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Study Design, Main Findings and ‘Region:’ the “Canadians and Their Pasts” Survey at the Association of Canadian Studies Conference David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario Moncton, November 5, 2009

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Study Design, Main Findings and ‘Region:’ the “Canadians and Their Pasts” Survey at the Association of Canadian Studies Conference. David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario Moncton, November 5, 2009. - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

Study Design, Main Findings and ‘Region:’ the “Canadians and Their Pasts” Survey at the Association of Canadian Studies Conference

David NorthrupInstitute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

Moncton, November 5, 2009

Page 2: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Outline of Talk

how we did the survey three of our main findings

set the stage for the rest of the session review the results of questions we had in

the survey about region compare and contrast respondents who

reside in their province of birth versus those who live in a different province how these respondents vary in how they answer the

region questions

Page 3: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Study Design

National Telephone Survey (3,419) RDD sample & next birthday selection

Sample Components national sample: 5 regions of 400 interviews (2,000) major urban area sample, 1,000 interviews (Montreal,

Toronto, Calgary, Edmonton and Vancouver) Supplemental Samples (100 each):

Aboriginals (Saskatoon and area), Acadians (Dieppe, Petit-Rocher, and Caraquet), recent immigrants (Peel)

Data Collection over 19 months at ISR and Jolicoeur 55% response rate

Page 4: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Questionnaire

75-80 questions, depending on answers to previous questions

took, on average, 23 minutes to complete National 22, Aboriginal 28, Peel 26, Acadians 23

mostly closed-ended (forced choice) questions 11 open-ended questions

more qualitative, more respondent-centred, no a priori list of answers

taped and transcribed 91% of all respondents gave permission to tape

their answers to the open-ended questions

Page 5: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Questionnaire Sections

1 general interest in the past

2 activities related to the past (engagement)

3 understanding the past (connectedness)

4 trustworthiness of sources on the past

5 importance of various pasts

6 sense of the past

7 biographical data

8 questions unique to supplemental samples

Page 6: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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New Brunswick and Quebec Samples

National Sample Quebec Provincial Sample, n = 643 New Brunswick Provincial Sample, n = 104 RDD samples & next birthday selection sample distributed across the province in the same way as

the population considerable confidence can generalize to the population

Acadian Survey 100 people Dieppe, Petit-Rocher, and Caraquet targeted sample of three communities, random selection of

respondent in household a snapshot of part of a larger community

Page 7: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Acadian Survey

Same as national survey with 3 additional questions:

1) In the last five years did you participate in any activities that celebrated or commemorated Acadian heritage and history?

2) Which activities involving Acadian heritage or history did you participate in?

3) Could you please tell us what you might have learned about your Acadian background through these activities?

Page 8: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Engagement: 1

Family History % yes* Public History % yes

photographs 83 movies 78

heirlooms 74 books 53

places (family past) 57 historic sites 49

scrapbook, cookbook, diary, other family history

56 museums 43

family tree 20 Internet 40

computer history games 8 archives 15

other activities 25

* % figures, this and remaining slides, national sample (3,119 observations), weighted data

Page 9: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Engagement: 2

almost all Canadians engage in activities where they encounter the past 99% engage in at least one activity 56% engage in more than five activities average number of activities = 6 (out of 13) 44% engage in the three most common family-related

activities (photos and heirloom and scrapbook, cookbook, diary, other family history)

25% have read a book about the past and visited a museum and visited a historic site

very high participation rates for family activities lower participation rates for public history activities

Page 10: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Engagement & Education: 1

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

museums* hist sites* internet* books* movies* archives*

less than hs high school post high school university

* significant in regression model

Page 11: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Engagement & Education: 2

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

photos heirlooms* fam places scrapbooks,etc.*

fam tree* games

less than hs high school post high school university

* significant in regression model

Page 12: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Interest in Various Pasts/Histories

Type of past/History

very interested

somewhat interested

not interested*

Total %

in general 33 52 15 100

family 52 39 9 100

Canada 32 54 14 100

* The ‘not interested’ percent includes ‘not very interested,’ ‘not at all interested’ and those who did not answer the question

Page 13: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Importance of Various Pasts

Past very important

somewhat important

* not important

Total percent

family 66 33 1 100

religion or spiritual tradition

32 33 35 100

ethno/cultural group 39 42 19 100

province 35 50 15 100

region** 21 19 60 100

Canada 42 48 10 100

* The ‘not important’ percent includes ‘not very important,’ ‘not at all important’ and those who did not answer the question** very important % only for those who identified a region = 47%

Page 14: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Most Important Past

0%

20%

40%

60%

none birthcountry

region ethnocultural

religion family Canada province

Page 15: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Family Might have been Part of a Larger History

. . . mostly because the family have been in Canada for so many generations and I think it's important that we . . . that those of us that are alive today, are able to understand where we came from and what part we might have played in history - whether it was the fur trade or the Red River settlement and rebellions, and stuff like that.

male, senior, BA, living in the Gulf Islands of BC (id 1407922)

Page 16: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Family Caught up in a Larger History

That was 50 years ago, we came as refugees to Canada from Hungary where we escaped from the Revolution . . . 200,000 Hungarians escaped at that time and I had a five and a seven year old child . . . it was a very, very dramatic escape . . . We just celebrated the 50th anniversary . . . of the uprising of the revolution . . . A book [was] published and our family story is . . . in that book. This is most important event in my life . . . and it changed the whole future of the family . . . I mean, we never would come to Canada or leave the country if there was no revolution, the Russian repression. So I saw dramatic change in our lives . . . this is the most important . . . [it] changed my whole life.

