covid-19 pandemicbiac.org/wp-content/uploads/2020/03/covid-19-pandemic... · 2020-03-31 · 2. the...
TRANSCRIPT
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development
DOCUMENT CODE
For Official Use English - Or. English
COVID-19 pandemic
OECD Strategic response
The aim of this note is to start a dialogue with Members and Partners on how both to emerge
from the crisis as quickly and smoothly as possible, as well as to pre-position our economies
and societies for the new and different global and national challenges that must be confronted
after the health crisis has passed – not least the ones we have to confront together.
This document, as well as any data and map included herein, are without prejudice to the status of or sovereignty over any territory,
to the delimitation of international frontiers and boundaries and to the name of any territory, city or area.
2
Executive Summary
The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic is causing severe human suffering on a frightening
scale. It is a combined public health and economic crisis without precedent in terms of its
global reach and scale, which is testing our collective capacity to respond. In addition, the
crisis has laid bare a number of vulnerabilities in our economies and societies that may
have amplified its impact. This has underlined the importance of urgent action to mitigate
the economic impact of the crisis, focussed on those likely to be hardest hit. Within each
country, this includes workers in precarious jobs, the self-employed, and small and
medium-sized enterprises. At the international level, it will be essential to help low-income
and emerging countries deal with the pandemic.
At the national level, governments have already taken commendably bold measures. Many
countries have declared national emergencies to contain the spread of COVID-19 and put
in place short-term measures to buffer shocks to the health system, the economy and
financial markets. There has also been a recognition of the need for international
coordination to address this global threat. G7 leaders have already committed to ensuring
a “strong global response” and called for the support of international organisations to help
countries worldwide as part of that response. It is now time to flesh out and deliver this
response. The OECD is uniquely placed to contribute to such efforts, given its rich
experience and multi-disciplinary expertise in providing evidence-based analysis and
advice in addressing structural issues of the economy and society.
As an initial step in this direction, the present framework paper provides a synthesis of the
immediate policy measures that could be part of an effective response, many of which
countries have already adopted (Section 2). It further outlines key challenges for health,
structural, and macroeconomic policies that countries will need to address in the medium-
to long-term, including through multilateral cooperation (Section 3). Finally, the paper
contains a list of policy notes the OECD is producing to help its Members and Partners
address specific issues in a number of relevant policy areas (Annex). All of this is part of
the wider OECD response to the crisis, which aims to provide timely and comprehensive
information on policy responses in countries around the world, offer recommendations in
areas of OECD expertise and contribute to the necessary global action, drawing on the same
degree of ambition and sense of international solidarity that created the OECD itself.
The aim of the note is also to start a dialogue with Members and Partners on how both to
emerge from the crisis as quickly and smoothly as possible, as well as to pre-position our
economies and societies for the new and different global and national challenges that must
be confronted after the health crisis has passed – not least the ones we have to confront
together.
3
1. Introduction
1. As the number of cases confirmed worldwide continues to increase at a fast
pace, the coronavirus (COVID-19) is causing severe human suffering, with serious
implications for people’s health and quality of life as well as for the global
economy. Vulnerable populations, such as children, elderly, people with poor
health and low income, are particularly at risk.
2. The OECD Interim Economic Outlook downside scenario released on 2
March 2020 projected that global GDP growth in 2020 could fall to 1.5% (assuming
an intensive outbreak across Asia-Pacific, Europe and North America). An even
more adverse scenario is now more likely, with confidence plummeting and many
countries introducing unprecedented containment measures that have resulted in
widespread shutdowns. In a rapidly changing environment, it is extremely difficult
to quantify the exact magnitude of the impact of the crisis on growth. Sectoral
estimates of the impact of the lockdown suggest that the level of GDP could be
reduced by 15 - 25%. These imply that annual GDP growth could be hit by up to 2
percentage points per month of containment.1
3. On 11 March, the World Health Organization officially characterised the
COVID-19 as a global pandemic, urging governments to step up action and calling
for greater international cooperation in response. Some countries have declared
national emergencies to cope with the crisis.
4. On 16 March, G7 leaders issued a statement on the health and economic
risks and challenges related to the COVID-19 pandemic. They committed to a
“strong global response” through “closer cooperation and enhanced coordination”.
