counterparty risk management analysis for corporate treasury · bloomberg lp 10:30am, 24 apr 2018 ....
TRANSCRIPT
Counterparty Risk Management Analysis for Corporate Treasury
Alison Fletcher
Bloomberg LP
10:30am, 24 Apr 2018
Key Concepts
• CVA – Credit Valuation Adjustment – Difference between risk-free portfolio value and
the credit-adjusted portfolio value. The adjustment takes into account potential default.
• DVA – Debit Valuation Adjustment – Corporates own default risk.
• Bilateral – Difference between the two. Keep in mind the
worse credit is expected to default first.
Agenda
• Key concepts
• The traditional approach
• Pre-trade considerations
– Single trade DVA calculation against my own name
– Portfolio incremental calculation on my bank trades
• Post-trade considerations
• Questions
The Traditional Approach
• Corporates/banks traditionally used counterparty ratings as the major input to determine counterparty limits and credit spreads on trades.
• From their relationship banks, best price was the driving factor that Corporates used to determine who they dealt with.
• But this has been changing…
Credit Ratings
Electronic Trading Allowed Easy Determination of Additional Cost
• Logistics used to make it challenging to ask prices of banks in competition and importantly quickly work out the cost of trading of one over another.
• Electronic trading changed this. Corporates were able to easily quantify the cost of dealing with one back over another.
The 5 Year Corporate CDS is a Key Input
But what if there is no market CDS?
• As an alternative the market has been turning to a model CDS.
• Estimates the default probability.
• Ability to override key inputs with your own data.
• Used for both where the Corporate does not have a CDS but also when the Bank does not have a CDS such as some of the Canadian Banks.
Default Risk Model as market CDS Alternative
Pre-trade Considerations
Calculate Potential Credit Spread on a Single Trade
• Price up your IRS or long-dated FX trade.
• Load in your CDS curve or model CDS.
• Run DVA on this to see the credit-adjusted price.
Price up your IRS
Calculate the DVA Adjustment
Price Your FX Trade
Calculate your DVA Adjustment
Corporate Counterparty (Bank)
Limits and Risk
Electronically to keep track of Limits
Which bank reduces my exposure?
Post-trade Considerations
Reporting CVA Adjusted Valuations
Collateral as an Alternative?
• European regulation driving some corporates in this direction.
• Not as common in the US.
• Cash-rich corporates.
• Used as an alternative to paying credit spread upon trading.
Collateral Management Margin Calculation
And then Manage Disputes
Thank You!