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Page 1: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

July 2019 | Promotional material

Page 2: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Originally a sub-segment of the residential real estate sector, Micro Living has

now established itself as an own asset class.

Initially, Micro Living was synonymous for student accommodation. The past

years have seen a rapid growth in the student housing market, with increasing

transaction volumes. One of the drivers for this is that student housing

investments are a defensive investment, as demand for it is not correlated with

economic fundamentals but rather demographics and the value placed on

education. It is therefore seen as a good risk-diversification strategy.

The student accommodation market has undergone institutionalisation and at

the same time differentiation. With providers of student accomodation

increasingly addressing other target groups and additional operators entering

the market, student accomodation is now being regarded as a sub-segment of

Micro Living – or temporary living, as it is also referred to by some.

Changes to demographics, the labour market and the property market are the

drivers for providers having extended their target group to young professionals,

project employees and expatriates, as well as long-distance commuters;

Analysis has shown that 30-35% of tenants in private student homes were not

students. Micro apartments in top locations are not only appealing to students

but also travelling or commuting professionals.

The different target groups have in common that they only require

accommodation for a limited period of time. Given the temporary nature of their

occupancy they are likely to have smaller space requirements and need

furnished accommodation.

In summary, Micro Living refers to both residential and commercial

developments comprising small, fully-furnished residential units which are

targeted almost exclusively at single persons; depending on the target group and

the chosen concept, the properties offer various communal facilities and

services.

What does the term Micro Living mean?

Page 3: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Segment Student Apartments/Co-Living Business / Micro Apartments Serviced Apartments

Zoning Residential Residential Commercial

Main target group

• Students • Erasmus students• Post Doc/ Ph.D. students• Research assistants• Young Professionals• Project workers

• Business travellers• Professionals and executives• Young Professionals• Project workers

• Business travellers• Professionals and executives• Project workers (B2B and B2C)• Returnees (expats)• Employees starting a new job (trial period)• Commuters • Tourists visiting city

Furnishing

Trendy furnishings (fully equipped kitchen or kitchenette)

Trendy furnishings (in part fully equipped kitchenette)

Lifestyle furnishing with individual furnishings (including a fully equipped kitchenette)

Common areas

Common area with leisure facilities;Learning, TV and laundry lounges; fitness studio (depending on site)

Learning, TV and laundry lounges; fitness studio (depending on site)

Co-working, TV lounge, fitness, laundry lounge, F&B offer (depending on site)

Period of stay+ 1 year (no upper limit) + 3 months (no upper limit) + 1 day (upper limit: 6 months)

Serviced Living

No services Selective services on demand Services included

Traditional Residential

Micro Living Concepts

Page 4: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Population % Opportunities

Silent Generation(1928 – 1945)

37.3m 10.9%Assisted livingCare housing

Baby Boomers(1946 – 1964)

78.2m 22.9% „golden age living“ / senior living concepts

Generation X(1965 – 1980)

79.2m 23.2%AparthotelBranded residencesMicro apartments

Millennials(1981 – 1997)

70m 20.5%Business apartmentsFlexible officeAparthotel

Generation Z(1998 – Present)

73.4m 21.6%Student/Young professional apartmentsCo-working officeServiced apartments

Demographics driving investment opportunities

▪ Significant demographic changes in Europe are creating a variety of real estate investment needs & opportunities.

▪ Studies tend to focus on structural aging of population, what is often overlooked is the significant & growing younger demographic now entering

the workforce.

▪ Demographic and societal changes offer multifaceted opportunities for the real estate investor over the coming years and are making micro

living relevant in several life phases.

▪ The resulting picture is that investors will be able to adopt multiple strategies to capture opportunities.

