption by pre-

heating scrap with recovered hot gases.

EAFs are economic and efficient at relatively small volumes of production compared to

BOFs, in particular because they can be easily shut down and restarted.

The summary of selected countries using Electric Furnaces is given in the following table.

Table 6: Production of steel in electric furnace

No Country Production of steel in electric furnace in Mt

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

1 Italy 14.036 17.163 18.843 17.939 17.295 17.200

2 Germany 11336 13.215 14.204 13.789 13.459 13.062

3 Spain 11.270 12.503 11.660 10.216 10.042 10.042

4 France 5.164 5.601 6.128 6.102 5.491 5.498

5 Egypt 4.700 6.075 5.940 6.100 6.215 5.970

6 South Africa 3.530 3.250 3.555 3.034 2.947 2.819

Source: SSY (2015)

18

2.2. Global production trend of steel

The global steel production and consumption have continued to grow at a rapid pace, with

emerging economies coming to the fore, in recent years. For instance, steel production in

1970, 2000, 2013 and 2014 was 595 Mt, 850 Mt, 1649 Mt and 1665 Mtrespectively.

Similarly, the average growth of the steel production was 1.6%, from 1970-1975 and 6.2%

from 2000-2005 although it dropped to 3.8% from 2010-2014. With regard to geographical

distribution, in 2014, 49.4% of the world‟s crude steel production was covered by China,

whereas the share of Africa was only 0.9%.

In 2014, the Middle East, the smallest region for crude steel production, had the most robust

growth. Crude steel production in the EU (28), North America and Asia grew modestly in

2014 compared to 2013, while in the C.I.S. and South America it decreased.

According to geographical distribution, in 2013and 2014, the crude steel production of China

was 48.5% and 49.4% respectively, but the ratio of Africa in 2013 and 2014 was only 1% and

0.9% respectively.

Thus, over the last couple of decades, increased demands are observed from emerging

economies, with Asia (mainly China and India) and United States accounting for more than

half of the world‟s consumption. Population and GDP growth continue to be the drivers for

consumption in these regions with steel demand directly linked to population growth as it

spurs demand for urbanization and infrastructure.

2.2.1. Worldwide crude steel production

Crude steel is defined as steel in its first solid (or usable) form: ingots, semi-finished products

(billets, blooms, slabs sheet metals, rolled coil…), and liquid steel for castings. The following

graph shows the global trend of crude steel production and growth rate from 2007 to 2014.

19

Figure 5: Crude steel production trend from 2007-2014

Source: World Steel Association 2015, Global Iron and Steel Market (Deloitte, September

2015)

The average growth rate of crude steel production has been fluctuating over the last more

than 40 years. For example, there had been steady decline in the growth of crude steel

production from 1970-1990, while it showed dramatic increase from 1995-2005. However,

this growth has begun to fall sharply since 2005.

2.2.2. Regional analysis of steel production

When we compare the crude steel production across regions, we can clearly observe the

dramatic shift of production capacity from EU to China between 2004 and 2014 as shown in

Figure 9.

20

Figure 6: Steel production by geographical distribution 2004 and 2014

Source: WSA, 2015

2.2.3. Major steel-producing countries

As can be observed from Table 7, China, Japan, United States and India were the leading

steel producing countries in 2013 and 2014.

Table 7: Top 10 steel producing countries

No Country 2013 2014 Rank 1. China 822 822.7 1 2. Japan 110.6 110.7 2 3. United States 86.9 88.3 3 4. India 81.3 83.2 4 5. South Korea 66.1 71 5 6. Russia 69.0 70.7 6 7. Germany 42.6 42.9 7 8. Turkey 34.7 34 8 9. Brazil 34.2 33.9 9 10. Ukraine 32.8 27.2 10

11. South Africa 7.2 6.5 23 12. Egypt 6.8 6.5 24

Source:World Steel Figure, 2015

21

2.2.4. TOP 10 steel producing companies 2014

International companies which have production capacity of more than 3 Mt are outlined

below.

Table 8: Top 10 steel producing companies (2014)

Rank Name of the company Name of own country

2010(Mt) 2011(Mt) 2012(Mt) 2013(Mt) 2014(Mt)

1. ArcelorMittal Luxembourg 98.2 97.248 93.575 96.096 98.088

2. Nippon Steel and Sumitomo Metal Corporation

Japan 35.0 33.388 47.858 50.128 49.3

3. Hebei Steel Group China 44.36 42.84 45.786 47.094

4. Baosteel Group China 37.0 43.34 42.7 43.908 43.347

5. POSCO South Korea 35.4 39.118 39.875 38.261 41.428

6. Shagang Group China 23.2 31.92 32.31 35.081 35.332

7. Ansteel Group China 22.1 29.75 30.23 33.687 34.348

8. Wuhan Steel Group China 16.6 37.68 36.42 39.311 33.051

9. JFE Steel Corporation Japan 31.1 29.902 30.409 31.161 31.406

10. Shougang Group China 14.9 30.04 31.42 31.523 30.777

Source: WSF (2014, 2015)

2.3. Global consumption trends of steel Global apparent steel consumption increased by 386.6 Mt over the last six years (from 2009-

2014). Particularly, it was 1,150.7Mt in 2009 and 1537.3 Mt in 2014. Out of the global

consumption, China accounted for 46.2% of world steel consumption with 710.8 Mt (Mt) in

2014, while the United States of America took the second rank by consuming 106.9 Mt (Mt)

in the same year.

From regional perspective, Asian countries were the leading consumers of steel by

consuming 1008.2 Mt, followed by EU, which accounts for 146.8 Mt. When it comes to

22

Africa, the annual consumption of steel was only 36.9 Mt (Mt), which accounts only for 2.4%

in 2014.

On the other hand, the world average steel use per capita was 185.24 Kg, 193 Kg, 217.8 Kg

and 216.6 Kg in 2008, 2010, 2013 and 2014 respectively (WSA,2015).From 2009-2014,

apparent steel use of countries was different from year to year, sometimes increasing and

other times decreasing.

Globally, the consumption trendsof steel and its growth ratecan be observedfrom the

following figure.

Figure 7: World steel consumption

Source: WSA (2015), Global Iron and Steel Market (Deloitte, September 2015)

The forecast for steel consumption over the next two years will be expected to increase with

1.02 and 1.03 percent.

2.3.1. True steel use (finished steel equivalent)

True steel use (TSU) is obtained by subtracting net indirect exports of steel from apparent

steel use (ASU). The following table illustrates the trends of true steel use of some selected

countries of the world.

23

Table 9: Global trends of true steel use 2009-2013 (Mt)

No Name of the country 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1. Czech Republic 2.576 3.330 3.590 3.167 3.028

2. Germany 22.242 29.876 32.760 28.618 28.286

3. Italy 14.727 17.342 19.103 16.404 17.052

4. Russia 28.110 42.777 50.540 52.382 52.254

5. Turkey 16.182 22.320 25.908 27.115 29.80

6. Brazil 19.113 28.076 28 128 28 513 30 378

7. China 515.746 537.434 583.375 603.471 680.438

8. Japan 36.729 42.971 43.767 44.022 48.113

9. South Korea 29.085 33.768 35.555 35.133 35.587

10. Ethiopia 29.085 33.768 35.555 35.133 35.587

Source: SSY (2015)

2.3.2. Global steel use per capita

Growth in Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita, a measurement of the average national

standard of living, can be a contributing factor to steel demand. According to Global Steel

and world steel issue, increased industrialization caused by economic expansion has a

tendency to drive corresponding increases in steel consumption.

According to World Steel Association (2015), South Korea was the leading country by using

1118.8 Kg of finished steel per capita worldwide and Egypt was the leading in Africa by

using 113.7 Kg of finished steel per capita in 2014. Worldwide finished steel consumption

per capita was 217.8 and 216.9 in 2013 and 2014 respectively, but Africa was using only 31.6

and 31.9 Kg of finished steel per capita in the same year. Furthermore, according to WSA

(2015), globally, United Arab Emirates was the leading country in 2014 by using 1052.0 Kg

of true steel per capita and Algeria was the first from Africa with 198.0 Kg in the same year.

2.3.3. Steel demand by end-use industry

The majority of steel products are used by construction sub-sector followed by mechanical

engineering.

24

Figure 8: World steel demand by end products

Source: WSA (2014)

25

3. Regional Production and Consumption Analysis of Steel

Introduction

With the exception of South Africa and some countries in North Africa like Egypt, the steel

industry in the other African countries is still in a state of slumber. South Africa has a fully

developed steel industry and most of the generalisations that apply to most other African

countries would be out of place when one is referring to South Africa. At best, the industry

can be described as being in its infancy.

According to African Iron and Steel Association (2002), Africa‟s steel industry is scrap-based

steelmaking, which is dominated by very small steelmakers each with 0.040-0.050 Mt steel

capacity mainly producing small rebar, but no special steel are produced.

Moreover, African crude steel production has been increased from 13.827 Mt in the year

2000 to 15.022 Mt in the year 2014. Africa‟s share of crude steel production accounts only

for 0.89 % of the world in the same year (WSA, 2015).

Consumption of steel products follows the trend of economic activity in individual countries.

There is a clear trend for high levels of consumption of steel products at certain stages of

economic development, which are associated with rapid urbanization and construction,

combined with industrialization and the growth of manufacturing industry. Africa‟s share of

apparent finished steel use in the year 2004 was 1.6% of the world and it has increased to

1.8% in the year 2014, which accounts for 36.9 Mt (WSA, 2015).

26

3.1. Steel making process and technology

3.1.1. Raw materials

A healthy global steel industry needs widely available and freely traded raw materials,

because there is no self-sufficient country in producing all raw materials.

Table 10: iron ore export

No Country Export of iron ore in Mt

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

1 South Africa 44.559 47.971 53.343 54.002 62.763 64.799

2 Mauritania 10.296 11.109 11.484 12.255 13.076 14.599

3 Sierra Leone - - 0.051 3.961 11.996 19.190

4 Liberia - - 0.072 2.038 4.295 5.034

Africa 54.855 59.080 64.950 72.255 92.129 103.623

Source: SSY (2015)

African countries could play a key role in the coming years, because of their large mining

potential. South Africa takes the lion‟s share of producing and exporting raw materials for

steel making; the country accounted for 60.8% of Africa‟s total production of iron ore and

62.53% of its export of iron ore in 2013 (WSA, 2015).

Table 11: iron ore import

No Country Import of iron ore in Mt

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

1 Egypt 4.583 4.178 4.343 4.235 3.824 3.249

2 Libya 1.304 2.257 0.063 0.844 1.819 1.377

3 South Africa 0.352 0.401 0.417 0.558 0.476 0.479

4 Algeria 0 0.117 0.011 0.026 0 0

5 Other Africa 0 0.001 0.085 0.012 0.167 0.371

Africa 6.239 6.953 4.918 5.675 6.287 5.476

Source: SSY (2015)

In the year 2014, Egypt‟s import of iron ore covered 59.33% of Africa‟s import which ranked

the top from Africa followed by Libya and South Africa that accounted for 3.249 Mt, 1.377

27

Mt, and 0.479 Mt respectively. Both Egypt and Libya are net importers of iron ore, but the

continent is a net exporter.

3.1.1.1. Scrap

Ferrous scrap remains a dominant steel making raw material in many parts of Africa. The net

import of scrap in Africa was 1.2 Mt in 2014. In the same year, South Africa exported 1.486

Mt of scrap that makes it the leading exporter in the continent followed by Morocco,

Zimbabwe, Ghana, and Egypt which accounted for 0.064 Mt, 0.037 Mt, 0.032 Mt, and 0.023

Mt respectively (WSA, 2015).

Net export of South Africa‟s scrap was 1.4 Mt in 2014, but Egypt was the leading net

importer of scrap followed by Morocco.

Table12: Africa‟s scrap import

No Country Import of scrap in Mt

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

1 Egypt 1.299 2.736 2.644 2.021 2.891 2.971

2 Morocco 0.220 0.182 0.448 0.474 0.292 0.360

3 South Africa 0.041 0.054 0.032 0.011 0.028 0.101

4 Other Africa 0.080 0.013 0.018 0.018 0.40 0.019

Africa 1.639 2.985 3.141 2.524 3.251 3.451

Source: SSY (2015)

3.1.2. Steel production technologies of Africa

The raw materials used for the BF-BOF route are predominantly iron ore, coke (the fuel),

limestone (the flux) and scraps. In this process, iron ore is reduced to hot metal or pig iron,

and then the pig iron is converted to steel in the BOF.

Depending on the plant configuration and availability of recycled steel, other sources of

metallic iron such as direct-reduced iron (DRI) or hot metal can also be used in the EAF

route. In the year 2014, 25.6% of world total production of steel was covered by electric

furnace, but Africa‟s production of steel from electric furnace had the lion‟s share, which

accounted for 68.8% of total steel production in the continent. Steel production via the EAF

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route is expected to remain the major steelmaking process in the continent, according to

OECD 2015.

The DRI-EAF route has been the preferred steelmaking technology in the region due to its

lower capital expenditure requirements and because the region has a shortage of steel scrap

(OECD, 2015).

3.1.2.1. Steel production by blast furnace

Table13: Iron production from blast furnace

No Country Blast furnace iron production in Mt

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1 South Africa 4.444 5.429 4.604 4.599 4.960

2 Algeria 2.042 2.532 2.801 2.073 2.650

3 Egypt 0.800 0.600 0.600 0.550 0.550

Africa 5.924 6.725 5.564 5.499 5.810

World 933.625 1,035.120 1,104.651 1,124.263 1,168.397

Source:-WSA (2015)

After casting and rolling, the steel is delivered as coil, plate, section or bars. 73.9% of the

world‟s steel was produced using BF-BOF route in the year 2014, but Africa‟s steel

production using BF-BOF route accounted only for 31.2% because blast furnace requires

huge investment, a situation which is not convenient for developing countries. South Africa is

Africa‟s leading producer of steel with blast furnace which accounted for 4.960 Mt in the

year 2014 followed by Algeria and Egypt with a production of 2.650 Mt and 0.550 Mt

respectively in year 2013, as shown in the table above.

3.1.2.2. Direct reduced iron production (DRI)

Direct reduction processes require a reducing gas to remove the oxygen from the iron

containing material in a solid state. DRI is favored by electric arc furnace (EAF) steelmakers,

who blend it as a feedstock with lower quality scrap to improve the steel quality(SOACT,

2010).

DRI-based mini-mill projects are expected to raise the region‟s self-sufficiency (domestic

production as a share of demand) gradually. To increase their self-sufficiency and press

forward with industrialization, many upstream projects (mainly DRI based mini-mill plants)

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have been planned. These projects are concentrated in North Africa and have the objective of

supplying steel for housing and infrastructure projects (OECD, 2015).

Table14: Iron production from direct reduction

No Country Direct reduced iron production in Mt

2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

1 Egypt 2.965 2.932 3.068 3.432 2.882

2 Libya 1.270 0.165 0.508 0.956 2.549

3 South Africa 1.120 1.414 1.493 1.444 1.560

Africa 5.356 4.511 5.069 5.832 6.991

World 70.505 73.250 73.433 74.718 64.088

Source: WSA (2015)

3.1.2.3. Electric furnace steel production

An electric furnace is a furnace that runs using electricity as its main power source to

generate heat. According to the manner in which electric energy is converted into heat,

electric furnaces are classified into electric arc furnaces (EAF) with a capacity of 1 to 400 ton

and induction furnaces (IF) with a capacity up to 20 ton. EAF route produces steel using

mainly recycled steel and electricity.

Table15: Africa‟s steel production using electric furnace

No Country Production of steel in electric furnace in Mt

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

1 Egypt 4.700 6.075 5.940 6.100 6.215 5.970

2 South Africa 3.530 3.250 3.555 3.034 2.890 2.819

3 Libya 0.914 0.825 0.100 0.315 0.712 0.712

4 Morocco 0.499 0.485 0.654 0.539 0.558 0.501

5 Tunisia 0.155 0.150 0.150 0.150 0.150 0.150

Africa 10.003 10.990 10.603 10.344 10.730 10.357

Source: WSA (2015)

3.2. Regional production trend of steel

According to WSA 2015, Africa‟s total crude steel production was 15.695 Mt in 2011 and

slightly decreased to 15.337 Mt in 2012, but it increased by 0.626 Mt in 2013. Africa, the

second populous continent in the world, produced15.022 Mt of steel, and this was 0.9 % of

the world‟s total crude steel in the year 2014.

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3.2.1. Africa’s crude steel production trends

Table16: Africa‟s crude steel production trends

No Country Total Production of crude steel in Mt

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

1 South Africa 7.484 7.617 7.546 6.938 7.162 6.550

2 Egypt 5.541 6.676 6.485 6.627 6.754 6.485

3 Libya 0.914 0.825 0.100 0.315 0.712 0.712

4 Morocco 0.499 0.485 0.654 0.539 0.558 0.501

5 Algeria 0.597 0.662 0.551 0.557 0.417 0.415

6 Tunisia 0.155 0.150 0.150 0.150 0.150e 0.150

7 Uganda 0.030 0.030 0.030 0.030 0.030 0.030

8 Kenya 0.020 0.020 0.020 0.020 0.020 0.020

Africa 15.400 16.624 15.696 15.337 15.963 15.022

Source: WSA (2015) South Africa and Egypt were the leading steel producing countries in Africa and 23rd and 24th

from the world respectively with the amount of 6.5 Mt and 6.48 Mt crude steel productions in

the year 2014. Steel accounts for 4.7% of the total South African manufacturing production

and is an important indicator of the overall health of the sector, as it feeds into other

manufacturing sub-sectors such as vehicles, fridges and other steel-based products (WSA,

2014).

According to the South African Iron and Steel Institute, ArcelorMittal South Africa Ltd is the

African continent‟s largest integrated steel producer, accounting for more than 70% of the

country‟s steel production. Ezz Steel ranked 65th of the world‟s biggest steel producing

companies in 2014, with a total production of 4.013 Mt ton, representing about three quarters

of Egypt‟s total annual production (WSA, 2014).

According to WSA (2015), South Africa and Egypt were both the leading crude steel

producing countries of the continent in 2013 and 2014, accounting for 88% of the continent‟s

crude steel production.

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Figure 9: Share of Africa‟s crude steel production in 2013 & 2014

Source: WSA (2015)

3.3. Regional Consumption trends of steel

According to WSA (2015), Egypt, Algeria, South Africa, Nigeria and Morocco were the

leading consumers of crude steel accounting for 10.93 Mt, 6.859 Mt, 5.68 Mt, 2.154 Mt and

1.985 Mt respectively. In East Africa, Kenya was the dominant consumer with consumption

of 1.427 Mt followed by Ethiopia with 0.895 Mt in the year 2014 (WSA, 2015).

Africa is expected to be the top performing region in the world in terms of apparent steel

usage with growth of 7.4% from 2014-2015 and 4.9% from 2015-2016 (WSA, 2015). In

2014,North Africa consumed 58% of Africa‟s crude steel consumption followed by South

Africa and East Africa, which accounted for 17% and 10% respectively.

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Figure 10: Share of crude steel consumption 2013 & 2014

True steel use (finished steel equivalent)

Figure 11: Share of crude steel consumption 2013 & 2014

Source: SSY (2015)

3.3.1. Apparent steel use per capita (finished steel products)

According to WSA (2015),in 2014, Libya used 259.9 kg of steel products per capita and this

ranked the country as the 1st in the continent, followed by Djibouti and Algeria, which

accounted for 181.1kg and 158.5kg respectively. In the same year, Ethiopia ranked 26th in

Africa, 6thin East Africa and 4th from the six fastest growing Africa counties (Ethiopia,

Tanzania, Ivory Coast, Mozambique, D.R. Cong and Rwanda) with 8.6 kg per capita steel

consumption.

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3.3.2. True steel use per capita (kg finished steel equivalent)

According to WSA (2015), Algeria was the leading country in true steel use per capita (with

198 Kg)followed by Egypt and South Africa with per capita of 114.6 Kg and 114 Kg

respectively in the year 2013. From East Africa, Kenya used39.4 Kg of true steel per capita,

while Ethiopia used only 11.3 Kg of true steel per capita in the same year. The details of true

steel use per capita trends of selected African countries are depicted by the following table.

Table 17: True steel use per capita

No Country True steel use per capita (kg finished steel equivalent)

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

1 Algeria 165.8 129.1 143.6 171.0 198.0

2 Angola 83.9 53.2 56.7 73.8 69.1

3 Cameron 15.6 16.3 18.0 19.7 18.4

4 Egypt 145.9 133.3 104.4 120.2 114.6

5 Ethiopia 10.0 8.2 8.8 10.8 11.3

6 Ghana 36.5 39.4 59.0 60.5 49.8

7 Kenya 27.3 27.0 38.2 31.1 39.4

8 Nigeria 19.3 16.2 20.5 19.3 22.3

9 Tanzania 15.7 16.1 18.9 17.7 23.2

10 Morocco 80.3 72.8 81.4 69.2 71.0

11 South Africa 89.8 102.8 113.9 111.5 114.0

Africa 56.6 51.2 52.5 55.4 57.6

Source: WSA (2015)

3.4. Analysis of regional steel trade

3.4.1. Leading exporters of semi-finished and finished steel products

From Africa, South African ranked first in export of semi-finished and finished steel products

with the share of 79.85% from Africa‟s total export of 2.929 Mt followed by Egypt and

Tunisia with the share of 12.59% and 2.86% in the year 2014 respectively. The following

table shows the trend of export for selected African countries.

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Table 18: Export of semi-finished and finished steel products

No Country Export of semi-finished and finished steel products in Mt

2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014

1 South Africa 2.844 3.018 2.567 2.216 1.888 2.339

2 Egypt 0.337 0.446 0.557 0.271 0.359 0.369

3 Morocco 0.024 0.064 0.169 0.141 0.092 0.047

4 Tunisia 0.096 0.149 0.160 0.099 0.070 0.084

5 Libya 0.095 0.124 0.092 0.047 0.009 0.003

6 Algeria 0.001 0.001 0.011 0.023 0.015 0.004

Africa 3.421 3.849 3.613 2.864 2.490 2.929

Source: WSA (2015)

3.4.2. Import of steel products In Sub-Saharan Africa, Nigeria‟s share of net import was 20% in 2012 followed by Angola

and Kenya with 12% and 10% of net import respectively, but Ethiopia‟s share of net import

was 8%. Africa simply exports its raw materials without value addition; because of this fact,

it is a net exporter of iron ore and a net importer of semi-finished and finished steel products.

The following graph illustrates the import trend of semi-finished and finished steel products

of top five importers.

.

Figure 12: import trend of semi-finished and finished steel products of top five importers.

Source: SSY (2015)

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3.4.3. Indirect net export of steel

According to WSA (2015), all African countries were net indirect steel importers. The trend

can be observed in the following figure.

Figure 13: Indirect net export of steel Source: WSA (2015)

The detail analysis of the components of indirect steel indicates that automotive trade

consumes more of indirect steel products followed by metal products and electric equipment.

This implies thatthe majority of African countries imported automobile products. The

following figure shows indirect import of steel in some selected African countries.

Figure 12: Indirect import of steel (by commodity groups) Source: WSA (2015)

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3.5. Global and regional steel demand drivers

Steel demand is primarily derived by construction, domestic appliance, electrical equipment,

mechanical machinery, metal products, automotive and others. As a result, the global steel

demand has grown at a healthy pace of 3.8% per cent on average during the last 5 years on

the back of strong demand registered in its end-user segments in the matured market and

from government spending in many emerging economies (WSA, 2015).

Construction: Construction is one of the most important steel-using industries, accounting

for more than 50% of world steel production. Increased government focus on construction as

well as infrastructure development is expected to further propel steel demand, as more

infrastructure development is required to sustain a GDP growth rate of many emerging

economies. The capital budget allocation towards mega infrastructure development projects

has increased over the years, leading to higher demand for steel in many countries. This is

because construction activity heavily depends on per capita income, GDP growth, the level of

housing inventory deficit, land ownership, urbanization, infrastructure and government‟s

policies such as tax incentives and higher budget allocation. The growing middle class along

with rising income levels significantly contributed towards the growth in the construction

segment.

Mechanical machinery: According to WSA (2015), 16 percent of the steel was spent

globally for mechanical machinery due to the rapid expansion of manufacturing and

industrialization.

Automotive: Automotive is also a key steel-consuming sector, absorbing 13% of global steel

use (WSA, 2015). A total of 89.5 million vehicles were produced in 2014. On average, 900

kg of steel is used per vehicle, totaling approximately to 80 Mt of steel used by the

automotive sector every year. According to WSA (2015), sectors like metal products and

other transports were the follower drivers of the steel industry accounting for 11% and 5%

respectively. For further information, see the following figure.

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Figure 13: Steel use by sector Source: SSPI (2015)

4. Assessment of Ethiopian Steel Industry

Introduction

The fundamental purpose of this project, as stated elsewhere, is to conduct a comprehensive

investigation into the development of Ethiopian steel industries with special emphasis on

their challenges and prospects in terms of their economic viability, human capital, technology

and environmental effects.

The present chapter attempts to carry out an overall assessment of the status of steel industry

in Ethiopia. In particular, the chapter highlights the profile of steel industries and firms and

makes an analysis of the current performance of, and potentials for, steel industries and firms.

In the lights of development opportunities anticipated in the subsector during GTP I and GTP

II, the chapter also spells out the need to boost the productivity of Ethiopian steel industry to

meet the various multi-sectorial development needs.

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4.1 Profile of Steel Industries

The purpose of this section is to make an overview of the characteristics of steel industries of

Ethiopia as revealed through the profiles of selected companies of the industry. Firstly, a

brief summary of steel industries of the country has been made. Secondly, regional

distribution of the steel industry is presented followed by description of the status of selected

steel industries.

The Basic Metal and Engineering Industry (BMEI) is a sub-sector within the Manufacturing

Sector. Basic Metals Industries are concerned with the refining and production of raw metal

and primary metal products, while Engineering Industries are industries which use these

metal products as an input and fabricate them into various engineering products

(Development Strategy and Plan of action for Basic Metals and Engineering Industry, n.d).

The steel industry is found at a very low stage of development, but it is undergoing a

substantial growth. The range of products manufactured in this sector includes galvanizing of

sheets, pipes, reinforcement bars, nails, window and door frames, trusses, hand tools,

implements, pumps, and various metal fabrications;however, there is a huge gap as compared

to the demand of the country for steel products.In addition to the above products, there also

exist a couple of plants assembling automobiles, trucks and tractors. There are also some

industries which produce hand tools, spare parts, and cutleries.

During the last five years, the demand for steel products in Ethiopia has increased

significantly due to the boom in mega projects as well as infrastructure.

Currently, the industries use mainly imported raw materials such as billets, blooms, sheet

metals, coiled wire rods, galvanized coils, iron scarp and chemicals and locally available

scrap metals (CSA, 2005E.C)

The industries also use products imported from different countries such as Turkey, China,

India, and Ukraine. For example, in 2014, 17,294.040 ton net weight of agricultural

machineries and 1312524.162 ton net weight of different steel products (i.e. construction,

home appliances, spare parts etc.) was imported (ECA, 2015).

39

In the performance evaluation of GTP I, it is stated that the fabrication and engineering

capacity created in steel industry is promising. It is also stated that metal and engineering

(steel industry) is one of the manufacturing sub-sectors in which new investments have been

witnessed.

However, strong foundation has not been created for middle and high industry development

that would serve as spring board for our economic transformation. Like many other

subsectors of the manufacturing industry, this subsector has not been implemented as planned

even though there is improvement as compared to the situation in previous years.For

example, according to CSA (2005E.C), steel products significantly increased from 196,668

ton in 2004E.C to 529,255 ton in 2005 E.C.

4.1.1 The status of some selected steel industries

In 2006E.C, there were 2758 medium and large scale manufacturing industries in Ethiopia

out of which 241 were steel industries. This means that the steel industries account only for

8.7% of the manufacturing sector (CSA, 2007E.C).

The profile of some of the steel industries of the country is presented as follows:

A. Metal and Engineering Corporation (METEC)

The Metal and Engineering Corporation (METEC) was established as a corporation by the

government with a view to achieving the GTP goals. Before its promotion to its current status

as a corporation, METEC was known as Defense Industry Sector and it had been operating

under the FDRE Ministry of Defense mainly to satisfy the various needs of the national

defense.

METEC is a business enterprise with high corporate social responsibilities and a principal

leader among institutions entrusted with the mandate to accelerate the transition of the

country from agricultural-led to industry-led economy and, by giving priorities to our

industry development activities, to satisfy the demands of the government, defense,

stakeholders, and private sector.It was established with the following nine goals:

1. Designing production industries and manufacturing, installing and making them ready

for production by commissioning them;

Designing production industries

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Manufacturing production industries

Installing and commissioning production industries

2. Renovating and improving production industries and institutions;

3. Producing industrial machines, capital instruments, and industrial spare parts;

Designing

Producing

Installing and commissioning

4. Based on the principle of partnership, creating an industry linkage that would enable

to expand and enrich engineering and technology capability;

Expanding and enriching

Creating an industry linkage on the basis of the principle of partnership

Expanding capabilities and creating job opportunity

5. Producing weapons and armaments for the National Defense and security forces;

producing, maintaining, renovating, and upgrading their spare parts and accessories;

6. In compliance with the law, conducting the sale of armaments, spare parts and

accessories produced by the company locally and abroad;

7. Building technological capabilities in defense matters; identifying future needs,

through research and development; ensuring macroeconomic stability;

8. Ensuring macroeconomic stability and, in compliance with the law, selling and

issuing bonds, negotiating and signing loan agreements with local and international

donors;

9. Undertaking other related activities in order to achieve its aims and objectives above.

The realization and implementation of the Growth & Transformation Plans is at heart

of METEC‟s activities.

