darqube – intelligence beyond data · 2020. 3. 30. · 1 # .! "" ! ! b $ # ! ! #...
TRANSCRIPT
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Panic, suffering, economic shutdown, unemployment... The current
pandemic has a long list of pessimistic outcomes, but when the wave of
panic will fade away, and nations will start reasoning, a solution will be
envisaged. How will the world after and its subsequent economy look like?
Data published last week by the US Department of Labour showed that
the number of initial claims soared to 3.2 million. It represents a historical
peak, the previous peak being observed in the 1980s. Most of YouTube
vloggers you watch, influencers you follow, Instagram models you aspire to,
or other Kardashianesque characters are most-likely amongst the
unemployment benefit claimers. The world will recover after this crisis, but
will not go back to what we once knew. Selfies from Pattaya, Instastories
from Burj-al-Arab and Snaps with Lamborghinis may become distant
souvenirs.
The current economic stoppage is consumerism's biggest enemy. Without
consumerism, banks may need to reinvent their business models and to do
what they are supposed to: finance the real economy. Indeed, we may
witness a strong wave of reindustrialisation in western economies, which
are depending at an overwhelming extent on Chinese means of
production.
Therefore, the shape of the post-pandemic economy could be massively
remodelled and may constitute the end for some and beginning for others.
War against unemployment
A large-scale machine industry that is also capable of reorganising
agriculture is the only material basis that is possible for socialism.
(Lenin, "Theses for the Report on Tactics at the 3rd Congress of the Communist International")
“
There is life even after a global pandemic: A New Life
March 30
Dr. Marius-Cristian Frunza
Research Brief
U.S. jobless claims surged to a record 3.28 million last week
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Gold price shows outstanding resilience to the current crisis. The other
precious metals including Silver and Platinum lost significant territory
since early March. Nevertheless, this holds true for the paper market. In the
physical market, dealers report a surge in demand and a foreseeable
shortage of silver.
Commodities market:
Foreseeable shortage of physical precious metals
The stock market rebounded miraculously after the US government, along
with other leaders of big economies, deployed the heavy artillery to bailout
the frozen economy. The market rallied a few days before United States
President Donald Trump signed a massive 2.2 trillion USD economic rescue
bill to help lift the US economy devastated by the spread of Covid-19. The
size of the rescue bill is not the only premiere. It is the first time since
Trump came in the White House, Democrats and Republicans joined
forces to do something for the people.
In the long run, compared to the 2009 levels, the stock market is still in
positive territory.
Many analysts foresee already a “V” shape recovery, but before talking
about a recovery, we need to pass over the bottom of the valley. The
stimulus brought confidence in the market. But, it did not bring
momentum. We would be able to talk about recovery when we know
about how long the lockdown will last and how dramatic will be the spread
of the disease in the US. Until then, all bets are off.
Market overview
Silver is cheap, but hard to find
Massive 2.2 trillion USD stimulus and market recovers
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Our prognosis for the stock market is still bearish despite last week’s rally. A
second dip could come in the next two weeks and the Dow Jones may go
deep beyond the 20,000 support level. As we forecasted, the Brent reached
the 25 USD level and will continue to move in negative territory until June.
Over the last 10 days two signs of hope resurge in the news: The name of
Professor Didier Raoult and the miracle treatment consisting in the
association of Hydroxychloroquine and Azithromycin. One of the biggest
producers of Chloroquine is the Indian company Cadila Healthcare, listed
on the New York Stock Exchange. Cadila share rallied last week amid
rumours that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention will approve
the mass usage of the chloroquine. Nevertheless, the stock price remained
stable since the beginning of the crisis and has better perspective than the
S&P 500.
Market outlook
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
9,200
10,000
1,640
1,680
1,700
1,800
1,850
1,900
20,000
18,500
17,000
16,000
18,000
21,000
23
20
22
30
30
50
1 week
2 weeks
1 month
June 2020
Sep 2020
Dec 2020
Horizon BTC Gold Dow Jones Brent
Seemingly, the coupling of futures and physical precious metal markets is
a plausible scenario. Indeed, physical silver is a safe-haven in period of
extreme crisis, thereby a surge in silver demand being highly probable in
the near future.
Second market dip under horizon
Positive outlook for Chloroquine producer
Stock of the week:
Cadila Healthcare
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Weekly movers
Top Winners
$0.03512
$0.3715
$6.912
$0.02338
$0.006215
85.13%
79.82%
56.34%
56.28%
55.65%
YOU
MTL
THX
PIXL
MSDT
Coin Price Weekly Change
$6306.42
$0.1737
$131.08
$1.003
$215.98
$157.06
$38.7
$2.206
$12.03264
$1.593
$115,373,588,992
$17,368,584,483
$14,458,976,741
$4,656,294,516
$3,965,020,698
$2,882,885,708
$2,503,058,744
$2,251,321,218
$1,871,518,730
$1,291,771,477
9.25%
-3.03%
-4.14%
-0.1%
-2.66%
-7.67%
-1.05%
-3.92%
-1.77%
-5.29%
0.1%
-26.2%
-24.18%
-39.78%
-29.46%
-26.02%
-33.45%
-37.35%
-37.62%
-41.97%
-44.13%
-7.95%
-36.33%
-48.09%
-31.48%
53.34%
0.3%
27.39%
139.17%
50.28%
BTC
XRP
ETH
USDT
BCH
BSV
LTC
EOS
BNB
XTZ
Coin Price MarketcapWeekly Change
Monthly Change
Yearly Change
Weekly Range
$5874.8
$0.1574
$124
$1.001
$202.69
$146.2
$36.61
$2.091
$11.29
$1.463
$6980.29
$0.1879
$143.81
$1.005
$233.71
$181.02
$41.37
$2.382
$13.3
$1.795
$1.163
$0.01495
$0.006718
$0.4018
$0.0027
-42.43%
-40.46%
-35.77%
-32.66%
-30.0%
BUX
STPT
XWC
SXP
BURST
Coin Price Weekly Change
Top Coins
Top Losers
Total MarketCap
$174 Bn 4.81%
Total Volume 24H
$107 Bn 18.93%
BTC Dominance
65.52% 0.56%
ETH Dominance
8.25% 0.06%
Active Cryptocurrencies
3,585
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The information and data published in this newsletter were prepared by the market research department of
Darqube Ltd. Publications and reports of our research department are provided for information purposes only.
Market data and figures are indicative and Darqube Ltd does not trade any financial instrument or offer
investment recommendations and decision of any type. The information and analysis contained in this report
has been prepared from sources that our research department believes to be objective, transparent and
robust.
Intelligence beyond data
Dr. Marius-Cristian Frunza