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    Report on Consumer Durables Industry

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    Report on

    Consumer Durables Industry

    Submitted by:

    Section D- Group 08

    C V Sreepradhaa 2014PGP089

    Shaily Gupta IPM2011096

    Pradeep Jasal IPM2011067

    Deepak Gothwal IPM2011I016

    Saurabh Anand IPM2011094

    Priyanka Bhagat 2014PGP273

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    Executive Summary

    The report studies the consumer durables industry in India. The report is divided into three

    parts

    1. Industry Profile

    2. Players' Profile

    3. Macroeconomic Profile

    The industry profile will give an overview of the industry .The Indian Consumer durables

    segment can be categorized into three major groups namely: White Goods, Brown Goods and

    Consumer Electronics. Consumer Durables Industry in India is expected to have a 19.6%

    CAGR over the next few years. This growth can be attributed to two major factors (1)

    increased penetration in rural market (2) increased number of innovations and replacement

    demand in urban markets. India is soon set to become the fifth largest consumer durables

    market in the world by 2025. Currently India is in twelfth position and by 2015 is expected to

    reach USD 12.5 billion by 2015. India is one of the largest growing electronics market in the

    world. By 2020, the electronics market in India is expected to increase to USD400 billion

    from the current USD 69.6 billion with a CAGR of almost 24.4%. India has the worlds third

    largest television industry. By 2016, the television industry in India is expected to expand to

    USD12.6 billion from USD 7.4 billion in 2013 with a CAGR of 19.1%.

    Secondly, the report talks about the profile of the various major players in the market, both in

    financial aspect and with respect to their market share.

    Thirdly the report elaborates on the current governmental policies related to Consumer

    Durables Industry. With the increasing demand, supported by the government policies such

    as liberalisation and FDI, investments in Consumer durables industry has increased

    considerably. Apart from the international players, Indian players such as Godrej and

    Videocon are also expanding globally.

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    Sl.No Topic Page NoCover Page 1Summary on Consumer Durables Industry 2Table of Contents 3

    I. Industry Profile1 Overview of the Industry 4

    1.1 Consumer durables classification 41.2 Growth over last few years 41.3 Evolution of Indian Consumer Durables Sector 5

    2 Technological trends and key growth drivers 63 Mergers and Acquisitions 74 Analysts view of Industry 8

    4.1 PEST Analysis 84.2 Porters five forces for electronics industry in India 9

    II Players' Profile1 Major Players' Profile 10

    1.1 Company Profile 101.2 Market share by segments (Electronics) 11

    1.3 Market share by segments (Appliances) 121.4 Indian Players 131.5 Key Products 13

    2 Financial performance Indicators 14III Macroeconomic Profile

    1 Government Policies 151.1 Industrial Approval Policy 151.2 Foreign Investment Policy 15

    1.3 Fiscal Policy 161.4 Foreign Trade Policy 162 WTO Free Trade agreements 17

    3Competition from foreign firms, opportunities inoverseas markets 18

    3.1 Competition from foreign firms 183.2 Overseas marketing opportunities 18

    References 19

    Table of Contents

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    I. INDUSTRY PROFILE

    1. Overview of the IndustryConsumer durables - Consumer durables are a category of consumer products that do not

    have to be purchased frequently because they are made to last for an extended period of time(typically more than three years).

    1.1 Consumer durables classification

    Consumer durables industry is mainly divided into three segments, white goods, brown

    goods and consumer electronics . All segments are dominated by the global players

    (MNCs), representing around 65 percent share in the domestic consumer durables market.

    MNCs mainly targets middle class people and provide products with advanced technology as

    compared to the Indian companies. Whereas, domestic players are competing on the basis of

    their well acknowledged brands, firm grasp of Indian consumer durables market and a strong

    hold over wide distribution network. Samsung and LG are dominant player across all

    categories. Bajaj electronics, Voltage, Videocon industries and Godrej are some leading

    domestic players currently operating in the industry.

    1.2 Growth over last few years

    Growth of the industry depends mainly upon economic growth of the country. If country is

    growing faster than the industry is expected to grow faster. The consumer durables industry is

    highly correlated to the economic scenario as its growth depends upon the consumers

    disposal income. Over the past few years, strong Indian economic growth has pushed the

    sector to double-digit growth.

