county sales & price, july 2015

14
CALIFORNIA HOUSING MARKET UPDATE Monthly Sales and Price Statistics July 2015

Upload: car-research-economics

Post on 15-Dec-2015

4.157 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

DESCRIPTION

July home sales climb to highest level in nearly three years as prices remain near recent high. The County MLS median price and sales data in the tables are generated from a survey of more than 90 associations of REALTORS® throughout the state, and represent statistics of existing single-family detached homes only.

TRANSCRIPT

CALIFORNIAHOUSING MARKETUPDATE

Monthly Sales and Price Statistics

July 2015

SALES OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES

California, Jul 2015 Sales: 449,530 Units, +7.1%YTD, +12.7%YTY

-

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

Jan

-05

Jul-

05

Jan

-06

Jul-

06

Jan

-07

Jul-

07

Jan

-08

Jul-

08

Jan

-09

Jul-

09

Jan

-10

Jul-

10

Jan

-11

Jul-

11

Jan

-12

Jul-

12

Jan

-13

Jul-

13

Jan

-14

Jul-

14

Jan

-15

Jul-

15

*Sales are seasonally adjusted and annualizedSERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Jul-15:449,530

Jul-14:398,980

CALIFORNIA SALES

SERIES: Sales of Existing Single Family Homes, Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Jan

-10

Ap

r-10

Jul-

10

Oct

-10

Jan

-11

Ap

r-11

Jul-

11

Oct

-11

Jan

-12

Ap

r-12

Jul-

12

Oct

-12

Jan

-13

Ap

r-13

Jul-

13

Oct

-13

Jan

-14

Ap

r-14

Jul-

14

Oct

-14

Jan

-15

Ap

r-15

Jul-

15

Year-over-Year % Chg 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Year-over-Year % Chg)

CHANGE IN SALES BY PRICE RANGE

(Year-to-Year)

-11.1%

15.8% 15.4%17.7%

26.4%

23.3%20.9%

13.5%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Jul-15

SERIES: Sales of Existing Detached HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

BAY AREA SALES (EXISTING SFH)

SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Jan

-10

Ap

r-10

Jul-

10

Oct

-10

Jan

-11

Ap

r-11

Jul-

11

Oct

-11

Jan

-12

Ap

r-12

Jul-

12

Oct

-12

Jan

-13

Ap

r-13

Jul-

13

Oct

-13

Jan

-14

Ap

r-14

Jul-

14

Oct

-14

Jan

-15

Ap

r-15

Jul-

15

Bay Area 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Bay Area)

CENTRAL VALLEY SALES (EXISTING SFH)

SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

-30%

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Jan

-10

Ap

r-10

Jul-

10

Oct

-10

Jan

-11

Ap

r-11

Jul-

11

Oct

-11

Jan

-12

Ap

r-12

Jul-

12

Oct

-12

Jan

-13

Ap

r-13

Jul-

13

Oct

-13

Jan

-14

Ap

r-14

Jul-

14

Oct

-14

Jan

-15

Ap

r-15

Jul-

15

Central Valley 6 per. Mov. Avg. (Central Valley)

SOUTHERN CALIFORNIA (EXISTING SFH)

SERIES: Sales, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

-25%

-20%

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

Jan

-10

Ap

r-10

Jul-

10

Oct

-10

Jan

-11

Ap

r-11

Jul-

11

Oct

-11

Jan

-12

Ap

r-12

Jul-

12

Oct

-12

Jan

-13

Ap

r-13

Jul-

13

Oct

-13

Jan

-14

Ap

r-14

Jul-

14

Oct

-14

Jan

-15

Ap

r-15

Jul-

15

So CA 6 per. Mov. Avg. (So CA)

MEDIAN PRICE OF EXISTING DETACHED HOMES

California, Jul 2015: $488,260, -0.3% MTM, +5.4%YTY

$-

$100,000

$200,000

$300,000

$400,000

$500,000

$600,000

$700,000

Jan

-05

Jul-

05

Jan

-06

Jul-

06

Jan

-07

Jul-

07

Jan

-08

Jul-

08

Jan

-09

Jul-

09

Jan

-10

Jul-

10

Jan

-11

Jul-

11

Jan

-12

Jul-

12

Jan

-13

Jul-

13

Jan

-14

Jul-

14

Jan

-15

Jul-

15

P: May-07$594,530

T: Feb-09$245,230-59% frompeak

SERIES: Median Price of Existing Single Family HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

