dairy and livestock namas in costa rica, kenya and mongolia

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Livestock NAMAs in Kenya, Mongolia and Kyrgyzstan Sciencepolicylivelihood progress through livestockrelated NAMAs in Costa Rica, Kenya and Mongolia Timm Tennigkeit, SBSTA 42 Side Event Friday June 5 2015, Bonn

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Livestock  NAMAs  in  Kenya,  Mongolia  and  Kyrgyzstan  

Science-­‐policy-­‐livelihood  progress  through  livestock-­‐related  NAMAs  in  Costa  Rica,  Kenya  and  Mongolia  

Timm  Tennigkeit,    SBSTA  42  Side  Event  Friday  June  5  2015,  Bonn  

©  UNIQUE  forestry  and  land  use  GmbH  

Livestock  NAMA  –  Global  poten5al  1.   Impact    

•  MiRgaRon:  Sector  accounts  for  14.5%  ~  7.1  GtCO2-­‐eq  p.a.  ;  emission  reducRon  potenRal  30%  ~  2.1  GtCO2-­‐eq  p.a.    

•  AdaptaRon:  Restoring  grasslands  –  ecosystem  based  adaptaRon  –,  enhancing  resilience  of  600  M  livestock-­‐based  livelihoods  

2.   Paradigm  shi@  (impact  beyond  the  project):  High  momentum  of  sustainability  issues  in  a  rapidly  growing  sector  can  be  addressed  by  shibing  consumpRon,  reducing  waste  and  invesRng  in  the  compeRRveness  of  sustainable  and  low  emission  producRon  

3.   Sustainable  development:  Ecosystem  resilience;  social  benefits  e.g.  improved  livelihoods  and  nutriRon;  economic  benefits  e.g.  increased  income,  employment  i.e.  1,000  l  milk  producRon  generaRng  on  average  over  70  direct  jobs  at  farm  level  and  30  jobs  in  the  value  chain  (smallholder  producRon).  

4.   Needs  of  the  recipient:  TargeRng  rural  poor  engaged  in  livestock-­‐based  livelihoods    5.   Country  ownership:  NaRonal  development  and  INDC  priority  in  many  countries  6.   Efficiency  and  effec5veness:  Livestock  sector,  in  parRcular  dairy,  oben  has  already  

relaRvely  well  established  insRtuRons,  value  chains  and  can  leveraging  private  sector  finance,  innovaRons  and  experRse  

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©  UNIQUE  forestry  and  land  use  GmbH  

Dairy  NAMA  development  in  Kenya  ,  with  CCAFs  support  

Theory  of  change  §  The  NAMA  will  address  systema5c  barriers  (e.g.  lack  of  supporRng  services  and  

market  access,  fragmented  value  chains)  to  transform  the  sector    §  Key  intervenRons  contribute  to  the  achievement  of  naRonal  development  

strategies  and  encourage  private  sector  par5cipa5on  by  providing  market-­‐led  opportuniRes  and  incenRves,  increasing  the  efficiency  and  compeRRveness  of  the  dairy  value  chain  and  supporRng  stable  milk  supply  to  dairy  processors  

§  ImplementaRon  will  be  through  regional  private  and  public  financed  ini5a5ves    Financing  and  resource  leverage  §  Private  sector  investments  in  technology  and  extension  to  increase  long-­‐term  milk  

supply  and  improve  milk  quality  §  Public  support  from  County  Development  Funds  and  development  partner  

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©  UNIQUE  forestry  and  land  use  GmbH  

Dairy  NAMA  development  in  Kenya  (cont.)  

§  Impact:  MiRgaRon  potenRal  of  2  MtCO2-­‐eq  p.a.  in  2025,    represenRng  3.3%  of  Kenya’s  2010  GHG  emissions;    food  &  nutriRon  security  for  30  million  consumers  

§  Paradigm  shi@:  Africa  as  a  whole  has  a  milk  deficit  resulRng  in  increasing  imports  and  child  malnutriRon.  Even  Kenya  with  the  most  advanced  dairy  industry  outside  SSA  is  facing  this  problem.  Considering  that  80%  of  smallholder  farms  are  engaged  in    dairy  and  that  the  sector  is  relaRvely  well  organized  a  dairy    NAMA  can  be  scaled  to  1.8M  households  in  Kenya  and  lessons    learned  adopted  across  Sub-­‐Saharan  Africa.  

§  Sustainable  development:  Dairy  is  a  dynamic  and  well    organized  industry  in  Kenya,  contribuRng  4%  to  GDP  or  more  than  US$  1  Billion  to  the  economy,  sustaining    700,000  families  &  generaRng  180,000  jobs  in  the  value  chain.  

§  Efficiency  and  effec5veness:  Linking  smallholder  dairy    producer  to  the  market  can  increase  income  by    US$  1,000-­‐2,000  per  farmer  per  year.  