    White Goods Brown Goods Consumer Electronics

    Refrigerators Irons TVs

    Air conditioners Microwave ovens Mobile phones and digital cameras

    Washing machines Electric fans Personal computers

    Sewing machines Cooking products Electronics accessories

    Watches and clocks chimneys LCDs/LEDs

    Cleaning equipments Mixers and grinders DVDs and Camcorders

    Other domestic appliances Audio and Video systems

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    However at present scenario the Indian consumer durables industry is under pressure owing

    to the prevailing economic slowdown, higher interest rate phase and rising inflation forcing

    consumer to reduce their purchasing decision. Increase in inputs prices and strong

    competition among players, has become key concerns for the industry. Growth in consumer

    durables has remained negative for four consecutive months this fiscal year, which implies

    that overall consumption spending is weak and may pose significant risk to the sustainability

    of growth in the capital goods sector.

    1.3 Evolution of Indian Consumer Durables Sector

    0

    2

    4

    6

    810

    12

    14

    3.8 4.24.7 5.2

    6.37.3 7.35

    8

    10.2

    12.5Growth In Industry$ Billion

    Source: IBEF Consumer Durables Report March 2014

    Urban65%

    Rural35%

    Revenue MarketShare

    Source: IBEF Report March 2014

    Pre-liberalisation(1980s and early1990s)

    Closed market Increased

    productavailability,increasedmedia

    penetrationandadvertising

    Liberalisation(Mid and late1990s) Liberalisation of

    markets Influx of global

    players such asLG andSamsung

    Shift in focusfrom promotionto productinnovation

    Growth(Early 2000s) Increasing

    availability andaffordability ofconsumer finance

    provides impetus togrowth

    Low penetration ofhigh-end productssuch as airconditioners (3 %)

    Introduction of new aspirational products such as HDTVs

    Companies targeting highgrowth rural market

    Source : Financial Ex ress, A liance Ma azine, Aranca Research

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    2. Technological trends and key growth drivers

    Television - CTVs are the largest contributors to this segment. Introduction of HDTVs is set

    to drive demand growth from affluent consumers. With the invention of LCDs and LEDs,

    market for LCD/LED TVs has increased from 4 million units in 2011 to 5.5 million units in

    2012 and the same is projected to increase to 7 million units in 2013. The price decline due to

    relatively low import duty on LCD panels, higher penetration levels, and the introduction of

    small entry-size models are key growth drivers in the segment.

    Refrigerators - Refrigerator sales stood approximately at 14 million units in 2013.This

    segment makes upto 31 per cent of the consumer appliances market. The market share of

    direct cool and frost free segment is 75 per cent and 25 per cent respectively. Key growthdrivers in this product are lower prices and rising demand for frost-free refrigerators.

    Air Conditioners (ACs) - The Indian ACs market accounted for sales of 3.6 million units in

    2013. ACs are perceived as high-end products; current penetration stands at 6.8 per cent. The

    segment had a 13.0 per cent share (2013) in the consumer appliances market. High income

    growth and rising demand for split ACs are the key growth drivers .

    Mobile Phones - From the initial usage of phone for only communication purpose, the

    product has come a long way through, wherein innovations have become common every day.

    With internet, 3G, pay by phone, GPS, mobile entertainment and operating system, etc. the

    mobile phone has become a mini computer on hand and the innovations continue to grow.

    Washing appliances - Washing machines are the second largest contributor to the consumer

    appliances market in FY13 total sales was 7.5 million units. Fully automatic washing

    machines are garnering an increasing share of the market due to reduction in prices andhigher disposable incomes

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    3. Mergers and Acquisitions

    With rising GDP, and increase in disposable incomes, along with increase in exposure to

    media and easily available consumer loans, firms seek to gain huge market shares in the

    consumer durable goods industry. One way to expand and make their presence in various

    sectors is mergers with and acquisitions of other firms in the industry. This often leads to

    increase in diversity, capacity and even market share enjoyed by the firm.