Jul-15:$488,260

Jul-15:$463,330

CA MEDIAN PRICE (EXISTING SFH)

SERIES: Median Price, Not Seasonally AdjustedSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

-15%

-10%

-5%

0%

5%

10%

15%

Jan

-05

Jun

-05

No

v-0

5

Ap

r-0

6

Sep

-06

Feb

-07

Jul-

07

Dec

-07

May

-08

Oct

-08

Mar

-09

Au

g-0

9

Jan

-10

Jun

-10

No

v-10

Ap

r-11

Sep

-11

Feb

-12

Jul-

12

Dec

-12

May

-13

Oct

-13

Mar

-14

Au

g-1

4

Jan

-15

Jun

-15

Month-to-Month % Chg

INVENTORY CONTINUED TODECLINE FROM LASTYEAR

Jul 2014: 3.8 Months; Jul 2015: 3.3 Months

Note: “Unsold Inventory Index” represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in question. Theremaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were “Active”, “Pending”, and “Contingent” (when available) anddivide the sum by the number of “Sold” properties for the month in question.

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Jan

-05

Jul-

05

Jan

-…

Jul-

06

Jan

-07

Jul-

07

Jan

-…

Jul-

08

Jan

-…

Jul-

09

Jan

-10

Jul-

10

Jan

-11

Jul-

11

Jan

-12

Jul-

12

Jan

-13

Jul-

13

Jan

-14

Jul-

14

Jan

-15

Jul-

15

SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

INVENTORY DROPPED SIGNIFICANTLYIN THE BAY AREA SINCE 2009

BUT REMAINED TIGHT

Note: “Unsold Inventory Index” represents the number of months it would take to sell the remaining inventory for the month in question. Theremaining inventory for the month is defined as the number of properties that were “Active”, “Pending”, and “Contingent” (when available) anddivide the sum by the number of “Sold” properties for the month in question.

2.0

3.4

3.6

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

8.0

9.0

Jan-09 Jul-09 Jan-10 Jul-10 Jan-11 Jul-11 Jan-12 Jul-12 Jan-13 Jul-13 Jan-14 Jul-14 Jan-15 Jul-15

Bay Area Central Valley So CA

SERIES: Unsold Inventory Index of Existing Single Family HomesSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

PRICE PER SQUARE FOOT

Jul 2015: $228, Up 1% MTM, Up 3.4%YTY

$0

$50

$100

$150

$200

$250

$300

$350

$400

Jan

-07

Ap

r-0

7Ju

l-0

7O

ct-0

7Ja

n-0

8A

pr-

08

Jul-

08

Oct

-08

Jan

-09

Ap

r-0

9Ju

l-0

9O

ct-0

9Ja

n-1

0A

pr-

10Ju

l-10

Oct

-10

Jan

-11

Ap

r-11

Jul-

11O

ct-1

1Ja

n-1

2A

pr-

12Ju

l-12

Oct

-12

Jan

-13

Ap

r-13

Jul-

13O

ct-1

3Ja

n-1

4A

pr-

14Ju

l-14

Oct

-14

Jan

-15

Ap

r-15

Jul-

15

PRICE PER SQ. FT.

SERIES: Median Price Per Square FeetSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

SALES-TO-LIST RATIO

Jul 2015: 98.8%, Down 0.2% MTM, Up 0.3%YTY

99.0%

86%

88%

90%

92%

94%

96%

98%

100%

102%

Jan

-07

Ap

r-0

7

Jul-

07

Oct

-07

Jan

-08

Ap

r-0

8Ju

l-0

8O

ct-0

8

Jan

-09

Ap

r-0

9

Jul-

09

Oct

-09

Jan

-10

Ap

r-10

Jul-

10O

ct-1

0

Jan

-11

Ap

r-11

Jul-

11O

ct-1

1Ja

n-1

2

Ap

r-12

Jul-

12O

ct-1

2

Jan

-13

Ap

r-13

Jul-

13O

ct-1

3Ja

n-1

4

Ap

r-14

Jul-

14O

ct-1

4

Jan

-15

Ap

r-15

Jul-

15

Sales-to-List Price Ratio

SERIES: Sales-to-List RatioSOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

DEMAND OUTPACING SUPPLY

5%

18%

14%

-13%

-4%

2%

-20%

-10%

0%

10%

20%

San Francisco Bay Area Southern California Central Valley

Sales Active ListingsYear-to-Year % Chg

SOURCE: CALIFORNIA ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS®

July 2015