METEC is by far the largest player in the metal products sector, with about a dozen of its

umbrella (12 large companies). It employed 13,000 employees (KOICA 2013), and the

current number of workers is more than 17,000. The corporation has a maximum authorized

capital of 10 billion birr (FORUM D‟AFFAIRES FRANCE-ETHIOPIE, 2014).

METEC has a tremendous potential for economic impact, for example, by investing in

research and development of new production capabilities for the country and transferring the

knowledge and technology to private firms. It also has large social impact, for example,

through employing 13,000 workers (KOICA, 2013) and engaging in large scale training of

41

unskilled workers in its own companies and other firms. Its full scope activities range from

engagement in large sugar factories and the Grand Renaissance Dam, to production of

electrical power equipment and vehicles, and to manufacturing of spare parts for industry.

Despite this, to date, reported capacity utilization is low within some of METEC‟s

enterprises, and there are potential areas of improvement in its marketing capabilities,

contract management, and engineering expertise. Across these areas is a need for greater

coordination with, and accessibility to, the private sector, whether buyers or suppliers.

List of major companies under METEC

1. Bishoftu Automotive Industry (BAI, Bishoftu);

2. Adama Agricultural Machinery Industry (AAMI, Adama);

3. Dejen Aviation Industry (DAVI, Bishoftu);

4. Ethiopia Plastic Industry (EPI, Addis Ababa);

5. Hi-Tech Industry (HTI, Legedadi);

6. Homicho Ammunition Engineering Industry (HAEI, Guder, 140km Out ofAddis);

7. Ethiopia Power Engineering Industry (EPEI, Burayu, 20km out of Addis);

8. Metals and Fabrication Industry (MFI, Addis-Lideta)

9. Adama Garment Industry (AGI, Adama city);

10. Hibret Manufacturing and Machine Building Industry (HMMBI. Addis Ababa);

11. Akaki Basic Metals Industry (ABMI. Akaki);

12. Gafat Armament Industry (GAI, Bishoftuaraea)

(Source: FORUM D‟AFFAIRES FRANCE-ETHIOPIE, 2014).

B. Mesfin Industrial Engineering PLC(MIE)

It was established in 1993 in the capital of the Tigrai Province, Mekelle, as the engineering

wing of the endowment fund for the rehabilitation of Tigrai (EFFORT). It was initially

founded with a paid capital of 7 million birr and its current paid up capital amounts to 909.37

million birr.

Starting its activity by giving maintenance services of vehicles and small-scale shop floor

duties and pertaining to its long time vision &implementation strategies, the industry is now

the leading equipment manufacturing and industrial engineering company in East Africa. It

designs and installs equipment and components for the energy, mining, manufacturing,

42

construction, transportation, and agricultural sectors. A wide range of products is

manufactured at its industrial complex on the land size of 120, 000m2 plus 30,000 m2 and

which is fully equipped with the state of the art machinery. Within its industrial complex,

MIE has the full capacity to manufacture and erect hydraulic power components such as

penstocks, steel liners, gate liners, gates, turbine elements and transmission. Its material

testing laboratory provides radiographic, ultrasonic and other tests; it is a high consumer of

steel products.

MIE has a modern design and production technology, and its current production capacity is

8,525 ton/year. The firm also has about 2,279 workforce engaged in production, capable of

designing various industrial and transportation machinery and equipment.

The major inputs of the company such as steel plate, steel sheet, axels, tire, electrical

accessories and auto mobile parts are mostly imported from countries such as China and

Turkey through the foreign purchase division, a system which uses the Internet to find

suppliers. The company supplies all its products and services to the domestic market.

The major customers of the company are affiliated transport, import and export, and

construction companies. The company also supplies products to private transport and

construction companies. Government projects obtained through competitive bidding are the

only markets for its electromechanical projects.

C. Maru Metal Industry (MMI)

This industry was established in 1975E.C as a simple auto workshop and maintenance service

provider. It has subsequently started making auto bodies for heavy trucks. Since 1991, the

firm‟s focus has overwhelmingly shifted to manufacturing and building in-house designed

metal products. At present, the firm has become one of the largest engineering and design

firms in Ethiopia.

Its activities include the assembly of cars, trucks, trailers and cargo bodies. It also designs

and produces customized versions of various types of trailers, cargo bodies, steel structures

and warehouses for both the local and international building and construction industry.

According to the data obtained from the company by the study team, the company had an

initial paid up capital of 9,000 Birr, while its current paid up capital amounts to

43

16,000million Birr. Regarding the source of fund, 60% of the fund is covered by the

company itself, while 40% is obtained from bank loan.

Currently, the company has 170 workers. The composition of workers includes 5 managerial

staff, 62 administrative support staff, 2 permanent local engineers, and 118 permanent local

technical experts. In terms of their academic qualification, 90 employees are below grade 10

and another 90 are TVET graduates, whereas 7 workers are university degree holders (5 first

degree, 1 second degree, and 1 a third degree).

D. Abyssinia Integrated Steel

It was established in 2001 (and started production in 2005) by two British nationals and a

Kenyan national as a PLC. The factory is located in Bishoftu, which is about 45 km from

Addis Ababa. The British owners (with a third Indian shareholder), in addition, own

Abyssinia Cement PLC (a mini plant, established in 2005) and Abyssinia Profiles PLC. The

firm is engaged in the production of re-bars. Its sister companies, Abyssinia Profiles and

Abyssinia Cement, are engaged in the production of angle irons and cement respectively. It

employs a total of about 1,000 people in all the three firms. The firm has average annual sales

of $42 million. The total assets are valued at about $30 million, and equity was reported to be

$25 million.

The shareholders previously owned a steel mill in Kenya and exported to Ethiopia. Seeing the

relative attractiveness of the Ethiopian industry relative to that of Kenya (due to lack of local

manufacturers, except for Zuquala Steel Rolling Mill Enterprise, which could supply the very

large and uncompetitive market in Ethiopia), they decided to shift their focus to Ethiopia.

Abyssinia Integrated Steel was established with a capital of about $3.5 million. It started with

one furnace and a rolling mill (imported from Kenya) producing re-bars. It entered Ethiopia

at the time when the government‟s large investment in low-cost housing began, offering

attractive payment terms, which enabled the company to finance its growth. Due to a steel

scrap disposal program established by the government via the Ministry of Defense, Abyssinia

Integrated Steel was able to acquire its main input (steel scrap) at low prices.

Abyssinia Integrated Steel has an annual production capacity of 75,000 Mt of re-bars. In the

sister business, Abyssinia profiles, angle iron and U-channel are produced with an annual

capacity of 20,000 Mt.

44

The top management for all the three affiliated firms is integrated into one management unit,

led by a general manager (employee) supervised by a managing director (one of the

owners).The firm scaled back its operation in 2008/09due to nationwide power rationing,

leading to unused capacity; however, it now plans to get back to normal levels of production.

E. Zuquala Steel Rolling Mill Enterprise

Zuquala Steel Rolling Mill Enterprise is a 100% state-owned firm located in Bishoftu. It was

established in 1997 through a proclamation of the Council of Ministers. During the onsite

visit, it was observed that Zuquala is engaged in the production of re-bars and structural steel

(reinforcement bar) (90%) and round bar (10%). It had about 280 employees, but most of the

workers are shifted to other sister companies due to failure of the program logic control

(PLC) system of the production process. In 2006/07 E.C, the enterprise had a sales volume of

about $13.7 million. Zuquala Steel has an estimated asset value of about $9.8 million, 80% of

which is financed by equity.

The factory was constructed during the previous command regime under the Ministry of

Defense to manufacture and repair battle tanks. The current enterprise was established when

the present government took power. The steel mill was purchased second hand from a South

African company, along with a skill-transfer scheme during the installation and trial phase.

The firm employs production of steel with furnaces (pre-heating oil furnaces). It also has an

advanced technology (automation) such as programmable logic control (PLC) S-7. It uses

locally available raw materials (billets) and imported materials (furnace oil & previously

billets from Turkey and China). The mill was expected to have an annual capacity of

100,000Mt. Despite this, the maximum capacity attained so far remains 19,450 Mt, as of

2006/07 EC.

Since the restructuring of the enterprise under the current regime, the firm has planned to

manufacture various types of structural steel products. However, as stated above, its actual

production is still limited to two types of structural steel, namely, re-bars and round bars.

45

Following an interruption of production in 2008/09, a business process review is underway.

The board of directors of the firm comprises various government officials. During the onsite

visit, it was observed that the firm has completely malfunctioned due to the failure of the

PLC system of the production process.

F. Akaki Basic Metals Industry

It is a state-owned industry currently operating under METEC. It was established in February

1989 as a national metal processing factory that was intended to produce spare parts (shafts,

rollers, sleeves, gears, sprockets, coil, springs, sugar mill rollers, ingot molds, armor plates

and cement balls), industrial hand tools, and cutlery.

Located at AkakiGumruk area, the company is situated on an area of 15000m2. It is currently

engaged in production of a variety of products such as mill rollers for Methara, Fincha, Omo,

and Beles Sugar Factories, sprocket, gears (pinion), crusher hammer, trash and scrapper plate,

steel, gray cast iron, nodular cast iron, high manganese, white cast iron,high chrome steel,

pre-cast iron.

The company has an annual melting and production capacity of 4,500 ton, 1.6 million pieces

and 600,000 pieces of spare parts, industrial hand tools and cutlery respectively. With regard

to its production rate, the company has a capacity of producing 600 ton/year, and it has a plan

to produce 38,673 tons for the melting process. With this rate of production, the company has

planned to register a total paid-up capital of 1,016,633,156 Birr (one billion, sixteen million,

six hundred thirty-three thousand one hundred and fifty-six).

The company uses technologies such as casting technology, heat treatment, machine

technology, electroplating, green sand molding no bake system, production of steel with

furnace (electric arc furnaces, basic oxygen furnaces) and medium frequency induction

furnace.

The company uses its sales shop in the capital to distribute its products to major customers

mainly to government-owned institutions such as sugar factories, power companies, cement

factories and construction companies.

46

In general, from the profiles of the selected industries above, one can get a general picture of

the status of steel industries in Ethiopia. The description is limited to these industries as these

are believed to be sufficient to reflect the current profiles of most steel industries in the

country. Based on site observations, primary and secondary data, and previous studies (e.g.

KOICA, 2013), one can characterize the Ethiopian steel industry as an industry that is „made

up of a few large producers and very many small firms producing in extremely small

quantities‟ (KOICA, 2013).

4.1.2 Enabling capabilities of local steel industries Even though the status of steel industries in Ethiopia is at its infant stage, there are significant

locally created capabilities by some industries that can be used as a stepping stone for further

development and transformation of this subsector. For example, the following insightful

capabilities have been already created in some of local steel industries:

a) METEC o Attempt to automate manual machineries o Application of reverse engineering

o Attention given to excel in welding

o Manufacturing of spare parts that otherwise consume huge foreign currency (e.g.

for Sugar Industry, Fertilizer Industry, The Grand Renaissance Dam)

o Building human ware competency in engineering and technology though pre-

service and in-service training

o Created managerial competency in decision making, planning, monitoring and

pioneering in technology intensive products

o Initiation of R&D activities (prototype, designing and researching in localizing)

b) Mesfin Industrial Engineering

o Producing spare parts for Mega projects such as accessories for the sugar

factories, and pipes for production (water, sugar cane, ...)

o production of tankers for fuel and water

o Manufacturing of trailer and semi-trailer

o Application of reverse engineering in heavy machineries and equipment

47

Summary of enabling capabilities of Ethiopian steel industries

Most of our steel industries are currently equipped with:

Scrap furnace

Cold & Hot Rolling Mill;

Machining; welding; forging, and

Manufacturing and assembling of new vehicles and trailers

Even though these medium-capacity instruments of scrap furnace and Cold & Hot Rolling

Mill had been initially established based on the type and quantity of products demanded by

the domestic market and the source of raw materials, there is an increasing domestic demand

for products that require Cold and Hot Rolling Mills of high capacity and Heavy Section. In

order to fill out these gaps, new industries are being established in the country.

The engineering industry is predominantly equipped with conventional machineries.

Recently, however, CNC (Computerized numerical control) machines, which are capable to

manufacture machinery parts that demand high level of sophistication and precision, have

been introduced. In addition to this, assemblies of new vehicles and manufacturing of trailers

have been established. As a result, the technological capacity of the sub-sector is being built.

The fact that the engineering industry is being equipped with the state of the art, building the

capacity of its professionals, and building production capacity with competitive price, and

materials that demand sophistication and precision is an indication of the presence of high

demand to move with the technology.

Even though the demand for capacity building and becoming the owner (user) of new

technology is taken as strength, the major challenge is the existence of skill gap in human

power capacity in utilizing the existing high level machines, a situation which can deter the

provision of products with the desired quantity and quality for the market created by

development programs. Because of skill gap in managing and utilizing the technology, it has

been impossible to replace imported products with domestic products by improving product

quality, productivity and competitiveness.

48

4.1.3 Regional distribution of steel industry

According to the Central Statistics Agency (2007 E.C), there were 241 small, medium and

large scale industries in the sub-sector. The geographical distribution of these industries

indicates that Addis Ababa City Administration contributes a share of 38.59% of the total

number of establishments, whereas Oromia, Tigray, SNNP, Amhara and Dire Dawa regions

contribute a share of 22.8%, 13.69%, 13.69%, 4.15% and 4.98% respectively.The fact that

the distribution of these industries is more concentrated in Addis Ababa and Oromia is

attributed to a number of factors such as market demand and infrastructure facilities.

On the other hand, it is possible to show the distribution of large and medium scale

manufacturing industries by regional states and industrial group, both public and private, as

indicated in the table below.

49

Table 19: Distribution of major industrial by regional states (2007 E.C)

Industrial Group Regional States Total

100%

Tigray Amhara Oromia E.Somalia Benshan. S.n.n.p.r Harari A/Ababa Dire-Dawa Manufacture of basic iron and steel 10 1 11 - - - - 13 3 38 15.77 Manufacture of fabricated metal products except Machinery and equipment

19 9 32 3 1 33 1 68 7 173 71.78

Manufacture of machinery & equipment N.E.C. 2 - 8 - - - - 9 2 21 8.71

Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers& semi-trailers 2 - 4 - - - - 3 - 9 3.73

Total 33 10 55 3 1 33 1 93 12 241 100.00 % 13.69 4.149 22.82 1.245 0.41 13.69 0.41 38.59 4.98 100

Source: CSA 2007 As can be seen from the table, most of the industrial groups are located in Addis Ababa (93) followed by Oromia (55) and Tigray (33). It is

surprising to see that there is only one type of industrial group in the SPNN, i.e.Manufacture of Fabricated Metal Products except Machinery and

equipment (T=33) even though the region is one of the biggest regions in the country. Moreover, the Amhara Region has only 10 industries in

only 3 industrial groups.

Generally, an even distribution of industries among regions is lacking, and this situation implies the need for some intervention to somehow

balance the regional distribution of the industries among regions.

50

Figure 14: 2006 E.C industrial distributions of steel industries

4.2 An overview of performance of steel industries

On the basis of onsite observations and quantitative and qualitative data generated by the

project team on various steel industries, it is possible to make an overall assessment of steel

firms and industries in the country and indicate their current level of performance.

As stated earlier, Ethiopia has around 241private and state owned small and large scale steel

industries. Among the whole existing industries, primary data were collected through onsite

observationsand questionnaires, while secondary data were obtained from different firms and

industries which were purposively selected by their product type, production process, size

and installed production capacity. Data were also collected from varies ministries,

institutions, agencies and authorities. The following sections highlight the capacity and

performance of these and other industries in terms of major performance indicators by taking

into account such factors as human power capacity, raw materials, technological capacity,

production trend and value chain.

51

4.2.1 Human resource capacity

Even though the capacity in raw material provision is necessary for the steel industry, the

human power that operates on those resources is decisive and it should be taken into due

consideration. In addition to producing citizens equipped with basic knowledge, technical and

vocational training institutions and universities need to focus on skill upgrading and prepare

competent workforce which can utilize and transfer up-to-date technologies in the steel and

engineering sub-sector.

Based on the data obtained from the Central Statistics Agency (2004) on medium and large

sale industries and the information from industries covered in a study by MIDI, the number

of the human power engaged in various industries of the subsector over the last five years is

as follows.

Table 20: Human resource in metal and engineering subsector

R.N Type of the subsector Human power engaged in the subsector (E.C)

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

1 Basic metal industry 4,039 4,963 6644 7158 7706 8206

2 Fabrication industries other than machinery and equipment

10,115 6266 151498 16320 17569 18709

3 Machinery and equipment product industry

873 653 1063 1145 1233 1313

4 Vehicles and trailers industry 1,679 1,626 3721 4008 4315 4995

Total 16,706 13,508 26,577 28,632 30,823 32823

Source፡MIDI, 2007 The data collected by the institute indicates that the human workforce engaged in the

subsector constitutes 26,577 in 2004, 28,632 in 2005, 30,823 in 2006 and approximately

32,823 in 2007. As can be understood from these figures, the number of the workforce

joining the subsector has increased over the last three years with an average of over 2000

workers entering the subsector yearly.

On the other hand, data were gathered in the present project with regard to the number of job

opportunities created in various job positions providing employment for 17136 workers.

From the total number of employees in the sector, 2.6% are managerial staff, 24.47%

administrative support staff, 4.41% permanent local engineers, 31.92% permanent local

52

technical experts, 0.24% permanent expatriates and 36.6% temporary workers. From the

data, we can see that a more significant proportion of the workforce is composed of

administrative support staff and permanent local technical experts, and only negligible

numbers of engineers are engaged in the subsector. This implies the need for running the

industry with more qualified workforce such as engineers through employment or by

upgrading the professional qualification of the existing employees.

The human resource demand of steel industry cannot be satisfied by local employees alone

taking into consideration the low level of capacity the local human resource. The presence of

appropriate expatriate staffamong the local staff in the industry has a tremendous importance

in knowledge, skills and technology transfer thereby creating a better human resource

capacity and labor productivity. To this end, it is necessary to identify the degree of

participation of expatriate workers in various job positions of the steel industry.

53

Table 21: Comparison of local and expatriate employees (2003-2006 EC) Total number of employments of the sector

Types of

employee/year

2003 2004 2005 2006 local expat %

expat total local expat %

expat total local expat %

expat total local expat %

expat Total

Permanent production(Ethiopian and expatriate)

6932 64 0.92 6,996 7,747 71 0.91 7,818 14359 89 0.61 14,448 13,422 163 1.2 13,585

Seasonal and temporary 1201 _ _ 1,201 962 _ _ 962 1,147 _ _ 1,147 49,867 _ _ 49,867

Technical and supportive(Ethiopian and expatriate)

3,862 40 1.03 3,902 4,036 25 0.61 4,036 5,533 44 0.79 5,577 5,630 60 1.05 5,690

Total employment 11,995 104 0.86 12,099 12,745 96 0.75 12,816 21,039 133 0.62 21,172 68,919 223 0.32 69,142 Source: CSA (2007E.C), ECA (2007E.C)

As we can see from the data, the number of expatriate staff has grown from 104 in 2003 to 223 in 2006 although it is not clear from the data

whether or not this number was satisfactory to meet the requirement of the industry. Clearly, although priority should go to create job

opportunity for a much greater proportion of native workforce than foreigners, the engagement of the latter in the industry is undoubtedly

beneficial particularly from the perspective of skill and technology transfer.

54

It is clear that currently the following engineering and science fields of studies are offered in

most Ethiopian universities: Chemical Engineering, Mechanical Engineering, Automotive

Engineering, Agricultural Machinery Engineering, Applied Geology and Applied Chemistry.

These are general fields of studies which are not specific to iron and steel industries. In other

words, fields of study such as Mining, Metallurgy, Foundry, Alloy, and Materials Science

and Engineering, which are specific toiron and steel industries, are not provided in most of

our universities. Only Metallurgy (Defense University) and Materials Science and

Engineering (being offered at ASTU and Jima Universities for the first time) are currently

offered in Ethiopian academic institutions. Other than this, there is no steel-specific training

in our universities. For example, one of the key informants in the interview (an expert in steel

industry) has indicted that we do not have any training institute on welding, and neither do

we have certified welders. According to the informant, the companies employ professional

welders from the neighboring and other African countries and even from India. Similarly,

there is no institute that gives specific training on melting. There is nothing on foundry

operation and rolling mill, which requires its own specialty. This situation affects the quality

control of the product and productivity. Therefore, specific training is necessary on these

areas. According to this expert, there should be training targeting specific skills workers are

supposed to have in order to perform their duties competently. Since technology changes

from time to time, there should be dynamic and relevant education system.

However, the experiences of some of the BRICS countries, such as India, China and Brazil

indicate that steel-specific courses are widely offered in their universities. In addition to these

courses, short and long term, pre-service and in-service training is provided in the following

areas: Raw material preparation, Cock preparation, Sinter preparation, Iron making,Steel

making, Rolling and forging, Process control automation, Plant management along with

energy and environment, Production, Quality improvement and process and R& D on

machineries (furnace, forging and heat treatment etc.)

According to a key informant from MIDI, another challenge in connection with human power

is shortage of the workforce in the subsector as experienced workers often leave industries

because of a number of reasons such as better benefits, better working conditions, and

location advantages. So, there is shortage of skilled human resource since there is high

turnover, particularly among TVET graduates.

55

4.2.2 Raw materials

Ethiopian steel industries do not rely on iron ore from the local market, but they

predominantly import raw materials such as furnace oil, billets, and additives, rolled strip and

galvanized steel. They get only scrap and small amount of semi-finished products from the

local market. However, the availability of the scrap in the local market is not enough; as a

result, most of the industries are using imported raw materials for producing different steel

products. Besides, there is a big concern with the low quality of scrap (which is grade 40)

used by industries. According to an expert from steel industry, this is due to lack of

knowledge and skill in determining the combination: light scrap, medium scrap and heavy

scrap and whether it is cast iron or pure steel or thin scrap. These combinations should be

taken into account when importing scrap, and this requires knowledge and skill rather than

technology.

This situation has resulted in heavy reliance on importing raw materials rather than exploring

potential local resources. Even though there is no iron ore processing plant, the country has

iron ore potentials that can be explored to ease the heavy dependence on imports. For the

details of iron ore potentials of the country (quantity, location and type of the ore), see Annex

1.

56

Table 22 Coal and limestone distribution

As stated above, most of raw materials used in the steel industries in Ethiopia including

scraps are imported from various parts of the world. The table below presents scraps and

major types of raw materials imported over the last five years.

4.2.2.1 Local and imported raw materials

A comparison of local and imported raw materials is necessary in order to have a more

complete understanding of the magnitude of our reliance on local resources on the one hand

and on various types of imported raw materials on the other. The following table compares

the quantity of various local and imported raw materials (in tons) for 5 consecutive years

(2002-2006 EC). It is also possible here to identify the quantity of raw materials consumed

during these years and the trend of consumption.

No Mineral type Area (province) Name of deposits Minerals (Mt)

1

Lime stone

Tigray Messebo Limestone 69.5

Shewa Mugher Limestone 50.0

Shewa Kella Limestone 2.6

E.Harareghe Hakim Gara 90.0

E.Harereghe Dire Dawa 46.00

E.Harareghe Delgachebsi 3.25

Amhara and Oromia Jemma limestone 1110.0

Wonchiti 2270

Total 3641.35

2 Coal Illubabour Yayu Coal 121

Jimma Delbi Coal 14.00

Jimma Moye Coal 27.00

Gondar Chilga Coal 19.70

Wello Wuchale Coal 3.30

W.Wellega Nejo Coal 3.00

Shewa Mush Valley Coal 0.30

Dowero/SNNPR Gojeb-Chida Coal 9.38

Total 197.68

3 Natural gas Arba-minch, Ogaden 4.7 trillion cubic feet

57

Table 23 Comparison of local and imported raw materials (ton) Description of article

2002E.C 2003E.C 2004E.C 2005E.C 2006E.C

Local Imported Total Local Imported Total Local Imported Total Local Imported Total Local Imported Total

Galvanized coils

- 4,647 4,647 - 1,420 1,420 - 1,128 1,128 400 4,174,792 4,175,192 - 92,210 92,210

Iron scarp 1,965 - 1,965 34,662 14 34,676 160 - 160 1,255 - 1,255 213 - 213

Steel sheets 38 9,365 9,403 52,417 810 53,227 94 6,864 6,958 - 629,670 629,670 - 195,681 195,681

Wire rod - 4,104 4,104 - 524 524 - 4,356 4,356 - 5,524 5,524 1,547 5,088 6,635

Zinc - 876 876 - 611 611 - - - 157 - 157 - 4,142 4,142

Iron (billet) - 1,969 1,969 1 6 7 12 7,351 7,363 166 14,759 14,925 8 66766 66774

Pig iron 1,275 1,275 152 530 682 6,167 2,259 8,426 5,686 2,216 7,902 100 151 251

Iron bars 7,676 5,923 13,599 262 1,826 2,088 53 349 402 23 5,360 5,383 573 - 573

Chemicals for metal

- 10,702 10,702 1 20 21 1 18 19 109 14 123 89 5 94

58

Unsurprisingly, the quantity of imported raw materials outweighs that of local resources for

almost all types of raw materials indicated in the table except for local scraps. If we look at

scraps, we can see a tendency of decreasing in consumption across the years especially

beginning from 2004. This could be due to lack of scraps or unwise use of scraps as one of

limited local raw materials for our steel industry.

In addition to the aforementioned imported materials, a considerable quantity of spare parts is

imported from various countries. The following table shows the amount of spare parts

imported from 2002 to 2006 EC.

Table 24: Imported spare parts (ton) from 2002-2006

Year Quantity (ton)

2002 3,409.917

2003 3,667.661

2004 3,097.207

2005 5,713.651

2006 1,945.500

The information in the table shows that there was no steady growth in imported spare parts

nor was the growth significant over the years except some leap in 2005, which was followed

by a sudden and sharp drop in 2006. This sudden drop of imported spare parts can be put

down to a number of factors such as substitution by local products.

4.2.3 Technological capacity

Technological capacity of an industry can be considered in terms of material resources used

in the process of production on the one hand, and knowledge, skills, expertise, and creativity

of employees involved in the process, on the other hand. Furthermore, it can be assessed by

human resource development endeavors of industries such as provision of continuous skill

upgrading. Above all, technological capacity should be viewed from the industry‟s R & D

activities which are essential to its development and transformation.

59

In the light of these components of technology, attempts have been made in this project to

assess the steel industries in terms of their infrastructure, skilled workforce, human resource

development initiatives, and R&D activities.

Most of the steel industries are equipped with outdated technologies, but a few industries

have been observed using latest technologies. Among the technologies which are used for

melting of scraps are induction and electric arc furnace with lower capacity. Imported billets,

coil wires, coil sheets and plates are processed through rolling, bending, and welding by

using hot rolled, cold rolled, EGA profiling line, sheering line, automatic machine, PLC,

CNC (Computerized numerical control) and automatic heat treatment to produce finished

products.

Most of the industries have reported the prevalence of skill gap and a number of other

impediments in relation to their human power, a situation which has a direct bearing on

technological capacity of the industries. Major challenges which confront them in this regard

are:

Low job satisfaction among employees and subsequent high turnover;

Low productivity due to faction and absenteeism;

Lack of educated and skilled human power;

Shortage of human power on quality audit of products;

As regards human resource development, the industries have reported both opportunities and

challenges. Some of the favorable conditions reported are:

Knowledge and skill transfer to new employees through in-house training by own

senior and qualified staff;

Upgrading employees‟ academic qualification;

Providing on-the-job training opportunities to produce own qualified human power;

Knowledge and technology transfer from expatriates;

Knowledge and technology transfer during copying of products;

However, the industries also experience a range of impediments that deter their efforts to

increase their technological capacity through capacitating their human power. The major

challenges confronting the industries in this regard are:

Lack of continuous or periodical training;

High turnover;

60

Insufficient budget allocation for training ;

Lack of policy in general and a policy for knowledge and technology transfer in

particular;

Lack of using reverse engineering for knowledge and skill transfer;

Shortage of dedicated human power and lack of management commitment;

Lack of well-organized coaching and monitoring practices

As stated above, one of the factors that determine the level of technological capacity of an

industry is the presence and effectiveness of its R&D. During onsite visits and data

collection, it was found out that most of the industries have no R&D department except

METEC, the largest corporation in Ethiopia with a good stand in steel-related production. In

fact, the corporation also plays a leading role, not only in R&D but also in overall technology

transfer activities. In accordance with the information obtained from a key informant from

the corporation, METEC first considers the appropriateness of a technology for the country in

terms of solving technological deficiencies. Then, the source of the technology is considered,

that is, whether it is available locally or globally and whether it is vertical or horizontal. It is

then expected that the required technology transfer and development will take place. This

means that the technology is adapted by using innovation, and in this process, knowledge and

the patent ownership is claimed. In METEC, they carry out the technology transfer process in

many ways.

