corporate governance of financial institutions: what’s special about banks? luc laeven (imf)...
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Corporate Governance of Financial Institutions: What’s Special About Banks?
Luc Laeven (IMF)
Keynote LectureDNB Conference, Nov 8, 2012
The views expressed here are my own and should not be interpreted to reflect those of the IMF or IMF Board
Costliest banking crises since 1970s57 55
44 44 44 43 41
32 32 31
Ind
onesia
1997
Arg
entina
1980
Icela
nd
2008
Jam
aic
a
1996
Thaila
nd
1997
Chile
1981
Irela
nd
2008
Maced
onia
1993
Turk
ey
2000
Ko
rea
1997
Fiscal cost(In percent of GDP)
108 103
88 83 8273 72 68 65 63
Guin
ea-B
issau
1995
Co
ng
o, R
ep
1992 Chile
1981
Uru
guay
1981
Arg
entina
2001
Irela
nd
2008
Icela
nd
2008
Ind
onesia
1997
Tanza
nia
1987
Nig
eria
1991
Increase in debt(In percent of GDP)
143130
121109 106 106 106 106 102 98
Kuw
ait
1982
Co
ng
o, D
R
1991
Buru
nd
i 1994
Thaila
nd
1997
Jo
rdan
1989
Irela
nd
2008
Latv
ia
2008
Cam
ero
on
1987
Leb
ano
n
1990
Ecuad
or
1982
Output loss(In percent of GDP)
Source: Laeven and Valencia (2012)
Stealing “other people’s money” “HSBC’s head of compliance quits after money laundering allegations” (Telegraph, July 17, 2012).
“I may like many bankers, but I rather dislike banks. I recognize their necessity, but fear their irresponsibility. Worse, they are irresponsible partly because they know they are necessary. No industry has a comparable talent for privatizing gains and socializing losses. Participants in no other industry get as self-righteously angry when public officials – particularly, central bankers – fail to come at once to their rescue when they get into (well-deserved) trouble.” (Martin Wolf, Financial Times, Jan 15, 2008).
What’s special about banks?
• They are highly leveraged• They have diffuse debtholders• They are large creditors• They are systemically important
• Deposit insurance and financial regulation
I. Limits of traditional corporate governance
• Concentrated ownership• Executive pay• Market for corporate control• Large creditors
II. Bank regulation and systemic risk
• Externalities from bank failures• Bank performance and systemic risk• Regulation and governance interact• Regulatory forbearance
Volatility and correlation of weekly stock returnsLarge and complex US financial institutions, 1980-2011
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
1980
1985
1990
1995
2000
2005
2010
Annual volatility of weekly returns of US banks, unweighted average
Correlation of returns
Source: Datastream. Based on weekly stock returns. Sample of large and complexUS financial institutions as defined in Gary H. Stern, Ron J. Feldman, 2004, Too big to fail: the hazards of bank bailouts” Brookings Institution Press, (Box 4.1, page 39).
Regulatory forbearance
• “Publicity is justly commended as a remedy for social and industrial diseases. Sunlight is said to be the best of disinfectants; electric light the most efficient policeman (Brandeis, 1914)”
• “The only meaningful distinction between man and machine is moral hazard” (Boot and Thakor, 1993)
Regulatory forbearance during crises2
00
2
20
03
20
04
20
05
20
06
20
07
20
08
20
09
20
10
20
110.4
2.4
4.4
6.4
8.4
10.4
12.4
0.04
0.06
0.08
0.10
0.12
0.14
0.16
Market-to-book value of equity (LHS) Regulatory capital ratio (RHS)
Source: Call Reports of U.S. Bank Holding Companies, Median Values
III. Dealing with systemic risk
• Government ownership• Macroprudential regulation• Capital• Resolution• Government bailouts
The fall of Bankia
0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
May 10: Conversion of4.5 bn preference shares
May 25: 19 billion bailout + reinstated 2011 account to 4.3 bn loss
July 20, 2011: IPO at 54% discount
Source: Bloomberg
Bankia’s price-to-book value of equity, 2012
IV. Policy implications
• Bank regulations must be custom designed and adapted to financial governance systems
• Governance is insufficient: Need macroprudential regulation• Enforcement of regulation needs to be
enhanced• Need more capital• Need to improve resolution frameworks
V. Conclusions