The aim is to protect people’s health and safety by enhancing information-sharing
in the health sector, delaying the spread of the virus, strengthening health systems,
promoting research efforts, and ensuring new drugs and vaccines will be widely
available. G7 leaders also promised to do “whatever it takes” to address the
economic impact, “mobilising the full range of instruments, including monetary
and fiscal measures as well as targeted action”, calling on central banks to provide
the necessary monetary measures, and on finance ministers and international
organisations to coordinate. They also promised to “address disturbances in
international supply chains” and “build the foundation for stronger future growth”.
They also called on the G20 to support and amplify G7 efforts. In this regard, there
is an agreement to develop an Action Plan of G20 Ministers of Finance.
5. It is essential that countries take rapid action to minimise the suffering of
the sick, of families, workers and enterprises. By buffering the downturn, measures
should help economies recover faster and better. Together with a sense that the
epidemic is addressed, the measures will contribute to improve people’s and
financial markets’ expectations about the health and economic outlook in the future.
These measures should underpin trust in institutions and safeguard people’s well-
1 A more precise quantitative analysis of new risk scenarios is not possible at this point in time. We
are monitoring the evolution and intend to come up with a fuller picture for the next Economic
Outlook.
4
being. All this requires our strategies to be ambitious, comprehensive, consistent,
as well as coordinated, wherever necessary, internationally.
6. OECD governments have taken emergency measures to contain the spread
of COVID-19, for example closing down schools, shops and institutions, applying
travel restrictions or bans and implementing border closures and encouraging social
distancing and teleworking. In addition, most countries have been putting in place
short-term measures to buffer the health shocks created by COVID-19. Finally, and
in light of the sharp deterioration in market conditions and the global economic
outlook, global leaders have taken unprecedented fiscal, monetary and financial
policy measures to get ahead of the curve and to halt a collapse in confidence.
7. The Secretary-General has called on countries to take decisive policy
action jointly and urgently in repeated instances to counter the pandemic.
Moreover, the OECD is closely monitoring the immediate measures that countries
are implementing in response to this crisis. It has created a dedicated web platform
to support member and partner countries, with information on national measures
and policy papers that contain relevant analysis and advice (see Annex for an
overview). 2 A stocktake of all the measures taken by countries and by sectors will
also become available on the platform.
8. A synthesis of the main policy responses is provided in Section 2 of this
paper. The crisis has laid bare a number of vulnerabilities in our economies and
policies that may have amplified the impact of the COVID-19 crisis, and which will
need to be addressed. The resilience of our health systems, value chains, trading
relations and finances appears not to have been sufficient for preventing this crisis
while other threats such as climate change continue to loom large. The crisis has
also shown that we do not sufficiently understand the mechanism on how contagion
comes about and how to handle it.
9. Section 3 of this paper looks at the reconstruction of our economies,
framing medium- to long-term challenges as regards health, structural, and
macroeconomic policies and the multilateral coordination around it. Undertaking
evidence-based analysis and advice in these areas (in a dialogue with members) is
the main comparative advantage of the OECD and the best service we can provide
for sustainable and inclusive growth in the post-crisis world.
2 For the dedicated OECD platform, please see: http://www.oecd.org/coronavirus/en/
5
2. Synthesis of short-term policy responses
10. OECD governments have taken emergency measures to contain the spread
of COVID-19. All governments have also taken measures to strengthen health care
systems and reorient R&D funding. In addition, in line with the OECD Interim
Economic Outlook policy recommendations, most governments have provided a
buffer to the economic downturn via targeted fiscal and financial support measures,
while all OECD central banks are providing monetary policy and/or liquidity
support to their economies, banks and enterprises. While the figures remain very
much in flux, expansionary macro policies already amount to trillions of US$,
equivalent to several percentage points of global GDP. The following is a synthesis
of these measures, most of which have already been taken or are currently being
taken by countries.
I. Measures to support the health care sector and health care workers
1. Financing and affordability of care for all
i. Provide additional funding for health care to help rapid deployment of
resources and surge capacity.
ii. Reduce financial barriers to access and treatments.
