ALVARO URIBE VELEZFEBRUARY 2012

Confidence and the rule of lawThe implementation of the Colombian Democratic Security Strategy

Colombia in 2002: A Rule of Law crisis

Colombia in 2002 was a fragile State

The Colombian Paradox: a long and stable democracy in a permanent threat from terrorist groups, drug dealers and

organized crime…

Security

28.837 homicides

28882 kidnappings

69 homicides per 100.000 habitants

1645 terrorist attacks

350 mayors out of their municipalities

158 municipalities without police

Economy

Average Economic Growth 1994-2001: 2.1%

GDP per Capita: US$2377

Investment as % of GDP: 16.5%

Exports: US$11.975 million

FDI: US$2.100 million

Inflation: 6.99%

Fiscal balance: -3.2%

Social

Unemployment: 16.2%

Health Coverage: 25 million Colombians.

Pension affiliates: 4.5 million

Poverty:53%Education Coverage: Primary 97%, High

school: 57%, University: 24%.

Mobile Phone Lines: 4.6 million

Internet coverage: 1.9 million

Rule of law was in jeopardy

Colombia faced a Confidence Deficit (Without confidence no rule of law can

exist)The elusive quest for

peaceMany governments

exhausted all their political capital attempting to reach

peace through political dialogue…the result was

military strengthening from illegal armed groups and a

rapid growth in their criminal activities (68% thought the country was

going in a negative track)

Terrorist Groups (Guerrillas and

Paramilitaries) had created a sense of defeat in the Colombian people.

Fear impacted in the Colombian people

Mindset

The lack of investmentThe drain of human

capitalThe sense of danger in

Colombian roadsThe expansion of massive kidnappings created an emotional domino effect

Our vision

Our vision was to build a Comunitary State:

CONFIDENCE was our main goal Without Confidence:

• NO INVESTMENT• UNEMPLOYMENT• LACK OF OPPORTUNITIES• BRAIN DRAIN (YOUNG PEOPLE WANTED TO LEAVE WITHOUT A RETURN

TICKET)

Three main Policies: Democratic Security Investment with fraternity Social cohesion

For the First Time a National Development Agenda had Security as a driver of Development (Security = Investment = Social Cohesion)

No more a debate between left and right

Our achievements

Indicator 2002 2010

Homicides 28838 15000

Kidnappings 2882 228

Homicides per 100K

Habitants

69 16.3

Terrorist attacks

1645 250

Municipalities without mayors

presence

350 0

Municipalities without police

158 0

Security EconomyIndicator 2002 2010

Average Economic Growth

2.1% 4.3%

GDP per Capita

2377 5300

Invest % GDP

16.5% 24.6%

Exports US$11.000

US$ 39.000

FDI US$2.100

US$ 7.000

Inflation 6.9% 2.5%

SocialIndicator 2002 2010

Unemployment 16.2% 11.6%

Health Coverage 25.1 million

43.1 millio

n

Pension affiliates 4.5 million

7.1 millio

n

Poverty 57% 37%

Education coverage (Primary,

Hs, University)

97%57%24%

100%79.4%35.5%

Mobile phone users

4.6 million lines

41 million lines

The combination of our Policies produced significant results: Lowest violence levels in two decades, highest levels of social coverage in Colombian History and highest levels of Exports

and FDI in more than 5 decades.

The story of how security made possible this change … is the one I want to share with you today…