Source: Principal Real Estate Investors – Inside Real Estate – Annual strategy outlook for 2019http://www.principalreeurope.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/01/Final_MM10288-Inside-RE-2019-PGI-View-compressed.pdf

Page 5: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Megatrends influencing Micro Living

1. Flexibility

“era of multimobility”

2. Urbanization

“from rural to urban areas”

3. New Work“from industry-based to

knowledge based society”

4. Knowledge Culture“education as the most

important good”

5. Community“”

▪ Disruptions, indirections and restarts are allowed; different biographies know many directions

▪ Increased mobility and changing demand represents a challenge also for the housing market

▪ Enables and requires flexibility, changes and adaptability in all social areas

▪ Increasing population and urban growth lead to diverse and networked cities that have to face supply chain challenges

▪ Demand for traffic infrastructure and easy access to long(er) distance travel

▪ Blurring boundaries between work and life lead to radical changes within the existing working environment

▪ An increasing number of people can work everywhere and don’t need a “typical” work place

▪ Ongoing education as the key to the bright future

▪ Willingness to travel and curiosity

▪ Employees being in the “war for talents”

▪ Individualization expresses itself in a new "we" culture. Communities, collaborations and cooperations are moving into focus.

▪ Blurring separation of spaces into "private" and "public" or "working" and "living“

▪ Need for the possibility to switch easily between community and privacy and to create authentic connections

Source: Zukunftsinstitut Frankfurt, 2017

Page 6: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

Micro Living Market Environment

Page 7: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

GDP Growth

-2

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

30000

35000

40000

19

91

19

92

19

93

19

94

19

95

19

96

19

97

19

98

19

99

20

00

20

01

20

02

20

03

20

04

20

05

20

06

20

07

20

08

20

09

20

10

20

11

20

12

20

13

20

14

20

15

20

16

20

17

Bruttolöhne je Arbeitnehmer Veränderung y/y in %

Salary and wage trendsUnemployment rate

0,00%

1,00%

2,00%

3,00%

4,00%

5,00%

6,00%

7,00%

8,00%

2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

The German economy was dampened by difficult external economic

conditions and special domestic effects and forward-looking economic

indicators remain cautious. However, employment and income as well as

investment in buildings are rising strongly and there will be noticeable fiscal

impulses in 2019.

Real disposable income rose by 1.8 per cent in 2018 and the labour market

remained robust against the economic downturn. The increase in

employment continued in December with 42,000 people at the same pace

as before. Incomes are expected to rise strongly, supported by fiscal policy,

and to generate brisk consumer demand among private households.

Employment should continue to rise and unemployment continue to

decline.

Micro Living Market Environment - Germany

Source: Statistische Ämter des Bundes und der Länder

Page 8: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Demographic development

Many German cities suffer from housing shortages. One reason for this is the

steady increase in the total number of households, as more and more people

are living alone. According to calculations by the Federal Statistical Office, the

number of one-person households will rise by a further 4% to 44% by 2035.

Almost 19 million one-person households are expected in 2035.

Another fundamental change in society that influences the real estate

landscape is the increasing urbanisation in Germany. Whereas in 1995 44% of

the population lived in cities, by 2015 this figure had risen to 54%. The urban

population is expected to rise to 60% by 2030.

Micro Living Market Environment - Germany

18,5 17,715,5 14,3

46,2 46,8 46,143,2

17,2 18,621,2

23,7

0,

10,

20,

30,

40,

50,

60,

70,

2000 2010 2020 2030

In M

illio

n

under 20 years 20 - 60 years over 60 years

Population development by age group in Germany

Population in German cities until (million)Number of 1-2 room apartments vs 1-2 person households(2017/2018)

Source: Destatis, Sources: Statistisches Bundesamt Destatis, United Nations Statistics; „Nachdenken über die Stadt von übermorgen“, BBSR 2019; „Summe der fehlenden Wohnungen bis 2030“, Allianz/Prognos, Statistisches Amt München, Statistisches Jahrbuch Frankfurt 2018; Bericht zur Wohnungssituation in München 2016-2017; IBB Wohnungsmarktbericht 2017; Statista

Page 9: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Economic activity in the EU and the euro area moderated last year, with

growth in the euro area slipping to 0.2% in the last two quarters of 2018.

Over the next two years, the economy is expected to continue to grow but at

a slower pace. Overall, the GDP growth forecast for the euro area in 2019 has

been revised down by 0.6 pps. to 1.3%.

Despite robust labour market developments, private consumption remained

muted in a number of EU countries at the end of 2018, possibly reflecting

lower consumer confidence.

While the economy is shifting into a lower gear, the fundamentals for

continued growth remain in place. The European economy continues to

benefit from improving labour market conditions, a slightly expansionary

fiscal policy stance, and supportive financing conditions.