1. Coproduction: using available design technology and being innovative in production

technology;

2. Under license production: producing locally on behalf of foreign companies using their

brand, patent, and design;

3. Reverse engineering: focusing on the production system while making modification on

the product as it may lead to a question of license, otherwise;

4. Acquisition: obtaining technology through purchasing especially from bankrupt

companies;

5. Expert-based: technology transfer by creating experts, working collaboratively with

foreign companies, and creating joint venture

Generally, every technology transfer involves certain process of technology innovation as it

is impossible to transfer technology through mere imitation. Regarding R&D in METEC, it is

conducted in this direction. Even whenever the R&D personnel travel abroad for various

61

reasons, they are expected to observe and bring home the best practices in R&D. Besides,

there are different centers of excellence in relation to R&D.

Regarding the nature of R&D in Ethiopia, an experienced expert from the steel industry

believes that it is mismanaged in our country. According to him, R&D should normally be

well managed from idea generation up to marketing, but the research conducted in this sector

is endless and it is not result-oriented.

Again, the expert emphasizes the necessity of integrating the technology package within the

country and utilizing it through capable citizens of the country. This is also another way of

promoting knowledge and technology transfer, and this requires support from the government

side. There are many workshops that have huge hardware that can work on quality, but they

do not have a design house and this is a problem of many of them. If there is a design house,

it is possible to manufacture many things locally. There is a need to push and provide support

in this area as well. Overall, the government needs to support the industries intensively in

finance, human resource and technology.

4.2.4 Ethiopian steel industries value-chain

Based on the observation of the study team, most of the steel products currently produced in

Ethiopia can be classified as downstream products, which use easy production technology.

The finding of this study is compatible with the study conducted by JICA (2010). The detail

process of Ethiopian steel industry value chain is summarized in the following figure.

62

Section

mill

Imported

Electric Arc Furnace

(EAF)

RollingScrap Continuous casting Main products

Raw

Mat

eria

ls

Slab

Bloom

Billet

Hot

dire

ct ro

lling

Plate mill

Cold rolled coil & sheet

Welled pipe

Plate

Wire rod

Seamless mill

Rail

Shape

Bar

Wire rod mill

Seamless pipe mill

Welded Pipe mill

Cold rolling

Rolled Sheet

Rolled Coil

Plate

Sheet pile

Ethiopian Value-chain of Steel making process

Figure 15: Value chain of Ethiopian steel industries

63

4.3 Production trend of steel industries/firms The local steel industry products can be classified as flat, long and round products. As shown

below, these products can be manufactured for various sectors which utilize most of the steel

products. The total annual production capacity of local steel industries was 1.378Mt in 2006 E.C

and it was estimated to be 1.486 Mt in 2007 E.C (MIDI, 2007 E.C). On top of that, there are also

firms that produce indirect steel products such as assembly of automobiles, trailer, tractor and

their accessories.

According to an expert from steel industry, based on global definition, crude steel, continuous

casting steel, and heavy casting are input for other industries. Finished product is an additional

field. In Ethiopia, there is no industry that produces crude steel. That is to say, there is no

industry that supplies input for subsequent industry by taking iron ore or mixing it with scrap and

other raw materials such as coal and limestone. Continuous casting steel producers are also

limited: only three out of the twelve mills. Even these three mills are small in size and they have

low speed. It is possible to conclude that such technology has not yet entered the country. There

is no heavy casting for billet production and machinery parts. Akaki Spare Parts cannot be

considered as steel company according to world-class definition. In short, Ethiopian is at

infantile stage in steel sector technology. Yet, unless the country is determined and begins using

these technologies, the steel sub-sector will reach nowhere. Fifty per cent of the country‟s

foreign currency is consumed by this sector.

Concerning the past performance of the industry, the capacity was 12,000 ton per annum (as

there was only one industry). Now, the capacity has reached more than 1,000,000 ton per year as

twelve mills have been established. Unfortunately, the technology has not shown radical change.

The 12 industries simply duplicated the old technology; they haven‟t introduced a breakthrough

in technology.

4.3.1 Local production by sector

Local steel industries can also be classified in terms of the sector for which they mainly

manufacture their products: Construction, Engineering & Machinery, Motor Vehicle and

Agricultural Equipment industries.

64

i. Construction sub-sector

This subsector is one of the rapidly expanding development sectors in the country. The ongoing

construction of mega projects such as hydroelectricity dams, railways, and bridges can be cited

as large scale development projects in the construction sector. Moreover, private and state

buildings and residential housesare flourishing in cities and towns all over the country. In a

nutshell, the construction sector is booming amazingly.

As steel is one of the major construction materials in this aggressively growing economy, its

supply should cope with its constantly increasing local demand through importing steel products

and producing some materials in the country. In this regard, it is vital to identify construction

materials or products that are fabricated using locally created capacity. The table that follows

displays various construction products made in the country and the quantity of their production

during a period of five years (2002-2006 EC).

Table 25: Local construction sub-sector products

No Name of products Unit 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006

1. Iron Bars tons 16,674 30,279 9,216 19,173 6,252

2. Wires ,, 8,792 7,846 2,693 1,024 102,445

3. Nails ,, 1,520 10,663 26,544 47,817 31,272

4. Iron Sheets ,, 464,304 147,299 80,845 240,744 185,345

5. Metallic Door SQ.M 106,379 29,674 30,217 5,142 514,224

6. Metallic Window SQ.M 95,525 12,843 12,533 13,024 18,515

Source: CSA (2007E.C)

Although these products may not serve heavy-duty construction, their contribution to medium-

level construction purposes, substituting imports and saving foreign currency cannot be

neglected. As can be seen from the table, the quantity of these products fluctuates from year to

year despite our expectation of a significant increase in quantities of these products from one

year to the other.

Reinforcement bar: Currently, there are about 11 operational industries which produce

reinforcement bar, with a total designed capacity of 1,191,860 tons per annum. The three

65

leading producers of this product are East Steel PLC, Steely RMI PLC, and Yesu PLC, each with

a design production capacity of 300,000, 270,000 and 180,000 tons respectively (MIDI, 2007).

Yet, if we compare the design production capacity of these industries with their actual

production during 2003-2007 EC, we see a big disparity between them as shown below.

Table 26: Design production capacity and actual production of major rebar producers

Name of industry Design production capacity in ton

Actual production (ton)

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

East steel PLC 300,000 0 0 0 32696.87 125,312.00

Steely RMI PLC 270,000 0 0 0 90,948 138,550.68

Yesu PLC 180,000 9,868.71 14,358.19 0 1,401.15 0.00

Source: CSA (2007E.C); MIDI (2007E.C); ECA (2007E.C) In fact, a similar trend is observed among many other rebar producing industries. This situation

clearly indicates a serious under capacity utilization of these industries.

According to MIDI (2007), there are 5 industries under the new project and expansion phase

with additional capacity of 1,751,500 tons. In 2007 EC, the actual production for reinforcement

bar industries was 386,270 tons, which is 32.41% compared with the designed production

capacity in the same year. The data below compare designed capacity (ton), actual production

(ton) and capacity utilization (%) of reinforcement bar for a period of 5 years (2003-2007 EC).

Table 27: design capacity and capacity utilization of rebar producing industries

Year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Designed capacity (ton) 390,671 424,112 432,097 1,191,860 1,191,860

Actual production(ton) 91,124.00 138,846 127,873.00 297,331.33 386,270

Production efficiency (%) 23 32 30 24.94 32

Source: CSA (2007E.C); MIDI (2007E.C); ECA (2007E.C) From this, we can understand that, even though they have relatively high design capacity, these

industries are currently operating with low capacity utilization. Corrugated iron sheet/EGA sheet:With regard to the design production capacity, actual

production, and capacity utilizationof industries of these local construction products,there are 6

66

galvanizing as well as corrugating industries with a designed production capacity of 327,855 tons

per year.There are also over 12 corrugating industries with a designed production capacity of

over 244,075 tons per year and around 5 pre-painted galvanized iron (PPGI) corrugating

industries with a designed production capacity of over 124,121 tons per year. This means that,

totally, there is a production capacity of more than 696,051 tons for corrugated iron sheets and

EGA sheets per year. Moreover, there are 2 industries under a project phase with a production

capacity of 200,000 tons. However, when the production efficiency of these industries is

considered, it can be concluded that there are operating very much under their capacity or with

very low capacity utilization. In 2006 EC, the actual production for corrugated iron sheets/EGA

sheets industries was 144,187.74 tons which is 20.72% compared with the designed production

capacity.

Comparison of local and imported construction products

When we compare the quantity of local and imported construction products during a period of

four years (2003-2006 EC), it appears that there is no significant difference in the quantity of

local products and imported products. In the following figure, we can see that, in some years, the

quantity of the former outweigh that of the latter.

Figure 15: Comparison of local and imported products of construction sector in Mt Source: CSA (2007E.C); MIDI (2007E.C); ECA (2007E.C)

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ii. Engineering and Machinery

The Engineering and Machinery subsector comprises industries which produce machines, spare

parts, bolts and nuts, transformers, crown corks, and other products. One of the major of these

industries is Hibret Manufacturing Industry, which is engaged in manufacturing of major

construction and machinery products such as different conventional lathe, CNC milling machine,

high value spare parts and products of capital instruments and aggregates. Overall, the industry

has manufactured 1,324,530 different products from 2003-2007E.C.

The following table summarizes information related tothe production of major local engineering

and machinery products by all industries (production in million tons and production efficiency)

over the last 5 years.

Table 28: Major local engineering and machinery products (2003-2007)

Major products Production (Mt) & efficiency (%)

Production year (E.C) 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Armaments, machinery, spare parts, transformer assembly

Production in Mt 0.161 0.224 0.271 0.331 0.426 Efficiency (%) 25.76 31.78 45.08 36.88 45.16

Source: CSA (2007E.C); MIDI (2007E.C); ECA (2007E.C)

As can be seen from the table, both production quantity and efficiency have increased every

year. While production quantity increased by 0.06625 Mt on the average between 2003 and

2007, production efficiency increased by 4.85%. Even though this increasing trend in production

is encouraging, the rate of efficiency is so negligible.

In the figure that follows, the percentage of overall engineering and machinery products (both

local and imported) consumed over a period of 4 years (2003-2006 EC) is presented.

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Figure 16: Steel industry products of engineering and machinery sector

Source: CSA (2007E.C); MIDI (2007E.C); ECA (2007E.C)

Comparison of local and imported engineering machinery products A comparison of local and imported engineering machinery products is necessary in order to

have a more complete understanding of the contribution of our industries in manufacturing these

products as compared to imported products. The following table compares the quantity of

various local and imported raw materials (in Mt) for 4 consecutive years (2003-2006 EC). It is

also possible here to identify the quantity of raw materials consumed during these years and the

trend of consumption.

Table 29: Comparison of local and imported products of engineering machinery

2003 2004 2005 2006

Local (Mt)

Import (Mt)

Total (Mt)

Local (Mt)

Import (Mt)

Total (Mt)

Local (Mt)

Import (Mt)

Total (Mt)

Local (Mt)

Import (Mt)

Total (Mt)

0.224 0.015 0.239 0.272 0.001 0.273 0.331 0.018 0.349 0.427 0.015 0.442

Source: CSA (2007E.C); MIDI (2007E.C); ECA (2007E.C)

As seen clearly from the data, the quantity of local products is much greater than that of imported

products. What is more, the production quantity increased steadily between 2003 and 2006, and

on the average, the production of these products increased by about 0.0677 Mt during these

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years. Putting both local and imported products together, we can also see that the consumption

grew from 0.239 Mt in 2003 to 0.442 Mt in 2004, with a difference in growth of consumption of

0.218 Mt products.

iii. Motor vehicle and agricultural equipment

It is obvious that the production process of this sector requires more advanced technology, skills,

and design &production capacity. In Ethiopia, the major industries engaged in assembling of

motor vehicle and agricultural machineries are Mesfin Industrial Engineering, Bishoftu

Automotive Engineering, Agricultural Machinery Industry, Maru PLC, Belay AB PLC, Lifan

motors and Nigat Mechanical Engineering PLC.

To illustrate the products of this sub-sector, two industries, namely, Bishoftu Automotive

Industry and Adama Agricultural Machinery Industry, which are engaged in production of a

variety of vehicles and agricultural machinery, are shown in the table below.

Table 30Vehicle and agricultural products

Name of the industry

Type of products/ Types of vehicle

Number of vehicle assembled per year 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Bishoftu Automotive Industry

Heavy duty vehicles 486 357 297

Bus 389 280 131 328

Light duty vehicles 227 516 428 330

Total 1,102 1,153 559 955

Adama Agricultural Machinery Industry

Tractor 444 4956 1943 986 1031

Implement 284 1407 2179 2056 1624

Water pump - 1078 3718 1681 310

Total 728 7,441 7,840 4,723 2,965

Source: CSA (2007E.C); MIDI (2007E.C); ECA (2007E.C)

In general, the production and efficiency of the motor vehicle and agricultural equipment sector

is summarized as follows.

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Table 31: Steel industry products of motor vehicle and agricultural equipment sector

Sector name

Major products Production year (E.C) 2003 2004 2005 2006

Vehicles

Leaf springs, dump truck, trailers, cargo body, van body, fuel tank, car assembly and other engineering works

Production in Mt

0.045 0.003 0.022 0.009

Efficiency (%)

32.91 11.4 35.20 44.33

Comparison of local and imported motor vehicle and agricultural equipment products A comparison of local and imported motor vehicle and agricultural equipment products is

necessary in order to have a more complete understanding of the contribution of our industries in

manufacturing these products as compared to imported products. The following table and figure

compare the quantity of various local and imported raw materials (in Mt) for 4 consecutive years

(2003-2006 EC). It is also possible here to identify the quantity of motor vehicle and agricultural

equipment products consumed during these years and the trend of consumption. Table 32 Comparison of local &imported products of motor vehicle &agricultural equipment

2003 2004 2005 2006 Local (Mt)

Import (Mt)

Total (Mt)

Local (Mt)

Import (Mt)

Total (Mt)

Local (Mt)

Import (Mt)

Total (Mt)

Local (Mt)

Import (Mt)

Total (Mt)

0.03 0.091 0.121 0.022 0.119 0.141 0.009 0.174 0.183 0.0075 0.014 0.0215

Figure 17:local and imported products of motor vehicle and agricultural equipment Source: CSA (2007E.C); MIDI (2007E.C); ECA (2007E.C)

As seen clearly from the data, the quantity of imported products is much greater than that of local

products.

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Table 33 Aggregate expenditure on imported raw materials and steel products S/No 2002 net

weight(ton) 2002 CIF value(ETB)

2003 net weight(ton)

2003 CIF value(ETB)

2004 net weight(ton)

2004 CIF value(ETB)

2005 net weight(ton)

2005 CIF value(ETB)

1. Vehicles 48,685 4,226,199,688 74,060 7,874,458,178 88,695 9,728,170,294 113,650 12,189,131,377 2. Earth moving 13,390 1,143,623,729 15,641 1,456,090,311 25,146 3,169,160,672 53,239 5,823,830,084 3. Spare parts 3,410 477,620,577 3,668 478,287,379 3,097 550,494,424 5,714 1,016,464,501 4. Transformers 9,349 779,823,519 4,596 1,040,036,576 3,169 376,012,539 9,437 1,488,757,437 5. Manufacturing

equipment 362 37,423,206 4,890 164,776,520 793 199,606,654 1,249 85,629,814

6. Tractors 1,922 234,636,081 1,550 205,093,536 5,092 620,283,144 7,575 980,903,301 7. Electronics

equipment 7 9,053,202 7 9,142,146 5 1,979,452 9 6,094,087

8. Raw materials 34,624 2,580,655 546 72,092,802 895 137,096,408 1,970 306,380,759 9. Wire rods 45,549 339,017,065 23,296 262,843,314 48,222 671,825,407 59,584 793,077,219 10. Reinforcement

bars 196,977 1,389,047,822 124,009 1,407,523,673 326,072 4,551,610,275 268,016 3,580,359,510

11. Corrugated iron sheets

24,538 321,315,690 8,396 150,600,331 10,874 218,411,030 26,992 512,975,893

12. Iron and non-alloyed steel wires

12,311 128,815,311 8,872 136,850,872 8,169 142,728,849 16,514 265,378,713

13. Crown Cork 2,221.75 80,285,977.80 1,943.86 90,425,330.55 2,659.68 142,912,115.65 2,488.66 133,419,073.21 14. Hollow sections 52,239 474,871,313 21,689 278,484,274 10,220 158,735,931 9,148 134,541,461

Aggregated 445,585 9,644,313,836 293,164 13,626,705,243 533,108 20,669,027,195 575,586 27,316,943,229

The major source countries of these imports are Turkey, China, Ukraine, Taiwan, Korea, Cote d'Ivoire, Kenya, Djibouti, Sudan, Italy,

Japan, Russia, Belarus, France, Germany, Spain, South Africa, UK, Egypt, Belgium, Tunisia, Australia, Netherlands, Israel, Indonesia,

Portugal, Zambia, Malaysia, Pakistan, Cuba, Denmark, Austria, Poland, Finland, Brazil, Czech Republic, Singapore, Cameroon,

Canada, Romania, Zimbabwe, Ghana, Botswana, and Congo.

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When it comes to financial implication, the country incurs a significant amount of foreign

currency equivalent to 9.6, 13. 836, 27.19 and 27.316 billion birr for the years 2002, 2003,

2004 and 2005 E.C respectively.

4.4 Challenges of the sub-sector

Figure 18: Challenges of steel industries of Ethiopia Source: CSA (2007)

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4.4.1 Challenges of Ethiopian steel industries in 2007E.C

Figure 19: Challenges of Ethiopian steel industries in 2007E.C Source: Own computation

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4.5 Gross value of products of iron and steel industries (public and private)

Table 34 gross value of products of iron and steel industries (public and private)

Industrial Group Gross value of production (in '000' ETB)

2003 2004 2005 2006

Manufacture of basic iron and steel 2,563,704 2,807,278 3,701,968 5,946,877

Manufacture of fabricated metal products except machinery and equipment

3,099,514 7,160,943 10,368,127 11,437,211

Manufacture of structural metal products, tanks, reservoirs and containers of metal

2,204,329 4,480,376 8,790,257 10,295,444

Manufacture of cutlery, hand tools and general hardware

78,022 100,904 26,235 39,112

Manufacture of other fabricated metal products 817,163 2,579,663 1,551,635 1,102,655

Manufacture of motor vehicles, trailers& semi-trailers

776,088 1,150,492 5,463,992 5,454,249

Manufacture of parts and accessories for motor vehicles and their engines

776,088 1,050,316 5,448,117 5,392,355

Manufacture of passenger cars, commercial vehicles and busses

- 100,176 15,875 61,894

Sub-sectors total gross value 6,439,306 11,118,713 19,534,087 22,838,337

% share of the subsector from manufacturing sector

12 11 17 18

TOTAL gross production of manufacturing sector 52,325,424 93,088,051 112,920,004 125,809,697

Source: CSA (2007 E.C)

As indicated in the above table the gross value of the sector reached about 23 billion birr in

2006 E.C. The contribution of manufacturing sub-sector to GDP in 2006E.C was about 5%,

while the share of iron and steel industry to the manufacturing sector was about 15% on

average.

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4.6 Value added

Table 35: Value added to national income

Industrial Group (at basic pricein '000' ETB)

2003 2004 2005 2006

Manufacture of basic iron and steel 522,863 506,894 585,824 672,445

Manufacture of fabricated metal products except machinery and equipment

1,053,082 1,298,594 1,887,289 1,983,442

Manufacture of structural metal products, tanks, reservoirs and containers of metal

295,467 895,278 1,572,033 1,744,579

Manufacture of cutlery, hand tools and general hardware

19,104 40,989 1,422 13,743

Manufacture of other fabricated metal products 776,719 362,327 313,834 225,120

Manufacture of motor vehicles,trailers& semi-trailers

156,577 493,099 1,381,488 456,164

Manufacture of parts and accessories for motor Vehicles and their engines

156,577 477,132 1,367,643 435,963

Manufacture of passenger cars, commercial vehicles, and busses

- 15,967 13,844 20,200

Sub sector total value added 1,732,522 2,298,587 2,929,277 3,112,051

%share of Value added to manufacturing sector

11 13 11 9

TOTAL Value added by manufacturing sector 14,723,186 17,161,007 25,179,723 32,093,308

Source: CSA (2007 E.C)

As depicted on the above table, the value added of the sector to themanufacturing sector is

about 11% on average and does not show significant growth rate over the years under

consideration (from 2003-2006). On the contrary, it even sharply decreased in the year 2006.

4.7 Market trend of steel industry in Ethiopia

It was observed, during onsite visits and data collection, that the domestic market trend has

indicated an increase throughout the last 5 years (2003 – 2007E.C.). On the contrary, none of

the visited industry and firm has reported any export of its products. This shows that the

export market trend of Ethiopian steel industry for the last 5 consecutive years was

negligibledue to a number of unfavorable conditions such as scarcity of raw materials,

unused potential of country resources, lack of global competitiveness, lack of skilled

workforce, and lack of technological advancement.

The steel markets are considered to be under-developed in terms of both quality and quantity,

with potential to strengthen domestic enterprises.

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On the other hand, the informants who participated in the in-depth interview have indicated

that the government has to set clear market entry and exit strategy for the industry in all

aspects (product quality, environmental standards, technology, etc.) and strict standards for

imported steel products that harm the domestic industry and the national interest. Moreover,

they have also recommended the need for strong cooperation and coordination among

regulatory bodies to implement these activities. The informants have also raised the issues of

gradual outward-oriented marketing strategies through developing their competitive

capabilities as there is huge potential market from neighboring courtiers since most of them

are steel importers. For example, according to the informants, the Ethiopian steel industries

are not competitivecurrently in terms of both quality and cost. Even in quantity, they have

low capacity utilization and low production quantity. This again limits their level of

competitiveness. If we consider their real exchange rate, their production cost in raw

materials, fuel, and other imported input is in hard currency. The industries are also poorly

competitive in real exchange rate as everything comes from abroad.

4.7.1 Domestic market share of local industries by product type

Table 36: Domestic market share of local industries by product type

Types of products 2003E.C 2004 E.C 2005 E.C 2006 E.C

Corrugated iron sheet/EGA sheet 91% 92% 86% 76%

Reinforcement bar 42% 30% 32% 55%

Hallow section 49% 80% 85% 79%

Nails and wires 49.06% 34.54% 35.08% 29.69%

Machinery and equipment‟s 96.79% 93.86% 96.52% 94.74%

Vehicles 3.20% 15.42% 5.15% 34.21%

Average 55.27% 57.64% 56.63% 61.44%

4.7.2 Indirect trade of steel products

According to the Steel Statistical Yearbook (2015), indirect trade in steel represents the

amount of steel exported or imported through trade in steel containing goods and is expressed

in finished steel equivalent of products used.

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Table 37: Indirect imports and exports of steel (2004-2013)

Imports/Exports Years (2004-2013) thousands of ton

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Indirect imports 110 185 254 280 291 351 412 339 302 263

Indirect exports 2 0 0 3 3 4 7 3 1 0

Indirect Net Exports of Steel

-108 -184 -254 -277 -287 -346 -405 -336 -301 -263

Source: SSY (2015)

4.8 Trends of different steel per capita consumption

In GTP I, it had been planned to increase the annual per capita consumption of the country

from 12 kg in 2002 to 34.72kg at the end of the plan. Although the implementation of per

capita consumption seems unsuccessful during the GTP 1 period as compared to its plan, it

has grown from 12 kg in 2002 to 25.68 in 2007.

Table 38: Growth of steel per capita consumption during GTP I

Description Fiscal Year

2002 initial year

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007* Average

(2003-2007)

Average per capita consumption plan in kg

12

14.23

17.78

22.23

27.75

34.72

23.34

Performance average per capita consumption in Kg.

- 9.73 14.6 17.75 20.36 25.68 18

Performance average per capita consumption in %

- 68.4% 82.1% 79.9% 73.4% 73.96% 27.91%

*Note: The calculation of steel per capita consumption is based on the amount of steel

imported and local scrap consumed for production. The performance of the 2007 FY is

estimation.

Considering that Ethiopia‟s economy is among the top performing economies in Sub-Saharan

Africa and the economy is expected to grow in double digits for the foreseeable future, it is

quite reasonable to expect that Ethiopia‟s per capita steel consumption in about 10 years‟

time will reach at least consumption level of middle income countries.

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The data summarized in the tables below are adapted from the latest edition of Steel

Statistical Yearbook (2015). The data are intended to demonstrate the recent trend in various

uses of steel in Ethiopia: apparent steel use and true steel use.

Apparent steel use involves apparent steel use (crude steel equivalent), apparent steel use

per capita (crude steel equivalent), apparent steel use (finished steel products) and apparent

steel use per capita (finished steel products).

Table 39: Apparent steel use

Types of steel use Years (2005−2014) (crude steel equivalent and finished steel products)

2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 Apparent steel use (crude steel equivalent) in thousands of ton

224 441 316 543 332 490 745 860 895

Apparent steel use per capita (kg crude steel) 2.8 5.5 3.8 6.4 3.8 5.5 8.1 9.1 9.2

Apparent steel use per capita(kg finished steel products)

2.6 5.1 3.5 5.9 3.5 5.1 7.5 8.5 8.6

Source: SSY (2015)

True steel use includes true steel use (finished steel equivalent) and true steel use per capita

(finished steel equivalent). Table 40: True steel use (2004−2013)

True steel use Years (2004−2013)

True steel use (finished steel equivalent) in thousand ton

2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

- - 461 686 581 852 715 793 996 1066

True steel use per capita (kg finished steel equivalent)

5.9 8.5 7.0 10.0 8.2 8.8 10.8 11.3

Source: SSY(2015) The summary of steel uses, as indicated on the above tables, shows that, in 2013,the true steel

use per capita and apparent steel use percapita of Ethiopia was 11.3 Kg and 9.2 Kg

respectively. This is very low when compared with the Africa avaerage (57.6 Kg) and world

average (249 Kg) of true steel use per capita. Again, true steel consumption per capita is very

low in Ethiopia as compared to lower middle income country like Kenya (39.4Kg) in the

same year.

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4.9 Investment in the sector The recent development and investment of the sector and list of licensed metal and metal

product investment projects from July 18, 2014 - April 01, 2015 G.C is summarized in the

following table.

Table 41: Investment in the subsector

Number of investor 42

Initial capital 541,290,000 birr

Permanent employee 1669 6116

Temporary employee 4447

The following table illustrate the list of licensed metal/steel investment projects from January. 01, 1992 to August 03, 2015. Table 42: List of licensed metal/steel investment

No Category of the investment Number 1 Foreign 48 2 local 332 3 Joint venture 10

4.10 Potential steel demand drivers in Ethiopia

The study team has analyzed the current situation of the county, future growth and

development directions and the practical situation on the ground regarding the steel

production and imports to come up with steel demand projection in Ethiopia. The main

criteria considered for this projection are:

1) Middle income countries average

The average consumption of apparent steel of selected middle income countries whose

experiences with regard to steel is discussed in the comparative analysis of the study

excluding China(for it is an upper middle income country) has been used. The counties

included are: South Africa, Nigeria, Kenya, Brazil, India and Africa average. The apparent

steel consumption of these countries was taken from the data by World Steel Association

(2014).

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2) Ethiopia‟s economic growth and transformation direction

It is clear that the Ethiopian government is determined to transform the economy from

agricultural-led to industry-led during the ongoing Growth and Transformation Plan of the

country.In the course of the entire process of economic growth and transformation of the

country, there is a huge demand for the steel sector products. The core demand drivers for the

steel industry are: expansion of infrastructures, establishment of industry parks (7.4 Mt for

the next ten years), continuous investment in mega projects, housing programs (4.9 million

houses for the next ten years) and so on. These drivers will escalate the demand for steel

products in the future.

Moreover, the manufacturing sector is given due attention as it is a key sector to ensure the

economic structural transformation that the country aspires for. As steel industry is a

component of the manufacture sector, it has to grow fast, at least parallel with the growth rate

of the manufacturing sector in order to contribute for the structural transformation of the

country. Taking the GTP II targets as a frame of reference, the manufacturing sector is

planned to register a growth rate of 24% per annum using base of 1.4859 Mt. The study team

used the manufacturing growth rate targets to project the steel per capita consumption by

2025.

3) Trend analysis of the steel consumption

In this approach, the assumption is that the steel per capita consumption of the country will

continue to grow in the coming years of growth and transformation. As data source, GTP I

performance evaluation of the steel per capita consumption was used for projection

(CAGR=15%) of the steel per capita by 2025.The assumption is thatthe pattern of the steel

consumption of Ethiopia continues with same trends in the upcoming years.Accordingly,

Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR), which is the most widely used method of

projecting time series trends of steel per capita consumption, has been employed to work out

the demand projection.

4) Using the industry roadmap target

It is clear that the country has an industry roadmap that puts the required level of industry

sector targets for the country to be among middle income countries by 2025. Steel industry is

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one of the sectors that the industry roadmap has projected, and this projection is used as a

reference for our demand projection of the sector.