2. Improve capacities in the health system: staff, supplies and spaces
i. Staff: mobilise inactive health professionals, adapt the roles and
responsibilities of health providers and protect the health of health worker,
including by providing special childcare for healthcare workers; provide
financial incentives/support tax concessions for over-time work in health
and other emergency-related sectors, including a partial exemption of labour
incomes from personal income taxation and social security contributions.
ii. Supplies: boost the provision of required supplies and equipment to
diagnose and treat patients safely, such as diagnostic testing and ventilators,
while ensuring continued availability of essential medicines. Eliminate trade
barriers on medical supplies.
iii. Spaces: boost spaces to diagnose people safely and efficiently, to isolate
suspected and confirmed cases, and to treat patients in hospitals or their
home; delay non-essential services/operations.
3. Leverage digital data and tools to improve surveillance and care
i. Use routine and big data for early warning and surveillance as well as digital
diagnosis
ii. Monitor people who have been diagnosed
4. Implement effective R&D policy for vaccines and treatments
i. Allocate more resources for public and private research, improve R&D
processes, including strengthened international collaboration, and
6
encourage sustained long-term investment to prepare for future outbreaks
(analogous, e.g. to the G20 Anti-Microbial Resistance Agenda to address
market failure).
ii. Accelerate approval processes across countries and public funding to boost
the development of vaccines and treatments, in exchange for commitments
to make them widely available and accessible once approved.
iii. Encourage global collaboration and sharing of results, to avoid international
competition to access any new vaccines and treatments.
5. Enhance transparency and provide responsible communication of scientific
evidence and of advice to policymakers and to the public
II. Measures to support vulnerable people and workers
1. Reducing workers’ exposure to COVID-19 in the workplace
i. Relaxing existing regulations or introducing new options for teleworking.
ii. Encouraging employers’ organisations to inform their members of the
benefits of telework and to offer assistance.
iii. Providing, or encouraging unions and employers to negotiate guidelines to
reduce workers’ exposure in those workplaces where telework is not
possible.
i. Providing financial and non-financial assistance to small and medium-sized
enterprises (SMEs) to help them quickly develop teleworking capacity and
effective teleworking routines.
ii. Collaborating with technology companies to provide SMEs and the self-
employed with free and rapid access to communication and sharing tools.
2. Providing income replacement to sick workers
i. Extending paid sick leave coverage to nonstandard workers, including the
self-employed.
ii. Extending the duration of paid sick leave or waiving waiting periods and
aligning them with quarantine and medical recommendations.
iii. Adapting reporting requirements to access paid sick leave, e.g. by waiving
the need for medical certification.
3. Providing income replacement to quarantined workers who cannot work from
home
i. Adapting regulations to ensure that quarantined workers have access to paid
sick leave.
7
ii. Reimbursing employers if they provide paid sick leave to quarantined
workers.
iii. Ensuring that non-standard workers in quarantine receive support
4. Supporting workers and families with caring responsibilities
i. Offering public childcare options to working parents in essential services,
such as health care, public utilities and emergency services.
ii. Publicly providing alternative care arrangements.
iii. Offering direct financial support to workers who need to take leave.
iv. Giving financial subsidies to employers who provide workers with paid
leave.
v. Adapting telework requirements to workers’ caring responsibilities in terms
of working hours and work-load.
5. Help secure jobs and income as firms struggle
i. Introducing, extending and temporarily relaxing participation and
conditionality requirements in short-time work schemes.
ii. Simplifying procedures and provide easy access to online information for
employers.
iii. Promoting the uptake of online training to invest in the skills of employees
during the downturn.
iv. Facilitating rapid recruitment of staff to replace sick workers in core
functions.
6. Protect workers and families who lost their jobs or self-employment income
i. Extending access to unemployment benefit to non-standard workers (such
as temporary workers and the self-employed)
ii. Providing easier access to benefits targeted at low-income families.
iii. Considering one-off payments to affected workers and vulnerable groups
iv. Reviewing the content and/or timing of reforms restricting access to
unemployment benefits that are already scheduled.
v. Helping economically insecure workers stay in their homes by suspending
evictions and deferring mortgage and utility payment.
8
vi. Implement responses to ensure that households can remain in their
dwellings. Introduce measures to support and shelter the homeless.