Micro Living Market Environment - Europe

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

2016 2017 2018 2019 2020

GDP growth EU countries

Belgium Germany Ireland Spain France

Netherlands Austria Sweden UK EU28

Median equivalised net income 2016

Source: eurostat

Page 10: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

55,00%

60,00%

65,00%

70,00%

75,00%

80,00%

85,00%

2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

EU-28 DE NL PL UK AT IE BE SE FR ES

0

2

4

6

8

10

12

14

16

EU-28 DE NL PL UK AT DK IE BE SE FR ES

Seasonally adjusted unemployment rate, Jan 2019

Micro Living Market Environment - EuropeIn December 2018, the unemployment rate in the euro area (EU18) stood at 7.9%, its

lowest level since October 2008. Unemployment continues to fall by more than the

growth rate of the economy would suggest. In recent years, labour market conditions

have improved across all EU countries, but substantial differences in unemployment

rates remain.

The euro area labour market improved further in 2018. Employment rose by annual

increase of 1.6%. The number of employed persons has reached the highest level ever

recorded in the euro area, and is now about 2½% above the pre-crisis peak observed

in the first quarter of 2008. Recently, the strongest increase in employment has been

seen in the construction sector.

Development of Employment in Europe

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

EU 28 BE DE IE ES FR NL AT PL SE UK

2015 2016 2017 2018

Employment – age group 20-29

Source: eurostat

Page 11: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

In January 2018, the population of the EU was estimated at 512.6 million,

compared with 511.5 million in January 2017. This growth was due to net

migration, as for the second consecutive year more deaths than births were

recorded in the EU. Germany is the most populated country in the EU,

followed by France, the UK, Italy, Spain and Poland.

The number of 18 to 29 year olds is expected to remain relatively stable in

most of the relevant European countries in the short- to mid-term, with the

exception of Poland, which is expected to see a drop of 30% until 2030.

Germany, Austria and Sweden are the countries with the largest number of

single person households, while Poland and Ireland have a significantly

smaller number of single person households.

Micro Living Market Environment - Europe

40

60

80

100

120

140

160

2015 2020 2030 2040 2050 2060 2070 2080

EU

BE

DE

IE

ES

FR

NL

AT

PL

SE

UK

Projections 18 – 29 year olds EU (normal projection)

0 10 20 30 40

2035

2035

2035

2035

2035

2035

2035

2035

2035

AT

DE

ESFR

IEN

LP

LSE

UK

20-24 years

25-29 years

30-49 years

Age structure in selected EU countries 2017 vs. 2035

0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45

UK

SE

PL

NL

IE

FR

ES

DE

AT

Percentage of single person households in 2017

Source: eurostat

Page 12: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Established vs. up and coming Micro Living markets

Large and established Micro Living markets in Europe

Up and coming Micro Living marketsin Europe

Provider structures, professionalism and

internationality of the players in the micro

living sector show great differences in the

European markets and lead to a distinctive

dividing line between already established

markets and markets in the development

stage, i.e. with still low investment

capability.

Page 13: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

Student Apartment Market

Page 14: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

In 2016/17 more than 2.8 million students across Germany had access to around

240,000 publicly subsidized student accommodation places, equalling an

accommodation rate of only 8.6%. With the added apartments offered by private

suppliers, church and non-profit organisations the total supply rate of student

apartments was at 12.3% Germany wide.

Overall, Studentenwerk is by far the largest provider of subsidised student apartments

(62.7%), followed by private providers (26.7%) and church & non-profit organisations

(10.6%). Private providers were predominant in some locations, such as

Frankfurt/Main, Wiesbaden and Bamberg.

In 2018, CBRE reported an increase of 16% in student apartments since their 2015

market report, the majority of which comes from private providers (83.8%). However,

the development of new student apartments could not keep up with the development

of student numbers and; especially in large cities, students compete with other target

groups - such as trainees, commuters or people with temporary contracts - so that

there will continue to be a strong demand for student apartments.