The following table summarizes the methods employed for projection and the amount of

apparent steel use per capita and the total demand by 2025 using population projection of

CSA, 2012.

Table 43: Steel demand projection by 2025

Methods

used

Apparent steel per capita kg

Steel required

in Mt

Apparent steel per capita kg

Steel required

in Mt

Apparent steel per capita kg

Steel required

in Mt Remark

2015 2020 2025

Middle income country Average

61.61 7.03

Purposive choice of middle countries

World average

216.9 24.77

Economic growth direction (GTP)

25.6 1.49 43.47 4.35 111.82 12.77

Industrialization process continues to be the priority of the government

Steel consumption trends,

51.69 5.28 81.03 9.25

The current momentum will continue

Industry road map

81.41 8.32 190.91 21.8

Average 25.6 1.49 58.86 5.98 132.45 15.124

Source: own computation using (CSA, 2012; MIDI, 2015; GTP II; WSA, 2015)

4.11 Energy utilization When we come to the Ethiopian steel industry energy utilization, we observe that almost all

of the firms have no energy-efficient production process and none of them has the work

culture of preparing well organized energy audit report based on formal data.

Energy has two broad dimensions for steel producers. As an input factor, energy is a major

cost element, thus placing a premium on policies that will assure the availability and

competitive cost of needed energy sources. Particularly, as governments seek to reduce GHG

emissions /CO2-intense sources of supply, the GHG emissions in steelmaking are generated

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as one of the following: (1) process emissions in which raw materials and combustion may

contribute to CO2 emissions; (2) emissions from combustion sources alone; and (3) indirect

emissions from consumption of electricity (primarily in EAF and in finishing operations such

as rolling mills at both Integrated and EAF plants), they will need to ensure appropriate

replacement sources are available for industry. New sources of energy, both conventional and

non-conventional, also offer a major industrial opportunity for steel producers, e.g. new

pipelines, hydro plants, windmills, and attendant transmission systems. One part of the new

energy sources, “equation”, is the need to streamline project approval processes to advance

both environmental and economic interests in a timely manner. A sound, balanced mix of

policy will strengthen the competitive conditions for steelmaking in Ethiopia, so that Ethiopia

will continue to benefit from steel potential as an innovative.

Variations among various iron and steel making processes in energy consumption are shown

as follows.

Table 44: Energy consumption by process (GJ per ton) Process Blast furnace EAF DRI

Best Average Worst Best Worst

Coke making 3.5 4.3 7.7

Sintering /pelletizing 1.5 1.7 3.3

0.6

Iron making 14.8 17.4 22.2

11.7

Steel making 0.2 0.3 0.7 2.4 4.8 2.5

Casting 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1

Total 20.1 23.9 34.2 2.5 5.0 14.9

4.12 Environmental standards

In the present project, it was discovered that Ethiopian steel industries have little or no

environmental friendly practices and they use limited environmental friendly technologies on

their production process; hence, looking to the future, it is very important to design tools that

can drive new environmental regulations or policies from several perspectives. To this end,

both Ethiopian steel industries and the Environmental Protection Agency are expected to act

jointly, and important ingredient of environmental policy must be the development of new

technologies.

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In the following table, we can see that the amount of carbon dioxide emission varies

depending on the type of the technology employed.

Table 45: Emission of iron and steel making technologies Type of furnace Emission per ton of hot metal

Blast furnace 2 ton CO2

Direct reduced iron 0.65 - 0.53 ton of CO2

Electric arc furnace 0.058 ton CO2 (1/4 of BF)

4.13 Review of steel industry-related documents and studies

Policy formulation is a challenging process that involves various activities and actors.

Identification of policy issues needs to be supported with empirical evidence on its

existences, the likelihood of its future occurrence as well as its effects on the overall

performance or development of the sector/subsector. The existence of the issues and their

prediction should be described quantitatively and qualitatively using reliable and up-to-date

information. The evidence should also come from credible sources and should clearly justify

whether or not the problems or issues require policy. In the process of designating a given

policy, it is important to consult strategic stakeholders in specifying the objective of the

policy that should be reviewed periodically.

The effectiveness of a proposed policy is crucially influenced by the extent of the

effectiveness of various activities at different stages and its success is measured based on the

achievability of the targets set by that specific policy.

As there are various policy options to address a given problem, it is not only essential to

identify all possible options but one has to also be careful in selecting the policy from the

available alternatives. A number of criteria can be used to select a policy from different

options which should be evaluated based on their desirability, affordability and feasibility.

The criteria can be grouped into economic, equity, technical, political and administrative

aspects for further analysis before the policy is chosen for implementation from alternative

policy options.

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The main focus of this part is to analyze the role of steel industry in socioeconomic

development and the review of earlier national steel related government documents and

studies to addresses the gaps that can be used as input for the upcoming steel policy

formulation.

4.13.1 Roles of steel industries in economic growth and development

According to UNIDO (2011), the relative attractiveness of an industry can be evaluated in

three dimensions: the growth dimension (the economic growth potentials specific sectors

offer at a given development stage with certain endowment structures and technological

capabilities), the pro-poor dimension (ensuring equal opportunities for the poor to participate

in manufacturing, the employment effect of individual sectors and growth inclusiveness

aspects), and the environmental dimension (energy and material efficiency and resource

depletion).

Steel industry is identified as a fundamentally crucial for industrialization and development

of developing countries in particular mainly because of its many linkages, backward and

forwards contribution.

Without strong and vibrant growth in iron and steel industry, it is very difficult to transform

the economy particularly the manufacturing sector. For instance, Mohammed (2002) argues

that most countries developed their industrial bases by establishing viable steel industries,

began as a serious national project with the various governments taking an active interest in

steel products development. Further, Mundeda (1995) explained that engineering industry

drawing from the basic–metal and metalworking industries constitutes the central pillar of

industrial economy. For instance, Bigstenetet. al,(2010) found out that a single steel plant

with a capacity of producing 350,000 metric ton of steel per year can generate about 10,000

jobs not to mention the jobs created through other steel related activities.

So, the importance of steel industries for development cannot be exaggerated; overall, it has

been recognized as the engine of social and industrial transformation.

However, Steel industry is one of the pollutant industries and with a characteristic of

economies of scale, i.e., the increase of the market concentration can promote the effect of

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economies of scale and reduce the production cost and thus the international competitiveness

of the industry will be stronger in the international market. The study indicates that, a large

number of small companies do much harm to the environment due to the low production

capacity and the difficulty of environment monitoring (IDS, 2009).Porter's National Diamond

Model, is the classic paradigm Model to analyze the determinants of the industrial

competitiveness. According to this model, creating domestic fierce market competition can

improve the industry‟s international competitiveness and macroeconomic situations are the

opportunities for the industry development outside. In a weak domestic market competition,

the international competitiveness of the industry may be weak and in a strong domestic

market competition, companies may be prompt to perform better and better and go out to the

international market.

Currently, Africa is generally characterized by weak manufacturing industry and low

industrial activity that is attributable to the continent‟s poor infrastructure, low levels of

technological development and productivity, inadequate provision of power, water and

transportation, shortage of skills, difficult business environments and bureaucratic hurdle

(UNECA, 2014).

In the Ethiopian case too, steel industries have experienced serious problems which have not

allowed them to function effectively and efficiently. As a result, many of the steel factories

either failed to takeoff or are performing much lower than potential/factory design capacity.

According to the study by MoST (2014), in terms of skill gaps of employees, about 32% of

the industries‟ employees lack extreme skill gaps such as lack of skill to operate machine and

other technical skills, and only 25% of the metal industries have carried out R&D activities

to improve their product quality, productivity and product diversification. As a result, the

economic role of the metal sector is very low, with 0.4% contribution to GDP in the year

2013. The country‟s steel requirements are met mostly by imports from various countries

such as Turkey, China, India, and Ukraine and so on.

4.13.2 Analysis of Ethiopian steel-related documents

Given the crucial role of steel industry in the economic growth, enhancing competitiveness

and sustainable development of iron and steel industry is important in the process of

revitalizing the steel industry development policy. Competitiveness of steel industry relies on

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raw materials conditions, provision of basic infrastructures, skilled human resource, energy

supply, legal environments and industrial technology.

In this regard, the Ethiopian government has been designing and implementing different

policies and strategies for different sectors although there is no sectorial policy for steel

industry. Hence, in the forthcoming section, the analysis of pervious industry-related policies,

strategies, studies and recommendations are reviewed to find out the gaps that need to be

addressed in this research project.

4.13.3 Industry Development Strategy of Ethiopia

According to Industry Strategy of Ethiopia (MoI, 2002), if the agricultural development-led

industrialization strategy can be successfully practiced, the developmental strategy would be

gradually transformed in to industrial-led development strategy.The development of

industrial sector also plays an important fertile ground to the promotion and development of

many other industries. The strategy also considers the role of the private sector to be an

engine of the industrial development strategy. Making the private sector the prime mover of

the strategy and the need for a wide participation of foreign investors in partnership with the

domestic counterparts is well recognized in the strategy document.

However, it must be clearly understood that, the Ethiopian private investorsneed huge

support from the government to be able to compete with their foreign counterparts who

possess latest technology, huge capital resources and advanced managerial skills. The

strategy confirms the role of the government in the industrial development would be to focus

on the formulation of favorable condition for private sector development and to engage in the

activities where the private sector is unable to participate. The rapid development of South

Korea and Malaysia can be cited as an example of this fact.

The strategy also suggests the need for industrial zones/parks to be made readily available in

major cities and towns of the country with all the required infrastructure facilities such as

road, electric power, telecommunication and water supply in order to speed up the allocation

of plots of land for investment. However, the strategy has not specified steel industry as a

priority sector, though historically it has played a critical role for economic transformation a

given country.

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4.13.4 Ethiopian Industrial Roadmap

According to studies by ASTU (2014),in 2012, the Ethiopian manufacturing sector‟s

contribution to GDP accounted for only 4%, as compared to the 17% contribution of the

manufacturing sector to the GDP of the middle middle-income countries (MMIC). The deficit

of the manufacturing sector is around 13% from that of the MMIC. The study selected the

GTP base case scenario (which is similar with GTP II) that assumes GDP grows, on average,

by 11.2 % annually. Under this scenario, per capita income (PCI)is assumed to reach 676.5,

1116.6, and 1880.2 USD by the year 2015, 2020, and 2025. Based on this scenario, selected

national growth targets are projected and worked out. Accordingly, the contribution of metal

and engineering industry sub-sector to the manufacturing sector was supposed to increase

from 0.4% in 2013(when the share of manufacturing was 5%) to 1.75 % in 2020(when the

share of manufacturing is expected to be 12%) and to 2.55% in 2025 (when the share of

manufacturing sector will be 17% of GDP) to reach the target of middle-income country

requirement.

Similarly, steel per capita consumption per Kg of the country was 17.78 Kg in 2012, and it is

targeted to increase to 34.72Kg, 81.41Kg and 190.91 Kg in 2015, 2020 and 2025 respectively

for the country to be among the middle-income countries. Regarding capacity utilization of

the manufacturing sector, it was targeted to increase from 61.2% in 2013 to 78%, 82% and

87% in 2015, 2020 and 2025 respectively. However, the target set by the projection is not

substantiated with the current data on the ground regarding steel per capita consumption of

the country.

According to this roadmap, in 2012, the manufacturing sector accounted for 33 % of the

industry sector. This share is targeted to increase to 37% by the year 2015, and finally attains

67% of the total industry sector by the year 2025. By the end of 2025, the industry shows

significant structural change and the structure of the sector will consist of more than 50% of

medium & high-tech industry.

The study pinpointed that Ethiopia has a fairly limited skilled human and financial resource

for the transformation of the industry sector to achieve the ultimate goal of becoming a

middle income country by the year 2025. However, in the roadmap projection, the

importance of steel industry has not been boldly shown, and the sector has been categorized

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under the section of metal and engineering industry, so it is difficult to get the share of steel

industry from metal and engineering.

The present project has tried to estimate the share of the steel industry from metal and

engineering industry using all possible ways with benchmarking a well-established steel

industry of China as the best option.

4.13.5 Investment incentives and regulatory frameworks

The Ethiopian government has undertaken various policy measures to improve the regulatory

environment for domestic and foreign investment over the last decades to complement the

industrial strategy by recognizing the private sector as an engine of economic growth and

transformation.

However, the manufacturing sector has not brought about significant contribution to the

national development process and has been unable to attract the FDI and domestic investors

as some of the incentives such as construction of industrial zones, shortage of foreign

currency, and other infrastructure are less realized.

As part of promoting the national growth and transformation, proclamations and regulations

have been enacted and approved to provide incentive packages and support investors in both

fiscal and non-fiscal terms. Moreover, the establishment of Ethiopian Investment Agency

(EIA) that is mandated to promote investment using all means was meant to create enabling

environments in the process of the approval and implementation of investment projects.

Various proclamations and regulations have been also introduced to promote investment in

general, domestic investors and the manufacturing sector in particular (e.g. Proclamation No

280/2002 (Investment Proclamation), Councils of Ministers‟ Regulation No 270/2002 (on

Metal and Engineering Sector Incentive), and Council of Ministers‟ Regulation No. 841/2003

(regulations on investment incentives and investment areas reserved for domestic investors).

In these legal enactments, various fiscal and non-fiscal incentives have been identified and

legally offered to create favorable investment environments for both foreign and domestic

investors. These proclamations and regulations have included many important incentives

such as tax holidays, duty free import of raw materials, easy licensing and registrations, and

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many other supportive regulatory environments to promote investments in all sectors. In

addition, there are special regulations that promote the Metal and Engineering Sector.

However, this study has identified the following gaps that require more attention from the

government in order to promote the development of the steel sector:

A. Fiscal incentives

Shortened period of fiscal incentive; for example, currently it ranges from 3-7 years

as compared to the longer period required to attract more investors for the sector

development;

Existence of double taxation on spare parts, a situation which discourages local

investors;

Imposition of taxes on local producers that target domestic market;

Lack of tax incentive based on value addition and environmental impacts;

B. Non fiscal incentives

Absence of a separate financial institution that facilitates financial issues for the steel

sector;

Lack of special infrastructure for steel sector development (e.g. transportation and

power), housing facilities and healthcare incentives for industry employees;

Weak steel sector support institutions that mitigate sector-related challenges;

Lack of special education and training institutes that train human resource for the steel

sector;

weak coordination among concerned regulatory bodies in handling investment

projects in the steel sector

4.13.6 Study conducted on Metal and Engineering Industries in Ethiopia

I. Study conducted by Metal Industry Development Institute (MIDI)

The study conducted by MIDI (2013) was undertaken with the objective of enhancing

competitiveness and productivity of metal and engineering industries by identifying and

alleviating the challenges of the sector. Accordingly, the study has identified major

challenges that can be categorized as: market and managerial, banking and fiancé, customs

and duties, quality and standards, and others.

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The study recommends the need for taking administrative actions to implement revised

procurement systems by MoFED that will make the domestic producers more competitive.

In addition, the study suggests strong scrutiny on production of quality products.

II. Study by KOICA (2013)

According to the study by KOICA (2013), with the exception of metal products, all other

priority sectors (fruit and vegetable production and processing, textiles and garments, leather

and foot wear) have large near-term opportunities for globally competitive production and

greater exports. In Ethiopia, metal products, machinery (excluding electronics), and vehicles

together make up 36% of all of Ethiopia‟s imports. So,the industry would have to more than

triple its production capacity to reach the GTP I targets even. The only product with positive

growth was production of reinforced bar for construction. According to this study, the metal

sector requires massive amounts of new investment (not just increased capacity utilization) to

reach its goals.

The study summarizes the main problems and challenges of metal products as follows: high

cost of raw materials, limited capacity on R&D, access to working and investment capital,

shortage of skilled workers and uncertainty of demand from public sector as primary

consumer.

III. Study by JICA (2010)

This is a firm-level study on basic metal and engineering industries. According to this study,

in order to enhance the development of the industry, many factors such as systems,

institutions and favorable conditions are required. The most important recommendations

forwarded by the study are: improvement of production technologies and managerial skills,

establishment of quality management system, amplification of supporting system for research

and development activities, expansion of financing facilities, strengthening of human

resource development (education and training), improvement of industrial infrastructures

(industrial complex etc.), and improvement of custom clearance system.

4.13.7 National growth and development direction

The development direction of the steel industry will be determined by the country‟s

development direction and demand and the plan to transform the economy from agriculture-

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led to industry-led. The country‟s GTPs direction on industry development is that industries

should be labor intensive, and they should aim at saving foreign currency through import

substitution.

Based on this general industry development direction, the focus of this sub-sector includes:

Producing and supplying reliable spare parts, machineries and production instruments

to be used by industries that supply inputs for export industries which are given

priority in industry development strategy;

Supplying spare parts and machineries for sugar and cement industries, which are

given due consideration by the government with a view to accelerating industry

development and to build capacity that enables the country to carry out more complete

construction of factories;

Supporting industry development by locally producing and supplying steel products

that are used as input for the construction industry;

Beyond its economic, social and technological development, the steel industry

development is also decisive for national security, reliability of foreign affairs and

security policy and strategy;

Transferring , adapting and multiplying appropriate technologies which serve as input

for this purpose; generating technologies that fit our contexts and develop our capacity

in engineering design and product development;

Creating capacity that enables us to provide skill enrichment training which is decisive

for the development of the sector but which isnever given, or given insufficiently, in

regular education programs.

During GTP II, attention is given to selected heavy steel industries in addition to light

manufacturing. The role of the government in metal and engineering (and of course in other

industries such as sugar and related industries and chemical industry) will continue strongly.

In GTP II, it has been made clear that the manufacturing sector will be a priority focus of the

government in order to initiate the structural change needed in our economy. To realize this:

The manufacturing industry will be made to register a yearly average growth rate of at

least 24%;

The overall share of the manufacturing industry in the national economy will increase

to 8% from its current average growth of 4.6% by 2012 EC. This in turn will increase

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the share of the manufacturing industry four times from its current status and raise it

to 18% by 2017E.C;

The current share of the manufacturing products in overall export revenue does not

exceed 10%. It is planned to raise this figure to 25% by the end of GTP II and to 40%

by 2017E.C;

Presently, the number of the human power engaged in medium and high level

manufacturing industries does not exceed 350,000. It has been planned widely to

engage 1.5 million citizens in the industry in the next ten years by increasing this

number by four times.

The table below summarizes the data from GTP II as presented above. The summary

indicates projected growth of manufacturing industry during GTP II (2008-2012 EC) and up

to 2017.

Table 46: Projected growth of manufacturing industry

Major contributions of the manufacturing industry

Current status (last years of GTPI)

Projected growth in 2012 EC

Projection in 2017 EC

Overall share in the national economy (%) 4.6%

8% 18%

Share of the manufacturing products in overall export revenue (%) 10% 25% 40%

Human power engaged in medium and high level manufacturing industries 350,000 750,000 1.5m

Source: The Second Growth and Transformation Plan (2008-2012)

The table clearly depicts the due attention paid by the government to the development of the

manufacturing sector during GTP II although the data is not delimited to specific sub-sectors

of the industry. As stated above, the metal and engineering subsector is clearly one of the

priority areas that have the potential to flourish during GTP II and subsequent years of

growth and transformation.

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5. PESTLE and SLOC Analysis

In this section, analysis of political, economic, social, technological, legal, and environmental

situations are presented in the light of global, regional, and national environmental factors

that affect the steel industry. The following results of PESTLE and SLOC analysis are

documented based on findings from review of documents, interviews, and questionnaires.

5.1 Global and regional PESTLE analysis of the steel industry

A summary of global and regional policies, regulations and trade trends that affect steel

industry is given below.

Globally, steel industry is the backbone of manufacturing, and it is a strategic industry

essential for socioeconomic growth and stability. It is increasingly regarded as strategic

industry. As a result, it is usually regulated directly by governments and indirectly through

steel associations. Governments and steel associations usually collaborate on licensing and

investment permission, steel price regulation, and other important aspects of the industry.

Governments also usually regulate steel markets through price control, import/export

regulations, and import duty. The specificity of applicable rate varies from country to

country. From global and regional analysis of PESTLE, the following major conditions are

identified:

As steel consumption is expected to grow in the decade to come, there is a growing

concern on energy efficiency, diversification of alternative energy sources, CO2

emission reduction and further improving steel technologies. This in turn forces the

country to establish a system for monitoring, evaluating, and public reporting of

energy intensity and elimination or reduction of inefficient industrial facilities.

Steel industry is a heavy sector and one of the relatively pollutant industries. So,

international trade is expensive and fairly limited, with much of it between

neighboring nations and countries which have cheap transportation access like ocean

and train. Besides, higher logistic cost, issues of steel price cartelization, anti-

dumping regulations, and most importantly regional trade barriers such as tariffs may

also limit export possibilities.

As steel technology is well developed and widely available, there is strong possibility

for steel know-how and technology transfer. However, absorptive capacity of firms

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and specific strategies to be adopted in the industry may determine the rate of success

of knowledge and technology transfer.

Expansion of the Clean Development Mechanism (CDM) and joint implementation

projects facilitate the funding of energy efficiency, and alternative fuel substitution

projects.

Globally, the steel industry has been subjected to stringent environmental regulations

and interventions for monitoring the production process. In turn, steel producers have

responded by investing in green steel initiatives.

As integral part of global environmental concern, there is growing intention to shift

from traditional steel production to green economy.

5.2 PESTLE analysis of Ethiopian steel industry

Ethiopia is a nation determined to accelerate and maintain economic development while

strengthening its democratic agenda. It has set for itself a stretched goal of becoming a

democratic developmental state seeking to create a middle income society by 2025 through

application of green economy. This requires extended government intervention in selected

areas of the economy. The following key findings represent summarized results of PESTLE

analysis of Ethiopia steel industry.

The Ethiopian government has established a level of political stability that enables it

to pursue its development goals. Moreover, working strongly with its allies, it has

been able to improve peace and stability of the region.

Ethiopia's economy continues on its state-led Growth and Transformation Plans

(GTPs). The five-year economic plan has achieved double digit growth rates through

government-led infrastructure expansion and commercial agriculture development.

GTP II has been already developedfor the next five yearsand it considers steel/metal

industry as one of its priority manufacturing industry sub-sectors.

Ethiopia has developed an industrial development strategy to bring about structural

change in the economy through industrial development. The overall goal of this

policy option is to increase the share of the industry sector of GDP to 27% by 2025

and increase the share of the manufacturing sectorto the GDP to 17% by 2025.

(Ethiopian Industry Development Roadmap (2013-2025), April 2014)

Population growth is one of demand drivers of industrial products including steel, which is

mostly used for construction of residential and business houses and other infrastructures.

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This will become more sounding when connected to urbanization, which requires more

construction materials for aforementioned purposes. In addition to construction, population

growth results in creating demand for steel products for personal uses such as appliances,

locomotives, and so on.

The following are population and urbanization situations according to Central Statistical

Agency (2013).

o Projected population of Ethiopia by 2014 G.C.:

Total population: 86.7 million

Urban population: 17.1 million (19.7%)

Rural population: 69.6 million (80.3%)

o Projected population of Ethiopia by 2025 G.C.:

Total population: 114.2 million

Urban population: 27.9 million (24.4%)

Rural population: 86.3 million (75.6%)

The expected urbanization growth rate of 4.3%, coupled with the overall population

growth, will increase housing demand and further push for slums upgrading and

infrastructure development, which in turn will boost steel demand.

The education sector takes the responsibility of preparing trained human power which is

capable and ethically responsible to transform the existing Ethiopian economy. To realize this

responsibility, the Ministry of Education of FDRE has set Education Sector Development

Policy (ESDP) of Ethiopia.

o For TVET, the goal is to create a competent, motivated, adaptable and innovative

workforce and to transfer accumulated and demanded technologies in Ethiopia,

thus contributing to poverty reduction and social and economic development

through facilitating demand-driven, high quality technical and vocational

education and training relevant to all sectors of the economy at all levels and to all

people. The sector aims to increase the number of institutions from 1,329 to 1,778

and regular intake from 408,838 to 598,729 at the end of GTP II.

o For higher education, the goal is to develop highly qualified, motivated and

innovative human resource and produce and transfer advanced and relevant

knowledge for socio-economic development and poverty reduction envisioning

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2025. Accordingly, the increase in enrollment in undergraduate and graduate

programs will aim to be in line with the 70/30 program (Ratio of Science intake to

Social Sciences and Humanities intake). By building 11 additional new

government universities, the annual intake target at the end of GTP II is 600,000

and 63,000 for undergraduate and postgraduate programs respectively.

To achieve sustainable industrial development, emphasis has been given to technology

transfer. For this reason, the Ethiopian Science, Technology and Innovation Policy has been

developed to create a technology transfer framework that enables the building of national

capabilities in technological learning, adaptation and utilization through searching, selecting

and importing effective foreign technologies in manufacturing and service providing

enterprises.

Development of the industrial park in selected sites is given a serious attention by the

government to attract domestic and foreign direct investment by supplying the park with the

necessary infrastructures to over-come the current bottle necks of the manufacturing.

The GTP II plans on infrastructure development mainly include building of 2,782 km of

railway network, 220,000 km of federal and regional road length, 17,347 MW electric power

generation capacities, and 750,000 houses in cities.

Ethiopia is experiencing the effects of climate change. Besides the direct effects such as an

increase in average temperature or a change in rainfall patterns, climate change also presents

the necessity and opportunity to switch to a new, sustainable development model. The

government has, therefore, initiated the Climate-Resilient Green Economy (CRGE) initiative

to protect the country from the adverse effects of climate change and to build a green

economy that will help to realize its ambition of reaching middle income status by 2025. In

GTP II, Ethiopia planned to decrease the release of heat absorbing gases to the surrounding

atmosphere by improving agricultural productivity of both grain and animals to secure food

security of farmers, protecting forest and creating new once to reduce CO2 emission,

production of electricity from renewable energy sources, and using new and energy saving

technologies in transport, industry and construction sectors.

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Based on the PESTLE analysis summarized above, the following gaps are identified

specifically in relation to the steel industry.

Non-exporting enterprises are not entitled to government guarantee to get loan

from foreign sources;

There is lack of capacity and strategic system to control product quality, energy

utilization and emission control;

Practical measures and incentive or disincentive to encourage the industry to work

on environmental protection are absent;

There is lack of sufficient effort and satisfactory progress on local production.

5.3 Summary of SLOC factors

The SLOC factors of Ethiopian steel industry are summarized below. Detail descriptions for

each SLOC factor is provided under Annex 2.

