covid 19 impact on eurocontrol comprehensive … · top 10 busiest airports top 10 airports average...

8 July 2021

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION 1

COVID 19IMPACT ONEUROPEAN AVIATION

EUROCONTROLComprehensive Assessment

Headlines 21,567 flights (62% of 2019 levels) on Wed 7 July 2021, increase (+19%) over 2 weeks.

Renewed traffic increase (2-digit) since early July—after the first jump early June. Record number on 2 July with 23,772 (since March 2020).

Ryanair, busiest operator, with about 1,000 additional flights per day since start of June. easyJet added extra capacity over the last two weeks. Low cost airlines are now operating 54% of 2019 flight volumes.

High increase for many States over the last two weeks, flows between North-West Europe and Southern Europe intensify: France (+27%), Spain (+26%), Turkey (+29%), Germany (+21%), Italy (+29%) and Greece (+35%).

Domestic flows are still dominating in terms of traffic volumes (France, Italy), noticeable increases on flows between Germany and Turkey as well as Russian Federation and Turkey.

Domestic traffic vs 2019: Europe (-47%), US (-19%), China (-7%) (situation easing after lockdown in the Guanghzou area), Middle-East (-31%)

Traffic Situation

38% Compared toequivalent daysin 2019

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Daily flights (including overflights)

2

Traffic over the last 7 days is

Top 10 Busiest Airports

Top 10 AirportsAverage flights per day

(week 1-7/7)Average flights per day(week 1-7/7) vs 2019

Amsterdam 900 -40%

IGA Istanbul Airport 891 -29%

Frankfurt 854 -44%

Paris/Charles-De-Gaulle 816 -46%

Madrid/Barajas 736 -42%

Antalya 695 -26%

Palma De Mallorca 659 -29%

Istanbul/Sabiha Gokcen 637 -5%

Athens 636 -23%

Barcelona 605 -44%

EconomicsTraffic Flow

17,232flights

+ 20%over past2 weeks

-38%Compared

to 2019

Fuel price

191Cents/gallon

On 7 July, the intra-European traffic flow was

compared to 189 cents/gallonon 25 June 2021

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(02 July 2021)

Source: IATA/Platts

7-day average Dep/Arr flights on 1-7 July, compared to 2019

Market Segments

46%Low cost Traditional Business

Aviation

47% 9%

Non-Scheduled/Charter

16%All Cargo

5%

On 7 July, compared to 2019

Passengers(17 June 2021)

2.4 million pax

-5.4 millionvs. 2019

(-69%)Source: ACI

SUPPORTING EUROPEAN AVIATION

Overall traffic situation at network level

21,567 flights on Wednesday

7 July.

+19% with +3,469 flights

over 2 weeks (from Wednesday

23 June).

+10% with +1,909 flights

over 1 week (from Wednesday

30 June).

60% of 2019 traffic levels.

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Current traffic evolution

The traffic has clearly been increasing over the last 8 weeks with significant accelerations on 1st June and 1st July (2 digit increases).

After having been stable since January at around-64% compared to 2019, the traffic has now reached -38% over the last week.

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Current situation compared to the latest EUROCONTROL traffic scenarios

Flights at 62% on 1-7 July 2021 compared to 1-7 July 2019.

This is in line with the latest EUROCONTROL traffic scenarios published on 1 June 2021.

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Market Segments

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On 7 July 2021, compared to 2019:

All-cargo and Business Aviation are the only segment above 2019 levels with +5% and +9%respectively.

Charter decreased to -16% and catching up since early June.

Traditional and Low-Cost have consistently increased over the last month to reach respectively -47% and -46% vs 2019.


Aircraft operators (Daily flights)

Top 10Positive change in the rankingover 2 weeks for easyJet, Wizzair and SAS.

2-digit increase for all the top 10 airlines, 3-digit for easyJet.

Highest increase over 2 weeks for easyJet (+158%), 1/3 due to domestic French flows followed by domestic flows in UK and Italy.

Ryanair is the 2nd airline adding the highest number of flights to the network (+323) after easyJet (+385).

Pegasus reached equivalentflight volumes as in 2019.

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Aircraft Operator Flights% over 2

weeks

Ryanair 1655 +323 +24% -36%

Turkish Airlines 1144 +197 +21% -20%

Air France 804 +148 +23% -41%

Lufthansa 682 +157 +30% -58%

KLM 637 +188 +42% -32%

easyJet 628 +385 +158% -65%

Wizz Air 523 +179 +52% -22%

Pegasus 493 +80 +19% -0%

Vueling 425 +78 +22% -41%

SAS 366 +111 +44% -54%

Top 10 Aircraft Operators on Wed 07-07-2021Rank

evolution

over 2

weeks

D over 2

weeks% vs 2019


Aircraft operators (Daily flights)

Top 40 – Latest operations

Highest increase for easyJet (+158%), Norwegian (+134%), Swiss (+103%) and SunExpress (+71%).

Ryanair 1st, easyJet 6th, British Airways 18th, Air France 3rd, Lufthansa 4th.

