crash trial cs traumatic brain

3
Research Letters The MRC CRASH trial (corticosteroid randomisation after significant head injury) is a large international double-blind randomised placebo-controlled trial of the effect of early administration of a 48-h infusion of a corticosteroid (methylprednisolone) on the risk of death and disability after head injury. The background to the trial, methods, and baseline characteristics of the patients randomised have been previously reported in detail. 1 Briefly, we randomly allocated 10 008 adults with head injury and a Glasgow Coma Scale score of 14 or less, within 8 h of injury, to commence either a 48-h infusion of methylprednisolone or matching placebo. The loading dose was 2 g methylprednisolone (or matching placebo) over 1 h in a 100 mL infusion. The maintenance dose was 0·4 g methylprednisolone (or matching placebo) per h for 48 h in a 20 mL per h infusion. Randomisation was achieved either by use of the central telephone randomisation service provided by the Clinical Trial Service Unit in Oxford, UK, or by using a local pack system. In local pack randomisation, the next consecutively numbered treatment pack was taken from a box of eight packs, with an allocation sequence based on a block size of eight, also generated by the Clinical Trial Service Unit. The joint primary outcome measures were death from all causes within 14 days, and death or disability at 6 months. Data on death within 14 days of injury were obtained from a single-sided early outcome form completed at death, discharge, or 14 days after injury, whichever occurred first. Data on deaths after 14 days and within 6 months were obtained by contact with patients’ general practitioners, and by access to death certification records. Before the start of the trial, a simple questionnaire version of the Glasgow Outcome Scale was developed and was shown to provide a reliable and valid assessment of disability. 2 Disability at 6 months was assessed by means of this questionnaire, which was either mailed to patients or their carers, administered by telephone interview, or administered during a home visit or hospital appointment. Treatment allocation remained concealed from patients, carers, and interviewers. For analysis of outcomes at 6 months, we pre-specified that death, persistent vegetative state, and severe disability on the Glasgow Outcome Scale constituted an unfavourable outcome, whereas moderate disability and good recovery constituted a favourable outcome. We planned to report the effects of treatment overall and also subdivided by two characteristics at baseline: time from injury to randomisation (1 h, 1 to 3 h, or 3 to 8 h) and severity of head injury based on the Glasgow Coma Score at randomisation (severe 3–8, moderate 9–12, mild 13–14). Analyses were done on an intention- to-treat basis. The effect measure used was relative risk with 95% CI for the overall risk and 99% CI for the results of subgroups. Homogeneity in treatment effects within subgroups was assessed with a 2 test on two degrees of freedom at a 5% significance level. This study is registered as an International Standard Randomised Controlled Trial, number ISRCTN74459797. The protocol for this study was peer-reviewed and accepted by The Lancet; a summary of the protocol was published on the journal’s website. Follow-up data at 6 months are now available for 9673 (96·7%) patients (table). Of 4854 patients allocated corticosteroids, 1248 (25·7%) died within 6 months of randomisation compared with 1075 (22·3%) of 4819 patients allocated matching placebo, yielding a relative Lancet 2005; 365: 1957–59 Published online May 26, 2005 DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(05) 66552-X *See end of paper Correspondence to: CRASH Trials Co-ordinating Centre, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, Keppel St, London WC1E 7HT, UK [email protected] www.thelancet.com Vol 365 June 4, 2005 1957 Final results of MRC CRASH, a randomised placebo-controlled trial of intravenous corticosteroid in adults with head injury— outcomes at 6 months CRASH trial collaborators* MRC CRASH is a randomised controlled trial (ISRCTN74459797) of the effect of corticosteroids on death and disability after head injury. We randomly allocated 10 008 adults with head injury and a Glasgow Coma Scale score of 14 or less, within 8 h of injury, to a 48-h infusion of corticosteroid (methylprednisolone) or placebo. Data at 6 months were obtained for 9673 (96·7%) patients. The risk of death was higher in the corticosteroid group than in the placebo group (1248 [25·7%] vs 1075 [22·3%] deaths; relative risk 1·15, 95% CI 1·07–1·24; p=0·0001), as was the risk of death or severe disability (1828 [38·1%] vs 1728 [36·3%] dead or severely disabled; 1·05, 0·99–1·10; p=0·079). There was no evidence that the effect of corticosteroids differed by injury severity or time since injury. These results lend support to our earlier conclusion that corticosteroids should not be used routinely in the treatment of head injury. Corticosteroid Placebo allocated allocated (n=5007) (n=5001) Number with known vital status 4854 (96·9%) 4819 (96·4%) Dead* 1248 (25·7%) 1075 (22·3%) Severe disability* 580 (11·9%) 653 (13·6%) Moderate disability* 852 (17·6%) 813 (16·9%) Good recovery* 2120 (43·7%) 2213 (45·9%) Alive (disability status not known)* 54 (1·1%) 65 (1·3%) *Percentages show proportion of number with known vital status. Table: Outcomes 6 months after injury by treatment allocation