7. Providing financial support to firms affected by the crisis
i. Deferring tax and social contribution payments
ii. Setting up financial facilities to temporarily support companies’ liquidity
III. Measures to help industries and firms including SMEs and the self-
employed
1. SMEs and hard hit sectors
i. Relax financial constraints on SMEs by providing easier loan conditions by
public institutions, interest-free loans, public guarantees, credit mediation
and enhancement, including government backed trade finance and working
capital for SME exporters.
ii. Support affected sectors, SMEs, and their employees by reducing working
hours, facilitating and implementing income support in the event of
temporary lay-offs and sickness, and sharing information on prevention and
containment of the disease.
iii. Provide targeted support to hard-hit sectors such as tourism by extending
short-term specific financial support for businesses (e.g. provision of
guarantees, government support to marketing and business promotion,
governmental funds).
iv. Regulators and supervisors could temporarily adjust underwriting standards
guidance to allow banks to extend credit to SMEs and higher-risk borrowers,
and to encourage more flexible payment arrangements where borrowers face
liquidity shortages.
2. Tax relief and ease the burden on taxpayers
i. Waive or defer payroll related taxes, including social security contributions.
ii. Provide additional time for dealing with tax affairs adjusting tax filing and
payment requirements and advance payment schemes, providing quicker
refunds to taxpayers, enhancing taxpayer services and implementing clear
communication strategies.
iii. Other measures that are being/could be considered: deferring or waiving
taxes levied on fixed tax bases (like property or property transaction taxes),
and increasing the generosity of loss carry-forward and bad-debt-relief
provisions.
3. Corporate support
i. Channel cash on a timely basis via a combination of equity, debt and
guarantees to affected businesses. Programme design that emphasises
9
transparency, precision and avoiding moral hazard is central to
effectiveness. Agencies involve banks, development banks and SME loan
agencies.
ii. Temporary regulatory relief and assistance for company issuers affected by
COVID-19, such as allowance by market regulators of brief extensions in
public filings.
iii. Encourage businesses to take necessary support measures for foreign
affiliates and operations, for example by extending loans or inject equity.
IV. Macroeconomic and supervisory policy measures to deal with supply and
demand shocks to the real economy and financial markets
1. Role of the fiscal authorities: Apply targeted fiscal support to protect people and
sectors most severely impacted in the best possible way (see above for further, more
specific fiscal support measures).
i. In the very short term, measures take into account the limits to supply and
demand in certain sectors
ii. Thereafter, consider the type of approach needed in the post-crisis
environment
2. Monetary and supervisory authorities
i. Adjust monetary policies to avoid credit and liquidity issues, such as through
lowering policy rates and engaging/stepping up bond purchasing
programmes.
ii. Provide immediate central bank liquidity to financial institutions that need
short-term funding.
iii. Launch/expand special facilities to incentivize banks to continue lending to
SMEs, to avoid them going under, such as through a targeted lending
program at preferential rates.
iv. Adjust monetary policy measures to address financial market segments dis-
functioning
3. Financial regulators
i. Adjust financial regulation and its supervision to maintain credit provision,
protect liquidity of non-financial firms, and facilitate access to and
maintenance of essential financial services, for example, by allowing
delayed loan repayment, enabling fast processing of insurance benefits,
and allowing delayed payment of insurance premiums.
ii. Support banks to temporarily ease repayment terms to businesses and
households. This effort has been combined with partial guarantees.
10
V. Other measures to maintain normality and restore confidence
1. Formulate an effective and credible public information campaign for whole-
of-government.
2. Strengthen government coordination:
i. Establish a clear response strategy and action plan for government
coordination, including crisis management cells and coordination
mechanisms; data sharing and interoperability, effective monitoring and
evaluation of strategies.
ii. Ensure access to credible evidence, using authoritative scientific
advisory committees, and promote accountability;
iii. Establish effective and inclusive institutional mechanisms, including
accelerated legislative action as appropriate;
iv. Strengthen horizontal and vertical inter-governmental coordination and
policy coherence across sectors and levels of government;
v. Ensure that tools and measures to anticipate and address trade-offs
between policy areas and transboundary impacts of policies are
developed;
3. Avoid unnecessary trade restrictive measures that risk to further undermine
confidence and increase costs. Reduce costs via trade facilitation and ensure the
adequate supply of trade finance.