woman, senior, MA, professor of music living in Hamilton (id 1403392)

Page 17: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Family and Feeling Connected to the Past

My mother-in-law died, we were looking through photographs to gather up some pictures to have at the wake… my uncle did a family tree, and he wrote stories of the community and . . . stories about family members who moved away . . . We have an old heritage house . . . that I've inherited . . It is full of lots of antiques and . . . old family things . . . it's a sense of history that you're passing on to your family and . . . I think it's important to know . . . where you came from, . . . the house is 160 years old and . . . it was built by my ancestors and of course, many, many generations have lived in that house, and [it] makes you feel, you know, connected, going through all the . . . old pictures and all the old clippings and old scrapbooks and things that were there.

woman, mid-fifties, BA, retail manager, small town in PEI (id 1400457)

Page 18: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Three Findings

most Canadians engage the past in many different ways family history predominates

making, preserving, interpreting and consuming family history

more participation in passive rather than active activities education is a powerful predictor of engagement

to a lesser extent, so is gender the past of most interest, the past of most importance, and

those activities related to the past that Canadians are most likely to be engaged in, are activities related to the past of the individual and their family

Page 19: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Regions Identified by Respondents: 1

Is there a particular region of Canada you identify with or feel a part of? Yes = 78% limited provincial variation but higher in PQ (87%) and

lower in Ontario (70%) What is that region?

province of residence = 44% (of those who identified with a region, or 34% all respondents)

province, other than province of residence = 6% city of residence = 4% city, other than city of residence = 7%

these 4 ‘regions’ total 61% of the responses

Page 20: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Regions Identified by Respondents: 2

region % region %

southern Ontario 4.7 La Mauricie .6

the prairies 4.5 Eastern Townships .6

the west 3.7 the Rockies .5

northern Ontario 2.6 Okanagan .5

Maritimes 2.1 Charlevoix .4

Atlantic Canada 1.4 Pacific Coast .3

east/down east/east coast 1.4 Peace River .3

Saguenay/Lac-St-Jean 1.3 the North .3

south west Ontario .8 lower mainland (BC) .3

Le Bas-Saint-Laurent .8 Acadia .2

Page 21: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Current Province of Residence Same as Province of Birth (stayers)

Province/Region % stayers % movers

Atlantic Canada 82 18

Quebec 99 1

Ontario 88 12

Manitoba & Saskatchewan 81 19

Alberta 55 45

British Columbia 55 45

Canada 83 17

% figures, national sample, excludes not born in Canada, 2,538 observations, weighted data

Page 22: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Stayers and Leavers and Demographics

leavers have higher levels of education most of the difference is accounted for by more

university degree holders in the leavers group leavers have higher incomes

more leavers in the $120,000 or more group no difference between movers and stayers with

respect to gender, having children or coming from a rural or urban area

limited difference with respect to age over representation of movers in the 51 to 64 age

range

Page 23: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Stayers and Leavers and Atlantic Canada Regions

in Atlantic Canada 80% said they identified with or felt part of a region, in the rest of the country the comparable figure is 78%

49% of Atlantic Canadian leavers said they identified with either Atlantic Canada, the Maritimes or Down East 32% of Atlantic Canadian stayers said they

identified with these regions 25% of Atlantic Canadian leavers identified with

their province 50% of Atlantic Canadian stayers identified with

their province

Page 24: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Past of Province & Canada Rated ‘Very Important’ for Stayers

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Nfld PEI NS NB PQ Ont Man Sask Alb BC

Province Canada

Page 25: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Past of Province & Canada Rated ‘Very Important’ for Leavers

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

Nfld PEI NS NB PQ Ont Man Sask Alb BC

Province Canada

Page 26: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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‘Very Interested’ in Three Pasts by Stayers and Leavers

0%

20%

40%

60%

past (in general)* family* Canada*

Stayers Leavers * difference is statistically significant (regression)

Page 27: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Pasts rated ‘Very Important’ by Stayers and Movers

0%

20%

40%

60%

family region religion ethnoculutral

province* Canada*

Stayers Leavers

* difference is statistically significant (regression)

Page 28: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Tentative Findings: Region 1

few Canadians (in percentage terms) identify with a traditional Canadian region the exception (as Létourneau will argue) is Quebec

those who identify regions, identify many most regions are geographically small typically most regions are not political or administrative units regions are ‘real’ but they are also ‘imagined,’ regions of the

mind, regions where place and community overlap people who move within the country do have higher

education and incomes than stayers, but are no more likely to come from rural areas, to have kids or to vary (much) by age

Page 29: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Tentative Findings: Region 2

even after ‘controlling for’ education and income, leavers are more likely to say: they are interested in the past of Canada, that the past of Canada is very important to them

leavers are less likely to say the past of the province of birth was important to them

Atlantic Canadians who leave their province of birth are more likely to identify with ‘the east’ as a region than those who continue to reside in their province of birth

when it comes to interest in and importance of the past, identity for those who leave is not the same as for those who stay

Page 30: David Northrup Institute for Social Research, York University, Toronto, Ontario

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Acknowledgements

From the Pasts TeamMargaret ConradJocelyn Létourneau

From ISRJohn PollardMirka OndrackHugh McCague