    Some recent developments as far as mergers and acquisitions in this industry go are:

    Philips Electronics India Ltd wants to enhance its presence at all price points in the

    business of medical equipment, and so is looking forward to the idea of entering into

    partnerships, alliances and acquisitions with other firms.

    Similarly, seeing the huge potential in India as Indian rural homes get electrified, Haier , the

    Chinese white goods manufacturing giant, wanted to increase its presence in India back in

    2008 when it had a mere 2% share in the Indian market. For this purpose it was looking

    forward to acquisitions in India, and even in US to increase its global footprint. Haier had

    acquired Anchor Daewoos appliance production unit in Pune. Haier is also looking forward

    to expanding itself in North India by 2015, and in Southern India in the next 5-6 years.

    Videocon , not behind in the fray, had submitted bids to acquire Webel Consumer Electronics,

    a West Bengal state-owned firm. It had also acquired Kanchan foods in Siliguri which made

    jams, jellies and pickles, so it could manufacture TVs there.

    The Delhi based company of Maharaja Appliance Ltd had acquired the GEM brand of

    Kelvinator so as to enter the white goods market. It launched televisions, refrigerators and

    microwave ovens under this brand name.

    LG electronics acquired webOS from Hewlett-Packard (HP) so as to boost its Smart TV

    technology of the next generation. This allowed LG to use this technology as well as the

    engineering talent pool of HP. LG also did acquisitions to form some of its major subsidies,

    for instance, it acquired LS Mtron Air Conditioning Division to form LG Electronics Co.

    Ltd., Image & Materials, Inc to form LG Display Co., Ltd., Gumi LGE TV factory and Gumi

    LGE learning center to form LG Display Co., Ltd., and New Optics Ltd. to form LG Display

    Co. Ltd.

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    Samsung has been on a huge M&A spree,

    spending more than US $1 billion in

    acquiring 14 companies since 2010, and plans

    to look out for more. In this era of increased

    smartphones, Samsung is eyeing the

    opportunity to become a software giant itself.

    For this purpose it is also eyeing many start-

    ups, especially in the Silicon Valley.

    According to the Wall Street Journal online

    article (dated Oct. 7, 2013 8:05 p.m. ET), Samsung i s eyeing firms like Unity Technologies,

    a San Francisco-based developer of gaming platforms, and Green Throttle Games Inc., a

    Santa Clara, Calif.-based company that makes game controllers and software that connects

    mobile devices to television; Glympse, a Seattle-based company that allows users to share

    their location with their friends and Tel Aviv- based mobile search engine Everything.me.

    Samsung has been shifting its focus away from building capacity and capturing market share,

    to developing new technologies and creating new markets.

    Sony had made acquisitions worth more than US $4billion in 2012 alone by acquiring Sony

    Ericsson, EMI Music Publishing company, Gaikai, So-net and Left Bank Pictures.

    4. Analysts view of Industry

    4.1 PEST Analysis

    Political - Though 100% FDI consumer electronics has been allowed, change of political

    parties at center and state level have effected and led down to roll backs of decision in

    retailing.

    Economic Disposable incomes have increased with both rural and urban consumers.

    Various financing options like Buy on EMI and Low Interest Rates have increased

    consumer spending in this sector.

    Social - Increasing nuclear families has led to rapid growth in demand for electronics like TV

    and refrigerator. Power cuts in rural areas are a major negative issue.

    Technological Energy efficiency rules have become stringent last month, leading to need

    for better technology at low prices. Online retail supply chain available at major cities of the

    country.

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    4.2 Porters five forces for electronics industry in India

    Potential Entrant - The potential new entrant in the electronics market is low. There is huge

    capital requirement for a firm to enter in this segment. As technology is advancing each day;

    it is very difficult for new entrants to build technology advanced products right from the

    beginning .It is very difficult for new entrants to match with major firms like LG, Samsung,

    and Sony in terms of price and establish themselves. Because these firms can display panels

    etc at a very less price due to efficient supply chain. As brand loyalty is moderate, this also

    imposes entry threat on new entrants.

    Bargaining Power of Suppliers As differentiation amongst the product is very low, and

    switching cost is very low or not at all, this makes the supplier power to be on lower end. If

    the inputs are changed i.e. input technology or other raw material, the firms cannot drastically

    differentiate on prices in order to be competitive, so this also leads to reduced supplier power.