Student Apartment Market - Germany

94,7%

81,5%

80,4%

79,0%

74,7%

69,7%

68,9%

62,7%

61,9%

61,3%

58,0%

55,9%

52,2%

52,2%

44,7%

43,6%

3,6%

17,7%

12,3%

16,7%

17,2%

30,3%

18,7%

26,7%

35,6%

30,0%

35,7%

36,8%

31,5%

46,6%

33,1%

43,2%

THURINGIA

SAXONY

LOWER SAXON

SAXONY-ANHALT

NORTH RHINE-WESTPHALIA

BRANDENBURG

BADEN-WUERTTEMBERG

GERMANY

BREMEN

SCHLESWIG-HOLSTEIN

RHINELAND-PALATINATE

HESSE

HAMBURG

BERLIN

BAVARIA

SAARLAND

Studentenwerk Private Church

Student housing supply by provider type

17,9%

16,5%

16,2%

15,9%

15,5%

13,4%

12,3%

10,3%

10,3%

10,2%

9,9%

9,4%

9,2%

9,2%

9,0%

4,8%

Baden-Wuerttemberg

Saxony

Bavaria

Brandenburg

Rhineland-Palatinate

Thuringia

Germany

Saxony-Anhalt

Berlin

Lower Saxon

Hamburg

Hesse

North Rhine-Westphalia

Schleswig-Holstein

Bremen

Saarland

Student housing supply rate

0

500000

1000000

1500000

2000000

2500000

3000000

3500000

Winter semester

Number of students in Germany

Source: Statista, CBRE Martreport Studentisches Wohnen 2018, Destatis

Page 15: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Transaction Volumes

Transaction activity in the German student housing market has increased

significantly in the past three years. The private sector stock of student

accommodation has more than tripled in the past 6 years.

While the focus in 2013/2014 was mainly on the modernisation of existing

properties, the number of project developments and conversions is steadily

increasing. Transactions in Student Living have risen rapidly since 2016 and

demand from occupiers and investors remains strong.

In 2017, investment in student accommodation accounted for around 6.4% of

the entire residential transaction volume.

It is expected that both the total number of students and the number of

international students will continue to rise. In the study.EU ranking of the

most attractive countries for international students, Germany ranked first in

2018. Due to the consistently high and rising number of students, there is still

a great need for student housing - especially in metropolitan areas.

Development activity from private investors remains buoyant and focused on

the major cities. Consequently, the provision rate in these cities is growing

rapidly and, in some cases, will rise to more than 50% in the rental segment

from €500 per month.

In response to the growing competition in the student housing market, many

operators are looking to diversify their supply and target group to open up a

larger market with higher demand.

Student Apartment Market – GermanyTransaction volume student housing Germany

Average prime yield student housing (%)

Investment market for micro living in Germany

Source: Savills – Temporäres Wohnen – eine Annäherung, September 2018; CBRE

Page 16: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Of the QS World University Rankings 2019, 381 European universities are

listed, roughly 38% of all universities, with the UK (76 universities), Germany

(45), and France (35) the most significant contributors.

According to UNESCO, the UK, France, Germany, Italy, The Netherlands, and

Spain are among the top 20 destinations for global students studying abroad.

The university sector is becoming more commercialised on an international

scale and the number of English Taught Programmes (ETPs) is increasing

across Europe as universities seek to attract the best (and ultimately more)

students. Students have increasing choice in terms of destination, cost, and

method of study. The cost of a degree across European universities differs

significantly with many countries offering free or limited cost study.

A more internationally mobile, more flexible student population with more

choice in what and where they study means that demand for student

accommodation will remain high.

Student Apartment Market - EuropeEuropean countries by size of student body

0

500.000

1.000.000

1.500.000

2.000.000

2.500.000

3.000.000

3.500.000

DE FR UK PL IT ES NL PT HU CZ IE

European countries by number of English-language-degreeprogrammes

30% 6%

3%5% 3%

3% 2% 6%

0,0%

5,0%

10,0%

15,0%

20,0%

25,0%

30,0%

0

200

400

600

800

1.000

1.200

NL DE FR PL ES IT HU CZ

English Language Courses Proportion of English-language degree programmes (in %)

Annual costs for one academic year in €

0

5000

10000

15000

20000

25000

UK NL ES IE AT FR SE DE PL

Tuition fee Cost of livingSource: Eurostat;Union Investment / Bulwiengesa: Micro Living in Europa, July 2018

Page 17: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

The European student accommodation investment landscape has continued to

evolve in the past year and competition and transaction activity intensified,

reaching a transaction volume of almost €10bn in 2018.