Traffic levels ranging from -80% (Aer Lingus) to +7% (Loganair) compared to 2019.9


Aircraft operatorsLatest news

European airlines

Air France-KLM issues €800 million of senior notes with coupons of3%/3.875%.

Air Malta operates first service to Libya since 2014.

Austrian Airlines to convert a Boeing 777 back into passengeroperations; reports booking of 96,000 passengers on flights to Greecein July/August.

Austrian Airlines expands digital COVID-10 document verificationservice to cover 13 countries.

Eurowings plans to operate this summer services to over 70destinations from Düsseldorf and around 60 destination from Cologne.

Lufthansa to resume temporarily the deployment of five A340s fromsummer 2022, prior to their replacement with A350s.

Ryanair returning to Helsinki Airport from where it will operate 29departing flights per week to 9 destinations.

Ryanair reports June passenger numbers down 60.7% on 2019 (loadfactor at 72%); responds to Malta, Ibiza and Palma being put on the UKgreen list by adding 200,000 extra seats in July/August/September(easyJet adding >50,000 seats).

Wizz Air adding fifth aircraft to Tirana base, launching new routes toBarcelona & Cologne and increasing other Tirana frequencies; reportsJune passenger numbers down 56.9% on 2019 (load factor at 64%);opens new base at Rome Fiumicino with 4 A321s and 32 new routes.

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Air Canada resuming/increasing services to a number of Europeandestinations.

Aeroflot Group added 6 aircraft (net) in May to its fleet, reaching 340aircraft; to resume operations to Bulgaria in July.

ANA plans to operate 19% of its planned international schedules inAugust and 20% in September & October; plans to operate 8 more A380sightseeing flights in August.

Emirates resuming A380 operations on services to Washington, LA,Toronto, Munich & Zurich.

Federal Express exercises options to buy 20 Boeing 767-300F aircraft inFY2024 & FY2025.

JAL Group reports May passenger numbers down 93.5% (international)and 72.3% (domestic) compared to 2019.

United Airlines places orders for 200 Boeing 737 MAX and 70 A321neoaircraft; sees a ‘huge acceleration’ in business travel in the past fewweeks.

Worldwide airlines

States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)


Top 102-digit increase for all of top 10 States over 2 weeks.

Increase in the ranking over 2 weeks for the Netherlands.

Highest increase for Greece(+35%) mainly driven by Ryanairand easyJet especially on flows from/to Germany, Italy and on domestic flows .

High increases for Turkey (+29%) and Italy (+29%).

France is the State where mostflights have been added (+710) over 2 weeks, closely followed by Spain (+683).

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States (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)


Latest traffic situation

Strong increases for Croatia (+59% over 2 weeks), Denmark (+40%), Greece (+35%) and Switzerland (+34%) as well as for Moldova (+62%) and North Macedonia (+55%), both owing to Wizz Air.

Traffic levels ranging from -70% (Ireland) to -9% (Albania), compared to 2019.12

Associations, Authorities and States


IATA and ACI Europe make recommendations to EU states on the practicalities of implementing the EU Digital

COVID Certificate.

European Council approves ‘neighbourhood’ aviation agreements with Armenia, Tunisia and Ukraine.

European Commission opens an in-depth investigation into the proposed acquisition of Air Europa by IAG; reported tobe proposing a tax on aviation fuel on intra-EU flights.

DGAC reports that May passenger numbers in France were 80.6% down on 2019 (within Metropolitan France: -56.9%).

Skyguide reports that it has developed a drone to replace half of the calibration flights that were previously performedby a specially equipped, manned, aircraft.

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Portugal introduces €2 carbon tax on airline tickets.

USA to propose new rules requiring carriers to refund fees for significantly delayed bags; US airports handled over 2.1million passengers on 5 July (Monday after the Independence Day weekend), 21% down on 2019.


Traffic flows (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)

The main traffic flow is the intra-Europe flow with 17,232 flights on Wednesday 7 July, which is increasing (+20%) over 2 weeks.

Intra-Europe flights are at -38% compared to 2019 while intercontinental flows are at -47%.

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Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)

8 of the top 10 flows are domestic.

Highest increases for

Germany-Turkey (+77%), owing to Sun Express, Corendon and Turkish Airlines,

Germany-Spain (+38%) mainly due to Ryanair, Eurowings and Lufthansa

Domestic Italy (+19%) owing to easyJet, Alitalia, Ryanair and Volotea.

Domestic France saw the biggest change over two weeks (+140 flights).

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Top 10


Country pairs (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)

Flows recording the biggest increases over two weeks:

• Greece-Italy (+118%) owing to Ryanair, easyJet.

• Russia-Turkey (+98%) mainly thanks to Azur Air, Ural Airlines, NorwindAirlines, Rossiya Airlines.

• France-Greece (+89%) thanks to easyJet and AirFrance for the main operators.

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Latest traffic situation


USA

Outside Europe

Bookings are improving but demand for corporate and long-haul international air travel are lagging.

On 6 July, US passenger airline departures were 21% below 2019 levels with domestic down 19% and international down 37%.

