denton county real estate roundup january 2010
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January 2010
Jay Myers REALTORKeller Williams Realty Dallas Metro NorthFlower Mound, TXWebsite: www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.comemail: [email protected]: (972) 510-7800
Serving North Texas Buyers, Sellers and Investors Specializing in Denton County
http://www.mydentoncountyrealestate.com/mailto:[email protected]:[email protected]://www.mydentoncountyrealestate.com/ -
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REAL ESTATE STATISTICS ANALYSIS AND TRENDS FOR
DENTON COUNTY TEXASThe following statistics are gathered from the North Texas Real Estate InformationSystems (NTREIS) the information herein deemed reliable but not guaranteed.
This analysis is based solely on: Single Family Residences
Resale or Pre-Owned homes Denton County Based on a 1 or 2 Year Analysis
It Does NOT Include New Construction Condominiums Farms and Ranches Vacant Land
All interpretation and commentary is that of Jay Myers and not necessarily shared bythe National Association of REALTORS (NAR) the Texas Association of REALTORSor my brokerage Keller Williams Realty.
Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com
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0
200
400
600
800
1,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 415 553 636 665 841 843 864 800 649 532 403 479
2009 285 430 528 574 684 821 878 708 639 692 583 495
2010 275
Average SOLD Properties by Month
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0
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
140,000
160,000
180,000200,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008 157,400 159,000 170,500 160,000 168,000 170,000 171,850 184,450 169,400 165,872 157,000 165,000
2009 150,000 161,000 160,126 160,500 171,400 172,500 175,000 175,625 167,250 165,500 162,500 165,900
2010 166,000
Median Price for SOLD Properties by Month
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0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 77 73 70 66 62 62 60 60 69 67 68 70
2009 72 76 71 67 65 60 67 68 61 66 70 78
2010 73
Average Days on Market for SOLD Properties
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0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
Homes For Sale vs. SOLD
4069 units
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20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180200
Average Days on Market
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0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 581 661 671 803 842 817 826 676 539 453 404 361
2009 451 526 608 734 772 833 779 671 675 685 434 364
2010 456
Units Under Contract by Month
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145,000
150,000
155,000
160,000
165,000
170,000
175,000
180,000
185,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008 169,000 168,000 167,400 169,900 172,250 173,000 184,900 173,200 174,500 159,900 160,200 159,900
2009 162,900 165,900 168,950 175,000 174,500 179,190 174,900 175,000 169,900 165,000 167,250 172,500
2010 169,900
Median Under Contract Price
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10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 73 71 63 64 62 58 63 65 70 66 71 72
2009 71 74 64 66 62 67 66 68 64 69 80 82
2010 68
Average Days on Market Under Contract
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0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008 1,194 1,206 1,274 1,419 1,364 1,389 1,233 1,140 957 903 766 675
2009 1,023 1,013 1,279 1,301 1,209 1,330 1,266 1,191 1,047 969 755 638
2010 1,190
New Listings by Month
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155,000160,000
165,000
170,000
175,000180,000
185,000
190,000
195,000
200,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008 179,900 179,900 184,900 189,900 194,155 189,900 192,500 187,650 179,900 174,939 184,945 170,500
2009 188,000 199,500 197,900 192,500 199,900 198,250 189,000 189,900 184,900 185,000 189,900 174,500
2010 184,964
Median Price for New Listings
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0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008 4,380 4,519 4,668 4,985 5,085 5,172 5,115 4,927 4,654 4,506 4,199 3,950
2009 4,026 4,125 4,518 4,791 4,878 5,014 4,985 4,904 4,724 4,520 4,036 3,779
2010 4,069
Number of Active For Sale Properties
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0
50,000
100,000
150,000
200,000
250,000
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec
2008 180,000 184,900 189,900 194,900 199,900 200,000 207,000 205,000 199,974 199,900 199,900 199,000
2009 197,250 199,900 209,000 209,900 217,664 219,900 219,900 216,950 215,000 218,450 224,900 219,900
2010 209,488
Median Price for Actively Listed
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0
20
40
60
80100
120
140
160
180
200
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 172 168 164 159 157 159 165 172 178 182 188 191
2009 183 178 170 164 160 157 156 153 150 148 148 140
2010 108
Average DOM for Actively Listed
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100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec2008 486 463 431 461 460 473 502 554 512 620 520 586
2009 463 360 420 394 416 462 493 556 498 554 461 536
2010 486
Expired Listings by Month
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0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
Supply and Demand
Month Active
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Jay Myers (972) 510-7800www.MyDentonCountyRealEstate.com
IN CLOSING:
With only a 1% increase in active for sale properties from 2008.The Median Sold Price up over 5% for the past 12 months.The end of the $8,000 First Time Homebuyers Tax Credit.The end of the $6,500 Homeowners Tax CreditThe infamous double-dip effect with the looming of new
foreclosures and short-sale to flood the market.
It is my opinion that by May of 2010 we will see prices once again begin to fall, possibly as much as 2 -3%. I am not saying you should wait to buy, if you are a first timer the $8,000 is too great of aopportunity to pass up. You should be actively looking at homes, but I think the pickings are thinright now in Lewisville and Corinth 2 of my favorite first timer communities. But Little Elm is still hot,and still eligible for the USDA Guaranteed Loan program. But I am also one of the few agents outthere that says if you are not ready to buy due to financing, job security, relationship issues orperhaps having to settle for a house that may not be just right for you - it may be advantageous towait.
But you should not wait too long, if the "experts" are right we should start seeing interest rates riseby June or July, and would not be surprised to see them as high as 7% by this time next year.