DEMOCRATIC SECURITY

General values

Take conscience of the problem

Fight fear

Security as a Democratic Value

Security and social cohesion

Investment and social cohesion

Security, investment and social cohesion

Social Cohesion as de validator

Citizen coalition

Leadership

Operational essence

Credibility

Macro vision-Micro Management

Lead the armed forces

Involve all the armed forces

Citizen Participation

Citizen Participation effects

Financial sustainability

A consistent speech

Anticipate with the truth

Implementation

Assume Responsibility

Promise commitment

Intelligence

Counter Intelligence

Rewards

Early victories

Perseverance in moments of crisis

Endurance in times of pressure

Impact

Give credit

International cooperation

Drugs and illicit crops

Dismantle terrorist groups

Expose criminals in the public spotlight

Prevent youth recruitment

Local power

THE STRATEGIC BEGGINING

General Values

1. Take conscience of the problem

Awareness

Recognize Confront

2. Fight fear

“The only thing we have to fear is fear itself”Franklin Delano Roosevelt

Politica

l Fea

r

Physica

l Fea

r

3. Security as a Democratic value

Security

Economic

Freedom

Individual

Freedom

Social Freedom

Political Freedom

4. Security and Social Cohesion

SecuritySocial

Cohesion

State presenc

eJob

creation

Business

5. Investment and social cohesion

• Employment• Tax collection

Investment

• Education• Health• Infrastructure• Conditional Cash Transfers

• Housing

Social Expenditur

e• Quality of life• Opportunities• Entrepreneurial Spirit

Social Cohesion

6. Security, investment, social cohesion

Security

Generates trust

Boosts investment

Is the anchor of peace

Is the base for justice

Investment

Mobilizes capital

Generates employment

Incubates innovation

Triggers entrepreneur

ial spirit

Social Cohesion

Education with quality

Health Universal coverage

Access to finance

Quality Jobs

7. Social cohesion as Security Validator

Social results

Social investment

Tax Collections

Investment

Security

8. People coalition before political coalition

Listen to the people

Define a deliverable message

Communicate effectively a

vision

Be in close contact with the people

Create the popular base

Identify with people needs

9. Leadership values

Kotter

Honesty

Energy

Competence

Moss Kanter

Consistency

Congruence

Competence

Caring

Lincoln

Get out of the office

Communicate

Talk to people

Persevere

Preach a vision

Strong Hand

Uribe

Discipline

Dedication

Responsibility

Love

THE PATH TO SUCCESS

Operational essence

10. Credibility

Transparency

Leadership

Efficiency

Effectiveness

11. Macro Vision – Micro Management

Macro Vision

Objectives

Strategy

Tools

Impact

Micro Management

Detailed follow up

Tactic implementation

People claims

Exercise as commander in

chief

12. Lead the armed forces

Commander in Chief

Guide

Support

Demand

Lead by

example

13. Involve all the forces

Criminal penetration Disputes among forces

Weakening of State authority

Strengthening of organized crime

Risks of not integral

involvement

14. People participation

Security Councils Informants

Rewards Denouncement

15. The people participation effect

Trust and love in the armed forces

Power People

Transparency

16. Security Financial Sustainability

Financial Sustainabilit

yTaxes

Controls

Positive externalities

for the Private Sector

Increase in investment

Economic activities

triggered : Tourism, Mining,

Infrastructure, Agriculture

17. Speech consistency

Speech

Terrorism Vs Insurgents

No humanitarian exchange

Military Rescue

Same speech in every audience

Confront terrorist

supporters

Terrorist threat Vs Conflict

18. Truth and anticipation

Provides Confidence

Transparency

Eliminates the FOG of War

Social respect in the armed

forces

Truth and anticipati

on

THE STRATEGY INTO PRACTICE

Implementation

19. Assume Responsibility

Commander in Chief

Credibility

Armed Forces are motivated

Political Transparenc

y

Fire the commander the FENIX

Lesson

20. Promise dedication not results

Dedication

Not to overpromis

e

Not false expectatio

ns

Demonstrate hard work

Find options

constantly

21. Intelligence

Results

Emanuel FENIX Jaque Camaleon

OperationalHuman Technical

IntelligenceAll forces cooperate Clear objectives

22. Counter-Intelligence

Prevent infiltration

Protect operational information

Distract the enemy

Achieve Results

23. Rewards

Informant Network

Connectivity

Collaboration

Monday of reward

24. Early Victories

Victories

Road Security

Fence Cartagena

Kidnap rapid

response

Presidential direct

involvement

Citizen optimism

25. Persevere in times of crisis

Governor Gaviria

and Gilberto

Echeverri

Nogal Bomb

11 State Senators

Killed

FENIX Diplomatic effects

26. Do not yield to pressure

Own options

Military Rescue

Jaque

Araujo

Unilateral release

Without bargain

Humanitarian gesture

Justice, Peace and

Reparation

Demobilization

Cooperation

Protection

SECRETS BEHIND RESULTS

The impact factor

27. Give Credit

Share successDo not

delegate failure

Motivate results

Praise sacrifice and hard work

Credit Process

28. International Cooperation

Cooperation

Political Support

Military Support

Intelligence Support

Development

Assistance

Economic and Trade

as validators

of Confidence

29. Illicit drugs

Illicit crops

Eradication

Substitution

Prevention

Family Educatio

n

School Educatio

n

Social values

Consumption

Decriminalize

Administrative sanctions

Addiction

Medical treatmen

t

Rehabilitation

Micro-Trafficking

Criminal sanction

Strong Punishme

nt

Cartels

Decisive confrontatio

n

Asset Confiscation

Anti-Money

Laundering

30. Dismantle criminals

Dismantle

Money supply

Weapons supply

InfiltrationAction

Punishment

31. Expose the Criminals

No where to hide

No where to run

Don Diego Informants aware

32. Prevent young recruitment

Prevention

Education

Culture

SportsVocational

Labor opportunitie

s

33. Local Power

Local Powe

r

Governors

Mayors

Citi Councils

State Senators

Private Sector

Community

NGO’s

Final statement

Historical changes took place

Leadership, governance based on citizen support and political Will, helped built significant historical changes in strategic sectors: Reform the oil and gas sector:

1. Colombia is close to produce 1 million barrels per day from 250.000 in 2002. 2. Ecopetrol Reform 3. Created the National Hydrocarbon Agency

Reform the Telecom Sector:1. Restructure the Colombian Telecommunications Agency

Reform the Colombian Social Security Agency More than 2000 criminals were extradited Paramilitary structures were dismantled FARC suffered its biggest historical defeats Colombia experienced its largest historical FDI flows Biggest historical reduction in illicit crops More than 10 FTA’s signed and negotiated Largest historical health and education coverage Largest historical credit expansion Largest historical tourism flows to the country

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