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©  UNIQUE  forestry  and  land  use  GmbH  

Mongolia‘s  livestock  NAMA,  with  ADB  support   5  

§  Impact:  Grassland  restoraRon  has  a  technical  miRgaRon  potenRal  of  29  MtCO2-­‐eq  p.a.  This  is  1/3  of  energy  sector  technical  potenRal  and    18  Rmes  larger  than  industry  potenRal,  but  there  are  more  barriers    to  adopRon  in  grassland  management.  Livestock  intervenRons,  i.e.  changing  heard  size  and  structure,  improved  breeding  has  a  technical  miRgaRon  potenRal  of  457,000  tCO2e  p.a.  Both  intervenRons  increase  climate  resilience  and  livelihoods.  

§  Paradigm  shi@:  IntervenRons  will  be  catalyRc  for  developing  markets  for  quality  meat  and  cashmere.  A  number  of  other  Central  Asian  countries  will  benefit  from  lessons  learned.    

§  Sustainable  development:  Alignment  with  NaRonal  Livestock  programme  ensures  policy  coherence  and  leverage  resources  

§  Efficiency  and  effec5veness:  Grassland  restoraRon  and  livestock  intervenRons  (except  fodder  producRon)  are  financially    viable  and  result  in  internal  rate  of  returns  of  between  15  and  30%.  Abatement  costs  are  quite  anracRve  compared  with  the  energy  and  industry  sector.  In  addiRon  to  the  economic  gains  they  generate  environmental  and  social  benefits.        

©  UNIQUE  forestry  and  land  use  GmbH  

Beef  NAMA  development  in  Kyrgyzstan,  with  GIZ  support  

§  Impact:  MiRgaRon  potenRal  of  90,000  tCO2-­‐eq  p.a.  when  only  30  %  of  the  beef  is  produced  more  efficient  i.e.  bener  feeding  and  animal  health  resulRng  in  lower  emissions  per  product  unit.  In  addiRon,  160,000  tCO2-­‐eq  p.a.  from  soil  carbon  sequestraRon  on  sustainably  managed  pasture.    Efficient  beef  producRon  will  increase  resilience  of  smallholder  producRon,  generate  rural  employment  and  improve  livelihoods.  

§  Paradigm  shi@:  Ongoing  livestock  investments  focus  on  pasture  management.  Beef  value  chains  based  on  more  efficient  and  quality  producRon  will  strengthen  adopRon  of  sustainable  pasture  management.  

§  Sustainable  development:  Economic  development  and  sustainable  land  use  can  go  hand  in  hand.  Joining  the  Eurasian  Customs  Union  will  provide  huge  beef  export  opportuniRes  to  Kazakhstan  and  Russia  linked  to  employment  and  tax  revenues.  Currently  50  %  (9.2  M  ha)  of  pasture  is  degraded  resulRng  in  insufficient  grazing  opportuniRes  and  reduced  water  holding  capacity.  Introducing  animal  health  control  &  incenRves  for  quality  and  efficiency  livestock  producRon  will  generate  economic,  environmental  and  social  returns.  

§  Efficiency  and  effec5veness:  €  10  M  investment  in    animal  health  control  system  will  leverage  €  100-­‐200  M    p.a.  in  beef  export  revenues  and  related  private  sector    investments,  employment  opportuniRes  and  tax    revenues  

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©  UNIQUE  forestry  and  land  use  GmbH  

Way  forward   7  

§  Livestock  is  globally  emerging  as  a  sweet  spot  for  climate-­‐smart  agricultural  investments.  

§  RespecRve  investments  can  have  strong  miRgaRon  and  adaptaRon  impacts,  but  require  a  value  chain  approach  to  deliver  related  environmental  and  poverty  reducRon  benefits  as  demonstrated  in  all  three  Livestock  NAMA  case  studies.  

§  NAMAs  are  a  flexible  instrument  for  supporRng  the  implementaRon  of  Intended  NaRonally  Determined  ContribuRons  (INDCs).  Hence  they  are  well  aligned  with  country  and  sector  specific  needs  while  leveraging  and  integraRng  different  private  and  public  resources.  

§  The  Green  Climate  Fund  is  expected  to  be  the  main  financing  mechanism  for  Livestock  NAMAs.  Assessment  criteria  for  the  NAMA  Facility  and  the  Green  Climate  Fund  are  similar.  Therefore,  project  developer  may  consider  both  opRons  together  with  eligible/accredited  financing  partner.  

§  ParRcipaRon  of  the  private  sector  is  key  for  any  Livestock  NAMA  considering  their  operaRonal  experience,  innovaRon  and  to  ensure  long-­‐term  sustainability  

§  CCAFS  together  with  its  public  and  private  partners  is  providing  the  science  base  and  support  for  Livestock  NAMA  design  and  implementaRon  across  regions.  

 

KONTAKT  CONTACT  CONTACTO  

UNIQUE  forestry  and  land  use  GmbH  Schnewlinstr.  10  79098  Freiburg,  Germany  Tel:      +49  -­‐  761  20  85  34  -­‐  0  Fax:      +49  -­‐  761  20  85  34  -­‐  10  unique@unique-­‐landuse.de  www.unique-­‐landuse.de    

Timm  Tennigkeit  Timm.Tennigkeit@unique-­‐landuse.de  +49  761  20  85  34  27