Next to global market leaders such as USA and Canada, the UK has the most

active student housing market from 2016 until Q3 2018 with a total of more

than 70,000 transactioned beds. Following, clearly behind the UK, are

Germany (16,000 beds), Spain (10,000), the Netherlands (9,800), France

(5,900) and Austria (4,300).

The student housing market is still dominated by the UK, but other European

markets saw increased transactions volumes as well, for example Spain with

over €600m in 2017, up from €100m in the previous year.

Student Apartment Market - Europe

CH PL FI CZ BE SE DK IE AT FR NL ES DE

Transactions in Europe 2016 - 2018

Number of students per private student apartment

Number of beds in 1000; UK: 71259 beds

UK NLDEFR ES SE AT IE PL

Top providers – private student housing market

Ap

artm

ent

sup

ply

top

pro

vid

ers

Mar

ket

shar

eto

p p

rovi

der

sin

to

tal

pri

vate

stu

den

th

ou

sin

gm

arke

t

Sources: Union Investment / Bulwiengesa: Micro Living in Europa, July 2018; Catella – Market Tracker Student Housing Europe, November 2018

Page 18: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Yields and Investment Hotspots

Search for accommodation remains difficult for students in many cities of

these countries (e.g. Paris, London, Berlin, Munich, Amsterdam) due to

tense housing markets.

High activity of private investors illustrates the attractiveness of the asset

class. According to the PCW Emerging Trends in Europe 2019 report,

student housing also tops the wish-list going forward, showing appetite for

further investments.

There is still a lot of potential in Germany in particular, especially in the mid-

price segment.

In the smaller markets of Austria, Poland, Sweden, Spain and Ireland, the

investment potential itself is limited, but can be a sensible alternative if the

property and location properties are very good, provided that the local

housing market situation in the apartment segment is rather tense.

Spain and Poland provide the highest yields. In Poland, the main risk lies in

the imbalance between rental expectations and willingness to pay.

Moreover, in a few years' time, the predicted decline in the population could

lead to a decisive decline in the number of occupiers as an important basis

for investments.

Due to the highly developed heterogeneity within the UK - from London to

economically weaker locations in northern England - the yield range of

around 380 bps is very pronounced.

Student Apartment Market

UK: ca. 662000 student/business apartments; prime yield: 3.8%

Supply Student/Business Apartments

Investment Hotspots in Europe – Student/Business Apartments

Source: Union Investment / Bulwiengesa: Micro Living in Europa, July 2018

Page 19: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

Business & Serviced Apartment Market

Page 20: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

The provider landscape for business and micro apartments in Germany is

very fragmented and there is a large variety of concepts. In order to be

treated as a business and not a serviced apartment, the minimum stay at an

apartment should be (3-) 6 months.

Statistical data on supply and demand of business apartments in residential

concepts is not readily available, both for Germany and Europe. However,

there are certain drivers for demand for business/micro apartments which

allow making predictions on the demand. Various factors can be taken into

consideration, such as the number of single-person households, project

employees, expatriates and long-distance commuters.

One influencing factor for the German business apartment market is that

Germany, with ist buoyant job market, attracts internationally mobile young

professionals. On top of that, Germany has multiple strong cities and

regions and (young) employees keep moving from one to the other for work

opportunities.

In 2017 most job advertisements were published in the greater

Berlin/Potsdam area (22.7 %), Hamburg (12.5 %), Munich (7.6 %), Frankfurt

(5.6 %), Stuttgart (4.7 %) and Cologne/Bonn (4.5 %). These conurbations

are characterised above all by a high density of service, construction and IT

companies.

Micro/Business Apartment Market - Germany

Source: StepStone 2017https://www.rethink-blog.de/fachkraeftemarkt/job-hochburgen-in-deutschland-wo-unternehmen-die-meisten-mitarbeiter-suchen/

Page 21: CORESTATE Micro Living Overview · Flexible office Aparthotel Generation Z (1998 –Present) 73.4m 21.6% Student/Young professional apartments Co-working office Serviced apartments

CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Mobility and constant change as an important factor in today's and tomorrow's work environment influence housing demand.