Table 47: List of strengths (S) and limitations (L)

Strengths (S) Limitations (L) Clear organizational structure

Clear and adequate coaching and mentoring system

Provision of short-term and long-term

on-the-jobtraining

Good beginning of R&D (METEC industries)

Certification by ISO and Ethiopian Conformity Assessment Enterprise for some industries

Presence of employees safety and fringe benefits

Corporate social responsibility

Existing installed capacity to supply for future demand increase

Relatively better overall performance by medium firms

Lack of rules, regulations and working guidelines, Lack of efficient service delivery and customer

satisfaction procedures Lack of automation of production process and

accounting system Lack of clear strategic plan Lack of salesoutlet, and trade mark for products Outdated machineries requiring high cost of

maintenance Limited awareness and practice on environmental

issues Lack of applying continuous quality management

system Lack of modernized raw material handling system Lack of focus on product diversification Lack of alternative energy sources Lack of strategic HRD and R&D plans Limited knowledge and technology transfer

capacity and system Weak backward and forward (value chain)

integration Limited flexibility to respond to global and

regional product, energy, and environmental trends

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Table 48: List of opportunities (O) and challenges (C)

Opportunities (O) Challenges (C) Availability of tax holiday, importing duty free

machine and land supply

Priority given by Ethiopian shipping line

Availability of green, yellow and red custom service provision

The conducive environment of Ethiopia for investment

Strong commitment from the government side for manufacturing industries

Strong potential steel demand drivers

Availability of sustainable and diverse alternative energy sources in the country

The upcoming national railway network to enhance logistics efficiency

Availability of local raw material resources for potential use by the steel industry

Potential for collaboration with professional associations and universities

Opportunities to benefit from using environmentally friendly technologies `and related carbon trading schemes

Availability of young, trainable, and cheap labor in Ethiopia with relaxed labor regulations

Shortage of foreign currency to import raw materials and spare parts

Unavailability of adequate skilled human power on the local market and high turnover of workers

Inefficiency of logistics and transportation system

Lack of capacity to exploit raw materials from local sources

Frequent power outage

Lack of incentive to encourage local producers

Inadequate demand for local products resulting in under capacity production

Inadequate product, environment and energy standards and regulatory enforcement capacity

Insufficient support institutions having limited Knowledge and technology transfer capacity

Insufficient availability of support industries along the value chain

Limited access to finance

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SLOC analysis and selected critical policy issues Table 49: SLOC analysis matrix

External Environmental Factors

Internal Environmental Factors

Opportunities (O) Availability of tax holiday, importing duty free machine

and land supply

Priority given by Ethiopian shipping line

Availability of green, yellow and red custom service provision

The conducive environment of Ethiopia for investment

Strong commitment from the government side for manufacturing industries

Strong potential steel demand drivers

Availability of sustainable and diverse alternative energy sources in the country

The upcoming national railway network to enhance logistics efficiency

Availability of local raw material resources for potential use by the steel industry

Potential for collaboration with professional associations and universities

Opportunities to benefit from using environmentally friendly technologies `and related carbon trading schemes

Availability of young, trainable, and cheap labor in Ethiopia with relaxed labor regulations

Challenges (C) Shortage of foreign currency to import raw materials

and spare parts

Unavailability of adequate skilled human power on the local market and high turnover of workers

Inefficiency of logistics and transportation system

Lack of capacity to exploit raw materials from local sources

Frequent power outage

Lack of incentive to encourage local producers

Inadequate demand for local products resulting in under capacity production

Inadequate product, environment and energy standards and regulatory enforcement capacity

Insufficient support institutions having limited Knowledge and technology transfer capacity

Insufficient availability of support industries along the value chain

Limited access to finance

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Strength (S) Commitment of top level management

Good information flow

Clear organizational structure

Clear and adequate coaching and mentoring system

Provision of short-term and long-term

on-the-job training

Presence of R&D (METEC industries)

Certification of some industries by ISO and Ethiopian Conformity Assessment Enterprise for some industries

Presence of employees safety and fringe benefits

Corporate social responsibility

Existing installed capacity to supply for future demand increase

Willingness and initiatives to improve R&D and HRD practices

Relatively promising financial position by larger firms

Relatively better overall performance by large firms

OS Analysis Strengthen university-industry-TVET linkage and

partnership for training and capacitating the human power for sustainable service in the industry

Maximize capacity utilization using government support and conducive environment in the country

Initiate R&D practices and improve related technologies in collaboration with support institutions

Minimize heavy dependence on imports of raw materials by substituting them with local resources

Boost domestic demands by capitalizing on potential demand drivers

CS Analysis Enhance collaboration between the industry and

support institutions on selected strategic areas such as technology transfer

Put into force HRD practices and job satisfaction initiatives

Maximize capacity utilization and produce both for local market and export

Establish separate power transmission line for the industry

Implement environment and energy standards and regulatory enforcements

Stimulate local producers through viable financial subsidies, access to loans, and other incentives

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Limitations (L) Lack of rules, regulations and working guidelines, Lack of efficient service delivery and customer

satisfaction procedures Lack of automation of production process and

accounting system Lack of clear strategic plan Lack of sales outlet, and trade mark for products Outdated machineries requiring high cost of

maintenance Limited awareness and practice on environmental

issues Lack of applying continuous quality management

system Lack of modernized raw material handling system Lack of focus on product diversification Lack of alternative energy sources Lack of strategic HRD and R&D plans Limited knowledge and technology transfer

capacity and system Weak backward and forward (value chain)

integration Limited flexibility to respond to global and regional

product, energy, and environmental trends

OL Analysis Enhance logistics efficiency and supply chain management

capabilities by integrating with the railway network Minimize heavy dependence on imports by exploiting local

resources and stimulating product exports Collaborate and work closely with support institutions and

universities for transformation of the industry (automation, up-to-date technologies, R&D, accounting system, etc.)

Focus on strategic issues and introduce change management tools, and working guidelines in collaboration with support institutions and universities

Enforce environment friendly approaches and conduct periodic environmental and energy audit

Design and implement HRD programs ; build technical and managerial competencies in collaboration with support institutions and universities

CL Analysis Create access to finance (bank loan, foreign

currency) for steel industries as strategic development subsector

Establish separate power transmission line for the industry

Exploration of potential locally available resources Build operating capacity of both support institutions

and steel industries by working in close collaboration with universities

Enhance logistics and supply chain efficiency; integrate with the railway network; improve market structure and channel

Introduce and enforce product, energy, and environmental standards

Organize HRD programs and R&D centers at company and national levels through institutional partnerships

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5.4 Selected critical policy issues

Based on evaluation of OS, CS, OL, and CL and key findings from the in-depth

interviews, the following critical policy issues have been identified for the Ethiopian steel

industry development.

1) Shortage of Skill Development System and Inadequate Qualified Human Capital

2) Shortage of Raw Materials

3) Low Product Diversification and Value Addition

4) Absence of Research and Development

5) Lack of Market Research and Orientation

6) Shortage of Foreign Currency and Working Capital

7) Lack of Infrastructure

8) Lack of Sector-specific Energy and Environment Policies

9) Inadequate Support Institutions

10) Lack of Roadmap/Strategy Direction

A brief description of each of the above listed critical policy issues is presented as

follows.

1. Shortage of Skill Development System and Inadequate Qualified Human Capital

The Ethiopian steel industry can be characterized as the industry operating without

adequately skilled human capital, both managerial and technical, and without well-

established skill development system. As a result, the industry is currently operating

between 30-40% of its capacity. Shortage of training institutes, universities and TVETs

that concentrate on steel-specific courses and practical skills is one of the major factors

that contribute to shortage of well skilled and high profile managerial and technical staff.

It is evident that, nowadays, fields of study that are specific to iron and steel industry

such as Mining, Metallurgy, Foundry, Alloy, and Materials Science and Engineering are

not provided in most Ethiopian universities. As stated elsewhere in this study, only

Metallurgy (offered at the Defense University) and Materials Science and Engineering

(being offered at ASTU and Jima Universities for the first time) are currently given in

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Ethiopian universities. This indicates that there is a huge gap in education and

specialization in the fields of study which are related to iron and steel industries.

However, the experience of some of the emerging countries which have a good profile

and some success stories in steel industry (e.g. India, China and Brazil) indicates that

these steel-related courses are widely offered in their universities. This can set a good

example for Ethiopia as well. Therefore, it is highly recommended to involve

industrialists and concerned stakeholders in curriculum development of steel related

fields of specialization, starting from need assessment up to implementation and revision

of the curriculum.

Due to lack of steel-specific fields of study in our higher education institutes, most of the

steel industries in Ethiopia train fresh graduates directly after graduation (pre-job

training). Through such training, the industries may obtain the workforce required for

running their various activities, but it is unlikely that they employ workers who are well

educated and specialized in steel industry-related fields of study.

Thus, in addition to university courses, short and long term pre-service and in-service

training should be provided in the following areas: raw material preparation, cock

preparation, iron making, steel making, rolling and forging, process control automation,

plant management along with energy and environment, production, quality improvement

and process, and R& D on machineries (furnace, heat treatment, etc.).

The problem manifests itself not only in terms of low managerial and technical skills but

also vis-à-vis employees‟ turnover. The industries report high turnover of workers as a

result of low job satisfaction and/or access to alternative and more attractive job

opportunities. This indicates the need to improve the working and career conditions of the

industry thereby making it a more attractive workplace.

2. Shortage of Raw Materials

Evidently, the Ethiopian steel industries do not currently use iron ore from the local

market, but they predominantly import raw materials from global markets. In other

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words, there is no mining in the country, a situation which has forced the steel industry to

depend heavily on imports. The only raw materials they get from the local market are

scraps and small amount of semi-finished products. However, the locally available

scraps are low both in terms of their quantity and quality. For example, the reinforcement

bars produced from local scrap do not exceed grade 40 because of low quality and

melting all types of scrap together without separating them by type. On the contrary,

reinforcement bars with a quality of grade 60 and 75 are produced from imported scraps.

The reason for low grade production emanates from low skills of involved workforce

particularly in ladle furnace and low level of technological development.

On the other hand, importing scrap from the neighboring countries is difficult nowadays.

For instance, the East African Community (EAC), which includes countries like

Tanzania, Kenya and Uganda, has banned the export of scrap metal. On top of that,

Kenya has endorsed the Scrap Metal Bill, 2014 in order to govern scrap market.

On top of that, the presence of tax imposition on imported scraps and illegal export of

domestic scraps aggravate the situation. So, there must be a system that supports tax-free

import of scraps and that imposes strict control on illegal export of scrap. Together with

currently improved status of logistics, these measures will stimulate steel producers and

make them competitive in both quality and price. Promoting scrap-based steel industry

development is recommended for Ethiopia given the scarcity of other raw materials and

with respect to its environmental friendliness and energy saving advantages.

Even though there is no iron ore processing plant in Ethiopia, the country has iron ore

potentials that can be explored and extracted in order to supplement imports or reduce the

heavy dependence on imports. Yet, lack of clear information about locations and

capacities of local natural resources has created a situation of dilemma. In order to

recommend the type of technology, quality and quantity of products required and for

effective infrastructure planning and coordination, identification of detailed and clear

information about location, amount, and quality of steel-related natural resources needs to

be undertaken within a short period of time. This has an obvious advantage for the

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country. For example, once the country has clear information on location, quantity and

quality of the natural resources, technology selection can be easily made nowadays unlike

the situation in the 1960s and 1970s. Furthermore, it is now believed that, thanks to the

substitution of blast furnace by DRI, any site with an iron ore occurrence can be exploited

for steel processing, and DRI-based steel industry is economically viable in Ethiopia as

DRI plant can be easily dismantled and transported to another place with a potential

reserve of iron ore.

Lack of rules and regulations in relation to raw materials is another challenge affecting

the proper functioning of the steel industries in Ethiopia. Whether our steel industries

continue to rely on imports or exploit potential local resources, it is important for the

government to make and enforce laws that govern the way raw materials are acquired and

utilized. Law-making and its enforcement should also apply to mining. In other words, if

potential raw materials turn out to be promising and mining becomes economically

viable, then the mining activity should be undertaken by the government, by a private

sector, as well as by a joint venture (due to its obvious advantages in terms of capital,

technology and skill transfer). In this case, the government should put in place a law that

dictates how mining should be managed as state-owned, private and joint venture

undertaking.

Other constraints of the industries in connection with raw materials include double

taxation (for spare parts), hard currency problem, and inefficient logistics including

transportation network.

3. Low Product Diversification and Value Addition

Even though the industries in sectors of Construction, Engineering & Machinery, Motor

Vehicle and Agricultural Equipment are engaged in the manufacture of various products,

it has been observed that these industries lack efficiency in product diversification and

value addition. For example, most of automobile assembly industries can be described as

“car in, car out” because they only import spare parts and assemble them for sale without

producing and making major modifications due to the absence of a design house.

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A number of factors work together in limiting the capacity of the industries in their

product diversification and value addition. In the first place, the industries claim that they

have market orientations for their products. In reality, however, they are found to have

little or no market research practice that would enable them to be well-informed and

guided by reliable data in their market-related issues. Secondly, the industries have little

orientation about research and development (R&D) and virtually have no R&D except for

some companies under METEC. Even the existing attempts in research practice lack

comprehensiveness from idea generation to marketing.

The prevalence of outdated machineries, coupled with lack of skilled human power, is

another drawback of the industries, which has, in turn, led to low demand for local

products (such as steel products) due to low trust in their quality and less price

competitiveness. Absence of ladle furnace (composition, additives and quality control) is

another factor that affects the industries with respect to product diversification and value

addition. Therefore, the government should encourage industries by incentivizing and de-

incentivizing in order to enforce them to pay due consideration to value addition that

eventually leads to import substitution.

Furthermore, inadequate controlling system by the Ethiopian Conformity Assessment is

taken as an institutional malpractice contributing to the low performance of the industries

in this regard.

As far as the experience of other nations is concerned as regards product diversification

and value addition, China, for example, was able to meet the demands of most of her

industries (construction, machinery, chemical engineering, automobile manufacture,

household electrical appliance, ship-making, transportation, military industry and new

industries) with cost effectiveness and quality by implementing incentive (for value

adding producers) and disincentive for importers. However, the country gradually

focused on production of high end equipment manufacturing and housing construction

through maintaining cost, quality and product-mix with global benchmarks of efficiency

and productivity. This was done by developing and adapting technologies which are

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synergy with the natural resource-base of the country. In the case of Brazil, however, the

emphasis is on productivity and technological density to enhance value addition.

4. Absence of Research and Development (R&D)

One of the factors that determine the level of technological capacity of an industry is the

presence and effectiveness of its R&D. During onsite visits and data collection, the study

team observed that most of the industries except METEC have no R&D department. It

was also observed that the industries lack sufficient orientation about R&D, often

confusing it or associating it with planning and market activities.

Because of this, they have no separate R&D department and no budget for this particular

purpose. Generally, because they have no R&D practices, these industries have low

capacity in selection and transfer of important technologies such as copying,

modification, and innovation of products. Additionally, upgrading machineries from

manual to automation is almost nonexistent except in METEC. What is more, they are

less concerned with, and less capable in, waste treatment (scrap, heat treatment, carbon

capture, etc.). Consequently, they have limited capacity to improve their product quality,

productivity and product diversification such as designing, forging, and alloying.

In this regard, the role of the government is self-evident. The government needs to build

the awareness of steel industry managers about the vital role that R&D can play in

increasing efficiency and productivity of their industries so that those which have better

capacity can exercise it in their companies. It should promote linkage between and

among industries in order that those with less experience can gain useful lessons from

well experienced industries and knowledge and skill transfer can actually take place

between them. Such a linkage can also be extended to universities and research centers to

enable industries build their research culture and capabilities and access technology

transfer. It would be more appropriate to establish more support institutions and steel-

specific training centers that focus on such important aspects of the industry as R&D. In

collaboration with financial institutions, the government should also design mechanisms

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of widening opportunities for the steel industries to curb their financial constraints, which

discourages them from introducing R&D practices in their industries.

In addition, the government has to come up with a legal framework that demands the

steel industries to allocate some threshold amount from their turnover or operational

budget to R&D in order to develop updated indigenous technological capability, product

quality and production efficiency, energy efficiency and sustainable environmental

protection.

From the experiences of some emerging countries, we can understand that the focus

given for R&D enables them to modify and develop indigenous technological capabilities

that lead to transformation of their steel industry within a short period of time. For

example, India allocates 0.15 – 0.25% of sales turnover of her steel industries to R&D,

while in China 1.7% of the income from core business activities (Bao Steel) goes to

R&D. South Korea allots 1.3% of the turnover (from POSCO), while Brazil earmarks

0.22% of net income for iron and steel for R&D, and South Africa assigns 0.76% of GDP

(for all sectors) budget for this purpose.

5. Lack of Market Research and Orientation

Market research is a systematic, objective collection and analysis of data about a

particular target market, competition, and/or environment. Marketing research focuses on

understanding the customer, the company, and the competition. These relationships are at

the core of marketing research. The purpose of any market research project is to achieve

an increased understanding of the subject matter. With markets throughout the world

becoming increasingly more competitive, market research is now on the agenda of many

organizations, whether they are small, medium or large.

Under the present condition, the steel industries in the country have multifaceted

challenges with regard to market research. In fact, most of the steel industries have no

market research, and they have cited this as one of their major gaps. The industries are

not in a position of being competitive in the local market both in terms of the quality and

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price of their products with the imported ones. High production costs are the prime

causes for high product prices that are mainly the results of using old (outdated)

production technology and under-managed resources. The other factor for the high price

is the increasing price of imported raw materials and logistic costs. In addition, quality of

most of the products does not generally satisfy the requirement of local market as

perceived by users. As a result, there is less local demand for local steel products as

compared to imported products. In this regard, the government has to undertake

continuous awareness creation for local users on how they can identify the quality of the

steel products in the market based on quality indicators that make producers liable to

mistrust on product standards described in their trade mark.

To mitigate this problem, both the government and industries have to play their

respective roles appropriately. From the government side, there must be initiation to

establish steel association that deals with the challenges of steel industries and provides

proper support. In addition, the government has to control unfair marketing practices that

jeopardize the healthy competition of steel market.

Likewise, steel industries have to improve the quality of their products from time to time,

achieving value addition in their products and applying product differentiation that attract

customers based on their trade mark. With regard to raw materials, industries have to

cooperate in order to maximize their bargaining powers and reduce transportation costs.

Further, the industries have to sign a long-term agreement with raw material suppliers to

ensure reliability of continuous supply of raw materials,their quality and other

competitive advantages. They have to also undertake continuous market research to

identify the gaps and opportunities related with their products in terms of global steel

standards.

6. Shortage of Foreign Currency and Working Capital

One of the factors that account for low capacity and performance of our steel industries is

shortage of foreign currency and working capital particularly long-term loan. In the first

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place, there is no specialized state or private bank or organization that facilitates financial

matters for steel industries (at least together with other industries). This reduces the

chance for the industries to get easy access to sustainable sources of working capital.

Although the steel industries are at the infant stage of development and unlikely to

engage in exports within a relatively short period of time, special attention should be

given by the government to facilitate their access to dollar.

The other bottleneck is the presence of double taxation on spare parts particularly for

local steel industries which engage in assembling, a situation which makes their products

uncompetitive with their foreign counterparts in terms of price. In addition, the duration

of fiscal incentive packages such as income tax holidays is short (between 3-7 years on

average); it is better to increase the duration to attract more investment to the sector.

On top of this, there should be protection and support for local producers in every

possible aspect. For example, Bishoftu Automotive Industry and C and E Brothers Steel

Factory produce considerable number of vehicles and reinforcement bars respectively.

However, they encounter market shortage as a result of availability of imported products

in the local market with cheaper price on the one hand, and due to lack of buyers‟ trust in

the quality of their products on the other. Although the current affirmative action taken

by the government since January 2016 is encouraging to local industries, it should not

happen at the cost of international quality standards. As a result of these impediments

pertaining to foreign currency, working capital, double taxation, and less protection for

their products, the industries tend to encounter a huge problem in their expansion plan.

To minimize these challenges of steel industries, the government should revisit provision

of incentive packages and other supporting mechanisms to encourage local industries. As

much as possible, it seems economically viable to establish a separate bank or a loan

institution for a cluster of subsectors under the manufacturing industry.

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7. Lack of Infrastructure

Steel industries are engaged in an operation that demands the provision of high level

infrastructure such as energy sources, transportation networks and facilities, and

sufficient water supply. Unfortunately, the industries do not have such facilities of

infrastructure to the level required for their successful operation.

Undoubtedly, the present problem of frequent power interruption is posing a serious

threat to proper functioning of industries. Since steel industry is energy-intensive, the

magnitude of the problem is immense for this subsector. As a result of power outage,

steel making processes such as melting and forging can be jeopardized. This is an

unfortunate encounter that can expose the industries to experience failure of expensive

machineries and spare parts which in turn leads to huge demands of foreign currency.

The government should seek ways of resolving this problem and provide the industry

with uninterrupted energy supply on a sustainable basis by providing special power

transmission line and establishing sub-station energy source near industries to minimize

power shortage. On the other hand, industries should explore their own alternative energy

sources (wind energy, solar energy, coal…) and using energy saving technologies.

Challenges pertaining to transportation are not less significant either. Heavy and ever-

increasing cost of transportation will in turn lead to an increase in the cost of raw

materials and products. Limited transportation networks and inaccessibility to potential

markets will result in delay of supply of raw materials and products, causing difficulty in

logistics and supply chain management.

This entails the need for the government to aggressively expand transportation networks.

In this regard, expansion of the railway under construction and other planned railway

projects has to consider the need for location of raw materials for steel industries and

product distribution to local and global market. The industries, on their part, should

consider the availability of raw materials and market opportunities before they are set up

and start their operation. In short, the infrastructure development should be holistic to

enhance competitiveness of steel industries.

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In the experience of other countries, it is customary to attach steel industries with

locations of raw materials. For example, China and India moved their steel industries to

coastal and interior water ways to reduce logistics costs (raw material and final products)

and environmental conditions. In the case of China, steel industry entry standards were

also set with regard to market size, energy, land (location) water and environment

conservation, technology, and safety standards before they commenced their production

activities. South Korea established POSCO taking this fact into account from the very

beginning. On the other hand, India and Brazil have designed special railway network for

their steel industries.

In the case of Ethiopia, however, most steel industries (63%) are located in Addis Ababa

and the surrounding areas, thus making it difficult to supply them with necessary steel

specific infrastructures, as in the case of the aforementioned countries.

On the other hand, water is one of the very important resources without which steel

industries cannot operate. Unfortunately, because this resource is not imported or often

easily available, there is a tendency among users to abuse this perhaps most useful

resource for human life. While some steel industries may not get ample supply of water

and use it properly, others may get it excessively and may not worry about consuming the

resource economically. Therefore, the government should supply sufficient amount of

water for industries which are in short of water supply and put in place a law that

enforces efficient utilization of water by industries such as recycling it on a sustainable

basis.

8. Lack of Sector-specific Energy and Environment Policies

Even though the country follows green growth economy and has general policies for both

energy and environment, it is difficult to find steel-specific policy indicators in these

general policy directions. Yet, it is well known that steel industry is one of the most

energy intensive and highly environment pollutant industries. It seems imperative, in this

regard, to address steel industries in energy and environment policymaking.

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Environmental issues can be attributed to many factors including the type of indirect steel

products imported to the country. For example, the types of automobiles imported to the

country can have a detrimental impact on the environment unless their emission standards

are checked or those with the right standards are imported (e.g., Euro 3 vs.Euro 6 as

illustrated in the table).

Table 50: Automobile emission standards

Standard Carbon monoxide CO g/Km

Total hydrocarbon THC

NOX

g/Km HC +NOX

g/Km PM g/Km

Diesel Euro 3 0.64 - 0.50 0.56 0.05 Euro 6 0.50 - 0.080 0.170 0.005

Gasoline Euro 3 2.3 0.20 0.15 - - Euro 6 1.0 0.10 0.06 - 0.005

Therefore, standards should be set for importing indirect steel products such as second-

hand automobiles, steel pants and steel-related machineries, so that operation cost and

environmental pollution can be minimized. The government has to enact a law that highly

differentiates and strictly regulates the import of second-hand machineries and

automobiles by imposing high tax on such imports and banning some outdated products

that can harm the environment. Such measures will also enable the industry not only to

minimize environmental damages, but also to build technological capability, save foreign

currency, reduce operation cost (through energy saving and low maintenance cost) and

motivate domestic investors.

Emerging countries such as China have incorporated energy and environmental issues in

their steel policies. For instance, China Steel Policy 2005 states that steel companies must

recycle redundant heat and energy for power generation and that steel mills with a

production capacity of more than 5m t/y shall try to be more than self-efficient with

power supplies.

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Therefore, the energy policy has to consider the implications of the subsector with regard

to machinery standards based on best practices drawn from benchmarking, alternative

energy sources, energy audit and efficiency, and power factor corrector. In this regard,

METEC is doing a very good job as it is producing power factor corrector, which it has

already installed in some of its industries. Moreover, some industries under METEC have

already started building alternative energy sources such as solar, wind and geothermal

energy. Thus, there should be policy directives which promote this practice in other

industries as well. On the other hand, the environmental policy should address subsector

specific pollutants (e.g. gases, waste liquid/solid, dust and sound), and there should be

mechanisms of controlling these pollutants on a regular basis.

9. Inadequate Support Institutions

Support institutions are intended to provide multifaceted supports for the iron and steel

industry in such capacity building areas as training, research, technology transfer,

investment, marketing and the like. In the case of Ethiopian steel industries, there is only

one institution known as Metals Industry Development Institute (MIDI), which was

established in May 2010, pursuant to regulation No. 182/2010 of the Council of Ministers

with the mandate of providing support for the basic metals and engineering industries.

Since its establishment, the institute has been engaged in a number of support activities

such as training, research, competency assessment, quality control, technology transfer

and the like. It has set a vision of seeing the subsector to be a premier in Africa by 2025

in metals and engineering manufacturing technology.

Being young and developing, however, the institute has not yet built its own capacity as

required let alone providing full supports for the industries in the subsector. Currently,

the institute has limited capacity in many aspects such as technology transfer, research,

training, and developing policies, roadmaps and strategic frameworks. Consequently,

MIDI is currently providing support for not more than 25% of the industries.

In order to make the sector competitive locally and regionally, the government should

expand capable support institutions and build the capacity of MIDI. If we consider the

case of the countries used in the comparative study of this project, we can see that they

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have various institutions which support their steel industries in multifaceted areas. For

example, India has many such institutions which support its steel industries in planning

and development of the industries, upgrading technical skills of the workforce, catering

for the need for HRD, technology up-gradation, development of advanced design

methodologies and technical marketing, creation and maintenance of a complete

databank, research, and techno-economic studies. Likewise, Brazil has several

institutions which serve the industries in various ways: representing and defending their

interests, promoting their development, providing trained human power for different

subsectors of the industry, creating technical standards, adding value to co-products such

as scrap, and conducting survey and research on subject matters relevant to the steel

sector. In the same way, China, South Africa, and Nigeria have institutions with different

names but whose function is to support their respective steel industries in one way or

another. In addition to expanding support institutions, the government should facilitate strong and

sustainably collaboration between industries on the one hand, and universities, TVETs,

research institutions and centers on the other hand. Furthermore, the government should

initiate the establishment of steel industry association and provide it with the necessary

supports.

10. Lack of Roadmap/Strategy Direction

Steel industry is one of the manufacturing industries essential for socioeconomic growth

and economic stability of the country. Steel is everywhere in our lives and it is widely

used in construction, automotive industry, production of machinery and equipment,

energy supply, transportation system, expansion of urban centers, supply of clean water

and safe foods, the defense industry, and domestic or household activities.

Given the vital role of steel industries in the national growth and transformation, it is of

paramount importance to develop this subsector on a sustainable basis. Accordingly, to

transform the steel industry within specified time span (e.g. 2025), the country needs

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clear roadmap/strategic directions that properly guide the subsector in general and

specific industries in particular.

In other countries, it is customary for steel companies to develop their own development

plan within the framework of the national plan (roadmap). In China, for example, steel

companies are required to prepare their respective development plans in line with the

country‟s medium-and-long-term development plan and the general development plan of

local cities. A similar approach should be experimented also in Ethiopia in order to

properly manage the continuous growth of our steel industries.

As stated above, strategic direction will enable the actors to lead the steel industry in the

desired direction of growth and transformation in compliance with the country‟s vision of

becoming one of the middle-income countries by 2025. On the other hand, a national

steel industry roadmap enables steel industries to cascade the plan and prepare their own

strategies.

In general, to coordinate the development efforts of many stakeholders (policy makers,

regulatory bodies, industries and other concerned bodies), there must be networked and

shared directions among all concerned to minimize information asymmetry on similar

national issues.

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6. Comparative Analysis

Introduction

Given the usefulness of steel industries for development of a nation, it is relevant to draw

useful lessons from some countries which are selected for the purpose of comparative

analysis: India, China, South Korea, Brazil, South Africa, Nigeria, and Kenya. These

countries have been selected purposively because most of these countries have an

emerging economy including a well-developed steel sector (e.g. China, and South

Korea), while others have both success and failure stories which convey a useful message

for the development direction of Ethiopian steel industry.

The comparison has particularly focused on salient issues pertaining to raw materials,

human resource development, production, technology, support institutions, policy and

regulatory frameworks, market conditionsand finance, energy and environment.

6.1. Raw materials Steel industry is reliant on a number of raw materials, particularly iron ore, coal (coke),

ferrous scrap and various additive elements for the steelmaking process. The amount and

quality of iron (Fe) influences the selection of specific technology and quality of steel

products in addition to energy sources.

India: In Indian steel industry, raw materials are obtained both from domestic sources

and from other countries particularly from Australia. The country also exports steel

products to the world market by adding value to the materials. Although the country has

huge amount of iron ore deposit, the quality of the ore is of medium and low grade. This

has forced the country to use beneficiation to improve the quality of iron. Moreover, the

country imports huge amount of coal which affects the sector‟s competitiveness in global

market.

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As a result of export and import activities of steel raw materials and products, the

government has devoted huge amount of resources to build infrastructure facilities for the

development of the sector.

Ethiopia can draw on the Indian experience by exploring and beneficiation of local

resources in addition to already prevailing imports of raw materials from abroad. Like

India, Ethiopia should consider exporting some products rather than supplying products

exclusively for local consumption. Also, the government has to take initiatives to build

further basic infrastructure facilities in order to transform the sector.

China:As far as China is concerned, a number of relevant factors to Ethiopia can be

addressed. For instance, the country has a law on mineral resources which dictates that

domestic iron ore resources must be protected and utilized rationally. The country also

supports research and development and application of efficient mining, processing and

metallurgical techniques for low-grade ores to improve resource utilization.

China has moved the ownership of steel industry gradually from state-owned to joint

venture and eventually to private sector.In this regard, the country has identified different

economic zones supplied with necessary infrastructures to attract potential foreign

investors.

The healthy and orderly development of domestic iron ore resources should be actively

promoted. The differentiated management pilot areas should be established to accelerate

the steps of major iron ore resources development projects in progress.

The tax reform of metallurgical and mining resources should be accelerated, and the

ecological compensation mechanism should be improved to promote the sustainable

development of metallurgical mining.

Strategic investors should be actively introduced; capital operation should be studied and

implemented, and the transformation of mineral resources from an increase in quantity to

an increase in value should be accelerated.

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The domestic steel enterprises should strengthen the coordination with iron ore suppliers

to establish long-term stable channels for importing iron ores. They should make full use

of futures, indices and other financial instruments to promote and construct an open and

transparent market price mechanism for iron ores.

The establishment of demonstration bases for industrialization of steel scrap recycling

should be promoted, and supportive tax policies for steel scrap recycling should be

studied and formulated.Short steel processing technologies and equipment utilization

using steel scraps as raw materials should be encouraged. By 2025, the scrap ratio of

China‟s steel enterprises should not be less than 30%, and the steel scrap processing and

delivery system should be basically established.

