corn products international inc (nyse:cpo) target $90 in 2011
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Corn Products International Inc (NYSE:CPO) Target $90 in 2011TRANSCRIPT
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CCPPOO:: NNYYSSEE
Date: 14/12/2010
Symbol: CPO
Exchange: NYSE
Industry: Non-Cyclical
Consumer Goods and Services
Sector: Food Processing
Recommendation: Strong Buy
Target Price: 90.00
Current Price: 47.16 USD
Summary
Corn Products International Inc (CPO) reported third quarter
profit that narrowly beat estimates, helped by higher
volumes and favorable currency exchange impact, and raised
its full year earnings outlook.
Fast growth in Corn Prices
Growing demand in food sector
Corn Products raised its profit forecast to $2.75-$2.85 per
share, from $2.55-$2.75 a share.
Excluding items, the company earned 81 cents for the
quarter, while revenue rose 5 percent to $1.02 billion.
Fundamental Data
Market Cap ($): 3.57B
52 Week High/Low: 47.91 – 26.23
P/E ratio (TTM): 20.88
P/B ratio (MRQ): 1.91
Dividend yield (%): 1.188
ROA (%): 6.25
ROE (%): 10.16
Profit Margin (%): 4.43
Operating Margin (%): 9.59
Company Profile:
CORN PRODUCTS INTERNATIONAL is a leading worldwide provider of agriculturally derived
ingredient solutions to a broad range of industries and customers. For more than a century, the people of
Corn Products have been focused on developing the ingredients our customers need to bring their
products to market. Today, we are a leading global provider of dextrose, starches, glucose, syrups,
polyols and other ingredients found in literally thousands of products. We turn corn, tapioca, sugar and
other raw materials into ingredients used by some 60 diverse industries, including food, beverage,
pharmaceutical, health and personal care, paper, corrugating, textile, and animal health & nutrition.
Headquartered in Westchester, Illinois, our Company employs some 8,100 people at 28 facilities in 13
countries, all of whom are dedicated to providing value-added ingredients needed by a growing world.
Corn Products International, Inc. (Corn Products), incorporated in 1997, manufactures and sells a number
of ingredients to a variety of food and industrial customers. The Company is a corn refiner and a supplier
of food ingredients and industrial products derived from wet milling and processing of corn and other
starch-based materials. Its products are derived primarily from the processing of corn and other starch-
based materials, such as tapioca. Corn Products sweetener products include high fructose corn syrup
(HFCS), glucose corn syrups, high maltose corn syrups, caramel color, dextrose, polyols, maltodextrins
and glucose and corn syrup solids. Its starch-based products include industrial and food-grade starches.
Corn Products supplies a range of customers in industries, including the food and beverage,
pharmaceutical, paper products, corrugated, laminated paper, textile and brewing industries, as well as
the animal feed and corn oil markets. In October 2010, the Company acquired National Starch, the
specialty starches business of AkzoNobel N.V.
Sweetener Products
Did you know?
• Corn Products is the world’s largest
manufacturer of Dextrose.
• Specialty Dextrose is used in many
products including confectioneries and
low-calorie sweeteners to spice mixes and
beverage powders.
• Glucose corn syrup is used as a base in
industrial and food products.
During the year ended December 31, 2009, the Company’s sweetener products represented
approximately 56% of the Company’s net sales. The Company primarily produces two types of high
fructose corn syrup: HFCS-55, which is used as a sweetener in soft drinks and HFCS-42, which is used as a
sweetener in a number consumer products, such as fruit-flavored beverages, yeast-raised breads, rolls,
dough, ready-to-eat cakes, yogurt and ice cream. Corn syrups are ingredients used in food products, such
as baked goods, snack foods, beverages, canned fruits, condiments, candy and other sweets, dairy
products, ice cream, jams and jellies, prepared mixes and table syrups. The Company offers corn syrups
that are manufactured through an ion exchange process.
The Company offers high maltose corn syrup, which are used in the production of confections, canning
and some other food processing applications. As of December 31, 2009, it produced dextrose products
that are grouped in three categories: monohydrate, anhydrous and specialty. Monohydrate dextrose is
used across the food industry in many of the same products as glucose corn syrups, especially in
confectionery applications. Anhydrous dextrose is used to make solutions for intravenous injection and
other pharmaceutical applications, as well as some specialty food applications. Specialty dextrose
products are used in a range of applications, including confectionery tableting, dry mixes and for
sweeteners. Dextrose also has a range of industrial applications, including use in wall board and
production of biodegradable surfactants (surface agents), humectants (moisture agents), and as the base
for fermentation products, including vitamins, organic acids, amino acids and alcohol.