Experts estimate that more than two million households in Germany have more than one permanent place of residence. In some districts every fourth household lives multilocal. And according to the experts, the number of persons with more than one permanent place of residents is increasing.

In addition to that, there is a large number of people who commute between two residences for one to six months for projects. An increasing number of those are highly educated specialists and managers.

According to a DGB study, weekend commuters are more qualified and earn better than average. Parents of school-age children in particular make this compromise for a job or a leap on the career ladder. Figures from the Federal Statistical Office in 2013 showed that only 23 percent of people living in second home households were single.

Micro/Business Apartment Market - Germany

24%

41%44%

54%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

1965 2015 projection 2035 megapolis 2015

Percentage of 1-person households

0

2000

4000

6000

8000

10000

12000

14000

16000

18000

20000

19

91

19

93

19

95

19

97

19

99

20

01

20

03

20

05

20

07

20

09

20

11

20

13

20

15

20

17

20

19

20

21

20

23

20

25

20

27

20

29

20

31

20

33

20

35

1-person household 2-person household

3-person household 4-person household

households with more than 5 persons

Number and size of households in Germany

0,0

5,0

10,0

15,0

20,0

25,0

unter 50005 000 - 10000

10 000 - 20000

20 000 - 50000

50 000 -100 000

100 000 -200 000

200 000 -500 000

500 000und mehr

Population Germany in % 1-person households in %

Population and 1-person households by city size

Source: Destatis

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CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Germany's major cities have been growing rapidly for years. In the last six years

(31.12.2011 to 31.12.2017) Berlin has gained 47,500 inhabitants (1.4% p.a.) per

year, Hamburg and Munich a remarkable 18,700 (1.1% p.a.) and 15,200 (1.1%

p.a.) per year respectively according to the Federal Statistical Office. Therefore,

demand for additional living space is particularly high in large cities and their

periphery in Germany.

Migration statistics show that this growth is supported by two groups:

Immigration from abroad, and the influx of young people from the domestic

population. The result is not only an increase of the population in major cities,

but also a change in the population structure. While the ageing processes in

large cities are slowing down, they are continuing in rural areas in a stronger

form. The mobility of 18-30 year-olds in education and employment has been

steadily increasing since the 1990s.

There is a general shift in consumer needs, driven by the next generation of the

millennials, with new cultural trends in “sharing communities” extending to urban

living (like for example shared (roof) gardens, libraries or lounge and dining

areas. Occupiers are shifting their mindset towards “less space - more quality of

life”.

The combination of a tight rental market in urban areas and changing occupiers

needs - with less demand for larger space but rather flexibility, services and

good infrastructure – drives demand for business and micro apartments.

Since the demographic and social changes described in for the German markets

can be observed in most European countries, the market environment for

business apartments can be assumed to be similar to those in Germany,

especially in those countries mentioned as established or up-and-coming

markets for micro living.

Micro/Business Apartment Market - Germany

120 apartments per

10000 inhabitants

Map – demand for new apartment construction

Source IW Institut der deutschen Wirtschafthttps://www.iwkoeln.de/presse/interaktive-grafiken/beitrag/michael-voigtlaender-ralph-henger-muenchen-braucht-je-einwohner-die-meisten-neuen-wohnungen.html

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CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Performance and Rental Bands

According to a Bulwiengesa report, currently an average IRR of 2.1 to 3.1% and max. 4.4% IRR can be expected for core micro apartments in A-cities in Germany. Demand is still on a high level in central locations cities with international reach.

In B-cities, micro apartments can achieve an average IRR of 2.7 to 3.6% and a max. IRR of up to 5.1%. Especially B-cities with good infrastructure and a high number of commuters can provide interesting investment opportunities.