Clearly, the Ethiopian steel industry can draw some useful lessons from its Chinese

counterpart. In the first place, the existence of law on mineral resources in China should

be taken as a relevant lesson for Ethiopia even though the country has apparently limited

iron ore deposits. Secondly, promotion of research and development is an area that can be

considered highly relevant for the Ethiopian steel industry, where the awareness and

practice of research and development is highly limited. Thirdly, as in the case of China,

Ethiopia can consider the possibility of gradual transfer of iron and steel industry from

state-owned to a joint venture and ultimately to a private enterprise. Finally, Ethiopia can

also seek various means of supplying raw materials from locally available resources on a

sustainable basis.

Nigeria:In order to maximize the benefits of its raw material resources, Nigeria took

several measures, which can be exemplary for Ethiopia. For instance, the country

established Nigerian Steel Development Authority to identify, locate and procure locally

available raw materials for the steel industry. It also established the Raw Materials

Research and Development Council in order to ensure that steel plants were not starved

of raw materials, and the National Metallurgical Development Centre, which should

undertake studies and projects on beneficiation of locally available raw materials,

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development of processes and products for the exploitation of these raw materials into

pilot scale for commercialization.

The fact that Nigeria has established various centers and agencies at various times in

relation to raw materials for steel industry may indicate the focus the country has given

for raw materials for her steel industry. However, the country has not benefited much

from the sector regardless of the huge resource endowment and establishing various

authorities and centers. This is probably due to lack of political commitment and

prevailing rent seeking practices. Yet, it is important for Ethiopia to consider the wider

implications of such establishments for a better provision and utilization of raw materials

in her iron and steel industry.

South Africa:The country has all raw materials required for steel production. Several

private sector projects are currently assessing the mining of these resources. The country

is exporting 60 million tons of iron ore and 1.5 million tons of scrap per annum,

according to SSY (2013). Although the country is endowed with all raw materials, it was

indicated that the maximum benefits of the resources were not exploited because of

inefficiencies and high costs of energy, road, rail and port infrastructure, low level of

beneficiation and value chain in domestic iron and steel industries.

According to the Southern African Institute of Steel Construction (SAISC), the

availability of suitably trained manpower and specialist skills is a major factor in the

continued growth and development of the industry. Education is a key instrument to

achieve this purpose. To maintain and develop the industry's competitiveness, the SAISC

operates a bursary scheme to draw young engineers into the industry; it is actively

concerned with the quality of courses in steel design at universities, invites eminent

overseas lecturers to enhance courses, offers continuing education courses to recent

graduates and practicing designers, and sponsors research programs at

severaluniversities.

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On the other hand, variable and often out-of-date production and technological

capabilities have resulted in the industry losing ground in maintaining local content and

being unable to effectively capture new opportunities offered by both private and public

capital expenditure program. Besides, despite SAISC‟s efforts to use education as an

instrument to enhance the availability of trained human power and specialist skills for the

sector, the nation‟s steel industry still suffers from severe skills shortages at artisan,

technical, engineering and project management levels.

In this regard, the lesson that Ethiopia can take from South Africa is obvious: the crux of

the matter lies not only in owning resources; rather, it is about how we utilize our

resources in economically efficient ways by setting clear infrastructure plan and

appropriate value chain. Also, Ethiopia can consider South Africa as one of potential

candidates from which iron ore and scraps can be imported due to relative transportation

cost advantages (rail way).

South Korea: The countryimports both iron ore and coal. Yet, the country has

established a giant steel center called POSCO International Centre, which is the largest

capacity furnace in the country and the fourth largest in the world.

In 2010, the country was one of the region‟s significant consumers and importers of coal,

natural gas and crude oil; ores and concentrates of copper, iron, lead, and zinc; and nickel

oxide sinter. In 2010, production of steel increasedby 21%, pig iron by 14%, and iron ore

by 13% compared with that of the previous year. In the same year, mine production of

iron ore was about 513,000 tin gross weight, and the country relied heavily on imports to

meet its iron ore requirement. Imports of iron ore totaled 56.3 Mt and were valued at

about $6.65 billion. The country‟s crude steelmaking capacity increased by 18.6% to 76.1

Mtin 2010 as opposed to that of 2009, owing to the start of full operations at Hyundai

Steel‟s two blast furnaces.

In 2010, POSCO resumed operation of a blast furnace in Pohang after the furnace was

refurbished. The annual production capacity of the furnace was increased to 5.3 Mt,

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which made the Pohang blast furnace the largest capacity furnace in the country and the

fourth largest in the world.

The South Korean steel development experience conveys a very important message for

Ethiopia: it is possible to be a dominant steel producer for both domestic and global

market even without having enough domestic natural resources for the sector. This was

possible in Korea because of the country‟s efficiency in policy making particularly in

human resource and technology development.

The amount of iron ore, quality and objective of mining of the selected countries is

summarized in the following table:

Table 51: Raw materials Country Amount of ore in ton Quality of iron ore (Fe

content) Objective of mining

China 74.4 billion ton Medium on average Net Importer

S.Korea * * Net importer

India 28 billion ton Medium and low grade Currently Export but it needs for domestic industry

Brazil 16 billion Average >60% Fe Export and import (net exporter)

South Africa

5370mt, + (26400mt including low grade)=31.77billion ton

High grade and low grades Export

Nigeria 3billion 2 billion (45-50 %Fe), others lower grade Local production

Kenya Above 32mt; there is unknown reserve 50-60% *

Ethiopia Above 150mt only the known Medium and low grade Not yet used

*data unavailable

6.2. Human resource

Having rich supply of raw materials alone is not enough for the development and proper

functioning of an iron and steel industry. Without well-qualified and sufficient number of

human resource, it is, of course, impossible to think of a successful iron and steel

industry. Given the crucial role of human resource in a successful operation of the

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industry, it is beneficial to look at the experience of the nations which are selected for the

purpose of comparative study.

India: Currently, 600,000 work forces are engaged in the Indian iron and steel industries.

The profile of the required human resources will have a larger share of the skilled and

semi-skilled labor force. Further, the task is not limited to an increase in the stock of

technical manpower. The technical and professional institutes of the country would also

be required to impart new competencies and capabilities in tune with changes in

technology and the needs of globalization. The country aims to enhance its human

resource development through pursuing M.Tech, Ph.D and Post-Doctoral programs for

creating a talent pool for research activities.

In addition to these programs, short and long term, pre-service and in-service training is

provided in the following areas: Raw material preparation, Cock preparation, Sinter

preparation, Iron making, Steel making, Rolling and forging, Process control automation,

Plant management along with energy and environment, Production, Quality improvement

and process and R& D on machineries (Furnace, forging and heat treatment etc.)

The presence of a national iron and steel council enables the country to equip the industry

with necessary workforce (required labor force of Vision 2025-26 is about 2.4 million

professionals and workers). In addition, the industry has been finding ways to attract and

retain talent workers, retrain and redeploy its human resource, invest in new leadership

and competency development, and strengthen knowledge management to provide human

capital for the sector.

India‟s effort to create jobs for citizens by improving the productivity of the country‟s

steel industry is a useful experience that Ethiopia can draw on. Similarly, the country‟s

aim to upgrade and diversify the profile of the workforce through various programs such

as M.Tech, Ph.D and Post-Doctoral programs and short and long-term trainings can be

considered as a useful lesson for Ethiopia in her human resource development programs.

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China: Concerning human resource, China was able to attract investment in iron and

steel sector through supplying abundant workforce at a relatively low wage rates.

However, the productivity of most of the workforce was low and the country has been

aggressively investing on upgrading the skills of human resources, particularly the

Engineering personnel and provide social infrastructures like schools and health centers

in most special industry zones to increase retention and health conditions of the industrial

workers. Moreover, china also relaxed some regulations to allow foreign experts to be

employed by both local and foreign investors.

To further improve training to create a force of technological innovation and management

talent and encourage innovation, different governmental and non-governmental institutes,

centers and organizations have been established. Examples of these include China Iron &

Steel Research Institute Group (CISRI), which is serving as an important R&D base and

a leading provider of advanced materials and products in the country, China Iron & Steel

Research Institute Group Co., Ltd., which manufactures and supplies different materials,

and China Iron & Steel Association, conducts different studies on production, technology

development, human resource development, market and total situation of the sector.

With all of these initiatives, the country has been working on improving labor

productivity. According to China revised (2015) steel policy, it was expected that, the

annual labor productivity of large-and-medium-sized steel enterprises‟ core businesses

should exceed 1,000 tons/person/year and that of advanced enterprises should exceed

1,500 tons/person/year.

Iron and steel industry is vital in promoting employment and boosting economic

prosperity and serves as a pillar of local economic development and social stability. For

example, in 2010, the sector of ferrous metal smelting and rolling of China employed an

annual average of 3.4563 million employees, making the sector the 11th biggest employer

among all industrial categories of the country. This sector and the ferrous metal mining

sector employed among themselves an average of 4.10 million employees. Furthermore,

given the role of the iron and steel industry in boosting the development of related

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industrial sectors and sectors oriented to serving the iron and steel industry (such as

research and trade sectors), the industry plays a greater part in promoting indirect

employment.

Nigeria: In order to ensure availability of junior and middle level personnel support for

the steel industry, the Nigerian Government established the Raw Materials Research and

Development Council, National Metallurgical Development Centre, and Metallurgical

Training Institute to train a staff of cadre for the steel industry.

The fact that Nigeria has established various centers and agencies at various times in

relation to human resources development of her steel industries is interesting. However,

the country has not benefited much from the sector regardless of establishing various

institutions, authorities and centers, probably due to lack of political commitment and

prevailing rent seeking practices. Yet, it is important for Ethiopia to consider the wider

implications of such establishments for a better provision of skillful and competent

human resource in her iron and steel industry.

South Africa: According to the Southern African Institute of Steel Construction

(SAISC), the availability of suitably trained manpower and specialist skills is a major

factor in the continued growth and development of the industry. Education is a key

instrument to achieve this purpose. To maintain and develop the industry's

competitiveness, the SAISC operates a bursary scheme to draw young engineers into the

industry, is actively concerned with the quality of courses in steel design at universities,

invites eminent overseas lecturers to enhance courses, offers continuing education

courses to recent graduates and practicing designers, and sponsors research programs at

several universities.

According to South African Iron and Steel Institute (2014), Primary Steel Industry in the

country provides employment for more than 25,000 people, and indirect economy-wide

employment increases substantially via suppliers to primary steel industry. The industry

spent a significant budget on training to produce more than 750 artisans. The majority of

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employees are local as primary steel mills are regarded as employer of choice providing

stable jobs in local communities.

The effort in South African to create jobs for citizens directly and indirectly is a useful

experience for Ethiopian steel industry. Besides, the effort of the country to prepare

potential industry employees through provision of training at various institutions can be a

useful lesson for our steel industry sector in its human resource development.

Brazil: In Brail, the companies associated with the Brazil Steel Institute employed

100,924 in-house and outsourced collaborators and promoted another 2.4 million indirect

and induced job positions. Concerning human resource development, there are several

institutions that are involved in various training programs (Brazil Steel institute, 2015).

For instance, the Brazilian S System is a group of entities classified as autonomous social

services, nonprofit private entities that exert private activities of public interest. Each

autonomous social service is specific to an economical sector and responsible for (i)

promoting the improvement of the quality of life of workers within that sector; and (ii)

providing professional and technical education, to fulfill the demand for qualified

workers on it.

In the 1940‟s, a private initiative which consisted of owners of industries and commerce

created SENAI (industry‟s national learning service) in 1942, promoting professional

and technological education, to innovate and transfer industrial technologies in order to

stimulate industry‟s competition and SENAC (commerce‟s national learning service) in

1946 to produce intellectual workers who had studied the humanistic curriculum and,

therefore, would eventually be in charge of the political, social and economic

development of the country. These special schools were aimed to train workers for

industry and commerce, in order to meet the demands for qualified workers.

Also, already existing secondary schools became Federal Technical Schools in 1942.

With these changes, the educational system consolidated and produced two distinct kinds

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of workers resulting from the technical and social division of work. These were social

workers or intellectual workers, who had studied the humanistic curriculum and

therefore, would eventually be in charge of the political, social, and economic

development of the country, and instrumental workers or technical workers, who had

studied particular curriculum depending on the work area they were supposed to perform,

thus learning only the skills needed in that field.

Ethiopia can also gain useful lessons from the Brazilian steel industry in terms of job

creation for citizens and human resource development to upgrade labor productivity and

efficiency of its steel industry. The fact that Brazil has special schools for training

industry workers seems a useful experience that can be implemented in Ethiopia.

South Korea: As stated elsewhere, South Korea imports both iron ore and coal. Yet, the

country has established a giant steel center called POSCO International Centre, which is

the largest capacity furnace in the country and the fourth largest in the world.

The South Korean steel development experience conveys a very important message for

Ethiopia: it is possible to be a dominant steel producer for both domestic and global

market even without having enough domestic natural resources for the sector. This was

possible in Korea because of the country‟s efficiency in policy making particularly in

human resource and technology development.

Ethiopia: The data collected by the institute (MIDI) indicates that the human workforce

engaged in the subsector constitutes 26,577 in 2004, 28,632 in 2005, 30,823 in 2006 and

approximately 32,823 in 2007. As can be understood from these figures, the number of

the workforce joining the subsector has increased over the last three years with an

average of over 2000 workers entering the subsector yearly.

On the other hand, the data gathered in the present project with regard to the number of

job opportunities created in various job positions reveal that the subsector currently

provide employment for about 17136 workforce. From the total number of employees in

the sector, 2.6% are managerial staff, 24.47% administrative support staff, 4.41%

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permanent local engineers, 31.92% permanent local technical experts, 0.24% permanent

expatriates and 36.6% temporary workers. This means that only negligible proportion of

the human resource is currently engaged in the industry as engineers. This suggests the

need to work more on human resource development particularly in terms of equipping the

subsector with more qualified professionals.

Attempts have been made in the following table to provide a summary of information

pertinent to the human resource development endeavors of the countries under

consideration.

Table 52: Human resource related information

Country Useful statistics and information HR development Labor productivity India 600,000 workforce (2015)

vision 2025-26 requires about 2.4 million professionals and workers

Share of the skilled and semi-skilled labor force

M.Tech, Ph.D and Post-Doctoral programs (professionals and workers)

126 ton/man year

China An annual average of 3.4563 million were employed in 2010 by the sector of ferrous metal smelting and rolling

An average of 4.10 million employees were employed bythis sector and the ferrous metal mining sector

Supplying abundant workforce at a relatively low wage rates

aggressively investing on the upgrading of the skills of human resources particularly the engineering personnel

Providing social infrastructures like schools and health centers in most special industry zones to increase retention and health of the industrial workers.

Relaxing some regulations to allow foreign experts to be employed by both local and foreign investors.

Promoting employment and boosting economic prosperity

The steel industry

It was expected that, by 2015, the annual labor productivity of large-and-medium-sized steel enterprises‟ core businesses should exceed 1,000 tons/person/year and that of advanced enterprises should exceed 1,500 tons/person/year

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serving as the pillar of local economic development and social stability.

Nigeria

Establishment of the Metallurgical Training Institute (MTI) to train staff for the steel industry for availability of junior and middle level personnel support for the steel industry

South Africa

Primary Steel Industry provides employment to more than 25 000 people

Indirect economy-wide employment increases substantially via suppliers to primary steel industry.

Primary Steel Industry spent is significant on training to produce more than 750 artisans

More than 150 university bursaries

Drawing young engineers into the industry

Ensuring quality of courses in steel design at universities

Involving eminent overseas lecturers to enhance courses, offers continuing education courses to recent graduates and practicing designers,

Providing stable jobs mainly for local communities (e.g. Primary Steel Mills)

Providing local community education via science centers

Labor productivity remained constant since 1994

Slowing labor Productivity growth (%)

1996-01‟ =5.8 2001-06‟ =3.4 2006-11‟ =1.6

South Korea

Efficiency in policy making particularly in human resource and technology development.

1345 ton/man year (POSCO)

Brazil

Companies employed 100,924 in-house workers and outsourced collaborators and promoted another 2.4 million indirect and induced job positions

Establishment of a group of nonprofit private entities known as „autonomous social services‟

Via autonomous social services

(i) promoting the improvement of

the quality of life of workers (ii) Providing professional

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6.3. Production Types of products, production capacity and production efficiency of the selected

countries for comparative analysis and Ethiopia is summarized in the following table.

and technical education, to fulfill the demand for qualified workers on it. Opening special schools

aiming to train workers for industry and commerce, in order to meet the demands for qualified workers.

Kenya A single steel plant of a capacity to produce 350,000 metric tons of steel per year can generate about 10,000 jobs not to mention the jobs created through other steel related activities.

Skills Development for the Technical Human Resource for the Manufacturing Sector (with steel industry being in focus)

27.58 (mean for the review period of 8 years (2001-2008) for 9 selected firms

Ethiopia Approximately 32,823employees in 2007in 4 subsectors

Knowledge and skill transfer to new employees through in-house training;

Upgrading employees‟ academic qualification;

Providing on-the-job training opportunities to produce qualified human power;

Knowledge and technology transfer from expatriates;

Knowledge and technology transfer during copying of products;

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Table 53: Steel production Countries Type of products Actual crude

steel production capacity in 2014

Production efficiency

India Sheet metal,

hot and cold rolled coils ,

alloy and non-alloy

83.2 Mt 90% (2011)

China Stainless steel sheet and plate, galvanized steel,

Electric steel coil,

hot rolled Square steel billet, square bar, billet

822.7 Mt 93% (2015)

South Korea

hot rolled steel, steel plate, wire road

cold rolled steel, galvanized steel

electrical galvanized steel

automotive materials

stainless steel, Long products,

71 Mt 97% (2015)

Brazil Semi-finished (plates, blooms and billets)

Carbon flat steel (plates and coils)

Special/alloy flat steel (plates and coils)

Carbon long steel (bars, shapes, wire rod, rods, wires and seamless tubes and pipes)

33.9 Mt 70.5% (2014)

South Africa

flat-rolled and long products),

tubes and structural steel, extrusions and wire,

Hot & cold rolled coil,

Galvanized coil, plates and sheets

6.5 Mt 69% (2015)

Nigeria Light section mill (320mm),wire rod mill (150mm),

Billet mill (900mm//630mmSemi continuous),

Medium section and structural mill (700mm)

0.1Mt Not known

Kenya Glazed products, cold rolled steel,

Hot rolling wire, pipes

0.02 Mt 58%(average technical efficiency) 2012 (African Development bank)

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Ethiopia Round bar and Re-bar, Wire,Nail, Billet

Galvanized and corrugates sheets

Crown cork, Metallic door

Metallic window, Motor vehicle spring

37.7%

6.4. Technology Technology is one of the key determinants of the development of steel industry in any

country and its endeavors to transform its steel sector. Particularly, selection of

appropriate technology is critical for developing countries as it has both resource and

knowledge implications to acquire and own a given technology. Hence, selection,

adoption, and transfer of appropriate technologies for the development of steel industry in

a given country must be seen from the realities on the ground by taking into consideration

the peculiar characteristics of that specific country.

In the following section, the steel sector technology of selected countries is presented to

guide Ethiopia in technology selection for its steel industry.

Table 54: Technology

Countries Type of technology Scale of industry R and D India Blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace

Direct reduced iron

Electric arc furnace

Rolling mills

Small to large scale 0.15 – 0.25% of their sales turnover

China Blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace

Direct reduced iron

Electric arc furnace

Rolling mills

From small scale to large scale/large scale

1.7% of the income from core business activities (Bao Steel)

South Korea Blast furnace-basic oxygen furnace

FINEX Process Electric arc furnace

Strip casting

From small scale to large scale

1.3% of turnover (POSCO)

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Endless hot rolling technology

Operation technology

CEM technology Brazil 11 Blast furnace-basic oxygen

furnace and

14 mini mills (Electric furnace)

From small scale to large scale

0.22% of net income for iron and steel 0.22% for steel products 0.21% manufacturing of metal products

South Africa Blast furnace

Direct reduced iron

Electric arc furnace

No data 0.76% of GDP(for all sectors)

Nigeria Mostly BF and rare DRI, Alumino-silicate refractory plant…

No data No data

Kenya Electric Arc Furnace,

Integrated (for future),

Small scale No data

Ethiopia Electric arc furnace, induction furnace

pre heating furnace,

Re bar and round bar rolling mills,

Corrugate machine

Small scale None

Ethiopia can draw many lessons from the BRICS countries on selecting and using

appropriate technologies for her steel industries according to the quality, quantity and

location of the existing raw materials, human resource knowledge and skills, capital

capacity, environmental issues and energy consumption. In this regard, the country has

the possibility to use blast furnace, DRI and electric furnaces. Each of these technologies

has its own merits and demerits.

DRI has a number of advantages because it is easily movable, and it can be used in all

scales: from small to large scale industries. It also uses alternative energy sources (natural

gas, coal), and it is environmentally friendly. On the contrary, the fact that it requires

high quality of iron ore and is unsuitable for bulky production makes DRI a

disadvantageous technology.

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On the other hand, blast furnace helps to produce bulky products and does not necessarily

require high quality of the iron ore, but it requires extra beneficiations such as coal and

coke and huge expansion of infrastructure besides being environmentally unfavorable. In

addition to these, it is capital-intensive, which means that it has its own impact on the

investment in the field.

As in the case of Egypt, to use scrap as a raw material, the application of electric furnaces

is promising in terms of its energy saving and environmental-friendly nature.

In addition to the above technologies adopting advanced steelmaking technologies and

equipment such as feedstock material beneficiation, preliminary process of liquid iron,

medium capacity direct reduction, secondary smelting at converters, continuous casting,

continuous rolling, controlled rolling and controlled cooling are crucial to make the

sector a regional and global competitor.

Since there is no single best technology, it is recommended that each technology should

be used eclectically. The disadvantages in one technology can be compensated for with

the maximum utilization of the advantages in the other technologies. If these technologies

are utilized appropriately and if the government expands the railway network, our steel

industries have plenty of opportunities to be global competitors.

The assessment of the comparative study indicates that, nowadays, there is a huge

opportunity to easily access appropriate technologies on the global market. The

technologies of the contemporary world are energy-saving, environmentally friendly and

fully-automated.

This is great opportunity for Ethiopia to import these technologies in order to upgrade

technological capacities of steel industries. This implies that, there is less need, under the

present global situation, to embark on small scale industries due to their environmental

pollution and high energy consumption. On the other hand, large scale steel industries

are not recommendable for our country because of the fact that these industries require

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huge amount of raw materials, skilled workforce, specialized infrastructures and big

investment capital that the country may not be in a position to implement at the current

situation.

Hence, it seems more feasible for Ethiopia to start from a medium scale steel industry to

compromise the above facts and meet the urgent demands of steel products.

6.5. Support institutions Steel industries cannot flourish without support of concerned institutions, organizations,

associations, centers, and councils (referred to here as „support institutions‟). As the name

implies, these institutions can support steel industries in many important areas such as

human resource development, R&D, and building technological capacity. The table that

follows presents some support institutions of the countries under comparison along with

their major contributions to the steel industry of respective countries.

Table 55: Support institutions

Country Support Institutions Major contributions

India

Existence of Ministry of Steel with some nine public sectors, another nine private sectors, and technical institutes under its administrative control

Planning and development of iron and steel industry

Technical Institutes and Related Organizations

Constantly upgrading the technical skills of the workforce

BijuPatnaik National Steel Institute Catering to the need for HRD and Technology Up gradation National Institute of Secondary Steel Technology

Catering to the technological and HRD needs of steel units in the Secondary Steel Sector

Institute for Steel Development & Growth

Development of advanced design methodologies & technical marketing

Joint Plant Committee Creation and maintenance of a complete databank

Economic Research Unit Research support, forecasting exercises and examination of policy matters/techno-economic studies

China

China Iron & Steel Research Institute Group

Serving as an important R&D base and a leading provider of advanced materials and products in China

China Iron & Steel Research Institute Group Co., Ltd

Manufacturing and supplying functional materials, powder metallurgy materials, refractory metals, high temperature alloys, structural materials, etc

China Iron & Steel Association Conducting different studies on production, technology

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Country Support Institutions Major contributions development, human resource development, market and total situation of the sector

South Korea POSTECH Expand first-class products and overseas markets

Brazil

Brazil Steel Institute Congregating and representing Brazilian steel companies, defending their interests and promoting their development

Brazilian Foundry Association Offering trained manpower in Foundry Technical Courses, Metallurgical Engineering, Foundry MBA &Foundry Engineering

The Brazilian Steel Committee Creating technical standards for steel and steel products in Brazil.

Brazil Steel Co-Products Center

Advancing development and adding value to co-products – such as scrap – that are reused in steel manufacturing itself or in other sectors, such as construction, therefore generating major environmental benefits.

Brazilian Center of Steel Construction Conducting survey and research on subject matters relevant to the steel sector

South Africa

South African Iron and Steel Institute (SAISI)

Serving the collective interests of the primary steel industry in South Africa

Associated Bodies to SAISI

Southern African Institute of Steel Construction

Promoting the use of steel in construction by involving in marketing, education, engineering and the provision of member services

Southern African Light Steel Frame Building Association

Developing and growing the Southern African export markets for light steel frame building.

The Southern African Institute of Welding

Serving the welding industry and promoting its interests by furthering the standards, training and qualification of South African personnel

South African International Steel Fabricators

As a joint-venture marketing company, representing the leading South African structural steel fabricators whose objective is to increase their export sales by pooling their resources

South African Wire Association

Supporting the South African Wire Industry in becoming world class and to maintain that position.

Southern Africa Stainless Steel Development Association

Offering its members a wide variety of services such as technical information and advice, education, training and skills upgrading

Steel and Engineering Industries Federation of Southern Africa

Representing and promoting the interests of members in the metal and engineering industry by providing a range of other services to members in the areas of social policy, skills development and economic and commercial services

Association of Steel Tube and Pipe Manufacturers of South Africa

Representing the major welded carbon steel tube and pipe manufacturers in South Africa, producing a complete range of tube and pipe for all conveyance and structural applications to the highest international standards.

Nigeria

Nigerian Steel Development Authority

Identifying, locating and procuring locally available raw materials for the steel industry

Raw Materials Research and Development Council Ensuring that steel plants don not face shortage of raw materials

Metallurgical Development Centre Undertaking studies & projects on beneficiation of locally

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Country Support Institutions Major contributions available raw materials, development of processes and products

Kenya Vision 2030 Manufacturing Sector Skills Development for the Technical Human Resource for the Manufacturing Sector (with steel industry being in focus)

Ethiopia Metals Industry Development Institute

Promotion of metals and engineering industries investment, Enhancing production capacity of the metals and engineering industries, Enhancing metals and engineering products market share

As we can see from the table, most countries have various support institutions which

support their steel industries in many respects. The literature in the area depicts that such

institutions contribute significantly to develop steel industries.

However, as long as Ethiopia is concerned, there is presently only one institute that works

on various issues of the country‟s steel industry. On the basis of the experience of the

countries in this comparative study, there is no doubt that additional and strong

institutions are needed in Ethiopia in addition to the sole MIDI.

6.6. Policy and regulatory frameworks South Korea: The South Korean economy is seen internationally as a model of economic

development in which an industrial policy played a vital role. The national government

intervened extensively in resource allocation, targeting industries to be promoted and

providing incentives to promote the selected industries. The evolution of the Korean

Policy Mix can be separated into two periods. The initial period was government-led and

the latter period was private sector-led. Industrial policy has been harmonized with trade

policy and supported by policies for human resource development and technology

because of the fact that industrial competitiveness depends ultimately on skill and

technology.

South Korean steel industry developed rapidly following the establishment of POSCO, a

state-owned integrated firm in the early 1970s. However, in late 1990s the Korean

government transformed the steel industry from state led development to privatization to

create competition among private firms. Within manufacturing industries, South Korea

moved continuously from unskilled labor-intensive light industries to skilled labor-

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intensive assembly and fabrication and from capital-intensive heavy industries to

technology-intensive ICT industries. South Korea is now challenged to move upward to

knowledge-intensive service industries.

More specifically,

Export Promotion in the late 1960s focused on manufactured consumer goods and

the government introduced incentive packages(discretionary based loans, both

foreign and local loans, tax reliefs, facilitation of long-term loans, industrial

equipment purchase loan etc. are incentives provided by the government in

addition to provision of regulatory frameworks and provision of basic

infrastructures).

The role of the government was coordination, information dissemination, risk

management, and financing. For example, the government took measures to

shorten or do away with regulatory delays, increase transparency, institutionalize

incentives to reduce the discretion of bureaucrats, give investors‟ confidence in

policy, and create a specialized public agency to implement the policy.

The government adjusted industrial policies to support industries intensively. For

example, discretionary policy loans (in the form of a machine industry promotion fund, a

foreign loan fund, an export equipment fund, an industry rationalization fund, a long-term

policy fund, a medium-industry fund, etc.) were 40% of total bank loans in 1977–81.

Credit control has been a powerful policy instrument, and a measure of subsidized loans

captures a substantial element of the entire industrial policy.

The implication of this for Ethiopia is that the government should be dynamic in

constantly revising its steel policy and take necessary actions whenever important. In

addition, the establishment of a separate institute to support MSEs is believed to be a

driving force for the growth and transformation of a country. Exclusive investment in

human resource and technology development that the industry needs should be given

priority to enhance industry development, particularly steel industry.