The Company’s polyols are sugar-free sweeteners primarily derived from starch. They include crystalline
sorbitol, crystalline maltitol, mannitol, specialty liquid polyols and liquid sorbitol for the food, beverage,
confectionary, industrial, personal and oral care, and nutritional supplement markets. Its maltodextrins
and glucose and corn syrup solid products are used in food applications, including formulations where
liquid corn syrups cannot be used.
Starch Products
Did you know?
• Unmodified starches are used primarily
as thickening agents and binders. They
are also sold to food packers for use by
consumers in home baking.
• Modified starches remain stable at many
temperatures, allowing foods to be
frozen and then thawed without losing
consistency and taste. This makes
modified starches ideal for frozen and
instant foods.
The Company’s starch products represented approximately 23% of the Company’s net sales in 2009.
Starches are used in a range of processed foods, where they are used particularly as a thickener and
binder. Cornstarch is also sold to cornstarch packers for sale to consumers. Starches are also used in
paper production. In the corrugating industry, starches are used to produce adhesives for the production
of shipping containers, display board and other corrugated applications. Industrial starches are used in
the production of construction materials, textiles, adhesives, pharmaceuticals and cosmetics, as well as in
mining, water filtration and oil and gas drilling.
Co-Products and others Its co-products and others accounted for 21% of the Company’s net sales in 2009. Refined corn oil (from
germ) is sold to packers of cooking oil and to producers of margarine, salad dressings, shortening,
mayonnaise and other foods. Corn gluten feed is sold as animal feed. Corn gluten meal is sold as feed for
chickens, pet food and aquaculture primarily, and steepwater is sold as an additive for animal feed.
The Company competes with Archer-Daniels-Midland Company, Cargill, Inc., Tate & Lyle Ingredients
Americas, Inc., National Starch and Chemical Company and ALMEX
Latest News:
Corn Products International Inc (NYSE:CPO) reported third quarter profit that narrowly beat estimates,
helped by higher volumes and favorable currency exchange impact, and raised its full year earnings
outlook.
The company, which provides ingredients to a wide range of industries including food, beverage,
pharmaceutical, animal feed, corrugating, paper and textile, reported net income of $37 million, or 48
cents a share, compared with $52.8 million, or 70 cents a share, a year earlier.
Excluding items, the company earned 81 cents for the quarter, while revenue rose 5 percent to $1.02
billion.
"The contributors to growth in net sales were a positive $91 million from higher volumes and a positive
$23 million from stronger foreign currencies," the company said in a statement.
For the full year, Corn Products raised its profit forecast to $2.75-$2.85 per share, from $2.55-$2.75 a
share.
In June, Corn Products said it will buy the National Starch business of Dutch paints firm AkzoNobel
(AKZO.AS) for $1.3 billion in cash.
Shares of the company, which have risen 18 percent in the past 3 months, closed at $41.10 Wednesday
on the New York Stock Exchange.