Micro/Business Apartment Market - Germany

Dresden

Berlin

Stuttgart

Munich

Nuremberg

Frankfurt

Hanover

Hamburg

LeipzigDüsseldorfCologne

≥ 2 bis 3% IRR object-related

> 3 bis 4 % IRR object-related

> 4 bis 4.5% IRR object-related

Max. IRR object- related for Core-Investors

Rental bands micro apartments – big 8 Germany

Source: JLL – Germany Investment Market Overview – Student housing & micro apartments, 2018; Bulwiengesa – Die 5% Studie 2018

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CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Like the business apartment market, the German serviced apartment market is very fragmented and has been characterised by small, individual providers. However, Germany is increasingly in the focus of international players. These

include some hotel chains that offer serviced apartments in addition to hotel rooms.

Currently there are 35500 serviced apartments available in 588 buildings in Germany. Of these 49% are in classic apartment houses, 43% in apartment hotels/aparthotels and 8% in micro apartments properties.

As of March 2018, the share of individual serviced apartment providers remained at 75 percent, while international chains accounted for 20% and national chains only 5 percent of the market.

Serviced Apartments have a c. 3.5% market share in the German hotel market and this market share is expected to increase to ca. 10% by 2030.

Serviced Apartment Market - GermanyMarket share within hotel market

Apartment houses49%

apartment hotels /aparthotels

43%

micro apartments8%

15

15

28

69

113

123

150

154

215

275

318

330

407

682

1948

2059

2365

Sellin

Osnabrück

Würzburg

Baden-Baden

Fürth

Bochum

Hannover

Karlsruhe

Köln

Bonn

Nürnberg

Leipzig

Düsseldorf

Hamburg

Berlin

Frankfurt

München

Serviced apartments units

1,7% 3,5% 10,0%

98,3% 96,5% 90,0%

0,0%

10,0%

20,0%

30,0%

40,0%

50,0%

60,0%

70,0%

80,0%

90,0%

100,0%

2010 2018 2030

ServicedApartments

Hotel excl.Servicedapartm.

Market share within hotel market

Source: Market Report Serviced Apartments, Apartmentservice

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CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Serviced Apartment PortfolioThe number of business travelers as well as the number of nights spent have

been increasing steadily since 2011, resulting in strong growth rates for both average daily rates (ADR) and occupancy rates.

There is a shift from ‘classic’ hotel guests to serviced apartments due to changing consumer sentiment that offers additional growth potential and puts pressure on the demand side.

With a total of 15.541 units, the top 3 locations already cover 47 percent of the entire product range in Germany.

Serviced Apartment Market - Germany

Top 3 locations – Serviced Apartments Germany

City Number of houses Number of units

Munich 64 5333

Frankfurt am Main 67 5311

Berlin 93 4897

0

10

20

30

40

50

60

70

80

90

95

100

105

110

115

120

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016

Number of Nights Spent Number of Business Travelers in Germany

Number of business travelers and number of nights spentin Germany

80

85

90

95

100

105

110

48

50

52

54

56

58

60

62

64

66

2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017

ADR Europe (in €, right axis) ADR Germany (in €, right axis)

Occupancy Europe (in %, left axis) Occupancy Germany (in %, left axis)

Average hospitality ADRs and occupany rates in Europe and Germany

Sources: Statista 2018, Gregorius, Niemeyer 2017, STR Global 2017, Market Report Serviced Apartments, Apartmentservice

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Supply and Pipeline

As more high-profile operators enter the market and more data becomes

available, confidence in the serviced apartment concept is increasing – and

investment is rocketing.

The Serviced Apartment landscape has changed significantly over the last

few years. New brands and concepts have advanced, responding to the

evolving living and travel patterns of consumers.

More than two thirds of business travellers tag on extra days before or after

meetings on at least one trip a year. Combined with changing traveller

preferences for home-style accommodation in convenient locations, this

means serviced apartments are an increasingly popular choice.

Those changing needs of guests are driving demand and Serviced

Apartments are the fastest growing sector within the hospitality industry,

with more than one million serviced apartments globally in operation at the

end of 2017.

In Europe, the sector is still quite fragmented and run independently, and

consolidation is expected in the coming years.

Serviced apartments brands, such as Brookfield’s SACO, Adina and

StayCity, are expanding rapidly in Europe. Around half of Europe’s

serviced apartments are branded.

Improving operational prospects for emerging European markets, plus

pricing and availability constraints in more developed markets in the UK,

France and Germany, is furthering expansion into new markets and

European cities with currently low supply of serviced apartments.