4. Adapt procurement strategies to ensure the continuity of public service
provision and manage supply disruption risks, for instance by:
Placing greater emphasis on contract and supplier relationship management;
Conducting a supplier mapping to identify those located in high risk areas;
and
Using joint procurement to generate economies of scale by aggregating
individual needs of countries or institutions and create bigger purchasing
volumes.
5. Ensure that agro-food supply chains continue to operate normally, including
by bringing food into quarantined areas as well as monitoring food prices and
markets, and disseminating information on food availability.
6. In education, maintain, even when schools are physically closed, meaningful
teaching and learning experiences for children and develop the capacity for
distance education and online delivery, by:
i. deploying online learning at scale and using online educational
platforms;
ii. providing targeted support to disadvantaged learners;
iii. enhancing digital learning opportunities and other training for teachers;
11
iv. collaborating internationally and with the technology sector to mutualise
open educational resources and digital learning platforms;
v. using the school infrastructure to offer day care for children of essential
staff (e.g. healthcare staff) as well as for vulnerable children
7. In competition policy, communicate clear guidance on the potential implications
of emergency state aid measures as well as monitor anti-competitive conduct and
exceptional measures in public procurement/investment to prevent abuse and
enable fair and efficient markets.
8. Ensure integrity and mitigate high risks of corruption and abuse, especially
in the health sector.
9. Support and protect the digital infrastructure and its use at this critical
point. Work with telecommunications carriers, Internet service providers and
“over-the-top” services to ensure connectivity and the integrity of networks. This
may include relaxing data caps, continuing basic service for those who cannot
pay bills and degrading the quality of data-intensive services such as video
streaming. ‘
10. Specific actions to reach the most vulnerable. Many measures have been taken
to people who are financially vulnerable, who need multiple types of social
support at a time when COVID-19 puts additional pressure on systems, who lack
connectivity to digital services, and who need to balance child care with work
obligations (see above).
12
3. Part 2: Medium term policy issues for consideration
11. Notwithstanding the appropriate immediate policy measures taken, the
COVID-19 pandemic has revealed large vulnerabilities and risks in health care
system, the economies and societies of OECD countries and the world more
broadly. Once the crisis is over, it is essential that we draw from the right policy
lessons so as to regain sustainable growth, build resilience, and maintain and bolster
people’s well-being.
12. We will need to re-think our pandemics related health policies and
capacities. Businesses and governments will need to review the reliability and
sustainability of supply chains for essential goods and services and enhance their
resilience. Some companies may have survived on government support but may
find it difficult to resume their activities as before. There will likely be disruptions
and relocations within and between our economies that need to be managed in the
national and multilateral context.
13. Gradually eliminating crisis-related restrictions on the free movement of
goods, services and people will help restart global value and supply chains and
activities in some sectors. The question is, however, whether countries will try to
permanently lower their dependency on international supply chains resulting in a
retreat of globalisation. If this went beyond a limited number of essential goods and
services it could have major adverse consequences.
14. One critical question, particularly beyond the short term, is how to manage
the inevitable trade-off between containment of a pandemic and maintaining
economic and social activities. Medium to longer-term policy should strive to focus
on how to restore normality and allow for sustainable growth without risking
further outbreaks. Confidence will be strengthened if there is a sense that lessons
have been learnt and we are better prepared for this type of crisis.
15. There may be opportunities for governments, businesses and individuals,
who could leverage new technologies and embrace new working methods and
facilities. This, in turn, could reinvigorate growth and facilitate mastering the
challenges of the post-crisis world. All these factors relate to the role of government
and the market in the economy.
16. The aftermath of the crisis may help or interfere with the achievement of
international climate-related objectives. There will certainly be lower emissions in
the short run due to the sudden drop in economic activity. The long-term
environmental implications will depend on how the recovery is managed, but there
is a genuine opportunity to make decarbonisation part of it. It will also be important
that countries do not roll back environmental standards, but size the opportunities
of vigorous investment plans to address environment related issues.
17. However, there will be a number of challenges.
18. There are going to be social and distributional challenges. The pandemic
inevitably hits the low-income, underprivileged population, those who lose their
work and many SMEs in the services sector the hardest. It can significantly deepen
the existing economic and social pressures on the more vulnerable or less
privileged. In an environment of higher public debt, there might also be challenges
13
to adapt government priorities, especially public safety nets and public sector
programs, which have proven so necessary in managing the consequences of the
virus outbreak.