    Bargaining power of customers - The bargaining power of buyer is high. With internet,

    buyers have become more informative and educated regarding products and this leads to

    increase in their power. There is medium to high price sensitivity of buyer. Since buyer are

    generally very price sensitive, so this also leads to increase in buyer power. Buyers are more

    informed and also influence buying decisions of other powers. Buyer switching cost is very

    less; hence this also leads to increase in buyer power .

    Threat of substitute products or services - Threat of substitutes are again from mid to high .

    Due to changing technology, there is high threat of substitute products in this industry. As an

    example, before 2010 consumer used CRT televisions. But after the innovation of Plasma,

    LED and LCD TVs consumers have shifted to the newer generation products. Buyers easily

    substitute if they get more technologically advanced product.

    Intensity of competitive rivalry - The competitive rivalry is again very high .As industry is

    highly technology oriented, innovation leads to sustainable competitive advantage. If LG is to

    be evaluated on the competitive strategy then it will be that Samsung is more focussing on product innovations and diversification and they are quickly launching new products in

    market. Sony is focussing on both quality and technology. Hence every firm has a different

    strategy and core competencies which make their rivalry even more intensive.

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    II. PLAYERS PROFILE 1. Major Players Profile

    1.1 Company Profile

    Sony India

    Sony Corporation, Japan, established its India operation in November 1994. With Indias

    growing economy Sonys electronics sales are growing faster than the countrys electronics

    market, therefore in 2010 Sonys market share increased in the number of high - growth

    product categories. In the period, BRAVIA captured the top shares of the market for LCD

    television; a high growth product category in terms of value, while cyber-shot was number

    one in the camera market in both value & volume sold & VAIO PCs rose to number three inthe PC market in value terms. In India, Sony has 19 sales branches that cover a total of 450

    cities across the country, 250 service centers & 30 warehouses have established nationwide.

    Samsung India

    Samsung Electronics commenced its operations in India in December 1995 and is today a

    leading provider of Consumer Electronics, IT and Telecom products in the Indian market. In

    2010, Samsung India achieved a sales turnover of US$3.5 billion. Samsung India is a marketleader in product categories like LED TVs, LCD TVs, Slim TVs and Side by Side

    Refrigerators. While it is the second largest mobile handset brand in India, it leads in the

    smart phone segment in India.

    ProductSamsung

    shareLeading Competitor

    Marketshare

    Year

    Mobile phones 35% Apple Inc. 13.40% Q3 2013LCD Monitors 18.00% Dell 12.80% 2009Large size LCD Panels 26.00% LG Display 25.90% Q3 2010Televisions(LCD,PDP,CRT,LE 17.20% LG Electronics 14.80% Q3 2009Digital Cameras 11.80% Sony 17.40% 2010

    NAND Flash 40.40% Toshiba 33.10% Q2 2010

    World Market Share - Samsung Vs Competitors

    LG India

    LG Electronics was established in 1958 and has since led the way into the advanced digital

    era the technological expertise acquired by manufacturing many home appliances such as

    radios and TVs. LG Electronics has unveiled many new products, applied new technologiesin the form of mobile devices and digital TVs in the 21st century and continues to reinforce

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    its status as a global company. The company has as many as 27 R&D centers and design

    centers.

    Nokia India

    Nokia began its India operations in 1995, and currently has office s in 10 of the countrys

    major cities including, New Delhi, Mumbai, in Maharashtra and Kolkata, in West Bengal,

    and Ahmadabad in Gujarat. Its operations include a handset business, a research and

    development unit in the southern Indian city of Bangalore and a manufacturing facility in

    Chennai also in south India.

    Dell India

    US computer major Dell Inc. has rolled out its first desktop computer from its new plant at

    Sriperumbudur near Chennai, July 30, thereby making India the third country in Asia Pacific,

    after China and Malaysia, to manufacture its range of desktop computers and notebooks

    outside of the US. It has a big market share in China and India.