Micro/Business Apartment Market - Europe

European Pipeline for Serviced Apartments

Country 2019 2020 2021 2022 Total

UK 1,348 2,026 652 473 4,499

Germany 1,468 1,884 485 309 4,146

France 960 846 333 114 2,253

Ireland 210 929 414 0 1,553

Netherlands 417 345 110 0 872

Austria 39 134 44 0 217

Poland 190 100 190 0 480

Other 569 632 120 148 1,469

Total 5,201 6,896 2,348 1,044 15,489

The European serviced apartment pipeline has boomed in 2018, with more

than 15,000 units currently in the pipeline until 2022.

Brands are looking into consolidating their presence in those markets where

they are already present, as well as expanding into new locations – not only

in Western Europe, but also in Central and Eastern Europe, in countries such

as Poland, where further potential in the market can be found

Poland is a new player among the top countries with regards to new supply,

with almost 500 units in the pipeline in Warsaw and Krakow.

Sources: HVS Report, July 2018

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Yields and Investment Hotspots

The major European cities have sufficient demand potential due to their

political and economic importance.

A stable cash flow, high space efficiency, favourable opportunities for

subsequent use and lower development costs compared to hotels due to a

lack of restoration, service space and ancillary space make the segment

attractive for investors. This is underlined by the increased transaction

figures of recent years.

Due to its fragmentation, the German market itself is similar to the British

market, while France is dominated by a few large national providers with

correspondingly large portfolios.

Germany is currently the most active and a very attractive market for

investors. Demographic developments, such as the shrinking size of

households combined with greater flexibility in everyday working life and

economic stability, especially in metropolitan regions, speak in favour of

Germany as a business location.

On the other hand, the opportunities for sustainable investments in the small

markets are to be considered rather critically. This is due to the low level of

supply in these markets. In addition, most activities are focused on the

capital city, which does not offer unlimited capacity. Here it is necessary to

act by means of individual case decisions and to filter out lucrative

investments.

Serviced Apartment Market

Investment-Hotspots in Europe – Serviced Apartments

Supply Serviced Apartments

Pri

me

yiel

d

Source: Union Investment / Bulwiengesa: Micro Living in Europa, July 2018

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CORESTATE – Micro Living Overview

Dieses Dokument ist ausschließlich zu allgemeinen Informationszwecken erstellt worden. Es stellt keine Anlagevermittlung oder Anlageberatung, Rechts- oder

Steuerberatung und auch kein Angebot oder eine Aufforderung zur Abgabe eines Angebots betreffend den Kauf oder Verkauf von Finanzinstrumenten dar.

Dieses Dokument ist nach bestem Wissen und Gewissen erstellt worden und erhebt keinen Anspruch auf Aktualität und Vollständigkeit. Zukunftsgerichtete

Angaben und Aussagen beruhen auf aktuellen Einschätzungen, Erwartungen und Prognosen von CORESTATE Capital Investors (Europe) GmbH hinsichtlich

Markt- und Branchenentwicklung zum Zeitpunkt der Erstellung. Weder CORESTATE Capital Investors (Europe) GmbH noch eine andere Gesellschaft aus der

Corestate Gruppe übernehmen eine Gewährleistung oder Garantie für die in diesem Dokument enthaltenen Informationen, insbesondere nicht für die

Richtigkeit von Daten Dritter, und übernehmen auch keine Haftung für Verluste oder Schäden jeglicher Art im Zusammenhang mit diesem Dokument. Die

Informationen können sich jederzeit (auch ohne Mitteilung an die Empfänger) ändern.

Die Wertentwicklung in der Vergangenheit ist kein verlässlicher Indikator für zukünftige Wertentwicklungen. Für künftige Wertentwicklungen oder für das

Erreichen der in diesem Dokument enthaltenen Ergebnisse und Ertragsprognosen wird keine Gewähr übernommen.

Dieses Dokument unterliegt der Vertraulichkeit. Jegliche Verbreitung, Kopie oder Vervielfältigung dieses Dokuments oder der hierin enthaltenen Informationen

(in Teilen oder als Ganzes) bedarf der vorherigen Zustimmung von CORESTATE Capital Investors (Europe) GmbH.

Frankfurt am Main, Stand: Juli 2019

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