19. The challenge of reconstruction will be exacerbated by an even higher
stock of debt in the private sector, lower asset prices and renewed experiences of
financial turmoil. It is therefore essential that there will be a clear path to exit the
extraordinary support and deal swiftly with emerging financial sector weaknesses,
prevent the prolongation of measures and distortions driven by vested interests,
and, thereby, enhance financial resilience in our economies.
20. Finally, the crisis is happening in an environment of increasing trade and
political tensions around the globe that could be exacerbated by a further backlash
against open markets and global value chains and the temptation of isolationism.
And international coordination on other issues could have, at times, been faster and
better coordinated. There is a greater need for multilateral collaboration and
coordination on health and economic security and possibly in other areas as well.
The onset of the crisis may have revealed a lack of coordination in managing the
spread of the virus, resulting in delayed reaction, uncoordinated border closures, as
well as a lack of means for tackling the surge of patients in difficult conditions.
21. There is much to learn from each other in many areas. As mentioned, G7
leaders have underscored their commitment to cooperation and reform beyond the
short term and called upon G20 support in their recent conference call, which is
reassuring. This requires follow up with action, based on sound evidence and
advice. The OECD has worked extensively in addressing such structural issues of
the economy and society over the years, and provided evidence based analysis. The
OECD can help countries, making use of its research and convening capacity in
dealing with many of the cross-sectoral and multinational issues where
international learning and cooperation seem particularly fruitful.
22. The list below does not aim to be exhaustive but to provide examples of
areas where the OECD could start thinking about the future and discuss some
paradigm changes that may be occurring. While it points out main potential
challenges, it does not aim to present the current OECD view on these issues. Close
coordination with other international organisations would be called for.
National themes
Macroeconomic themes
23. Macro-economy: macro-policies will have entered new paradigms with
further extension of the monetary policy tool box, and possibly some form of debt
monetisation. Preparing for the reconstruction and the next economic challenges
will require a thorough analysis of these policies. Given the likelihood of high
deficits and debt, what are the best avenue to enhance the quality of public finances
and fiscal resilience?
24. Macro-financial policies: managing non-performing loans (NPLs) and
banking sector strengthening will be essential. States may have taken equity stakes
in many corporate or will have seen their guarantee called. In this environment,
how to promote corporate restructuring and financial stability and resilience (see
below)?
14
Structural, social and governance themes
25. Design and capacity building of health systems: enhance agility and
preparedness of health systems to face future shocks, enhance capacities for disaster
risk management, promote the use of data and digital technologies to improve
surveillance, research and care; strengthen international cooperation to prevent and
prepare for a re-occurrence of pandemics (see below).
26. Transformation of business models and/or severe restructuring in
certain sectors including aviation, tourism, entertainment, energy and retail
commerce; mobility of people and transportation systems where post-crisis demand
and supply conditions may be different. Considerations over global value chains
diversification.
27. Digitalisation and the use of AI: many sectors will be transformed,
including the health sector and education, contributing to post-crisis growth,
productivity and resilience. Work practices will change, requiring much greater
digital skills and a framework for new work practices and business models, and
protocols for data sharing.
28. Education and skills: Enhance the digital transformation of education and
training; including the quality of online education tools and instructional resources,
innovation in teaching and learning environments, teachers’ professional
development, fostering digital and scientific competencies, social and emotional
skills, and lifelong learning. Target progress in particular to the vulnerable and
disadvantaged learners.
29. Social and distributional implications, well-being and care of the
elderly, youth and children: foster the resilience and adaptability of social
protection systems to better target the most vulnerable and, in the future, better
withstand a shock like the Covid-19 crisis. Given ageing populations, maintaining
the financial sustainability of social protection systems will require a serious
reflection on funding, targeting and efficiency.
30. Gender equality issues: The burden of the crisis is likely to be greatest on
primary care givers, a majority of which are women, affecting their career prospects
and earnings, while the death toll is falling more strongly on men. Additionally,
there are concerns that the crisis and associated quarantine periods may create
fertile conditions for domestic violence.
31. Enhancing public sector resilience and adaptiveness: The crisis has
created new short-term demands on the public sector. But it also raises big
questions about the capacity of the public sector to withstand crisis and respond
appropriately, requiring investment in capacities.