Interactive Chart:
Financial Highlight:
CONSENSUS ESTIMATES ANALYSIS
# of Estimates Mean High Low 1 Year Ago
SALES (in millions)
Quarter Ending Dec-10 4 1,023.83 1,159.70 928.60 --
Quarter Ending Mar-11 2 1,380.65 1,440.80 1,320.50 --
Year Ending Dec-10 4 3,940.00 3,964.70 3,888.30 3,797.72
Year Ending Dec-11 4 5,582.05 5,837.50 5,375.00 4,137.82
EARNINGS (per share)
Quarter Ending Dec-10 7 0.71 0.84 0.61 --
Quarter Ending Mar-11 2 0.77 0.80 0.75 --
Year Ending Dec-10 8 2.89 3.04 2.80 2.48
Year Ending Dec-11 8 3.60 3.87 3.30 2.73
Sales and Earnings Figures in U.S. Dollars (USD)
VALUATION RATIOS
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
P/E Ratio (TTM) 20.06 37.63 25.98 17.71
P/E High - Last 5 Yrs. 72.89 1.27 1.02 20.08
P/E Low - Last 5 Yrs. 5.73 0.42 0.41 4.99
Beta 1.21 0.62 0.58 1.28
Price to Sales (TTM) 0.88 1.59 2.15 2.13
Price to Book (MRQ) 1.85 1.06 1.70 2.88
Price to Tangible Book (MRQ) 2.14 0.93 1.87 7.88
Price to Cash Flow (TTM) 10.76 15.92 15.10 10.80
Price to Free Cash Flow (TTM) 9.60 14.44 12.83 49.07
% Owned Institutions -- -- -- --
DIVIDENDS
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Dividend Yield 1.25 1.72 1.84 1.65
Dividend Yield - 5 Year Avg. 1.38 1.47 1.27 2.47
Dividend 5 Year Growth Rate 18.47 7.20 8.70 -6.45
Payout Ratio(TTM) 24.22 44.56 31.72 38.55
GROWTH RATES
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Sales (MRQ) vs Qtr. 1 Yr. Ago 5.04 12.99 8.86 9.53
Sales (TTM) vs TTM 1 Yr. Ago 8.45 11.24 6.85 9.04
Sales - 5 Yr. Growth Rate 9.97 10.20 11.49 9.86
EPS (MRQ) vs Qtr. 1 Yr. Ago -31.02 7.30 854.18 6.75
EPS (TTM) vs TTM 1 Yr. Ago 466.92 -- -- --
EPS - 5 Yr. Growth Rate -15.29 7.20 8.41 6.98
Capital Spending - 5 Yr. Growth Rate 7.02 8.19 9.45 4.89
FINANCIAL STRENGTH
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Quick Ratio (MRQ) 3.68 1.08 0.76 0.67
Current Ratio (MRQ) 4.41 1.60 1.06 1.00
LT Debt to Equity (MRQ) 91.67 28.02 25.65 118.61
Total Debt to Equity (MRQ) 95.43 39.66 34.93 172.83
Interest Coverage (TTM) 3.18 0.36 0.59 18.91
PROFITABILITY RATIOS
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Gross Margin (TTM) 16.35 33.56 33.68 32.72
Gross Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 16.01 31.81 35.33 29.13
EBITD Margin (TTM) 12.15 -- -- --
EBITD - 5 Yr. Avg 11.87 10.96 13.26 18.52
Operating Margin (TTM) 8.58 7.50 8.07 --
Operating Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 8.39 7.54 9.96 16.23
Pre-Tax Margin (TTM) 7.35 7.65 8.17 14.93
Pre-Tax Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 7.32 7.86 10.07 15.83
Net Profit Margin (TTM) 4.60 5.20 5.87 11.10
Net Profit Margin - 5 Yr. Avg. 4.67 5.38 6.88 11.62
Effective Tax Rate (TTM) 37.37 31.62 25.50 49.94
Effecitve Tax Rate - 5 Yr. Avg. 36.27 33.59 29.16 25.24
EFFICIENCY
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Revenue/Employee (TTM) 483,765 30,048,263 29,151,479 675,859
Net Income/Employee (TTM) 22,259 1,046,382 918,441 85,228
Receivable Turnover (TTM) 7.57 5.47 21.25 10.48
Inventory Turnover (TTM) 8.00 4.20 6.25 6.78
Asset Turnover (TTM) 1.04 0.70 0.68 0.56
MANAGEMENT EFFECTIVENESS
Company Industry Sector S&P 500
Return on Assets (TTM) 4.80 2.67 3.19 6.03
Return on Assets - 5 Yr. Avg. 5.33 7.89 7.84 5.78
Return on Investment (TTM) 5.83 3.76 4.73 7.74
Return on Investment - 5 Yr. Avg. 6.83 17.21 13.35 7.47
Return on Equity (TTM) 10.12 5.75 8.33 18.05
Return on Equity - 5 Yr. Avg. 10.23 22.49 17.25 9.20
Contact Detail:
Chutinush Taksinapinunt
Corporate Account Executive
Heffernan Capital Management
Email: [email protected]
Chutinush Taksinapinunt holds a Bachelor of Business Administrators degree Majoring in
Finance and Banking. Chutinush Taksinapinunt is an experienced market maker and Portfolio
Manager, having worked with some of Thailand’s largest Securities Company and Financial
Institutions.
Price Estimate by Shayne Heffernan PhD
Shayne Heffernan of Ebeling Heffernan holds a PhD in Economics serves as CEO of Heffernan
Holdings Inc and Co Founder of Ebeling Heffernan www.ebeling-heffernan.com
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