South Africa: The South African industry policy mainly targets value-addition,

employment, investment, technology development and productivity growth. Following

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liberalization in 1990s that lead to removal of protection policies (or antidumping

legislation) for the South African economy, there have been instances where

manufacturers in the steel value chain have imported steel at a cheaper price, cheaper

than the price of steel sold by companies in South Africa. However, South Africa‟s steel

industry is less competitive due to less attention given to infrastructure development and

high energy costs though the country is rich in huge potential of iron ore and other

minerals.

The implication is that Ethiopia is in better position in imposing protection policy by

virtue of being a developing country and the availability of natural gas for energy supply.

To avoid the failure stories of South Africa in the area of infrastructure development, the

Ethiopian government has to promote investment in infrastructure to develop the

country‟s steel industry.

India: The industrialization policy followed by India was import substitution (1952-1991

closed door policy) and has been liberalization (since 1991 to date). In the case of India‟s

steel industry, the economic liberalization in 1991 helped to undergo a significant

reorganization though state-owned firms had played the core role in early stage of

development.

The driving force for the development of Indian steel industry is its ability to introduce

newly available technology and domestically available raw materials like scarps, a

situation which has enabled small-scale producers to grow. The country‟s economic

development changed away from a traditional industrial policy towards liberalization,

and the market orientation in 1991 was accepted as a guide in a new era of freedom from

government controls. Some of the policy measures which have significantly contributed

to the development of Indian steel industries are relaxation of foreign capital regulation,

liberalization of trade, and revolution in finance system.

India has designed and implemented iron and steel policies with some special objectives

and targets.

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National steel policy of 2005:Aims at achieving global competitiveness in terms

of targeting 110 ton capacity and 100 ton production capacity by 2019/2020

focusing on:

o Cost, quality and product-mix

o Global benchmarks of efficiency and productivity

o Developing and adapting technologies, and synergy with the natural

resource base

o Allowing joint ventures, technical cooperation, and acquisition of selected

enterprises. For instance, acquisition of 14 companies of India by Europe

and USA, joint venture with 8 companies of Europe and Japan can be

taken as good examples of policy adoption.

National steel policy 2012: Aims at transforming steel industry into a global

leader with a target to reach crude steel capacity level of 300mt and actual

production 275 Mt by 2025‐26.

o Greater focus (R&D) for developing indigenous technologies

o Developing indigenous capabilities of design, engineering and

manufacturing of critical capital equipment required for steel production

The role of the government is to provide basic infrastructures required for steel

production and promote participation of the private sector. The government will also

encourage the steel industry to follow an aggressive export strategy to tap the

opportunities in the global market fully.

In conclusion, the roles played by state-owned steel industries, and utilization of domestic

raw materials and contemporary latest technologies have contributed to the development

of steel industries in India. In addition, the joint venture with foreign experienced

companies has helped the industries to transform in technical and financial aspects. This

can be taken as a good lesson for Ethiopia.

Nigeria: Although Nigeria is unsuccessful in transforming its steel industry despite

possessing huge raw material and human resource bases, it had designed and

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implemented different industrial and steel sector-related polices to promote the growth of

the sector. Some of the policy decrees enacted by Nigeria are: import-substituting

industrialization (1962-68), private to public sector-led industrialization (1970-74),

Export Promotion Strategy, and Foreign Private Investment Led Industrialization

Strategy (1999).

New Industrial Revolution Plan was developed with an objective of achieving the

following outcomes: (i) Job creation, (ii) Economic and revenue diversification, (iii)

Import substitution (iv), Export diversification, and (v) Broadened government tax base.

In addition, the plan focuses on solid minerals and metals, as it is believed that massive

untapped raw reserves, notably iron ore, can enhance industrial output. New industrial

revolution was intended to create a strong industry that can tap into the mining sector

(initially focusing on the iron ore value-chain) and build a competitive advantage around

high-value, high-volume products.

Nigeria is blessed with all types of raw materials required for steel development

including iron ore, coal, natural gas and limestone. Unfortunately, however, due to

several factors including political, technical, logistical and managerial challenges, all

these publicly-owned and private iron and steel companies folded up in Nigeria.

Despite the fact that Nigeria is blessed with huge natural resource for iron and steel

industry and the Nigerian government is dynamic in policy formulation and in

preparation of different sector-specific plans, the country has been unable to transform its

steel sector. This could be the result of bad governance and lack of political commitment

in implementing these policies and plans.

China: The market-oriented reforms and (open up) policy introduced in 1978 have

produced high economic growth and dynamic transformation that led to high attraction of

FDI particularly in the manufacturing sector by introducing new technology, know-how,

and capital to develop export-oriented economy and provided managerial autonomy and

other preferential treatment by law. Among the manufacturing, technology and labor

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intensive sectors, steel industry has been given priority through provision of huge

government incentives and low labor cost of the country.

Moreover, Special Economic Zones (SEZs) and new laws were enacted to guarantee

legal protection in different ownership types (equity joint venture companies, cooperative

joint venture companies, and companies wholly owned by foreigners) that have led to

speed up china‟s industrialization. These trends through China‟s so-called “dual track”

economic reform strategy have balanced ongoing support for import-substitution in

selected sectors with an evolving array of export processing activities.

In relation to iron and steel sector, the following policies have been designed and

implanted:

China Steel Policy 2005 with intention of making China one of the largest and the

most competitive steel producing countries by 2010 with the target:

o to meet the demand of most industries in China(construction, machinery,

chemical engineering, automobile manufacture, household, electrical

appliance, ship-making, transportation, military industry, and other new

industries.

o enable steel companies to recycle redundant heat and energy for power

generation and steel mills with a production capacity of more than 5m t/y to

be more than self-efficient with power supplies,

o ensure that energy consumption per ton of crude steel produced shall be 0.7

ton or less for blast furnace processes, and 0.4 ton or less for EAF process,

both in standard coal equivalent

o raise the research and development, design, and manufacture level for

important technologies and equipment.

o encourage steelmaking and metallurgical equipment manufacturing

companies to export advanced technologies and metallurgical equipment

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China’s revised steel policy (2015): The main objective of this policy is:

“By 2025, steel products and services should fully satisfy the development needs of the national economy and should realize transformation and upgrading by creating resource-conserving, eco-friendly steel enterprises with strong innovative capabilities, positive economic benefits, and international competitiveness. Products and services, industrial equipment, energy and environmental conservation, and indigenous innovation, etc. should reach globally advanced levels, and a fair and open market environment should basically take shape”.

Moreover, the comprehensive policy package designed and implemented by China since

1978 with regard to the industry sector, particularly the manufacturing subsector, in terms

of attracting FDI, legal framework alignment, infrastructure investment, establishment of

special economic and technology zones could be considered as indispensable lesson to

Ethiopia.

Kenya: the development of the iron and steel sector has been given due attention as it

will have a spill-over effect on other sectors of the economy and has the potential to

create employment opportunities to Kenyans. The vision of becoming an industrialized

nation (Vision 2030) advocates for regional manufacturing and industrial clusters as

engines for realizing industrialization since it helps to improve infrastructure, technology

transfer, research and development facilities.

The iron and steel industry in Kenya forms about 13% of the manufacturing sector, which

in turn contributed about 30% to the GDP by 2030.However, the major challenges of

steel industries were securing of capable human resources as there is mismatch between

available technical skills and the market demand due to a weak linkage between training

institutions and the industry at the three levels of training, i.e., universities, tertiary

colleges and youth polytechnics. The good thing is that various government policy

instruments and private sector initiatives have been developed to address these

challenges.

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The implication of the Kenyan steel industry experience for its Ethiopian counterpart is

the importance that Kenya has attached to the steel industry believing that it plays a

crucial role in the development of the manufacturing sector and the need for strong

industry-university linkage to boost the productivity of the steel industry.

Brazil: The country launched import substitution industrialization (in1950‟s) and

liberalization and privatization of state companies (in 1990).In 2004, the government

launched an industrial, technological and trade policy. One of the rationales of the policy

was to ensure Brazil‟s industrial competitiveness and innovativeness. Further, in 2008,

the government introduced productive development policy in order to expand the scope

of industrial, technological and trade policy.

In 2011, a new industrial policy, the Great Brazil Plan, was launched with the objective to

build and strengthen critical competencies in the national economy, to enhance

productivity and technological density within value chains, to expand the domestic and

external markets of Brazil, and to ensure socially inclusive and environmentally

sustainable growth. With regard to steel sector, there is Brazil Steel Institute that looks

after the following issues: studies and surveys regarding production, equipment and

technology, raw materials and energy, market trends, new applications for steel and

industrial relations, data collection, preparation and publication of statistics, support in

product normalization, development of programs and policies defined by the sector,

activities of sectorial representative before public and private entities in Brazil and

abroad, and activities related to public relations and contacts with similar entities

overseas.

The lessons that Ethiopia can draw from Brazil in this regard include constant revision of

industrial policies and the existence of steel sector specific institutes with ample

responsibilities and performances.

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6.7. Market and finance

As in any other industries of the manufacturing sector, market is a key deriver of the

development of the steel industry. Having sufficient information of market conditions and

accumulating best practices enables the industry to develop in the right direction by

appropriately responding to changes both in the local and global markets. It is clear that

efforts at enhancing domestic steel market development would eventually increase steel

consumption in the country to provide an impetus for continuous growth of the industry.

Although the focus of Ethiopian steel industry is currently on the domestic market, export

will be a consideration at least in the long term plan. In this regard, it is appropriate to

explore the experience of some BRICS countries, namely, China and India so as to bring

home some of their best practices and adapt them to the Ethiopian steel industry.

China: Over the past decades, government agencies on various levels have undertaken

major efforts to ensure that China could reach self-sufficiency in steel both in terms of

quality and quantity. Until the early1990s, steelmakers received assistance to ramp up

production volumes. Then, the focus shifted towards improving quality and upgrading

technology. Government patronage in the form of direct subsidies, policy loans, tax

benefits or preferential access to vital inputs, energy, water, and transportation

infrastructure have undoubtedly helped to realize the spectacular expansion of

steelmaking operations that have gradually displaced imports. The country owned

different supportive mechanisms and regulatory frameworks for the development of the

steel sector.

Chinese trade policy in relation to the steel sector is oriented towards the following

principles that are pertinent to steel market.

First, companies are urged to draft their strategies to target 'two markets and two

resources' as a source of advantage. A common expression in Chinese policy

documents, it urges firms to seize opportunities from leveraging procurement and

sales both on the home market and abroad.

Second, meeting domestic demand for steel products takes priority.

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Third, direct steel exports should be optimized, meaning that exporters should

abandon resource-intensive, polluting, low-end goods and focus more on

technology-intensive, high-value-added products.

Finally, indirect exports should be expanded, indicating that the rising steel

demand by export oriented manufacturing industries should be satisfied, to

indirectly expand steel exports.

Foreign-owned enterprises should be encouraged to participate in the merger and

reorganization of domestic steel enterprises to establish a sound sharing mechanism in

technology, resources, brands, marketing channels, management philosophy and

financing services.

The cooperation between the domestic enterprises of steel production, engineering

technology, equipment manufacturing and consulting services should be encouraged to

actively explore overseas markets and promote exports of metallurgical technology,

complete equipment, intelligence services and other products.

The service and supervision of investment in the domestic steel industry from various

market entities should be strengthened. In addition, the credit system and warning and

forecasting system should be established in the industry to create a fair and competitive

market environment.

Chinese foreign trade policy with regard to steel products relies on both import

substitution and export management. The iron and steel industry of China plays a great

role not only on the domestic but also on the exporting ranks. For example, in 2010, the

sector exported iron and steel products worth a total of USD36.82 billion, making iron

and steel the 8th-ranking major export products of China.

China’s steel industry market entry requirements on energy, land, water conservation,

the environment, technology, and safety should be strengthened. Entry standards should

be perfected regarding the overall arrangement of newly installed (modified and

expanded) steel projects, the list of approved technological equipment, and the concept of

bottom-line thought on energy conservation and environmental protection.

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India: The country is currently the fourth-largest producer of steel after China, Japan and

the US. Rising domestic demand by sectors such as infrastructure, real estate and

automobiles has put the Indian steel industry on the world map. Growth in the private

sector is expected to be boosted by new policies on make in India, import of foreign

technology and foreign direct investment (FDI) in tandem, with a strong economic

outlook and plans to expand steel production, it is likely that India will be on a fast track

growth path in steel production to be the second-largest steel producer within a few years.

The government will encourage the steel industry to follow an aggressive export strategy

to tap the opportunities in the global market fully. As the developed economies, mainly

Europe, are struggling through a major financial crisis, the outlook on exports to these

countries does not look promising. Further associated with various trade disputes, the

country‟s steel industry will have to diversify its exports to markets such as Africa, Latin

America and Asia including Asian member nations. Trust on exports is also desirable to

mitigate the adverse effects of current account deficits and neutralize the impact of

possible rise in imports of coking coal and proposed reduction in iron ore exports on net

earnings of foreign exchange by the steel industry.

Ethiopia: Although Ethiopia is net importer of steel products there are some local

industries engaged in production and trade of steel products. However, the development

of the market for steel subsector is still at it‟s infant stage in terms of bargaining power,

customer handling, market research and market oriented production system.

6.8. Energy and environment

Energy is a crucial input for any country‟s industrial development. Yet, unless it is

produced from renewable sources, energy production can have a negative impact on the

environment, which is a burning issue of the globe. Iron and steel industry requires a

huge amount of energy (20-40% production cost), and different countries implement

different policies and strategies for efficient utilization of energy in their iron and steel

industries. In this regard, it is important to compare how various countries handle energy

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and environmental issues in their iron and steel industry and borrow experiences that

have relevance for Ethiopia.

South Africa: It has approved a national energy efficiency strategy aiming at 15%

energy demand reduction in the industry by 2015, compared with a reference projection.

Following the approval of the National Energy Efficiency Strategy of South Africa by the

Cabinet in 2005, a list of commitments was negotiated between industry and the

government. The Minister for Energy and Minerals, together with the CEOs of 24 major

energy users and seven industrial associations, signed the Energy Efficiency Accord,

thereby voluntarily committing themselves to work, both individually and collectively,

towards the achievement of the government‟s energy savings target.

China: The country has implemented energy consumption limits for coke products and

unit energy consumption limits for main working procedures of crude steel production. It

also encourages steel enterprises to use solid waste resources and strengthen the

construction of energy audits, energy statistics and energy control centers.

India: It has put emphasis on environmental audit and life cycle assessment of existing

steel plants to minimize damage to the environment.

Brazil: It has developed Low-Carbon Economy in the Manufacturing Industry-Industry

Plan, which aims at a 5% reduction below the emission level projected for 2020.

Summary and conclusion The comparative analysis conducted in this part of the study is intended to identify some

useful lessons that Ethiopia can draw from other countries in order to develop her steel

industry. The comparison has particularly focused on key issues pertaining to raw

material, human resources development, production, technology, support institutions,

policy and regulatory frameworks, market, energy and environment. Accordingly, from

the comparative analysis of the countries under consideration, some experiences which

are believed to be of particular importance for the Ethiopian steel industry have emerged.

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Table 56: Major lessons from comparative analysis

Targets of comparison Major lessons

Raw material sources

Enacting law on raw material resources for steel

Accountable, efficient and economic utilization of raw materials

Exploration and beneficiation of local resources

Establishing support institutions (centers, authorities, councils) in relation to raw materials

Promotion of research and development on efficient utilization of raw materials

Efficiency in policy making particularly in human resource and technology development

Setting clear infrastructure plan and appropriate value chain

Learning from failure stories of other countries in resource utilization Human Resources Development

Creation of jobs by expanding steel industries

Drawing young engineers into the industry

Ensuring quality of courses in steel design at universities

sponsoring steel related research programs at universities, research institutes, and centers

upgrading and diversifying the profile of the workforce through various programs such as M.Tech, Ph.D and Post-Doctoral programs and short and long-term trainings

Industries play a greater part in promoting indirect employment.

prepare potential industry employees through provision of training at various institutions

establishment of various institutions to create a force of technological innovation and management talent and encourage innovation

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Targets of comparison Major lessons

Technology

Learning from failure stories of other countries in technology selection, implementation and modification

Resource-based selection of technology

Allocation of a significant amount of resources to R&D to transfer, adapt and upgrade technology

Using joint venture as a means of technology transfer Establishing technology parks, zones DRI, Blast Furnace, Electric furnaces Rolling and finishing mills Hot rolling mill Cold rolling mill Section mill

a. Light section mill

b. Medium section mill

c. Heavy section mill

Reheating furnace

Welding tube and pipe plant

Rebar /merchant bar mill

Special bar quality mill

Peeling

Seamless pipe mill

Wire rod mill

Rail mill Big bar mill

Stickle mill

Plate mill

Production

Production of steel sheets, special sheet for automobiles and electrical appliances Primary steel production that can be an input for steel rolling plants Higher production capacity Higher efficiency for example, India 90%, China 93%, South Korea 97%, Brazil 70.5%

Issuance of policy on steel industry and constant revision of policy

Establishment of a separate institute to support MSEs in manufacturing sector

Exclusive investment in human resource and technology development

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Targets of comparison Major lessons

Policy and Regulatory Frameworks

Utilization of domestic raw materials and contemporary latest technologies

Creating joint venture with foreign experienced companies

Designing and implementing comprehensive policy package for attracting FDI, legal framework alignment, infrastructure investment, establishment of special economic and technology zones

Creating strong industry-university linkage to boost the productivity of the steel industry

Establishing steel sector-specific institute with ample responsibilities and performances. Support institutions

Offering its members a wide variety of services

Preparing and examination of steel related policy matters

Enhancing production capacity of the metals and engineering industries

Conducting survey and research on subject matters relevant to the steel sector

Creating technical standards for steel and steel products

Development of advanced design methodologies & technical marketing

Planning and development of iron and steel industry

Offering trained manpower in Foundry Technical Courses, Metallurgical Engineering, Foundry Engineering

Market and Finance Government support in the form of policy loans, tax benefits or preferential access to vital inputs, energy, water, transportation infrastructure,

Strengthening the service and supervision of investment in the domestic steel industry from various market entities

Strict market entry and exit Separated financial institution Value added based incentivizing and de-incentivizing

Energy and Environment

Developing a national energy efficiency strategy aiming at energy audit and saving

Mobilizing major energy users and industrial associations to sign an energy efficiency accord, thereby voluntarily committing themselves to work towards the achievement of the government‟s energy savings target

Encouraging steel enterprises to use solid waste resources and strengthen the construction of energy audits, energy statistics and energy control centers

Putting emphasis on environmental audit and life cycle assessment of existing steel plants to minimize damage to the environment

Developing low-carbon economy in the manufacturing industry, an industry plan which aims at reduction rate below a projected emission level

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7. National Steel Industry Policy: Vision, Goal, and Strategic

Interventions Policy Vision

The National Steel Industry Policy aims at transforming the Ethiopian steel industry by

exploiting locally available natural resources and adopting state of the art technology to

ensure domestic self-sufficiency in terms of production, consumption, quality and

techno‐economic efficiency and gradually transiting to export-oriented industry thereby

upgrading the status of the industry into a Sub-Saharan leader by 2025.

Key assumptions

The government is expected to continue shifting the economy from agricultural-led

to industry-led economy;

It is assumed that there is a strong necessity to promote the strategic role of steel

industry to the manufacturing by improving overall capacity utilization of the

industry to at least 60% during 2020 and 85% by 2025;

Ethiopian steel industry association is assumed to be established by 2016/17 with

fully defined structure, roles, responsibilities and accountabilities to the members

and government;

Steel demand in the country is assumed to remain strong in the mega infrastructure

projects, housing, railway, hydroelectric power, sugar plants and development of

industry parks, which will be boosting investments in new steel production rolling

mill technologies and the utilization of existing steel production capacity;

The current macro-economic and political stability will continue, and this favorable

condition will cheer the development of the infrastructure and construction sector;

It is assumed that the government‟s annual capital expenditure and infrastructure of

mega projects will continue through the whole period of GTP II and beyond to

build the huge infrastructure and industrialization;

Implementation of the policy is proposed to be made in phases. The basis for

classifying the phases is to align the policy with the government plan and

considering the existing policy implementation capacity (technology, human

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resources, raw material, capital etc.). Accordingly phase I ranges from 2015-2020

and phase II from 2020-2025.

Policy Goal

By 2025, the Ethiopian steel industry shall reach crude steel production capacity of

15.12 million ton and steel per capita consumption of 132.45 kg thereby meeting the

domestic demand fully and engaging in export of selected steel products.

Critical Policy Issues In this section, critical policy issues identified in the study will be enumerated along with

their respective problems and strategic interventions.

1. Building a human resource skill development system that ensures the

availability of required human capital

Rationale: Shortage of Skill Development System and Inadequate Qualified

Human Capital

Strategic Interventions

i. Expand the existing fields of studies such as Mining, Metallurgy and Materials

Science and Engineering by involving industrialists and national and international

experts in developing curriculum for the aforementioned fields of studies.

ii. Produce at least 43856 and 79466 technicians at TVET level; 13557 and 27473

engineers and applied science BSc graduates; 1026 and 3605 at MSc level; 2606

and 3153 in MBA level; 15 and 150 at a PhD level in 2020 and 2025 respectively.

iii. Build steel industries‟ capacity to deliver at least 85% of in-company skill

development programs using well-structured on-the-job training and off-the-job

training approaches by identifying their gaps.

iv. Establish new iron and steel specific fields of study such as Foundry and Alloy

in selected Institutes of Technology (IoTs) and Science and Technology

Universities (STUs).

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v. Establish supportive institutions to offer short and long term on-the-job training

on the following areas:

First phase training areas: rolling and forging, process control automation, plant

management along with energy and environment, production, quality improvement

and process and Research and Development on machineries (furnace and heat

treatment etc.)

Second Phase training areas: raw material preparation, cock preparation, sinter

preparation, iron making and steel making.

vi. Establish research institutes which offer postgraduate studies (MSc, PhD, and

Post-Doctoral programs) and research training on steel specific areas for both

technical and managerial human resource through industrial practice-based

approach.

vii. Promote a joint venture scheme for the acquisition of technical and managerial

skills and competencies of international standards and to allow the transfer of

knowledge, skills, and appropriate technologies into our steel industries.

viii. Strengthen linkage and collaboration among support institutions, research centers,

universities, TVETs and steel industries to transfer knowledge, skills and

technologies.

ix. Minimize high turnover of employees by improving working and career conditions

of the industry thereby making it a more attractive workplace for competent

professionals who want to pursue career in steel industries.

2. Minimizing heavy dependence on imports of raw materials by exploring and

exploiting potential local resources

Rationale: Shortage of Raw Materials

Strategic Interventions i. Improve the domestic supply of raw materials for steel industries. Currently, more

than 95% is imported and some scrap is used for low quality products. By

2020,50% of raw materials will be available locally and 50% will be imported (e.g.

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sheet metal, billet, alloy) and by 2025, 100% of selected raw materials will be

locally produced (billet, bloom, slab) and for special quality products will be

imported.

ii. Enact and revise laws which govern the management of natural resources and

which serve both domestic and international investors without compromising the

national interest.

iii. Conduct a comprehensive feasibility study to identify the potentials of raw

materials(suchas iron ore, coal, limestone, and natural gas), their geographical

location (for expansion of infrastructure), their quantity (for selection of appropriate

types of technology) and their quality (for identification of types of beneficiation

technology, methods, and energy sources).

iv. Enforce the Environment Policy and the Mining Law of Ethiopia in exploration and

exploitation of mines by setting clear standards.

v. Ensure that capable industries have obtained mining permits and that they are acting

in accordance with the law before mining. Also ensure safe production, ecological

and environmental protection, governance and restoration of the mine, land

reclamation in the mining area and soil and water conservation in mining.

vi. Enhance research and development application for efficient mining, processing and

metallurgical techniques (beneficiation) for low-grade iron ores. The differentiated

management pilot areas should be established to accelerate the steps of major iron

ore resource development projects in progress.

vii. Construct a system of scrap recycling, processing, handling and distribution on the

basis of standardized industry management. Enact tax relief law for imported steel

scrap to promote the use of scraps due to the current technological situation of our

country, energy efficiency and low environmental pollutions.

viii. Identify the location, amount, and types of natural gas and coal for infrastructure

development, technology selection and steel industry location.

ix. Facilitate a system that promotes bulky purchase of selected pig iron, scrap, coal

and additives through long term contractual agreement to gain advantage of low

cost, sustainability, quality and bargaining power of domestic steel industries.

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3. Improving product diversification (product mix) and value addition of steel

products

Rationale: Low Product Diversification and Value Addition

Strategic Interventions

i. Encourage industries by way of incentivizing and de-incentivizing in order to

enforce them to pay due consideration to value addition and diversification of steel

products and eventually lead to import substitution.

ii. Enforce and support steel industries to produce diversified and global market-

oriented steel products such as billet, bloom, slab, sheet metal, stainless steel and

alloy by establishing a design house and using state of the art technology.

iii. Encourage steel companies to produce, phase by phase, special steel products such

as bearings, gears, molding devices, heat-resistant, cold-resistant, and corrosion-

resistant steel products.

iv. The Ethiopian steel industry is currently operating between 30-40% of its capacity.

This capacity utilization should significantly increase to reach 85% by 2025

v. Increase production of the construction subsector from 0.93Mt (in 2015) to

3,967Mt by 2020 and to 8.34Mt by 2025 as this subsector takes the lion‟s share

(more than 50%) of steel products.

vi. Increase production of the automobile assembly subsector from 0.0215Mt (in

2015), to 0.932Mt by 2020 and to 1.54 Mt by 2025.

vii. Increase production of machinery and spare parts from 0.442Mt (in 2015) to

1.92Mt in 2020 and to 8.318Mt 2025.

Phase I: Semi finished products (bloom, billet, and slab); mill products (plate,

sheet, strip, rebar /round bar, rail, wire rod, drawn wire, sections, tubes and

profiles)

Phase II: Sheet metal, alloy and non-alloy flat steel (plate & coil), stainless steel

sheet and plate, electrical galvanized steel; and automotive materials: rolled high

strength steel strip, advanced high strength steel (AHSS), and cast iron

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4. Establishing and capacitating Research and Development centers at company

and national level to imitate, improve and create technology

Rationale: Absence of Research and Development

Strategic Interventions

i. Enhance technological excellence, innovation and adoption of environment

friendly techniques in all stages of production, from extraction of minerals to

treatment of wastes–as these are key factors to sustained growth in the steel sector.

ii. By designing incentive mechanisms, encourage steel industries to adopt

appropriate technologies which have synergy with the natural resource

endowments of the country and conducive to production of high quality and

special steel products.

iii. Adopt advanced steelmaking technologies and equipment such as feedstock

material beneficiation, preliminary process of liquid iron, medium capacity direct

reduction, secondary smelting at converters, continuous casting, continuous

rolling, controlled rolling and controlled cooling.

iv. Support steel industries in such forms as tax holidays, subsidies, and research

funds to promote important steel-making projects that produce highly value added

and special steel products.

v. Encourage and enforce steel industries to set up research and development

department for honing their copying, modification, and innovative edge, and for

developing original technologies, equipment, and products.

vi. Set a minimum threshold budget for R&D through public-private partnership to

achieve the goals of R&D expenditure. For example, the experiences from the

BRICS countries indicate that industries allocate 0.15 – 0.25% of their sales

turnover to R&D.

vii. Create linkage between laboratory-based R&D and actual industrial application.

This needs to be done through extensive market-driven, translational research

customized to the needs of the industry.

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5 Building local and international market research capability and market

information system

Rationale: Lack of Market Research and Orientation

Strategic Interventions

i. Make market research a focus of the steel industries, whether they are small,

medium or large, and require them to design appropriate marketing strategy.

ii. Undertake continuous awareness creation for local users on how they can identify

the quality of the steel products in the market, based on quality indicators and

product standards described in trademarks and publicize the quality of steel

products, both local and imported.

iii. Initiate steel association and other support institutions that deal with the

challenges of steel industries and provide proper support in both domestic and

international market.

iv. Control unfair marketing practices that jeopardize the healthy competition of steel

market by enforcing mandatory steel product standards.

v. Incentivize steel industries which are innovative in the product development with

respect to value addition and export orientation.

vi. Demand steel industries to undertake continuous market research to identify the

gaps and opportunities related with their steel products in terms of global steel

standards.

vii. Facilitate the business environment for steel industries by organizing domestic

and international product expos, experience sharing symposia and merit-based

recognition on regular basis.

viii. Put strict market entry and exit requirement into force through setting mandatory

standards on steel products to ensure that only products of acceptable quality (in

terms of safety, health, and environment) are imported or locally produced as well

as to ensure that manufactured products are of high quality and aligned to the

international standards.

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ix. Undertake comprehensive marketing research that focuses on regional market to

identify medium and long term competitive advantages of Ethiopian steel

Industries.

