d. kelly - naro conference 06-14-13 energy-dan ke… · 10-15 mmboe for bakken noble’s net...
TRANSCRIPT
June 14, 2013
Dan Kelly
Forward-looking Statements andNon-GAAP Measures
This presentation contains certain “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of the federal securities law. Words such as “anticipates,”
“believes,” “expects,” “intends,” “will,” “should,” “may,” and similar expressions may be used to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking
statements are not statements of historical fact and reflect Noble Energy’s current views about future events. They include estimates of oil and
natural gas reserves and resources, estimates of future production, assumptions regarding future oil and natural gas pricing, planned drilling
activity, future results of operations, projected cash flow and liquidity, business strategy and other plans and objectives for future operations. No
assurances can be given that the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation will occur as projected, and actual results may differ
materially from those projected. Forward-looking statements are based on current expectations, estimates and assumptions that involve a number
of risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected. These risks include, without limitation, the
volatility in commodity prices for crude oil and natural gas, the presence or recoverability of estimated reserves, the ability to replace reserves,
environmental risks, drilling and operating risks, exploration and development risks, competition, government regulation or other actions, the ability
of management to execute its plans to meet its goals and other risks inherent in Noble Energy’s business that are discussed in its most recent
Form 10-K and in other reports on file with the Securities and Exchange Commission. These reports are also available from Noble Energy’s offices
or website, http://www.nobleenergyinc.com. Forward-looking statements are based on the estimates and opinions of management at the time the
statements are made. Noble Energy does not assume any obligation to update forward-looking statements should circumstances or management's
estimates or opinions change.
This presentation also contains certain historical and forward-looking non-GAAP measures of financial performance that management believes are
good tools for internal use and the investment community in evaluating Noble Energy’s overall financial performance. These non-GAAP measures
are broadly used to value and compare companies in the crude oil and natural gas industry. Please also see Noble Energy’s website at
http://www.nobleenergyinc.com under “Investors” for reconciliations of the differences between any historical non-GAAP measures used in this
presentation and the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures. The GAAP measures most comparable to the forward-looking non-GAAP
financial measures are not accessible on a forward-looking basis and reconciling information is not available without unreasonable effort.
The Securities and Exchange Commission requires oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose proved reserves that a
company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic
and operating conditions. The SEC permits the optional disclosure of probable and possible reserves, however, we have not disclosed our probable
and possible reserves in our filings with the SEC. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as “net risked resources” and “gross mean
resources.” These estimates are by their nature more speculative than estimates of proved, probable and possible reserves and accordingly are
subject to substantially greater risk of being actually realized. The SEC guidelines strictly prohibit us from including these estimates in filings with
the SEC. Investors are urged to consider closely the disclosures and risk factors in our most recent Form 10-K and in other reports on file with the
SEC, available from Noble Energy’s offices or website, http://www.nobleenergyinc.com.
2
Deepwater GOM
Equatorial GuineaCameroon
IsraelCyprus
New Ventures
Core Areas
3
Noble Energy Global PortfolioDiversified and technically focused
Nicaragua
Nevada
Falkland Islnds.
Sierra Leone
Onshore US(DJ & Marcellus)
2013 Est. Prod. of ~275 MBoepd
Capital Spending of $3.9 Billion
Market Cap. of ~$20 Billion
Liquidity > $5 Billion
Wyoming Nebraska
GreaterWattenberg
NorthernColorado
NBL Acreage
Gas Window
Oil Window
230,000 Net Acres300 MMBoe NRR1,750 Locations
290,000 Net Acres1,400 MMBoe NRR
6,400 locations
120,000 Net Acres400 MMBoe NRR1,350 Locations
DJ Basin 2013 OperationsFocused on oil window with superior economics
Accelerating Development
300 actual wells or 350standardized on 4,500 ft. laterals
Added ninth rig in March;plan to add tenth in June
Expanding into NorthernColorado
Best economics with 85% liquids
Dramatic Growth in 2013
Production up 25%to 96 MBoe/d
Investing $1.7 Billion or45% of Total Capital Program
4
DJ Basin Development ProgramA Premier Oil Play – Noble will double activity in two years
Increase of 1,100 Wells Over Next FiveYears vs. 2011 Plan
500 wells per year by 2016, more thandouble 2012 level
5
Horizontal Wells
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
0
150
300
450
600
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
CumWells
Wells
GWA N. Colorado2012 Cum 2011 Cum
DJ Compares Favorably to Eagle Ford andBakken
74 million barrels of oil equivalent persection - estimated original oil in place forDJ
30-50 MMBoe for Eagle Ford
10-15 MMBoe for Bakken
Noble’s Net Resources Now 2.1 BBoe
9,500 horizontal locations, 85% in oilwindow
Average horizontal well now at 335,000Boe total recovery
Oil production grows 3.5 times
Technical and Operational Excellencein All Phases
Exploration, drilling, completions andinfrastructure
Hydraulic Fracturing – A Game Changer
6
Improved Drilling Technology, Combined with Hydraulic FractureStimulation, Led to Discovery of Vast Quantities of Shale Gas and Tight Oil
U.S. Oil and Natural Gas Production has Surged – Decreasing Prices forConsumers and Reducing Dependence on Foreign Oil
Hydraulic Fracturing is Used to Safely and Responsibly Produce EconomicQuantities of Oil and Natural Gas from 90% of U.S. Wells Today
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
1-0
6
1-0
7
1-0
8
1-0
9
1-1
0
1-1
1
1-1
2
1-1
3
1-1
4
MB
op
d
U.S Oil Production
U.S. Oil Production Now GrowingFirst material increase since late 1970’s
U.S. Oil Production
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
20
28
36
44
52
60
68
76
84
92
00
08
Year
MB
op
d
Hur. Ike
Source: EIA
7
EIA 2014 Projection
New Technology Unlocking Oil Resources
Source: EIA 2012 Annual Energy Outlook
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
2006 2008 2010 2012
Bill
ion
Ba
rre
lsUnproved Technically Recoverable U.S. Tight Oil Resources
8
When Is Hydraulic Fracture StimulationNecessary?