    1.2 Market share by segments (Electronics):

    20%

    25%

    21%

    7%

    27%

    Top Television Brands MarketShare in India FY 12-13

    LG

    Samsung

    Sony

    Panasonic

    Others

    33%

    27%

    17%

    5% 18%

    Smartphone Global MarketShare

    Samsung

    Nokia

    Apple

    LG

    Others

    25%

    22%

    15%

    14%

    5%

    19%

    Computer- PC & laptop

    Hewlett-PackardDell

    IBM

    Apple

    Oracle

    Others

    61%13%

    10%

    5% 11%

    LED TV Brand

    Samsung

    Sony

    LG

    Panasonic

    Others

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    1.3 Market share by segments (Appliances):

    Whirlpool India

    Whirlpool was established in 1911 as first commercial manufacturer of motorized washers to

    the current market position of being world's number one manufacturer and marketer of major

    home appliances. The parent company is headquartered at Benton Harbor, Michigan, USA

    with a global presence in over 170 countries and manufacturing operation in 13 countries.

    Today, Whirlpool is the most recognized brand in home appliances in India and holds a

    market share of over 25%. The company owns three state-of-the-art manufacturing facilities

    at Faridabad, Pondicherry and Pune. In the year ending in March '06, the annual turnover of

    the company for its Indian enterprise was Rs.1,375 crores. According to IMRB surveys

    Whirlpool enjoys the status of the single largest refrigerator and second largest washing

    machine brand in India

    31%

    19%13%

    12%

    25%

    Market Share in Washing MachineIndustry. India 2012-13

    LG

    Samsung

    Whirlpool

    Videocon

    Others

    18%11%

    10%18%

    6%

    13%

    24%

    Market Share in Air ConditionerIndustry,India 2013

    LG

    Samsung

    Godrej

    Voltas

    Bluestar

    Panasonic

    29%

    18%8%

    6%

    11%

    9%19%

    Market Share in Microwave ovenindustry, india 2010-11

    LG

    Samsung

    Whirlpool

    Videocon

    Onida

    Godrej

    29%

    12%18%

    18%

    18%

    5%

    Market Share in Refrigeratorindustry, India 2012-13

    LG

    Whirlpool

    Godrej

    Samsung

    Videocon

    Others

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    1.4 Indian Players

    Videocon

    Videocon Industries Limited is a large diversified Indian company headquartered in Gurgaon,

    Haryana. The group has 17 manufacturing sites in India and plants in Mainland China,

    Poland, Italy and Mexico. It claims to be the third largest picture tube manufacturer in the

    world. The group is a US$5 billion global conglomerate. Since the entry of Korean and their

    rising popularity in the Indian market, Videocon from a stand-point of market leader has seen

    a slow decline to become a no 3 player in India. The company continues to do well in the

    washing machine and refrigerator segment but has significantly lost ground in the consumer

    electronics.

    Godrej India

    Godrej India was established in 1897. Incorporated with limited liability in 1932, the

    company is one of the largest privately held diversified industrial corporations of India. The

    company has a network of 38 company owned retail stores, more than 2200 wholesale

    dealers and more than 18000 retail outlets. The company also has representative offices in

    parts of the world such as UAE, Kenya, Saudi Arabia, Sri Lanka, China.

    1.5 Key Products of the companies

    Sony Samsung LG Godrej VideoconTelevision Projector Smartpones Television Refrigerators HDTVDigital Camera Tablet Mobile Washing machine LED TVTablet Video Camera Projectors Microwave Oven Split ACSmartphones IT-Peripherals Computers Air Conditioners RefrigeratorsVideo Camera Wearables Security Cameras Washing MachinesComputers Audio& Video Accessories MobilesHome Theatre System Microwave Refrigerators SmartphonesPlay Station Television TabletsStorage Media Accessories

    Products of various Companies

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    2. Financial Performance Indicators

    LG India

    Samsung India

    Sony India

    45

    14

    10

    10

    20

    30

    40

    50

    Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10

    ROCE(%) RONW(%)

    DEBT-EQUITY(%)

    -40

    -20

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    Jan-08 Jan-09 Jan-10

    NET WORTH- growth % PAT - growth %

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    100

    Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13

    ROCE(%) RONW(%)

    DEBT-EQUITY(%)

    -200

    -100

    0

    100

    200

    300

    400

    Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13

    NET WORTH- growth % PAT - growth %

    0

    20

    40

    60

    80

    Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13

    ROCE(%) RONW(%)

    DEBT-EQUITY(%)

    -15

    -10

    -5

    0

    5

    10

    15

    Jan-11 Jan-12 Jan-13

    NET WORTH- growth % PAT - growth %

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    III. MACROECONOMIC PROFILE1. Government Policies

    1.1 Industrial Approval Policy

    The major highlights of Industrial Approval Policy include the following: Industrial Licensing has been abolished in the Electronics and Information

    Technology sector except for manufacturing electronic aerospace and defence

    equipment.