6 Creating access to finance (bank loan, foreign currency) and updating incentive

packages for steel industries as strategic development subsector

Rationale: Shortage of Foreign Currency and Working Capital

Strategic Interventions

i. Establish, in due course, a separate bank or a loan institution for the steel industry

(together with subsectors under the manufacturing industry).

ii. Increase the duration of fiscal incentive packages such as income tax holidays

which is currently rather short (between 3-5 years on average) for competitive

steel industries based on merit criteria such as value addition and technology

transfer.

iii. Facilitate foreign currency for steel industries as they are not currently involved in

export.

iv. Attract capable FDI and joint venture with their reasonable initial capital

investment.

v. Encourage and enforce private commercial banks to engage in provision of long-

term loan for steel industries.

vi. Establish a system that promotes investment in steel industries through stock

market financing system.

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7 Upgrading and setting up infrastructure facilities and separate power

transmission Rationale: Lack of Infrastructure

Strategic Interventions

i. Expand railways and road transportation as most of the steel industry raw materials

and products are heavy and bulky, and they are transported by these modes of

transportation in a landlocked country such as Ethiopia.

ii. Generate and install a separate power supply for the steel industries, while

industries themselves should install energy saving technologies and alternative

energy sources.

iii. Adopt international best practices of water use or recycling in steel plants. A system

that demands steel industries to use water resources properly and economically

must be established and implemented.

iv. Provide adequate land at the preferred steel industry locations in due time to avoid

delay in the commencement of operations. Potential environmental and social

impacts of industry locations must be taken into account from the socio-economic

points of view before licensing, based on the feasibility studies.

v. Form steel industry clusters in the industrial parks, especially for small and medium

sized units/service/steel processing centers and create related common

infrastructure on a consortium basis to optimize land use and scale economy.

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8 Enforcing sector-specific energy and environment policies and regulations and

conducting periodic environment and energy audit Rationale: Lack of Sector-specific Energy and Environment Policies

Strategic Interventions

i. Set national energy standards through benchmarking international best practices.

ii. Enforce recycling of waste heat and energy in the steel production process and

ensure that the energy consumption should meet national standards for the

maximum allowable values of energy consumption.

iii. Set a system of pre-assessment (feasibility study) and post-assessment on energy

conservation of project construction, and promote energy benchmarking,

diagnosis and tapping.

iv. Put into force a system that demands steel industries to submit regular reports on

energy utilization to the Ethiopian Energy Authority and concerned

stakeholders and demand the latter to publicize the result.

v. Set up advanced information technology which is applicable to steel industries

and which can dynamically supervise and manage energy production,

distribution, utilization and secondary energy usage.

vi. Enact strict environmental tax laws to ensure that growth of the industry should

not be at the cost of the environment.

vii. Set a procedure for reporting environmental data by the steel plants with respect

to the status on resource consumption, emissions, effluent and waste recycling.

viii. Set strict requirements on disposal of outdated steel technologies and that do not

comply with green resilient economy.

ix. Use Direct Reduce Iron (DRI) as it is easily movable, can be used in all

scales(from small to large scale industries), uses alternative energy sources

(natural gas, coal), and it is environmentally friendly.

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9 Expanding and enhancing collaborations between the industry and support

institutions Rationale: Inadequate Support Institutions

Strategic Interventions

o Upgrade the capacity of the existing MIDI in terms of technology transfer,

research and publications, training, and developing policies, roadmaps and

strategic frameworks.

o Strengthen and sustain university-industry-TVET linkages for mutual benefits and

capacity building in various aspects of the steel industries. Such linkages can be

also extended to research institutes and centers to enable industries build their

research culture and capabilities and access technology transfer.

o Establish, step by step, more institutes or research & development centers to

supplement MIDI or to focus on areas that appear to be beyond the reach of the

institute. It would be appropriate to also establish some Centers of Excellence

(CoEs) with a view to addressing issues pertaining to R&D, technology, product

diversification, and human resource development.

o Initiate the establishment of steel industry association and provide it with

necessary supports for its proper functioning and sustainable growth. Such an

association provides a wide variety of services such as technical information and

advice, education, training and skills upgrading, research and publications,

marketing, and many other development supports. It may also act as a source of

power and strong voice for the industries in dealing with both challenges and

opportunities, and as a forum for industry communication and networking.

163

10 Developing steel industry strategy and roadmap

Rationale: Lack of Roadmap/Strategy Direction

Strategic Interventions

i. Develop clear strategic/roadmap directions that properly guide transformation of

steel industry within the specified time span (i.e. 2025).

ii. Enforce steel industries to develop their own development plan within the

framework of the national plan (roadmap).

iii. Establish a system and networking that coordinate the development efforts of

many stakeholders (policy makers, regulatory bodies, industries and other

concerned parties) to minimize information asymmetry on the same or similar

national issues.

164

8. Implementation Framework

Table 57: Analysis of strategic interventions and policy issues

No Strategic objective Strategic interventions Implementation time framework Responsible bodies Remark

Phase I (2016-2020) Phase II (2020-2025) 1.

Develop human resource skill development system that ensures the availability of required human capital

Expand the existing fields of studies

Mining, Metallurgy , Materials Science and Engineering

Mining , Metallurgy , Materials Science and Engineering

MoST, MoE, MIDI, Universities(STUs), Research Centers and Institutes, IoTs

Establish new iron and steel specific fields of study

Foundry and Alloy MoST, MoE, MIDI, Ethiopian Steel Association , Universities, Research Centers and Institutes

Offer short and long term on-the-job training

o Rolling and forging

o Process control automation

o Plant management along with energy and environment

o Production, quality improvement and process

o R& D on machineries (furnace and heat treatment etc.)

Raw material preparation,

Cock preparation Sinter preparation Iron making

Steel making

MIDI, Selected Universities, Ethiopian Steel Association, Industries, and Research Centers and Institutes

165

Establish research institutes that focus on postgraduate studies and research

MSc or M.Tech. level both for technical and managerial staff

PhD, and Post-Doctoral programs

MoST, MoE, MIDI, Research Centers and Institutes, Ethiopian Steel Association , Universities

Promote joint venture scheme

Transfer of knowledge, skills, and appropriate technologies

Transfer of knowledge, skills, and appropriate technologies

MoI, Industries, Ethiopian Steel Association, EIC, MoT

Strengthen linkage and collaboration among support institutions, research centers universities, TVETs and steel industries

Transfer of knowledge, skills and technologies

transfer of knowledge, skills and technologies

Ethiopian Steel Association , MoST, MoI (MIDI), TVET, Universities

Minimize high turnover of employees

Improve working and career conditions.

Improve working and career conditions.

Ethiopian Steel Association , Industries, MIDI, MoSA, Labor Unions and Associations

Plan in detail for HR trained at various levels of education MoST, MoE, MoI(MIDI), Universities(STUs), Research Centers and Institutes, IoTs, Ethiopian Steel Association

Technicians at TVET level 43856 79466 Engineers and Applied Science(BSc)

13557 27473

MSc and MBA 2606 3153 PhD 15 150

2. Minimize heavy dependence on imports of raw materials by exploring and exploiting potential local

Enact and revise laws governing the management of natural resources

Apply Environmental policy and Mining Law of Ethiopia

Apply Environmental policy and Mining Law of Ethiopia

Minister of Environment, Forest Development and Climate Change, MoI, Investment Agency, Minister of Agriculture and Natural Resource Development, Ministry of Mines, Petroleum and Natural

166

resources

Gas Conduct a comprehensive feasibility study to identify the potentials of raw materials

iron ore, coal, limestone, and natural gas

Ministry of Mines, Petroleum and Natural Gas, MoI, Ethiopian Steel Association, Universities

Enhance R&D application for efficient mining, processing and metallurgical techniques (beneficiation) for low-grade iron ores

MoST, MoI (MIDI), MoE, Ethiopian Steel Association, Universities and Research Centers and Institutes

Construct a system of scrap management. MoI(MIDI),MoT, EIA,ECA,

Enact tax relief law for imported steel scrap ECA, MoI (MIDI), Ethiopian

Steel Association

Facilitate a system that promotes bulky purchase through long term contractual agreement

pig iron, scrap, coal and additives

Ethiopian Steel Association, MIDI, MoT, EIA

Increase dependence on local raw materials

50% locally produce (sheet metal

100% locally MoI(MIDI),MoT, EIA, ECA, Geological Survey

100% Billet, Bloom and Slab

3.

Diversification and value addition of

steel products

Incentivizing and de-incentivizing steel industries

Import substitution Import substitution and export oriented steel products

ECA, MoT, MoI (MIDI), MoT, EIA, Ethiopian Steel Association,

Enforce and support steel industries to produce high quality products

Square steel billet,

Square bar, Cold rolled steel, Galvanized steel Hot rolled steel,

steel plate,

Sheet metal, alloy and non-alloy Stainless steel electrical galvanized

steel automotive material

ECA, MoT, MoI (MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association, EIA, Research Centers and Institutes

167

Increase efficiency 60%(roadmap) 85%

Industries, Ethiopian Steel Association, Universities, Research Centers and Institutes

Set standards for steel industry technology selection

Ethiopian Conformity Assessment, MIDI, MoT, Universities, Research Centers and Institutes

Put into force regulatory systems that ensure standardized products, both domestic and imported

MoT, MIDI,EIA,MoT

Establish effective coordination, collaboration and commitment among stakeholders

Ethiopian Steel Association, MoI, MoT

4.

Establish R&D centers at company and national level to imitate, improve and innovate technology

Encourage steel industries to adopt appropriate technologies which have synergy with the natural resource endowments of the country

ECA, MoT, MoI (MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association, Universities, Research Centers and Institutes, EIA

Adopt advanced steelmaking technologies and equipment

Continuous casting, continuous rolling, controlled rolling and controlled cooling

beneficiation, preliminary process of liquid iron, medium capacity direct reduction, secondary smelting at converters

ECA, MoT, MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association Universities ,Research Centers and Institutes, EIA

Encourage and enforce steel industries to set up research and development department

copying, modification

innovative edge, and for developing original technologies, equipment, and products

ECA, MoT, MoI (MIDI), EIA Ethiopian Steel Association, Universities ,Research centers and Institutes,

Create linkages between ECA, MoT, MoI(MIDI),

168

laboratory‐based R&D and actual industrial application

Ethiopian Steel Association

Set minimum threshold budget that industries should allocate to R&D from their sales turnover.

Awareness creation 0.15 – 0.25%

MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association, EIA

5.

Build local & international market research capability and market information system

Make market research an issue of the steel industries

Design appropriate marketing strategy

ECA, MoT, MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

Undertake continuous awareness creation for local users

MoT, MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

Control unfair marketing practices that jeopardize the healthy competition of steel market by enforcing mandatory steel product standards

MoT, MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

Facilitate business environment for steel industries by organizing domestic and international product expos, experience sharing symposia and merit based recognitions on regular bases

ECA, MoT, MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

Apply strict market entry and exit requirements through setting mandatory standards on steel products

ECA, MoT, MoI(MIDI), Investment Agency

Design special incentive packages for selective steel industry towards making

MoI, EIC, MoT, MIDI, Universities , MoT, MoFEC, MoTR, NBE,DBE, ERCA,

169

them regional player.( allow special human resource access arrangement(foreign experts), subsidize transportation cost, special budget R and D grant, extending tax exemptions, allow special joint venture that enable local firms penetrate steel market in regional countries…)

NPC

Arrange and sponsor special oversea training program and benchmarking for selected steel industries based on merit based selection criteria to further build their productive capacity to world standard.

MoI, EIC, MoT, MIDI, Universities , MoT, MoFEC, MoTR, NBE,DBE, ERCA, NPC

6. Create access to finance (bank loan, foreign currency) and update incentive packages for steel industries

Establish a separate bank or a loan institution for steel industries

MoT, MoI(MIDI),

Increase the duration of fiscal incentive packages for competitive steel industries

ECA, MoT, MoI(MIDI), Investment Agency

Facilitate foreign currency for steel industries MoI(MIDI)

Attract capable FDI and joint venture Patent based ECA, MoT, MoI(MIDI),

Investment Agency

Establish a system that ECA, MoT, MoI(MIDI),

170

promotes investment in steel industries through stock market financing system

Investment Agency

7.

Set up & upgrade infrastructure facilities and separate power transmission

Expand railways and road transportation networks MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel

Association

Generate and install separate power supply for the steel industries

Alternative energy sources

MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

Adopt international best practices of water recycling in steel plants

MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

Provide adequate land at the preferred steel industry locations

MoT, MoI(MIDI), Investment Agency

Form steel industry clusters in the industrial parks

MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

8.

Enforce environment and energy sector specific policies and regulations and conduct periodic environment and energy audit

Set national energy standards through benchmarking international best practices

Minister of Water, Irrigation and Electricity, Ethiopian Conformity Assessment

Enforce recycling of waste heat and energy in the steel production process

Awareness creation and capacity building

Meeting international standards

Minister of Water, Irrigation and Electricity, Ethiopian Conformity Assessment, MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

Set a system of pre-assessment (feasibility study) and post-assessment on the energy conservation

Minister of Water, Irrigation and Electricity, Ethiopian Conformity Assessment, MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

Ensure regular submission Minister of Water,

171

of reports on energy utilization

Irrigation and Electricity, Ethiopian Conformity Assessment, MoI (MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

Enforce efficient energy and water utilizations standards

Energy audit, power factor corrector

Energy audit, power factor corrector

Minister of Water, Irrigation and Electricity, MIDI, MoT ,Universities, Research Centers and Institutes

Set up advanced information technology to supervise and manage energy production, distribution, utilization and secondary energy usage

Minister of Water, Irrigation and Electricity, Ethiopian Conformity Assessment, MoI (MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

Enact strict environmental laws to ensure that growth of the industry should not be at the cost of environment

MoI (MIDI),Minister of Environment, Forest Development and Climate Change, Ethiopian Steel Association

Set a procedure for reporting environmental data by the steel plants with respect to the status on resource consumption, emissions, effluent and waste recycling

MoI (MIDI),Minister of Environment, Forest Development and Climate Change, Ethiopian Steel Association

Set strict requirements to dispose outdated steel technologies that do not comply with green, resilient economy

MoI(MIDI), Minister of Environment, Forest Development and Climate Change, ECA, MoT, Ethiopian Steel Association

9. Expand and Upgrade the capacity of MoI

172

enhance collaborations between the industry and support institutions

MIDI

Strengthen and sustain the university-industry-TVET linkages

MoI, MoST, MoE

Establish more institutes or research & development centers

MoI, MoST, MoE

Establish and support steel industry association

MoI( MIDI), Universities, Research Centers and Institutes

10.

Develop steel industry roadmap and strategy

Develop clear roadmap/strategies

MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel Association

Enforce steel industries to develop their own development strategic plan

MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel

Association

Establish networking among steel industry stakeholders

MoI(MIDI), Ethiopian Steel

Association

173

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177

Annex 1: Iron ore occurrence and deposits of Ethiopia

No Locality Estimated reserve Ore type 1. Adwa(Tigray) 5Mt(Adwa+Axum+Enticho) Magnetite, Limonite

1. Aira (Welega) <10Mt Hematite, Magnetite 2. Assale (Tigray) <10Mt Magnetite 3. Beligal (Tigray) No data Magnetite, Limonite 4. Bikila (Welega) 57Mt Magnetite 5. Billa(welega) No data Hematite, Magnetite-Hematite 6. Bissidimo (Harar) No data Hematite, limonite 7. Chago (welega) 0.2Mt, 64%Fe Magnetite-Hematite, Limonite-Hematite 8. Chilachikin (Tigray) No Data Hematite 9. Dimma (Welega) 0.05Mt, 65%Fe Hematite, Magnetite, Limonite-Hematite,

Magnetite-Hematite 10. Enticho(Tigray) See above Limonite 11. Famasari(Wollega) 65-68% Fe Hematite, Magnetite

12. Galetti(Harar) No data Hematite, Magnetite, 13. Gambo(Wollega) No data Magnetite 14. Gamalucho(Kaffa) 12,50 Mt Magnetite 15. Garo (Kaffa) l2.5OMt Hematite, Limonite 16. Gato (MaiGudo)(Kaffa) .075 Mt,40% Fe Hematite, Limonite 17. Ghimirabasin (Kaffa) No data Hematite, Limonite 18. Gordona(Korree)(Wollega) 0.27 Mt. 63% Magnetite- Hematite, Magnetite 19. Kata Valley(Wollega) 0.10 Mt, 69% Fe Magnetite, 20. Kenticha(Sidamo) No data Magnetite 21. Kunni(Harar) No data Hematite, Magnetite 22. KurkureValley(Kaffa) No data Hematite, Limonite 23. Like(Kaffa) No data Hematite, Magnetite 24. MelkaArba(Sidamo) 4.60 Mt 25. MelkaSedi(Kaffa) 12.50Mt Hematite, Magnetite 26. Shakisso(Sidamo) No data Magnetite 27. Ujau(Harar) No data Hematite-Magnetite 28. Wcllega 4.48 Mt Magnetite, hematite 29. Worakalu(WoIIcga) 0.05 Mt.62%Fe Magnetite-Hamatite 30. Yubdo(Wollega) 0.O5Mt,71%Fe Magnetite 31. AdiBerbere(Tigray) No data Magnetite 32. Gambela-Dembidolo No data Magnetite 33. Gimbi-Daleti(Wollega) No data Magnetite 34. Dombowa(Kaffa) 12.50 Mt Limonite 35. Wankey (Area)

Wabera- Kiltu(Wollega) No data

36. Belowtuist(Wollega) 2.50 Mt

Magnetite,Hematite, Limonite

178

Annex 2: Summary of SLOC factors

Strengths:

Firms/industries have clear structure with division of duties and responsibilities of each

functional unit

There is clear and adequate coaching and mentoring system even if there exists

implementation problems in some firms/industries

Giving a short or long, on or off job training by internal or external experts for both new and

senior employees in most firms/industries even though there is language barrier when

external experts used as trainers.

Employees METEC industries gains skill of technology transfer by performing reverse

engineering through their R&D.

Few firms/industries are certified by ISO and Ethiopian conformity assessment.

Almost all visited firms/industries have insurance coverage for their employees

Have marketing and promotion department but they are an identifying specific targets for

promotion problems

Limitations:

There is no clear guidelines, rules and regulations which leads to personalized decision in

most visited firms/industries

Lack of efficient procedures to serve the customers in some firms/industries

Lack of automation production process and accounting system in most firms/industries

Most firms/industries have no clear strategic plan/road map to cop up with global market

trend

Lack of selling branches, no branded products and

To satisfied customers demand in some firms/industries there is shortage of budget

Lack of sufficient and variety of transportation

In most firms/industries the machines are outdated and require high maintenance cost

There is no clear awareness and practice in the firms/industries concerning environmental

impact and controlling mechanisms

Lack of applying continuous quality management system

179

There is no organized and efficient raw material in some cases dominancy of few suppliers,

Additionally, in most firms/industries there is no modernized raw material handling system

Most firms/industries do not focus on product diversification

Most firms/industries have no R & D

Opportunities:

Availability of tax holiday, importing duty free machineand land supply

Priority given by Ethiopian shipping line for raw materials of steel during shipping

Availability of green, yellow and red custom service provision which will minimize delivery

time

The conducive environment of Ethiopia for investment

Strong commitment from the government side for manufacturing industries

Availability of low cost electrical energy supply

Availability of cheap and trainable human resource

Challenges:

Shortage of foreign currency to import raw materials and spare parts

Lack of adequate availability of skilled human power on the local market resulting in high

turnover

Shortage and inefficiency of transportation system to transport raw materials, finished and

semi-finished products from source to destination.

Shortage of scraps in the local market and fluctuation cost of raw materials due to global

conditions which affects accessibility of raw materials

Shortage and quality problem of spare parts avail in the local market

Electricity interruption

Lack of incentive to encourage local producers

180

Annex 3: Experience from Benchmarking

Introduction

Two members of the team of this project paid a visit to China to benchmark best practices of the

country in steel industries. This part briefly summarizes key lessons and experiences gained from

the benchmarking. Prior to the visit, the team had identified a number of areas for benchmarking.

Unfortunately, however, the areas identified were not fully addressed during benchmarking due

to some coordination problems on the side of the host country. However, in collaboration with

Ethiopian Policy and Research Center, the team has tried its best to optimize the benchmarking

experiences through all possible ways to achieve the desired objectives. Some of the major areas

targeted for the benchmarking are attention given for the steel industry and supportive institutes

and centers.

The team was able to find out the establishment and expansion of support institutions was

important in China. Two most influential institutions in the country are the Central Iron and Steel

Research Institute (CISRI) and Automation Research Institute for Metallurgical Industry

(ARIMI). CISRI was founded in 1952, and ARIMI was set up in 1974. About two and half

decades later, (in 1999), both CISRI and ARIMI were transformed from public institute to state-

owned enterprise. In order to play a more crucial role in the transformation of the iron and steel

industry of the country, ARIMI was merged into CISRI in 2006 and the China Iron and Steel

Research Institute Group (CISRI Group) was founded.

Since its foundation, CISRI has registered significant achievements in human resource (e.g. 3

members of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 4 members of Chinese Academy of Engineering, and

members of Chinese Academy of Engineering, and 479 senior engineers), and scientific and

technological aspects (e.g. 88 state invention awards, 164 state science and technology awards,

and patents). Continuous technology progress of steel industry has been achieved by investing in

and buying technology: in fact, one of the key success stories of China‟s steel industry is the

continuous progress in the steel industry technology through both investment in R & D and

acquisition of technology from advanced countries in comprehensive packages.

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Technology and productivity path of china steel industry (1990-2005) is summarized as follows:

Continuous casting: The c.c. rate was enhanced from 25.7% up to 99.5% in 1990.

PCI: grow from 50kg/t up to 149kg/t in 1990

Continuous rolling: adopted by all mills

Energy saving technologies: Energy consumption was reduced from 1611kgce in

1990 down to754kgce in 2005.

Slag splashing technology: The campaign life of BOF linings was extended from

700~800 heats to over 10,000 heats.

Key lessons from benchmarking

a) Overall observation

The main reason behind the dramatic transformation of China‟s iron and steel industry is the

attention given by the government from the very beginning by comparing steel with food. For

Example, Mao‟s motto “Once we have enough steel and food, we are afraid of nothing” is an

indication of the attention the country has given for the sector. China was able to build basic

productive capability that has helped the country to boost the transformation of the industry and

registered an amazing growth in the steel production. The development trajectory of China‟s

steel production is summarized as follows.

o From 0.158-100 Mt in 47 years (1949-1996), 100-200 Mt in 7 years (1997-2003) and

from 200-400 Mt in 3 years. The implication here is the fact that laying foundation for

the transformation costs more time for doubling of the production of the steel industry.

Currently, China is producing more than half of the world‟s steel for the world market

and domestic consumption.

o China is one of the major steel consumers in the world and it only sufficiently satisfied

the domestic market in 2005 with 700 Mt of steel consumption demand per annum while

the total production was 804 Mt. With regard to growth rate comparisons, steel

production grew with 15.35% while consumption grew with 13.90% from 2000-2013.

This also indicates that the majority of steel production has been utilized for the domestic

market at early stage of the development, which in turn means that steel is very critical

for growth driven economy.

b) Specific lessons

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o Huge public investment in the expansion of productive facilities from 2000 to 2009, with

97.229 trillion RMB total investment (about 15 trillion US dollar in current exchange of 1

$=6.5 RMB) in 10 years period.

o Continuous improvement in efficiency of steel production of steel production by

developing necessary human capital and by expanding capable support institutions.

Among such institutes, China Iron and Steel Research Institute Group (CISRI Group),

was the only center that the team was able to visit for benchmarking and took significant

lessons. It had been founded to support human resource development and to undertake

research activities on the iron and steel industries focusing particularly on state-owned

companies.

Focus areas of R&D on iron and steel industry in CISRI:

I. Materials science and engineering

o Structural materials (alloy steels)

o High temperature materials

o Functional Materials

o Powder metallurgy

o Corrosion and surface engineering

o Refractory metals

o Ceramics and refractory II. Metallurgical technologies

o Iron making

o Steel making

o Continuous casting

o Rolling

o Galvanizing and coating

o Design and engineering

o 220 new technologies were integrated

o Secondary energy recovery up to 90%; energy consumption dropped by 100kg

coal/t-steel; melting time dropped from 35 minutes to 25 minutes; emission level

of waste gas and dust is world class.

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III. Automation and control

o Production process automation, application software

o Hybrid process information, energy management and control

o AC frequency variable speed regulation

o Large scale hydraulic servo cylinder and servo system

o Recovery and use of waste energy and heat

o High voltage large power transistor

o Fieldbus

IV. Analysis and testing

There are two national testing centers for iron and steel industries: The National Analysis Center

for Iron and Steel (NACIS) and The National Quality Supervision and Inspection Center for Iron

and Steel.

o Arbitration center of product quality

o Research center for new methods, standards and instruments

o Service center for materials testing

o Training center for professionals

These centers have been approved by Rolls-Royce since 2001 and NADCAP Accreditation in

2005. As clearly indicated, there is continuous improvement in the technology progress of the

China steel industry development.

The direction of the technology improvement is multidirectional like towards energy saving and

eco-friendly technology with high efficiency and standards(advanced steel like micro-alloying,

application of high strength auto-steel, engine power, and material development) are given

attention for future development of the steel industries in China.This means thatenergy

conservation, clean steel production, sustainability of resource access,and high end steel products

are also given attention from technical production points of view.

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Table 58: Evolving of techno-economic indexes of China steel industry

year Specific energy consumption(tce/t)*

PCI (kg/t)

Coke rate (kg/t)

BF productivity (t/(m3.d)

BOF campaign (heats)

CC ratio (%)

2000 0.92 117 437 2.15 3500 86.97

2001 0.88 122 422 2.34 3526 89.44

2002 0.82 126 417 2.46 4386 93.03

2003 0.77 118 430 2.47 4631 96.19

2004 0.76 116 427 2.52 5218 98.35

2005 0.74 120 412 2.64 5647 97.51

2006 0.65 134 397 2.71 6824 98.53

2007 0.63 136 396 2.74 8558 98.69

2008 0.63 134 400 2.63 9233 98.85

2009 0.62 145 374 2.62 9435 99.38

2010 0.604 149 369 2.59 10427 99.47 Source: CISRI

c) Side event (unintended)lessons

Well planned and high quality of urban infrastructure development

Low level of labor turnover or longer period of service of experts in their position

Full facility and commitment of experts and officials to the vision and missions of their

respective duties

High level of coordination and cooperation in both horizontal and vertical hierarchies of

government machineries with clear responsibility and accountability

d) Challenges and problems they have been working on

Over capacity of the steel production (domestically and globally)

For example, in 2013, the capacity of crude steel was 1.1 billion tons and the output was 780

million tons. The capacity utilization was roughly 70%. In 2014, because of a weak iron ore

price, the capacity utilization was raised to 74%. However, there are efforts of restructuring the

industry by the government by way of merging and acquisition.

Energy consumption and pollutant emission

The CO2 emission was increased by 2.39 times, and reached up to 1.5 billion tons, due to the

increase in crude steel output by 4.69 times. The CO2emission accounts for16% of total

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CO2emissions. However, there is an effort to solve the challenge of environment and resources

through investment on CO2 reduction technologies through Eco-friendly steels.

Quality and brand problems

The problems related with quality and branding lie in irregularity in quality due to large number

of steel mills of different technology and management levels; product homogeneity (red sea

competition) and lack of brand power in both local and global marketing.

Recommendations for our steel industry

o Investment on high level of skill development areas(MSc, PhD, Post-doctoral) in iron and

steel areas;

o Both managerial and technical positions of the steel industries must be given equal

attention;

o Well-organized and equipped laboratory arrangement for R and D in steel industries that

provide comprehensive services (e.g., laboratory, research, training, certification

services) with mandatory regulation that forces steel industries to get these services;

o Strong collaboration among research centers/institutes, science and technology

universities, and steel industries(to reduce information asymmetry);

o Need for detail technical evaluation by high-level task forces designated by the

government to finance steel industry;

o Need to create competitive environment among steel industries, both domestic and

global, through preparation of merit-based annual award system;

o Incentive-based import of the technology (buy technology), machineries, FDI, experts,

managerial experiences, i.e., import, master and absorb imported technologies;

o Gradual expansion of the scale of production from small to large industry (productive

capacity development);

o Using both local and imported raw materials alternatively based on variation of global

raw material prices (using local raw materials when global market prices rise and vice

versa); importing raw materials to start production soon as exploration of the minerals

will take more time (for example, China had been importing 70% of raw materials from

Australia at early stage);

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o Official signing of contracts with foreign firms/governments for technology transfer by

specifying appropriate technology;

o Government support should focus more on steel industry infrastructure development than

financing investment capital for industries;

o Involvement of professionals in steel policy making and revisions of policies;

o Competitive and achievement-based remuneration for research and development staff

personnel;

o The focus of the government should be provision of common technology and

information, not the advanced technology (which is the work of private firms or specific

industries);

o Enhancing competitiveness of steel industries by focusing on technology, cheap labor

cost and improved productivity of manpower;

o Strict standard in licensing and support both at national and local level (local and foreign

firms);

o Conducting regular and sudden monitoring and supervision on quality and standards of

products and communicating the result to the public and stakeholders

Conclusion

As indicated above, from the benchmarking visits to China, the team has gained insightful

lessons on many matters. Particularly, the dynamic paths in the steel industry development

through investing on human resource and technology accompanied by effective regulatory

systems makes a significant contribution for the transformation the sector.