32. Climate change and other environmental issues: How to make climate
and environment objectives an integral part of the economic recovery. Many
national policies need to be set in a multilateral and inter-sectoral context (see
below).
Multilateral themes
33. Global macro and financial stability: We may see corporate, financial
and fiscal crises despite – or because of – government efforts. The appropriateness
15
of international regulation and safety nets will resurface, just as the need to rethink
private sector bail-in and moral hazard. Greater efforts to enhance macroeconomic
resilience will be needed in many countries.
34. Health care: complement national efforts with multilateral collaboration
on pandemics prevention, including improved information sharing on potential new
threats, and health system strengthening. Given the need for enhanced buffers
globally, how should this be organised and the needed investment undertaken and
financed? We also need to better understand and act on the interdependence
between health and environmental challenges, and make the most of digitalisation
of health data and new tools such as AI.
35. Trade and the level playing field: There will be a need to rebuild trust in
global markets and avoid unnecessary/unfair trade restrictions in order to underpin
the economic recovery. Demands for more resilient value chains need to be
balanced by credible commitments for openness and cross-border supplies in crises.
36. Climate change, environmental emergencies and the need to build
resilience: Maintain momentum in the decarbonisation of the economy globally
(including carbon pricing), as well as other environmental objectives.
37. Development: Special consideration must be given to developing countries
that lack economic resilience, have lower capacity in governance and health
systems, and limited financial resources to effectively address the pandemic and its
economic and social consequences. There is a need for a comprehensive and
coordinated international response to support those countries as they face the crisis,
including through adequate financing and development cooperation.
38. International research and international organisations: The COVID-19
crisis, like the financial crisis a decade ago, has demonstrated the extent of
international interdependence, and the stark limits of sectoral approaches in
assessing crisis effects, costs and responses. In addition to sectoral research (e.g.
health), we need to understand system interdependence better, along with its policy
implications. How should countries and international organisations adapt their
cooperation?
39. OECD collaboration with non-members: The recovery within members
will be underpinned if non-members also recover speedily and strongly. The OECD
will use its relationship with key partners as well as regional and country
programmes to enhance post-crisis exchanges on best practices and advice.
Timeline and Process
40. Short policy notes are already available for a number of policy challenges
(see Annex) and there is a further need for considerable research and analysis in an
evolving, uncertain policy environment as regard our members’ medium term
challenges after the crisis.
41. It is therefore advisable to consult with Members over the coming months
to 1) prioritise amongst the issues listed above as to the OECD’s best value-added
and 2) produce deeper analytical papers and further policy discussions.
16
4. Annex: Published and forthcoming notes on horizontal and thematic
policy considerations
42. The following is a list of policy notes to be published on the OECD
dedicated platform on the COVID-19 crisis:
Published notes
Education responses to COVID-19 crisis: embracing digital learning and online
collaboration
Evaluating the initial impact of COVID containment measures on economic activity
Financial consumer protection responses to COVID-19
Flattening the COVID-19 peak: containment and mitigation policies
Health systems responses to COVID-19 in the OECD
Regional policy responses to COVID-19: When COVID-19 comes to Africa
SME policy responses to the COVID-19 crisis
Supporting people and companies to deal with the COVID-19 virus
Tax policy responses to the COVID-19 crisis
COVID-19: Tourism policy Responses
Forthcoming and potential future notes
A systemic approach to dealing with Covid-19 and future shocks
Coronavirus (COVID-19): Cities Policy Responses
Digital policy responses to the COVID-19 crisis
From containment to recovery: Environmental responses to the COVID-19 pandemic
Illustrative COVID-19 scenarios to inform policy-making
Impacts of COVID-19 on well-being and intergenerational justice (with emphasis on
children and youth, gender, and the elderly)
Leveraging technologies to support employee learning during the COVID-19 crisis
Policy considerations for developing countries and development cooperation
Policy responses to ensure resilient agro-food value chains in response to the COVID-19
crisis
Public debt management responses to COVID-19
Relevant policy measures for responsiveness and resilience of public administration and
governance during COVID-19 crisis
Science and technology policy responses to the COVID-19 crisis
Sector-specific responses to the COVID-19 crisis
Trade policy measures in response to the COVID-19 crisis
Women at the core of the fight against COVID-19