    No reservation for public sector enterprises in the Electronics and Information

    Technology industry and private sector investment are welcome

    Electronics and Information Technology industry can be set up anywhere in the

    country, subject to clearance from the authorities responsible for control of

    environmental pollution and local zoning and land use regulations.

    Large Industries (where investment in plant and machinery is more than Rs.10 crores)

    and exempted from licensing are only required to file information in the Ministry of

    Commerce & Industry, Government of India and obtain an acknowledgement. No

    further approval is required.

    Small Scale Industries (where investment in plant and machinery is more than Rs.25

    lakh but less than Rs.5 crores) and Medium Industries (where investment in plant and

    machinery is more than Rs. 5 crores but less than Rs. 10 crores) are required to

    register with the District Industries Centre (DIC).

    1.2 Foreign Investment Policy

    India welcomes investors in Electronics and IT sector. Foreign equity in Indian companies

    can be upto 100%. Government of India facilitates Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and

    investment from Non-Resident Indians (NRIs) including Overseas Corporate Bodies (OCBs),

    predominantly owned by them to complement and supplement domestic investment.

    Foreign Direct Investment upto 100% is allowed under the automatic route from

    foreign/NRI investor without prior approval in most of the sectors including the services

    sector. In pursuance of Governments commitment to further liberalise the Foreign Direct

    Investment (FDI) regime, all items/activities have been placed under the automatic route for

    FDI/NRI and OCB investment, except the following:

    All proposals that require an Industrial Licence All proposals in which the foreign collaborator has a previous venture/tie up in India.

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    All proposals relating to acquisition of shares in an existing Indian company in favour

    of a foreign/NRI/OCB investor.

    All proposals falling outside notified sectoral policy/caps or under sector in which

    FDI is not permitted and/or whenever any investor chooses to make an application tothe FIPB and not to avail of the automatic route.

    1.3 Fiscal Policy

    The salient features of the Fiscal Policy as applicable to the Electronics Hardware Sector are

    as follows:

    Peak rate of customs duty is 10%. The customs duty on 217 Information Technology

    Agreement (ITA-1) items* is zero%. The Agreement covers the following main

    categories of products and components: Computers and peripherals;

    Telecommunication equipment; Electronic components including semiconductors;

    Semiconductor manufacturing equipment; Software and Scientific instruments.

    Customs duty on specified raw materials / inputs used for manufacture of electronic

    components and optical fibres and cables is 0%.

    Customs duty on specified capital goods used for manufacture of electronic goods is

    0%.

    Customs duty on LCD Panels and Set Top Box is 5%.

    Parts, components and accessories of mobile handsets including cellular phones are

    exempted from basic customs duty and excise duty/CVD.

    Microprocessors, Hard Disc Drives, Floppy Disc Drives, CD ROM Drives, DVD

    Drives/DVD Writers, Flash Memory and Combo-Drives are exempted from excise

    duty.

    1.4 Foreign Trade Policy

    In general, all Electronics and IT products are freely importable, with the exception of

    some defence related items. All Electronics and IT products, in general, are freely

    exportable, with the exception of a small negative list which includes items such as

    high power microwave tubes, high end super computer and data processing security

    equipment.

    Second hand capital goods are freely importable.

    Zero duty Export Promotion Capital Goods scheme (EPCG) which allows import of

    capital goods at zero% customs duty is available to exporters of electronic products.

    The export obligation under EPCG Scheme can also be fulfilled by the supply of

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    Information Technology Agreement (ITA-1) items to the DTA provided the

    realization is in free foreign exchange.