Upload: sergey-petrov

Post on 30-Dec-2015

7 views

Category:

Documents


3 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: CRASH Trial CS Traumatic Brain

Research Letters

The MRC CRASH trial (corticosteroid randomisationafter significant head injury) is a large internationaldouble-blind randomised placebo-controlled trial of theeffect of early administration of a 48-h infusion of acorticosteroid (methylprednisolone) on the risk of deathanddisability after head injury.

The background to the trial, methods, and baselinecharacteristics of the patients randomised have beenpreviously reported in detail.1 Briefly, we randomlyallocated 10 008 adults with head injury and a GlasgowComa Scale score of 14 or less, within 8 h of injury, tocommence either a 48-h infusion of methylprednisoloneor matching placebo. The loading dose was 2 gmethylprednisolone (or matching placebo) over 1 h in a100 mL infusion. The maintenance dose was 0·4 gmethylprednisolone (or matching placebo) per h for48 h in a 20 mL per h infusion. Randomisation wasachieved either by use of the central telephonerandomisation service provided by the Clinical TrialService Unit in Oxford, UK, or by using a local packsystem. In local pack randomisation, the nextconsecutively numbered treatment pack was taken froma box of eight packs, with an allocation sequence basedon a block size of eight, also generated by the ClinicalTrial Service Unit. The joint primary outcome measureswere death from all causes within 14 days, and death ordisability at 6 months. Data on death within 14 days ofinjury were obtained from a single-sided early outcomeform completed at death, discharge, or 14 days afterinjury, whichever occurred first. Data on deaths after14 days and within 6 months were obtained by contactwith patients’ general practitioners, and by access todeath certification records. Before the start of the trial, asimple questionnaire version of the Glasgow OutcomeScale was developed and was shown to provide a reliableand valid assessment of disability.2 Disability at6 months was assessed by means of this questionnaire,which was either mailed to patients or their carers,administered by telephone interview, or administeredduring a home visit or hospital appointment. Treatment

allocation remained concealed from patients, carers,and interviewers.

For analysis of outcomes at 6 months, we pre-specifiedthat death, persistent vegetative state, and severedisability on the Glasgow Outcome Scale constituted anunfavourable outcome, whereas moderate disability andgood recovery constituted a favourable outcome. Weplanned to report the effects of treatment overall and alsosubdivided by two characteristics at baseline: time frominjury to randomisation (�1 h, �1 to �3 h, or �3 to�8 h) and severity of head injury based on the GlasgowComa Score at randomisation (severe 3–8, moderate9–12, mild 13–14). Analyses were done on an intention-to-treat basis. The effect measure used was relative riskwith 95% CI for the overall risk and 99% CI for theresults of subgroups. Homogeneity in treatment effectswithin subgroups was assessed with a �2 test on twodegrees of freedom at a 5% significance level.

This study is registered as an International StandardRandomised Controlled Trial, number ISRCTN74459797.The protocol for this study was peer-reviewed andaccepted by The Lancet; a summary of the protocol waspublished on the journal’s website.