9
Fractures
SiltGrains
LimitedPoreSpace
Single Well Vertical Pad
Access multiple pay zonesvertically at single point
Multi-Well Directional Pad
Access multiple pay zonesvertically
Cover broad aerial extent fromsingle surface location
Horizontal Pad
Equivalent to several verticalwells in one zone only
10
Reducing Our Footprint
Reducing Our FootprintMulti-well pad drilling practices
11
1 Mile
Vertical Single Well Pads
Multi-Well Horizontal Pad
Multi-Well
Directional Pads
New Technology
Evolution of Total System ResourceThree-fold increase in original oil in place (OOIP) – Wells Ranch Example
Coring Program
Spacing Tests
“In-Situ UndergroundLaboratory”
Recovery Factor: ~5% of 24 MMBoe
Codell
Niobrara D
Niobrara C
Niobrara B
Niobrara A
24
MMBoe/Section
Ft Hayes
4 Wells
Recovery Factor: ~7% of 74 MMBoe
Fort HayesNiobrara D
Niobrara C
Niobrara B
Niobrara A 24
24
20
6
74
16 Wells
30 Wells
Recovery Factor: ~14% of 74 MMBoe
MMBoe/Section
30
0ft
.7
5ft
.
12
2009 – 2011
2012+
75
ft.
30
0ft
.3
00
ft.
Codell
Optimizing DJ Basin Resource RecoveryPotential for over 30 wells per section
Testing Three 40-Acre DevelopmentConcepts/Patterns
North Pad – multiple target zones
Center Pad – spacing of B bench
South Pad – spacing of B and C bench
All 15 Wells Completed and inVarious Production Stages
No interference detected
North Pad – 5 wellsCenter Pad – 4 wellsSouth Pad – 6 wells
BC
A AC C
B B B B
South North
330ft. 330ft. 330ft. 330ft. 330ft. 330ft. 330ft. 330ft. 300ft.300ft.300ft.360ft. 380ft.
EcoNodeFacility
One Section (One Square Mile)
North Pad5 Wells
South Pad6 Wells
Center Pad4 Wells Niobrara B
Niobrara B, Niobrara C
Niobrara A, Niobrara B, Codell
Cross-section View of Pads
13
B B BCdllCdll
Wells Ranch Section 24
Protecting the GroundwaterDJ Basin Horizontal Well Example
* This graphic represents ageneric depiction of our onshorewell depth and casing.
At various stages of the drillingand completion process,mechanical integrity of the casingand cement are tested to ensureproper installation. We use bestmanagement practices installingand cementing the multiple stringsof casing necessary to preventgas migration or drinking watercontamination.
14
Protecting the Groundwater (Close Up)DJ Basin Wellbore Example
15
Reducing our FootprintState-of-the-art technology and development application
16
EcoNodes and Centralized Facilities
Reduced capital, operating expenses,surface disturbance reduced by 60-80%
Increased operating efficiency, liquids, andflash gas recovery
Infield Infrastructure
Efficient transport of produced fluids and fracwater
Major reduction in oil and water trucking
Life Cycle Water Management Program
Frac water self-sourced, strategically located, atreduced prices
Water recycling and re-use
State-of-the-Art Production Technology
Largest application of facility and well automation
Immediate response to interruptions
24/7 production optimization
EcoNode
Central Processing Facility
Operations Control Center
17
Niobrara Horizontal Play – We’re in this together.Significant Job and Revenue Stream
Industry Potential for 10,000+ New Jobs Created
Each New Drill Rig Creates 120 Direct and In-Direct Jobs (annual employeewages = $7.0 – $8.5 million per rig)
Industry Currently Employs 240,000+ Direct and In-Direct Jobs
Average DJ Basin horizontal well economic impacts
• $2.7MM in royalties over the life of a well
• $1.1MM in taxes over the life of a well
• First year of ad valorem tax = 1 yr property tax of 50 one-million dollar homes
• 41% of ad valorem taxes directly funded K-12 education, according to 2011Weld County Abstract of Assessment
New Annual Severance and Ad Valorem Tax Revenues$350+ Million
Noble is largest taxpayer in Weld County
Over $200MM in production taxes paid in Colorado last 3 years
18