    Special Economic Zones (SEZs) are being set up to enable hassle free manufacturing

    and trading for export purposes. Sales from Domestic Tariff Area (DTA) to SEZs are

    being treated as physical export. This entitles domestic suppliers to Drawback/ DEPB

    benefits, CST exemption and Service Tax exemption.

    The import of second hand computers including personal computers/ laptops and

    refurbished/reconditioned spares are restricted for import. However, second hand

    computers, laptops and computer peripherals including printer, plotter, scanner,

    monitor, keyboard and storage units can be imported freely as donations by certain

    category of donees, subject to the condition that the goods shall not be used for any

    commercial purpose and are non-transferable.

    2. WTO Free Trade agreements

    Under this WTO proposal, trading partners reduce import duty to zero in some sectors with

    immediate effect on a voluntary basis. This is a relatively new and much contested proposal

    even in the WTO which may be replicated in some FTAs. At the WTO, efforts have been

    made by the developed countries to turn this into a compulsory commitment rather than a

    voluntary one, especially from countries like India and China. There are currently 14 sectors

    under consideration, of which electronics also forms a part of. The discussion on April 29 of

    WTO saw EU proposing a new text on sectorals with cuts being proposed in three sectors;

    chemicals, electronics and industrial machinery where developing countries are asked to

    make cuts beyond the formulae cut, matching with those by developed countries. Under

    FTAs, since most segments see duties reduced to zero, it is actually close to what sectorals

    are to cover under the WTO. But under FTAs some segments may see zero duty on both sides

    with immediate effect. For example in the India-Japan CEPA, textiles is opened up

    immediately on a zero for zero basis. The difference with WTO sectorals is that a lot moretariff lines are offered on a zero duty basis under FTAs, some with immediate effect. On the

    other hand, unlike the WTO where concessions are made to many members, these may be

    made to only one partner at a time. The industry must be fully competitive in order to open

    up under this provision. It is important for MSMEs to discuss how competitive they are and

    whether they are ready to take on zero-for-zero cuts in import duty with immediate effect

    under FTAs.

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    3. Competition from foreign firms, opportunities in overseas markets

    3.1 Competition from foreign firms

    Havells is one of several Indian companies to have shifted production or sourcing from

    China, as costs climb in the Middle Kingdom. Consumer appliances company Godrej,

    mobile-phone maker Micromax, auto-parts maker Bosch and stationery manufacturer ITC

    have all started expanding or exploring manufacturing operations in India. Chinese

    companies, too, are forming joint ventures with Indian partners to set up production bases in

    the country. 16 companies that have already shifted part of their production from China to

    India and a few more which said they were considering a similar move to take advantage of

    lower Indian labor costs and favorable currency movements. Chinese costs are going up. This

    is a great time to move production from China to India," says Adi Godrej, Chairman of the

    Godrej Group, which has shifted air conditioner and washing machine production to India.

    He thinks the trend will continue for 20 years. "The earlier India leverages this trend, the

    better off we will be. If we don't leverage it soon, other countries will do it better."

    Other countries, in fact, are already benefiting as China begins to lose the competitive

    advantage that lured companies from across the world. An estimated 100 million jobs will

    move out of China over the next few years in labour-intensive sectors, says Ajay Shankar,

    Member Secretary of India's National Manufacturing Competitiveness Council. Many US,

    European and Japanese companies are shifting production from China to lower-cost locations

    such as Southeast Asia. A boom in shale gas output in the US has prompted many companies

    to move production back to America. The trend in India is on a much smaller scale and

    doesn't yet reflect in the country's manufacturing output.

    3.2 Overseas marketing opportunities

    There have been attempts in the past to bring in renowned Indians living overseas to invest.However, this has not paid off so far, especially in electronics. Now, compare this situation

    with China, Korea and Taiwan. The electronics manufacturing sector rules in those countries.

    So far, we have witnessed MNCs come in and set examples of quick ramp-ups with

    developed ecosystems. Perhaps, local Indian electronics companies need to try and follow

    this example. Perhaps, the Indian Government should come out with a strong electronics

    policy to protect Indian manufacturers, initially, in the early stages, by duty exemptions on

    raw materials and equipment. There could also be a situation where local content ingovernment projects becomes mandatory.

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