Follow-up data at 6 months are now available for 9673(96·7%) patients (table). Of 4854 patients allocatedcorticosteroids, 1248 (25·7%) died within 6 months ofrandomisation compared with 1075 (22·3%) of 4819patients allocated matching placebo, yielding a relative

Lancet 2005; 365: 1957–59

Published online May 26, 2005DOI:10.1016/S0140-6736(05)66552-X

*See end of paper

Correspondence to: CRASH TrialsCo-ordinating Centre, LondonSchool of Hygiene and TropicalMedicine, Keppel St, LondonWC1E 7HT, UK [email protected]

www.thelancet.com Vol 365 June 4, 2005 1957

Final results of MRC CRASH, a randomised placebo-controlledtrial of intravenous corticosteroid in adults with head injury—outcomes at 6 monthsCRASH trial collaborators*

MRC CRASH is a randomised controlled trial (ISRCTN74459797) of the effect of corticosteroids on death and

disability after head injury. We randomly allocated 10 008 adults with head injury and a Glasgow Coma Scale score of

14 or less, within 8 h of injury, to a 48-h infusion of corticosteroid (methylprednisolone) or placebo. Data at 6 months

were obtained for 9673 (96·7%) patients. The risk of death was higher in the corticosteroid group than in the placebo

group (1248 [25·7%] vs 1075 [22·3%] deaths; relative risk 1·15, 95% CI 1·07–1·24; p=0·0001), as was the risk of death

or severe disability (1828 [38·1%] vs 1728 [36·3%] dead or severely disabled; 1·05, 0·99–1·10; p=0·079). There was no

evidence that the effect of corticosteroids differed by injury severity or time since injury. These results lend support to

our earlier conclusion that corticosteroids should not be used routinely in the treatment of head injury.

Corticosteroid Placebo allocated allocated (n=5007) (n=5001)

Number with known vital status 4854 (96·9%) 4819 (96·4%)Dead* 1248 (25·7%) 1075 (22·3%)Severe disability* 580 (11·9%) 653 (13·6%)Moderate disability* 852 (17·6%) 813 (16·9%)Good recovery* 2120 (43·7%) 2213 (45·9%)Alive (disability status not known)* 54 (1·1%) 65 (1·3%)

*Percentages show proportion of number with known vital status.

Table: Outcomes 6 months after injury by treatment allocation

Page 2: CRASH Trial CS Traumatic Brain

Research Letters

risk of death within 6 months of 1·15 (95% CI 1·07–1·24;p=0·0001). The risk of death or severe disability at sixmonths was also higher in the group allocatedcorticosteroids (1828 [38·1%] dead or severely disabled,where disability status was known) than in the placebogroup (1728 [36·3%]) with a relative risk of 1·05 (95% CI0·99–1·10; p=0·079).

There was no clear evidence that the relative risk ofdeath or disability at 6 months differed substantiallybetween groups when stratified by injury severity or timesince injury (figure). These results reliably refute anymaterial reduction in mortality or severe disability withcorticosteroids in the 6 months after head injury.

The strengths and limitations of the CRASH trial havebeen discussed in detail elsewhere.1 In relation to thecurrent analyses, probably the most importantmethodological issue is the extent of loss to follow-up.This difficulty has been identified as a particular challengein head injury trials: a systematic review of themethodological quality of head injury trials found thataverage loss to follow-up was around 20%.3 However,since the CRASH trial achieved more than 96% follow-upat 6 months, in both treatment groups, the possibility ofany material bias is remote. If we assume that the patientslost to follow-up had average prognosis, the risk of deathwould be estimated as 25·1% with corticosteroids (37·3%risk of death or severe disability) and 21·7% with placebo(35·6% risk of death or severe disability).

