creating universities of the future · creating universities of the future chairperson: professor...

Gilly SalmonUniversity of Leicester

December 2008

Creating universities Creating universities of the futureof the future

Chairperson:Professor Gilly Salmon

with Sandra Romenska, CALF Project

Demographic changes

Oil consumption/discovery

Climate

Economics

Global Security

Travel

Fees and costs

Regional collaborationse.g. Bologna

Modes of learning

Access

Commercialisation of HE

Health

Technology;Learning

Computer security

Technology

Staff


December 2008

Creating Academic Creating Academic Learning Futures (CALF) Learning Futures (CALF)

Creating Academic Learning Futures (CALF); Wordlewww.le.ac.uk/beyonddistance/calf

Wordle is a toy for generating “word clouds” from text that you provide. The clouds givegreater prominence to words that appear more frequently in the source text.

www.wordle.net


December 2008

Learner VoiceLearner VoiceLearning• Flexible and accessible, organised around convenience for the student and for the teacher.• Multimedia‐based, interactive and participative, extensive use of technologies.

• Increased role of user‐generated content.

• Increased diversity and choice in terms of curriculum.• Enhanced use of social networking technologies for accreditation of learning results and content,

personal networks recommendations.

• Opposing views regarding employability.• Increased mobility and connectedness of learners and teachers.

Organisation• Reduced competition among institutions, increased competition among individual teachers.• Increased expectations for institutions being socially responsible and involved in social causes.

• Opposing views regarding employability.

• Increased role of non‐traditional education delivery stakeholders – private organisations, businesses.

• Cost of education to fall.

• Increased participation in Higher Education

www.le.ac.uk/beyonddistance/calf

1. Who or what will survive ?1. Who or what will survive ?

20 Nov 2008 Global Business Leader appointed to Open University top jobThe Open University today announced the appointment of Martin Bean as its fifth Vice-Chancellor. Currently General Manager responsible for product


December 2008

2. Who/what will change?2. Who/what will change?

http://webtrends.about.com/od/web20/a/obama-web.htm

4040 exabytesexabytes this year > this year > 5000 previous years5000 previous years


December 2008

1,000Horse power

1 horse power

http://www.computerhistory.org, http://www.informationeconomy.sa.gov.au/digital_engagement/jargonbuster/optical_fibre, http://www.applebytes.info/apbC.html, Laszlo ( 2006 p. 106)

Motive power: industrial revolution 10 3

Computing powerPerformance =10 increase

Costs = 10 decrease5

3

Communication powerPerformance = 10 increase

Costs = 10 decrease4

2

2008 UCISA/JISC Survey of Technology Enhanced LearningBrowne, Hewitt, Jenkins & Walker

E-assessBlog Podcasts

E-portfolioWikis

Socialbookmarks

10/12/2008 10Gilly Salmon


December 2008

TechnologyEnhanced Learning

Drivers Constraints/challenges

Enhancing L & T

Committed local champions

E-learning strategies

Central support/funding

Lack of time

Staff skills

2008 UCISA/JISC Survey of Technology Enhanced LearningBrowne, Hewitt, Jenkins & Walker

Support for Web 2.0 technologies

Career Development Opportunities

Meeting students’ expectations


Grassroots video

(capture, edit, share)

Collaboration webs

(personal, flexible,

free)

Mobile /devices & broadband

(affordable, portable,

deliverable)

Data mash-ups

(converge, re-

represent)

Collective intelligence

(large numbers, explicit & implicit

collection)

Social operatingSystems

(organisation of knowledge round

people rather than content)

Technologies ‘to campus watch’Adoption Horizons (in years)

10/12/2008 12Gilly Salmonhttp://www.nmc.org/horizon/


December 2008

3. Who/what will disappear?3. Who/what will disappear?

1999…Many giants in the technology world are investing in and providing advanced products forand services tailored to the learning market. These companies, which are expected to make great inroads into e-Learning, include AOL, Yahoo, Microsoft, IBM, AT&T, Sun Microsystems, Oracle, and Harcourt.

The global education and training market is a $2 trillion industry, with $740 billion in the U.S.Approximately 10% of the $740 billion is “for-profit” business. The growth rate for the different education and training markets is projected at 10-15% but, at least in the corporate sector, e-Learning will far outstrip classroom training over the next few years, claiming almost half of the overall corporate training market.http://www.learnframe.com/aboutelearning/elearningfacts.pdf

4. What impact will the wide scale use of 4. What impact will the wide scale use of learning technologies really have on the day to learning technologies really have on the day to

day operation of universities?day operation of universities?

http://www.bbc.co.uk/doctorwho/s4/episodes/S4_08


December 2008

Learning from failuresLearning from failures• Need strong and robust experience in e-learning &

stable technologies• Rapid development model• Don’t compete with ‘mother institutions’• Need excellent market intelligence and good choice of

programmes, especially if outside known ‘home economy’

• Accredited courses necessary• Longer term financial planning needed• Define institutional model, and relationship with

existing providers

From ‘E-learning initiatives that did not reach targeted goals’http://nettskolen.nki.no/in_english/megatrends/

5. Will there be a shift of control from 5. Will there be a shift of control from ‘‘managersmanagers’’ to teachers and learners?to teachers and learners?

• Publishing• Employability• University staff


December 2008

6. How can we educate now those who 6. How can we educate now those who will solve the global problems of the will solve the global problems of the

future?future?


December 2008

6. How can we educate now those who 6. How can we educate now those who will solve the global problems of the will solve the global problems of the

future?future?

• Oranges and apples• Big challenges of 21st century

Never doubt the power of a small group of people to change the world.

Nothing else ever has.Margaret Mead

Be the change you want to see in the worldMahatma Ghandi


http://www.le.ac.uk/beyonddistance/festival/


December 2008

Web refsWeb refs

• http://216.239.59.132/search?q=cache:GpFsEqG6Bz0J:www.universitiesuk.ac.uk/Events/Documents/Nigel%2520Brown%252010.30-10.50.ppt+The+future+size+and+shape+of+the+higher+education+sector+in+the+UK&hl=en&ct=clnk&cd=4&gl=uk

• http://www.engineeringchallenges.org/

• www.le.ac.uk/beyonddistance/calf

• https://www.mturk.com/mturk/welcome

• http://www.adamandlyn.co.uk/

• http://senseable.mit.edu/bus_stop/