The domestic US load factor is closing in on pre-pandemic levels to around 89%.

In June 2021, airfares were around 16% below pre-pandemic levels and remain depressed owing partly to lack of business and long-haul international travel.

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On 5 July, domestic traffic recorded 11,087 flights (-7% compared to January 2020 levels).

International flights and overflights remain suppressed, they were stable on previous weeks with 1,264 and 357 flights respectively (-69% and -78% vs 1 Jan 2020).

On 6 July Intra-Middle-East traffic recorded 1,912 flights (-31% compared to Feb 2020).

International traffic from and to Middle-East recorded 1,564 flights (-48% compared to Feb 2020).

Overflights recorded 308 flights (-28% compared to Feb 2020).

Outside Europe

Middle East China

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Airports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)

Top 10 and latest news

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Positive change for 4 of the top 10 airports over last 2 weeks.

Highest increases in flights for:

• Antalya (+46%): mainly SunExpress, Turkish Airlines and Pegasus.

• Palma De Mallorca (+38%): mainly Ryanair and Jet2.com, mostly flights from/to Germany and UK as well as domestic flights.

• Amsterdam (+35%): mainly KLM and Transavia. Flows from to UK, Spain, Germany and France.

• Barcelona (+28%) owing to Vueling and Ryanair.


Airports (Daily Departure/Arrival flights)

Latest operations

Largest increase for Copenhagen over 2 weeks (+61%), Dusseldorf (+59%), Antalya (+46%), Nice (+46%) and Zurich (+44%).

Traffic levels ranging from -90% (Gatwick) to -26% (Athens) compared to 2019.

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Latest news

Airports

Atlanta Airport expecting to handle 80% of pre-pandemic passenger traffic in July.

Berlin Brandenburg June passenger numbers 80% down on those at Schoenefeld and Tegel in June 2019.

Brussels Airport expecting up to 40k passengers a day in July.

Frankfurt Airport reopens check-in area for Lufthansa Express Rail passengers.

11 German airports receive €400 million as compensation for maintaining operational service during 2020 lockdown.

German Airports Association reports May passenger numbers down 85.3% to 3.3 million compared to May 2019.

Leipzig/Halle Airport reports May cargo up 25.4% on 2019, to 134,080 tonnes.

London Heathrow begins phased re-opening of Terminal 3.

Milan Malpensa Airport May passenger numbers down 81.9% in May, compared to 2019.

Munich Airport commits to achieving carbon neutrality by 2030 with an investment of €150 million.


Passengers

ACI recorded just below 2.4 million passengers on 17 June 2021*, a loss of 5.5 million passengers compared to the equivalent day in 2019 (i.e. -69%).

* Latest available data from ACI

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Vaccination updates

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By 5 July, most of the Member States of EUROCONTROL have reported that more than 30 people (per 100 people) were fully vaccinated with Malta, Israel, UK, Hungary, Monaco, Cyprus, Spain and Lithuania having at least 40 people (per 100 people) fully vaccinated (i.e. have received 2 doses of the main vaccines).

Six Member States of EUROCONTROL have fully vaccinated less than 10 people (per 100 people).

The graph is showing data for the 41 Member and 2 Comprehensive Agreement States of EUROCONTROL.


Economics

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Jet fuel prices have started to risesince last Autumn, from around100 cts/gal in October 2020 to191 cts/gal on 2 July 2021.

The jet fuel prices have nowreached pre-COVID levels.


© EUROCONTROL - July 2021

This document is published by EUROCONTROL for information purposes. It may be copied in wholeor in part, provided that EUROCONTROL is mentioned as the source and it is not used for commercialpurposes (i.e. for financial gain). The information in this document may not be modified withoutprior written permission from EUROCONTROL.

www.eurocontrol.int

To further assist you in your analysis, EUROCONTROL provides the following additional information on a daily basis (daily updates at approximately 7:00 CET for the first item and 12:00 CET for the second) and every Friday for the last item:

1. EUROCONTROL Daily Traffic Variation dashboard:www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficVariation (or via the COVID-19 button on the top of our homepage www.eurocontrol.int) • This dashboard provides traffic for Day+1 for all European States; for the largest airports;

for each Area Control Centre (ACC); and for the largest airline operators.

2. COVID Related-NOTAMS with Network Impact (i.e. summary of airspace restrictions):https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html• The Network Operations Portal (NOP) under “Latest News” is updated daily with a

summary table of the most significant COVID-19 NOTAMs applicable at 12.00 UTC.

3. NOP Recovery Plan.https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html• This report, updated every Friday, is a special version of the Network operation Plan

supporting aviation response to the COVID-19 Crisis. It is developed in cooperation with the operational stakeholders ensuring a rolling outlook.

For more information please contact [email protected]

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http://www.eurocontrol.int/

http://www.eurocontrol.int/Economics/DailyTrafficVariation

http://www.eurocontrol.int/

https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html

https://www.public.nm.eurocontrol.int/PUBPORTAL/gateway/spec/index.html

mailto:[email protected]

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