These analyses lend support to the conclusion on thebasis of the previously reported outcome data at 2 weeksafter injury, that corticosteroids should not routinely beused in the treatment of head injury.1 The apparent

hazard may have been inflated by the play of chance andthe data-dependent stopping of the trial,4,5 but these finalresults still provide clear evidence that treatment withcorticosteroids following head injury affords no materialbenefit. The absence of evidence of any neurologicalbenefit from corticosteroid treatment after head injurymight also have implications for the use of corticosteroidsin spinal cord injury, which should remain an area fordebate.

The ability to predict patient outcome after head injuryhas an important role in clinical practice and research,and the data collected in the MRC CRASH trial provide anopportunity to examine prognostic factors after headinjury. This assessment will, however, be the subject of aseparate report.

CRASH trial collaboratorsSee webappendix for the complete list of collaborators.

CRASH trial coordinationSteering committee—Colin Baigent, Michael Bracken (to 2000),David Chadwick (Chair), Kevin Curley (2000–01), Lelia Duley (from2000), Barbara Farrell, Marcel Haegi (from 2000), Gabrielle Lomas,Graham Nickson (2001–02), Richard Peto (to 2000), John Pickard (from2000), Ian Roberts, Peter Sandercock (to 2000), Graham Teasdale (to1999), Jonathan Wasserberg, David Yates.Data monitoring and ethics committee—Rory Collins, Stephen Haines,Stephen MacMahon (Chair), Charles Warlow (1999–01).Management group—Phil Edwards, Barbara Farrell, Gabrielle Lomas,Nin Ritchie (to 2002), Ian Roberts, Peter Sandercock, Haleema Shakur(from 2002), Graham Teasdale (to 1999), Jonathan Wasserberg,David Yates (chair).Trial coordinating team—Haleema Shakur (trial manager from 2002),Ian Roberts (clinical co-ordinator), Phil Edwards (researchfellow/programmer), Maria Ramos (trial administrator), Lin Barnetson(data manager from 2004), Janice Fernandes (follow-up co-ordinatorfrom 2001), Donna Tooth (assistant trial co-ordinator from 2004),

See Lancet online forwebappendix

1958 www.thelancet.com Vol 365 June 4, 2005

Dead or severely disabledDead

Severe (GCS 3–8)

Moderate (GCS 9–12)

Mild (GCS 13–14)

�1 h

�1 to �3 h

�3 to �8 h

Relative risk (CI)Relative risk (CI)

Time since injury

Severity of injury

All patients

1209/1925 (62·8%)

408/1477 (27·6%)

211/1398 (15·1%)

418/1285 (32·5%)

554/1473 (37·6%)

856/2042 (41·9%)

1828/4800 (38·1%)

1174/1890 (62·1%)

352/1405 (25·1%)

202/1459 (13·8%)

402/1273 (31·6%)

529/1497 (35·3%)

797/1984 (40·2%)

1728/4754 (36·3%)

Corticosteroid(n=5007)

Placebo(n=5001)

Corticosteroid(n=5007)

Placebo(n=5001)

912/1937 (47·1%)

247/1497 (16·5%)

89/1420 (6·3%)

269/1300 (20·7%)

372/1497 (24·8%)

607/2057 (29·5%)

1248/4854 (25·7%)

808/1914 (42·2%)

181/1422 (12·7%)

86/1483 (5·8%)

252/1293 (19·5%)

336/1521 (22·1%)

487/2005 (24·3%)

1075/4819 (22·3%)

1·05 (0·99–1·10)p=0·079

1·15 (1·07–1·24)p=0·0001

Homogeneity �2

Severity –2·55, p=0·28; time since injury –2·26, p=0·32

Homogeneity �2

Severity –2·36, p=0·31; time since injury –0·20, p=0·9

0·8 1·0 1·2 1·4 1·6 0·8 1·0 1·2 1·4 1·6

Figure: Effects of corticosteroid allocation on deaths from all causes and severe disability within 6 months by injury severity and time since injuryRisk ratios are plotted (black squares with area proportional to the amount of statistical information in each subgroup) comparing outcome in participants allocatedcorticosteroids to that in those allocated placebo, with 99% CI (horizontal lines ending with an arrow head when the confidence interval extends beyond the scale).Result for all patients and 95% CI is represented by a diamond, with risk ratio and 95% CI stated alongside. Risk ratios greater than unity represent increased mortalityor disability with corticosteroid allocation. GCS=Glasgow Coma Score at randomisation.

