denton county real estate roundup january 2010

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  • 8/14/2019 Denton County Real Estate Roundup January 2010

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    January 2010

    Jay Myers REALTORKeller Williams Realty Dallas Metro NorthFlower Mound, TXWebsite: www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.comemail: [email protected]: (972) 510-7800

    Serving North Texas Buyers, Sellers and Investors Specializing in Denton County

    http://www.mydentoncountyrealestate.com/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.mydentoncountyrealestate.com/
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    REAL ESTATE STATISTICS ANALYSIS AND TRENDS FOR

    DENTON COUNTY TEXASThe following statistics are gathered from the North Texas Real Estate InformationSystems (NTREIS) the information herein deemed reliable but not guaranteed.

    This analysis is based solely on: Single Family Residences

    Resale or Pre-Owned homes Denton County Based on a 1 or 2 Year Analysis

    It Does NOT Include New Construction Condominiums Farms and Ranches Vacant Land

    All interpretation and commentary is that of Jay Myers and not necessarily shared bythe National Association of REALTORS (NAR) the Texas Association of REALTORSor my brokerage Keller Williams Realty.

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 415 553 636 665 841 843 864 800 649 532 403 479

    2009 285 430 528 574 684 821 878 708 639 692 583 495

    2010 275

    Average SOLD Properties by Month

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    20,000

    40,000

    60,000

    80,000

    100,000

    120,000

    140,000

    160,000

    180,000200,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2008 157,400 159,000 170,500 160,000 168,000 170,000 171,850 184,450 169,400 165,872 157,000 165,000

    2009 150,000 161,000 160,126 160,500 171,400 172,500 175,000 175,625 167,250 165,500 162,500 165,900

    2010 166,000

    Median Price for SOLD Properties by Month

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 77 73 70 66 62 62 60 60 69 67 68 70

    2009 72 76 71 67 65 60 67 68 61 66 70 78

    2010 73

    Average Days on Market for SOLD Properties

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    1000

    2000

    3000

    4000

    5000

    6000

    Homes For Sale vs. SOLD

    4069 units

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    120

    140

    160

    180200

    Average Days on Market

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    800

    900

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 581 661 671 803 842 817 826 676 539 453 404 361

    2009 451 526 608 734 772 833 779 671 675 685 434 364

    2010 456

    Units Under Contract by Month

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    145,000

    150,000

    155,000

    160,000

    165,000

    170,000

    175,000

    180,000

    185,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2008 169,000 168,000 167,400 169,900 172,250 173,000 184,900 173,200 174,500 159,900 160,200 159,900

    2009 162,900 165,900 168,950 175,000 174,500 179,190 174,900 175,000 169,900 165,000 167,250 172,500

    2010 169,900

    Median Under Contract Price

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    60

    70

    80

    90

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 73 71 63 64 62 58 63 65 70 66 71 72

    2009 71 74 64 66 62 67 66 68 64 69 80 82

    2010 68

    Average Days on Market Under Contract

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    200

    400

    600

    800

    1,000

    1,200

    1,400

    1,600

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2008 1,194 1,206 1,274 1,419 1,364 1,389 1,233 1,140 957 903 766 675

    2009 1,023 1,013 1,279 1,301 1,209 1,330 1,266 1,191 1,047 969 755 638

    2010 1,190

    New Listings by Month

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    155,000160,000

    165,000

    170,000

    175,000180,000

    185,000

    190,000

    195,000

    200,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2008 179,900 179,900 184,900 189,900 194,155 189,900 192,500 187,650 179,900 174,939 184,945 170,500

    2009 188,000 199,500 197,900 192,500 199,900 198,250 189,000 189,900 184,900 185,000 189,900 174,500

    2010 184,964

    Median Price for New Listings

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2008 4,380 4,519 4,668 4,985 5,085 5,172 5,115 4,927 4,654 4,506 4,199 3,950

    2009 4,026 4,125 4,518 4,791 4,878 5,014 4,985 4,904 4,724 4,520 4,036 3,779

    2010 4,069

    Number of Active For Sale Properties

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    50,000

    100,000

    150,000

    200,000

    250,000

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec

    2008 180,000 184,900 189,900 194,900 199,900 200,000 207,000 205,000 199,974 199,900 199,900 199,000

    2009 197,250 199,900 209,000 209,900 217,664 219,900 219,900 216,950 215,000 218,450 224,900 219,900

    2010 209,488

    Median Price for Actively Listed

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    20

    40

    60

    80100

    120

    140

    160

    180

    200

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 172 168 164 159 157 159 165 172 178 182 188 191

    2009 183 178 170 164 160 157 156 153 150 148 148 140

    2010 108

    Average DOM for Actively Listed

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    500

    600

    700

    Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 486 463 431 461 460 473 502 554 512 620 520 586

    2009 463 360 420 394 416 462 493 556 498 554 461 536

    2010 486

    Expired Listings by Month

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    0

    1,000

    2,000

    3,000

    4,000

    5,000

    6,000

    Supply and Demand

    Month Active

    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

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    Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com

    IN CLOSING:

    With only a 1% increase in active for sale properties from 2008.The Median Sold Price up over 5% for the past 12 months.The end of the $8,000 First Time Homebuyers Tax Credit.The end of the $6,500 Homeowners Tax CreditThe infamous double-dip effect with the looming of new

    foreclosures and short-sale to flood the market.

    It is my opinion that by May of 2010 we will see prices once again begin to fall, possibly as much as 2 -3%. I am not saying you should wait to buy, if you are a first timer the $8,000 is too great of aopportunity to pass up. You should be actively looking at homes, but I think the pickings are thinright now in Lewisville and Corinth 2 of my favorite first timer communities. But Little Elm is still hot,and still eligible for the USDA Guaranteed Loan program. But I am also one of the few agents outthere that says if you are not ready to buy due to financing, job security, relationship issues orperhaps having to settle for a house that may not be just right for you - it may be advantageous towait.

    But you should not wait too long, if the "experts" are right we should start seeing interest rates riseby June or July, and would not be surprised to see them as high as 7% by this time next year.