Page 3: CRASH Trial CS Traumatic Brain

Research Letters

Cari Free (Clinical Research Fellow), Leena Narayanan (assistantprogrammer from 2003), Johan Collander (trial assistant from 2002),Julia Abernethy (trial assistant from 2004), Josephine Bardswell (teamsecretary from 2003), Nin Ritchie (trial manager to 2002),Reshma Mashru (data manager to 2004), Catherine Godward (follow-upco-ordinator to 2000), Elizabeth Afolabi (assistant co-ordinator 2001–03),Adrian Ritchie (assistant programmer to 2003), Tessa Hosford (trialassistant 2001–02, assistant trial co-ordinator 2003–04), Shiela Pantrini(UK South nurse co-ordinator 2001 to 2002), Sheila Massey (UK Northnurse co-ordinator from 2001), Amber Collingwood (team secretary2001–03).Writing committee—Phil Edwards (Chair), Miguel Arango (Colombia),Laura Balica (Romania), Rowland Cottingham (UK), Hesham El-Sayed(Egypt), Barbara Farrell (UK), Janice Fernandes (UK),Tamar Gogichaisvili (Georgia), Nyoman Golden (Indonesia),Bennie Hartzenberg (South Africa), Mazhar Husain (India),Mario Izurieta Ulloa (Ecuador), Zouheir Jerbi (Tunisia),Hussein Khamis (Egypt), Edward Komolafe (Nigeria), Véronique Laloë(Sri Lanka), Gabrielle Lomas (UK), Silke Ludwig (Switzerland),Guy Mazairac (Belgium), Maria de los Angeles Muñoz Sanchéz (Spain),Luis Nasi (Brazil), Fatos Olldashi (Albania), Patrick Plunkett (Ireland),Ian Roberts (UK), Peter Sandercock (UK), Haleema Shakur (UK),Caridad Soler (Cuba), Reto Stocker (Switzerland), Petr Svoboda (CzechRepublic), Stefan Trenkler (Slovakia), N K Venkataramana (India),Jonathan Wasserberg (UK), David Yates (UK),Surakrant Yutthakasemsunt (Thailand).

www.thelancet.com Vol 365 June 4, 2005 1959

Conflict of interest statementThe members of the writing committee declare that we have no conflictof interest.

AcknowledgmentsCentral randomisation and statistical support was provided by ClinicalTrial Service Unit, Oxford, UK. The trial was funded by the UK MedicalResearch Council. Pharmacia & Upjohn (Pfizer from 2003) provided theMedical Research Council (without charge) the methylprednisoloneneeded for the trial, a grant-in-aid for preparation of the placebo, andsupport for collaborators’ meetings. The sponsors of the study had norole in study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, orwriting of the report. The corresponding author had full access to all thedata in the study and had final responsibility for the decision to submitfor publication.

References1 CRASH trial collaborators. Effect of intravenous corticosteroids on

death within 14 days in 10 008 adults with clinically significant headinjury (MRC CRASH trial): randomised placebo-controlled trial.Lancet 2004; 364: 1321–28.

2 Wilson JL, Edwards P, Fiddes H, Stewart E, Teasdale GM.Reliability of postal questionnaires for the Glasgow Outcome Scale.J Neurotrauma 2002; 19: 999–1005.

3 Dickinson K, Bunn F, Wentz R, Edwards P, Roberts I. Size andquality of randomised controlled trials in head injury: review ofpublished studies. BMJ 2000; 320: 1308–11.

4 Pocock S, White I. Trials stopped early: too good to be true? Lancet1999; 353: 943–44.

5 Peto R. Possible explanations of the CRASH result. Lancet 2005;364: 213.